31 August 2020
Lendlease Strategy Update
Attached is the presentation to be given today by Steve McCann, Group Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director, Lendlease and Tarun Gupta, Group Chief Financial Officer, Lendlease.
The presentation will be webcast live at 10:30am (AEST) via www.lendlease.com
ENDS
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION, PLEASE CONTACT:
Investors: Media: Justin McCarthy Stephen Ellaway Mob: +61 422 800 321 Mob: +61 417 851 287
Authorised for lodgement by the Lendlease Group Disclosure Committee.
Lendlease Corporation Limited ABN 32 000 226 228 and Lendlease Responsible Entity Limited ABN 72 122 883 185 AFS Licence 308983 as responsible entity for Lendlease Trust ABN 39 944 184 773 ARSN 128 052 595
Level 14, Tower Three, International Towers Sydney Telephone +61 2 9236 6111 Exchange Place, 300 Barangaroo Avenue Facsimile +61 2 9252 2192 Barangaroo NSW 2000 Australia lendlease.com
Sydney: Barangaroo South Looking ahead
Lendlease Strategy Update 31 August 2020 Lendlease Market Briefing Strategy 2 Acknowledgement of Country
As a developer, builder and manager of assets on land across Australia, we pay our respects to the traditional owners, especially their elders past and present, and value their custodianship of these lands. Lendlease Market Briefing Strategy 3 Strategy Update
Steve McCann Group Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director
Kuala Lumpur: The Exchange, TRX (Artist’s impression) Lendlease Market Briefing Strategy 4 Strategy highlights
Leverage Increased Accelerate Scale competitive edge focus development investments
Global placemaking Prioritise capital and people $8+ billion of production p.a. $50+ billion FUM opportunity from resources to Development uplift >80% on historical rates secured development pipeline End to end capability and Investments focus areas c.90% of production for New products and external Proven track record next 5 years planning opportunities approved Higher capital allocation
Improve earnings quality Higher annuity earnings | Programmatic investment partnerships | Operating profit focus Lendlease Market Briefing Strategy 5
Transformational A decade of shift June June transformation 2009 2020 Geographic 40+ 17 focus Countries gateway cities
Major urbanisation 2 21 projects1
Urbanisation $11 $99 pipeline billion billion2
Total $30 $113 development 2 pipeline billion billion
Construction $12 $14 backlog billion billion
Funds under $10 $36 management billion billion Singapore: Paya Lebar Quarter
1. Projects with an estimated development end value greater than $1 billion. 2. Remaining estimated development end value. Lendlease Market Briefing Strategy 6
London
• Our global Thamesmead Waterfront • Euston Station • Silvertown Quays • International Quarter London Chicago • Elephant Park • High Road West footprint • Southbank • Deptford Landings • Lakeshore East Milan
• Boston Milano Santa Giulia Rome New York San Francisco • Milan Innovation District Beijing • San Francisco Bay Area Project Los Angeles Tokyo • 30 Van Ness Shanghai
Kuala Lumpur
• The Exchange TRX Singapore
Development Construction Funds under Assets under Brisbane • pipeline backlog revenue management management Brisbane Showgrounds $113 billion1 $14 billion $36 billion $29 billion Perth Sydney
• Waterbank • Barangaroo South • Sydney Place Melbourne • Victoria Cross over station development • Melbourne Quarter • Victoria Harbour
Map illustrates 1 7 targeted gateway cities and highlights major urbanisation projects with an estimated development end value greater than $1 billion. 1. Remaining estimated development end value. Lendlease Market Briefing Strategy 7
Our business model is designed to Strategy withstand real estate cycles, while resilient to an being agile to adapt to market changes. evolving market environment This resilience is underpinned by our: • Placemaking, urbanisation depth and mixed use capabilities providing a competitive edge – a proven track record of success • Capital efficient land funding and delivery model • Ability and flexibility as a product creator, to adapt as well as define products as markets and customer preferences evolve COVID-19 stress testing of strategy • Depth and breadth of investment management skills confirms resilience of business model • Access to quality investment partners • Scenario planning undertaken to enhance decision making during COVID-19 uncertainty Resilience demonstrated in current environment: • Fundamental assumptions that underpin the • CPP Investments New buildings launched strategy and strategic shifts tested • Aware Super within existing partnerships • Increased focus on areas where competitive • PSP Investments San Francisco: New partnerships formed edge strongest reinforced 30 Van Ness • Mitsubishi Estate (Artist’s impression) Lendlease Market Briefing Strategy 8
Strategy Industry Expected • Fundamental drivers of urbanisation to remain resilient to an real estate • Market dislocation anticipated to trends provide opportunities evolving market • Digital disruption likely to accelerate • Capital allocations to real estate environment anticipated to rise over time Sectors Residential: • Strong growth in build to rent sector • Structural undersupply to drive longer term performance • Quality and amenity key Office: • Workplace design and innovation key to corporate culture • Potential hub and spoke adoption supports urbanisation footprint • Repositioning opportunities Retail: • Sydney: Structural headwinds for retail – Darling Square mixed use conversion opportunities Lendlease Market Briefing Strategy 9
