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Forex Medium-Term Outlook(Jan, 2019)
Forex Medium-Term Outlook 26 December 2018 Mizuho Bank, Ltd. Forex Department 【Contents】 Overview of Outlook ・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・P. 2 USD/JPY Outlook –Time for a Change in the Premise 2019 – Vital Points for Global Economy; The Year in Which the True Price of Rate Hikes Emerges ・・・・ ・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・ ・ P. 3 2019 – Vital Points for Forex Rates; Time for a Change in the Premise・・・・・・・・・・・P. 5 U.S. Monetary Policies Now and Going Forward – The First Step into a New Phase・・・・・P. 6 Overview of Tail Risks – Potentials for the Unexpected in Japan, the United States, and Europe・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・ P. 1 0 EUR Outlook – ‒ “Increasing Caution” and “Continuing Confidence” ECB Monetary Policies Now and Going Forward – APP Termination and Outlook Regarding Reinvestment・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・P. 1 4 Uncertain future Reflected in French “Yellow Vests” Riots – Issues the EU Should Worry About・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・P. 1 5 Ongoing Shift to a “Post-Merkel” Germany and EU – The EUR 3.0 Era・・・・・・・・・・P. 1 7 Medium-Term Forex Outlook 1 Mizuho Bank Ltd. Overview of Outlook USD/JPY clearly fell in December. In line with the concerns I have consistently expressed in this report, the prices of risky assets have been forced to undergo a correction in response to the increase in U.S. interest rates. The Fed had until recently remained indifferent to this asset price volatility, but it may finally no longer be able to ignore the fluctuations. This is evidenced by the fact that Committee members were forced in December to downgrade their dot plot projections for the entire forecasting period. Market predictions, however, are even more pessimistic than those suggested by the revised dot plot, with some even predicting the end of rate hikes altogether. -
Ph.D Thesis-A. Omaka; Mcmaster University-History
MERCY ANGELS: THE JOINT CHURCH AID AND THE HUMANITARIAN RESPONSE IN BIAFRA, 1967-1970 BY ARUA OKO OMAKA, BA, MA A Thesis Submitted to the School of Graduate Studies in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy Ph.D. Thesis – A. Omaka; McMaster University – History McMaster University DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY (2014), Hamilton, Ontario (History) TITLE: Mercy Angels: The Joint Church Aid and the Humanitarian Response in Biafra, 1967-1970 AUTHOR: Arua Oko Omaka, BA (University of Nigeria), MA (University of Nigeria) SUPERVISOR: Professor Bonny Ibhawoh NUMBER OF PAGES: xi, 271 ii Ph.D. Thesis – A. Omaka; McMaster University – History ILLUSTRATIONS Figures 1. AJEEBR`s sponsored advertisement ..................................................................122 2. ACKBA`s sponsored advertisement ...................................................................125 3. Malnourished Biafran baby .................................................................................217 Tables 1. WCC`s sickbays and refugee camp medical support returns, November 30, 1969 .....................................................................................................................171 2. Average monthly deliveries to Uli from September 1968 to January 1970.........197 Map 1. Proposed relief delivery routes ............................................................................208 iii Ph.D. Thesis – A. Omaka; McMaster University – History ABSTRACT International humanitarian organizations played a prominent role -
Yellow Vests, Carbon Tax Aversion, and Biased Beliefs
