Rauner, Pritzker Lead Primary Polls
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SIMON POLL SPRING 2018 Table 14 10. As you may know, primary elections in Illinois will be held this March. Thinking ahead, are you likely to vote in the (Republican/Democratic) primary, or will you probably not vote in the primary elections? REGION EDUCATION IDEOLOGY PARTY AFFILIATION BORN-AGAIN GENDER ======================= ======================= ======================= ======================= ===================== ============= CHICAGO CHICAGO DOWN- H.S. SOME COLLEGE CONSER- NON- TOTAL CITY SUBURBS STATE OR LESS COLLEGE + LIBERAL MODERAT VATIVE DEM IND REP YES NO CHRISTN MALE FEMALE ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------ ------ ------- ------ ------ (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) Base 1001 200 501 300 158 281 553 363 258 335 495 143 290 163 532 293 531 470 Democratic 472 122 259 91 63 127 279 283 121 56 402 39 18 58 236 173 219 253 47% 61%CD 52%D 30% 40% 45% 50%E 78%IJ 47%J 17% 81%LM 27%M 6% 36% 44%N 59%NO 41% 54%Q Republican 259 28 122 109 42 74 140 17 46 189 12 35 199 66 154 39 170 89 26% 14% 24%B 36%BC 27% 26% 25% 5% 18%H 56%HI 2% 24%K 69%KL 40%OP 29%P 13% 32%R 19% Probably not vote 171 36 71 64 34 53 81 44 56 59 58 36 51 25 88 54 95 76 17% 18% 14% 21%C 22%G 19% 15% 12% 22%H 18%H 12% 25%K 18%K 15% 17% 18% 18% 16% Other/Don’t know 99 14 49 36 19 27 53 19 35 31 23 33 22 14 54 27 47 52 10% 7% 10% 12% 12% 10% 10% 5% 14%H 9%H 5% 23%KM 8% 9% 10% 9% 9% 11% --------- <<Sigma>> 1001 200 501 300 158 281 553 363 258 335 495 143 290 163 532 293 531 470 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% _______________________________________________________________________________________________ Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - B/C/D - E/F/G - H/I/J - K/L/M - N/O/P - Q/R SIMON POLL SPRING 2018 Table 14 10. As you may know, primary elections in Illinois will be held this March. Thinking ahead, are you likely to vote in the (Republican/Democratic) primary, or will you probably not vote in the primary elections? BELONGS TO AGE RACE INCOME EMPLOYMENT COMPANY TYPE LABOR UNION =============================== =============================== ======================= =============================== =============== ============= HIS- $50K- FULL- PART- NOT GOV/NON TOTAL <35 35-50 51-65 66+ WHITE BLACK PANIC OTHER <$50K $100K $100K+ TIME TIME RETIRED EMPLYD PRIVATE PROFIT YES NO ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------ ------ (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) Base 1001 115 197 310 299 733 110 48* 46* 252 303 318 492 83* 341 72* 297 152 223 764 Democratic 472 58 102 138 144 314 85 29 23 126 152 152 229 54 152 33 132 90 120 347 47% 50% 52% 45% 48% 43% 77%FHI 60%F 50% 50% 50% 48% 47% 65%MOP 45% 46% 44% 59%Q 54%T 45% Republican 259 21 51 86 82 229 2 5 5 47 82 90 131 13 96 16 82 30 47 210 26% 18% 26% 28%B 27% 31%GHI 2% 10%G 11%G 19% 27%J 28%J 27%N 16% 28%N 22% 28% 20% 21% 27% Probably not vote 171 31 29 50 44 118 17 10 9 46 45 56 85 14 56 14 