CNN 2020 NH Primary Poll

February 10, 2020

SANDERS & BUTTIGIEG OUTPACE REST OF THE FIELD; HALF OF LIKELY VOTERS STILL NOT DEFINITELY DECIDED By: Sean P. McKinley, M.A. [email protected] Zachary S. Azem, M.A. 603-862-2226 Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D. cola.unh.edu/unh-survey-center DURHAM, NH – On the eve of the New Hampshire primary, Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders's slim lead over former South Bend (IN) Mayor Pete Bu gieg among likely Democra c voters is holding in the high single digits. Former Vice President Joe Biden and Massachuse s Senator Elizabeth Warren are vying for third. There has been li le movement over the past six days, with support for each candidate within two percentage points of where each began. Minnesota Senator Amy Klobuchar seems to have benefi ed most from the Democra c debate on February 7, but she remains in fi h place. Half of likely Democra c voters s ll have not definitely decided whom to support.

These findings are based on the latest CNN 2020 New Hampshire Primary Poll*, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Seven hundred five (705) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed in English by landline and cellular telephone between February 6 and February 9, 2020. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 3.7 percent. Included in the sample were 365 likely 2020 Democra c Primary voters (margin of sampling error +/- 5.1 percent) and 212 likely 2020 Republican Primary voters (margin of sampling error +/- 6.7 percent). Trend points prior to July 2019 reflect results from the Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.

2020 Democra c Primary

Despite vo ng in the New Hampshire presiden al primary beginning in less than twenty-four hours, there remains considerable uncertainty among likely Democra c primary voters as to whom they will vote for; half (50%) say they have definitely decided, largely unchanged compared to the two previous polling periods (Feb 4-7 & Feb 5-8). Twenty-one percent say they are leaning towards someone, while 28% say they are s ll trying to decide. Among likely Democra c primary voters, registered Democrats (52%) and voters who are registered as undeclared (48%) are about equally likely to say they have definitely decided.

Definitely Decided on Candidate - Democra c Primary Voters - October 2017 to February 6-9, 2020

100% 94% 91% 85% 87% 80% 77% 78%

60% 64% 57% 51% 53% 49% 50%

40%

23% 31% 28% 20% 30% 28% 20% 21% 13% 14% 21% 10% 20% 19% 19% 8% 16% 5% 9% 0% 4% 5% 8% 5% Oct 2017 Feb 2018 Apr 2018 Aug 2018 Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 Feb 5-8 Feb 6-9 2020 2020 2020

Definitely Decided Leaning Towards Someone Still Trying To Decide

* We ask that this copyrighted informa on be referred to as the CNN 2020 New Hampshire Primary Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. If the 2020 New Hampshire Democra c primary were held today, 29% of likely primary voters say they would vote for Sanders, 22% would vote for Bu gieg, 11% would vote for Biden, and 10% would vote for Warren. Seven percent would vote for Klobuchar, 5% would vote for Hawaii Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard, and 4% would vote for entrepreneur Andrew Yang. One percent say they would vote for businessman Tom Steyer, and less than 1% each would vote for former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg or Colorado Senator Michael Bennet. One percent say they would vote for another candidate while 10% of likely Democra c primary voters say they are undecided.

Preferred Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate - February 6-9, 2020

Bernie Sanders 29%

Pete Buttigieg 22%

Joe Biden 11%

Elizabeth Warren 10%

Amy Klobuchar 7%

Tulsi Gabbard 5%

Andrew Yang 4%

Tom Steyer 1%

Michael Bloomberg 0%

Michael Bennet 0%

Other 1%

Undecided 10%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%

Compared to the period from February 5-8, support for Warren (+1.2 percentage points) has increased very slightly while support for Biden (-1.1) has very slightly declined. Overall, results have remained quite stable over the three most recent survey periods, with support for each candidate remaining within two percentage points of where they began during the February 4-7 polling period.

Preferred Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate - October 2017 to February 6-9, 2020

40% Bernie Sanders 35% Pete Buttigieg Joe Biden 31% 31% 30% 30% Elizabeth Warren 30% 28% 28% 29% 26% Tulsi Gabbard 29% 24% 25% Amy Klobuchar 22% Andrew Yang 24% 24% 21% 21% 19% 19% Tom Steyer 20% 18% 22% 18% 21% Michael Bloomberg 16% 19% 15% 14% 15% Michael Bennet 17% Deval Patrick 13% 12% 15% 15% 12% 15% 11% 11% 10% 12% Undecided 10% 12% 11% 12% 10% 10% 7% 10% 6% 9% 6%9% 9% 8% 7% 5% 5% 4% 2% 4% 4% 1% 3% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1%1% 1% 0% 0% 0 0 0 8 9 0 8 9 8 9 7 9 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

l 7 8 9 r r t t b b n g - - - u c c p p e e a u 4 5 6 J

J O O A A F F A b b b e e e F F F Because Michael Bloomberg is not running in the New Hampshire primary, his name was not included in the list of candidates who were read aloud. However, responses from those who volunteered Bloomberg as their choice are included. Deval Patrick was included in the read list of candidates but did not receive support from any respondents. Seven leading Democra c candidates met for a debate in Manchester, New Hampshire, on February 7. Klobuchar (+7.1 percentage points) and Biden (+6.8) have experienced a good deal greater support in the two days a er the debate than they did in the two days leading up to the debate, while Bu gieg (+2.5) and Sanders (+1.5) have seen smaller increases in support a er the debate. Gabbard (-4.6) and Warren (-1.6) meanwhile have fared slightly worse since the debate.

