Report of the Chief Electoral Officer on the September 3, 2015 By-Election in Calgary-Foothills and the March 22, 2016 By-Election in Calgary-Greenway

Report of the Chief Electoral Officer on the September 3, 2015 By-election in Calgary-Foothills and the March 22, 2016 By-election in Calgary-Greenway

elections.ab.ca

MayMay 201 20166

Mr.Mr. David David Shepherd, Shepherd, MLAMLA Chair,Chair, Standing Standing Committee Committee onon LegislativeLegislative Offices c/oc/o Jody Jody Rempel Rempel 33rdrd Floor, Floor, Federal Federal Building Building 98209820 – – 107 107 Street Street Edmonton,Edmonton, Alberta Alberta T5KT5K 1E1E77

DearDear Mr. Mr. Shepherd: Shepherd:

I Ihave have the the privilege privilege to to submitsubmit thethe ReportReport of thethe ChiefChief ElectoralElectoral Officer Officer concerning concerning thethe by by-election-election held held onon SeptemberSeptember 3, 2015 inin thethe electoralelectoral division division of of Calgary-Foothills Calgary-Foothills andand on on the the by by-election-election heldheld onon MarchMarch 22, 20162016 inin thethe electoralelectoral division division of of Calgary-Greenway Calgary-Greenway, , inin accordance accordance with with the the provisionsprovisions of section 4(5)5) ofof thethe ElectionElection Act Act. .

ShouldShould you you require require additionaladditional informationinformation on anyany aspectaspect ofof this this Report, Report, I Iwould would be be pleasedpleased to to respond. respond.

Sincerely,Sincerely,

Glen Resler GlenChief Resler Electoral Officer Chief Electoral Officer

TABLE OF CONTENTS

COMPARATIVE STATISTICS: BY-ELECTIONS 1979-2016 ...... ii

SECTION 1: CALGARY-FOOTHILLS BY-ELECTION ...... 1

INTRODUCTION ...... 3

THE BY-ELECTION ...... 4

POST ELECTION ...... 7

OVERVIEW OF RESULTS AND STATISTICS ...... 8

DEMOGRAPHICS ...... 9

SUMMARY OF RESULTS BY POLL ...... 13

FINANCIAL SUMMARY ...... 18

SECTION 2: CALGARY-GREENWAY BY-ELECTION ...... 19

INTRODUCTION ...... 21

THE BY-ELECTION ...... 22

POST ELECTION ...... 25

OVERVIEW OF RESULTS AND STATISTICS ...... 26

DEMOGRAPHICS ...... 27

SUMMARY OF RESULTS BY POLL ...... 31

FINANCIAL SUMMARY ...... 36

TABLE OF CONTENTS i COMPARATIVE STATISTICS: BY-ELECTIONS 1979-2016

Valid Rejected Declined Ballots Names Voter By-Election Date Electoral Division Ballots Ballots Ballots Cast on List Turnout March 22, 2016 Calgary-Greenway 8,270 60 2 8,332 28,709 29.0% September 3, 2015 Calgary-Foothills 12,737 26 2 12,765 33,407 38.2% October 27, 2014 Calgary-Elbow 12,670 23 2 12,695 34,163 37.2% Calgary-Foothills 11,842 14 19 11,875 32,743 36.3% Calgary-West 10,894 17 1 10,912 30,541 35.7% Edmonton-Whitemud 14,163 14 17 14,194 35,795 39.7% September 14, 2009 Calgary-Glenmore 10,991 29 1 11,021 28,164 39.1% June 12, 2007 Calgary-Elbow 10,538 13 3 10,554 30,538 34.6% Drumheller-Stettler 7,251 14 2 7,267 22,509 32.3% April 8, 2002 Wainwright 6,552 12 0 6,564 19,563 33.6% September 25, 2000 Red Deer-North 4,150 5 2 4,157 20,409 20.4% June 12, 2000 Edmonton-Highlands 8,237 27 1 8,265 19,714 41.9% June 17, 1998 Edmonton-McClung 9,406 10 0 9,416 23,094 40.8% May 21, 1996 Redwater 8,680 18 2 8,700 19,130 45.5% April 20, 1995 Calgary-McCall 5,720 17 2 5,739 20,514 28.0% October 26, 1992 Three Hills 10,337 34 - 10,371 17,736 58.5% July 21, 1992 Calgary-Buﬀalo 8,602 47 - 8,649 26,029 33.2% March 5, 1992 Little Bow 5,585 18 - 5,603 9,158 61.2% December 17, 1990 Edmonton-Strathcona 9,339 24 - 9,363 19,252 48.6% May 9, 1989 Stettler 7,789 15 - 7,804 11,618 67.2% November 23, 1987 Chinook 5,441 9 - 5,450 10,149 53.7% December 11, 1985 Edmonton-Whitemud 9,900 10 - 9,910 30,082 32.9% February 21, 1985 Spirit River-Fairview 6,839 11 - 6,850 10,545 65.0% February 17, 1982 Olds-Didsbury 9,523 10 - 9,533 13,798 69.1% November 21, 1979 Barrhead 6,342 29 - 6,371 11,409 55.8%

Note: Declined ballots were not tracked or reported until 1995 for by-elections. Declined ballots were ﬁrst reported in Alberta for the 1993 General Election.

ii COMPA TIVE STATISTICS SECTION ONE CALGARY-FOOTHILLS BY-ELECTION 1SEPTEMBER 3, 2015

SECTION 1: CALGARY-FOOTHILLS 1

INTRODUCTION

On May 25, 2015, a vacancy was created in the electoral division of Calgary-Foothills when Jim Prentice disclaimed his right to become a Member of the Legislative Assembly, pursuant to section 139(1) of the Election Act.

In accordance with sections 39 and 40 of the Election Act, by order of the Lieutenant Governor in Council, a Writ of Election was issued by the Chief Electoral Officer on August 6, 2015, and transmitted to the returning officer for Calgary-Foothills. The Writ of Election indicated an election date of Thursday, September 3, 2015, in the electoral division.

