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China Agenda for Water Sector Strategy for North China

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China Agenda for Water Sector Strategy for North China Report No. 22040-CHA Public Disclosure Authorized CHINA AGENDA FOR WATER SECTOR STRATEGY FOR NORTH CHINA VOLUME 4: GIS MAPS Public Disclosure Authorized April 2, 2001 Project Sponsors: Ministry of Water Resources P.R.C., the World Bank and AusAID. Joint Report prepared by the World Bank, Sinclair Knight Merz and Egis Consulting Australia, the General Institute for Water Resources Planning (MWR), the Institute of Water and Hydropower Research ( Beijing), the Institute of Water and Hydrology Research, (Nanjing), and the Chinese Research Academy for Environmental Sciences Public Disclosure Authorized (Beijing). Public Disclosure Authorized Chapters 1 & 2 1. Topographic Map of 3H Basins...................................................................................... 6 2. Precipitation in 3H Basins............................................................................................... 6 3. Population of 3H Basins.................................................................................................. 7 4. Population 2000 in Three Basins .................................................................................... 7 5. Population 2020 in Three Basins .................................................................................... 8 6. Population 2050 in Three Basins .................................................................................... 8 7. 2000 Total Population for Level II Basins in the Yellow, Huai, Hai Basins.................. 9 8. Total Population Growth Rate in the Yellow, Huai, Hai Basins..................................... 9 9. 2020 Total Population for Level II Basins in the Yellow, Huai, Hai Basins................ 10 10. 2050 Total Population for Level II Basins in the Yellow, Huai, Hai Basins.............. 10 11. Urban Population Growth Rate for Level II Basin in the Yellow, Huai, Hai Basins . 11 12.Urbanization 2000 in Three Basins.............................................................................. 11 13. Urbanization 2020 in Three Basins............................................................................. 12 14. Urbanization 2050 in Three Basins............................................................................. 12 15.Total GDP 2000 in Three Basins ................................................................................. 13 16. Total GDP 2020 in Three Basins ................................................................................ 13 17. Total GDP 2050 in Three Basins ................................................................................ 14 18.GDP by Capita Growth 1997 in Three Basins ............................................................. 14 19. GDP by Capita Growth 2000 in Three Basins ............................................................ 15 20. GDP by Capita Growth 2020 in Three Basins ............................................................ 15 21. GDP by Capita Growth 2050 in Three Basins ............................................................ 16 CHAPTER 3 & CHAPTER 4 22. Geographical Distribution of PPI Model Types thus far used in the Chinese Water Sector........................................................................................................................... 16 23.Water Requirement 1997 in Three Basins ................................................................... 17 24. Water Requirement 2000 in Three Basins .................................................................. 17 25. Water Requirement 2020 in Three Basins .................................................................. 18 26. Water Requirement 2050 in Three Basins .................................................................. 18 27. Total Water Requirements in Three Basins ................................................................ 19 28. Degree of Water Shortage in the Yellow, Huai, Hai Basins....................................... 19 29. 2000 75% probability Water Balance in Yellow, Huai, Hai River Basins ................. 20 30. 2020 75% probability Water Balance in Yellow, Huai, Hai River Basins ................. 20 31. 2030 75% probability Water Balance in Yellow, Huai, Hai River Basins ................. 21 32. 2040 75% probability Water Balance in Yellow, Huai,Hai River Basins .................. 21 33. 2000 75% probability Water Shortage in Yellow,Huai,Hai River Basins.................. 22 34. 2020 75% probability Water Shortage in Yellow,Huai,Hai River Basins.................. 22 35. 2030 75% probability Water Shortage in Yellow,Huai,Hai River Basins.................. 23 36. 2040 75% probability Water Shortage in Yellow,Huai,Hai River Basins.................. 23 37. Percent 75 Total Shortages for Base Case in the Yellow Huai Hai River Basins....... 24 38. Percent 75 Total Shortages without S-N Transfer (with Efficiency Improvement + Reuse+High Price) ...................................................................................................... 24 39. Percent 75 Total Shortages with S-N Transfer (with Efficiency Improvement + Reuse+High Price) ...................................................................................................... 25 40. Percent 95 Priority Shortages for Base Case in the Yellow Huai Hai River Basins... 25 41. Percent 95 Priority Shortages without S-N Transfer (with Efficiency Improvement + Reuse+High Price) ...................................................................................................... 26 42. Percent 95 Priority Shortages with S-N Transfer (with Efficiency Improvement + Reuse+High Price) ...................................................................................................... 26 43. Mountain Region in Hai River Basin.......................................................................... 27 44. Sketch of the Scheme of Eastern Route of S-N Water Transfer................................. 28 45. Sketch Plan of Middle Route of S-N Water Transfer ................................................. 29 CHAPTER 5 46. Cities with Low Level of Flood Protection in Yellow ,Huai, Hai River Basins......... 30 47. First Priority Flood Project in Hai River Basin........................................................... 31 48. First Priority Flood Project in Huai River Basin......................................................... 32 49. First Priority Flood Project in Yellow River Basin..................................................... 32 CHAPTER 6 50. Total Irrigation Area in 3H Basins in 2000, Base Case, P75...................................... 33 51. Total Irrigation Area in 3H Basins in 2000, with Efficiency 10% Improvement + Reuse + High Price, P75 ............................................................................................. 33 52. Total Irrigation Area in 3H Basins in 2000, with S-N and Efficiency 10% Improvement + Reuse + High Price, P75.................................................................... 34 53. Total Irrigation Area in 3H Basins in 2020, Base Case, P75...................................... 34 54. Total Irrigation Area in 3H Basins in 2020, with Efficiency 10% Improvement + Reuse + High Price, P75 ............................................................................................. 35 55. Total Irrigation Area in 3H Basins in 2020, with S-N and Efficiency 10% Improvement + Reuse + High Price, P75.................................................................... 35 56. Total Irrigation Area in 3H Basins in 2050, Base Case, P75...................................... 36 57. Total Irrigation Area in 3H Basins in 2050, with Efficiency 10% Improvement + Reuse + High Price, P75 ............................................................................................. 36 58, Total Irrigation Area in 3H Basins in 2050, with S-N Transfer (Efficiency 10% Improvement + Reuse + High Price), P75.................................................................. 37 59. Winter Wheat Production/cm3 Water Use in 3H Basins, Base Case.......................... 37 60. Winter Wheat Production/cm3 Water Use in 3H Basins, with Efficiency 10% Improvement ............................................................................................................... 38 CHAPTER 7 61. 2000 COD Pollution Loads (tons/day for Control Unit in the Hai Basin Under the Base case(Prg1)........................................................................................................... 39 62. 2020 COD Pollution Loads (tons/day for Control Unit in the Hai Basin Under the WWTP+ppp+reuse...................................................................................................... 40 63. 2000 COD Pollution Loads (tons/day) for Control Units in the Huai Basin Under the Base case(Prg1)........................................................................................................... 41 64. 2020 COD Pollution Loads (tons/day) for Control Units in the Huai Basin Under WWTP+ppp+reuse...................................................................................................... 41 65. 2000 COD Pollution Loads (tons/day for Priority Cities in the Hai Basin Under the Base case(Prg1)........................................................................................................... 42 66. 2000 COD Pollution Loads (tons/year)for Priority Cities in the Hai Basin Under the Base case(Prg1) & 2020 Pollution Loads Under Base case(Prg1) &WWTP+PPP+reuse(Prg3)........................................................................................ 43 67. 2020 COD Pollution Loads (tons/day for Priority
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