MoARD, DRMFSS- Early Warning and Response Directorare

Early Warning and Response Bulletin, May 2010

Contents Early Warning and Response Summary for March 2010 ...... 2

Weather Conditions ...... 2 The Early Warning and Response Bulletin Agricultural Conditions ...... 3 is prepared by the Early Warning and Response Directorate to coordinate and Livestock Conditions ...... 4 disseminate early warning and food Markets ...... 4 security information.

Nutrition Situation & Response ...... 7 For any comments, questions or Emergency Response ...... 8 suggestions and/or to receive the bulletin on your email please write to [email protected]

If you are planning to contribute to the response effort, please inform DRMFSS by writing to [email protected]

2 Early Warning and Response Bulletin, May 2010

Early Warning and Response Summary for May 2010

 The performance of May 2010 rain was favorable for long cycle crop planting (maize & sorghum), land preparation for meher planting, and belg crop development. Exceptions were some areas in Tigray and Gambella Regions, which had inadequate rainfall during the month;

 Infestations of army worms on growing sorghum, maize and pasture land were reported in many parts of the country;

 Shortage of water and pasture were reported during the month in South and North Gondar

zones and some woredas of Benshangul Gumuz;

 Negative food inflation of -4.9% has been recorded for April 2010 by CSA. In April, average prices of sorghum and maize in Tigray, and SNNP have been lower than in March;

 In Oromia region, Kersa (East Haraghe Zone) esperienced both low supply of maize and high month-to-month inflation in the price of maize;

 Average shoat-to-maize ToTs in April have been improving over their March values in Oromia, SNNP and Tigray;

 Based on the May 2010 data, there were a total of 17,882 severely malnourished children admitted in 5,007 TFP sites in the four regions (SNNP, Tigray, Oromia and Amhara). Admissions have been increasing in Oromia compared to April;

 The number of priority 1 woredas with neither TFP nor TSF increased from 15 to 17 (out of 196) by the end of April;

 Nutrition interventions are planned in 4 priority 1 weredas (Meiso, Tullo, Goba Koricha and Mesela) of East Harerghe zone in Oromia region;

 Funding gaps remain for the food sector (12.870 million USD), the education sector (3.541 million

USD), the health and nutrition sector (16.089 million USD) and the WASH sector (1.857 million USD). Pledges in the agriculture sector have exceeded estimated net requirements.

Weather Conditions dekad of the month. North Shoa, South West Shoa, East Shoa, and West Arsi received rain in According to Regional reports, the performance the second dekad of the month. Horo Gudru of May 2010 rainfall was mixed. Wellega, East Wellega, West Wellega, Borena, , Illubabor, West Shoa, Arsi, Bale, West In SNNP, all zones and most Special weredas Hararghe, and East Hararghe zones reported to received medium to heavy rainfall in the month. have received rain in the third dekad of the Different areas in Oromia region also received month. medium to heavy rain in one of the dekades of North Wello, South Gondar, West and East the month. Kellem Wellega had rain in the first Gojjam zones of Amahara Region had rainfall

Early Warning and Response Directorate, DRMFSS, MoARD 3 Early Warning and Response Bulletin, May 2010

throughout the month. The other zones received Similarly some areas in Gambella, Benshangul rains either in the second and/or first dekades of Gumuz and Harari Regions and Dire Dawa Council the month. The rains were light to medium, and received light to heavy rainfall (Harari) during the irregular in distribution. first half of the month.

A number of weredas in different parts of experienced erratic, light to medium and occasionally heavy rains during the month.

Most areas in Somali, and Asayita, Dubti, Alidar, Mille, Gewane and Awash weredas of Afar reported to have experienced irregular rainfall during the first half of the month. underway during the month. According to the regional report, a total of 3,637,892 hectares Agricultural Conditions were cultivated for meher planting until end of May 2010. Out of these, 962,746 hectares were As per the regional reports, the weather reported to have been planted with long cycle condition during the month was, in general, and other meher crops favorable for long cycle crop planting (maize & In Tigray Region, out of the total area planned sorghum), land preparation for meher planting, and belg crop development. Exceptions were for belg season planting (27,580 hectares), 13,908 hectares have been covered, according to some areas in Tigray and Gambella Regions, reports, with maize, sorghum, teff, barley and which had inadequate rainfall during the month. crops. These crops were at different The belg crops including maize, teff, barley, growth stages (ripening, fruiting, maturing and sorghum, haricot bean, beans & potato were at harvesting) during the reporting period. In grain filling, and harvesting stages in most belg addition to this a total of 110,126 hectares were growing areas of SNNP during the month. covered with meher crops and these crops were Harvesting of teff, barley, beans and root crops reported to be at seedling and vegetative stages. were underway in most parts of the Region. Long In belg benefiting areas of such cycle crops such as maize and sorghum were at seedling and vegetative stages in many meher as North Shoa, Oromia, South Wello and North Wello zones, out of the total area planned for benefiting areas of the region. The rains during 2010 belg season ( 279,514 ha.), 220,857 the month reported to have hampered hectares were covered with belg crops. Most of harvesting of belg crops such as teff and haricot bean in Guraghe, Sidama, and Gedio zones, and these crops were at flowering, fruiting and harvesting stages. Additionally, 476,611 hectares Burji, and Derashe special weredas. Similarly, the were covered with long cycle crops during the sporadically heavy rains in Keffa, Shekka, and Bench Maji zones, and Yem Special weredas also month. reported to have affected meher land Land preparation and planting of different meher preparation. crops were also underway in Gambella, Benishangul-Gumuz, Harari Regions, and Dire Belg crops in Oromia Region were reported to be at flowering and grain filling stages during the Dawa council during the reporting period. reporting period. Land preparation for meher According to reports received from Regions, crop planting and planting of meher crops were supply of improved seeds and fertilizers for

Early Warning and Response Directorate, DRMFSS, MoARD 4 Early Warning and Response Bulletin, May 2010

meher season planting were underway in many weredas) and Harari Regions as well had similar parts of the country during the month problem in the month.