YELLOW VESTS,CARBON TAX AVERSION, AND BIASED BELIEFS* Thomas Douenne and Adrien Fabre† Abstract This paper seeks to understand how beliefs endogenously form and determine attitudes towards policies. Using a new survey and National households’ survey data, we investigate the case of car- bon taxation in France in the context of the Yellow Vests movement that started against it. We find that French people would largely reject a Tax & Dividend policy, i.e. a carbon tax whose revenues are redistributed uniformly to all households. However, they also overestimate the negative impact of the scheme on their purchasing power, wrongly think it is regressive, and do not perceive it as environmentally effective. Using information about the scheme as instrument to identify robust causal effects, our econometric analysis shows that correcting these three biases would suffice to generate majority approval. Yet, we find that people’s beliefs are persistent and their revisions biased towards pessimism so that only a small minority can be convinced. Indeed, if overly pes- simistic beliefs cause tax rejection, they also result from it through motivated reasoning, which manifests what we define as “tax aversion”. JEL classification: D72; D91; H23; H31; Q58 Keywords: Climate Policy; Carbon tax; Bias; Beliefs; Preferences; Tax aversion *Acknowledgments: We are grateful to Mouez Fodha, Fanny Henriet and Katheline Schubert for their comments and their help to get funding. We also thank Béatrice Boulu-Reshef, Stefano Carattini, Nicolas Jacquemet, Mathias Lé, Linus Mattauch, Joseph Stiglitz, Thierry Verdier, seminar participants at the Paris School of Economics and an anonymous referee of the FAERE Working Paper series. -
Macron, the Yellow Vests and the National Debate. Playing for Time, Not Solving the Political Legitimacy Crisis
NO. 17 MARCH 2019 Introduction Macron, the Yellow Vests and the National Debate Playing for Time, Not Solving the Political Legitimacy Crisis Ronja Kempin and Paweł Tokarski France’s yellow vests (gilets jaunes) are heterogeneous, make contradictory demands, and refuse to give up. Since November 2018 they have been demonstrating for more purchasing power and greater democracy. Having made financial concessions, Presi- dent Emmanuel Macron is now playing for time. He has initiated a “grand national debate”, in which all citizens were called on to voice their opinions concerning future political issues. This debate is likely to help him win the European Parliament (EP) elections in May and facilitate splintering the yellow vests. To avert further protests that could paralyse the country, delegitimise his government and ensure that his presidency fails, Macron needs to improve the way he communicates his reform agenda. Merely playing for time will not make France reformable and governable for this president, any more than it did for his predecessors. The protests never end. Since 17 November are held by the rural lower-middle class, 2018, people wearing high-visibility yel- including craftsmen and women and shop- low vests have been taking to the streets keepers. They can barely earn a living from of France on Saturdays. The protests by their work and are afraid of sliding into the yellow vests, organised nationwide, were poverty. Politically, according the yellow initially directed against the higher tax on vests, they have no voice. They reject the fossil fuels planned by President Macron. support of the trade unions and parties of They quickly evolved into a list of 42 the political left, which previously chan- demands. -
Yellow Vests, Pessimistic Beliefs, and Carbon Tax Aversion
YELLOW VESTS,PESSIMISTIC BELIEFS, AND CARBON TAX AVERSION* Thomas Douenne and Adrien Fabre† Link to most recent version Abstract Using a representative survey, we find that after the Yellow Vests movement, French people would largely reject a Tax & Dividend policy, i.e. a carbon tax whose revenues are redistributed uni- formly to each adult. However, they overestimate their net monetary loss, wrongly think the policy is regressive, and do not perceive it as environmentally effective. We show that changing people’s beliefs about the tax incidence and effectiveness can largely increase support. Yet, beliefs change little following our informational treatments. Indeed, if overly pessimistic beliefs cause tax rejec- tion, they also result from it through motivated reasoning, which manifests what we define as “tax aversion”. JEL classification: D72; D91; H23; H31; Q58 Keywords: Climate Policy; Carbon tax; Beliefs; Preferences; Tax aversion *Acknowledgments: We are grateful to Mouez Fodha, Fanny Henriet and Katheline Schubert for their comments and their help to get funding. We also thank Stefano Carattini, Linus Mattauch, Joseph Stiglitz, Thierry Verdier, as well as seminar participants at the Paris School of Economics, Columbia