61 21 40 128 17% 27%CDE 15% 16% 15% 16% 15% 21% 20% 18% 15% 18% 17% 17% 16% 19% 21% 14% 18% 17% Other/Don’t know 99 5 15 36 29 72 6 4 9 33 24 20 47 2 37 9 22 11 16 79 10% 4% 8% 12%B 10% 10% 5% 8% 20%FG 13%KL 8% 6% 10%N 2% 11%N 13%N 7% 7% 7% 10% --------- <<Sigma>> 1001 115 197 310 299 733 110 48 46 252 303 318 492 83 341 72 297 152 223 764 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% ___________________________________________________________________________________________________ Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - B/C/D/E - F/G/H/I - J/K/L - M/N/O/P - Q/R - S/T * small base SIMON POLL SPRING 2018 Table 15 11. If the Republican primary for governor was being held today, would you vote for....Bruce Rauner or Jeanne Ives? REGION EDUCATION IDEOLOGY PARTY AFFILIATION BORN-AGAIN GENDER ======================= ======================= ======================= ======================= ===================== ============= CHICAGO CHICAGO DOWN- H.S. SOME COLLEGE CONSER- NON- TOTAL CITY SUBURBS STATE OR LESS COLLEGE + LIBERAL MODERAT VATIVE DEM IND REP YES NO CHRISTN MALE FEMALE ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------ ------ ------- ------ ------ (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) Base 259 28* 122 109 42* 74* 140 17* 46* 189 12* 35* 199 66* 154 39* 170 89* Rauner 133 13 62 58 25 32 75 11 27 90 6 17 101 26 88 19 84 49 51% 46% 51% 53% 60% 43% 54% 65% 59% 48% 50% 49% 51% 39% 57%N 49% 49% 55% Ives 80 10 43 27 7 26 45 1 13 65 3 15 60 26 42 12 61 19 31% 36% 35% 25% 17% 35%E 32% 6% 28% 34%H 25% 43% 30% 39% 27% 31% 36%R 21% Somebody else 8 1 4 3 2 3 3 1 2 5 0 1 6 3 5 0 4 4 3% 4% 3% 3% 5% 4% 2% 6% 4% 3% 0 3% 3% 5% 3% 0 2% 4% Other/Don’t know 38 4 13 21 8 13 17 4 4 29 3 2 32 11 19 8 21 17 15% 14% 11% 19% 19% 18% 12% 24% 9% 15% 25% 6% 16% 17% 12% 21% 12% 19% --------- <<Sigma>> 259 28 122 109 42 74 140 17 46 189 12 35 199 66 154 39 170 89 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% _______________________________________________________________________________________________ Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - B/C/D - E/F/G - H/I/J - K/L/M - N/O/P - Q/R * small base SIMON POLL SPRING 2018 Table 15 11. If the Republican primary for governor was being held today, would you vote for....Bruce Rauner or Jeanne Ives? BELONGS TO AGE RACE INCOME EMPLOYMENT COMPANY TYPE LABOR UNION =============================== =============================== ======================= =============================== =============== ============= HIS- $50K- FULL- PART- NOT GOV/NON TOTAL <35 35-50 51-65 66+ WHITE BLACK PANIC OTHER <$50K $100K $100K+ TIME TIME RETIRED EMPLYD PRIVATE PROFIT YES NO ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------ ------ (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) Base 259 21* 51* 86* 82* 229 2** 5** 5** 47* 82* 90* 131 13* 96* 16* 82* 30* 47* 210 Rauner 133 8 22 48 49 112 2 2 5 28 36 50 62 7 56 6 36 13 16 116 51% 38% 43% 56% 60% 49% 100% 40% 100% 60% 44% 56% 47% 54% 58% 38% 44% 43% 34% 55%S Ives 80 7 18 28 20 74 0 2 0 