In general, the infestation was widespread, and observed on different crops including sorghum Migratory Pests and maize, and grazing. The infestation in most There were no reports of desert locust and quela areas was put under control by using pesticides quela birds’ infestation in May 2010. Reports of and traditional control methods. army worm infestation were, however, received

from different parts of the country as indicated below. Livestock Conditions Reports of army worm infestation were received from 3 weredas of Guraghe zone, Lanfro and Silti As per the reports received from Regions, except weredas of Silti, Damot, Pulasa and for some pockets where there was moisture weredas of Wellayita Keffa and Alaba zones, and stress, the pasture and water situation was in Burji special weredas of SNNP. general favorable in most parts of the country during the month. These include most pastoral Similarly in Oromia Region, army worm and agro-pastoral areas where shortage of water infestations were reported from Habru wereda of and pasture were reported in the previous West Hararghe, six weredas of East Hararghe, months. Exceptions were some areas in North Yaya Gulle and weredas of North Shoa, Gondar & South Gonder zones of Amhara, and eight weredas of East Shoa, Arero and Dire Benshangul Gumuz Regions where shortage of weredas of Borena, Ababo Gudru and Abe water and/or pasture were reported during the Dengoro of Horo Gudru Wellega , West Wellega, month. Except for endemic diseases, there were five weredas of Illubabor, five weredas of Kellem no reports of livestock health problems at Wellega, Ziway wereda of Arsi, Liben and epidemic level during the month. Gordola weredas of Guji, Dachi wereda of South West Shoa, three weredas of Jimma, six weredas of West Shoa, three weredas of East Hararghe, and four weredas of West Arsi zones .

Similar problem was also noted in Alamata and Markets Enda Mehoni weredas of Southern Zone of Tigray Region. a. Nominal Prices of Cereals, April 2010

In Amahara Region, 13 weredas from North Shoa, According to CSA, the 12 month moving average four weredas from Oromia, four weredas from inflation rate for stood at 2.9 percent in South Wello, three weredas from North Wello, April 2010. This is below the 3.9% value in March one wereda from Wag Hamera, one wereda from 2010 and confirms the declining trend in the South Gondar, four weredas from North Gondar, magnitude of inflation which started in March and ten weredas from East Gojjam reported the 2009. General prices are still increasing, but at occurrences of armyworm infestation during the decreasing rate. month. In particular, CSA reported a -4.9% inflation rate Different areas in Benshangul-Gumuz and for food commodities. Such negative inflation Gambella (Gog, Abobo, Gambella Zuria and Etang rate implies a decrease in nominal prices for food. Negative food inflation has been registered

Early Warning and Response Directorate, DRMFSS, MoARD 5 Early Warning and Response Bulletin, May 2010

since February 2010. This signals some reversion Table 1: Regional Averages of Nominal Maize of the food price hikes caused by 2008 food price and Sorghum Prices, Price Changes and Supply crisis. (April 2010)

The April 2010 food price index for Ethiopia is Oromia SNNP Tigray

0.8% lower than in April 2009. This decrease is Nominal Price being driven mainly by a fall in the cereal price for Maize Apr index (minus 15.6%) and by a smaller fall in the 2010 (Birr/qtl) 275 271 411 potatoes, tubers and stems index (minus 2.3%). Maize Price increase over Regional food price indices show a more Apr 06-09 heterogeneous picture. Compared to April 2009, average 24% 17% 37% the regional food price indices for April 2010 have Maize Price risen in (6.2%), Afar (13.4%), Dire Increase over Dawa (1.9%), Harari (5.6%) and Somali (3.8%). All Mar 2010 -3% -2% -1% other regions have experienced a decline in the Maize Average April 2010 food price index compared to April in Supply Rating 2.98 2.89 3.24 the previous year. Nominal Price As can be seen from table 1, which contains data for Sorghum from DRMFSS Early Warning system, month- Apr 2010 (Birr/qtl) 327 273 473 month price change in Sorghum and Maize were on average negative in the three monitored Sorghum Price regions. increase over Apr 06-09 average 30% 16% 43% Average nominal price changes for maize over a 5-year April average were closely 24% in Oromia, Soghum Price 17% in SNNP, and 37% in Tigray. Average Increase over nominal sorghum prices in Oromia were 30% Mar 2010 -3% -6% -3% above the April 5-year average. In SNNP they Sorghum were 16% and in Tigray 43% above the long term Average April average. Supply Rating 3.02 2.93 3.33 Source: Early Warning and Response Directorate’s Early Warning System On average, supply greater than normal was registered for maize and sorghum in SNNP and for maize in Oromia. Sorghum in Tigray and b. Supply ratings and Inflation: Worst maize in Tigray and Oromia had on average Affected Woredas slightly below normal supply ratings. In Oromia region Kersa (East Haraghe Zone) esperienced both low supply and high month-to- month price change in maize.