University, University of Pennsylvenia, University of Amsterdam, University of Quebec at Montréal, KU Leuven, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Environmental Defense Fund, EIEE-CMCC (Milan), OECD, OFCE, and conference participants at FSR Climate Annual Conference (Florence), ADRES (Lyon), FAERE (Rennes). We are thankful to Christina Hobbs for the proof- reading. We are grateful to anonymous referees for their insightful comments and suggestions. We acknowledge financial support from the Cepremap, EUR PGSE (ANR-17-EURE-0001) ANR (ANR16-CE03-0011), and Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne economics doctoral school (ED 465). -
Moosejaw Market Expansion Into France
Bowling Green State University ScholarWorks@BGSU Honors Projects Honors College Spring 5-17-2019 Moosejaw Market Expansion into France Rachel Renou [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://scholarworks.bgsu.edu/honorsprojects Part of the Business Administration, Management, and Operations Commons, E-Commerce Commons, International Business Commons, and the Marketing Commons Repository Citation Renou, Rachel, "Moosejaw Market Expansion into France" (2019). Honors Projects. 439. https://scholarworks.bgsu.edu/honorsprojects/439 This work is brought to you for free and open access by the Honors College at ScholarWorks@BGSU. It has been accepted for inclusion in Honors Projects by an authorized administrator of ScholarWorks@BGSU. 1 Moosejaw Market Expansion into France Rachel Renou Honors Project Submitted to the Honors College at Bowling Green State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for graduation with UNIVERSITY HONORS DATE Dr. Zhang Management Department; College of Business, Advisor Dr. Gremler Marketing Department; College of Business, Advisor 2 Table of Contents Executive Summary…………………………………………………………………………….....3 Introduction………………………………………………………………………………………..4 Background……………….…………………………………………………………………….....5 Country Analysis………………………………………………………………………...…….….8 Political Environment……………………………………………..………………..…..…8 Social/Cultural Environment………………………………………………………….....11 Industry/Business Analysis…………………………………………………………………..….16 Five Forces Analysis……………………………………………………………………….....….22 SWOT Analysis……………………………………………………………………………….....27 -
Civil War 1968-1970
Copyright by Roy Samuel Doron 2011 The Dissertation Committee for Roy Samuel Doron Certifies that this is the approved version of the following dissertation: Forging a Nation while losing a Country: Igbo Nationalism, Ethnicity and Propaganda in the Nigerian Civil War 1968-1970 Committee: Toyin Falola, Supervisor Okpeh Okpeh Catherine Boone Juliet Walker H.W. Brands Forging a Nation while losing a Country: Igbo Nationalism, Ethnicity and Propaganda in the Nigerian Civil War 1968-1970 by Roy Samuel Doron B.A.; M.A. Dissertation Presented to the Faculty of the Graduate School of The University of Texas at Austin in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy The University of Texas at Austin August 2011 Forging a Nation while losing a Country: Igbo Nationalism, Ethnicity and Propaganda in the Nigerian Civil War 1968-1970 Roy Samuel Doron, PhD The University of Texas at Austin, 2011 Supervisor: Toyin Falola This project looks at the ways the Biafran Government maintained their war machine in spite of the hopeless situation that emerged in the summer of 1968. Ojukwu’s government looked certain to topple at the beginning of the summer of 1968, yet Biafra held on and did not capitulate until nearly two years later, on 15 January 1970. The Ojukwu regime found itself in a serious predicament; how to maintain support for a war that was increasingly costly to the Igbo people, both in military terms and in the menacing face of the starvation of the civilian population. Further, the Biafran government had to not only mobilize a global public opinion campaign against the “genocidal” campaign waged against them, but also convince the world that the only option for Igbo survival was an independent Biafra. -
S Revolution! the Battleplan Against the NWO! by Thomas Eidsaa Last Edited 13.04.2020 a Compilation of Articles, Read Alongside Internet
