The Weakest Link: the Consistent Refusal to Consider Far-Removed Indirect Effects of the Expansion of Lng Terminals
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Risk and Return Considerations in the Weakest Link 1. Introduction
Risk and Return Considerations in The Weakest Link B. Ross Barmish and Nigel Boston Electrical and Computer Engineering Department University of Wisconsin Madison, WI 53706 Abstract The television game show, The Weakest Link, involves contestants making a sequence of decisions over time. Given the rules of the game and the process for accrual of payoffs over time, a number of authors have recognized that this show serves as a laboratory for assessment of human decision-making. To this end, by comparing theoretically derived gaming strategies with those actually used by the contestants, conclusions are drawn regarding the extent to which players’ decisions are rational and consistent with the pursuit of optimality. The first main objective of this paper is to provide arguments that the models used in the literature to date may result in an erroneous impression of the extent to which contestants’ decisions deviate from the optimum. More specifically, we first point out that previous authors, while concentrating on maximization of the expected value of the return, totally neglect the risk component; i.e., the expected return is considered while its variance is not. To this end, we expand the analysis of previous authors to include both risk and return and a number of other factors: mixing of strategies and so- called end effects due to fixed round length. It is seen that many strategies, discounted by previous authors as being sub-optimal in terms of maximization of expected return, may in fact be consistent with rational decision-making. That is, such strategies satisfy a certain “efficiency” requirement in the risk-return plane. -
Weakest Link
Weakest Link The use of a weak element that will fail in order to protect other elements in the system from damage. It is said that a chain is only as strong as its weakest link. This suggests that the weakest link in a chain is also the least valuable and most expendable link—a liability to the system that should be reinforced, replaced, or removed. However, the weakest element in a system can be used to protect other more important elements, essentially making the weakest link one of the most important elements in the system. For example, electrical circuits are protected by fuses, which are designed to fail so that a power surge doesn’t damage the circuit. The fuse is the weakest link in the system. As such, the fuse is also the most valuable link in the system. The weakest link in a system can function in one of two ways: it can fail and passively minimize damage, or it can fail and activate additional systems that actively minimize damage. An example of a passive design is the use of fuses in electrical circuits as described above. An example of an active design is the use of automatic sprinklers in a building. Sprinkler systems are typically activated by components that fail (e.g., liquid in a glass cell that expands to break the glass when heated), which then activate the release of the water. Applying the weakest link principle involves several steps: identify a failure condition; identify or define the weakest link in the system for that failure condition; further weaken the weakest link and strengthen the other links as necessary to address the failure condition; and ensure that the weakest link will only fail under the appropriate, predefined failure conditions. -
Zastosowanie Dwuwymiarowego Rozkładu Prawdopodobieństwa Inicjacji Pęknięć W Obliczeniach Trwałości Zmęczeniowej
