Strategic Framework 2030: Appendix 2: Development Analysis
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Strategic Framework Czech Republic 2030 Appendix 2: Development Analysis Contents Introduction ........................................................................................................................ 227 1 People and society ..................................................................................................... 229 2 Economic model ......................................................................................................... 259 3 Resilient ecosystems .................................................................................................. 277 4 Municipalities and regions........................................................................................... 297 5 Global development .................................................................................................... 319 6 Good governance ....................................................................................................... 325 7 External context of the Czech Republic development ................................................. 341 Bibliography ....................................................................................................................... 349 List of abbreviations ........................................................................................................... 379 List of diagrams .................................................................................................................. 382 List of charts ....................................................................................................................... 384 List of figures ...................................................................................................................... 384 Introduction Analysis of development is an important element of the key areas. It represents the data and argumentation paths that led to the formulation of detail within each of the key areas and the determination of strategic and specific goals. The emergence of Development Analysis preceded the emergence of the key areas. The Development Analysis is divided, in analogy with the design section, into six key areas. The main findings of the Development Analysis are summed up in the SWOT analysis, which precedes the key areas in the actual strategic document. The external context of the Czech Republic's development has been measured by analysing the impact of so-called global megatrends. Based on the analysis of the megatrends, which were described in the specialised literature and are relevant to the development of the Czech Republic, an analysis the impact of megatrends on each other was elaborated and consequently the possible impact on the effectiveness of meeting the objectives of the document was determined. The design process takes the effects of these megatrends into account. Furthermore, the paragraphs include summary descriptions in the left column. The footnotes include brief bibliographic information that allows the reader to easily find the source in the bibliography listed at the end. Strategic and conceptual documents by individual ministries listed are usually available in the Strategy Database (www.databaze-strategie.cz). 227 1 People and society Dignified work as a 801. Regarding the subjectively perceived well-being of the population, the prerequisite for life Czech Republic is in a slightly below-average position within the EU.1 The happiness highest values are recorded by the inhabitants of the Scandinavian states and Austria. The survey shows a positive correlation, among other things, between the amount of income, employment status of interviewees and their well-being. Also, the development of life satisfaction measured by the corresponding CVVM index indicates that, among other things, there is a link with the unemployment rate. Since 2013, the index of life satisfaction of the Czech population has been improving steadily.2 Czechs going abroad 802. In the Czech Republic, however, there has been a long-term trend of people moving abroad. In the years 1993-2010, 272,000 citizens from the Czech Republic emigrated abroad and in 2010, about 220,000 Czech citizens lived abroad. On the basis of statistical offices from the given countries supplying migration data and statistics on numbers of foreigners by country of origin, these numbers are based on the total number of Czech Republic citizens who have migrated to or who now live in 42 developed countries. If data on migration from other countries was also available, it would certainly have been higher.3 Highly-qualified workers represent a significant number of them. According to CZSO data, an average of 22,000 people are displaced from the Czech Republic abroad (average 2001- 2015). Most of them are members of other states; on average, less than 2,500 Czech citizens per year relocate abroad (over the last five years, this was more than 3,000 per year). On average, however, approximately 2,000 CR citizens return to their homeland annually. Despite the positive balance 803. In the period from 1989 onwards, the Czech Republic has changed of migration, international from a country with a population deflux to a country with a population influx, comparison shows the Czech Republic is below i.e. with a net increase in population caused by immigration. Due to the average improving social-economic conditions in the Czech Republic, demographic and climate changes in countries with a typical deflux of population, due to the more intense globalisation process, improvement of technologies and decreasing transport costs, it can be assumed that migration pressure on the Czech Republic will be on the rise. In 2013, around 30,000 foreigners arrived in the Czech Republic (flow).4 In the same year, almost 442,000 foreigners lived in the Czech Republic, representing 4.2 % of the Czech population. Most of them, namely 2.5 % of the population of the Czech Republic, were citizens of non-EU countries, 1.7 % of citizens were citizens of some EU28 countries. From the perspective of other developed countries, it is considered a very low percentage. There are less than 5 % of foreigners in the population among OECD countries such as in Poland, 1 EUROSTAT (2013) Quality of life in Europe – facts and views – overall life satisfaction. See also the related analysis by CZSO (2014) Životní pohoda českých obyvatel. 2 CVVM (2015, 2016) Výzkum Naše společnost, 16-04, Spokojenost s životem. 3 Numbers based on data used for ADSERÀ, A.; PYTLIKOVÁ, M. (2015): The Role of Language in Shaping International Migration. Economic Journal. 125(586). 4 CZSO (2014) Demografická ročenka ČR 2014. H.14 Zahraniční stěhování podle státního občanství, pohlaví a věkových skupin – přistěhovalí. 229 Strategic Framework Czech Republic 2030 - Appendix No. 2: Development Analysis Portugal, South Korea, Finland, Japan, Hungary and Slovakia. On the contrary, in traditional migration countries like Australia, New Zealand, Switzerland and Canada, over 20 % of the population come from other countries of origin. Most other developed countries fall within these two extremes. The most common countries of origin for foreigners living in the Czech Republic include Ukraine (105,000), Slovakia (90,000), Vietnam (57,000), Russia (33,000), Poland (19,000), Germany (18,000), Bulgaria (9,000) and the United States (7,000).5 National diversity is growing 804. There has been an increase in the diversity of the composition of by increasing the Ukrainian, the national population caused by natural migration (i.e. due to reasons Vietnamese and Russian minorities other than work, e.g. family) and as a result of an increase in the importance of labour immigration. This not only leads to population growth, but also to the growth of national minorities in the Czech Republic. It is essential for public policies to reflect these changes and the related impact. However, according to the latest census in 2011, the Czech Republic remains a nationally homogeneous state. About 4 % of the population of the Czech Republic stated their nationality as something other than Czech, Moravian or Silesian. The most commonly declared non-Czech nationality is Slovak, followed by Ukrainian, Polish, Vietnamese, German, Russian, Hungarian and Roma. Between 2001-2011, the numbers of Ukrainian nationals (from 0.2 to 0.5 % of the population of the Czech Republic), Vietnamese (from 0.2 % to 0.3 %) and Russian (from 0.1 % to 0.2 %) increased.6 The majority of Ukrainians, 805. Ukrainian, Vietnamese and Russian nationals do not constitute the Vietnamese and Russians majority of citizens of the Czech Republic.7 The age structure of these are of working age nationalities shows that there is a high proportion of people of working age (in the age group 15-64 it is 81.4-89.1 %; since 2001 it has increased) compared to other nationalities of the Czech Republic (Czechs 68.5 %). In terms of the level of formal education achieved, Russians are above average in the Czech Republic (42.7 % of the Russian population achieved university education), Ukrainians show average educational attainment, while almost half of the Vietnamese have only primary or early years education (43.2 % of them, with an increase since 2001). The population of the three nationalities mentioned above have a common denominator represented by an above-average proportion not only of people of working age, but also of employees.8 While most Ukrainians work in the secondary sector (industry and civil engineering), the Vietnamese and Russians work in the tertiary sector (services