Bekoji, and Digeluna (), Berbere (), Odo shakiso and Uraga (), Kurfa Chele (East Harerghe) in Oromia; Bench (Bench Maji zone) Yirgachefe (Gedio zone) and Cheha (Guraghe zone) in SNNP

Early Warning and Response Directorate, DRMFSS, MoARD 6 Early Warning and Response Bulletin, May 2010

and Tahtay machew (Central Tigray) showed Table 2: Regional Averages of Nominal Shoat month-to-month nominal inflation in the price of Prices, Price Changes and Supply, April 2010 maize above 20%. Kurfa Chele (East Hararghe), Oromia SNNPR Tigray Ale and Gechi Borecha (Illubador zone) and Meta

robi (West zone) in Oromia showed Nominal month-to-month nominal inflation in the price of Price for 1 Shoat 348 360 329 sorghum above 20%. Shoat price increase c. Terms of Trade: Shoats to cereal1 over Apr 06-09 avg 26% 19% 13%

As can be seen in tables 2-3, prices of shoats have Shoat price experienced average month-to-month decreases increase in Oromia and SNNP and increases in Tigray. over Mar 2010 -1% -4% 4% Average supply ratings were very close to “normal” in each of the three regions. Supply rating for Month-to-month ToT changes were on average Shoat 2.9 2.9 3.0 Source: Early Warning and Response Directorate’s Early positive in the three regions. This means that Warning System shoat-to-maize ToTs in April have been

improving over their March values. Table 3: Regional Averages of Shoat to Maize Whereas in Tigray shoat-to-maize ToTs for April and Sheep to Maize ToT and of ToT Changes, remain below the April 5 year average, in Oromia April 2010 and SNNP average ToTs are now above to their Oromia SNNPR Tigray long term monthly average, by 8% in Oromia and

4% in SNNP. Nominal ToT shoat to maize 1.43 1.48 0.85

Apr 2010 shoat-maize ToT change over Apr 06-09 avg 8% 4% -20% Apr 2010 shoat-maize ToT change

over Mar

2010 3% 1% 7% Source: Early Warning and Response Directorate’s Early Warning System

1 Shoat prices are calculated as the average of sheep and goat prices, when both are available. Alternatively they take only the value of the single available sheep or goat price.

Early Warning and Response Directorate, DRMFSS, MoARD 7 Early Warning and Response Bulletin, May 2010

Nutrition Situation & Response programmatic reasons especially in Oromia region. Overall woredas with TSF, TFP or a Situation combination of both decreased by 2 percentage points from 93 percent to 91 percent in April and th Based on the May TFP data updated as of 28 May respectively. There was no change in general 2 June , there were a total of 17,882 severely food distribution in priority 1 woredas and malnourished children admitted in 5,007 TFP coverage was maintained at 90 percent in two sites in the four regions. The overall reporting months in a row. Distribution of intervention rate increased slightly from 71.2 in April to 73.3 coverage in priority 1 woreda is shown in the percent in May. However, the number of the TFP table below. reporting sites increased by 9 percent from 4,588 to 5,007 in April and May respectively. As Table 4: Coverage of nutrition interventions (TFP expected, TFP admissions usually start showing and SFP) in hotspot priority 1 woredas, May 3 an increasing trend in May and continue up to 2010 in six regions August before decreasing in September. For no example, TFP admissions in Oromia increased by TFP SFP TFP TFP Region Priority and and 18.4 percent from 4,688 in April to 5,552 in May and and 1 no no with relatively similar reporting rate. In SNNP, SFP no SFP TFP trend can be described as stable. In Tigray, TFP SFP admissions decreased considerably by about 37 percent to from 1,957 in April to 1,234 in May 76 34 31 0 11 Oromia with over 80 percent reporting in both months. (45) (41) (0) (14)

Response 25 17 6 1 1 Amhara The ENCU/DRMFSS have been tracking coverage (68) (24) (4) (4) of nutrition interventions in particular in priority 1 woredas on monthly basis with particular focus 16 15 1 0 0 Tigray in the major six regions (SNNP, Oromia, Tigray, (94) (6) (0) (0) Somali, Afar and Amhara) as they are considered more seriously affected in terms of food security 29 29 0 0 0 SNNP and nutrition situation relative to the others. The (100) (0) (0) (0) monitoring and update of the interventions coverage is done at regional level by the regional 39 19 10 8 2( ENCU taking into consideration of all nutrition Somali (49) (29) (21) 5) interventions implemented by the government and those implemented by NGOs. Based on the 11 4 1 3 3 May update, priority 1 woredas covered by a Afar combination of TFP and TSF increased slightly (36) (9) (27) (27) from 58 percent in April to 60 percent in May 196 118 49 12 17 maintaining a continuous increase since March Total 2010. Woredas with neither TFP nor TSF (60) (25) (6) (9) increased slightly as well from 15 to 17 due

2 At the time of preparing the May update, comprehensive reporting had been received from four 3 Absolute numbers are reported. Percentages are in regions only (Tigray, SNNP, Amhara and Oromia). brackets.