Our purpose Together we create value through places where communities thrive
The Lendlease purpose statement represents our organisational why. It acknowledges our rich history and our future direction. Lendlease Market Briefing Strategy 10
Our strategy | the next decade
Employ our placemaking expertise Busin ted ess M gra o te de and integrated business model in global In l D ts e n v e e l o m t p gateway cities to deliver urbanisation s m e
e v
Thriving n
n I projects and investments that generate communities t social, environmental and economic value C onstruction P d rov or en Track Rec
Strategic priorities
Leverage Best practice Accelerate Scale Leadership in competitive construction development investments sustainability edge delivery Secured 2009
Sydney: Barangaroo Lendlease Market Briefing Strategy 11 Leverage competitive edge
Secured 2009 Secured 2010
Sydney: Darling Harbour precinct London: Elephant Park Proven track record
Secured 2001
Melbourne: Victoria Harbour
Secured 2010 Secured 2015
London: International Quarter London Boston: Clippership Wharf
Secured 2015 Secured 2015
Singapore: Paya Lebar Quarter Chicago: Southbank Lendlease Market Briefing Strategy 12 Leverage competitive edge Placemaking is in our DNA
Place is not a product; it is an emotional attachment to a Brisbane: Yarrabilba location. The places we create are meaningful, vibrant and enduring. We are Place creation requires a combination of global placemakers competence with authentic local engagement. and value It means having the skill to not only define the creators best of all possibilities but the discipline to deliver that vision sustainably and in partnership with the community. Our investment in digital capabilities will enable us to enhance our customer experience. We see value others overlook.
Boston: Clippership Wharf London: Elephant Park Lendlease Market Briefing Strategy 13 Leverage competitive edge End to end capability
Development Construction Investments • Placemaking in urban environments • Delivery capability supports integrated model • Access to institutional grade investment product from pipeline • Capital efficient business model • Specialist expertise and relationships in target sectors • Strong relationships with institutional capital partners • Long term investment partnerships • Deep project management skills and experience • Differentiated real estate skills to add value at asset level • Scale across gateway cities • Trusted fiduciary and governance structures
Competitive edge to underpin substantial growth in strategic focus areas
Large scale mixed use urbanisation projects Investments platform Leadership position as the partner of choice Global scale in real estate investment management Diversification across gateway cities and product type Development pipeline to provide significant growth opportunity Proven track record to unlock future opportunities Launch new products and pursue market growth opportunities alongside investment partners
Prioritise capital and people resources to Development and Investments focus areas Lendlease Market Briefing Strategy 14 Accelerate development Material uplift in production as projects enter delivery
Annual Development production rate ($b)1
$8b+ Targeting $8b+ of production p.a., >80% increase on historical rates >80% $4.3b Uplift supported by: • Pipeline planning certainty • Market size and absorption • Investment partner appetite FY16-20 ave. New Target
Planning milestones Market absorption Investment partner appetite
• More than 60% of $113b development pipeline • Large market size of each city supports • c.150 institutional investment partners secured in the last 3 years production outlook • Top 20 relationships account for two thirds of equity • Origination to planning approval typically 2-3 years • Pipeline of development projects across in platform • Recent planning achievements and progress: 12 gateway cities: • Heavily weighted towards investors from: – – Milano Santa Giulia, South – approved Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Perth – Asia Pacific, Middle East and Canada – – Milan Innovation District – approved Kuala Lumpur, Shanghai • Scope to attract additional US and European capital – London, Milan – 30 Van Ness – approved • Utilise larger programmatic investment partnerships – – Silvertown Quays – phase 1 approved San Francisco, Chicago, Boston, New York as production accelerates – San Francisco Bay Area project – phase 1 lodged2
1. Represents project value delivered during a financial year (on a revenue recognition basis, representing 100% of project value). 2. To be lodged 31 August 2020. Lendlease Market Briefing Strategy 15 Accelerate development Global capability to execute
