Maybole & North Carrick Communities Locality Data Profile 2017 *Premature mortality is described as deaths under the age of 75 years. This measure is considered an important indicator as a higher premature mortality rate suggests there is still room to improve population health. POPULATION AND DEPRIVATION Overall, the South Ayrshire population is projected to remain relatively static between 2014 and 2039. However, projections suggest that there will be approximately a 10% drop in the working age population whilst the percentage of individuals of pensionable age and over is due to increase by 21% across the same time period. Many parts of South Ayrshire are prosperous and it is a vibrant area in which to live and work, and to visit; however, significant inequalities continue to exist within and between our communities. • The Maybole & North Carrick Communities (MNCC) Locality has grown slightly over recent years and now sits at 10,697 people. • One in five people in the MNCC Locality are aged over 65. • Approximately one out of eight people in the MNCC Locality live in a deprived neighbourhood. • Approximately one in ten children in the MNCC Locality live in poverty. ECONOMY AND SKILLS The key driver underpinning our future prosperity and the ability to realise the potential of our communities is a local economy which develops and achieves sustainable growth. Delivering economic recovery and growth will contribute to improve outcomes for young and old, improved health, employment, inclusion, and safer and stronger communities. • Two out of three people aged 16 to 74 are economically active. • Approximately half the people in work in the MNCC Locality work in skilled trades, professional occupations and in elementary occupations. • The level of unemployment (taken from the claimant count) in the MNCC Locality has historically tended to be slightly lower than that for South Ayrshire as a whole. • The youth claimant count (16-24), as a proxy for youth unemployment, in the MNCC Locality is lower than the level across South Ayrshire as a whole. • Of the people not in work in the MNCC Locality, around one in six are long-term sick or disabled. • Approximately nine out of 10 pupils leave school for a positive destination (college, university, training or work). SAFE COMMUNITIES South Ayrshire is a safe place to live, where crimes of public disorder and violence have continued to reduce. We want to maintain this downward trend and ensure that people feel safe within their own homes and communities. • No datazones in the MNCC Locality are identified as the most deprived 0-15% in respect of crime. • The rate of deliberate dwelling fires in the MNCC locality has tended to be lower than the South Ayrshire average over recent years. HEALTH & WELLBEING Positive health and wellbeing is at the heart of our community planning arrangements. We recognise that there are significant challenges in respect of the wellbeing of our communities and will work though Integrated Health and Social Care arrangements to tackle these challenges; • One in five mothers smoke during pregnancy in the MNCC Locality. • Approximately only one in five babies are breastfed in the MNCC Locality. • One in ten primary 1 children in the MNCC Locality are obese. • Around seven out of ten Primary 1 children have no obvious dental caries. • The level of teenage pregnancies (15-19) in the MNCC locality is slightly higher than the total South Ayrshire & Scottish average rates although this difference is not statistically significant. • The level of multiple emergency hospital admissions for older people (65+) in the MNCC Locality is similar to the level across South Ayrshire as a whole. • One in five people in the MNCC Locality have a long-term health condition. • The rate of hospital stays due to alcohol in the MNCC locality is approximately in line with levels across South Ayrshire as a whole as well as the Scottish average. • Hospital stays due to drugs are somewhat lower in the MNCC locality as compared to South Ayrshire and the Scottish average rate, however this difference is not significant. • Approximately one in five people in the MNCC Locality are prescribed drugs for anxiety, depression or psychosis. Economy and Skills The key driver underpinning our future prosperity and the ability to realise the potential of our communities is a local economy which develops and achieves sustainable growth. Delivering economic recovery and growth will contribute to improved outcomes for young and old, improved health, employment, inclusion, and safer and stronger communities. Top 3 Occupations (2011) Status of Economically Active (2011) 3.9% Full-time Elementary 7.4% student 12.0% occupations Unemployed 19.2% Professional occupations 15.6% Self- 52.3% employed Skilled trades Employee: 13.0% occupations 20.7% Part-time Employee: Full-time 