Decoupling Search Topic and Popularity Ranking: Insights on Online Echo Chambers

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

Decoupling Search Topic and Popularity Ranking: Insights on Online Echo Chambers MIT IDE RESEARCH BRIEF VOL. 2017.8 DECOUPLING SEARCH TOPIC AND POPULARITY RANKING: INSIGHTS ON ONLINE ECHO CHAMBERS Sagit Bar-Gill and Neil Gandal Just as sound reverberates in an enclosed space, so do online environment for content exploration, we broke down opinions and information “bounce” among social circles. search into two dimensions — content topic and content Since “birds of a feather flock together,” these social popularity. We then looked at the ways individuals moved circles consist mostly of like-minded individuals, making through the material. We observed, for instance, the weight it harder for dissenting views to permeate our discourse, that users placed on their own interests versus those of and creating an echo of our own information and views the crowd, and how these patterns relate to an individual’s (1). This echo chamber phenomenon has drawn growing characteristics, such as how social they regard themselves concern in post-election USA, post-Brexit UK, and pretty and whether they try to influence others in their social much everywhere in our increasingly connected world (2– circles (what we term “opinion leaders”). 4). Echo chambers have always been around as a natural result of our homophilous social choices. But as our social In our experimental environment, susceptibility to echo networking continues its shift online, the echoes seem to be chambers is well-proxied by: (I) conducting relatively getting worse (2, 4, 5). little exploration in the search process, and (II) relying on popularity in content choice. Who is responsible for our online echo chambers – ourselves or filtering and ranking algorithms beyond our Therefore, users who conduct little exploration and rely control? Filtering and ranking algorithms are implemented more heavily on the crowd’s previous choices will, over in many of our online environments, creating much- time, see less diverse content. As a result, they’ll be at a debated personalization of search results (6–9), and higher risk of getting caught in an echo chamber. holding the potential to influence individual behaviors and aggregate outcomes (10). Yet the human factor carries substantial weight, too. IN THIS RESEARCH BRIEF Bakshy and colleagues at Facebook research labs (11) find that individuals’ own choices are more responsible for • Echo chambers have always been around as a natural result of homophilous social choices. But their echo chambers than Facebook’s newsfeed ranking as social networking continues its shift online, the algorithm. In line with this, recent Pew research (12) finds echoes seem to be getting worse. that 83% of social media users ignore political posts with • Algorithmic ranking, based on popularity, users’ which they disagree. previous searches, clicks, and other factors, is an integral part of search engines, social media, and We primarily examined two factors: The types of users other online environments. • Ranking of results has been shown to have a most likely to get caught in content echo chambers, and major influence on user choices, and could intro- the role of displaying popularity information (view counts), duce biases that go unnoticed as users are large- in facilitating content echo chambers. By creating a simple ly unaware of the mechanisms determining their search results and news feeds. • Highly social users, those searching in a content space they are already familiar with, and young users, are all at a higher risk of echo chambers. • Users who consistently search by topics of inter- est and rely less on the crowd’s previous choices were less likely to suffer from echo chambers. MIT IDE RESEARCH BRIEF VOL. 2017.8 DECOUPLING SEARCH TOPIC AND POPULARITY RANKING Sagit Bar-Gill and Neil Gandal Opinion leaders – individuals who influence others’ opinions or choices (13–20) – are likely to affect their peers’ content exposure. We thus specifically studied their search patterns, comparing influencers to individuals who are not opinion leaders. THE EXPERIMENTAL SETTING In our experimental search environment, named TED- it, 1,846 study participants explored the collection of TED talks posted on YouTube (roughly 1,600 short videos).1 Participants navigated using two buttons, Category and Popularity. The Category button allowed users to choose one of 15 content groupings and presented a list of talks in random order, without any ranking. By contrast, the Popularity button sorted the displayed search results by their Figure 1: A screenshot with search results on TED-it number of views on YouTube — from most to least popular as it appeared after a user clicked on Category, and — or simply sorted all talks by popularity if no category was chose the Entertainment category. chosen. Users could click each of the buttons as many times as they like, creating a search sequence. This search journey was the object of our study. The relationship between search patterns and viewers’ who relied strongly on Popularity sorting and conducted social characteristics