bioRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/061382; this version posted July 24, 2016. The copyright holder for this preprint (which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted bioRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under aCC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license. 1 Defining the risk of Zika and chikungunya virus transmission in human population 2 centers of the eastern United States 3 4 Carrie A. Manore1.2*, Richard S. Ostfeld3, Folashade B. Agusto4, Holly Gaff5,6, Shannon L. 5 LaDeau3 6 1Center for Computational Science 7 Tulane University 8 6823 St. Charles Avenue 9 New Orleans, LA 70118 USA 10 11 2Department of Mathematics 12 Tulane University 13 6823 St. Charles Avenue 14 New Orleans, LA 70118 USA 15 16 3Cary Institute of Ecosystem Studies 17 Box AB, 2801 Sharon Turnpike 18 Millbrook, NY 12545 USA 19 20 4Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology 21 University of Kansas 22 3002 Haworth Hall 23 1200 Sunnyside Avenue 24 Lawrence, Kansas 66045 25 26 5Department of Biological Sciences 27 Old Dominion University 28 202J MGB 29 Norfolk, VA 23529 30 31 6Honorary Associate Professor 32 Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science 33 University of KwaZulu-Natal 34 Private Bag X54001 35 Durban 4000, South Africa 36 37 *Corresponding author:
[email protected] 38 39 Keywords: Zika, chikungunya, Aedes albopictus, mathematical model, outbreak risk, United 40 States 41 Classification: Ecology 1 bioRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/061382; this version posted July 24, 2016. The copyright holder for this preprint (which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted bioRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.