Deciphering Myanmar’s Peace Process: A Reference Guide 2016 www.bnionline.net www.mmpeacemonitor.org Deciphering Myanmar’s Peace Process: A Reference Guide 2016 Written and Edited by Burma News International Layout/Design by Saw Wanna(Z.H) Previous series: 2013, 2014 and 2015 Latest and 2016 series: January 2017 Printer: Prackhakorn Business Co.,ltd Copyright reserved by Burma News International Published by Burma News International P.O Box 7, Talad Kamtieng PO Chiang Mai, 50304, Thailand E-mail:
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[email protected] Website: http://www.mmpeacemonitor.org Twitter: http://twitter.com/mmpeacemonitor Facebook: http:// www.facebook.com/mmpeacemonitor Mapping: http://www.myhistro.com/stories/info.mmpeacemonitor Contents Notes to the reader: . v Executive Summary . vi Acronyms . vii Grand Map of the Peace Process: Introduction . 1 Tracking peace and conlict: An overview . 2 I. Conlict Analysis 2015-2016 . 4 Number of conlicts per EAG 2015 and 2016 . 4 EAO expansions between 2011 - 2016 . 5 The Northern Alliance and continuing armed struggle . 6 Major military incidents per group . 8 Minor Tensions: . 9 Inter-EAG conlicts . 10 Number of clashes or tensions investigated or resolved diplomatically . 10 Armed Groups outside the Peace Process . 12 New Myanmar Army crackdown in Rakhine state . 13 Roots of Rakhine-Rohingya conlict . 15 Spillover of crisis . 16 Repercussions of war . 18 IDPs . 18 Drug production . 20 Communal Conlict . 23 II. The Peace Process Roadmap . 25 Current roadmap . 25 Nationwide Ceaseire Agreement . 29 Step 1: NCA signing . 31 New structure and mechanisms of the NCA peace process . 34 JICM - Nationwide Ceaseire Agreement Joint Implementation Coordination Meeting .