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Report 2019 ©Australian Research Council (ARC) Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes 2020

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Report 2019 ©Australian Research Council (ARC) Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes 2020 Report 2019 ©Australian Research Council (ARC) Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes 2020 Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes Annual Report 2019 The ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Exremes is financially supported via a grant from the Australian Research Council The Centre is financed and hosted by the University of New South Wales. Collaborating partners are Monash University, the University of Melbourne, the University of Tasmania and the Australian National University. They provide significant financial support. The Centre is also financially supported by the NSW Research Attraction and Acceleration Fund, Sydney Water, NSW Office of Environment and Heritage and the Bureau of Meteorology. Photography CLEX Staff in italics Cover: Felix Mittermeier, Rae Don pg 4 Rae Don, Princes Pier Melbourne pg 6 Linden Ashcroft, Byron Sunrise Pg 34 Tony Rafter, HFCC, Elizabeth St Pier pg 36 Stephen Gray, Sunset over the Gulf of Thailand pg 38 Vicki Nunn, Wandal Rockhampton pg 45 Robert Waghorn, Magnetic Island off Townsville pg 46 Jan Le Mann, Rottnest Island Atlantic Ocean pg 54 Mike Roderick, Monaro Plains, drought pg 60 Mike Roderick, Canberra, drought pg 62 C Sharker, Coral Australia pg 64 かねのり 三浦, Indian Ocean pg 71 Stephen Gray, Meerufushi, Maldives pg 88 Sundid, Australian Sunrise pg 94 Mike Roderick, Corowa NSW, hay bales bathed in bushfire smoke pg 101 Ella Hogg, Bush boardwalk pg 105 Steven Sherwood, Central Otago Back Cover: Sunset by Bessi (Podujevë/Kosovo) Other photos: CLEX Staff including Alvin Stone. Document Report: Stephen Gray, Alvin Stone, Melissa Hart, Vilia Co, Claire Carouge and Chief Investigators Subeditor: Kathy Murfitt Design: Helena Brusic, The Imagination Agency Pty Ltd Contents Contents ............................................................................................................................................ 3 Vision Statement .................................................................................................................................................................4 Aims and Objectives ..........................................................................................................................................................5 Overview .................................................................................................................................................................................6 From the Chair of the Advisory Board ........................................................................................................................8 Director’s Report .................................................................................................................................................................9 1 ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes Strategy ....................................................................................11 Partnerships and Engagement .......................................................................................................................................12 Governance, Committees and Operations ................................................................................................................16 Organisational Chart ..........................................................................................................................................................20 Personnel ................................................................................................................................................................................21 Chief Investigator Biographies .......................................................................................................................................24 2 CLEX Annual Workshop 2019 .........................................................................................................................................34 Research Overview ........................................................................................................................... 36 RPI: Extreme Rainfalll .........................................................................................................................................................39 New dataset reveals key to Townsville flood disaster .............................................................................................45 RP 2: Heatwaves and Cold Air Outbreaks ..................................................................................................................47 Our first winner of the CLEX Career Development Award ...................................................................................53 3 RP 3: Drought .......................................................................................................................................................................55 CLEX researchers make the impossible possible ......................................................................................................62 CLEX all at sea .....................................................................................................................................................................63 RP 4: Climate Variability and Teleconnections .........................................................................................................65 Computational Modelling Support ..............................................................................................................................74 Researcher Development Program ..............................................................................................................................78 2019 Early Career Researchers Workshop ..................................................................................................................81 Student Profiles ....................................................................................................................................................................82 CLEX students organise ocean modelling school .....................................................................................................89 4 Media and Communications ..........................................................................................................................................90 SWAQ – Citizen science meets urban climate research .........................................................................................93 Knowledge Brokerage Team ...........................................................................................................................................95 Publications ...........................................................................................................................................................................96 Prizes, Outreach and Engagement ...............................................................................................................................102 2019 Key Performance Indicators .................................................................................................................................106 Financial Statements ..........................................................................................................................................................108 5 CLEX Cash Income & Expenditure ................................................................................................................................110 Vision Statement Our goal is to transform our understanding of the processes that cause climate extremes, including their dependence on climate change and variability, and to use this process-based understanding to revolutionise our capability to predict future climate extremes. Aims and Objectives The Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Combining Australia’s outstanding researchers with world- Climate Extremes is the world’s first fully integrated centre class overseas ones in CLEX will realise a unique opportunity focused explicitly on the understanding and prediction of to transform the science of climate extremes prediction. Our climate extremes. We aim to understand the processes causing legacy will be a generation of outstanding graduates and climate extremes, build this understanding into the Austra- early career researchers, along with scientific discovery and lian prediction systems, and improve our capability to predict technical innovation that will establish Australia’s leadership extremes into the future. in climate extremes and be the envy of the international community. Climate extremes are high-impact events that can range in time scales from minutes to centuries. They are estimated to have cost the global economy US$2.4 trillion between 1979 and 2012 alone. By improving our capability to predict these extremes we will inform strategies and policies to minimise these huge sums, and reduce national and global vulnerability to climate extremes and their potential costs. Our unique focus is a response to the World Climate Research Programme’s (WCRP) identification of climate extremes as a “Grand Chal- lenge”. This reflects the importance of extremes to society, the scientific challenges associated with the understanding and prediction thereof, and the lack of major, coordinated activities worldwide to address them. The Australian Research Council (ARC) Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes (CLEX) there- fore accepts the challenge set by the WCRP and will lead the charge on this globally significant
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