Changing Visibility in Kuwait: 1963-1978
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Changing visibility in Kuwait: 1963-1978 Item Type text; Thesis-Reproduction (electronic) Authors Nasrallah, Hasan Ali Publisher The University of Arizona. Rights Copyright © is held by the author. Digital access to this material is made possible by the University Libraries, University of Arizona. Further transmission, reproduction or presentation (such as public display or performance) of protected items is prohibited except with permission of the author. Download date 24/09/2021 13:58:10 Link to Item http://hdl.handle.net/10150/557586 CHANGING VISIBILITY IN KUWAIT: 1963-1978 by Hasan All Nasrallah A Thesis Submitted to the Faculty of the DEPARTMENT- GF--GE9GRAPHY z REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND URBAN PLANNING In Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements For the Degree of MASTER OF ARTS WITH A MAJOR. IN GEOGRAPHY In the Graduate College THE UNIVERSITY OF ARIZONA 1 9 8 0 STATEMENT BY AUTHOR This thesis has been submitted in partial fulfillment of re quirements for an advanced degree at The University of Arizona and is deposited in the University Library to be made available to borrowers under rules of the Library. Brief quotations from this thesis are allowable without special permission , provided that accurate acknowledgment of source is made. Requests for permission for extended quotation from or reproduction of this manuscript in whole or in part may be granted by the head of the major department or the Dean of the Graduate College when in his judg ment the proposed use of the material is in the interests of scholar ship. In all other instances, however, permission must be obtained from the author. SIGNED: APPROVAL BY THESIS DIRECTOR This thesis has been approved on the date shown below: Date Professor of Geography7 Regional Development and Urban Planning ACKNOWLEDGMENTS I would like to express my sincere appreciation to my adviser Professor Richard W. Reeves for his deep concern and patience in the preparation of this thesis - The very caref ul reading of the initial draft of the manuscript by Dr. David Mouat and Dr* Robert Altschul provided useful commentary which greatly improved the final version of the thesis. I am also grateful to the many, many persons involved in the Kuwait International Airport Weather Station, Climatological Section, particularly Abdulmalik A. Al-Kulaib, Mehmood Safar, and Mohammad S. Hijazi, for their cooperative efforts to provide me the data used in this thesis. I would like to thank those in my personal sphere who enabled me to persist in the preparation of this thesis. These are too numerous to cite individually. However, I would like to thank fellow graduate student Mr. Jim Sell who helped in needed relief. Finally, I would like to convey special thanks to my family members and friends, especially my parents and my wife; their patience, encouragement, cooperation and belief in my eventual success has given me hope and strength. TABLE OF CONTENTS Page LIST' OF T A B L E S .......... v LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS. vi ABSTRACT ................... vii , 1. INTRODUCTION ....... e ........... 1 Kuwait1s Geographic Setting. ............................ 3 Sources of Air Pollution in Kuwait ............ 7 Measurement of Visibility. ............................ 15 2. REVIEW OF LITERATURE..................... ...A. 20 Summary.......... 27 3. METHODS OF ANALYSIS. .............. 4 .................. 28 Visibility Conditions since 1963 ................... 28 Weather Conditions and Visibility.......................... 3.1 Assessing Human Influences ................................ 33 4. DISCUSSION— VISIBILITY SINCE 1963.......... ... 35 Morning Visibility Conditions. ...... 35 Noon Visibility Conditions................. 39 Summary............. 41 5. WEATHER CONDITIONS AND VISIBILITY............... 42 Individual Weather Variables . .............. 44 Combined Effect of Weather Conditions on Visibility. 45 The Weather Adjusted Record......... 46 6. HUMAN INFLUENCES............... 51 Visibility on Fridays and Weekdays .*..................... 51 Visibility and Specific Human Activities ................. 55 7. CONCLUSIONS......... .. 60 REFERENCES ................. .. ....................... 64 iv LIST OF TABLES Table Page 1. Visibility Objects for the Weather Station at Kuwait International Airport........................... ~ 19 2. Results of Runs T e s t .............................. 38 3. Coefficients of Correlation between Monthly Frequencies of Seven Weather Conditions and Visibility in Four Range Classes (N = 192 Months of observation)........... 43 4. Multiple Regression Coefficients-(R and R2) between Weather Conditions and Visibility Range. ....... 46 5. Low Visibility (0-3 km) on Fridays vs. Other Days of the Week, 1963-1978................. 