07 June 2013 Asia Pacific/Japan Equity Research Non Ferrous Metals (Non Ferrous Metals (Japan)) / MARKET WEIGHT Mitsubishi Materials (5711 / 5711 JP) Rating OUTPERFORM Price (07 Jun 13, ¥) 315 COMPANY UPDATE Target price (¥) 470¹ Chg to TP (%) 49.2 Market cap. (¥ bn) 412.91 (US$ 4.28) Record high cement export price could mean Enterprise value (¥ bn) 1,000.19 Number of shares (mn) 1,310.82 guidance-beating profits at cement business Free float (%) 75.0 52-week price range 376 - 195 ■ Hikes in export price since start of 2012 improve export spread by *Stock ratings are relative to the coverage universe in each analyst's or each team's respective sector. ¥1,200/ton: Many market participants are bullish on the outlook for price ¹Target price is for 12 months. hikes and expect Mitsubishi Materials' cement business to benefit from firm Research Analysts demand both in Japan and the US. However, a lot of investors are unaware Shinya Yamada that the export spread has rebounded to a 10-year high. The export price 81 3 4550 9910 has risen by ¥1,100 since the start of 2012 (improving the ex-coal price
[email protected] spread by ¥1,200), far exceeding the increase in the domestic price. This Kazumasa Okumoto improvement in export business should be a positive surprise for the cement 81 3 4550 7266
[email protected] business, and as such, we maintain our OUTPERFORM rating. ■ Highly competitive in cement exports: We believe that Mitsubishi Materials is highly competitive in exports, as its Kyushu cement works is Japan's largest and is located on the coast, close to the company's customers in Asia.