The electoral division boundaries described in the Electoral Divisions Act (in force as of March 26, 2012) were used during the by-election.

KEY DATES

Thursday, August 6, 2015 Writ of Election is issued by the Chief Electoral Officer and is transmitted to the returning officer for Calgary-Foothills Tuesday, August 11, 2015 Revisions period is commenced, allowing electors to have their names added to the List of Electors Friday, August 14, 2015 “Notice of Election” cards were mailed to every address in the electoral division Monday, August 17, 2015 Candidate Nominations closed (2:00 PM) Friday, August 21, 2015 “Where to Vote” cards were mailed to every registered elector and to each registered address in the electoral division Saturday, August 22, 2015 Revisions to the Lists of Electors closed (4:00 PM) Wednesday, August 26, 2015 First day of advance poll voting Thursday, August 27, 2015 Second day of advance poll voting Friday, August 28, 2015 Third day of advance poll voting Saturday, August 29, 2015 Final day of advance poll voting Thursday, September 3, 2015 Election Day Monday, September 14, 2015 Announcement of the official results Tuesday, November 3, 2015 Campaign period ends Monday, January 4, 2016 Candidate campaign period financial statement filing deadline Thursday, March 3, 2016 Party campaign period financial statement filing deadline

INTRODUCTION 3 APPOINTMENT OF RETURNING OFFICER

The Chief Electoral Officer appointed Charles Ian Tuckey as the returning officer for the Calgary-Foothills by-election, pursuant to section 9(1.1) of the Election Act (the Act). The appointment came into effect on August 5, 2015.

THE BY-ELECTION CANDIDATE REGISTRATION AND NOMINATION

In total, eight candidates registered with the Chief Electoral Officer in accordance with section 9 of the Election Finances and Contributions Disclosure Act (EFCDA) and all eight registered candidates filed candidate nomination papers in accordance with section 61 of the Act.

A listing by political party affiliation follows, showing the number of candidates that registered, filed nomination papers and filed financial statements.

Number of Number of Candidates Number of Candidates that Filed Financial Political Party Affiliation Candidates Registered Nominated Statements Alberta Liberal Party 1 1 1 Alberta New Democratic Party 1 1 1

Alberta Party 1 1 1

Green Party of Alberta 1 1 1

Progressive Conservative Association 1 1 1 of Alberta

Wildrose Party 1 1 1

Independent 2 2 2

4 THE BY-ELECTION ADVANCE POLL

By legislation, an advance poll was held in the electoral division from Wednesday, August 26 through Saturday, August 29, from 9:00 am to 8:00 pm daily. The advance poll was held at the Foothills Alliance Church where three polling stations were established.

Ten election officers were recruited, hired, and trained for the advance poll. The advance poll had one supervisory deputy returning officer, one registration officer, one information officer, and one deputy returning officer and poll clerk for each of the three polling stations.

An additional deputy returning officer was hired to stand-in due to illness.

A total of 4,128 valid ballots were cast at the advance polls over the four day period, representing 32.4% of all valid ballots cast in the by-election.

Number of Valid Number of Valid Ballots Advance Poll Ballots Electoral Division Ballots All Polls Advance Polls Cast Percentage Calgary-Foothills 12,737 4,128 32.4%

MOBILE POLL

By legislation, mobile polls are to be held on Election Day, in treatment centres and supportive living facilities with ten or more resident inpatients or electors, where consultation with facility staff determines the service to be appropriate.

A deputy returning officer and a poll clerk, along with a facility representative, either set up a stationary poll in a fixed location, move from bedside-to-bedside, or both, depending on the situation.

This by-election saw one mobile poll held at the Edgemont Retirement Residence on Election Day. At this poll, a total of 44 valid ballots were cast.

THE BY-ELECTION 5 SPECIAL BALLOT POLL

A Special Ballot poll was held at the returning office in the electoral division, throughout the election period, to facilitate voting for electors who were not able to vote at the advance poll or on Election Day. Special Ballots were picked-up, mailed-out, or completed by the elector in the returning office.

A total of 107 valid Special Ballots were cast.

ELECTION DAY

Election Day was held on Thursday, September 3, 2015. There were 61 polling stations in ten polling locations within the electoral division. We recruited, hired, and trained 188 election officers to work at the polls. Five of these election officers were supplied to polling stations to act as site monitors, at the request of the facility.

All ten polling locations opened on time at 9:00 am.

On Election Day, a total of 498 electors registered to vote by completing a Declaration of Elector at the time of voting. Election Day registrations are a good measure of the quality of the List of Electors compiled for use by election officers and political participants. Based on the number of names on the list after declarations were added, only 1.5% of electors were added when compared to the Election Day list.

There were 12,737 valid ballots cast in the by-election. Over 96% of those who voted in the by-election were already registered at their current address.

Voter turnout is traditionally low in by-elections, and this time was no exception. During the by-election, 38.2% of eligible electors cast a ballot.

6 THE BY-ELECTION POST ELECTION

The returning officer announced the official results of the by-election on September 14, 2015. Mr. Prasad Panda, representing the Wildrose Party, was duly elected.

The Writ of Election and the Returning Officer's Certificate and Return certifying the candidate's election was returned to the Chief Electoral Officer on September 7, 2015.

The by-election return was published in the September 30, 2015 issue of the Alberta Gazette.

No application was made to the Courts for a judicial recount pursuant to sections 144 or 148 of the Act. No controverted election petition was filed for the by-election.

All registered candidates met the statutory filing deadline of January 4, 2016, therefore all nomination deposits of $500 were refunded to each of the candidates’ campaigns.

The total cost of the by-election was $259,477.74. A cost summary is included on page 18.

FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE

Registered by-election candidates were required to file Campaign Period Financial Statements with Elections Alberta by January 4, 2016. Disclosure of the candidates’ election expenses are available on our website (www.elections.ab.ca) in accordance with section 4(1)(d) of the EFCDA.

