METEOROID STREAMS DUNCAN STEEL Anglo-Australian
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Negotiating Uncertainty: Asteroids, Risk and the Media Felicity Mellor
Accepted pre-publication version Published at: Public Understanding of Science 19(1): (2010) 16-33. Negotiating Uncertainty: Asteroids, Risk and the Media Felicity Mellor ABSTRACT Natural scientists often appear in the news media as key actors in the management of risk. This paper examines the way in which a small group of astronomers and planetary scientists have constructed asteroids as risky objects and have attempted to control the media representation of the issue. It shows how scientists negotiate the uncertainties inherent in claims about distant objects and future events by drawing on quantitative risk assessments even when these are inapplicable or misleading. Although the asteroid scientists worry that media coverage undermines their authority, journalists typically accept the scientists’ framing of the issue. The asteroid impact threat reveals the implicit assumptions which can shape natural scientists’ public discourse and the tensions which arise when scientists’ quantitative uncertainty claims are re-presented in the news media. Keywords: asteroids, impact threat, astronomy, risk, uncertainty, science journalism, media, science news Introduction Over the past two decades, British newspapers have periodically announced the end of the world. Playful headlines such as “The End is Nigh” and “Armageddon Outta Here!” are followed a few days later by reports that there’s no danger after all: “PHEW. The end of the world has been cancelled” (Britten, 1998; Wickham, 2002; Evening Standard , 1998). These stories, and others like them appearing in news media around the world, deal with the possibility that an asteroid or comet may one day collide with the Earth causing global destruction. The threat posed by near-Earth objects (NEOs) has been actively promoted by a group of astronomers and planetary scientists since the late 1980s. -
Contents Trade Offerings
CONTENTS TRADE OFFERINGS The Secret Life of the Brain 2 Richard Restak, M.D. Eclipse 4 Duncan Steel In Search of the Lost Cord 6 Luba Vikhanski The Genomic Revolution 8 Rob DeSalle and Michael Yudell How Students Learn 10 National Research Council A Case of Chronic Neglect 11 Felicia Cohn, Marla Salmon, and John Stobo Previously Announced Books and New and Recently Published Books Adding It Up 13 Jeremy Kilpatrick, Jane Swafford, and Bradford Findell Educating Children with Autism 14 Catherine Lord and James P.McGee Knowing What Students Know 15 James Pellegrino, Robert Glaser, and Naomi Chudowsky Speaking of Health 16 Institute of Medicine Backlist Offerings 30 General Information 34 October General Interest Science ISBN 0-309-07435-5 $35.00 8 x 10, 224 pages, index Cloth with jacket Color photographs and illustrations A Joseph Henry Press book Rights: World MARKETING • Concurrent publicity with airing of PBS series in early 2002 • Full-color blads • National review attention • National print advertising campaign • National media attention: radio and television • Co-op available 2 THE SECRET LIFE OF THE BRAIN Richard Restak, M.D. with a foreword by David Grubin Companion to the five-part television series brought to PBS by award- winning producer David Grubin, The Secret Life of the Brain takes readers on a tour of the human brain. Lavishly illustrated and beautifully presented, the many mysteries of the brain are explored from infancy to old age. en years ago a presidential proclamation ushered in the “Decade of the Brain.”We have Dr. Richard Restak since realized enormous benefits from this decade of discovery. -
Centaurs As a Hazard to Civilization