Early Warning and Response Directorate, DRMFSS, MoARD 8 Early Warning and Response Bulletin, May 2010

Moreover, the nutrition cluster under the decentralizing the management of severe acute coordination of the ENCU/DRMFSS reviewed an malnutrition at community level through the OTP application from IMC for implementing roll out strategy. The ultimate goal is to provide emergency nutrition interventions in four and reach all vulnerable children across the woredas in Oromia region following poor country with life saving nutrition interventions. standard assessment results in Meiso woreda and deterioration of food security situation in other three woredas (Tullo, Goba Koricha and Mesela) Emergency Response in West Hararghe. All the four woreda are classified as priority number 1 according to the As of the end of May 2010, dispatch of the 3rd March 2010 hotspot woreda list released by the round of aid (Yakatit) reached 84% completion. ENCU/DRMFSS. The application was approved by the UN OCHA led HRF board and preparations for As can be seen from table 5, funding gaps remain the interventions commenced. for the food sector (12.870 million USD), the education sector (3.541 million USD), the health The capacity to manage cases of severe acute and nutrition sector (16.089 million USD) and the malnutrition in children continued to expand in WASH sector (1.857 million USD). Pledges in the the country. The number of TFP sites increased agriculture sector have exceeded estimated net by 6.3 percent from 6,619 in April to 7,036 requirements. towards the end of May. As it has been explained previously, the FMOH in collaboration with More details about the pledges can be found in partners are implementing the FMOH strategy for the appendix in tables 6-10.

Table 5: Pledges against Net Requirements in the various Intervention Sectors, as of June 25

Net Tentative Requirement Pledges Gap Food 542,310,063 529,439,127 12,870,936 Agriculture 10,606,074 11,027,246 no gap Education 4,041,501 500,022 3,541,479 Health & Nutrition 31,037,209 14,947,437 16,089,772 WASH 9,392,143 7,534,249 1,857,894

The 2010 Humanitarian Requirement Document has been released in February 2010 by DRMFSS and is available on the website www.dppc.gov.et. Donors are encouraged to communicate their pledges to DRMFSS by writing to [email protected] and [email protected].

Early Warning and Response Directorate, DRMFSS, MoARD 9 Early Warning and Response Bulletin, May 2010

Appendix

Table 6: Pledges for the Food Sector in response to the 2010 Humanitarial Requirement, as of June 25 2010, source: DRMFSS

Estimated Quantity Donor Implementer Category Value (MT)

USA CRS General Relief 125,000,000 227,870

USA WFP General Relief 1,850,000 2,164

DFID WFP General Relief 32,000,000 57,015

ECHO WFP General Relief 17,543,859 35,399

ECHO WFP TSF 5,398,111 17,274

France WFP TSF 1,515,152 1,807

Spain WFP TSF 13,247,313 17,274

Spain WFP General Relief 26,693,515 39,008

HRF WFP General Relief 1,731,080 2,500

CERF WFP TSF 4,906,639 5,850

Ireland Christian Aid General Ration 284,661 375

EC COOPI General Relief 1,120,448 1,470

Sudan WFP General Relief 2,675,000 5,000

Denmark WFP TSF 2,000,000 2,462

Sub-total 235,965,778 415,468

USA CRS General Relief 25,735,100 46,000

USA WFP General Relief 174,992,100 250,159

Australia WFP General Relief 5,494,505 7,169

ECHO WFP General Relief 6,084,884 7,727

Netherlands WFP General Relief 1,470,588 2,081

DFID WFP General Relief 36,727,497 62,206

Germany WFP General Relief 12,048,193 19,874

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Denmark WFP TSF 1,069,258 845

Private Donor WFP TSF 60,241 69

Belgium WFP TSF 739,645 882

Sub-total 264,423,011 397,012

WFP General Relief 3,935,417 4,383

WFP General Relief 16,490,316 24,563

WFP TSF 5,747,218 7,481

WFP TSF 2,877,387 3,035

Sub-total 29,050,338 39,462

Total 529,439,127 851,942

Early Warning and Response Directorate, DRMFSS, MoARD 11 Early Warning and Response Bulletin, May 2010

Table 7: Pledges for the Agriculture Sector in response to the 2010 Humanitarial Requirement, as of June 25 2010, source: DRMFSS

Donor Implementer Specific Sector Committed Region (USD)

CERF FAO Crop, livestock 1,868,220 Amaha, Tigray, Afar, Gambella, Oromia, Somali

Norway FAO Livestock, water 714,005 Afar

Rocker Feller FAO Crop, livestock 379,000 SNNP,Oromia, Somali Foundation

ECHO FAO Crop, livestock 2,700,000 Amhara,Tigray,Somali, Afar, Oromia, Gambella, Dire Dawa

HRF FAO Livestock 655,149 Afar

ECHO Goal Agriculture 1,349,528 Oromia, SNNP

USAID Mercy Corps Agriculture 164,802 Somali

HRF CARE Livestock 674,562 Afar

HRF SSA* Livestock 159,459 Afar

HRF Farm Africa Livestock 687,425 Afar

HRF SC UK Livestock 695,023 Afar

HRF SC USA Livestock 662,492 Somali

HRF S. Purse Livestock 317,581 Gambella

Total 11,027,246

*SSA (Bread for the World).