Enterprise wide mindset to improve decision making and Enhanced production at scale Digital leadership in real estate operating Global platform foundation in place to support growth and • Creating digital capabilities that support structure accelerate delivery of development pipeline key strategic objectives Development, Construction and Investments with regional • Significant cost reduction potential Global execution capabilities from digitisation of development and operating construction, and supply chain automation Global framework ensures consistency in approach and model adoption of best practice • Digital Twin design underway on major urbanisation projects Project Directors are empowered and supported by the • Technology enhancements and data Project global platform analytics to improve customer experience, teams Urbanisation and Construction Director programs – safety and sustainability outcomes c.90 leaders participated to date • Autonomous Building Summit to be hosted by Lendlease in collaboration with global Significant investment in global systems support governance industry leaders and consistency Global systems Global platforms implemented in Project Management, Asset Management, Finance, Safety, Human Resources and Sustainability Lendlease Market Briefing Strategy 16 Scale investments Strong foundation to scale Investments platform globally
Overview of Investments platform Funds Under Management ($b)
• Five decades of experience: Historical growth FY20 FUM by Region – Launched Australia’s first listed REIT 4% 3% • Expertise spans multiple real estate sectors across both $36b unlisted and listed funds and mandates CAGR of 14% AustraliaAustralia • Deep relationships with c.150 institutional investment partners $21b AsiaAsia 24% $36b 69% • Key competitive strengths: Europe $10b Europe Americas – Access to high quality and sustainable institutional Americas investment grade product from urbanisation pipeline – Ability to add value at the asset level given deep global FY10 FY15 FY20 capability in development, repositioning, and delivery across asset classes / sectors – Investment management track record of managing products across sectors 19 funds and mandates – Trusted fiduciary and governance structures Global leader in responsible property investments (GRESB)1 c.$19b new equity raised since 20102 c.150 institutional investment partners
1. APPF Commercial ranked first of 964 global participants, three other Lendlease managed funds achieved top 10 global rankings in the 2019 GRESB. 2. Across managed funds and mandates. Lendlease Market Briefing Strategy 17 Scale investments Top 100 global real estate investors1 Expand strategic Canada Europe investment Real estate FUM US$177b Real estate FUM US$580b Relationships with 9 of 10 Relationships with 15 of 39 partnerships globally United States Middle East Real estate FUM US$356b Real estate FUM US$78b Relationships with 5 of 27 Relationships with 2 of 2
Asia Real estate FUM US$189b Relationships with 10 of 12 • Existing scale investment partnerships with some Strong relationships of the world’s largest investors – CPP Investments, Mitsubishi Estate, ADIA, Aware Super, GIC, in Australia, Canada, Future Fund, HKMA, QIA, NPS, APG, Host Plus Asia and Middle East Australia • Expect real estate allocations from the Real estate FUM US$57b c.US$20 trillion of funds controlled by the world’s Opportunity to Relationships with 10 of 10 largest investors to rise over the coming decade grow European and • Established relationships with 51 of top 100 existing US relationships investors across global platform
1. Source: IPE Real Assets, survey based on unlisted real estate exposures. Lendlease Market Briefing Strategy 18 Scale Investments Growth of Investments platform globally
Scale global platform Key sources of growth
• Continue to monetise secured development pipeline: • Internal development pipeline: – More than $50b of institutional investment grade assets anticipated to be created from secured pipeline1 – Greater use of larger programmatic investment partnerships – Target of $8b+ p.a. of development production activity to support ongoing strong FUM growth – Residential for rent and commercial focus • Investments growth to be supplemented through new products and external market opportunities • New products underpinned by competitive edge: • Leverage strong existing relationships with global investors and broaden investor base – Establish Core and Value add products in Europe and Americas – • Expand product offering into select markets and sectors that leverage competitive edge Value add strategies in Australia and Asia • External market acquisitions alongside investment partners • Increased global co-ordination: capital raising, product development, and strategy • Opportunities arising from COVID-19 market related dislocation Development pipeline to drive strong FUM growth Investments strategy
Development pipeline ($b) FUM ($b) Region Current state Future State External opportunities Other growth Australia Core Core / Core plus / Value add >$50b1 institutional >$50b opportunity from 21% c.$20b Resi-for-Sale investment grade assets Development pipeline Asia Core Core / Core plus / Value add c.$30b Resi-for-Rent 52% $113b2 $36b Resi-for-Sale Europe Core Core / Core plus / Value add Commercial Resi-for-Rent $10b 27% Americas Value add Core / Core plus / Value add Commercial FY10 FY20 Growth opportunity Mature Establishing
1. Across FY16-20, c.80% of institutional investment grade product delivered has converted to FUM. 2. Remaining estimated development end value. Lendlease Market Briefing Strategy 19 Best practice construction delivery Delivery capability drives value
Differentiated capabilities Stable historical returns
• Rich heritage with more than six decades of experience: Construction EBITDA margin – Global scale combined with local capability • Project management capabilities critical for origination and delivery of urbanisation projects: Target range 2-3% – Fully integrated client proposition – Flexibility to adjust masterplan and delivery 3.1% COVID-19 Impact 2.6% • 2.4%1 Project management, design and construction excellence across a range of sectors 2.2% 2.3% • Leading risk, safety, and sustainability processes and credentials 1.3% Strategic focus FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 HY20 FY20