CENTAURS Centaurs as a hazard to civilization Assessments of the risk posed small bodies from the main asteroid belt. asteroids predates the discovery of the vast The timescale for NEO supply from such a trans-Neptunian and centaur populations, by near-Earth objects ignore source is tens of millions of years, leading and the finding that centaurs, in chaotic the possibility of a giant comet to an expectation that the population of orbits, leak from the outer solar system into entering the inner solar system. NEOs does not fluctuate substantially over the inner planetary region at a significant Bill Napier, David Asher, such intervals. Thus crater-counting on rate, largely via the Jupiter family of comets. planetary surfaces, and the understanding A new, self-consistent picture has emerged Mark Bailey and Duncan Steel of what such counts imply, is based on an in which there is a gradual pass-me-down examine the likelihood and assumption that such craters are produced of substantial objects (50–100 km across and Downloaded from potential consequences of the at a constant rate over geological/astro- above) into the inner solar system (Horner nomical time; but this core assumption is et al. 2004ab, Steel 2014, Napier 2014, 2015). appearance of such a centaur. contraindicated by the terrestrial cratering Napier (2015) discussed how the occa- record (the only craters for sional arrival of a massive o we live in dangerous times? The which we have individual “The idea that impacts centaur will dominate the http://astrogeo.oxfordjournals.org/ risks to civilization from impacts datings), which shows that can affect our planet’s supply of Earth-crossing Dby asteroids and comets have been these impacts on our own climate and life is now debris. -
Colliding Worlds: Asteroid Research and the Legitimisation of War in Space
Colliding Worlds: Asteroid Research and the Legitimisation of War in Space ABSTRACT Over the past twenty years a small group of astronomers and planetary scientists have actively promoted the idea that an asteroid might collide with the Earth and destroy civilisation. Despite concerns about placing weapons in space, the asteroid scientists repeatedly met with scientists from the Strategic Defense Initiative to discuss mitigation technologies. This paper examines the narrative context in which asteroids were constructed as a threat and astronomy was reconfigured as an interventionist science. I argue that conceptualising asteroids through narratives of technological salvation invoked a ‘narrative imperative’ which drew the astronomers towards the militaristic endings that their stories demanded. Impact-threat science thus demonstrates both the ways in which scientific research can be framed by fictional narratives and the ideological ends which such narratives can serve. Keywords: asteroid impacts, defence science, military, SDI, astronomy, science fiction, narrative. Dr Felicity Mellor Humanities Programme Imperial College London SW7 2AZ U.K. e-mail: [email protected] tel: +44 (0)20 7594 8746 fax: +44(0)20 7594 8763 Author copy. The final, definitive version of this paper has been published in Social Studies of Science 37:4 (August 2007) 499-531 by SAGE Publications Ltd. All rights reserved. Felicity Mellor, ‘Colliding Worlds’ p. 1 Since the late 1980s, a small group of astronomers and planetary scientists have repeatedly warned of the threat of an asteroid impacting with Earth and causing global destruction. They foretell a large impact causing global fires, the failure of the world’s agriculture and the end of human civilisation. -
Giant Comets and Mass Extinctions of Life
Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 000, ?? – ?? (2015) Printed 17 March 2015 (MN LATEX style file v2.2) Giant comets and mass extinctions of life W.M. Napier1⋆ 1Buckingham Centre for Astrobiology, University of Buckingham, Buckingham MK18 1EG, UK Accepted 2014 December 16. Received 2014 December 12; in original form 2014 March 31 ABSTRACT I find evidence for clustering in age of well-dated impact craters over the last 500 Myr. At least nine impact episodes are identified, with durations whose upper limits are set by the dating accuracy of the craters. Their amplitudes and frequency are inconsis- tent with an origin in asteroid breakups or Oort cloud disturbances, but are consistent with the arrival and disintegration in near-Earth orbits of rare, giant comets, mainly in transit from the Centaur population into the Jupiter family and Encke regions. About 1 in 10 Centaurs in Chiron-like orbits enter Earth-crossing epochs, usually repeatedly, each such epoch being generally of a few thousand years duration. On time-scales of geological interest, debris from their breakup may increase the mass of the near-Earth interplanetary environment by two or three