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Interstate Migration Department of Sustainability and Environment Victorian Pop ulation Bulletin 2003 Edition Victorian Population Bulletin Introduction Highlights of population The Victorian Population Bulletin provides a change in Victoria valuable snapshot of information on population change and the basic drivers behind that change. • Victoria’s Estimated Resident Population (ERP) at 30 June 2002 was Data contained in the Bulletin are the latest 4,872,538 people. estimates from the ABS. • The ERP of Australia reached 19,662,781 people at 30 June 2002, The Victorian Population Bulletin compares growth growing by 1.3% (or 249,541 people) from 30 June 2001. rates between the States and between the 79 • Victoria’s ERP grew by 1.4% (or 67,812 people) in the year ending Local Government Areas (LGAs) of Victoria. It also 30 June 2002. This was an increase on the growth of 1.3% (63,387 covers the elements of population change - natural people) for the previous year. increase, comprised of total births and deaths, • In comparison, for the year ending 30 June 2002, New South Wales overseas migration and interstate migration. grew by 1.0% (65,138 people), while Queensland remained the fastest growing State in Australia, at 2.2% (78,229 people). Victoria had the equal second fastest growth rate with Western Australia. New LGAs • The annual growth rate of the Melbourne metropolitan area was 1.5%, or 52,475 people, for the year ending 30 June 2002. As you may be aware, the former Shire of Delatite In regional Victoria, the annual growth rate was 1.2%, or 15,337 has been divided into the two new LGAs of the people, its highest growth rate since the early 1990s. Rural City of Benalla and the Shire of Mansfield. • The number of births in Victoria for the year ending December 2001 If comparisons with the old Shire of Delatite are was 58,626, a fall of 545 births from the previous year. For the same required, the new LGAs of Benalla (RC) and period there were 32,295 registered deaths, a rise of 277 deaths from Mansfield (S) data can be added together. the previous year. Therefore natural increase in Victoria resulted in 26,331 additional people in 2001, slightly less than 40% of the total population increase. •Overseas migration to Australia remained strong with 133,684 Other Publications permanent or long-term arrivals. Victoria’s share of the total was 25.6%, or 34,249 persons. The Research and Analysis Branch is currently producing a range of publications based on • Victoria recorded its fourth straight year of positive net interstate the results of the 2001 Census. Look out for migration. For the year ending 30 June 2002, there was a net gain of the 2003 releases of: 6,239 people to Victoria through interstate migration. This represented an increase from 5,163 in 2000-01. • Melbourne in Fact • Regional Victoria in Fact •Towns in Time Preliminary, revised and final population figures ABS population figures are published in three stages, preliminary, revised Research and and final. Final figures for population estimates are only produced for the five years preceding a Census, once the Census has been fully counted Analysis Branch and all components of population change reconciled. Department of Sustainability and Environment In this publication, data to 30 June 2002 are preliminary estimates, Level 20, 80 Collins St whereas data to 30 June 2001 or earlier are final, since the last Census Melbourne Victoria 3000 was conducted in 2001. Preliminary figures are usually updated to revised figures one year later, once all data is available. In 2004, we will have Tel. (03) 9655 8814 available preliminary figures for 30 June 2003 and revised figures for Fax. (03) 9655 8811 30 June 2002. E. [email protected] Web. www.doi.vic.gov.au/research Issues with The National Picture - population population change figures Australia - 2001-02 There are two main areas of concern over the For the year ending 30 June 2002, the Australian ERP grew by 1.3%, or accuracy of ERP figures currently being provided 249,541 people, to a total of 19,662,781 people. This is a slight decrease by the ABS: on the growth rate for the year ending 30 June 2001, which was 1.4%. 