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London Fairness Poll Page 4 Prepared on Behalf of the London Fairness Commission 26 Apr 2016 Table 1 Q1

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London Fairness Poll Page 4 Prepared on Behalf of the London Fairness Commission 26 Apr 2016 Table 1 Q1 London Fairness Poll Methodology London Fairness Poll Page 4 Prepared on behalf of the London Fairness Commission 26 Apr 2016 Table 1 Q1. Normal weightings Q1. On a scale of 0-10, where 10 is will definitely vote and 0 is definitely won’t vote, how likely will you be to vote in those elections? Base: All respondents Total Gender Age 2015 Past Vote Mayoral First Preference London Area Ethnicity Did not East West North East West South South Mixed / Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ CON LAB LD UKIP Other CON LAB Other Und White Asian Black vote Central Central London London London West East Multiple Unweighted Total 1010 448 562 319 402 289 274 303 54 37 25 167 241 310 106 217 92 96 158 124 188 189 163 689 45 143 98 Weighted Total 1010 494 516 388 365 258 242 303 54 57 38 167 218 317 112 223 90 102 143 121 197 189 168 583 82 180 130 10 597 286 312 185 230 182 159 195 37 42 21 44 151 207 71 113 53 52 92 66 113 114 107 370 50 102 60 59.2% 57.9% 60.4% 47.7% 63.1% 70.8% 65.5% 64.3% 69.8% 73.6% 53.9% 26.4% 69.4% 65.3% 63.4% 50.8% 58.9% 51.3% 64.5% 54.4% 57.3% 60.3% 63.8% 63.5% 60.9% 56.3% 46.2% 9 49 17 32 23 18 8 7 16 3 3 4 3 8 24 3 12 7 7 5 5 7 10 9 23 4 4 15 4.8% 3.5% 6.1% 5.9% 4.9% 3.1% 3.1% 5.3% 6.1% 5.6% 11.6% 1.7% 3.7% 7.7% 2.9% 5.2% 7.9% 6.4% 3.2% 3.9% 3.7% 5.3% 5.1% 3.9% 5.0% 2.0% 11.6% 8 88 44 44 46 25 17 25 29 6 - 2 15 19 30 8 31 10 7 14 12 22 14 10 40 8 25 10 8.7% 8.9% 8.6% 12.0% 6.8% 6.7% 10.4% 9.4% 11.3% - 4.1% 8.7% 8.5% 9.5% 7.2% 13.8% 10.8% 7.1% 9.7% 9.9% 11.1% 7.3% 5.8% 6.9% 10.2% 14.1% 8.0% 7 40 21 19 18 15 7 11 12 1 4 1 7 7 11 7 13 2 7 4 4 5 9 9 30 - 3 7 3.9% 4.2% 3.7% 4.7% 4.0% 2.7% 4.4% 4.1% 1.2% 7.6% 3.1% 4.1% 3.2% 3.6% 5.8% 5.9% 2.6% 7.0% 2.5% 2.9% 2.5% 4.8% 5.4% 5.2% - 1.4% 5.1% 6 18 6 13 13 4 2 2 7 - - - 8 2 8 2 5 1 4 1 2 2 3 4 7 4 3 4 1.8% 1.1% 2.5% 3.4% 1.0% 0.6% 0.7% 2.4% - - - 4.6% 1.0% 2.5% 1.8% 2.3% 1.6% 3.9% 1.0% 1.7% 1.3% 1.8% 2.2% 1.1% 4.3% 1.6% 3.4% 5 79 35 44 38 32 9 10 20 2 5 2 30 18 20 5 36 7 8 11 12 15 11 14 39 11 16 9 7.8% 7.1% 8.5% 9.7% 8.9% 3.5% 4.3% 6.6% 3.9% 8.7% 4.4% 17.7% 8.0% 6.3% 4.8% 16.2% 7.7% 8.3% 7.8% 9.9% 7.8% 5.8% 8.3% 6.6% 13.5% 9.0% 7.1% 4 9 7 2 6 3 - 2 1 - - 2 3 2 1 4 2 - 2 - - 3 1 2 3 - 4 - 0.9% 1.3% * 1.5% 0.8% - 0.7% * - - 6.4% 2.0% 0.8% * 3.2% 1.0% - 2.4% - - 1.5% 0.6% 1.3% 0.6% - 2.0% - 3 14 11 3 7 4 2 3 4 - - 2 5 3 1 8 2 1 1 - 5 4 1 1 7 - 3 3 1.3% 2.2% * 1.9% 1.1% 0.9% 1.2% 1.4% - - 4.3% 3.0% 1.3% * 6.8% 0.9% 0.7% 1.0% - 4.