orders of magnitude, yielding repeated episodes of bombardment and stratospheric dusting. I find a strong correlation between these bombardment episodes and major biostratigraphic and geo- logical boundaries, and propose that episodes of extinction are most effectively driven by prolonged encounters with meteoroid streams during bombardment episodes. Pos- sible mechanisms are discussed. Key words: comets: general - interplanetary medium - meteorites, meteors, mete- oroids - zodiacal dust 1 INTRODUCTION tention has been paid to the issue of episodes of bombard- ment, although several such have been noted and claims The discovery of an excess of iridium at the Cretaceous- have been made of correlation with mass extinction (Keller Tertiary boundary of 65 Myr BP, and its interpretation as et al 2012; McGhee 1996). -
Curriculum Vitae Duncan Steel Bsc(Hons), Msc, DIC, Phd, FRAS
Curriculum Vitae Duncan Steel BSc(Hons), MSc, DIC, PhD, FRAS PO Box 9461, Postal address: Marion Square Wellington 6141 New Zealand Phone: +64 (0)4 473 9725 / 0279 425 741 Email: [email protected] Website: duncansteel.com Citizenships: United Kingdom and Australia Tertiary Education: Doctor of Philosophy, Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Canterbury, New Zealand, 1982-1985 (thesis entitled Orbital Characteristics of Meteoroids submitted in September 1984). Graduate work in Planetary Science, Atmospheric Physics and Aeronomy, University of Colorado at Boulder, USA, 1979-81. Master of Science (and college diploma) in Applied Optics, Imperial College of Science and Technology, University of London, 1978-1979. Graduate work in Astrophysics, Queen Mary College, University of London, 1977-78. Bachelor of Science with Combined Honours in Physics and Astrophysics, Queen Elizabeth College (now a part of King’s College), University of London, 1974-1977. Open source of personal information: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Duncan_Steel Employment History: May–June 2014: Visiting Research Scholar, Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Western Ontario, Canada August 2013 onwards: Visiting Astronomer, Armagh Observatory, Northern Ireland May 2013 onwards: Visiting Professor of Astrobiology, University of Buckingham, UK April 2013 onwards: Visiting Space Scientist, NASA-Ames Research Center, California April 2012 onwards: self-employed space researcher and author July 2004-March 2012: Principal Research Scientist, QinetiQ Proprietary Limited (formerly Ball Aerospace Australia), Canberra. January 2004-November 2012: Visiting Researcher, Australian Centre for Astrobiology, University of New South Wales (but formerly located at Macquarie University). January 2004-July 2009: Member of the Advisory Committee, Adelaide Festival of Ideas. -
The Comet's Tale
THE COMET’S TALE Newsletter of the Comet Section of the British Astronomical Association Volume 8, No 2 (Issue 16), 2001 October DEEP SPACE 1 ENCOUNTERS 19P/Borrelly problem. All the science data ten years to facilitate the five Donald K. Yeomans were successfully received on upcoming cometary encounters Earth within a few hours after the provided by the CONTOUR, NASA/JPL, Near-Earth Object flyby itself. The DS1 spacecraft Stardust, Deep Impact, and program office was designed to test various space Rosetta spacecraft. technologies including the ion On Saturday evening at 7:00 PM, drive engine that first ionizes For more information, see: sustained applause broke out in xenon and then electrostatically the Deep Space 1 spacecraft accelerated these charged http://nmp.jpl.nasa.gov/ds1/ control room at the Jet Propulsion particles to form a modest, but Laboratory. The first high continuous, rocket thrust. resolution images of comet's Borrelly nucleus had reached Earth (Figure 1). The images were sharper than expected and revealed a very dark, outgasing nucleus shaped a bit like a bowling pin except this bowling pin was nearly the size of Mt. Everest. Examination of the surface features reveals ridges, fault lines, and bright areas that are thought to be source regions for the nucleus' jets that emanate toward the solar direction. These Figure 2 This image of comet jets are thought to be the vaporization of the comet's ices as Borrelly's nucleus has been the active regions are heated by Figure 1 This black and white purposely overexposed to show sunlight (Figure 2). -