2015/16 School Leavers Data 4% Claimant Count 16+ 100% 92% 92% 93% 92% 3% 80% 71% 2% 60% 64% 1% 40% 0% 20% 0% Lit & Num SCQF Lit & Num SCQF College, University, Maybole and North Carrick Communities Level 4 or Better Level 5 or Better Training or Work South Ayrshire MNCC South Ayrshire Unemployment not only hurts the personal finances of those without work, but also reduces their participation in the overall economy. The inability to find work is also associated with stress, financial hardship, health problems, and strain on family relationships. The claimant count in the MNCC Locality has reduced from 2.7% in 2013 to 1.6% in 2017. Among the long-term factors that affect the unemployment rate in South Ayrshire are those that also affect the country's overall competitiveness: education levels, infrastructure investments, diversity and balance in its economic mix, tax rates, and the regulatory environment. Any changes that improve South Ayrshire's attractiveness as a place to live or to do business will, over longer periods of time, tend to reduce the unemployment rate. Education data for school leavers during 2015/16 demonstrates that within the MNCC locality pupils are more likely to leave education with literacy and numeracy skills at a higher level than other pupils across South Ayrshire and are also slightly more likely to leave school and enter either college, university, training or work. Safe Communities South Ayrshire is a safe place to live where crimes of public disorder and violence have continued to reduce. We want to maintain this downward trend and ensure that people feel safe within their own homes and communities. Dwelling Type(2016) Tenure (2011) Owned outright 1.0% 1.9% Owned with a mortgage or loan Shared ownership 19.6% 3.9% 10.7% Detached Rented (Council) 28.7% Semi-Detached 31.8% Rented (Social) Terraced 27.5% 20.2% Rented (Private) Average of Flats 24.1% 30.3% Rented (Other) 0.1% Living Rent Free Housing has an important influence on health inequalities in Scotland. This is through the effects of housing costs, housing quality, fuel poverty and the role of housing in community life. Many people do not live in a home that is warm, dry and affordable. There is more work to do to ensure that housing across tenures provides a sufficient number of quality, affordable homes to meet the needs of people in South Ayrshire. Around 60%of properties are owned, either with a mortgage or outright in the MNCC locality, with 20% being rented council housing. Approximately 20% of all dwellings in the MNCC locality are flats. Detached and semi-detached homes make up more than half all dwellings in the MNCC locality. SIMD Crime Domain (2016) 50-100% 5 30-50% 4 15-30% 4 10-15% 5-10% 0-5% 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 A high crime rate suggests an unsafe community, which impacts on people's quality of life and may deter public and private improvements or investment and reduce the residential desirability of an area. In an unfavourable or declining economy, crime can increase. Poor earning power, unemployment or frustration with the resulting deprivation are factors which may lead people to commit criminal acts. Other factors affecting crime levels include alcohol abuse and drug dependency. Intervening early, engaging with young people and getting the right help at important times in their lives - especially for the most vulnerable - are vital steps to divert them from the wrong choices and impairing life chances. An effective and visible police presence helps to tackle offending and reduce fear of crime. Safe Communities Crime Rate per 100,000 Population Crimes by Grouping - rates per 100,000 (2016/17) 9000 2500 8000 2000 7000 1500 6000 1000 5000 500 4000 0 3000 2000 1000 0 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 MNCC South Ayrshire Totals MNCC South Ayrshire The rate of annual crime per 100,000 individuals in the MNCC locality has tended to be slightly lower than the overall South Ayrshire average and has also been declining over recent years. Crimes of disorder are the most common crime group in the MNCC locality followed by crimes of dishonesty and road traffic offences. The rate of road traffic offences was slightly higher in the MNCC locality during 2016/17 than the overall South Ayrshire average. Accidental Dwelling Fires Rate per 100,000 Deliberate Dwelling Fires Rate per 100,000 100 300 80 250 200 60 150 40 100 20 50 0 0 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 MNCC South Ayrshire MNCC South Ayrshire The rate of dwelling fires (both deliberate and accidental) has tended to be lower than the South Ayrshire average with the exception of deliberate fires during 2014/15 which was slightly higher than the South Ayrshire average. Health & Wellbeing Positive health and wellbeing is at the heart of our community planning arrangements.