Manias, Panics, and Crashes: a History of Financial Crises
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Staff Working Paper No. 845 Eight Centuries of Global Real Interest Rates, R-G, and the ‘Suprasecular’ Decline, 1311–2018 Paul Schmelzing
CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 CODE OF PRACTICE 2007 -
Zeitschrift Ftir Die Geschichte Und Altertumskunde Ermlands
Zeitschrift ftir die Geschichte und Altertumskunde Ermlands Band 45 1989 Zeitschrift für die Geschichte und Altertumskunde Ermlands Im Namen desHistorischen Vereins fürErmland e. V. (Sitz Münster i. W.) herausgegeben vom Vorstand des Vereins Band45 1989 ZGAE = Zeitschrift für die Geschichte und Altertumskunde Ermlands Schriftleitung: Dr. Hans-Jürgen Karp unter Mitarbeit vonBarbara Wolf-Dahm Selbstverlag des Historischen Vereins für Ermland Ermlandweg 22, 4400 Münster i. W. Auslieferung für den Buchhandel durch den Verlag A. Fromm, Osnabrück 1989 ISSN 0342-3344 INHALTSVERZEICHNIS Aufsätze Andrzej Groth Der Braunsherger Seehandel 1638-1700 im Vergleich zu den anderen Häfen des Frischen Haffs . 7 Handel morski Braniewa na tle innych port6w Zalewu Wislanego w latach 1638- 1700 . 21 The Braunsberg Sea-Trade from 1638 to 1700 as Compared to the Other Ports ofthe Vistula Lagoon . 21 Bruno Riediger Die preußische Armee im Ermland 1772- 1806 . 23 Armia pruska na Warmii 1772- 1806 . 39 The Prussian Army in Warmia 1772- 1806 . 39 Werner Thimm Der Osteroder Schulkampf um die Errichtung einer katholi schen Bekenntnisschule 1926/27 . 41 Walka o zalozenie katolickiej szkoly w Ostr6dzie w latach 1926/27 66 The Osterode School-Controversy of1926/27 on the Faunding ofa Catholic School . 66 Helmut Kunigk Der Bund Deutscher Osten im südlichen Ostpreußen . 67 Bund Deutscher Osten w poludniowych Prusach Wschodnich . 112 The League GermanEast in Southern East-Prussia ............ 113 Hans Preuschoff t Zur Suspension der Braunsherger Professoren Eschweiler und Barion im Jahre 1934 ...................................... 115 Suspensa profesor6w Akademii Braniewskiej Eschweilera i Bariona w roku 1934 . 139 On the Suspension ofthe Braunsberg Professors Eschweiler and Barion in 1934 . 140 Miszelle Armeliese Tri 11 er Bischof und Domkapitel von Ermland als Almosenspender im 18.Jahrhundert ......................................... -
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The Financial System and Global Socioeconomic Cbanges Yuichiro Nagatomi Occasional Paper No.4 Yuichiro Nagatomi is President of the Institute of Fiscal and Monetary Policy, Ministry of Finance, Japan This paper originated as a lecture given at the "Regulating International Financial Markets: Issues and Policies" conference, held at the Waldorf-Astoria Hotel in May, 1990. The conference was sponsored by the Center on Japanese Economy and Business and the Center for the Study of Futures Markets at Columbia University, the Institute of Fiscal and Monetary Policy of the Ministry of Finance, Japan, and the Foundation for Advanced Information and Research (FAIR), Japan. Occasional Paper Series Center on Japanese Economy and Business Graduate School of Business Columbia University June 1990 I have a few comments on some recent changes in financial structure and also changes in the effects of monetary policy which perhaps need more discussion. 1. Socio-Economic Structure Changes: "Softnomization" The industrialized countries - the United States, Japan, and Europe - attained modernization and industrialization after the Industrial Revolution. In recent years, their socio-economic structures have been changing in a way we call "softnomization". In pre-modern times, people lived with nature's cycle - the "path of nature" or the "soft path". The "path of mechanization and automation" or the "hard path", pursued in the process of modernization and industrialization has blessed mankind with material affluence. It also has brought about "global environmental problems and maladies to advanced nations, such as drug use and other urban crimes, and it has deteriorated the vitality and quality of the society. "Softnomization" means a softening of the hard path, by seeking harmony between the "hard path" of modern times and the "soft path" of pre-modern times. -
Public Plicy Brief 44