Registered political parties that participated in the by-election were required to file audited financial statements by March 3, 2016. These statements list funds received, campaign expenditures and transfer of funds and/or materials.

In accordance with section 11 of the EFCDA, all financial statements are available for inspection in the public files maintained by this Office and are posted in summary form on the Elections Alberta website.

POST ELECTION 7 OVERVIEW OF RESULTS AND STATISTICS SUMMARY OF RESULTS BY CANDIDATE

Candidate Party Valid Votes % of Votes Names % on List Turnout Prasad Panda WRP 4,872 38.3% Bob Hawkesworth NDP 3,274 25.7% Blair Houston PC 2,760 21.7% Ali Bin Zahid LIB 792 6.2% Mark Taylor AP 615 4.8% Janet Keeping GPA 378 3.0% Antoni Grochowski IND 46 0.4% 12,737 100% 33,407 38.2%

Note: Percentage of voter turnout includes rejected and declined ballots, in addition to valid ballots cast, as reflected in the poll- by-poll results commencing on page 13. Names appear in order of number of valid votes received. The name in bold print represents the elected candidate. Percentage of votes polled may not sum to 100% due to rounding.

Voter turnout is calculated based on the elector count on the post-Election Day List of Electors. The lists include the number of names on the List of Electors, with the additions of elector information from the revision period, online registrations, and Election Day declarations. This amount will differ with the voter turnout of 37.8% listed on the summary of results by poll on page 17, which is based on the preliminary list of electors prior to revisions and new elector registrations.

Political Party Affiliation Abbreviations: LIB: Alberta Liberal Party NDP: Alberta New Democratic Party AP: Alberta Party GPA: Green Party of Alberta PC: Progressive Conservative Association of Alberta WRP: Wildrose Party IND: Independent

8 OVERVIEW OF RESULTS AND STATISTICS DEMOGRAPHICS

Percent of Popular Vote

60.0% 58.4% 53.7%

50.0% 40.3% 40.0% 38.3% 33.4% 32.4% 29.9% 30.0% 25.7% 21.7%

20.0% 18.1% 9.2% 7.2%

10.0% 6.2% 4.8% 3.9% 3.8% 3.7% 3.0% 2.1% 2.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 2012 PGE 2014 BE 2015 PGE 2015 BE

Alberta Liberal Party Green Party of Alberta Wildrose Party Alberta New Democratic Party Progressive Conservative Independent Association of Alberta Alberta Party

On average, over the past four elections within Calgary-Foothills, the popular vote received per party is shown:

• Alberta Liberal Party 6.6% • Alberta New Democratic Party 16.2% • Alberta Party 2.2% • Green Party of Alberta 1.8% • Progressive Conservative Association of Alberta 43.5% • Wildrose Party 29.9%

VOTES BY METHOD Number of Votes by Method 14,000

12,000

10,000

8,000

6,000

4,000

2,000

0 2012 PGE 2014 BE 2015 PGE 2015 BE Regular 12,022 8,714 13,555 8,475 Advance 3,121 2,969 4,062 4,136 Mobile 69 61 59 47 Special 288 131 150 107

Percent of Votes by Method 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% 2012 PGE 2014 BE 2015 PGE 2015 BE Regular 77.6% 73.4% 76.0% 66.4% Advance 20.1% 25.0% 22.8% 32.4% Mobile 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.4% Special 1.9% 1.1% 0.8% 0.8%

While the total number of ballots cast in the 2015 by-election was less than that of the Provincial General Election, the percent of ballots cast in the advance poll increased significantly from 22.8% to 32.4% in the 2015 by-election. Electors are utilizing the additional four days of advance voting to cast their ballot versus other means.

LEGEND: PGE - Provincial General Election M - Male NS - Not Stated BE - By-election F - Female

10 DEMOGRAPHICS GENDER STATISTICS Gender Splits by Election 60.0%

50.0%

40.0%

30.0%

20.0%

10.0%

0.0% Male Female Not Stated 2014 BE 50.4% 49.6% 0.0% 2015 PGE 49.6% 49.4% 1.0% 2015 BE 50.3% 49.0% 0.7%

Gender Splits - Registered Electors and Voters 60.0%

50.0%

40.0%

30.0%

20.0%

10.0%

0.0% Male Female Not Stated Registered Electors 49.1% 49.7% 1.2% Voters (2015 BE) 50.3% 49.0% 0.7%

The statistical gap between male and female voters in Calgary-Foothills has remained fairly consistent over the past three elections, averaging a difference of only 0.8%; however, contrary to the provincial average, more males than females cast their ballot this by-election (1.3% more).

LEGEND: PGE - Provincial General Election M - Male NS - Not Stated BE - By-election F - Female

DEMOGRAPHICS 11 AGE STATISTICS

Age Ranges - Voters by Election 30.0%

25.0%

20.0%

15.0%

10.0%

5.0%

0.0% 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ NS 2014 BE 5.5% 8.2% 14.4% 25.9% 26.2% 19.7% 0.0% 2015 PGE 9.5% 13.2% 16.7% 22.6% 22.0% 15.9% 0.1% 2015 BE 7.3% 10.1% 15.4% 23.1% 24.6% 19.4% 0.0%

Two groupings of voters, 18-44 and 45-65+, follow similar voting patterns in all three electoral events. Across all age groups, voter turnout is consistent within a 5.0% deviation.