was further determined by a series of little to no Category search, were more susceptible to questionnaires, which assessed users’ sociability, opinion echo chambers in our research setting. leadership, and previous experience with TED content, along with some demographics. USER CHARACTERISTICS AND EXPLORATION PATTERNS As with most content platforms, there are popular TED talks as well as many others with fewer views. We examined how user characteristics such as sociability, We found that generally, people who explored content familiarity with content, opinion leadership and age affect with less reliance on its popularity metrics ended up content exploration. We operationalized “exploration” by at content that is less known by their peers, but more studying users’ search flow in our environment: from their first suited to their personal interests. As assumed, users click, to follow-up clicks, to the type of results they choose, who consistently search by topics of interest and rely and the chosen talk’s location (or, scroll depth) in that list. less on the crowd’s previous choices were less likely to suffer from echo chambers. On the flip side, people Three types of people were most at risk for falling into echo chambers: highly social individuals; those already familiar 1 TED is a nonprofit organization devoted to spreading ideas, with TED content, and young users. Each was more likely usually in the form of short talks (18 minutes or less). TED to rely on popularity considerations and explore less. stands for Technology, Entertainment and Design, though TED talks today may cover any topic (more at https://www.ted.com/ about/). We use TED talks in compliance with their Creative Commons license. IDE.MIT.EDU 2 MIT IDE RESEARCH BRIEF VOL. 2017.8 DECOUPLING SEARCH TOPIC AND POPULARITY RANKING Sagit Bar-Gill and Neil Gandal Additionally, opinion leaders were more likely to explore the already familiar with, and young users, are all at a videos and had lower reliance on popularity sorting. We higher risk of such echo chambers. found that male opinion leaders in our sample conducted more topic-based exploration and invested more effort in Opinion leaders may ameliorate echo chamber concerns search than male non-leaders. Apparently, these opinion within their social circles, due to their tendency to conduct leaders are more likely to seek new avenues for influence, more popularity-independent exploration compared to and look for novel content to introduce to their followers that their followers. However, their inclination to explore is may ameliorate their group’s own echo chamber.2 highly sensitive to the provision of popularity information, and curtailed by it. We also studied how influenced people are by knowing the popularity of content. With “like” counts and view Should we therefore, suppress or, at least, reduce counts now baked into most online environments, was the visibility of popularity information in our online this information making people more likely or less likely to environments to increase the diversity of content explore unfamiliar territories? consumed? To the extent that content diversity is a desired end, the answer is yes. Furthermore, in our analyses, To answer this question, we randomly assigned users to one there were no statistically significant correlations of two conditions, where popularity information was either between users’ exploration characteristics, and proxies shown or blocked in category-based searches. Interestingly, for enjoyment, such as viewing talks past the mandated in our study, only male opinion leaders were affected by the time, or watching an extra talk. This suggests that, at display of view counts, responding to this information by least in the realm of curated content, such as TED talks, increasing their popularity reliance. popular content is not inherently superior to less popular content. Therefore, designing online environments that Our study was not designed to uncover gender differences encourage exploration (e.g., with increased visibility of in the relationship between user characteristics and content non-hit content, and reduced visibility of view counts) exploration patterns, however, these do exist. Namely, our may alleviate content echo chambers, with little impact regression models and relationships between variables of on user satisfaction. interest are largely statistically significant for males, and not significant for females, indicating the existence of consistent While our experiment takes place in a non-standard patterns for men, but not for women. search environment, it offers first insights as to users’ personal preferences for exploration and to the CONCLUSIONS extent to which they would actively seek out ranked results, if given a choice. Future research may extend Tendencies to conduct limited exploration and rely on these results to more organic settings and general peers’ past choices in own content choice are likely to content spaces. Still, our results may speak to lead users down echo chambers, with limited exposure general concerns raised regarding the growing role to content that is not in line with their peers’ and own of algorithms in our lives 21, 22).