1 2 The People`s Army`s Revolution! The battleplan against the NWO! By Thomas Eidsaa last edited 13.04.2020 A compilation of articles, read alongside internet. Exposing and defeating the black magic NWO! I wish you a happy revolution! Be careful! We are not fighting an armed conflict but an infowar. ¨Peace love anarchy!¨ PS! My Christian book series are national-conservative and religious conservative. This book is more liberal, dedicated to why we need a revolution and the few ways of actually achieving revolution. Cover and all writing by Thomas Eidsaa copyright 2019. No part in this publication may be used or transmitted in any way without the expressed written consent of the publisher, except for short excerpts for the use in reviews. 3 Other books by Thomas Eidsaa: The GRRRRR book-series, or The Great Romantic Revivalist`s Reformation Revolution Renaissance series, is a an eye-opening Christian series which detail all my research into Christianity, neo- charismatic theology, apologetics, ontological arguments, the problem of evil, eschatology, and conspiracy theories of great importance every Christian needs to understand. It is a work aimed at waking you up and expose the evil you never thought existed. What you don`t know can still kill you. It is a guide, and compendium of important topics relating to the radical, Christian faith in the dangerous, unpredictable 21st century death of Europe. I take the reader on an amazing journey – uniting 1st century Nazarene knowledge with 21st century science, theology and societal problems. I personally believe the knowledge therein will create peace on Earth. -
Newsletter Igbo Studies Association
NEWSLETTER IGBO STUDIES ASSOCIATION VOLUME 1, FALL 2014 ISSN: 2375-9720 COVER PHOTO CREDIT INCHSERVICES.COM PAGE 1 VOLUME 1, FALL 2014 EDITORIAL WELCOME TO THE FIRST EDITION OF ISA NEWS! November 2014 Dear Members, I am delighted to introduce the first edition of ISA Newsletter! I hope your semester is going well. I wish you the best for the rest of the academic year! I hope that you will enjoy this maiden issue of ISA Newsletter, which aims to keep you abreast of important issue and events concerning the association as well as our members. The current issue includes interesting articles, research reports and other activities by our Chima J Korieh, PhD members. The success of the newsletter will depend on your contributions in the forms of President, Igbo Studies Association short articles and commentaries. We will also appreciate your comments and suggestions for future issues. The ISA executive is proud to announce that a committee has been set up to work out the modalities for the establishment of an ISA book prize/award. Dr Raphael Njoku is leading the committee and we expect that the initiative will be approved at the next annual general meeting. The 13th Annual Meeting of the ISA taking place at Marquette University, Milwaukee, Wisconsin, is only six months away and preparations are ongoing to ensure that we have an exciting meet! We can’t wait to see you all in Milwaukee in April. This is an opportunity to submit an abstract and to participate in next year’s conference. ISA is as strong as its membership, so please remember to renew your membership and to register for the conference, if you have not already done so! Finally, we would like to congratulate the newest members of the ISA Executive who were elected at the last annual general meeting in Chicago. -
Copyright by Brian Edward Mcneil 2014
Copyright by Brian Edward McNeil 2014 The Dissertation Committee for Brian Edward McNeil certifies that this is the approved version of the following dissertation: Frontiers of Need: Humanitarianism and the American Involvement in the Nigerian Civil War, 1967-1970 Committee: Mark Atwood Lawrence, Supervisor Toyin Falola Jeremi Suri H.W. Brands Thomas Borstelmann Frontiers of Need: Humanitarianism and the American Involvement in the Nigerian Civil War, 1967-1970 by Brian Edward McNeil, B.A.; M.A. Dissertation Presented to the Faculty of the Graduate School of The University of Texas at Austin in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy The University of Texas at Austin December 2014 Who will rise up for me against the wicked? Who will take a stand for me against evildoers? Psalm 94:16 For Noelle Acknowledgements No one ever told me that