LEGEND: PGE - Provincial General Election M - Male NS - Not Stated BE - By-election F - Female

12 DEMOGRAPHICS SUMMARY OF RESULTS BY POLL CALGARY-FOOTHILLS

SUMMARY OF RESULTS BY POLL 13 SUMMARY OF RESULTS BY POLL 14 V = Valid Ballots S = Spoiled Ballots D = Declined Ballots R = Rejected Ballots

26.6 29.2 37.9 27.4 28.3 21.8 21.4 20.1 16.6 38.5 38.5 29.6 26.6 27.1 25.8 30.9 19.2 26.1 28.4 32.1 36.1 19.0 17.3 26.3 37.7 25.7 36.4 24.2 20.6 40.4 28.2 (%) Voter Turnout

0 0 0 0 2 0 0 R

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 D

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 S 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

86 70 92 93 84

192 133 198 141 236 103 113 201 125 122 113 135 232 139 256 121 161 159 115 145 124 177 118 123 137 253 V

1 2 5 6 LIB BIN 11 10 12 15 21 12 20 10 14 10

ZAHID

ALI

6 8

6 4 9 6 5 AP 14 16 14 13 13 15 12 MARK TAYLOR

6 4 3 5 7 3 6 2 2 2 1 5 6 5 7 4 5 6 7 7 3 4 7 3 8 9 6 2 9 2 8 8 6 2

55 47 63 58 46 37 25 11 30 35 94 41 39 58 40 40 77 76 33 45 59 32 33 25 66 38 63 37 41 43 97 WRP PANDA PRASAD

4 6 2 3 6 5 16 11 11 12 10 12 GPA JANET KEEPING 4 5 3 3 5 9 4 0 3 4 0 3 9

8 7 5 2 2 3

PC 25 16 19 23 32 23 36 36 26 47 29 26 21 25 78 58 43 34 22 48 44 23 13 34 27 23 40 40 35 43 74 BLAIR HOUSTON

27 32 33 51 62 42 36 50 43 51 42 20 19 37 76 73 97 43 31 49 46 16 33 30 58 46 40 30 25 21 31 NDP BOB HAWKESWORTH

0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 1 1 1 2 1 0 0 1 2 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 1 IND ANTONI GROCHOWSKI

List 472 427 421 529 728 455 499 385 524 482 325 523 486 456 488 412 480 608 428 339 896 982 898 837 515 433 501 441 489 486 437

Names on

S S = Spoiled Ballots D = Declined Ballots R Rejected= Ballots Foothills - ary Calg

/ HIDDENVALLEY -

V = V Valid Ballots

Poll

MANOR VILLAS / HIDDENSPRING / HIDDENMEWS MEWS COVE by

LANDING

CLOSE PARK

ESTATES

TERRACE TERRACE

BAY

COVE / HIDDENVALLEY LANDING COVE

ERIDGE VIEWERIDGE Results

EDGEHILL EDGEDALE EDGEMONT EDGEMONT EDELWEISS EDENSTONE EDGEWOOD EDGELAND EDGEBYNE EDGEVIEW EDFORTH EDCATH EDENWOLD EDGEBROOK EDGEBANK EDGEVALLEY EDGEVALLEY EDGEBURN EDGEPARK EDGERIDGE EDGERIDGE EDGEVALLEY EDGEBROOK EDGEBROOK EDGEBROOK EDG HIDDENCLOSE HIDDEN HIDDENVALLEY GROVE HIDDENVALLEY of PLACE

------

3 - 6 - 7 - 5 - 9 - 1 - 2 - 4 8 15 26 14 10 18 23 11 19 22 13 17 21 25 12 16 20 24

27/28 35/36 33/34 31/32 - HIDDENVALLEY VALE / 29/30 Summary Poll SUMMARY OF RESULTS BY POLL 15

29.7 22.5 22.1 18.5 21.1 19.0 20.0 16.2 13.1 17.8 28.9 26.7 20.9 30.6 20.1 29.4 24.8 18.7 15.2 28.5 27.4 14.3 31.2 18.7 20.1 20.7 34.1 25.8 21.5 23.4 (%) Voter Turnout

0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 R

0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 D

1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 S 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0

65 99 86 83 88 88 97 72 78 77 79

262 124 116 102 127 117 113 122 245 250 151 116 108 311 106 172 172 182 153 V

0 1 LIB BIN 17 10 12 15 12 10 11 27 13 11 11 15 11 10 10 17

ZAHID

ALI

8 6 8

2 4 7 4 5 AP 26 11 13 20 29 10 12 13 MARK TAYLOR

5 8 8 4 2 4 8 3 4 6 1 6 2 7 2 1 9 8 3 2 8 7 9 3

7 8 54 59 21 41 53 39 32 47 35 36 38 41 43 56 28 39 77 88 44 29 97 47 65 72 54 46 34 20 25 31 WRP PANDA PRASAD

8 3 7 7 3 8 2 5 15 GPA JANET KEEPING 2 1 1 1 2 3 5 0 4

1 3 3 3 2 9 5 4 1 1

1 PC 32 14 27 23 57 20 23 36 11 41 16 21 15 25 22 52 46 46 13 74 14 44 43 50 29 17 20 28 15 BLAIR HOUSTON

5 31 18 21 10 14 21 33 28 23 20 31 13 92 24 33 36 53 46 20 28 19 15 78 76 37 16 35 46 NDP BOB 109 HAWKESWORTH

0 0 17 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 IND ANTONI GROCHOWSKI

List 551 294 881 488 522 636 537 627 890 466 997 572 857 832 534 616 596 395 358 337 330 584 514 483 803 851 608 386 407 394

Names on

S S = Spoiled Ballots D = Declined Ballots R Rejected= Ballots ROAD / ROAD Foothills - ary HEIGHTS HEIGHTS Calg

/ SHERWOOD / HIDDENHILLS PLACE

V = V Valid Ballots / CITADEL / SAGE / SAGE BERRY

Poll

AD / KINLEA WAY KINLEA / ROAD

CRES / HIDDENRANCH PLACE CRES by ROAD RISE CLOSE DRIVE RO COMMON SQUARE CLIFF / NOLAN

GROVE TERRACE WAY CIRCLE COURT MEADOW MEADOW SHERWOOD RISE / CIRCLE

MEWS CLOSE TERRACE LINK / HAMPTON WAY WAY MANOR MEWS GLEN / KINCORA PARK LANDING / KINCORA POINT GARDEN HILL LANE / NOLANSHIRE / HILL LANE / NOLANSHIRE BANK / SAGE SOUTH MANOR VALLEY GREEN VALLEY NORTH BANK Results