1. Overseas migration figures have been very high since the introduction of a new passenger Estimated Resident Population for Australian card system by DIMIA (Dept of Immigration, States and Territories, 2001-02 Multicultural and Indigenous Affairs). It is 30 June 2002 30 June 2001 Growth Growth rate Growth rate thought that there may be some over-counting ERP ERP 2001-02 2001-02 (%) 2000-01 (%) of long term visitors (eg students) who leave Australia and return again during their overall stay. VIC 4,872,538 4,804,726 67,812 1.4 1.3 2. There are still some statistical discrepancies NSW 6,640,355 6,575,217 65,138 1.0 1.4 between the population estimates for 30 June QLD 3,707,175 3,628,946 78,229 2.2 1.9 2001, based on the 2001 Census, and the SA 1,520,242 1,511,728 8,514 0.6 0.4 components of population change between the 1996 and 2001 Censuses. WA 1,927,322 1,901,159 26,163 1.4 1.4 For the purposes of providing information to our TAS 472,725 471,795 930 0.2 0.1 stakeholders, the Research and Analysis Branch NT 198,013 197,768 245 0.1 1.1 is accepting the currently published ABS figures, ACT 321,819 319,317 2,502 0.8 1.3 but we urge caution in their use, especially in regards to their absolute accuracy. In general we Australia* 19,662,781 19,413,240 249,541 1.3 1.4 believe that the trends indicated by the figures Source ABS Cat No. 3101.0, Australian Demographic Statistics Sept 2002 adequately reflect actual population change. * Note - Australian totals include other Territories. Fastest growing 10 LGAs in Annual growth rate (%) Australia 2001-02 Australia (growth rate 2001-02) LGA State Rate (%) Population Growth Rate (%) Perth WA 11.8 1.6 and above 1.1 to 1.5 Melton VIC 11.2 0.6 to 1.0 0.0 to 0.5 Capel WA 7.4 Sydney NSW 6.8 Melbourne VIC 6.5 Wyndham VIC 6.3 Casey VIC 5.5 Busselton WA 5.5 Camden NSW 5.3 Wanneroo WA 5.1 Source ABS Cat No. 3101.0, Australian Demographic Statistics June 2002 Source ABS Cat No. 3218.0, Regional Population Growth 2001-02 Australia Victoria’s population growth for the year ending 30 June 2002 was 1.4%, slightly up from 1.3% for the previous year. This represents growth of 62,812 people for the year and brings Victoria’s total ERP to 4,872,538 people. Queensland again experienced the fastest population growth rate: 2.2% in 2001-02; while Victoria and Western Australia experienced the second fastest growth rates in Australia at 1.4% each for 2001-02. Victorian Population Bulletin Regional Victoria: Estimated Resident Population Regional Victoria for LGAs, at 30 June 2002 and 2001 30 June 30 June Change Growth rate For the year ending 30 June 2002 the population Local Government Area 2002 2001 2001-02 2001-02(%) of regional Victoria grew strongly to 1,347,856; 1 Alpine (S) 13,213 13,067 146 1.1 an increase of 15,337 people, or 1.2%. 2 Ararat (RC) 11,751 11,721 30 0.3 3 Ballarat (C) 84,846 83,599 1,247 1.5 Population growth: Regional 4 Bass Coast (S) 26,774 25,631 1,143 4.5 Victoria LGAs 2001-2002 5 Baw Baw (S) 36,831 36,404 427 1.2 Population Growth Rate (%) 6 Benalla (RC) 14,073 14,017 56 0.4 2.0 to 4.5 1.0 to 1.9 7 Buloke (S) 7,260 7,331 -71 -1.0 27 0.0 to 0.9 41 -1.0 to -0.1 8 Campaspe (S) 36,737 36,349 388 1.1 9 Central Goldfields (S) 13,131 13,087 44 0.3 13 22 47 20 7 29 10 Colac-Otway (S) 21,145 21,005 140 0.7 48 8 24 18 42 43 11 Corangamite (S) 17,537 17,558 -21 -0.1 6 46 21 34 16 39 1 9 31 28 12 East Gippsland (S) 39,804 39,439 365 0.9 26 35 19 25 33 12 38 2 3 13 Gannawarra (S) 12,008 12,055 -47 -0.4 30 14 15 17 5 45 14 Glenelg (S) 20,346 20,392 -46 -0.2 32 11 40 23 10 15 Golden Plains (S) 15,360 15,101 259 1.7 37 44 36 16 Gr. Bendigo (C) 91,831 90,449 1,382 1.5 4 17 Gr. Geelong (C) 198,164 194,478 3,686 1.9 18 Gr. Shepparton (C) 59,016 58,150 866 1.5 Source ABS Cat No. 3218.0 Regional Population Growth Australia and New Zealand, 2001-02 19 Hepburn (S) 14,564 14,488 76 0.5 20 Hindmarsh (S) 6,565 6,596 -31 -0.5 This growth is significantly above the average 21 Horsham (RC) 18,706 18,586 120 0.6 annual growth rate for the last 5 years (30 June 22 Indigo (S) 14,891 14,716 175 1.2 1997 to 30 June 2001), which was 0.9%. 23 Latrobe (C) 70,554 70,643 -89 -0.1 24 Loddon (S) 8,574 8,604 -30 -0.3 Population growth: Regional 25 Macedon Ranges (S) 38,384 37,672 712 1.9 Victoria LGAs 1997-2002 26 Mansfield (S) 7,008 6,979 29 0.4 Population Growth Rate (%) 27 Mildura (RC) 50,460 49,616 844 1.7 2.0 to 3.8 1.0 to 1.9 28 Mitchell (S) 29,314 28,406 908 3.2 27 0.0 to 0.9 41 -1.0 to -0.1 29 Moira (S) 26,977 26,810 167 0.6 -1.6 to -1.1 30 Moorabool (S) 25,412 25,087 325 1.3 13 22 47 20 7 29 31 Mt Alexander (S) 17,168 17,142 26 0.2 48 8 24 18 42 43 32 Moyne (S) 15,826 15,763 63 0.4 6 46 21 34 16 39 1 9 31 28 33 Murrindindi (S) 13,779 13,640 139 1.0 26 35 19 25 33 12 38 2 3 34 Nth Grampians (S) 13,023 13,055 -32 -0.2 30 14 15 17 5 45 35 Pyrenees (S) 6,606 6,641 -35 -0.5 32 11 40 23 10 36 Queenscliffe (B) 3,263 3,276 -13 -0.4 37 44 36 37 South Gippsland (S) 26,373 26,159 214 0.8 4 38 Sth Grampians (S) 17,070 17,132 -62 -0.4 39 Strathbogie (S) 9,641 9,648 -7 -0.1 Source ABS Cat No.
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