Recommended publications
  • Free, Hateful, and Posted: Rethinking First Amendment Protection of Hate Speech in a Social Media World
    Boston College Law Review Volume 60 Issue 7 Article 6 10-30-2019 Free, Hateful, and Posted: Rethinking First Amendment Protection of Hate Speech in a Social Media World Lauren E. Beausoleil Boston College Law School, [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://lawdigitalcommons.bc.edu/bclr Part of the First Amendment Commons, and the Internet Law Commons Recommended Citation Lauren E. Beausoleil, Free, Hateful, and Posted: Rethinking First Amendment Protection of Hate Speech in a Social Media World, 60 B.C.L. Rev. 2100 (2019), https://lawdigitalcommons.bc.edu/bclr/vol60/iss7/6 This Notes is brought to you for free and open access by the Law Journals at Digital Commons @ Boston College Law School. It has been accepted for inclusion in Boston College Law Review by an authorized editor of Digital Commons @ Boston College Law School. For more information, please contact [email protected]. FREE, HATEFUL, AND POSTED: RETHINKING FIRST AMENDMENT PROTECTION OF HATE SPEECH IN A SOCIAL MEDIA WORLD Abstract: Speech is meant to be heard, and social media allows for exaggeration of that fact by providing a powerful means of dissemination of speech while also dis- torting one’s perception of the reach and acceptance of that speech. Engagement in online “hate speech” can interact with the unique characteristics of the Internet to influence users’ psychological processing in ways that promote violence and rein- force hateful sentiments. Because hate speech does not squarely fall within any of the categories excluded from First Amendment protection, the United States’ stance on hate speech is unique in that it protects it.
    [Show full text]
  • What Echo Chamber? Reviewing the Evidence
    Echo Chamber? What Echo Chamber? Reviewing the Evidence Prof. Axel Bruns Digital Media Research Centre Queensland University of Technology Brisbane, Australia [email protected] @snurb_dot_info Abstract The success of political movements that appear to be immune to any factual evidence that contradicts their claims – from the Brexiteers to the ‘alt‐right’, neo‐fascist groups supporting Donald Trump – has reinvigorated claims that social media spaces constitute so‐called ‘filter bubbles’ or ‘echo chambers’. But while such claims may appear intuitively true to politicians and journalists – who have themselves been accused of living in filter bubbles (Bradshaw 2016) –, the evidence that ordinary users experience their everyday social media environments as echo chambers is far more limited. For instance, a 2016 Pew Center study has shown that only 23% of U.S. users on Facebook and 17% on Twitter now say with confidence that most of their contacts’ views are similar to their own. 20% have changed their minds about a political or social issue because of interactions on social media (Duggan and Smith 2016). Similarly, large‐scale studies of follower and interaction networks on Twitter (e.g. Bruns et al., 2014) show that national Twitterspheres are often thoroughly interconnected and facilitate the flow of information across boundaries of personal ideology and interest, except for a few especially hardcore partisan communities. Building on new, comprehensive data from a project that maps and tracks interactions between 4 million accounts in the Australian Twittersphere, this paper explores in detail the evidence for the existence of echo chambers in that country. It thereby moves the present debate beyond a merely anecdotal footing, and offers a more reliable assessment of the ‘echo chamber’ threat.