acta mechanica et automatica, vol.2 no.4 (2008) ZASTOSOWANIE DWUWYMIAROWEGO ROZKŁADU PRAWDOPODOBIEŃSTWA INICJACJI PĘKNIĘĆ W OBLICZENIACH TRWAŁOŚCI ZMĘCZENIOWEJ Aleksander KAROLCZUK*, Jacek SŁOWIK** * Katedra Mechaniki i Podstaw Konstrukcji Maszyn, Wydział Mechaniczny, Politechnika Opolska, ul. Mikołajczyka 5, 45-271 Opole ** Instytut Lotnictwa, Aleja Krakowska 110/114, 02-256 Warszawa [email protected], [email protected] Streszczenie: W pracy przedstawiono metodę obliczania trwałości zmęczeniowej elementów o niejednorodnych rozkładach naprężeń zmiennych bazującą na dwuwymiarowym rozkładzie prawdopodobieństwa zniszczenia elementu. Zaproponowany dwuwymiarowy rozkład inicjacji pęknięcia zmęczeniowego wykorzystuje standardowe charakterystyki zmęczeniowe i pozwala na obliczenia trwałości zmęczeniowej dla dowolnego poziomu prawdopodobieństwa. Metoda została przeana- lizowana przy wykorzystaniu badań zmęczeniowy próbek wykonanych z trzech stali konstrukcyjnych o różnej geometrii. 1. WPROWADZENIE 2. OPIS METODY Złożone kształty elementów maszyn i konstrukcji oraz Koncepcja najsłabszego ogniwa, która leży u podstaw często sposób obciążenia, generuje powstawanie obszarów proponowanej metody oraz teorii Weibulla została sformu- w materiale o niejednorodnym stopniu uszkodzenia zmę- łowana już w latach dwudziestych XX wieku. Podstawowe czeniowego. Badania doświadczalne wykazują, że trwało- założenia koncepcji najsłabszego ogniwa to: (i) dany ści takich elementów wyznaczone na podstawie maksymal- element konstrukcyjny zawiera statystycznie rozmieszczo- -
Games We Play on Singapore Telly
View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by Research Online Asia Pacific Media ducatE or Issue 14 Article 3 12-2003 Games we play on Singapore telly T. Lim Queensland University of Technology Follow this and additional works at: https://ro.uow.edu.au/apme Recommended Citation Lim, T., Games we play on Singapore telly, Asia Pacific Media ducatE or, 14, 2003, 18-35. Available at:https://ro.uow.edu.au/apme/vol1/iss14/3 Research Online is the open access institutional repository for the University of Wollongong. For further information contact the UOW Library: [email protected] TANIA LIM: Games we play ... Games We Play On Singapore Telly In the mid 1990s, Singapore opened its doors to the international broadcasting community. The past four years in particular have seen steady policy-driven liberalisation of its print, television and multimedia industries. This has jumpstarted the local TV production industry and stimulated terrestrial network competition. While the two terrestrial TV networks compete voraciously for a small, fragmented, multilingual and increasingly sophisticated domestic TV audience, the localisation of international TV game show formats like Millionaire and The Weakest Link appear as attractive solutions to consolidate and build the audience base. TV gameshow formats have become one of the ‘formatting’ strategies that this industry employs to develop ‘local knowledge’ and ‘position’ themselves in the battle for audience ratings and eyeballs. This article will present findings and offer new insight into the impact of TV formats on the local television production, programming and audiences in Singapore. -
Curriculum Vitae
CURRICULUM VITAE Hanna Vehkam¨aki September 28, 2020 https://publons.com/researcher/A-8262-2008 https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5018-1255 https://www.mv.helsinki.fi/home/hvehkama 1 Full name Hanna Tuula Katariina Vehkam¨aki (previously Arstila) 2 Date and place of birth 27th December 1969, Helsinki, Finland 3 Current Position professor in computational aerosol physics Institute for Atmospheric and Earth System Research/Physics, Faculty of Science, Uni- versity of Helsinki, 1.12.2009- 4 Career breaks Maternity leave 5.5.-10.12. 2007 (7 months) Maternity leave 6.5.-9.12. 2005 (7 months) 5 Education and Training Herttoniemen yhteiskoulu, Helsinki, Finland: • 31.5. 1988 Matriculation examination University of Helsinki, Finland: • 16.11.2000 Docent in theoretical physics • 16.1.1998 PhD • 18.3.1994 MSc 1 CV Hanna Vehkam¨aki 2 6 Previous professional appointments Academy of Finland • Academy Research Fellow 1.8.2003-30.9.2009 University College London, United Kingdom: • Research Fellow 1.1.1998-31.12.1999 University of Helsinki(UH), Department of Physics: • University researcher 1.10.