Paul Davies; Oxford University Press 2006)
Curriculum Vitae Paul C.W. Davies Beyond: Center for Fundamental Concepts in Science Arizona State University http://beyond.asu.edu P.O. Box 871504, Tempe, AZ 85287-1504 (480) 727-0774 Fax: 480 965 7954 [email protected] Nationality: British & Australian Education/degrees BSc First Class in Physics, University College London, 1967 Ph.D, Physics Department, University College London, 1970 DSc honoris causa, Macquarie University, Sydney (2006) DSc honoris causa,, Chapman University, California (2009) Professional Appointments 2006- Director, Beyond: Center for Fundamental Concepts in Science, Co-Director ASU Cosmology Initiative, College Professor, Arizona State University 2001 - 2006 Professor of Natural Philosophy, Macquarie University 1998 - Visiting Professor, Department of Physics, Imperial College London 1998 - Adjunct Professor, Department of Physics, University of Queensland 1993 - 1997 Professor of Natural Philosophy, Department of Physics, The University of Adelaide 1990 - 1993 Professor of Mathematical Physics, The University of Adelaide 1980 - 1990 Professor of Theoretical Physics, University of Newcastle upon Tyne 1972 - 1980 Lecturer in Mathematics, King's College, University of London 1970 - 1972 Research Fellow, Institute of Theoretical Astronomy, University of Cambridge Professional organizations Fellow, UK Institute of Physics Chartered Physicist (CPhys), UK Institute of Physics Fellow, Australian Institute of Physics Fellow, World Economic Forum Fellow, Royal Literary Society Honorary Fellow, Indian Astronomical Society -
PDC2015 Frascati, Roma, Italy Planetary Defense – Recent
PDC2015 Frascati, Roma, Italy Planetary Defense – Recent Progress & Plans NEO Discovery X NEO Characterization Mitigation Techniques & Missions Impact Effects that Inform Warning, Mitigation & Costs Consequence Management & Education IAA-PDC-15-P-40 UNSTABLE GIANT COMETS IN THE OUTER SOLAR SYSTEM AS A FUTURE CONCERN FOR PLANETARY DEFENCE Duncan Steel(1,2,3) (1)Centre for Astrobiology, University of Buckingham, England (2)Armagh Observatory, Northern Ireland (3)Postal address: PO Box 9461, Marion Square, Wellington 6141, New Zealand Keywords: Comets, mass extinctions, centaurs, meteoroids, interplanetary dust ABSTRACT Whilst most current planetary defence discussions focus on the known and anticipated overall population of Earth-approaching asteroids in cis-jovian orbits, it does not follow that what we observe in the current epoch is diagnostic of the population of asteroids and comets that have affected the terrestrial environment across the palaeozoic. That is, imagining that faunal mass extinctions (such as the K/T boundary event 65 million years ago that marked the end of the dinosaurs and the rise of the mammals) are due to random asteroid impacts with the source region being the main belt between Mars and Jupiter represents a model which is over- simplistic. Over the past two decades a very large number of objects classified by the International Astronomical Union (IAU) as being ‘minor planets’ (a synonym for ‘asteroids’) have been discovered in the outer solar system, many of them having orbits that cross at least one of the giant planets, in most cases rendering these newly-found bodies dynamically unstable and leading to them being informally termed ‘centaurs’. -
July 91011 1999
the i d ,^^^ a s July 91011fri sat sun 1999 North Terrace Allelaid, e South Australia pie ented by sponsored by N. K, A (^:I^;:%^:I^ welcome himy 0' I"I, Sat", day @ I"Iy Sunday I July I 1.00. in 10.00, in 10.30. in Welcome to the official program guide for the Bonython Hall Eld. r Hall Bony. hon Hall Eldor Hal Art Gallery Auditorium inaugural Adelaide Festival of Ideas - three days just Wartr ajust War h conversation Thinking tintk, ud Thinking OutloLrl Thinking Outloud of stimulating public forums, conversations and Paul Collins Malcolm Walter The Changing Nan" Paul Davies David Brooks Gerard Heriderson Andrew Knoll of Community solo presentations covering a wide range of 12.00 topics and featuring speakers from Australia and Hanan Ashrawi Beatrix Campbell Eld. r Hall Bony, han Hall around the