Preferred Democra c Candidate During February 6-9, 2020 Period Before and A er Debate

Pre-Debate Post-Debate Bernie Sanders 28% 30% Pete Buttigieg 21% 23% Joe Biden 8% 14% Amy Klobuchar 4% 11% Elizabeth Warren 11% 9% Andrew Yang 4% 3% Tulsi Gabbard 7% 2% Michael Bennet 1% Tom Steyer 2% 1% Michael Bloomberg 1% Other 2% 0%

Undecided 14% 6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Among likely Democra c voters who are self-described liberals, 39% support Sanders, 21% support Bu gieg, 16% support Warren, 7% support Biden, and 5% support Klobuchar. Support for Sanders among this group has declined by six percentage points since the period from February 5-8 while support for Warren (+2.4) has slightly increased.

Among self-described moderates and conserva ves, 23% support Bu gieg, 19% support Sanders, 14% support Biden, and 8% each support Klobuchar or Gabbard. While support for Sanders has slightly declined among liberals, his support among moderates and conserva ves has increased such that he now challenges Bu gieg among this group. Biden, who in January was ed with Bu gieg among this group, now sits in third behind Bu gieg as well as Sanders.

Preferred Democra c Candidate by Ideology - February 6-9, 2020

Feb 6-9 2020 Bernie Sanders 39% (-6.1%) Pete Buttigieg 21% (1.0%) Elizabeth Warren 16% (2.4%) Joe Biden 7% (2.0%) Liberal Amy Klobuchar 5% (1.3%) Andrew Yang 1% (0.1%) Tulsi Gabbard 1% (-0.1%) Tom Steyer 0% (0.0%) Pete Buttigieg 23% (-0.5%) Bernie Sanders 19% (4.3%) Joe Biden 14% (-1.3%) Amy Klobuchar 8% (0.2%) Moderate or Tulsi Gabbard 8% (-0.3%) Conservative Andrew Yang 5% (0.2%) Elizabeth Warren 4% (-0.3%) Tom Steyer 2% (-1.5%) Michael Bloomberg 1% (-1.1%) Michael Bennet 1% (0.5%)

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65% Support for Sanders con nues to be highly concentrated among younger voters, par cularly female voters under the age of thirty-five, though he has lost ground among this group since the February 5-8 period. Sanders also leads the field among men aged thirty-five to forty-nine and has increased his share of support among this group by seven percentage points since the last polling period.

Bu gieg's support con nues to be more balanced; he leads the field among women aged fi y to sixty-four and closely trails Sanders among men aged fi y to sixty-four and women thirty-five to forty-nine. However, Bu gieg remains a distant second to Sanders among women under thirty-five and men under fi y.

Biden now leads the field among men and women aged sixty-five and older, but elsewhere Biden enjoys very li le support. Support for Klobuchar has increased since the February 5-8 period but her supporters are even more concentrated than Biden's among voters fi y and older, par cularly women sixty-five and over.

Preferred Democra c Candidate by Gender and Age - February 6-9, 2020

Women Men

Bernie Sanders 50% (-14%) 37% (-2%)

Pete Buttigieg 13% (2%) 23% (4%) 18 to 34 Elizabeth Warren 16% (5%) 8% (-1%)

Joe Biden 9% (4%) 13% (-2%)

Bernie Sanders 33% (6%) 51% (7%)

Pete Buttigieg 28% (5%) 20% (-3%)

35 to 49 Elizabeth Warren 21% (4%) 8% (0%)

Joe Biden 4% (0%)

Amy Klobuchar 2% (-5%)

Pete Buttigieg 23% (-3%) 23% (0%)

Bernie Sanders 18% (6%) 27% (4%)

50 to 64 Amy Klobuchar 10% (-1%) 10% (4%)

Elizabeth Warren 8% (2%) 3% (-1%)

Joe Biden 6% (-2%) 5% (-5%)

Joe Biden 25% (3%) 26% (1%)

Pete Buttigieg 20% (-1%) 18% (-7%)

65 and older Amy Klobuchar 18% (4%) 8% (3%)

Bernie Sanders 8% (-4%) 11% (3%)

Elizabeth Warren 7% (0%) 10% (0%)

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Sanders con nues to lead Bu gieg among men and women without a college degree, with Biden and Warren trailing among both groups. Bu gieg con nues to lead among women with a college degree or more educa on but trails Sanders among men with a college degree or more. Klobuchar's support is more than twice as high among men and women with a college degree than among those without a college degree.