    [Show full text]
  • Beyond Filter Bubbles and Echo Chambers: the Integrative Potential of the Internet Mahrt, Merja
    www.ssoar.info Beyond Filter Bubbles and Echo Chambers: The Integrative Potential of the Internet Mahrt, Merja Erstveröffentlichung / Primary Publication Habilitationsschrift / habilitation treatise Empfohlene Zitierung / Suggested Citation: Mahrt, M. (2019). Beyond Filter Bubbles and Echo Chambers: The Integrative Potential of the Internet. (Digital Communication Research, 5). Berlin. https://doi.org/10.17174/dcr.v5.0 Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Dieser Text wird unter einer CC BY Lizenz (Namensnennung) zur This document is made available under a CC BY Licence Verfügung gestellt. Nähere Auskünfte zu den CC-Lizenzen finden (Attribution). For more Information see: Sie hier: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/deed.de Mahrt Are online audiences today fragmented into echo chambers or ilter Merja Mahrt bubbles? Do users only see what digital platforms (like search engines or social media) let them see? And if so, what are the consequences for the cohesion of a society? Concerns like these abound in recent years. They attest to widely held assumptions about a negative inluence of digital media or even the Internet in general on society. Empirical stud- ies on these phenomena are, however, not as unequivocal. To under- stand why results from previous research are so far inconclusive, this study investigates the role of the Internet for social integration from a more general point of view. The integrative potential of the Internet is assessed to compare it with other media and ultimately better understand to what degree and due to which factors the Internet may or may not help bring society to- Beyond Filter Bubbles gether.
    [Show full text]
  • Module - 7 CONSUMER BEHAVIOR
    NPIEL Consumer Behavior Vinod Gupta School of Management Module - 7 CONSUMER BEHAVIOR Sangeeta Sahney Assistant Professor, Vinod Gupta School of Management Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur, India Email. [email protected] Joint Initiative IITs and IISc – Funded by MHRD - 1 - NPIEL Consumer Behavior Vinod Gupta School of Management MODULE 7.7: OPINION LEDERSHIP (1 hour) MODULE 7.7: OPINION LEADERSHIP(1 hour) 7.7.1 Word-of-Mouth Communication and Opinion Leadership 7.7.2 Opinion Leaders and Opinion Receivers/Seekers 7.7.3 Role played by Opinion Leaders 7.7.4 Motives Behind Opinion Leadership: 7.7.5 Dynamics of Opinion Leadership Process 7.7.6 Measurement of Opinion Leadership 7.7.7 Traits and Characteristics of Opinion Leaders 7.7.8 Relevance of Opinion Leadership for a Marketer Joint Initiative IITs and IISc – Funded by MHRD - 2 - NPIEL Consumer Behavior Vinod Gupta School of Management LESSON – 38 OPINION LEDERSHIP Instructional Objectives: After completion of this lesson, the student shall know about: 7.7.1 Word-of-Mouth Communication and Opinion Leadership 7.7.2 Opinion Leaders and Opinion Receivers/Seekers 7.7.3 Role played by Opinion Leaders 7.7.4 Dynamics of Opinion Leadership Process 7.7.5 Dynamics of Opinion Leadership Process 7.7.6 Measurement of Opinion Leadership 7.7.7 Traits and Characteristics of Opinion Leaders 7.7.8 Relevance of Opinion Leadership for a Marketer 7.7.1 WORD-OF-MOUTH COMMUNICATION AND OPINION LEADERSHIP: The previous lesson has dealt elaborately on word-of-mouth communication, and the important role that it plays in the marketing of goods and services.