9 29 29 46 3 25 5 33 9 20 59 31% 33% 35% 33% 24% 32% 0 40% 0 19% 35% 32% 35% 23% 26% 31% 40% 30% 43% 28% Somebody else 8 0 2 2 3 7 0 1 0 0 4 3 4 1 2 1 4 1 2 6 3% 0 4% 2% 4% 3% 0 20% 0 0 5% 3% 3% 8% 2% 6% 5% 3% 4% 3% Other/Don’t know 38 6 9 8 10 36 0 0 0 10 13 8 19 2 13 4 9 7 9 29 15% 29%D 18% 9% 12% 16% 0 0 0 21%L 16% 9% 15% 15% 14% 25% 11% 23% 19% 14% --------- <<Sigma>> 259 21 51 86 82 229 2 5 5 47 82 90 131 13 96 16 82 30 47 210 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% ___________________________________________________________________________________________________ Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - B/C/D/E - F/G/H/I - J/K/L - M/N/O/P - Q/R - S/T * small base; ** very small base (under 10) ineligible for sig testing SIMON POLL SPRING 2018 Table 16 11A. If the Democratic primary for governor was being held today, would you vote for.... J. B. Pritzker, Chris Kennedy, Daniel Biss, Terry Getz, Bob Daiber, Tio Hardiman or Robert Marshall? REGION EDUCATION IDEOLOGY PARTY AFFILIATION BORN-AGAIN GENDER ======================= ======================= ======================= ======================= ===================== ============= CHICAGO CHICAGO DOWN- H.S. SOME COLLEGE CONSER- NON- TOTAL CITY SUBURBS STATE OR LESS COLLEGE + LIBERAL MODERAT VATIVE DEM IND REP YES NO CHRISTN MALE FEMALE ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------ ------ ------- ------ ------ (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) Base 472 122 259 91* 63* 127 279 283 121 56* 402 39* 18* 58* 236 173 219 253 Pritzker 148 37 81 30 17 49 81 88 41 14 139 7 0 24 74 49 78 70 31% 30% 31% 33% 27% 39% 29% 31% 34% 25% 35%LM 18% 0 41% 31% 28% 36% 28% Kennedy 80 22 50 8 10 20 49 47 19 14 66 7 6 10 43 26 40 40 17% 18% 19%D 9% 16% 16% 18% 17% 16% 25% 16% 18% 33% 17% 18% 15% 18% 16% Biss 99 25 60 14 5 17 77 68 23 7 80 9 7 9 42 48 48 51 21% 20% 23% 15% 8% 13% 28%EF 24% 19% 13% 20% 23% 39% 16% 18% 28%O 22% 20% Getz 4 0 3 1 0 1 3 2 1 1 3 0 0 1 1 2 0 4 1% 0 1% 1% 0 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 0 0 2% * 1% 0 2% Daiber 5 0 0 5 1 0 4 2 2 1 5 0 0 0 4 1 2 3 1% 0 0 5%BC 2% 0 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 0 0 0 2% 1% 1% 1% Hardiman 8 4 4 0 3 5 0 5 0 3 6 2 0 2 2 4 3 5 2% 3% 2% 0 5%G 4%G 0 2% 0 5%I 1% 5% 0 3% 1% 2% 1% 2% Marshall 4 1 2 1 3 0 1 3 1 0 4 0 0 0 2 2 1 3 1% 1% 1% 1% 5%FG 0 * 1% 1% 0 1% 0 0 0 1% 1% * 1% Someone else 4 2 0 2 1 1 2 2 0 2 3 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 1% 2%C 0 2%C 2% 1% 1% 1% 0 4%I 1% 0 6%K 2% * 1% 1% 1% Other/Don’t know 120 31 59 30 23 34 62 66 34 14 96 14 4 11 67 39 45 75 25% 25% 23% 33% 37%G 27% 22% 23% 28% 25% 24% 36% 22% 19% 28% 23% 21% 30%Q --------- <<Sigma>> 472 122 259 91 63 127 279 283 121 56 402 39 18 58 236 173 219 253 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% _______________________________________________________________________________________________ Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - B/C/D - E/F/G - H/I/J - K/L/M - N/O/P - Q/R * small base SIMON POLL SPRING 2018 Table 16 11A.