Preferred Democra c Candidate by Educa on and Gender - February 6-9, 2020

Women Men No College Bernie Sanders 34% (2%) 32% (2%) Degree Pete Buttigieg 20% (2%) 22% (1%) Joe Biden 12% (-2%) 13% (0%) Elizabeth Warren 11% (4%) 7% (0%) Amy Klobuchar 5% (-2%) 1% (1%) College Pete Buttigieg 23% (-2%) 22% (0%) Degree or Bernie Sanders 14% (-5%) 30% (2%) More Amy Klobuchar 13% (2%) 10% (3%) Elizabeth Warren 15% (0%) 7% (-1%) Joe Biden 8% (2%) 8% (-4%)

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Warren con nues to lead when respondents are asked for their second choice. Twenty percent say they would support Warren as their second choice, 15% would support Sanders, 14% would support Bu gieg, and 9% each would support Klobuchar or Biden. Fewer respondents say their second choice would be Gabbard (6%), Yang (6%), Steyer (4%), Bloomberg (2%), Bennet (1%), former Massachuse s Governor Deval Patrick (1%), or someone else (2%). Six percent say they are undecided while 5% say they don't have a second choice.

Second Choice for Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on - February 2019 to February 6-9, 2020

Feb 6-9 2020

25%

22% 22% 22%

20% % 20% 20% 0 20% 20% 2 19% 21% 18% 17% 18% 16% 16%

15% % 5 % 1

15% 14% 15% 4 13% 1 14% 12% 14% 13% 12% 12% 10%

10% %

10% % 9 10% 10% 10% 9% 9 9% 8% 7% 7% %

6% % 6

6% 6 6% 7% % %

6% 6 6% 5% 5% 5 5% 4% % 4% 4 5% 3% 4% 3% 2% % 2% % %

2% 2

2% 2% 2 1 % 0% 1% 1% 1 Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 Feb 5-8 Feb 6-9 2020 2020 2020

Elizabeth Warren Amy Klobuchar Andrew Yang Michael Bennet Undecided Bernie Sanders Joe Biden Tom Steyer Deval Patrick No Second Choice Pete Buttigieg Tulsi Gabbard Michael Bloomberg Other A plurality of Sanders supporters (40%) con nue to say Warren is their second choice, while 14% would support Bu gieg and 5% would support Biden. In January, nearly half of Warren supporters selected Sanders as their second choice, but now only 18% say so, as Klobuchar (28%) and Bu gieg (27%) have supplanted Sanders as the second choice for many Warren supporters.

However, a plurality of Bu gieg supporters (28%) say Sanders is their second choice, slightly up since the previous polling period. Nineteen percent would pick Biden as their second choice, 16% would select Warren, and 11% would pick Klobuchar. Among Biden supporters, 23% say Bu gieg is their second choice, 19% pick Klobuchar, 17% would pick Warren, and 11% would select Sanders. Bu gieg (30%) is also the leading second choice for Klobuchar supporters, though he has lost ground as the second choice for this group since the previous polling period.

Second Choice for Democra c 2020 Nomina on by First Choice - February 6-9, 2020

Elizabeth Warren 40% (-1%) Bernie Pete Buttigieg 14% (-3%) Sanders Joe Biden 5% (-2%) Amy Klobuchar 1% (0%) Bernie Sanders 28% (7%) Pete Joe Biden 19% (-2%) Buttigieg Elizabeth Warren 16% (-2%) Amy Klobuchar 11% (-6%) Pete Buttigieg 23% (-3%) Amy Klobuchar 19% (6%) Joe Biden Elizabeth Warren 17% (4%) Bernie Sanders 11% (-3%) Amy Klobuchar 28% (4%) Elizabeth Pete Buttigieg 27% (0%) Warren Bernie Sanders 18% (-4%) Joe Biden 9% (0%) Pete Buttigieg 30% (-12%) Amy Joe Biden 18% (-3%) Klobuchar Elizabeth Warren 14% (1%) Bernie Sanders 9% (4%)

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%

Among the top-five candidates in New Hampshire, Sanders supporters are most likely to say they have definitely decided whom they will vote for. Three-quarters (75%) of Sanders supporters say they have definitely decided, while just over two-thirds of Biden (68%) supporters say the same. Warren (50%), Klobuchar (47%), and Bu gieg (42%) supporters are less likely to say they have definitely decided whom they will vote for. This suggests that support for Bu gieg and Klobuchar could decline, as less than half of their supporters have definitely decided on them, but they could also gain support, as they are the second choice candidate for many voters who are s ll delibera ng on whom to support.