    [Show full text]
  • Identifying Opinion Leaders by Using Social Network Analysis: a Synthesis of Opinion
    Identifying Opinion Leaders by Using Social Network Analysis: A Synthesis of Opinion Leadership Data Collection Methods and Instruments A dissertation presented to the faculty of the Scripps College of Communication of Ohio University In partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree Doctor of Philosophy Do Kyun Kim August 2007 2 © 2007 Do Kyun Kim All Rights Reserved 3 This dissertation titled Identifying Opinion Leaders by Using Social Network Analysis: A Synthesis of Opinion Leadership Data Collection Methods and Instruments by DO KYUN KIM has been approved for the School of Communication Studies and the Scripps College of Communication by ___________________________________________ Anita C. James Associate Professor of Communication Studies ___________________________________________ Gregory J. Shepherd Dean, Scripps College of Communication 4 Abstract KIM, DO KYUN, Ph.D., August 2007. Communication Studies Identifying Opinion Leaders by Using Social Network Analysis: A Synthesis of Opinion Leadership Data Collection Methods and Instruments (220 pp.) Director of Dissertation: Anita C. James Identifying opinion leaders for an opinion leadership intervention is critical in order to determine whether or not the diffusion of innovations succeeds; however, there have been few studies that provided a synthetic guideline for researchers to consult in identifying opinion leaders. Based on this necessity, the purpose of this dissertation was to provide a synthesis of the ways to identify opinion leaders by using methods of social network
    [Show full text]
  • Echo Chambers
    Echo Chambers J. Anthony Cookson, Joseph E. Engelberg and William Mullins* October 7, 2020 Abstract We find evidence of selective exposure to confirmatory information among 300,000 users on the investor social network StockTwits. Self-described bulls are 5 times more likely to follow a user with a bullish view of the same stock than self-described bears. This tendency exists even among professional investors and is strongest for investors who trade on their beliefs. Selective exposure generates differences in the newsfeeds of bulls and bears: over a 50-day period, a bull will see 70 more bullish messages and 15 fewer bearish messages than a bear over the same period. Moreover, beliefs formed in these “echo-chambers” are associated with lower ex- post returns. Finally, we show that selective exposure creates “information silos” in which the diversity of received signals is high across users’ newsfeeds but is low within users’ newsfeeds and that this siloing of information is positively related to trading volume. *Cookson is at the Leeds School of Business at University of Colorado-Boulder ([email protected]). En- gelberg is at the Rady School of Management, UC San Diego ([email protected]). Mullins is at the Rady School of Management, UC San Diego ([email protected]). This draft has benefited from workshop and conference presentations at Georgetown University, Finance in the Cloud III, University of Colorado, and UC San Diego. 1 Introduction Traditional models in finance – where investors have common priors, observe the same public sig- nals, and update their beliefs according to Bayes’ rule – have a difficult time explaining the high trading volume observed in financial markets.
    [Show full text]
  • Opinion Forming in the Digital Age
    Opinion Forming in the Digital Age Fake News, Echo Chambers and Populism - Key Themes, Concerns & Recommendations for European Research and Innovation Version 1.0 – October 2018 Editors: Steve Taylor1, Brian Pickering, Paul Grace, Michael Boniface University of Southampton IT Innovation Centre, UK Expert Panel2: Vian Bakir Andrew McStay danah boyd Hugo Mercier Sven Engesser Miriam Metzger Robert Epstein Francesca Polletta Nayla Fawzi Walter Quattrociocchi Philip Fernbach Steven Sloman Dana R. Fisher Dan Sperber Beth Gharrity Gardner Niels Spierings Kristof Jacobs Claire Wardle Susan Jacobson Fabiana Zollo Benjamin Krämer Arkaitz Zubiaga Adam Kucharski 1 Contact author: [email protected] 2 Full positions and affiliations of the expert panel are included within. The Internet provides fast and ubiquitous communication that enables all kinds of communities and provides citizens with easy access to vast amounts of information, although the information is not necessarily verified and may present a distorted view of real events or facts. The Internet’s power as an instant source of mass information can be used to influence opinions, which can have far- reaching consequences. This report’s purpose is to provide input into the advisory processes that determine European support for research into the effects and management of Fake News (e.g. deliberate misinformation), Echo Chambers (e.g. closed communities where biases can be reinforced through lack of diversity in opinions), and the Internet’s influence on social and political movements such as Populism; to provide insight into how innovation that takes these aspects into account can be supported. To address this aim, this report concerns socio-technical implications of the Internet related to the impact of closed communities and misinformation and makes recommendations derived from a consultation with domain experts concerning the research needed to address specific challenges.