Early Warning and Response Directorate, DRMFSS, MoARD 12 Early Warning and Response Bulletin, May 2010

Table 8: Pledges for the Health and Nutrition Sector in response to the 2010 Humanitarial Requirement, as of June 25 2010, source: DRMFSS

Donor Implementer Specific Sector Committed Region (USD)

USA CONCERN Nutrition 1,000,000

USA IMC Nutrition 800,000

HRF CARE Nutrition 692,392 Oromia

HRF World Vision Nutrition 215,706 Amhara, Tigray

HRF World Vision Nutrition 241,183

HRF Islamic Relief Nutrition 301,422 Somali

HRF S. Purse Nutrition 311,149 Gambella

HRF SC US Nutrition 782,187 Afar, Somali

HRF CONCERN Nutrition 211,510 Oromia

Japan UNICEF Health, Nutrition 5,000,000 Countrywide

SNNP, Oromia, Afar, Somali CERF UNICEF Health (Measles) 979,086

CERF UNICEF Health 297,046 Countrywide

CERF UNICEF Health (EOS) 1,350,246 Oromia

CERF WHO Health 350,000 Countrywide

CERF WHO AWD, Meningitis 1,003,810 Countrywide

France UNICEF Nutrition 539,812 Countrywide

UK National Committee UNICEF Health/Nutrition 52,111 Countrywide

Canada MSF Health 844,278

Total 14,947,437

Early Warning and Response Directorate, DRMFSS, MoARD 13 Early Warning and Response Bulletin, May 2010

Table 9: Pledges for the Wash Sector in response to the 2010 Humanitarial Requirement, as of June 25 2010, source: DRMFSS

Donor Implementer Specific Sector Committed Region (USD)

ECHO AC la Faim WASH 1,190,476 Oromia

ECHO COOPI WASH 1,079,622 Somali

Canada OXFAM Canada WASH 844,278 Somali, Oromia

CERF UNICEF WASH 2,674,967 Countrywide

CERF WHO WASH 321,000 Countrywide

HRF SSA* WASH 159,459 Afar

HRF Help Age WASH 244,844 Oromia

HRF Pact Ethiopia WASH 466,600 SNNP

HRF People in Need WASH 553,003

Total 7,534,249

Table 10: Pledges for the Education Sector in response to the 2010 Humanitarial Requirement, as of June 25 2010, source: DRMFSS

Specific Committed Activity Donor Implementer (USD) Region

CERF UNICEF Education 500,022 Country wide

Total 500,022

Early Warning and Response Directorate, DRMFSS, MoARD 14 Early Warning and Response Bulletin, May 2010

Table 11: List of Monitored Woredas and Selected Figures for Sorghum and Maize, April 20104

Nominal Nominal Supply Price of Maize Price Price of Sorghum Price Supply Rating Region Zone Woreda Maize Apr Change over Apr Sorghum Apr Change over Apr Rating for for 2010 average 2010 average Sorghum Maize5 (Birr/quintal) (Birr/quintal) Angolelaterana Amhara North Shewa Amhara North Shewa 400 96.7% 3 650 164.6% 3 Amhara North Shewa Basona Werena 425 152.5% 3 650 167.1% 3 Amhara North Shewa 645 223.3% 3 570 132.7% 3 Amhara North Shewa Efratana gidim 343 64.1% 3 526 87.4% 3 Amhara North Shewa 340 36.2% 3 395 50.0% 3 Mafud mezezo Amhara North Shewa 315 94.8% 2 315 85.3% 2 mojana wadera Amhara Oromia Artuma fursina 273 38.2% 3 375 57.1% 3 Oromia Arsi 340 21.4% 3 350 19.7% 3 Oromia Arsi 300 87.5% 3 280 62.3% 3 Oromia Arsi 320 6.7% 3 Oromia Arsi Chole 240 19.0% 3 295 47.0% 3 Oromia Arsi 445 118.4% 3 420 89.5% 3 Oromia Arsi Dodotana 280 35.1% 3 349 29.2% 3 Oromia Arsi Gedeb 320 -8.6% 3 Oromia Arsi 400 77.8% 3 410 78.9% 3 Oromia Arsi 290 59.6% 3 Oromia Arsi 300 28.3% 3 330 45.6% 3 Oromia Arsi Kofele 270 62.0% 3 Oromia Arsi 310 57.0% 4 430 67.0% 4 Oromia Arsi 400 175.9% 5 450 209.5% 5 Oromia Arsi 300 23.7% 3 380 -5.0% 3 Oromia Arsi 280 40.0% 3 300 48.5% 3 Oromia Arsi 430 74.6% 3 395 44.1% 3 Oromia Arsi 350 55.6% 3 410 125.0% 3 Oromia Arsi 300 81.8% 3 350 61.0% 3 Oromia Arsi 310 59.0% 4 Oromia Bale Adaba 390 3 390 3 Oromia Bale 345 148.2% 3 384 92.0% 3 Oromia Bale Berbere 240 56.7% 2 Oromia Bale Dodola 370 146.7% 3 390 3 Oromia Bale Ginir 460 118.0% 3 Oromia Bale Guradamole 300 84.2% 3 300 85.3% 3 Oromia Bale Kokosa 400 64.8% 1 Oromia Bale Nensebo 179 12.1% 3 275 -54.2% 3

4 A blank cell corresponds to a figure that is not available.

5 Notice the scale used for the supply rating. 5 corresponds to “very low”; 4 to “low”; 3 to “average”; 2 to “high” and 1 to “very high”.