Defini veness of Decision by Preferred Candidate - February 6-9, 2020

Bernie Sanders 75% 21% 4%

Joe Biden 68% 19% 13%

Elizabeth Warren 50% 25% 25%

Amy Klobuchar 47% 29% 24%

Pete Buttigieg 42% 27% 31%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Definitely Decided Leaning Towards Someone Still Trying To Decide When asked which candidate they would not support under any circumstances, 26% of likely Democra c voters say that all of the candidates are acceptable to them. Seventeen percent say that they would not under any circumstances vote for Biden, 13% would not vote for Warren, 9% would not vote for Gabbard, and 8% would not vote for Sanders. Fewer likely voters say they would not vote for Steyer (5%), Bu gieg (4%), Yang (2%), Bennet (2%), Klobuchar (1%), Patrick (1%), Bloomberg (1%), or another candidate (<1%). Ten percent don't know or are unsure whom they wouldn't vote for under any circumstances.

Would Not Vote For Candidate Under Any Circumstances - February 2019 to February 6-9, 2020

Feb 6-9 2020

27% % 6 25% 25% 26% 2 25%

24% 24%

20%

18% % 17% 7 17% 1 18% 16%

15% 14% 16% %

14% 3 15% 13% 1 11% 13%

13% 11% % 0

10% 1 10% 9% % 11% 11% 9 8% %

9% 10% 8 8% 8% 7% 8% 6% 5% 5% % 5 5% 6% 4% % 4% 4% 4 5% 4%

2% 4% 2% % %

2% 2 2 3% 1% 3% 2% % 1 2% % % % 1

0%0% 1 0% 1% 1% 0 Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 Feb 5-8 Feb 6-9 2020 2020 2020

Joe Biden Tom Steyer Amy Klobuchar None All Are Ok Elizabeth Warren Pete Buttigieg Deval Patrick Don't Know/Not Sure Tulsi Gabbard Andrew Yang Michael Bloomberg Bernie Sanders Michael Bennet Other

The percentage of likely Democrats who say that all of these candidates are acceptable to them has slightly increased compared to the period from February 5-8. Slightly fewer respondents than in that polling period say they would not vote for Sanders or Warren.

Change in Candidate Would Not Vote For Under Any Circumstances From February 5-8 to February 6-9, 2020

None All Are Ok 1.8% Andrew Yang 0.9% Tom Steyer 0.8% Pete Buttigieg 0.7% Michael Bennet 0.5% Amy Klobuchar 0.2% Michael Bloomberg 0.1% Joe Biden -0.6% Tulsi Gabbard -0.6% Deval Patrick -0.7% Bernie Sanders -1.5% Elizabeth Warren -2.2%

-10% -8% -6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% Voters' Predicted Winner of NH Primary

Most likely Democra c voters in the New Hampshire primary con nue to believe that Sanders will win the primary: 59% say Sanders is most likely to win, while 10% think that Bu gieg will win, and 6% each think Biden or Warren will win. Two percent or less believe that Steyer (2%), Gabbard (1%), Klobuchar (1%), Yang (1%), or Bloomberg (<1%) will win the New Hampshire primary, while 15% are undecided. The percentage of likely Democra c voters who believe Sanders will win (59%) remains significantly higher than in January (39%) while the percentage who believe Biden will win (6%) is far lower than in January (22%).

Candidate Most Likely to Win the New Hampshire Primary - January 2020 to February 6-9, 2020

Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020 Feb 5-8 2020 Feb 6-9 2020

Bernie Sanders 39% 56% 57% 59%

Pete Buttigieg 7% 11% 11% 10%

Joe Biden 22% 10% 9% 6%

Elizabeth Warren 12% 6% 5% 6%

Tom Steyer 1% 1% 1% 2%

Tulsi Gabbard 1% 1% 1% 1%

Amy Klobuchar 1% 1% 1% 1%

Andrew Yang 1% 1% 0% 1%

Michael Bloomberg 0% 0% 0% 0%

Other 1%

Undecided 15% 12% 14% 15%

0% 50% 100% 0% 50% 100% 0% 50% 100% 0% 50% 100%

Sanders supporters are very confident that he will win the New Hampshire primary; 86% of Sanders supporters believe he is most likely to win, largely unchanged compared to previous polling periods but higher than in January (72%). Twenty-six percent of Bu gieg supporters believe he will win the primary, 23% of Biden supporters believe he will win, down from 53% in January, 18% of Warren supporters believe she will win, and only 6% of Klobuchar supporters believe she will win the primary.

Believe Preferred Candidate Most Likely to Win the New Hampshire Primary - January 2020 to February 6-9, 2020

Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020 Feb 5-8 2020 Feb 6-9 2020

Bernie Sanders 72% 83% 85% 86%

Pete Buttigieg 31% 29% 28% 26%

Joe Biden 53% 40% 36% 23%

Elizabeth Warren 35% 15% 12% 18%

Amy Klobuchar 7% 15% 15% 6%

0% 50% 100% 0% 50% 100% 0% 50% 100% 0% 50% 100% Best Chance to Win in November

Thirty percent of likely Democra c New Hampshire primary voters think that Sanders has the best chance to win the general elec on in November, while 22% think Biden has the best chance to win the general elec on. Biden had held a clear lead on this ques on from July 2019 un l January but is now eight percentage points behind Sanders. Thirteen percent meanwhile believe Bu gieg has the best chance.