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.6% 1.3% - 1.7% 2.3% 2 6 3 3 5 - 1 1 - 1 - - 2 - 2 - 4 - - 2 - 1 3 - 1 - 4 1 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 1.3% - * 0.6% - 2.6% - - 1.2% - 0.7% - 1.7% - - 1.4% - 0.6% 1.4% - * - 2.0% 1.0% 1 5 4 1 4 - 1 1 - - - - 4 - 2 - 4 - 2 1 - 1 1 - 2 - - 3 0.5% 0.9% * 1.0% - 0.5% 0.5% - - - - 2.4% - * - 1.7% - 1.5% 1.0% - 0.7% 0.5% - * - - 2.3% 0 79 49 30 39 21 20 9 10 1 3 5 45 - - - - 6 7 10 11 19 18 7 48 3 9 16 7.8% 10.0% 5.8% 10.0% 5.7% 7.7% 3.8% 3.3% 2.2% 4.5% 12.2% 27.2% - - - - 7.2% 6.4% 7.3% 9.3% 9.6% 9.7% 4.4% 8.2% 3.9% 5.1% 12.4% Already voted by postal vote 26 12 14 4 14 8 12 8 2 - - 2 9 10 5 1 2 5 2 4 4 4 5 12 2 9 1 2.6% 2.4% 2.8% 1.0% 3.8% 3.2% 4.9% 2.7% 2.9% - - 1.0% 4.0% 3.3% 4.1% * 2.7% 4.7% 1.5% 3.5% 1.8% 1.9% 3.1% 2.0% 2.2% 4.8% 0.6% SIGMA 1010 494 516 388 365 258 242 303 54 57 38 167 218 317 112 223 90 102 143 121 197 189 168 583 82 180 130 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Prepared by Survation on behalf of the London Fairness Commission Page 4 London Fairness Poll Page 5 Prepared on behalf of the London Fairness Commission 26 Apr 2016 Table 2 Q2. Normal weightings Q2. The London Mayoral elections are also on the 5th of May and you will receive 2 votes for your first and second preference choices for Mayor, which candidate are you most likely to vote for with your first preference vote? Base: Respondents who will vote Total Gender Age 2015 Past Vote Mayoral First Preference London Area Ethnicity Did not East West North East West South South Mixed / Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ CON LAB LD UKIP Other CON LAB Other Und White Asian Black vote Central Central London London London West East Multiple Unweighted Total 1010 448 562 319 402 289 274 303 54 37 25 167 241 310 106 217 92 96 158 124 188 189 163 689 45 143 98 Weighted Total 1010 494 516 388 365 258 242 303 54 57 38 167 218 317 112 223 90 102 143 121 197 189 168 583 82 180 130 Sian Berry (Green Party) 18 8 10 9 6 3 1 4 1 - 8 4 - - 18 - 1 1 1 3 4 5 4 16 - - 2 2.0% 1.8% 2.1% 2.7% 1.8% 1.1% 0.6% 1.3% 2.1% - 22.3% 3.7% - - 16.5% - 1.1% 1.0% 0.8% 2.3% 2.1% 2.9% 2.7% 2.9% - - 1.4% David Furness (British National Party) 1 1 - 1 - - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - - * * - * - - - - - - - 0.8% - - 0.9% - - - - - 0.5% - - * - - - George Galloway (Respect) 13 8 6 9 3 1 - 6 2 1 2 - - - 13 - 3 2 - 3 3 1 1 2 - 9 1 1.4% 1.7% 1.