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Nominal Nominal Supply Price of Maize Price Price of Sorghum Price Supply Rating Region Zone Woreda Maize Apr Change over Apr Sorghum Apr Change over Apr Rating for for 2010 average 2010 average Sorghum Maize (Birr/quintal) (Birr/quintal) Oromia Bale Raytu 433 176.7% 4 433 166.1% 4 Oromia Borena Adolana wadera 300 81.5% 3 Oromia Borena Arero 320 31.3% 3 Oromia Borena Dire 400 123.6% 2 Oromia Borena Liben 350 87.5% 3 Oromia Borena Moyale 310 23.1% 3 Oromia Borena Odo shakiso 315 36.8% 3 Oromia Borena Teltele 334 103.5% 3 185 -31.6% 4 Oromia Borena Uraga 185 22.3% 3 Oromia Borena Yabelo 280 24.4% 4 Oromia East Hararghe Babile 310 24.6% 3 330 26.9% 3 Oromia East Hararghe Bedeno 450 82.4% 3 500 85.2% 3 Oromia East Hararghe Deder 320 23.1% 3 500 50.9% 3 Oromia East Hararghe Girawa 400 88.4% 3 500 119.0% 3 Oromia East Hararghe Goro gutu 345 52.3% 4 520 93.7% 4 Oromia East Hararghe Gursum 350 37.3% 3 450 73.5% 3 Oromia East Hararghe Jarso 350 64.1% 3 450 82.4% 3 Oromia East Hararghe Kersa 450 87.0% 4 450 83.7% 4 Oromia East Hararghe Kurfa chele 450 116.0% 2 450 57.9% 3 Oromia East Hararghe Malka balo 400 48.1% 3 400 43.9% 3 Oromia East Hararghe Meta 330 45.1% 3 Oromia East Shewa Ada'a chukala 350 47.4% 3 400 25.0% 3 Oromia East Shewa 300 29.0% 3 600 77.1% 3 Adami tullu jido Oromia East Shewa 270 33.7% 3 kombolcha Oromia East Shewa 250 34.2% 3 260 23.8% 2 Oromia East Shewa 250 23.5% 4 400 28.0% 4 Oromia East Shewa Dugda bora 260 32.5% 3 315 49.8% 3 Oromia East Shewa Fentale 300 29.7% 2 500 71.7% 3 Oromia East Shewa Lome 300 40.4% 3 Oromia East Shewa Shashemene 260 35.1% 4 340 50.3% 4 Oromia East Wellega Abay chomen 190 8.6% 3 Oromia East Wellega Abe dongoro 120 -23.4% 3 130 -43.8% 3 Oromia East Wellega jarte 150 57.9% 3 Oromia East Wellega leka 160 1.6% 3 150 8.3% 3 Oromia East Wellega 180 24.1% 2 180 20.0% 2 Oromia East Wellega 180 20.0% 3 180 17.1% 3 Oromia East Wellega Guto wayu 235 56.7% 3 215 41.8% 3 Oromia East Wellega 135 28.6% 3 130 11.1% 3 Oromia East Wellega 190 7.5% 2 200 12.8% 2 Oromia East Wellega Jimma horo 120 -42.5% 3 100 -16.7% 3 Oromia East Wellega Limu 150 7.1% 2 165 3.1% 2

Early Warning and Response Directorate, DRMFSS, MoARD 16 Early Warning and Response Bulletin, May 2010

Nominal Nominal Supply Price of Maize Price Price of Sorghum Price Supply Rating Region Zone Woreda Maize Apr Change over Apr Sorghum Apr Change over Apr Rating for for 2010 average 2010 average Sorghum Maize (Birr/quintal) (Birr/quintal) Oromia East Wellega 150 4.7% 1 170 13.3% 1 Oromia East Wellega 130 -29.3% 3 135 -16.9% 3 Oromia East Wellega 180 9.9% 3 200 29.4% 3 Oromia Illubabor Ale 180 3.0% 3 250 -1.3% 3 Oromia Illubabor Bedele 160 -4.5% 2 150 -4.0% 2 Oromia Illubabor Chora 220 29.4% 3 Oromia Illubabor Dedesa 240 28.6% 3 360 12.5% 3 Oromia Illubabor Dega 155 2.5% 3 125 -23.1% 3 Oromia Illubabor Gechi Borecha 180 0.0% 3 360 87.0% 3 Oromia Illubabor Halu Bure 200 19.4% 3 145 1.2% 3 Oromia Illubabor Metu 200 14.3% 3 450 60.2% 3 Oromia Illubabor Yayu 180 12.5% 3 320 26.7% 3 Oromia Jima Dedo 240 63.6% 3 360 103.8% 3 Oromia Jima Gera 180 28.6% 2 Oromia Jima Kersa 198 73.7% 3 186 -1.2% 3 Oromia Jima Mana 225 16.4% 3 400 31.9% 3 Oromia Jima Omonada 180 26.8% 3 200 46.3% 3 Oromia Jima Seka chekorsa 204 47.8% 3 270 66.7% 3 Oromia Jima Setema 120 -26.5% 3 120 -28.7% 3 Oromia Jima Sokoru 240 34.8% 3 220 49.7% 3 Oromia Jima Tiro afeta 180 13.2% 1 350 49.6% 1 North West Oromia Abichuna gnea Shewa North West Oromia Degem 370 47.3% 3 Shewa North West Oromia Hidabu abote 500 55.3% 3 Shewa North West Oromia Kembibit Shewa North West Oromia Kuyu 350 46.8% 3 430 65.9% 3 Shewa North West Oromia Wara jarso 310 29.8% 3 473 90.2% 3 Shewa North West Oromia Wuchalena jido 320 -14.9% 3 Shewa North West Yaya gulelena Oromia 340 34.0% 3 440 37.0% 3 Shewa d/libanos West Oromia Boke 200 0.3% 3 350 30.2% 3 Hararghe West Oromia Chiro 300 30.4% 4 400 53.8% 4 Hararghe West Oromia 300 32.6% 3 500 55.0% 3 Hararghe West Oromia Doba 330 42.7% 4 380 48.3% 4 Hararghe West Oromia Goba koricha 370 68.7% 3 400 52.4% 3 Hararghe West Oromia Habro 320 48.8% 3 430 67.8% 3 Hararghe West Oromia Mesela 350 32.1% 3 400 24.0% 3 Hararghe West Oromia Tulo 330 72.2% 4 550 127.3% 3 Hararghe