Fewer likely voters think that Warren (6%), Klobuchar (3%), Bloomberg (2%), Gabbard (1%), Steyer (1%), Patrick (1%), Yang (<1%), Bennet (<1%), or someone else (<1%) is most likely to win the general elec on, while 21% don't know or are unsure.

Candidate With Best Chance to Win General Elec on - February 2019 to February 6-9, 2020

Feb 6-9 2020 50% 45% 45% 41% 40%

35% 32% 36% %

30% 0 29% 3 30% 29% 30% 29%

25% %

25% 22% 2

25% % 2 23% 1 22% 20% 2 20% 21% 20% 17% 19% 18% 14% % 15% 16% 3 15% 1 14% 14% 13%

10% 8% 9% %

6% 5% 6 5% 6%

5% 3% % 4% 2% 3 % 3% % % 2 % 1 % %

2% % 1 1 0 0 0% 1% 0 Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 Feb 5-8 Feb 6-9 2020 2020 2020

Bernie Sanders Amy Klobuchar Deval Patrick Don't Know/Not Sure Joe Biden Michael Bloomberg Andrew Yang Pete Buttigieg Tulsi Gabbard Michael Bennet Elizabeth Warren Tom Steyer Someone else

The vast majority of Biden (86%) supporters believe their candidate has the best chance to win the general elec on, while 73% of Sanders supporters feel the same way about him. Less than half of Warren (44%), Bu gieg (40%), and Klobuchar (29%) supporters believe their candidate has the best chance of winning the general elec on.

Believe Preferred Candidate Has Best Chance to Win General Elec on - February 6-9, 2020

Joe Biden 86%

Bernie Sanders 73%

Elizabeth Warren 44%

Pete Buttigieg 40%

Amy Klobuchar 29%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Republican 2020 Presiden al Nomina on

Support for primary challengers to President Trump in the New Hampshire Republican primary remains very low. The overwhelming majority of Republican primary voters (90%) say they would vote for Donald Trump if the primary were held today, 7% would support former Massachuse s Governor William Weld, 1% would support another candidate, and 1% don't know or are undecided. Results are largely unchanged compared to earlier recent polling periods as well as results in July and October 2019.

Preferred Republican 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate - February 2019 to February 6-9, 2020

Feb 6-9 2020 100.. 90% 91% 91% 90% 86% 90%

80% 86%

76% 68%

60%

40%

20% 17% 10% 12% 7% 7% 4% 4% 5% 5% 7% 0% 3% 5% 1% 1% Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020 Feb 5-8 2020 Feb 6-9 2020

Donald Trump Joe Walsh Larry Hogan Other William Weld Mark Sanford John Kasich DK/Undecided

Four in five likely Republican New Hampshire primary voters (81%) have definitely decided whom they will support in the upcoming presiden al primary. Four percent are leaning toward someone while 15% are s ll trying to decide.

Definitely Decided on Candidate - Republican Primary Voters - October 2017 to February 6-9, 2020

100%

81% 78% 80% 77% 81% 73% 68% 68%

60% 63% 53% 61% 57% 50%

40% 34% 43% 30% 35% 28% 22% 23% 19% 16% 20% 14% 12% 12% 15% 18% 8% 10% 10% 6% 5% 5% 10% 0% 8% 8% 4% Oct 2017 Feb 2018 Apr 2018 Aug 2018 Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 Feb 5-8 Feb 6-9 2020 2020 2020

Definitely Decided Leaning Towards Someone Still Trying To Decide

Joe Walsh, who suspended his campaign on February 7, was included in the list of Republican candidates for completed surveys from February 5 to February 7, but did not receive support from any respondents. With the primary only one day away, nearly half of Granite Staters (46%) say they are extremely interested in it, largely unchanged over the past year. Thirty-two percent say they are very interested, 15% are somewhat interested, and only 7% say they are not very interested.

Interest in 2020 NH Presiden al Primary - October 2017 to February 6-9, 2020

60% 60% 55% 54%

50% 49% 48% 48% 47% 46% 45% 44% 45% 43%

40% 35% 34% 32% 32%

30% 28% 28% 29% 27% 26% 24% 24%

20% 21% 20% 18% 17% 16% 15% 14% 15% 13% 14% 13% 12% 13% 11% 9% 10% 8% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 8% 7% 4%

0% Oct 2017 Feb 2018 Apr 2018 Aug 2018 Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 Feb 5-8 Feb 6-9 2020 2020 2020

Extremely Interested Very Interested Somewhat Interested Not Very Interested

Despite the seeming lack of close compe on in the Republican primary, about the same percent of likely Republican voters (51%) as likely Democra c voters (55%) say they are extremely interested in the primary. These results are largely similar to the level of interest directly before the 2016 New Hampshire presiden al primary, when both par es held highly compe ve primary elec ons. That year, 57% of likely Democra c voters described themselves as extremely interested while 56% of Republicans felt that way. Seventy-four percent of New Hampshire residents say they will definitely vote in the primary, while 12% say they will vote unless there is an emergency. Six percent say they may vote, 4% probably will not vote, and 4% are unsure. Responses to this ques on are largely unchanged over the past year.