-30.11. 2009 • Research scientist 1.1. 2003- 31.7.2003 • Academy of Finland postdoctoral researcher 1.1. 2001- 31.12.2002 • Senior assistant (substitute) 1.9.2000-31.12 2000 • Assistant, 1.1.1998-31.12.2000 (on leave of absence 1998-1999, 9/2000-12/2000) • Assistant(substitute) 1997 (6 months) • Research scientist 1997 (6 months) • Planning officer 1994 (3 months), 1995 (7 months) • Research assistant 1992 (3 months), 1993 (7 months) • Fee-paid teacher 1990 (2 months) UH, Department of Theoretical Physics: • Assistant (substitute) 1991 (5 months), 1992 (7 months) • Fee-paid teacher 1991 (3 months), 1992 (3 months) Research Institute for Theoretical Physics: • Junior Fellow 1995 (5 months), 1996 (12 months) 7 Teaching experience Supervisor/examiner of Bachelor theses: 13. -
Natural Gas Imports and Exports Second Quarter Report 2019
DOE/FE- 0615 Natural Gas Imports and Exports Second Quarter Report 2019 Prepared by: U.S. Department of Energy Office of Regulation, Analysis, and Engagement Division of Natural Gas Regulation Map shows the Exports of Domestically-Produced LNG Delievered by Vessel. (Cumulative starting from February 2016 through June 2019.) NATURAL GAS IMPORTS AND EXPORTS SECOND QUARTER REPORT 2019 Division of Natural Gas Regulation Office of Regulation, Analysis, and Engagement Office of Oil & Natural Gas Office of Fossil Energy U.S. Department of Energy 202-586-7991 [email protected] Table of Contents Summary ......................................................................................... 1 1 Quarterly Summary ...................................................................... 3 Maps of Imports & Exports by Point of Entry/Exit ........................................ 5 Graphical Summaries & Comparisons ............................................................ 11 Tabular Summaries & Comparisons ............................................................... 23 1a Quarter in Review ........................................................................................................................ 25 1b All Import/Export Activities YTD 2019 vs. YTD 2018 ........................................................... 26 1c All Import/Export Activities 1st Quarter 2019 vs. 4th Quarter 2018 ...................................... 27 1d All Import/Export Activities 1st Quarter 2019 vs. 1st Quarter 2018 ..................................... -
January 26, 2017 Hon. Kimberly D. Bose Secretary Federal
Joshua A. Konecni Associate Counsel Rockland Electric Company 4 Irving Place, Room 1815-S, New York, NY 10003 Tel.: 212-460-3593 Email: [email protected] January 26, 2017 Hon. Kimberly D. Bose Secretary Federal Energy Regulatory Commission 888 First Street, N.E. Washington, D.C. 20426 Re: Rockland Electric Company, Docket No. ER17-___856-000 Dear Ms. Bose: Pursuant to Sections 205 and 219 of the Federal Power Act,1 Part 35 of the Commission’s Regulations,2 and Order No. 679,3 Rockland Electric Company (“RECO”) respectfully requests that the Commission approve: (1) the attached Tariff sheets updating RECO’s stated annual transmission revenue requirement, transmission rates, and rate for Schedule 1A services;4 (2) a new RECO base return on equity (“ROE”) of 10.2 percent; and (3) a 50 basis point ROE adder for RECO’s continued participation in PJM Interconnection L.L.C. (“PJM”), a Regional Transmission Organization (“RTO”) (“RTO Participation Incentive”).5 RECO is thus seeking a new total ROE of 10.7 percent, which is less than its current ROE of 11.11 percent. In support of this filing, RECO submits the testimony and associated exhibits of: (1) Francis Peverly, Vice President - Operations, Orange and Rockland Utilities, Inc. (“O&R”); (2) the accounting panel of John de la Bastide, Jack Deem, and Wenqi Wang, (“Accounting Panel”); and (3) Adrian McKenzie. RECO also submits the cost of service 1 16 U.S.C. §§ 824d and 824s (2012). 2 18 C.F.R. §35.13 (2016). 3 Promoting Transmission Investment through Pricing Reform, Order No. -
Is Human the Weakest Link in Information Security?
