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The Economist May 28Th 2016 5 INSIDE: A 14-PAGE SPECIAL REPORT ON MIGRATION Who’s in charge in Iran? Opioids in a world of pain America’s tangled voting laws Big-headed babies, big-brained parents MAY 28TH–JUNE 3RD 2016 Life in the fast lane: CEOs and F1 A nuclear nightmare Kim Jong Un’s growing arsenal Contents The Economist May 28th 2016 5 8 The world this week Asia 33 America and Vietnam Leaders Pull the other one 11 North Korea’s weapons 34 Afghanistan’s Taliban A nuclear nightmare Aiming for the head 12 Austria’s election 35 India’s deep south Disaster averted—for now Southern comfort 12 Online platforms Nostrums for rostrums China 13 American elections 36 Retirement America’s Voting wrongs China’s Florida Voting rules electoral laws are a recipe for 14 Opioids 37 Social media chaos in November: leader, The ecstasy and the agony The dark art of astroturfing page13. Today’s voting-rights On the cover 38 Banyan disputes are less clear-cut It is past time for the world Letters Disturbing the China dream than those of the civil-rights to get serious about North era, but they are inflammatory 16 On genomics, migrants, Korea’s nuclear ambitions: all the same, page 23. China, London, cronies, Middle East and Africa leader, page11. Kim Jong Un Compulsory voting is hardest country living is on the home straight to 39 Iranian politics to enact in the places where it making his country a serious Who’s in charge? would make most difference: nuclear power. Nobody knows Briefing 40 Fighting Islamic State Free exchange, page 68 how to stop him, pages19-22 19 Nuclear North Korea Fallujah, again By the rockets’ red glare 41 Israeli politics He’s back! The Economist online United States 41 Tanzania Daily analysis and opinion to Government by gesture supplement the print edition, plus 23 Voting rights The fire next time 42 The Torah in Abuja audio and video, and a daily chart Who wants to be a Jew? Economist.com 26 The Libertarian Party Guns, weed and relevance E-mail: newsletters and mobile edition 26 The campaigns Special report: Migration Economist.com/email Heard on the trail Looking for a home After page 42 Print edition: available online by 27 Hillary Clinton’s e-mails 7pm London time each Thursday An indictment of sorts Europe’s far right Extremist Economist.com/print 27 Disability lawsuits Europe parties are no longer a fringe: Audio edition: available online Frequent filers 43 Visa liberalisation leader, page12. The far right to download each Friday 28 Soccer flourishes Europe’s deal with Turkey lost in Austria, but it is a Economist.com/audioedition Kick turn growing force in Europe, page 44 Crimea’s Tatars 45. The migrant crisis in 29 Lexington 1944 all over again Europe last year was only one Oh, Oklahoma 45 Greece gets its bail-out part of a worldwide problem. Temporary relief The rich world must get better The Americas 45 Austria’s vote at managing refugees. See our special report after page 42 Volume 419Number 8991 30 Mexico’s elections Extremism loses, barely A test for the ruling party 46 German nationality Published since September1843 to take part in "a severe contest between 31 Bello Name, date of birth, intelligence, which presses forward, and Chávez’s little blue book migration background an unworthy, timid ignorance obstructing our progress." 32 Britain and Argentina 48 Charlemagne Editorial offices in London and also: Ending estrangement Le sexisme Atlanta, Beijing, Berlin, Brussels, Cairo, Chicago, Lima, Mexico City, Moscow, Mumbai, Nairobi, 32 Brazilian culture New Delhi, New York, Paris, San Francisco, A history of jeitinho São Paulo, Seoul, Shanghai, Singapore, Tokyo, Washington DC Who’s in charge in Iran? The supreme leader is clipping the wings of the reformist president, page 39 1 Contents continues overleaf 6 Contents The Economist May 28th 2016 Britain Science and technology 49 Rural Britain 69 Human evolution Countryside blues Of bairns and brains 50 Brexit brief 70 Global warming Yes, we have no straight In the red bananas 71 Drone countermeasures 50 Teenage pregnancy Hacked off Not in the family way 71 Product design 51 Bagehot The replicator The continental imperative 72 Additive manufacturing Opioids Americans take too Alloy angels Babies and intelligence many painkillers. Most other Children are born helpless, International people don’t get enough: which might explain why leader, page14. The war on 53 Opioids Books and arts humans are so clever, page 69 drugs is depriving people in The problem of pain 73 Dawn of the oil industry poor countries of pain relief, Guts, greed and gushers page 53 Business 74 Genetics Subscription service For our latest subscription offers, visit 57 Regulating tech firms Mix and match Economist.com/offers Taming the beasts 74 Jacobean history For subscription service, please contact by telephone, fax, web or mail at the details 58 Alibaba