Likelihood of Vo ng in Primary - October 2017 to February 6-9, 2020

100%

82% 80% 76% 76% 74% 74% 4% 78% 4% 74% 75% 74% 6% 71% 72% 72%

60% 12%

40%

74%

20% 14% 13% 12% 12% 11% 10% 10% 11% 9% 9% 7% 8% 7% 5% 0% 5% 4% 8 9 8 9 7 8 9 7 9 8 9 0 0 0 0 - - - 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 Feb 6-9 2020 4 5 6

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 b b b 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

e e e l r r t t b b n g F F F u c c p p e e a u J J O O A A F F A

Definitely vote in Primary Probably not vote in Primary Will vote in Primary unless emergency Unsure May vote in Primary

About the same percentage of likely Republican (90%) and likely Democra c voters (86%) say that they will definitely vote in the primary.

Will Definitely Vote in Primary - By Likely Primary Par cipa on - February 2015 to February 6-9, 2020

100% 92% 92% 90% 89% 88% 90% 86% 91% 91% 81% 86% 81% 86% 80% 84% 83% 78% 79% 73%

60%

40%

20%

0% Feb 2015 May 2015 Jul 2015 Oct 2015 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020 Feb 5-8 2020

DEM Primary Voter GOP Primary Voter In New Hampshire, undeclared voters are allowed to choose whether to vote in the Democra c or Republican presiden al primary. Among this group, two-thirds (67%) say they plan to vote in the Democra c primary, 28% plan to vote in the Republican primary, and 5% don't know or are unsure. These results are largely unchanged compared to the two previous survey periods.

In the run-up to the 2016 presiden al elec on, featuring compe ve primaries for both par es, undeclared voters were nearly equally split on which primary they planned to par cipate in. In 2012, the last electoral cycle featuring a largely non-compe ve primary for one party, undeclared voters planned to par cipate in the Republican primary at about a similar rate as undeclared voters plan to par cipate in the Democra c primary this year.

Undeclared Voters' Choice of Primary - 2008 to 2020

Jan 5-6, 2008 Jan 5-8, 2012 Feb 4-8, 2016 Feb 4-7, 2020 Feb 5-8, 2020 Feb 6-9, 2020 100%

90%

80% 74% 71% 70% 68% 67%

60% 60%

50% 47% 46%

40% 40%

30% 28% 26% 27%

20% 17%

9% 10% 7% 4% 5% 5% 0% 0%

Democrat Republican Unsure CNN 2020 NH Primary Poll

CNN 2020 New Hampshire Primary Poll These findings are based on the latest CNN 2020 New Hampshire Primary Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Seven hundred five (705) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed in English by landline and cellular telephone between February 6 and February 9, 2020. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 3.7 percent. Included in the sample were 365 likely 2020 Democra c Primary voters (margin of sampling error +/- 5.1 percent) and 212 likely 2020 Republican Primary voters (margin of sampling error +/- 6.7 percent). Trend points prior to July 2019 reflect results from the Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.

The random sample used in the CNN 2020 New Hampshire Primary Poll was purchased from Scien fic Telephone Samples (STS), Rancho Santo Margarita, CA. STS screens each selected telephone number to eliminate non-working numbers, disconnected numbers, and business numbers to improve the efficiency of the sample, reducing the amount of me interviewers spend calling non-usable numbers. When a landline number is reached, the interviewer randomly selects a member of the household by asking to speak with the adult currently living in the household who has had the most recent birthday. This selec on process ensures that every adult (18 years of age or older) in the household has an equal chance of being included in the survey.

The data have been weighted to adjust for numbers of adults and telephone lines within households. Addi onally, data were weighted by respondent sex, age, educa on, and region of the state to targets from the most recent American Community Survey (ACS) conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau. In addi on to poten al sampling error, all surveys have other poten al sources of non-sampling error including ques on order effects, ques on wording effects, and non-response. Due to rounding, percentages may not sum to 100%. The number of respondents in each demographic below may not equal the number reported in cross-tabula on tables as some respondents choose not to answer some ques ons.

For more informa on about the methodology used in the CNN 2020 New Hampshire Primary Poll, contact Dr. Andrew Smith at (603) 862-2226 or by email at [email protected].