HIDDENRANCH HIDDENRANCH HIDDENHILLS HAMPSTEAD HAMPSTEAD HAMPSTEAD HAMPSTEAD HAMPSTEAD HAMPSHIRE HAMPTON HAMPTON HAMPTON HAMPTON HAMPTON SHERWOOD SHERWOOD KINCORA KINCORA KINCORA SHERWOOD SHERWOOD KINCORA KINCORA NOLAN NOLANFIELD NOLAN SAGE SAGEHILL SAGEVALLEY SAGEVALLEY SAGE NOLANFIELD of

------

- - 41 55 45 46 76 49 77 50 42 44 48 53 67 75 43 58 74

56/57 72/73 61/62 59/60 80/81 37/38 39/40 47/54 51/52 66/68 78/79 Summary Poll 63/64/65 69/70/71 16 SUMMARY OF RESULTS BY POLL 37.8 (%) Voter Turnout 1 7 R 19 26 0 1 1 2 D 00 0 00 3 01 2 20 4 0 8 2 S 10 44 107 570 V 1,935 1,623 8,609 4,128 12,737 LIB BIN 57 6.2 535 257 792 ZAHID ALI 56 AP 27 4.8 MARK 465 150 615 TAYLOR .3 56 WRP 224 38 PANDA PRASAD 2,936 1,936 4,872 1 7 2512 85 GPA 3.0 293 378 JANET KEEPING PC 88 761 BLAIR 21.7 1,999 2,760 HOUSTON 26 13 16 18 NDP BOB 165 925 425335 378 295 45 33 914 798 57 66 107 93 25.7 2,349 3,274 HAWKESWORTH 9 3 2 0 0 IND 32 14 46 0.4 ANTONI GROCHOWSKI List Names on 33,728 Foothills - ary Calg - ) V = V Valid Ballots S = Spoiled Ballots D = Declined Ballots R Rejected= Ballots 26 1- 27 - 54 55 - 81 Poll by POLLS POLLS POLLS - - - Special Ballot Special - EDGEMONT RETIREMENT RESIDENCE Results Mobile, ADVANCE ADVANCE ADVANCE MOBILE SPECIAL BALLOT of (%) - - - - - Polls) Regular, 86 82 83 84 85 ( (Advance) (All Count Summary Poll Total Total Total Vote SUMMARY OF RESULTS BY POLL 17 FINANCIAL SUMMARY

Calgary-Foothills 2015 By-election Total Employer Contributions $ 4,120.61 Travel 161.76 Advertising 62,439.26 Freight and Postage 21,661.69 Rentals - Returning Officer's Office 3,613.50 Rentals - Polling Places 12,178.06 Telephones and Communications 1,300.05 Contract Services - Printing 15,492.67 Contract Services - Returning Officer's Office Staff 34,283.92 EN Contract Services - Polling Staff 53,981.01 Technology Services 38,962.50 CALGARY-GREENWAY BY-ELECTION Hosting 55.59 Election Materials and Supplies 11,227.12 TOTAL EXPENSES $ 259,477.74 2MARCH 22, 2016

18 FINANCIAL SUMMARY EN CALGARY-GREENWAY BY-ELECTION 2MARCH 22, 2016

SECTION 2: CALGARY-GREENWAY 19

INTRODUCTION

On November 23, 2015, a vacancy was created in the electoral division of Calgary-Greenway due to the unexpected death of Manmeet Bhullar, MLA.

In accordance with sections 39 and 40 of the Election Act, by order of the Lieutenant Governor in Council, a Writ of Election was issued by the Chief Electoral Officer on February 23, 2016, and transmitted to the returning officer for Calgary-Greenway. The Writ of Election indicated an election date of Tuesday, March 22, 2016, in the electoral division.

The electoral division boundaries described in the Electoral Divisions Act (in force as of March 26, 2012) were used during the by-election.

KEY DATES

Tuesday, February 23, 2016 Writ of Election is issued by the Chief Electoral Officer and is transmitted to the returning officer for Calgary-Greenway Monday, February 29, 2016 Revisions period is commenced, allowing electors to have their names added to the List of Electors Tuesday, March 1, 2016 “Notice of Election” cards were mailed to every address in the electoral division Friday, March 4, 2016 Candidate Nominations closed (2:00 PM) Thursday, March 17, 2016 “Where to Vote” cards were mailed to every registered elector and to each registered address in the electoral division Saturday, March 12, 2016 Revisions to the Lists of Electors closed (4:00 PM) Wednesday, March 16, 2016 First day of advance poll voting Thursday, March 17, 2016 Second day of advance poll voting Friday, March 18, 2016 Third day of advance poll voting Saturday, March 19, 2016 Final day of advance poll voting Tuesday, March 22, 2016 Election Day Friday, April 1, 2016 Announcement of the official results Sunday, May 22, 2016 Campaign period ends Friday, July 22, 2016 Candidate campaign period financial statement filing deadline Thursday, September 22, 2016 Party campaign period financial statement filing deadline

INTRODUCTION 21 APPOINTMENT OF RETURNING OFFICER

The Chief Electoral Officer appointed Kathy Zemp as the returning officer for the Calgary-Greenway by-election, pursuant to section 9(1.1) of the Election Act (the Act). The appointment came into effect on February 19, 2016.

THE BY-ELECTION CANDIDATE REGISTRATION AND NOMINATION

A listing by political party affiliation follows, showing the number of candidates that registered and filed nomination papers.

Number of Number of Candidates Candidates Political Party Affiliation Registered Nominated Alberta Liberal Party 1 1 Alberta New Democratic Party 1 1

Green Party of Alberta 1 1

Progressive Conservative Association 1 1 of Alberta

Wildrose Party 1 1

Independent 3 3

Candidate financial statements are due July 22, 2016.