Early Warning and Response Directorate, DRMFSS, MoARD 17 Early Warning and Response Bulletin, May 2010

Nominal Nominal Supply Price of Maize Price Price of Sorghum Price Supply Rating Region Zone Woreda Maize Apr Change over Apr Sorghum Apr Change over Apr Rating for for 2010 average 2010 average Sorghum Maize (Birr/quintal) (Birr/quintal) Oromia West Shewa 250 36.2% 2 340 56.1% 2 Oromia West Shewa Ambo 260 45.8% 3 265 16.9% 3 Oromia West Shewa 200 26.0% 4 240 33.3% 4 Oromia West Shewa 250 23.5% 3 420 86.3% 4 Oromia West Shewa 250 20.5% 3 400 75.6% 3 Oromia West Shewa 320 -8.6% 3 350 0.0% 3 Oromia West Shewa 360 58.2% 4 350 48.1% 4 Oromia West Shewa Oromia West Shewa 260 -13.3% 3 320 6.7% 3 Oromia West Shewa 280 17.3% 3 262 0.8% 3 Oromia West Shewa Walisona goro 310 57.6% 3 Oromia West Shewa 330 49.2% 3 Oromia West Wellega Anfilo 250 38.9% 3 450 83.7% 3 Oromia West Wellega Gimbi 200 13.2% 3 220 23.4% 3 Oromia West Wellega Jarso 172 1.4% 3 193 -14.7% 3 Oromia West Wellega Jimma gidami 120 2.9% 2 120 9.1% 2 Oromia West Wellega Lalo asabi 200 11.1% 3 250 69.5% 3 Oromia West Wellega Mana sibu 180 -12.2% 3 160 -39.6% 3 Oromia West Wellega Nejo 196 10.4% 3 258 43.1% 3 Oromia West Wellega Sayo 170 25.9% 2 180 2.9% 2 Oromia West Wellega Yubdo 250 17.6% 3 315 21.2% 3 SNNPR Amaro Amaro 269 83.4% 3 300 41.3% 3 SNNPR Bench Maji Bench 200 25.0% 3 SNNPR Bench Maji Sheko 125 -10.7% 3 125 -26.5% 3 SNNPR Burji Burji 313 49.8% 3 300 116.9% 4 SNNPR Derashie Dirashie 300 47.5% 4 400 67.8% 4 SNNPR Gedio Bule SNNPR Gedio Kochere 300 87.5% 3 SNNPR Gedio Wenago 300 14.8% 3 450 32.4% 3 SNNPR Gedio Yirgachefe 300 46.3% 3 SNNPR Guraghe Cheha 275 31.0% 2 323 2 SNNPR Guraghe Dalocha 280 37.7% 3 255 55.3% 3 SNNPR Guraghe Enemorna eaner 343 52.3% 3 SNNPR Guraghe Ezhana wolene 300 17.4% 3 SNNPR Guraghe Gumer SNNPR Guraghe Lanfro 288 38.8% 3 250 46.3% 3 Meskanena SNNPR Guraghe 290 53.6% 2 mareko SNNPR Guraghe Selti 350 64.7% 3 350 79.5% 3 SNNPR Guraghe Sodo 3 305 50.6% 3 SNNPR Hadiya Badawacho 280 29.4% 3 SNNPR Hadiya Duna 300 49.1% 3 350 200.0% 3

Early Warning and Response Directorate, DRMFSS, MoARD 18 Early Warning and Response Bulletin, May 2010

