VORTEX a Stochastic Simulation of the Extinction Process
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Version 9.21 VORTEX A Stochastic Simulation of the Extinction Process User’s Manual Manual Written by: Philip S. Miller, Conservation Breeding Specialist Group (SSC/IUCN) Robert C. Lacy, Chicago Zoological Society Software Written by: Robert C. Lacy, Max Borbat, and JP Pollak A contribution of the IUCN/SSC Conservation Breeding Specialist Group in collaboration with the Chicago Zoological Society. VORTEX is provided at no cost, in order to further conservation and science. It is distributed without warranty of its suitability for any particular use, and neither the program or this manual is guaranteed to be free of errors, bugs, or potentially misleading information. It is the responsibility of the user to ensure that the software is appropriate for the uses to which it is put. VORTEX is owned and copyrighted by the Chicago Zoological Society. The software is not copy-protected. In addition to making back-up copies, individuals, not-for-profit organizations, and governmental agencies are hereby given licenses for making unlimited copies of VORTEX for the purpose of furthering conservation, teaching, and research. Distribution of VORTEX is restricted to: • distribution by the Chicago Zoological Society; • distribution by the IUCN/SSC Conservation Breeding Specialist Group; • downloading of the program from the Internet (http://www.vortex9.org/vortex.html) by individuals, not- for-profit organizations, and governmental agencies for their own research and conservation applications; • redistribution without charge of the unmodified executable program for the purposes described above. Unauthorized redistribution of VORTEX, in whole or in part by any for-profit organization or for any profit-making purposes is expressly forbidden. Cover Artwork: Linda Escher, Escher Illustrations. Citation of this manual: Miller, P.S., and R.C. Lacy. 2003. VORTEX: A Stochastic Simulation of the Extinction Process. Version 9.21 User’s Manual. Apple Valley, MN: Conservation Breeding Specialist Group (SSC/IUCN). Citation of the software program: Lacy, R.C., M. Borbat, and J.P. Pollak. 2003. VORTEX: A Stochastic Simulation of the Extinction Process.Version 9. Brookfield, IL: Chicago Zoological Society. Additional printed copies of VORTEX User’s Manual and installation CDs can be ordered through the IUCN/SSC Conservation Breeding Specialist Group, 12101 Johnny Cake Ridge Road, Apple Valley, MN, 55124, USA. Send checks for US $75.00 (for printing and shipping costs) payable to CBSG; checks must be drawn on a US bank. Funds may be wired to First Bank NA ABA No. 091000022, for credit to CBSG Account No. 1100 1210 1736. Lower costs for bulk orders may be arranged. 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Andrews Folsom Children's Zoo Colchester Zoo Alameda Park Zoo Jardin aux Oiseaux Copenhagen Zoo Arizona-Sonora Desert Museum Jean P. LeDanff Denver Zoological Gardens Banham Zoo & Sanctuary Kew Royal Botanic Gardens Detroit Zoological Park BioSolutions Division of SAIC Lisbon Zoo Durrell Wildlife Conservation Trust Cotswold Wildlife Park Miller Park Zoo Everland Zoo Dickerson Park Zoo National Birds of Prey Centre Federation of Zoological Gardens of Dutch Federation of Zoological Gardens Nigel Hewston Great Britain & Ireland Fota Wildlife Park Steven J. Olson Fort Wayne Zoological Society Givskud Zoo Palm Beach Zoo at Dreher Park Fort Worth Zoo Granby Zoo Parc Zoologique de Thoiry Fossil Rim Wildlife Center Knoxville Zoo Prudence P. Perry Gladys Porter Zoo Knuthenborg Park Safari Parc de Peaugres Great Plains Zoo Little Rock Zoo Teruko Shimizu Greater Los Angeles Zoo Association National Aviary in Pittsburgh Steinhart Aquarium Japanese Association of Zoological National Zoological Gardens of Pretoria Tautphaus Park Zoo Parks & Aquariums –JAZGA Odense Zoo Touro Parc-France Robert Lacy Oregon Zoo Leisure & Cultural Services Department Ouwehands Dierenpark of Hong Kong Supporters ($15-$49) Oglebay's Good Children's Zoo Judy Steenberg Thank You! August 2003 VORTEX Version 9 User’s Manual Contents Chapter 1. Introduction ..................................................................1 What’s New in VORTEX Version 9?........................................................... 1 How to Use This Manual......................................................................... 2 A Note about Regional Windows Settings ............................................. 3 VORTEX Technical Support....................................................................... 3 Chapter 2. Getting Started with Vortex ..........................................5 System Requirements ........................................................................... 5 Installation .................................................................................. 5 Running VORTEX .................................................................................. 6 Size Limitations on VORTEX Analyses ...................................................... 6 Getting Around in VORTEX ....................................................................... 8 A Quick Tour of VORTEX ........................................................................... 9 Chapter 3. Creating a Project: Data Input....................................21 Creating a Project ................................................................................ 21 Documenting Your Input with Notes ................................................... 25 Creating a Scenario.............................................................................. 26 Scenario Settings ....................................................................................... 26 Species Description ....................................................................................... 28 Contents i VORTEX Version 9 User’s Manual Labels and State Variables............................................................................... 38 Dispersal Rates ....................................................................................... 41 Reproductive System ....................................................................................... 43 Reproductive Rates ....................................................................................... 48 Mortality ....................................................................................... 52 Catastrophes ....................................................................................... 53 Mate Monopolization ....................................................................................... 56 Initial Population Size...................................................................................... 57 Carrying Capacity ....................................................................................... 58 Harvest ....................................................................................... 61 Supplementation ....................................................................................... 62 Saving your Input and Running the Simulation................................... 64 Adding and Deleting Scenarios ............................................................ 66 Adding Scenarios to Your Project .................................................................... 66 Deleting Scenarios from Your Project.............................................................. 68 Reordering scenarios