world. New thinking, ideals and 12.45pm 11.30am 'in kit:lit or Am I Righ Richr or PCx, rer issues all play a part in the program for this Elder Hall The Irisltu, e Ledure Theatre Eld. r Hall Bony. hon Hall Good and Evil in a Income distribution, event. We invite you to join with us to celebrate Thin, ing OURl, ,ud Thinking Our bud Scionce Friction Intellectual Colonisation Post-Rollsiou, Society winn. r, and losers. and be a part of Adelaide's public intellectual Envi"ging a Ethical issues airing from Worn. n In Scionce Global"rsus local. Globalisatio Phillip Adams Mark Cully culture. With the exception of three ticketed sustainable future. doning. surrog. cy, sperm Where are the girl. -
Planetary Satellites,Asteroids,Comets and Metors - Duncan Steel
GEOPHYSICS AND GEOCHEMISTRY – Vol.III - Planetary Satellites,Asteroids,Comets And Metors - Duncan Steel PLANETARY SATELLITES, ASTEROIDS, COMETS AND METEORS Duncan Steel University of Salford, UK Keywords:Naturalsatellites,moons,asteroids,minorplanets,comets, meteoroids, meteors, meteorites Contents 1. Introduction 2. Planetary satellites 3. Asteroids 4. Comets 5. Meteoroids and meteors Glossary Bibliography Biographical Sketch Summary The smaller bodies in the solar system are discussed in this article. Although their combined mass is tiny compared to that of the planets, asteroids, comets and meteoroids, they have important effects upon the terrestrial environment and this is the emphasis of the present article. Asteroids, mainly rocky or metallic bodies in the inner solar system, orbit the Sun in various distinct populations (planet-crossers, main-belt asteroids, trans-Neptunian Edgeworth-Kuiper belt objects, Centaurs in the outer planetary region) between which there are transfers over substantial timescales. For example the main belt is the main reservoir replenishing the Earth-crossing asteroids, the latter being removed on timescales of 100 million years or less (i.e. shorter than the age of the solar system). Comets arrive in the inner planetary region, where there is sufficient solar heating to cause theUNESCO sublimation of part of their – volatileEOLSS constituents which makes them conspicuous, from more distant reservoirs: the Edgeworth-Kuiper belt and the Oort- Öpik cloud. Physical decay limits their lifetimes to a few thousand orbits, if they have perihelia sunwardSAMPLE of Mars. CHAPTERS Each of the giant planets possesses an extensive number of natural satellites or moons. The larger satellites generally orbit relatively close to the planet in question, and are believed to be primordial (i.e. -
Report of the Task Force on Potentially Hazardous NEAR EARTH OBJECTS 188-001BNSC NEO FC/IFC/IBC/BC 5/9/00 3:16 Pm Page 3
188-001BNSC NEO FC/IFC/IBC/BC 5/9/00 3:16 pm Page 2 Report of the Task Force on potentially hazardous NEAR EARTH OBJECTS 188-001BNSC NEO FC/IFC/IBC/BC 5/9/00 3:16 pm Page 3 Cover (front and back) SOLAR SYSTEM showing the Sun, the planets, the main belt of asteroids and the orbit of a typical comet (drawing not to scale). The planets are, counting from the Sun: Mercury, Venus, Earth, Mars (to the left), the giant planet Jupiter (to the right) and Saturn (top left, back cover). The comet, coming from the far reaches of the Solar System, is shown in two positions along its orbit. The comet’s tail always points directly away from the Sun. The belt of asteroids contains about one million objects over 1kilometre in size. Some asteroids are deflected by Jupiter’s gravitational field to become Near Earth Objects. A stony asteroid is shown at the bottom of the cover; it is covered with small craters by the impact of other asteroids over the ages. Inside front and back covers Asteroid and comet impact craters on far side of Moon. Title page Moon impact craters (bottom) and Earth (top) photographed from US Clementine spacecraft 1994. *188-001 NEO Task FINAL a 5/9/00 3:17 pm Page 1 NASA Report of the Task Force on potentially hazardous Near Earth Objects September 2000 *188-001 NEO Task FINAL a 5/9/00 3:17 pm Page 3 CONTENTS List of Graphs, Tables Chapter 7 and Illustrations 4 Activities in Britain 27 Terms of Reference Chapter 8 and Membership of Task Force 5 Mitigation possibilities 28 Acknowledgements 5 Chapter 9 What is to be done? Executive Summary