Nominal Nominal Supply Price of Maize Price Price of Sorghum Price Supply Rating Region Zone Woreda Maize Apr Change over Apr Sorghum Apr Change over Apr Rating for for 2010 average 2010 average Sorghum Maize (Birr/quintal) (Birr/quintal) SNNPR Hadiya Gibea 280 31.8% 3 260 57.6% 3 SNNPR Hadiya Limo 300 44.6% 3 SNNPR Hadiya Sashego 300 68.9% 3 240 104.3% 3 SNNPR Hadiya Soro 335 56.7% 3 265 51.4% 3 SNNPR Kaffa Shaka Chena 130 -29.7% 3 125 -26.5% 3 SNNPR Kaffa Shaka Decha 120 -11.1% 4 170 9.7% 3 SNNPR Kaffa Shaka Gesha 3 SNNPR Kaffa Shaka Gimbo SNNPR Kaffa Shaka Masha anderacha 150 7.1% 3 SNNPR Kaffa Shaka Telo 100 -42.9% 2 100 -50.3% 2 SNNPR Kaffa Shaka Yeki 150 7.1% 3 135 -28.9% 3 Kambat Alaba SNNPR Alaba 280 47.4% 3 3 Timbaro Kambat Alaba SNNPR Angacha 290 32.3% 2 272 29.8% 2 Timbaro Kambat Alaba SNNPR Kacha bira 285 64.1% 2 230 3 Timbaro Kambat Alaba SNNPR Kedida gamela 290 37.1% 3 Timbaro SNNPR Konso Konso 354 49.8% 3 404 66.1% 3 SNNPR North Omo zuria 300 28.3% 2 400 42.2% 2 SNNPR North Omo Basketo 230 13.1% 2 180 12.5% 2 SNNPR North Omo 303 37.9% 3 SNNPR North Omo 320 48.8% 3 300 44.6% 3 SNNPR North Omo abaya 333 77.6% 3 333 81.2% 3 SNNPR North Omo 300 44.6% 3 SNNPR North Omo Damot gale 300 30.4% 3 SNNPR North Omo 350 63.4% 3 320 3 SNNPR North Omo dermalo 325 36.8% 3 SNNPR North Omo 380 92.9% 3 480 98.9% 3 SNNPR North Omo 140 -9.2% 4 134 3.1% 4 SNNPR North Omo 300 44.0% 3 500 127.3% 3 SNNPR North Omo 280 38.3% 3 200 3 SNNPR North Omo 245 33.6% 3 SNNPR North Omo bosa 215 67.5% 3 185 19.4% 3 SNNPR North Omo gena 240 33.3% 2 160 -24.7% 2 SNNPR North Omo Melokoza 200 -4.8% 3 150 -9.1% 3 SNNPR North Omo 278 34.8% 3 300 57.9% 5 SNNPR North Omo 290 43.2% 3 275 48.6% 3 SNNPR North Omo ubamale 210 29.6% 3 200 33.3% 3 SNNPR Sidamo Aleta wendo 310 52.1% 3 277 7.9% 3 SNNPR Sidamo Arbegona 260 10.6% 3 SNNPR Sidamo Aroresa 250 37.9% 3 SNNPR Sidamo Awasa 275 26.8% 3 SNNPR Sidamo Bensa 290 45.9% 3

Early Warning and Response Directorate, DRMFSS, MoARD 19 Early Warning and Response Bulletin, May 2010

Nominal Nominal Supply Price of Maize Price Price of Sorghum Price Supply Rating Region Zone Woreda Maize Apr Change over Apr Sorghum Apr Change over Apr Rating for for 2010 average 2010 average Sorghum Maize (Birr/quintal) (Birr/quintal) SNNPR Sidamo Dale 340 49.5% 3 410 56.9% 3 SNNPR Sidamo Dara 260 14.7% 3 SNNPR Sidamo Hula 310 66.1% 3 SNNPR South Omo Hamer bena 260 20.0% 3 280 28.7% 3 SNNPR Yem Yem 270 28.6% 1 210 22.4% 1 Tigray Central Tigray 562 141.8% 3 371 29.4% 3 Tigray Central Tigray 450 54.2% 3 469 60.3% 3 Tigray Central Tigray Degua temben 385 50.8% 3 445 147.2% 3 Tigray Central Tigray 360 77.0% 3 383 85.3% 3 (Ahferom) Tigray Central Tigray Kola temben Tigray Central Tigray 425 79.6% 3 500 130.8% 3 Tigray Central Tigray 500 111.6% 3 525 95.0% 3 Tigray Central Tigray 448 60.1% 3 592 83.9% 3 Tigray Central Tigray Werie lehe 480 130.0% 4 480 112.4% 4 Tigray East Tigray Atsbi wenberta 342 21.4% 4 370 -11.9% 4 Tigray East Tigray Erob 380 31.0% 3 380 52.0% 3 Tigray East Tigray Ganta afeshum 340 17.7% 3 340 19.3% 3 Tigray East Tigray Gulomahda 600 166.7% 4 700 4 Tigray East Tigray 640 152.2% 5 742 166.2% 5 Tigray East Tigray Saesi tsaedaemba 355 100.0% 3 360 37.1% 3 Wukro (kelete Tigray East Tigray 410 88.7% 4 awelalo) Tigray South Tigray Endamehoni 378 41.0% 2 609 91.8% 4 Tigray South Tigray Enderta 350 27.3% 3 560 55.6% 3 Tigray South Tigray Ofla 320 32.1% 3 330 23.9% 3 Tigray South Tigray Rayaazebo 366 50.9% 3 630 106.2% 4 Tigray South Tigray Samre 351 36.6% 3 514 91.8% 3 Tigray West Tigray Kafta humera 308 119.7% 3 324 71.4% 3 Tigray West Tigray Laelay adiyabo 4 490 133.3% 4 Tigray West Tigray Medebay zana 392 40.1% 3 389 36.2% 3 Tigray West Tigray Tsilemti 350 52.1% 3 462 69.9% 3 Tigray West Tigray Welkait 375 50.0% 3 375 50.0% 3

Early Warning and Response Directorate, DRMFSS, MoARD