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.6% - 2.1% 3.0% 2.4% 7.3% - - - 12.0% - 3.7% 2.6% - 2.3% 1.6% 0.7% 0.8% * - 5.4% 1.1% Paul Golding (Britain First) 6 3 3 5 1 1 1 1 - 2 - 1 - - 6 - - - 2 - 3 2 - 5 - - - 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 1.4% * * 0.6% * - 3.2% - 0.9% - - 5.7% - - - 1.3% - 1.6% 1.1% - 1.0% - - - Zac Goldsmith (Conservative Party) 218 109 109 59 81 78 139 10 8 17 2 25 218 - - - 9 19 34 26 60 38 30 155 13 35 8 23.4% 24.5% 22.4% 16.9% 23.4% 32.8% 59.6% 3.5% 16.2% 31.0% 7.2% 20.6% 100.0% - - - 11.2% 20.4% 25.8% 23.9% 33.8% 22.2% 18.9% 28.9% 16.1% 20.3% 6.9% Lee Harris (Cannabis is Safer Than Alcohol) 7 3 4 6 1 - 1 2 - - - 4 - - 7 - 1 - - 1 1 2 1 2 - 3 2 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 1.7% * - 0.6% 0.6% - - - 3.1% - - 6.0% - 1.8% - - 1.2% 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% * - 1.6% 1.9% Sadiq Khan (Labour) 317 161 156 120 126 71 24 215 15 2 9 32 - 317 - - 45 35 42 27 49 55 63 148 43 58 61 34.1% 36.1% 32.2% 34.5% 36.5% 29.9% 10.2% 73.3% 28.7% 4.4% 26.4% 26.2% - 100.0% - - 53.9% 37.1% 31.4% 24.2% 27.7% 32.4% 39.6% 27.7% 54.6% 33.8% 53.8% Ankit Love (One Love Party) 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 1 - - - - - - 1 - - - - 1 - 1 - 1 - - - * - * * - * * * - - - - - - 1.2% - - - - 0.7% - * - * - - - Caroline Pidgeon (Liberal Democrats) 21 7 14 7 8 6 1 3 12 - 1 2 - - 21 - 4 3 5 1 - 4 4 20 - - 1 2.2% 1.5% 2.9% 2.1% 2.3% 2.3% 0.5% 0.9% 22.5% - 3.0% 1.9% - - 18.6% - 4.2% 3.0% 3.6% 0.9% - 2.6% 2.7% 3.7% - - 1.1% Sophie Walker (Womens Equality Party) 10 2 8 6 3 1 1 2 1 - 2 3 - - 10 - - - 3 3 1 2 1 7 - - 2 1.0% * 1.6% 1.7% 0.9% * 0.6% 0.8% 1.3% - 5.0% 2.2% - - 8.7% - - - 2.4% 2.6% * 0.9% 0.8% 1.4% - - 2.1% Peter Whittle (UKIP) 29 20 9 5 13 11 3 2 - 20 1 1 - - 29 - 1 1 2 8 4 11 3 28 - 1 - 3.2% 4.6% 1.8% 1.4% 3.8% 4.7% 1.4% 0.8% - 37.7% 3.5% 1.2% - - 26.2% - 0.8% 1.2% 1.3% 6.9% 2.4% 6.7% 1.6% 5.3% - 0.7% - John Zylinski (Independent) 5 4 1 2 2 1 1 3 - - - 1 - - 5 - 1 2 - - 1 - 1 3 2 - - 0.5% 1.0% * 0.6% 0.7% * * 1.1% - - - 0.9% - - 4.3% - 0.6% 2.4% - - 0.5% - 0.7% * 2.9% - - Undecided 223 89 134 101 76 46 54 40 13 11 7 42 - - - 223 15 24 35 32 41 37 40 121 14 52 28 24.0% 20.1% 27.5% 28.9% 22.2% 19.3% 23.0% 13.6% 24.6% 21.2% 21.7% 35.0% - - - 100.0% 18.0% 24.6% 26.6% 29.2% 23.0% 21.5% 24.6% 22.5% 18.0% 30.2% 24.7% Refused 61 30 31 18 24 20 5 4 1 - 1 4 - - - - 4 7 9 6 10 13 11 27 7 14 8 6.6% 6.8% 6.4% 5.1% 6.9% 8.3% 2.3% 1.3% 1.6% - 3.6% 3.5% - - - - 4.8% 7.8% 6.7% 5.8% 5.4% 7.8% 7.1% 5.1% 8.4% 8.0% 6.9% SIGMA 931 445 486 349 344 238 233 293 52 54 34 121 218 317 112 223 83 95 133 110 178 171 160 535 79 171 114 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Prepared by Survation on behalf of the London Fairness Commission Page 5 London Fairness Poll Page 6 Prepared on behalf of the London Fairness Commission 26 Apr 2016 Table 3 Q2.
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