22 THE BY-ELECTION ADVANCE POLL

By legislation, an advance poll was held in the electoral division from Wednesday, March 16 through Saturday, March 19, from 9:00 am to 8:00 pm daily. The advance poll was held at Abbeydale School, where five polling stations were established.

Sixteen election officers were recruited, hired, and trained for the advance poll. The advance poll had one supervisory deputy returning officer, two registration officers, two information officers, and one deputy returning officer and poll clerk for each of the five polling stations. The site was also supplied one site monitor.

A total of 2,385 valid ballots were cast at the advance polls over the four day period, representing 28.8% of all valid ballots cast in the by-election.

Number of Valid Number of Valid Ballots Advance poll Ballots Electoral Division Ballots All Polls Advance polls Cast Percentage Calgary-Greenway 8,270 2,385 28.8%

MOBILE POLL

This by-election saw one mobile poll held at the Monterey Place on Election Day. At this poll, a total of 43 valid ballots were cast.

THE BY-ELECTION 23 SPECIAL BALLOT POLL

A total of 53 valid Special Ballots were cast.

ELECTION DAY

Election Day was held on Tuesday, March 22, 2016. There were 68 polling stations in seven polling locations within the electoral division. We recruited, hired, and trained 188 election officers to work at the polls. Eight of these election officers were supplied to polling stations to act as site monitors, at the request of the facility.

All seven polling locations opened on time at 9:00 am.

On Election Day, a total of 924 electors registered to vote by completing a Declaration of Elector at the time of voting. Election Day registrations are a good measure of the quality of the List of Electors compiled for use by election officers and political participants. Based on the number of names on the list after declarations were added, only 3.2% of electors were added when compared to the Election Day list.

There were 8,270 valid ballots cast in the by-election. Over 88.8% of those who voted in the by-election were already registered at their current address.

Voter turnout is traditionally low in by-elections, and this time was no exception. During the by-election, 29.0% of eligible electors cast a ballot.

24 THE BY-ELECTION POST ELECTION

The returning officer announced the official results of the by-election on April 1, 2016. Mr. Prab Gill, representing the Progressive Conservative Association of Alberta, was duly elected.

The Writ of Election and the Returning Officer's Certificate and Return certifying the candidate's election was returned to the Chief Electoral Officer on March 30, 2016.

The by-election return was published in the April 15, 2016 issue of the Alberta Gazette.

No application was made to the Courts for a judicial recount pursuant to sections 144 or 148 of the Act. No controverted election petition was filed for the by-election.

Nomination deposits of $500 will be refunded to each of the candidates’ campaigns if registered candidates meet the statutory filing deadline of July 22, 2016.

The total cost of the by-election was $252,465.81. A cost summary is included on page 36.

FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE

Registered by-election candidates are required to file Campaign Period Financial Statements with Elections Alberta by July 22, 2016. Disclosure of the candidates’ election expenses will be available on our website (www.elections.ab.ca) in accordance with section 4(1)(d) of the EFCDA.

Registered political parties that participated in the by-election are required to file audited financial statements by September 22, 2016. These statements list funds received, campaign expenditures and transfer of funds and/or materials.

In accordance with section 11 of the EFCDA, all financial statements will be made available for inspection in the public files maintained by this Office and will be posted in summary form on the Elections Alberta website.

POST ELECTION 25 OVERVIEW OF RESULTS AND STATISTICS SUMMARY OF RESULTS BY CANDIDATE

Candidate Party Valid % of Votes Names % Votes on List Turnout Gill, Prab PC 2,296 27.8% Toor, Devinder WRP 1,979 23.9% Karbani, Khalil LIB 1,849 22.4% Rai, Roop NDP 1,699 20.5% Boonlert, Thana GPA 166 2.0% Abdulbaki, Said Hussein IND 146 1.8% Heather, Larry IND 105 1.3% Rai, Sukhi IND 30 0.4% 8,270 100% 28,709 29.0%

Note: Percentage of voter turnout includes rejected and declined ballots, in addition to valid ballots cast, as reflected in the poll- by-poll results commencing on page 31. Names appear in order of number of valid votes received. The name in bold print represents the elected candidate. Percentage of votes polled may not sum to 100% due to rounding.

Voter turnout is calculated based on the elector count on the post-Election Day List of Electors. The lists include the number of names on the List of Electors, with the additions of elector information from the revision period, online registrations, and Election Day declarations. This amount will differ with the voter turnout of 28.5% listed on the summary of results by poll on page 35, which is based on the preliminary list of electors prior to revisions and new elector registrations.

Political Party Affiliation Abbreviations: LIB: Alberta Liberal Party NDP: Alberta New Democratic Party GPA: Green Party of Alberta PC: Progressive Conservative Association of Alberta WRP: Wildrose Party IND: Independent

26 OVERVIEW OF RESULTS AND STATISTICS DEMOGRAPHICS

Percent of Popular Vote

60.0% 54.1%

50.0% 42.8%

40.0% 36.2% 32.2%

30.0% 27.8% 23.9% .5% 22.4% 21.1% 2 0 20.0% 10.3% 10.0% 3.4% 3.4% 2.0% 0.0% 2012 PGE 2015 PGE 2016 BE Alberta Liberal Party Green Party of Alberta Wildrose Party Alberta New Democra Progressive Conserva ve Independent

Over the past three elections within Calgary-Greenway, the average popular vote received per party is shown:

• Alberta Liberal Party 10.9% • Alberta New Democratic Party 20.0% • Green Party of Alberta 0.7% • Progressive Conservative Association of Alberta 41.6% • Wildrose Party 25.7%

27 VOTES BY METHOD

Number of Votes by Method 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 2012 PGE 2015 PGE 2016 BE Regular 8,170 9,335 5,823 Advance 3,810 2,973 2,399 Mobile 34 32 48 Special 184 208 62

Percent of Votes by Method 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% 2012 PGE 2015 PGE 2016 BE Regular 67.0% 74.4% 69.9% Advance 31.2% 23.7% 28.8% Mobile 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% Special 1.5% 1.7% 0.7%

While the number of ballots cast in the advance poll decreased between the 2015 Provincial General Election and the 2016 by-election, the percent of ballots cast at advance polls increased from 23.7% to 28.8%. Electors are therefore utilizing the additional four days of voting to cast their ballot versus other means.

