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The Effect of Minimum and Maximum Air Temperatures in the Summer on Heat Stroke in Japan: a Time-Stratified Case-Crossover Study

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The Effect of Minimum and Maximum Air Temperatures in the Summer on Heat Stroke in Japan: a Time-Stratified Case-Crossover Study International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health Article The Effect of Minimum and Maximum Air Temperatures in the Summer on Heat Stroke in Japan: A Time-Stratified Case-Crossover Study Shinji Otani 1,* , Satomi Funaki Ishizu 2, Toshio Masumoto 2, Hiroki Amano 2 and Youichi Kurozawa 2 1 International Platform for Dryland Research and Education, Tottori University, Tottori 680-0001, Japan 2 Division of Health Administration and Promotion, Faculty of Medicine, Tottori University, Yonago 683-8503, Japan; [email protected] (S.F.I.); [email protected] (T.M.); [email protected] (H.A.); [email protected] (Y.K.) * Correspondence: [email protected]; Tel.: +81-857-30-6317 Abstract: An increase in the global surface temperature and changes in urban morphologies are associated with increased heat stress especially in urban areas. This can be one of the contributing factors underlying an increase in heat strokes. We examined the impact of summer minimum air temperatures, which often represent nighttime temperatures, as well as a maximum temperature on a heat stroke. We collected data from the records of daily ambulance transports for heat strokes and meteorological data for July and August of 2017–2019 in the Tottori Prefecture, Japan. A time- stratified case-crossover design was used to determine the association of maximum/minimum air temperatures and the incidence of heat strokes. We used a logistic regression to identify factors associated with the severity of heat strokes. A total of 1108 cases were identified with 373 (33.7%) Citation: Otani, S.; Funaki Ishizu, S.; calls originating in the home (of these, 59.8% were the age of ≥ 75). A total of 65.8% of cases under Masumoto, T.; Amano, H.; Kurozawa, the age of 18 were related to exercise. Days with a minimum temperature ≥ 25 ◦C had an odds Y. The Effect of Minimum and ratio (95% confidence interval) of 3.77 (2.19, 6.51) for the incidence of an exercise-related heat stroke Maximum Air Temperatures in the (reference: days with a minimum temperature < 23 ◦C). The odds ratio for a heat stroke occurring Summer on Heat Stroke in Japan: A at home or for calls for an ambulance to the home was 6.75 (4.47, 10.20). The severity of the heat Time-Stratified Case-Crossover Study. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2021, stroke was associated with older age but not with air temperature. Minimum and maximum air 18, 1632. https://doi.org/10.3390/ temperatures may be associated with the incidence of heat strokes and in particular the former with ijerph18041632 non-exertional heat strokes. Academic Editor: Dushyantha Keywords: heat stroke; minimum air temperature; ambulance transport; elderly T. Jayaweera Received: 18 December 2020 Accepted: 5 February 2021 Published: 9 February 2021 1. Introduction Multiple factors contribute to the incidence of heat strokes; for example, environmental Publisher’s Note: MDPI stays neutral factors such as high temperatures and humidity, human factors such as dehydration, the with regard to jurisdictional claims in presence of comorbidities, delayed heat acclimatization, aging and activity factors such published maps and institutional affil- as exercise and work in a hot environment [1]. In particular, climate change including iations. global warming has contributed to the recent increase in the incidence of heat strokes. In 2018, the number of people transported to emergency rooms for a heat stroke in Japan was 95,137, the highest number on record. The number of deaths was 1581, the second highest on record [2,3]. Continued warming over time is expected [4] and up to 1.2 billion people Copyright: © 2021 by the authors. worldwide will be at risk of a heat stroke each year by the year 2100 if global warming Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. continues at this rate [5]. This article is an open access article A number of studies have been conducted on the relationship between maximum distributed under the terms and temperatures and heat strokes, reporting a strong correlation [6–11]. We previously noted conditions of the Creative Commons a strong correlation between maximum temperatures and the number of emergency trans- Attribution (CC BY) license (https:// ports for heat strokes and were able to quantify the risk by temperature [12]. However, to creativecommons.org/licenses/by/ 4.0/). date, most studies have focused on the maximum temperature. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2021, 18, 1632. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph18041632 https://www.mdpi.com/journal/ijerph Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2021, 18, x 2 of 13 Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2021, 18, 1632 2 of 12 transports for heat strokes and were able to quantify the risk by temperature [12]. However, to date, most studies have focused on the maximum temperature. An urban heat island is a phenomenon wherein urban areas are warmer than the surroundingAn urban suburban heat island and isrural a phenomenon areas typicall whereiny because urban of urban areas geometry are warmer and thanmaterial the surroundingproperties, human suburban activity and rural and areas reduced typically natural because vegetation. of urban This geometry phenomenon and material can properties,intensify extreme human activityclimatic and events reduced [13]. natural Dire vegetation.ct health effects This phenomenon involve elevated can intensify body extremetemperatures climatic particularly events [13 during]. Direct heat health waves effects [14,15]. involve Urbanization elevated body is associated temperatures with particularlyhigher temperatures during heat and waves the number [14,15]. of Urbanization nights in Japan is associated where the with minimum higher temperatures temperature and the number of nights in Japan where the minimum temperature does not fall below does◦ not fall below 25 °C is increasing [16] not only in cities but also in rural areas [17]. 25 CAlthough is increasing large [16 daily] not differences only in cities in temperat but also inures rural exert areas negative [17]. effects on the human bodyAlthough [18], this largemay not daily apply differences in midsummer. in temperatures During the exert summer negative mo effectsnths, the on risk the of hu- a man body [18], this may not apply in midsummer. During the summer months, the stroke and a transient ischemic stroke may increase if minimum temperatures remain high risk of a stroke and a transient ischemic stroke may increase if minimum temperatures [19]. However, there are no reports on the association of minimum temperatures with the remain high [19]. However, there are no reports on the association of minimum tem- incidence of heat strokes. An association between persistent high temperature peratures with the incidence of heat strokes. An association between persistent high environments and the incidence of non-exertional heat strokes resulting from impaired temperature environments and the incidence of non-exertional heat strokes resulting from physiological adaptation to heat stress, the so-called classical heat stroke, has been noted impaired physiological adaptation to heat stress, the so-called classical heat stroke, has [1,20]. However, research on non-exertional heat strokes has received less attention than been noted [1,20]. However, research on non-exertional heat strokes has received less on exertional heat strokes [21,22]. Therefore, in this study, we used data on emergency attention than on exertional heat strokes [21,22]. Therefore, in this study, we used data transports to investigate the association between maximum and minimum temperatures on emergency transports to investigate the association between maximum and minimum and heat strokes. In addition, we examined the relationships of temperature for both non- temperatures and heat strokes. In addition, we examined the relationships of temperature forexertional both non-exertional and exertional and heat exertional strokes. heat strokes. 2.2. Materials andand MethodsMethods 2.1.2.1. StudyStudy DesignDesign andand SitesSites ThisThis studystudy focusedfocused onon thethe TottoriTottori Prefecture,Prefecture, whichwhich is is locatedlocated onon thethe SeaSea ofof JapanJapan sideside ofof thethe ChugokuChugoku regionregion inin westernwestern JapanJapan (Figure(Figure1 1).). The The Tottori Tottori Prefecture Prefecture is is 3507 3507 km km22 inin areaarea andand thethe populationpopulation waswas 555,663555,663 inin OctoberOctober 2019.2019. TheThe percentagepercentage areaarea andand populationpopulation ofof denselydensely inhabitedinhabited districtsdistricts in the Tottori PrefecturePrefecture (2005)(2005) areare 1.35%1.35% (national(national average,average, 3.32%)3.32%) andand 34.1%34.1% (66.0%),(66.0%), respectivelyrespectively [[23].23]. TheThe TottoriTottori PrefecturePrefecture isis sunnysunny andand warmwarm inin thethe summersummer andand snowysnowy inin thethe winterwinter becausebecause ofof thethe monsoonmonsoon fromfrom thethe northwest.northwest. TheThe penetrationpenetration raterate ofof airair conditionersconditioners inin thethe TottoriTottori PrefecturePrefecture (2014)(2014) waswas 87.1%87.1% (the(the nationalnational average,average, 86.4%)86.4%) [ 24[24].]. OutOut of of 47 47 prefectures, prefectures, the the Tottori Tottori Prefecture Prefecture had had the the highest highest number number of heatof heat stroke stroke emergency emergency transports transports per 100,000 per 100,000 population population (May–September) (May–September) in 2019 in (76.69) 2019 and(76.69) ranked and ranked eighth ineighth
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