• Target earnings contribution reduced in 2019 Lower contribution going forward • Design and delivery capability: Construction EBITDA mix targets – Strategy to deliver internal development pipeline and maintain steady backlog position – Focus on sector expertise, strong market positions and client relationships 30-40% – Backlog position diversified by client, sector, geography and contract type 20-30% • Delivery model flexibility for internal development pipeline across gateway cities: 10-20% – Key construction management capability to be controlled inhouse – Use of third party general contractors in selective international gateway cities • Embed digital capability across delivery platform to drive productivity FY10-16 FY17-18 FY19+ (current)
1. Includes Engineering and Services businesses. Lendlease Market Briefing Strategy 20 Leadership in sustainability Global leadership in environmental sustainability
Our business decisions will 2000-2006 2011-2014 2019 be aligned to a world warmed Australia’s first 5 Star Green Star Australia’s first 6 Star v2 Green First globally in GRESB1, three other Lendlease by no more than 1.5ºC building: 30 The Bond Star building: Darling Quarter managed funds ranked in global top 10 First Australian property Library at the Dock, first Public 100% of total development pipeline achieved company to be listed in the Dow CLT building in Australia or targeting green ratings Jones Sustainability World Index First property company to join Net zero Absolute ResponsibleSteel Partnership carbon by zero carbon Lendlease Building Australia achieves 2025 by 2040 net zero carbon neutrality
2007-2010 2017-2018 2020 To be responsible for Secured Barangaroo South: APPF Commercial first 6 Star Green Star Australia’s first carbon creating $250m of measured targeting Australia’s first carbon performance portfolio neutral precinct: neutral precinct First Singapore project to be awarded Barangaroo South social value First property company as BCA Green Mark Platinum v2015: Developed and published signatory to the UNPRI Paya Lebar Quarter four climate scenarios in 2 World’s first WELL Core and Shell Platinum line with TCFD project: International Towers Sydney
1. Global Real Estate Sustainability Benchmark. 2. Task Force on Climate Related Financial Disclosures. Lendlease Market Briefing Strategy 21 Financial Strategy
Tarun Gupta Group Chief Financial Officer
Chicago: Lakeshore East (Artist’s impression) Lendlease Market Briefing Strategy 22 Our Financial approach Accelerate • Greater operational leverage – larger programmatic investment partnerships strategy to development • Capital efficient land management models activity $8b+ p.a. • Flexible funding models for delivery We pursue an integrated business We pursue an integrated business We pursue an integrated business We pursue an integrated business modelenhance – where two or more model – where two or more model – where two or more model – where two or more of the operating segments of of the operating segments of of the operating segments of of the operating segments of strategicDevelopment, Construction and Development, Construction and Development, Construction and Development, Construction and Investments engage on the same Investments engage on the same Investments engage on the same Investments engage on the same directionproject – to create major precincts, Strongproject growth – to create major precincts, • Increaseproject capital – to create allocation major to precincts, Investments project >50% – to create major precincts, new communities and important acrossnew communities Investments and important • Increasenew communities co-investment and positions important new communities and important civic and social infrastructure. civic and social infrastructure. civic and social infrastructure. civic and social infrastructure. platform globally • Enhanced product offering We pursue an integrated business We pursue an integrated business We pursue an integrated business We pursue an integrated business model – where two or more model – where two or more model – where two or more model – where two or more of the operating segments of of the operating segments of of the operating segments of of the operating segments of Development, Construction and Development, Construction and Development, Construction and Development, Construction and Investments engage on the same Investments engage on the same Investments engage on the same Investments engage on the same project – to create major precincts, project – to create major precincts, • Increaseproject Investments – to create majorearnings precincts, contribution project from c.30%– to create towards major 40% precincts, new communities and important Enhancenew communities annuity and important new communities and important new communities and important • civic and social infrastructure. incomecivic and and social quality infrastructure. Shiftcivic to andOperating social infrastructure.profit as key earnings metriccivic and social infrastructure. of earnings • Redirect >$1b of capital to focus areas of urbanisation and investments Lendlease Market Briefing Strategy 23
Development production to accelerate
Conversion of development pipeline to drive >80% increase in production activity Production target of $8b+ p.a.