LEGEND: PGE - Provincial General Election M - Male NS - Not Stated BE - By-election F - Female

28 DEMOGRAPHICS GENDER STATISTICS

Gender Splits by Election 60.0%

50.0%

40.0%

30.0%

20.0%

10.0%

0.0% Male Female Not Stated 2015 PGE 49.2% 49.1% 1.7% 2016 BE 51.4% 47.2% 1.3%

Gender Splits - Registered Electors and Voters 60.0%

50.0%

40.0%

30.0%

20.0%

10.0%

0.0% Male Female Not Stated Registered Electors 49.1% 47.9% 3.0% Voters (2016 BE) 51.4% 47.2% 1.3%

The statistical gap between male and female voters in Calgary-Greenway has remained fairly consistent, averaging only 0.3% difference between events. Similar to other by-elections, more males than females cast their ballots in this event, unlike the provincial trend which shows women outvoting men by 3.27%.

LEGEND: PGE - Provincial General Election M - Male NS - Not Stated BE - By-election F - Female

DEMOGRAPHICS 29 GE STTSTCS

ge Ranges - Voters by Election 25.0%

20.0%

15.0%

10.0%

5.0%

0.0% N 2015 PGE .9% 13.2% 1.% 22.2% 20.2% 15.0% 1.6% 2016 BE 7.0% 11.% 20.0% 22.1% 21.3% 16.% 1.1%

Voter turnout by age range between electoral events is consistent, within a 2.0% deviation.

Voter Registrations by ge Range 100 40.0%

1600 35.0%

1400 30.0%

1200 25.0% 1000 20.0% 00 15.0% 600

10.0% 400

200 5.0%

0 0.0% N 217 177 211 134 90 1 14 363 797 1441 1695 1674 1309 129 37.4% 1.2% 12.% 7.3% 5.1% 5.% 9.%

Number of voters that reuired registration Number of pre-registered voters Percent of age range that reuired registration This chart identiﬁes a high number of 18-34 year olds who had to register to vote on voting days, indicating that many are voting for the ﬁrst time.

LEGEND: PGE - Provincial General Election M - Male NS - Not Stated BE - By-election F - Female

SUMMARY OF RESULTS BY POLL CALGARY-GREENWAY

SUMMARY OF RESULTS BY POLL 31

SUMMARY OF RESULTS BY POLL 32 V = Valid Ballots S = Spoiled Ballots D = Declined Ballots R = Rejected Ballots

23.9 22.8 24.7 15.4 16.2 12.8 27.4 22.4 21.1 17.4 13.0 18.5 29.7 15.2 20.7 16.5 15.8 19.1 16.3 13.4 15.6 15.3 12.8 16.8 23.5 21.1 26.6 18.1 16.5 (%) Voter Turnout

0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 R

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 D

0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 S 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 9.9 0 0 0 1 9.4 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8.5

91 87 74 54 91 94 58 76 49 81 68 87 82 71 84 81 45 66 37 82 70 76 86 98 70 93 V 108 133 140 121 161 106

24 23 36 35 25 22 31 34 26 14 18 17 22 28 48 21 32 31 23 31 18 18 17 14 19 19 30 22 25 20 25 WRP TOOR

DEVINDER

2 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 RAI IND SUKHI 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 0

RAI 30 17 30 13 32 29 15 20 17 11 12 18 11 13 15 17 13 15 14 11 26 16 20 17 16 NDP ROOP

7 1 7 0

8 8 3 9 7 LIB 14 21 17 11 10 10 15 16 31 11 10 13 22 KHALIL KARBANI

1 1 3 2 0 0 1 3 IND LARRY HEATHER 3 5 4 1 5 2 3 1 0 4 7 5 7 9 0 1 5 6 1 4 7 1 0 7 0 1 3 0 5 2 2 1 5 1 7 2 3 1 1 1 6 6 0 1 7 5

PC 27 31 15 33 21 19 83 25 16 35 22 43 13 21 10 26 24 55 38 32 24 13 18 20 29 24 30 34 36 38 15 27 RAB GILL P

3 1 2 4 2 6 2 0 GPA THANA BOONLERT

0 3 1 6 1 1 2 0 IND 10 10 SAID HUSSEIN ABDULBAKI 1 2 1 4 0 2 5 6 2 0 4 7 6 3 5 4 4 6 4 1 6 2 1 3 4 0 3 0 3 1 5 7 3 1 0 0 2 0 1

2 8

List 572 451 585 586 521 443 542 537 549 447 452 420 496 456 403 408 539 369 393 571 434 458 421 462 440 515 548 435 539 336 423 497

Names on Greenway - Calgary

V = V Valid Ballots S = Spoiled Ballots D = Declined Ballots R Rejected= Ballots Poll by

PARK N

POINTE / APPLEVILLAGE / APPLEVILLAGE POINTE W / APPLECREST CENTRE

D E S W

- DEL RIO EST.