    [Show full text]
  • Opportunity Makes Opinion Leaders
    Walter, Stefanie; Brüggemann, Michael (2018): Opportunity makes opinion leaders. Analyzing the role of first-hand information in opinion leadership in social media networks. In Information, Communication & Society, pp. 1–21. Available online at https://doi.org/10.1080/1369118X.2018.1500622. [Final accepted manuscript] Opportunity makes opinion leaders: Analyzing the role of first-hand information in opinion leadership in social media networks Stefanie Walter1 Institute for Journalism and Communication Science, University of Hamburg, Germany Michael Brüggemann Institute for Journalism and Communication Science, University of Hamburg, Germany Abstract: Theorizing information flows is at the heart of traditional communication theories such as the two-step flow of communication and the concept of opinion leadership. Social media have fundamentally altered how information reaches people. This study examines opinion leadership in social media networks and argues that opinion leaders may no longer need to rely on information provided by the media if they have access to first-hand information. To test this assumption empirically, we used data from the 2015 United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP21). Attendees of the conference had direct information about what was happening, which they were able to share live with their followers via social media. We used geo-located tweets to identify Twitter users who attended the COP21 summit. We then located these users in a data set of tweets that were collected based on the main conference hashtag (#COP21) and represent the wider social media debate on the conference. Our results, which are based on network analysis measures and Twitter user data, show that COP21 participants were more central actors compared to the average user in the network, and that they were more likely to have brokering positions.
    [Show full text]
  • PAUL LAZARSFELD—THE FOUNDER of MODERN EMPIRICAL SOCIOLOGY: a RESEARCH BIOGRAPHY Hynek Jerábek
    International Journal of Public Opinion Research Vol. No. –/ $. PAUL LAZARSFELD—THE FOUNDER OF MODERN EMPIRICAL SOCIOLOGY: A RESEARCH BIOGRAPHY Hynek Jerˇa´bek ABSTRACT Paul Lazarsfeld contributed to unemployment research, public opinion and market research, mass media and communications research, political sociology, the sociology of sociology, the history of empirical social research, and applied sociology. His methodological innovations—reason analysis, program analyzer, panel analysis, survey analysis, elaboration formula, latent structure analysis, mathematical sociology (especially the algebra of dichotomous systems), contextual analysis—are of special importance. This study responds to the critiques of Lazarsfeld’s ‘administrative research’ by Theodor W. Adorno, of ‘abstract empiricism’ by Charles W. Mills, and of the ‘Columbia Sociology Machine’ by Terry N. Clark. The paper discusses the merits of the team-oriented style of work presented in Lazarsfeld’s ‘workshop,’ his teaching by engaging in professional activities in social research and methodology, and his consecutive foundation of four research institutes, Vienna’s Wirtschaftspsychologische Forschungsstelle, the Newark Uni- versity Research Center, the Princeton Office of Radio Research, and the Bureau of Applied Social Research at Columbia University in New York. By his manyfold activities, Paul Lazarsfeld decisively promoted the institutionalization of empirical social research. All these merits make him the founder of modern empirical sociology. One hundred years have passed since the birth of the founder of modern empirical sociology, Paul Lazarsfeld. Without him, sociology today would not know terms and concepts such as panel study, opinion leader, latent structure analysis, program analyzer, elaboration formula, reason analysis, and many others. Lazarsfeld’s influence on empirical sociological research, market and public opinion research, and communication research has been much stronger than most of us realize.
    [Show full text]
  • Ventriloquism Or an Echo Chamber? Measuring the Strength of House Members’ Rhetoric in Local Newspapers
    Ventriloquism or an Echo Chamber? Measuring the Strength of House Members’ Rhetoric in Local Newspapers. Michael K. Romano Department of Political Science Georgia Southern University P.O. Box 8101, Carroll Building 2205 Statesboro, GA 30460 (912) 478-0838 (phone) (912) 478-5348 (fax) [email protected] Paper prepared for the 2015 Midwest Political Science Association Meeting. Chicago IL. April15-19, 2014 Ventriloquism or an Echo Chamber? Measuring the Strength of House Members’ Rhetoric in Local Newspapers. Political elites have been shown to excel at manipulating the information environment. Theories about press control by elites vary. Some argue that actors manipulate the media like a ventriloquist, using the press to restate their rhetoric verbatim, while others argue that journalists act with more agency when deciding the news. I examine the ability of members of the House of Representatives to manipulate news about their work in Washington. Members have an incentive to promote themselves in order to control the public's perception and attempt to leverage the local press through mediated homestyles; cultivating news agencies as a constituency using press releases that are ready-made for news consumption. The extent to which news articles echo press statements will vary depending on the complexity of the issue and the clarity of a member's expressed agenda. To test this relationship, data on press releases is gathered and is matched with corresponding district news coverage. Press releases and matched articles are examined using plagiarism detection software to evaluate overlapping use of representatives' rhetoric. The media system in the United States is tasked with taking the millions of signals, events, actions and non-actions of political actors and condensing them down into meaningful and understandable stories that can be absorbed easily by the populace.