PPB No.44 2/18/99 2:50 PM Page a1 The Jerome Levy Economics Institute of Bard College Public Policy Brief The Asian Disease: Pl a u s i b l e Di a g n o s e s , Po s s i b l e Re m e d i e s Regulation of Cros s - B o r der Interbank Lending and Derivatives Tra d e Ma r tin Mayer No. 44, 1998 PPB No.44 2/18/99 2:50 PM Page 2 The Jerome Levy Economics Institute of Bard Co l l e g e , founded in 1986, is an autonomous, inde- pendently endowed re s e a rch organization. It is n o n p a rtisan, open to the examination of diverse points of view, and dedicated to public servi c e . The Jerome Levy Economics Institute is publish - ing this proposal with the conviction that it rep r e - sents a constructive and positive contribution to the discussions and debates on the relevant policy issues. Neither the Institute’s Board of Governo r s nor its Advisory Board necessarily endorses the pr oposal in this issue. The Levy Institute believes in the potential for the study of economics to improve the human condi- tion. Through scholarship and economic forecast- ing it generates viable, effective public policy responses to important economic problems that profoundly affect the quality of life in the United States and abroad. The present res e a r ch agenda includes such issues as financial instability, povert y, employment, pro b- lems associated with the distribution of income and wealth, and international trade and competitive- ness. -
Speech: Would More Regulation Prevent Another Black Monday?, July 20, 1988
u.S.Securities and Exchange Commission [N]@\Wl~ Washington,D. C. 20549 (202) 272-2650 ~@~@@~@ WOULD MORE REGULATION PREVENT ANOTHER BLACK MONDAY? Remarks to the CATO Institute Policy Forum Washington, D.C. July 20, 19.88 Joseph A. Grundfest Commissioner The views expressed herein are those of Commissioner Grundfest and do not necessarily represent those of the Commission, other Commissioners, or Commission staff. WOULD MORE REGULATION PREVENT ANOTHER BLACK MONDAY? Remarks to the CATO Institute Policy Forum July 21, 1988 Joseph A. Grundfest It's a pleasure to be here this afternoon to deliver an address on such a noncontroversial topic. Government regulators in Washington, D.C. have a well deserved reputation for dancing around difficult issues and not giving straight answers to simple questions. Well, I'd like to prove that I'm not your typical Washington, D.C. regulator and give you a straight answer to the question, "Would more regulation prevent another Black Monday?" The answer is an unequivocable yes, no, and maybe. The answer also depends on what you mean by more regulation and why you believe the market declined on Black Monday. With that issue cleared up, I'd like to thank all of you for attending and invite you to join the reception being held immediately after this speech. Thank you very much. It's been a pleasure. Actually, the question of whether more regulation could prevent another Black Monday is not as difficult as it seems, if you keep three factors in mind. First, it is important to distinguish between fundamental factors that initiated or contributed to the decline, and regulatory or structural factors that may have unnecessarily exacerbated the decline. -
Building Cold War Warriors: Socialization of the Final Cold War Generation
BUILDING COLD WAR WARRIORS: SOCIALIZATION OF THE FINAL COLD WAR GENERATION Steven Robert Bellavia A Dissertation Submitted to the Graduate College of Bowling Green State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY May 2018 Committee: Andrew M. Schocket, Advisor Karen B. Guzzo Graduate Faculty Representative Benjamin P. Greene Rebecca J. Mancuso © 2018 Steven Robert Bellavia All Rights Reserved iii ABSTRACT Andrew Schocket, Advisor This dissertation examines the experiences of the final Cold War generation. I define this cohort as a subset of Generation X born between 1965 and 1971. The primary focus of this dissertation is to study the ways this cohort interacted with the three messages found embedded within the Cold War us vs. them binary. These messages included an emphasis on American exceptionalism, a manufactured and heightened fear of World War III, as well as the othering of the Soviet Union and its people. I begin the dissertation in the 1970s, - during the period of détente- where I examine the cohort’s experiences in elementary school. There they learned who was important within the American mythos and the rituals associated with being an American. This is followed by an examination of 1976’s bicentennial celebration, which focuses on not only the planning for the celebration but also specific events designed to fulfill the two prime directives of the celebration. As the 1980s came around not only did the Cold War change but also the cohort entered high school. Within this stage of this cohorts education, where I focus on the textbooks used by the cohort and the ways these textbooks reinforced notions of patriotism and being an American citizen. -
How Credit Cycles Across a Financial Crisis
NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES HOW CREDIT CYCLES ACROSS A FINANCIAL CRISIS Arvind Krishnamurthy Tyler Muir Working Paper 23850 http://www.nber.org/papers/w23850 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 September 2017, September 2020 We thank Michael Bordo, Gary Gorton, Robin Greenwood, Francis Longstaff, Emil Siriwardane, Jeremy Stein, David Romer, Chris Telmer, Alan Taylor, Egon Zakrajsek, and seminar/conference participants at Arizona State University, AFA 2015 and 2017, Chicago Booth Financial Regulation conference, NBER Monetary Economics meeting, NBER Corporate Finance meeting, FRIC at Copenhagen Business School, Riksbank Macro-Prudential Conference, SITE 2015, Stanford University, University of Amsterdam, University of California-Berkeley, University of California-Davis, UCLA, USC, Utah Winter Finance Conference, and Chicago Booth Empirical Asset Pricing Conference. We thank the International Center for Finance for help with bond data, and many researchers for leads on other bond data. We thank Jonathan Wallen and David Yang for research assistance. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. NBER working papers are circulated for discussion and comment purposes. They have not been peer-reviewed or been subject to the review by the NBER Board of Directors that accompanies official NBER publications. © 2017 by Arvind Krishnamurthy and Tyler Muir. All rights reserved. Short sections of text, not to exceed two paragraphs, may be quoted without explicit permission provided that full credit, including © notice, is given to the source. How Credit Cycles across a Financial Crisis Arvind Krishnamurthy and Tyler Muir NBER Working Paper No. -
The Bank Restriction Act and the Regime Shift to Paper Money, 1797-1821
European Historical Economics Society EHES WORKING PAPERS IN ECONOMIC HISTORY | NO. 100 Danger to the Old Lady of Threadneedle Street? The Bank Restriction Act and the regime shift to paper money, 1797-1821 Patrick K. O’Brien Department of Economic History, London School of Economics Nuno Palma Department of History and Civilization, European University Institute Department of Economics, Econometrics, and Finance, University of Groningen JULY 2016 EHES Working Paper | No. 100 | July 2016 Danger to the Old Lady of Threadneedle Street? The Bank Restriction Act and the regime shift to paper money, 1797-1821* Patrick K. O’Brien Department of Economic History, London School of Economics Nuno Palma Department of History and Civilization, European University Institute Department of Economics, Econometrics, and Finance, University of Groningen Abstract The Bank Restriction Act of 1797 suspended the convertibility of the Bank of England's notes into gold. The current historical consensus is that the suspension was a result of the state's need to finance the war, France’s remonetization, a loss of confidence in the English country banks, and a run on the Bank of England’s reserves following a landing of French troops in Wales. We argue that while these factors help us understand the timing of the Restriction period, they cannot explain its success. We deploy new long-term data which leads us to a complementary explanation: the policy succeeded thanks to the reputation of the Bank of England, achieved through a century of prudential collaboration between the Bank and the Treasury. JEL classification: N13, N23, N43 Keywords: Bank of England, financial revolution, fiat money, money supply, monetary policy commitment, reputation, and time-consistency, regime shift, financial sector growth * We are grateful to Mark Dincecco, Rui Esteves, Alex Green, Marjolein 't Hart, Phillip Hoffman, Alejandra Irigoin, Richard Kleer, Kevin O’Rourke, Jaime Reis, Rebecca Simson, Albrecht Ritschl, Joan R. -
Tuesday July 30, 1996
7±30±96 Tuesday Vol. 61 No. 147 July 30, 1996 Pages 39555±39838 federal register 1 II Federal Register / Vol. 61, No. 147 / Tuesday, July 30, 1996 SUBSCRIPTIONS AND COPIES PUBLIC Subscriptions: Paper or fiche 202±512±1800 FEDERAL REGISTER Published daily, Monday through Friday, Assistance with public subscriptions 512±1806 (not published on Saturdays, Sundays, or on official holidays), by General online information 202±512±1530 the Office of the Federal Register, National Archives and Records Administration, Washington, DC 20408, under the Federal Register Single copies/back copies: Act (49 Stat. 500, as amended; 44 U.S.C. Ch. 15) and the Paper or fiche 512±1800 regulations of the Administrative Committee of the Federal Register Assistance with public single copies 512±1803 (1 CFR Ch. I). Distribution is made only by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC FEDERAL AGENCIES 20402. Subscriptions: The Federal Register provides a uniform system for making Paper or fiche 523±5243 available to the public regulations and legal notices issued by Assistance with Federal agency subscriptions 523±5243 Federal agencies. These include Presidential proclamations and For other telephone numbers, see the Reader Aids section Executive Orders and Federal agency documents having general applicability and legal effect, documents required to be published at the end of this issue. by act of Congress and other Federal agency documents of public interest. Documents are on file for public inspection in the Office of the Federal Register the day before they are published, unless earlier filing is requested by the issuing agency. -
Bubbles, Manias and Market Failures