52 .6. High Visibility (10+ km) on Fridays vs. Other Days of the Week, 1963-1978. .................................. 54 7. Coefficients of Correlation between Annual Measures of Human Activity and Poor Visibility Observations at 12:00 N o o n ............. .............. .............. .. 56 8. Coefficients of Correlation between Annual Measures of Human Activity and High Visibility Observations at 12:00 Noon ..................... ............ 58 9. Coefficient of Correlation between Monthly Measures of Human Activity and Poor Visibility Observations at 12:00 Noon .................................. 59 10. Coefficient of Correlation between Monthly Measures of Human Activity and High Visibility Observations at 12:00 Noon' .......... 59 v LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS Figure : Page 1. The State of Kuwait................... 4 2. Monthly Temperature Conditions at Kuwait International Airport (in Centigrade).................................. 6 3. Mean Monthly Rainfall at Kuwait International Airport. .. 8 4. Mean Annual Variation in Percentages of Duststorms at Kuwait International Airport ............................ 9 5. Existing Industrial Areas in Kuwait. ......... 10 6. Visibility at 6:00 a.m. at Kuwait International Airport (not Adjusted for Weather Conditions) . ............... 36 7. Visibility - at 12:00 Noon at Kuwait International Airport (not Adjusted for Weather Conditions)................... 40 8. Weather-adjusted Visibility at 6:00 a.m. at Kuwait International Airport................... 48 9. Weather-adjusted Visibility at 12:00 Noon at Kuwait International Airport........................... 49 vi ABSTRACT This thesis documents visibility conditions in Kuwait for the years 1963 through 1978 and attempts to relate changes in visibility to probable sources of pollution, both natural and human. Fluctuations in visibility during the 16-year period are analyzed using a runs test and simple regression techniques on observations divided into four visibil ity range classes (0-3 km, 4-6 km, 7-9 km, and 10+ km) , with observa tions taken at both 6:00 a.m. and 12:00 noon. The analysis shows little evidence for consistent long-term.trends in visibility. The effects of various 'weather conditions on visibility (fog, mist, high relative humidity, rain, and high windspeed) are investigated using simple and multiple regression techniques and are shown to exert a strong control ling influence. Human activity is shown to be associated with visibil ity, in that conditions are significantly better on the weekend (Friday) than during the working days, but simple and multiple regressions be tween a number of measures of human activity and visibility fail to identify specific activities that contribute to a reduction of visibility. CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION One of the most familiar and undesirable aspects of air pollu tion is its profound effect on visibility. Since the industrial revo lution began in Europe, industrial societies have come to expect and even accept reduced visibility as an unavoidable'adjunct to development and prosperity. Reduced visibility is experienced by most industrial communities. In some locations, such as Los Angeles, where the d eter ioration is well-documented and is a popular topic for discussion, the effects may influence a very large region. One investigator (Leighton, 1973, p. 234) estimates that "97% of the population of California lives in areas where visibility has deteriorated." Dense concentrations of people with high energy requirements, industrial activities, and fre quent use of vehicles have a strong tendency to produce a heavy load on the atmosphere and its ability to disperse pollutants. Visibility changes are being given much attention and have been studied for several decades in highly industrialized western societies, but the awareness, measurement, and understanding of these changes in > rapidly developing societies elsewhere are deficient. Most newly de veloped and developing industrialized societies are intent on improving living standards, education, and health for their people. These basic goals are given much greater attention than problems, such as decreasing visibility, that accompany industrial development. 2 In this study, I intend to document changing visibility condi tions in Kuwait for the years 1963 through 1978 and to relate these to types and probable sources of pollution. In doing this it is necessary to adapt appropriate measures of visibility and extract the data from the extensive volume of observational data collected at Kuwait Inter national Airport from 1963 to 1978. The effects of variable weather conditions on visibility must also be ascertained so that their influ ence can be controlled and used to simplify the pattern of long range trends. Direct monitoring of air pollution in Kuwait is recent. There are