Forgotten hero provided below: Under scrutiny 75 Mali North America Paper trail The Economist Subscription Center 59 Oil-price reporting P.O. Box 46978, St. Louis, MO 63146-6978 Striking it rich 75 The invention of dating Telephone: +1 800 456 6086 Facsimile: +1 866 856 8075 60 American media Love’s labour E-mail: [email protected] Sumner’s lease 76 Opera Latin America & Mexico Fiery angel The Economist Subscription Center 60 Alcohol in China P.O. Box 46979, St. Louis, MO 63146-6979 Reviving the spirits Telephone: +1 636 449 5702 Facsimile: +1 636 449 5703 61 The future of carmakers 80 Economic and financial E-mail: [email protected] Regulating tech firms The Upward mobility indicators Subscription for 1 year (51 issues) growing power of online 62 Schumpeter Statistics on 42 economies, United States US $158.25 (plus tax) platforms is worrisome. But Life in the fast lane plus a closer look at GDP Canada CA $158.25 (plus tax) regulators should tread growth in Africa Latin America US $289 (plus tax) carefully: leader, page12. Finance and economics European governments are Obituary Principal commercial offices: not alone in wondering how to 63 Banks and Brexit sw1a 1hg 82 Fritz Stern 25 St James’s Street, London deal with digital giants, page 57 Wait and hope Tel: +44 20 7830 7000 Another German 64 Buttonwood Rue de l’Athénée 32 Ignorant investors 1206 Geneva, Switzerland Tel: +4122 566 2470 65 Quicken Loans 750 3rd Avenue, 5th Floor, New York, NY 10017 A new foundation Tel: +1212 5410500 65 Japan’s pension fund 1301Cityplaza Four, That sinking feeling 12 Taikoo Wan Road, Taikoo Shing, Hong Kong Tel: +852 2585 3888 66 Payday loans Regulators take interest Other commercial offices: Chicago, Dubai, Frankfurt, Los Angeles, 67 Cyber-attacks on banks Paris, San Francisco and Singapore Heist finance 68 Free exchange Compulsory voting Life in the fast lane Business people are racing to learn from Formula One drivers: Schumpeter, page 62 PEFC certified This copy of The Economist is printed on paper sourced from sustainably managed forests certified to PEFC PEFC/29-31-58 www.pefc.org © 2016 The Economist Newspaper Limited. All rights reserved. Neither this publication nor any part of it may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without the prior permission of The Economist Newspaper Limited. The Economist (ISSN 0013-0613) is published every week, except for a year-end double issue, by The Economist Newspaper Limited, 750 3rd Avenue, 5th Floor, New York, N Y 10017. The Economist is a registered trademark of The Economist Newspaper Limited. Periodicals postage paid at New York, NY and additional mailing offices. Postmaster: Send address changes to The Economist, P.O. Box 46978, St. Louis , MO. 63146-6978, USA. Canada Post publications mail (Canadian distribution) sales agreement no. 40012331. Return undeliverable Canadian addresses to The Economist, PO Box 7258 STN A, Toronto, ON M5W 1X9. GST R123236267. Printed by Quad/Graphics, Saratoga Springs, NY 12866 8 The world this week The Economist May 28th 2016 New government, old problems Bank, has repeatedly derided this would remove a “lingering Politics Romero Jucá, Brazil’s planning efforts to secure peace with the vestige ofthe cold war”. China, minister, stepped aside after Palestinians. however, worries that tapes were leaked in which he America’s efforts to improve its appeared to suggest that the A series ofbombings hit two relationship with Vietnam is impeachment ofthe president, government strongholds on aimed at keeping it in check. Dilma Rousseff, would blunt Syria’s coast, killing as many an investigation into the multi- as100 people. billion-dollar scandal centred on Petrobras, the state-con- The government and opposi- trolled oil company. MrJucá, tion leaders in Burundi started one ofthe targets ofthe in- talks to resolve a crisis in vestigation, says his remarks which more than 1,000 people were misinterpreted. He was are thought to have been only recently appointed by the killed. But the government interim president, Michel excluded key opposition fig- Alexander Van derBellen, a Temer. The new government ures from the talks, reducing formerhead ofthe Green proposed several reform mea- the chances ofa successful party, won Austria’s presi- sures, including a cap on the outcome. dential election by just 31,000 growth ofpublic spending. Tsai Ing-wen was sworn in as votes, defeating Norbert Hofer The monetary-policy commit- Taiwan’s new president. She is ofthe Freedom Party. Had he Cuba’s Communist govern- tee ofNigeria’s central bank the island’s first female leader, won this (largely ceremonial) ment said it would legalise voted to allow the currency, and the second from the post, Mr Hofer would have small and medium-sized the naira, to float against the Democratic Progressive Party, been the first far-right head of enterprises.
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