7 February 2019 Bubbles, Manias and Market Failures PROFESSOR D’MARIS COFFMAN transcribed by Mr Imad Uddin Ahmed Thank you all, it’s a great honour to be here. This is actually my second time lecturing in this hall. I was first here about 5 years ago in 2013 when I was talking about something else entirely. I’m thrilled to be back, and I would like to thank Michael Mainelli, who is not here, for in fact convincing me to do this for a second time. Tonight, I’ll talk about bubbles, manias and market failures and particularly about the unintended consequences of regulatory responses to these events. And I think when you begin talking about the subject, it’s almost imperative that you start with Tulipmania which is the paradigmatic early-modern financial crisis. Some of you may recognise this wonderful print from 1637/38 by Peter Nolpe which shows a fool’s cap in which people are playing a gambling game that was played in the inns near the flower markets. It was a kind of auction game, bit of a spread-betting game in which they bid up the price of tulips. And this print shows the devastation that Tulipmania was supposed to have caused to the morals and the economic welfare of the Dutch republic. Now most of when we actually see copies of this print, don’t see the copies from the 1636-37 but rather recycled copies from the 1720s in a much different context. We’ll talk in a moment about that context. -
The Rising Thunder El Nino and Stock Markets
THE RISING THUNDER EL NINO AND STOCK MARKETS: By Tristan Caswell A Project Presented to The Faculty of Humboldt State University In Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree Master of Business Administration Committee Membership Dr. Michelle Lane, Ph.D, Committee Chair Dr. Carol Telesky, Ph.D Committee Member Dr. David Sleeth-Kepler, Ph.D Graduate Coordinator July 2015 Abstract THE RISING THUNDER EL NINO AND STOCK MARKETS: Tristan Caswell Every year, new theories are generated that seek to describe changes in the pricing of equities on the stock market and changes in economic conditions worldwide. There are currently theories that address the market value of stocks in relation to the underlying performance of their financial assets, known as bottom up investing, or value investing. There are also theories that intend to link the performance of stocks to economic factors such as changes in Gross Domestic Product, changes in imports and exports, and changes in Consumer price index as well as other factors, known as top down investing. Much of the current thinking explains much of the current movements in financial markets and economies worldwide but no theory exists that explains all of the movements in financial markets. This paper intends to propose the postulation that some of the unexplained movements in financial markets may be perpetuated by a consistently occurring weather phenomenon, known as El Nino. This paper intends to provide a literature review, documenting currently known trends of the occurrence of El Nino coinciding with the occurrence of a disturbance in the worldwide financial markets and economies, as well as to conduct a statistical analysis to explore whether there are any statistical relationships between the occurrence of El Nino and the occurrence of a disturbance in the worldwide financial markets and economies. -
Friday, June 21, 2013 the Failures That Ignited America's Financial
Friday, June 21, 2013 The Failures that Ignited America’s Financial Panics: A Clinical Survey Hugh Rockoff Department of Economics Rutgers University, 75 Hamilton Street New Brunswick NJ 08901 [email protected] Preliminary. Please do not cite without permission. 1 Abstract This paper surveys the key failures that ignited the major peacetime financial panics in the United States, beginning with the Panic of 1819 and ending with the Panic of 2008. In a few cases panics were triggered by the failure of a single firm, but typically panics resulted from a cluster of failures. In every case “shadow banks” were the source of the panic or a prominent member of the cluster. The firms that failed had excellent reputations prior to their failure. But they had made long-term investments concentrated in one sector of the economy, and financed those investments with short-term liabilities. Real estate, canals and railroads (real estate at one remove), mining, and cotton were the major problems. The panic of 2008, at least in these ways, was a repetition of earlier panics in the United States. 2 “Such accidental events are of the most various nature: a bad harvest, an apprehension of foreign invasion, the sudden failure of a great firm which everybody trusted, and many other similar events, have all caused a sudden demand for cash” (Walter Bagehot 1924 [1873], 118). 1. The Role of Famous Failures1 The failure of a famous financial firm features prominently in the narrative histories of most U.S. financial panics.2 In this respect the most recent panic is typical: Lehman brothers failed on September 15, 2008: and … all hell broke loose.