dissertations are built upon debts and broken promises. When I first entered the University of Texas at Austin in 2007 to begin my doctoral studies, I had a clear plan for finishing. I knew that I wanted to write on the United States and the Nigerian Civil War, which, as it turns out, was a good start. I promised my wife it would take five years to finish. Seven years later, I have completed my degree. Part of the reason for the delay was that I discovered that the Nigerian Civil War was a much larger event with much more import than scholars have realized. My dissertation required research on three continents and numerous cities: from Los Angeles, to London, to Lagos. -
The Relevance of Nigerian Civil War 1967 to 1970 on Strategic Theory
The relevance of Nigerian civil war 1967 to 1970 on strategic theory Oyekanmi A.O. Dept of General Studies Osun State College of Technology, Esa-Oke ABSTRACT The relevance ofNigerian civil war experience of 1967 to 1970 to strategic theory and practice was investigated. The study drew extensively from primary and secondary sources such as oral interview of some retired military officers, civil servants and undertook visits to the National war museum at Umuahia, Biafra airport at Uli, Ojukwu Bunker, the then voice of Biafra, National Defence College Abuja. Secondary sources such as, textbooks, journals and lectures delivered by prominent scholars found in some University Libraries were also consulted. The study observed that Nigeria civil war adopted all strategies of war on land, sea and air as postulated by strategic theories during warfare. It was also discovered that the revolutionary theoretical framework of analysis is still very relevant and has been connected either as a cause or as consequence with many people and revolutionary wars, thereby elaborating upon the links between specific revolutionary concepts and the strategies and tactics of war. It was also discovered that Nigeria is yet to attain the level of becoming a laboratory for strategic studies,though qualified, in view of its abandonment of war monuments. The civil war experience has not brought about any socio-political economic and technological development in Nigeria and the prevailing situation in the country reveals that there is no peace and unity in the country. The study therefore recommends that; a viable institution should be put in place to sustain and maintain war monuments. -
The Nigeria Biafra War Letters: a Soldier's Story, Benjamin Adekunle
The Nigeria Biafra War Letters: A Soldier's Story, Benjamin Adekunle DOWNLOAD http://bit.ly/1yv1dRC http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Nigeria_Biafra_War_Letters_A_Soldiers_Story DOWNLOAD http://fb.me/21UymcRcw http://bit.ly/1rymAes Ten Years of Madness Oral Histories of China's Cultural Revolution, Jicai Feng, 1996, History, 285 pages. In the tradition of Studs Terkel, Ten Years of Madness includes the testimonials of 15 people from all walks of life-from red guards and rebels to workers and intellectuals-who. The brutality of nations , Dan Jacobs, 1987, History, 383 pages. Reveals how, in pursuit of political objectives in the Nigerian Civil War, various nations, including Britain and the United States, worked to prevent supplies of food and. The Biafran war the story of an orphan, Thomas Enunwe, 2005, History, 216 pages. The Palm-wine Drinkard ; And, My Life in the Bush of Ghosts , Amos Tutuola, 1994, Fiction, 307 pages. When Amos Tutuola's first novel, The Palm-Wine Drinkard, appeared in 1952, it aroused exceptional worldwide interest. Drawing on the West African Yoruba oral folktale tradition. Not My Will , Olusegun Obasanjo, 1990, Nigeria, 262 pages. Nigerian Crisis 1966: Nigeria Pogrom, the organized massacre of Eastern Nigerians , Eastern Nigeria (Nigeria). Ministry of Information, 1966, Eastern Nigeria (Nigeria), 68 pages. Surviving in Biafra The Story of the Nigerian Civil War : Over Two Million Died, Alfred Obiora Uzokwe, Jan 1, 2003, Biography & Autobiography, 226 pages. In 1966, several waves of rioting in northern Nigeria culminated in the brutal massacre of thousands of easterners by their northern Nigerian counterparts. Sensing that their. Shagaya the will to excel, Edward Dassah, 1994, Biography & Autobiography, 176 pages.