Jaakko Jalkanen IS HUMAN THE WEAKEST LINK IN INFORMATION SECURITY? SYSTEMATIC LITERATURE REVIEW UNIVERSITY OF JYVÄSKYLÄ FACULTY OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY 2019 TIIVISTELMÄ Jalkanen, Jaakko Is Human The Weakest Link In Information Security: A Systematic Literature Review Jyväskylä: Jyväskylän yliopisto, 2019, 61 s. Tietojärjestelmätiede, pro gradu -tutkielma Ohjaaja: Siponen, Mikko Tämä pro gradu -tutkielma tutkii ihmisen roolia tietoturvassa sekä esittää tunnetuimpia tietoturvaheikkouksia. Tutkielma on toteutettu systemaattisen kirjallisuuskatsauksen keinoin ja siinä etsitään vastausta tutkimuskysymykseen ”onko ihminen tietoturvan heikoin lenkki”. Tutkielma koostuu 31 pääartikkelin, sekä niiden lähteiden analyysistä, joiden pohjalta on tutkittu väitettä tai oletusta, jonka mukaan ”ihminen on tietoturvan heikoin lenkki”. Tutkimuksen johtopäätöksissä todetaan, että kyseistä väitettä, sekä sen eri versioita on käytetty hyvin laajamittaisesti tietoturvakirjallisuudessa, vaikka tieteellistä näyttöä ihmisen roolista heikoimpana lenkkinä ei tutkimuksessa löydetty tai edes pyritty löytämään. Tämän tiedon avulla organisaatiot pystyvät yhä paremmin näkemään, missä organisaatioiden ”heikoin lenkki” mahdollisesti sijaitsee, sekä myös suhtautumaan tietoturvakirjallisuuden yleistyksiin pienellä varauksella. Tässä tutkielmassa esitellään myös esimerkki tietomurtoja, sekä analysoidaan niiden kompleksisuutta. Avainsanat: tietoturva, ihminen tietoturvakontekstissa, heikoin lenkki, tietotur- vauhka, systemaattinen kirjallisuuskatsaus ABSTRACT Jalkanen, Jaakko -
The Changing Energy Landscape and Its Impact on Economic Development in America
The Changing Energy Landscape and its impact on economic development in America The Changing Energy Landscape And its Impact on Economic Development in America International Economic Development Council IEDC is the world’s largest membership organization serving the economic development profession, with more than 5,000 members and a network of more than 25,000 economic development professionals and allies. From public to private, rural to urban, and local to international, our members represent the entire range of economic development experience. Through a range of services including conferences, training courses, webinars, publications, research and technical assistance efforts, we strive to provide cutting-edge knowledge to the economic development community and its stakeholders. For more information about IEDC, visit www.iedconline.org. Craig J. Richards, CEcD, FM President & CEO Tampa Hillsborough Economic Development Corporation, FL 2018 Chairman of the Board, IEDC Michael Langley, FM, HLM President & CEO Greater Minneapolis Saint Paul Regional Economic Development Partnership, MN 2017 Chairman of the Board, IEDC Jeffrey A. Finkle, CEcD President & CEO International Economic Development Council © Copyright 2018 International Economic Development Council 2 | E D R P – The Changing Energy Landscape Economic Development Research Partners The EDRP Program is the “think tank” component of IEDC, designed to help economic development professionals weather the challenges and grab opportunities from economic changes affecting our communities. EDRP members are leaders in the field of economic development, working through this program to improve the knowledge and practice of the profession. IEDC would like to thank the Economic Development Research Partners program for providing the impetus and resources for this project. -
GIIGNL Annual Report Profile
The LNG industry GIIGNL Annual Report Profile Acknowledgements Profile We wish to thank all member companies for their contribution to the report and the GIIGNL is a non-profit organisation whose objective following international experts for their is to promote the development of activities related to comments and suggestions: LNG: purchasing, importing, processing, transportation, • Cybele Henriquez – Cheniere Energy handling, regasification and its various uses. • Najla Jamoussi – Cheniere Energy • Callum Bennett – Clarksons The Group constitutes a forum for exchange of • Laurent Hamou – Elengy information and experience among its 88 members in • Jacques Rottenberg – Elengy order to enhance the safety, reliability, efficiency and • María Ángeles de Vicente – Enagás sustainability of LNG import activities and in particular • Paul-Emmanuel Decroës – Engie the operation of LNG import terminals. • Oliver Simpson – Excelerate Energy • Andy Flower – Flower LNG • Magnus Koren – Höegh LNG • Mariana Ortiz – Naturgy Energy Group • Birthe van Vliet – Shell • Mika Iseki – Tokyo Gas • Yohei Hukins – Tokyo Gas • Donna DeWick – Total • Emmanuelle Viton – Total • Xinyi Zhang – Total © GIIGNL - International Group of Liquefied Natural Gas Importers All data and maps provided in this publication are for information purposes and shall be treated as indicative only. Under no circumstances shall they be regarded as data or maps intended for commercial use. Reproduction of the contents of this publication in any manner whatsoever is prohibited without prior -