    [Show full text]
  • Opinion Leadership, Media Use, and Environmental Engagement in China
    International Journal of Communication 13(2019), 4602–4623 1932–8036/20190005 Opinion Leadership, Media Use, and Environmental Engagement in China MARKO M. SKORIC1 NAN ZHANG City University of Hong Kong, China This study examines predictors of environmental engagement among Chinese citizens, paying particular attention to their leadership qualities and their news and social media use. Using a measure of environmental engagement that incorporates both activist (petitions, protests) and consumerist behaviors (boycotting and buycotting), we find that self-perceived opinion leadership, news media use, and Weibo use are all significant predictors of environmental engagement, partially mediated by environmental knowledge. We also explore interactions between opinion leadership and media use, showing differential impacts of news and social media use on environmental knowledge and engagement in China. More specifically, we find that the use of social media benefits people with higher levels of opinion leadership, widening the knowledge and participation gap between them and those who are lower in leadership qualities. In contrast, the use of news media narrows the gap in environmental knowledge and engagement, allowing citizens who do not perceive themselves to be opinion leaders to catch up with those who do. The implications of these findings for promoting environmental engagement in authoritarian contexts are discussed. Keywords: opinion leadership, news media, Weibo, environmental engagement, China Several decades of rapid economic growth characterized by large-scale industrialization, infrastructure development, and urbanization have transformed China into the second-largest economy in the world. The cost of such dramatic pace of development is perhaps most evident when looking at the levels of environmental degradation and air and water pollution across the most populated urban centers of China.
    [Show full text]
  • Evidence from Political Pundits∗
    Belief Systems in Theory and Practice: Evidence from Political Pundits∗ Jon Green† Most recently updated on May 17, 2021 Abstract Dominant approaches to measuring ideology in U.S. politics rely on summarizing actors’ preferences. However, corresponding theoretical accounts consider preferences to be one of multiple types of idea-elements that contribute to ideological belief systems. I link articulated worldviews with preference organization among roughly 1,000 of the most prominent political pundits in the United States and the roughly 3.2 million tweets they sent from January through August of 2019. I combine text- and network-analytic techniques to identify robust associations between a wide range of political topics, finding that broad partisan and ideological concepts tend to carry more, stronger ties to additional topics than discrete policy issues. I then use pundits’ political discussion to recover network-based summaries of their preferences. This more holistic representation of ideological belief systems provides new evidence regarding how “creative synthesis” – the process that packages plausibly independent ideas into an ideological gestalt – is carried out in practice. Word Count: 9757 ∗This is a draft working paper that has not been peer reviewed. Please do not cite without first consulting the author. Please do provide the author with constructive feedback for improvement. Many have done so already. I would like to extend special thanks to Kevin Reuning for help collecting data for this project, in addition to providing valuable advice. I would also like to thank Brice Acree, Mandi Bates Bailey, Jared Edgerton, Nic Fishman, Will Hobbs, Natalie Jackson, Don Kinder, Jon Kingzette, Vladimir Kogan, Seth Masket, William Minozzi, Michael Neblo, Hans Noel, participants at the October 28, 2020 meeting of the Junior Americanist Workshop Series (JAWS), and participants at the 2021 meetings of the Midwest, Southern, and Western Political Science Associations for helpful feedback throughout various stages of conceiving of, writing, and revising this paper.
    [Show full text]