Electoral Violence in Nigeria’s Heartbeat 1 SEPTEMBER 2020 DISCLAIMER The data contained in this report is only up-to-date as at Tuesday, 15 September 2020. Some of it is subject to change during the natural course of events. SB Morgen cannot accept liability in respect of any errors or omissions that may follow such events that may invalidate data contained herein. Our researchers employed methods such as one-on-one interviews, desk research and polling to collate the available data. Our editors sifted through the data and prepared the report, using various proprietary tools to fact-check and copy edit the information gathered. Our publicly released reports are formatted for easy and quick reading, and may not necessarily contain all the data that SB Morgen gathered during a given survey. Complete datasets can be made available on request. Sbmintel.com
[email protected] @sbmintelligence Facebook.com/sbmintel SEPTEMBER 2020 I ELECTORAL VIOLENCE IN NIGERIA’S HEARTBEAT INTRODUCTION Elections in Nigeria, especially in the Fourth Republic, are nothing if not contentious. They are frequently under the spectre of potential violence. It is becoming increasingly clear that violence is proving to be an effective means of voter intimidation and is driving low turnout. The 2019 general elections recorded the lowest turnout in the last four election cycles – stretching back to 2003. The governorship elections that followed two weeks on from the presidential elections were even worse. 100 75 50 25 0 1960 1980 2000 2020 Turnout Reg voters’ mills Historical turnout in Nigerian elections. Sources: INEC, Nnanna Ude Violence has been legitimised as a tool for keeping turnout poor in opposition areas.