• c.2.5x growth in development pipeline since FY15 Development pipeline ($b) FY16-20 ave. New target1 • Production has averaged $4.3b in recent years2 Historical production Forward looking production • 2 c.1.1 x invested capital > 1.4x invested capital Targeting >80% increase on historical rates $113b • c.90% of five year production has planning approval3 $8.0b+ • Acceleration to drive returns and support growth in FUM platform c.2.5x $5-6b • Significant improvement in operating leverage expected: $45b – Production multiple on invested capital: $4.0b $4.3b – Historical average c.1.1 x – Target average >1.4x • Increased production to be supported by larger FY15 FY20 Invested Development Invested Development programmatic investment partnerships capital production capital production
Strategic priority
1. Development production represents project value delivered during a financial year (on a revenue recognition basis, representing 100% of project value). 2. Across FY16-20. 3. Represents target production with masterplanning approval from secured pipeline. Lendlease Market Briefing Strategy 24
Capital efficient business model
$1.7b of invested capital in land and infrastructure controls $113b development pipeline Land management model
• Pricing at drawdown or completion of individual plots FY20 development invested capital FY20 development pipeline – land payment structure • Revenue share based on projected revenue • Staged infrastructure contributions to manage capital 9% Land at risk Landmanagement management >90% Production 36% • Downside protection: StagedStaged payment capital efficient $4.8b 20% $113b – Land and payment Residual land value flexes infrastructure Upfront payment Land and 64% – Share in upside value creation Infrastructure Upfront • payment 71% Land owner shares value capture of ‘placemaking’ Master plan flexibility
• Stage by stage drawdown of land • Pause development in uneconomic or weak market conditions • Ability to remix master plan in partnership with land owner • Milestones and sunsets structured to provide flexibility • Ability to enhance master plan yield in partnership with land owner over time Lendlease Market Briefing Strategy 25
Group capital to fund strategy
Indicative growth of invested capital base of c.$3-4b (next 5 years): Illustrative only
c.$1.5b c.$12b c.$2b $8.5b <50%
56% c.$3b incremental capital Development to Investments segment >50% Investments 44%
FY20 segment capital Retained earnings1 Additional debt capacity2 Implied invested capital profile
Group capital sufficient to fund business plan
• c.$12b of invested capital sufficient to fund Group strategy: Development Investments – Accelerate delivery of development • $5-6b of Development capital: • $6-7b of Investments capital, – Higher investments allocation – Supports $8b+ p.a. in production c.$3b increase • • Invested capital growth underpinned by retained earnings – Production >1.4x invested capital, higher Scale Investments platform globally via and additional debt capacity operating leverage (c.1.1x in recent years3) capital reweighting towards >50% • Redirection of >$1b of capital to focus areas: – – Investment partners to support Co-investment stakes to increase from – Exit US Telecommunications (sale agreement signed) acceleration current c.5% of FUM – Down weight Retirement – Exit Services – Other recycling initiatives
1. Analysis is illustrative only. Assumes delivery of Operating ROE at mid-point of target range (i.e. 9.5%, refer slide 32) applied to Securityholder equity base, with distributions at mid-point of target range (i.e. 50%). 2. Reflects c.$1.2b equity raise completed in FY20, assumes completion of Engineering divestment, and application of mid-point of target gearing range (i.e. 15%). 3. Across FY16-20. Lendlease Market Briefing Strategy 26
Partnering approach evolving to accelerate delivery
Investment partner execution models
• Historically investment partners introduced on a Strategic priority - utilise mix of all models ‘single asset’ basis • To support accelerated pace of development production Historical approach Greater future utilisation and FUM growth, strategic priority to result in greater use of programmatic and partnership execution models Model Single asset basis Programmatic Partnership • Key features of these capital execution models include: Investment partner – Investment partner Capital raising efficiency through pre-agreement of terms secured for initial phase Investment partner Structure secured as individual – with key terms agreed for secured for whole project Security and predictability of future capital buildings are de-risked future phases – Visibility and certainty of future annuity income and FUM growth Negotiation basis Repeated by building Entire project at start Entire project at start – Aligns with larger capital appetite of potential investment Victoria Harbour partners across global strategic relationships Example projects Milano Santa Giulia Paya Lebar Quarter (Commercial)
Scale benefits
Velocity
Partner appetite
Certainty Lendlease Market Briefing Strategy 27
Investment partner funding model – example
Example assumes Lendlease retains 25% stake during Development phase Case study: International Towers Sydney,