S N

HEIGHTS / APPLESTONE HEIGHTS

W E E MESA Results

FERNANDO

ALINA - CARMEL RAY WRAY / CALIFORNIA S of

ABINGDON GARDEN APPLEWOOD APPLECROFT APPLEFIELD APPLEWOOD APPLEWOOD APPLEWOO APPLEGLEN ABBERCOVE ABALONE ABERDARE ABINGER ABERGALE ABERFOYLE ABOYNE ABADAN ELDORADO ELDORADO DEL DELRAY CATALINA CALIFORNIA PARKRIDGE LAGUNA LAGUNA ANAHEIM COSTA CAT ANAHEIM SAN CHATEAU ------

- 4 - 9 - 6

26 13 28 32 35 10 22 31 14 17 23 36 20 12 16 21 30 34 11 15 24 29 33 37 7/8 - 7/8 1/2 - 1/2 - 3/5 Summary Poll 25/27 18/19 - CHATEAU EST. PARK S / SUMMARY OF RESULTS BY POLL 33

26.4 27.2 28.1 23.7 27.7 21. 4 20.3 20.8 19.0 22.0 24.3 15.8 28.0 22.4 20.5 19.8 25.9 16.4 24.7 16.7 25.6 21.0 23.7 12.8 19.5 24.9 31.0 12.9 (%) Voter Turnout

1 0 0 2 0 2 0 5 R

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 D

0 1 2 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 S 0 0 3 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 2 0 0 5 0 0 2 1 1 0 1

64 8 98 97 98 87 40 98 52 V 160 152 117 119 115 110 103 111 105 102 161 112 120 128 263 497 490 619 105 143 123 104 156 516

8 9 11 16 16 11 23 2 31 26 14 23 17 21 14 16 22 16 20 16 15 32 87 98 35 30 11 20 22 33 WRP 164 147 121 TOOR

DEVINDER

0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 RAI IND SUKHI 0 0 5 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 2 0 0 3 0 6

9 5 RAI 27 32 29 16 22 34 36 21 27 21 18 20 22 30 14 32 33 30 31 56 66 29 26 27 12 18 34 NDP 119 140 129 ROOP

0 30

6 LIB 94 85 47 15 14 14 20 17 28 15 39 32 52 34 15 54 92 25 43 32 49 66 63 29 19 33 34 44 32 253 115 KHALIL KARBANI

2 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 ER IND LARRY HEATH 0 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 1 2 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 17 8 4 1

5 PC 26 16 18 20 46 20 29 28 32 23 22 22 20 30 18 17 13 35 27 32 84 48 42 14 30 30 44 GILL 177 146 118 141 PRAB

2 2 0 2 0 0 0 3 15 GPA THANA BOONLERT

1 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 8 7 7 1 4 2 IND 18 SAID HUSSEIN ABDULBAKI 2 0 2 0 0 1 0 2 4 2 1 0 1 0 3 0 3 0 5 2 1 0 3 1 2 0 0 1 0 1 1 3 1 0 0 4 2 0 5 0 0

List 618 562 416 270 429 686 430 571 528 520 522 440 312 428 513 418 509 403 627 400 468 425 516 626 683 485 410 767

Names on V = V Valid Ballots S = Spoiled Ballots D = Declined Ballots R Rejected= Ballots

/ TARAGLEN CIRCLE E CIRCLE E SOUTH E W WEST CENTRE / TARINGTON E

SOUTH E W W E

S W E - CALGARY-GREENWAY - CALGARY-GREENWAY - CALGARY-GREENWAY - CALGARY-GREENWAY - CALGARY-GREENWAY E W N E N COVE SANDS WSHORES E SHORES KEYS CLOSE SPRINGS PARK SANDS REEF MANOR CIRCLE SPRINGS DIEGO / SARATOGA DIEGO SAN CORAL CORAL CORAL CORAL CORAL CORAL CORAL CORAL CORAL TARADALE TARARIDGE TARINGTON TARINGTON TARAVISTA TARAVISTA TARALEA TARALEA TARALEA TARACOVE TARACOVE TARALAKE TARALAKE TARALAKE TARALAK TARAWOOD TARAWOOD SADDLETOWN ADVANCE ADVANCE ADVANCE ADVANCE ADVANCE ------

------

62 63 67 41 44 45 48 55 58 59 66 54 70 71 43 47 57 61 65 69 40 42 46 51 56 60 64 68 72 73 Poll 38/39 49/50 52/53 34 SUMMARY OF RESULTS BY POLL

28.5 (%) Voter Turnout

9 R 42 18 60

2 0 2 D

1 S 21 22 0 0 5 0 0

43 53 V 8,270 5,88 5 2,385

10 24 WRP 617 TOOR

23.9 1,361 1,97 9 DEVINDER

7 RAI IND 23 30 0.4 SUKHI 0

RAI 12 NDP 510 ROOP 20.5 1,189 1,699 2 1

LIB 10 500 22.4 KHALIL 1,349 1,849 KARBANI

IND 89 16 1.3 105 LARRY HEATHER 4 0 7

PC 11 10 GILL 666 PRAB ,296 27.8 1,630 2

28 GPA 2.0 138 166 THANA BOONLERT

1 4 0 IND 41 1.8 SAID 105 146 HUSSEIN ABDULBAKI

List 29,230 Names on

) V = V Valid Ballots S = Spoiled Ballots D = Declined Ballots R Rejected= Ballots

Special Ballot Special

- MONTEREY PLACE - MONTEREY

Mobile,

(%)

MOBILE SPECIAL BALLOT Polls)

(Regular, (Advance) (All - - Count

74 75 Poll Total Total Total Vote SUMMARY OF RESULTS BY POLL 35 FINANCIAL SUMMARY

Calgary-Greenway 2016 By-election Total Employer Contributions $ 4,595.42 Travel 2,110.34 Advertising 64,835.45 Freight and Postage 21,416.70 Rentals - Returning Officer's Office 6,449.00 Rentals - Polling Places 8,937.00 Telephones and Communications 1,373.78 Contract Services - Printing 10,293.88 Contract Services - Returning Officer's Office Staff 32,526.00 Contract Services - Polling Staff 55,187.15 Technology Services 33,520.00 Hosting 56.96 Election Materials and Supplies 11,164.13 TOTAL EXPENSES $ 252,465.81

36 FINANCIAL SUMMARY

Suite 100, 11510 Kingsway NW, Edmonton, Alberta T5G 2Y5 Phone: 780.427.7191 Toll-Free: 310.0000.780.427.7191 Website: www.elections.ab.ca Email: [email protected]

ISBN 978-0-9949577-1-9

9 780994 957719