Dominion Energy Kewaunee, Inc. Snm-2501 Dominion Nuclear Connecticut, Inc
0V- Dominion Resources Services, Inc. 5000 Dominion Boulevard, Glen Allen, VA 23060 £# Dominion® April 27, 2006 U. S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Se rial No.: 06-279 Attention: Document Control Desk NLLOS/MB Washington, DC 20555-0001 Dcocket Nos.: 50-280/281 50-338/339 50-245/3361423 50-305 72-16 72-2 Lic,ense Nos.: DPR-32/37 NPF-4/7 DPR-21/65 NPF-49 DPR-43 SNM-2507 DOMINION ENERGY KEWAUNEE, INC. SNM-2501 DOMINION NUCLEAR CONNECTICUT, INC. VIRGINIA ELECTRIC AND POWER COMPANY KEWAUNEE POWER STATION MILLSTONE POWER STATION UNITS 1. 2 & 3 NORTH ANNA POWER STATION UNITS 1 & 2 AND ISFSI SURRY POWER STATION UNITS 1 & 2 AND ISFSI SUBMISSION OF ANNUAL FINANCIAL REPORT Pursuant to 10 CFR 50.71 (b) and 10 CFR 72.80(b), attached are copies of the Annual Report to Securities and Exchange Commission on Form 10K for 2005 for Dominion Resources, Inc. and Virginia Electric and Power Company. If there are any questions, please contact Mr. Dave Sommers at (804) 273-2823. Very truly yours, Eugene S. Grecheck Vice President - Nuclear Support Services Attachments: Form 1Ok for 2005 for Dominion Resources, Inc. Form 1Ok for 2005 for Virginia Electric and Power Company Commitments made by this letter: None (KAcb)4 - - SN 06-279 2005 Annual Financial Report cc: U. S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Region I .475 Allendale Road King of Prussia, PA 19406-1415 U. S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Region II Sam Nunn Atlanta Federal Center '1 Forsyth St., SW, Suite 23 T85 Atlanta, GA 30303-8931 U. S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Region IlIl 2443 Warrenville Road Suite 210 Lisle, IL 60532-4352 ,Mr. -
Weakest Link Tabletop Game Instructions
Ages 8 & up Weakest Link™ & © BBC 2000. Licensed by BBC Worldwide Ltd. TM & © 2001 National Broadcasting Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Weakest Link - music written by Paul Farrer Published by Music Factor Ltd Licensed courtesy of BBC Worldwide Ltd (P) 2000 BBC A division of Hasbro, Inc. Where Technology Comes to Play! ™ ®, TM, & © 2001 Tiger Electronics All rights reserved. 980 Woodlands Parkway, Vernon Hills, IL 60061, USA www.tigertoys.com Instructions 200105080IWTI-01 Item No. 80749 PRINTED IN CHINA Welcome to the Weakest Link! All eight players must work together to build the team’s bank balance. Seven players will leave the game with nothing. Only one will win the prize. Who is allergic to intelligence? Who has outstayed their welcome? It’s up to you to decide, as round by round you lose the player voted the Weakest Link! Remember, you need to be ruthless to be rich! This box includes: 1 electronic table top unit 65 double-sided question cards 10 double-sided head-to-head cards 1 ABOUT THE GAME PLAYER BUTTONS PLAYER BUTTONS – used to identify and choose players during play and for voting CARD CODE WINDOW – used to display the code of the question card in the unit CARD DOOR– used to insert and remove cards 4 5 QUESTION WINDOW – used to display the question in play 3 6 ANSWER BUTTONS – used to select answers PASS – used in place of an answer button 7 2 BANK – used to “bank” money won by answering questions correctly START – used to confirm number of players and to resume play after Anne asks a 8 question in the voting round or after pausing game 1 SOUND – used to toggle through three volume levels RESET – used to reset the game unit LCD CARD CODE PAUSE – used to pause game play WINDOW ON/OFF – used to turn the game on and off LCD – used to display game information ON/OFF CARD DOOR PAUSE RESET QUESTION C WINDOW SOUND B A START ANSWER BUTTONS START S PAS BANK BANK PASS 2 3 ABOUT THE LCD During the HEAD-TO-HEAD round The LCD will display the information you need during the game.