CNN 2020 New Hampshire Primary Poll, February 6-9, 2020 Demographics

DEM Primary Voter GOP Primary Voter N % N % Gender of Female 210 58% 89 42% Respondent Male 154 42% 123 58% Age of Respondent 18 to 34 97 27% 39 19% 35 to 49 77 22% 34 17% 50 to 64 100 28% 93 45% 65 and older 79 22% 39 19% Level of Education High school or less 73 20% 72 34% Technical school/Some college 149 41% 79 38% College graduate 88 24% 40 19% Postgraduate work 51 14% 20 9% Ideology Conservative 26 8% 114 55% Liberal 149 44% 10 5% Moderate 162 48% 83 40% Region of State Central / Lakes 62 17% 36 17% Connecticut Valley 40 11% 21 10% Manchester Area 59 16% 46 22% Mass Border 78 21% 66 31% North Country 39 11% 25 12% Seacoast 86 24% 18 9% Registered to Vote Reg. Democrat 193 53% 63 30% Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 172 47% 149 70% Definitely Decided on Candidate - Democra c Primary Voters

Have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the New Hampshire primary, are you leaning toward someone, or have you considered some candidates but are s ll trying to decide?

Oct Feb Apr Aug Feb Apr Oct Jan Feb 4-7 Feb 5-8 Feb 6-9 Jul 2019 2017 2018 2018 2018 2019 2019 2019 2020 2020 2020 2020 Definitely Decided 2% 5% 5% 8% 5% 9% 16% 23% 31% 51% 53% 50% Leaning Towards Someone 4% 8% 4% 13% 10% 14% 20% 21% 20% 19% 19% 21% Still Trying To Decide 94% 87% 91% 78% 85% 77% 64% 57% 49% 30% 28% 28%

N 196 219 127 198 239 237 386 574 514 365 384 364 Preferred Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate

Now, I'm going to read you a list of some candidates who are running for the Democra c nomina on. If the Democra c primary for president were held today, which of the following would you support for the Democra c nomina on? (Candidates rotated)

Oct Feb Apr Aug Feb Oct Jan Feb 4-7 Feb 5-8 Feb 6-9 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 2017 2018 2018 2018 2019 2019 2020 2020 2020 2020 Bernie Sanders 31% 24% 31% 30% 26% 30% 19% 21% 25% 28% 28% 29% Pete Buttigieg 1% 15% 10% 10% 15% 21% 21% 22% Joe Biden 24% 35% 29% 19% 22% 18% 24% 15% 16% 11% 12% 11% Elizabeth Warren 13% 15% 12% 17% 7% 5% 19% 18% 12% 9% 9% 10% Amy Klobuchar 1% 0% 1% 4% 2% 0% 5% 6% 5% 6% 7% Tulsi Gabbard 1% 1% 1% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% Andrew Yang 2% 1% 5% 5% 3% 4% 4% Tom Steyer 0% 3% 2% 3% 2% 1% Michael Bloomberg 1% 1% 2% 1% 0% Michael Bennet 1% 0% 0% 0% John Delaney 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% Deval Patrick 0% Kamala Harris 1% 1% 6% 3% 10% 4% 9% 3% Cory Booker 6% 3% 4% 6% 3% 3% 2% 2% Beto O'Rourke 5% 3% 2% 2% Joe Sestak 1% Julian Castro 0% 0% Kirsten Gillibrand 1% 2% 2% 0% 1% 1% 1% Marianne Williamson 1% Jay Inslee 0% 0% Bill de Blasio 0% Seth Moulton 0% Tim Ryan 1% 0% 2% 0% Eric Swalwell 1% Wayne Messam 1% Sherrod Brown 1% John Hickenlooper 2% 0% 0% 0% Joseph Kennedy III 4% 7% Eric Holder 2% Martin O'Malley 3% 1% 1% 1% Mark Zuckerberg 2% Other 5% 4% 1% 2% 3% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% Undecided 11% 15% 8% 12% 14% 12% 9% 10% 10% 11% 11% 10%

N 211 223 129 204 237 237 383 570 514 364 382 363

Because Michael Bloomberg is not running in the New Hampshire primary, his name was not included in the list of candidates who were read aloud. However, responses from those who volunteered Bloomberg as their choice are included. Deval Patrick was included in the read list of candidates but did not receive support from any respondents. Second Choice for Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on

If that candidate were not running, who would be your second choice?

Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020 Feb 5-8 2020 Feb 6-9 2020 Elizabeth Warren 10% 14% 22% 22% 20% 22% 21% 20% Bernie Sanders 18% 20% 20% 17% 13% 13% 14% 15% Pete Buttigieg 1% 6% 6% 10% 16% 15% 16% 14% Amy Klobuchar 2% 3% 1% 6% 7% 10% 9% 9% Joe Biden 18% 19% 12% 12% 10% 12% 10% 9% Tulsi Gabbard 2% 2% 4% 3% 5% 5% 5% 6% Andrew Yang 1% 0% 4% 8% 7% 7% 6% Tom Steyer 0% 2% 6% 2% 3% 4% Michael Bloomberg 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% Michael Bennet 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% Deval Patrick 2% 0% 1% 1% John Delaney 1% 2% 1% 1% 0% Kamala Harris 14% 8% 15% 6% Cory Booker 9% 9% 2% 3% Beto O'Rourke 6% 3% 0% 1% Steve Bullock 0% 0% Julian Castro 0% 2% Kirsten Gillibrand 2% 1% 1% Tim Ryan 1% 0% Seth Moulton 0% John Hickenlooper 1% 0% 0% Marianne Williamson 0% Bill de Blasio 0% Jay Inslee 1% Eric Swalwell 1% Wayne Messam 0% Sherrod Brown 2% Other 1% 2% 1% 3% 1% 1% 2% No Second Choice 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 5% Undecided 12% 6% 5% 6% 4% 5% 6% 6%

N 196 193 348 510 460 325 342 324 Would Not Vote For Candidate Under Any Circumstances

Which of the candidates running for the Democra c nomina on would you not vote for under any circumstance?

Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020 Feb 5-8 2020 Feb 6-9 2020 Joe Biden 3% 5% 14% 11% 11% 17% 18% 17% Elizabeth Warren 13% 14% 8% 11% 12% 16% 16% 13% Tulsi Gabbard 2% 2% 1% 5% 11% 9% 10% 9% Bernie Sanders 8% 8% 6% 7% 13% 11% 10% 8% Tom Steyer 0% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5% Pete Buttigieg 1% 2% 1% 0% 1% 3% 3% 4% Andrew Yang 0% 1% 4% 4% 1% 1% 2% Michael Bennet 1% 0% 1% 1% 2% 2% Amy Klobuchar 1% 2% 1% 0% 2% 1% 1% 1% Deval Patrick 2% 2% 2% 1% Michael Bloomberg 6% 2% 1% 1% 1% John Delaney 0% 1% 1% 1% Marianne Williamson 4% 9% Beto O'Rourke 2% 3% 2% 4% Kamala Harris 3% 1% 2% 2% Julian Castro 1% 1% 1% 2% Cory Booker 3% 1% 1% 1% Joe Sestak 0% Steve Bullock 0% 0% Bill de Blasio 2% Kirsten Gillibrand 4% 3% 1% Tim Ryan 1% Jay Inslee 0% John Hickenlooper 0% 1% 0% Eric Swalwell 0% Other 4% 2% 0% 1% 1% 0% None All Are Ok 15% 27% 25% 18% 25% 24% 24% 26% Don't Know/Not Sure 35% 28% 30% 21% 11% 9% 9% 10%

N 230 238 378 567 514 356 376 356 Candidate Most Likely to Win the New Hampshire Primary

Which Democra c candidate do you think will win the New Hampshire Primary?

Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020 Feb 5-8 2020 Feb 6-9 2020 Bernie Sanders 39% 56% 57% 59% Pete Buttigieg 7% 11% 11% 10% Joe Biden 22% 10% 9% 6% Elizabeth Warren 12% 6% 5% 6% Tom Steyer 1% 1% 1% 2% Tulsi Gabbard 1% 1% 1% 1% Amy Klobuchar 1% 1% 1% 1% Andrew Yang 1% 1% 0% 1% Michael Bloomberg 0% 0% 0% 0% John Delaney 0% Other 1% Undecided 15% 12% 14% 15%

N 515 365 384 363

Candidate With Best Chance to Win General Elec on

Which Democra c candidate do you think has the best chance of winning in the general elec on next November?

Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020 Feb 5-8 2020 Feb 6-9 2020 Bernie Sanders 23% 30% 16% 14% 20% 29% 29% 30% Joe Biden 33% 25% 45% 36% 41% 25% 23% 22% Pete Buttigieg 4% 1% 3% 8% 14% 14% 13% Elizabeth Warren 2% 2% 9% 18% 6% 5% 5% 6% Amy Klobuchar 1% 0% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% Michael Bloomberg 1% 2% 3% 3% 2% Tulsi Gabbard 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% Tom Steyer 0% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% Deval Patrick 1% Andrew Yang 0% 0% 1% 2% 1% 0% Michael Bennet 0% 0% Kamala Harris 5% 2% 7% 2% Beto O'Rourke 3% 3% 2% 1% Cory Booker 2% 2% 1% 1% Marianne Williamson 0% 0% Steve Bullock 0% Tim Ryan 0% John Delaney 0% Kirsten Gillibrand 0% 0% Sherrod Brown 1% Someone else 1% 1% 1% 0% Don't Know/Not Sure 30% 30% 15% 20% 16% 17% 19% 21%

N 232 240 380 569 515 363 382 362 Preferred Republican 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate

Now, I'm going to read a list of candidates running for the Republican nomina on. If the Republican primary for President were held today, which of the following would you support for the Republican nomina on?

Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020 Feb 5-8 2020 Feb 6-9 2020 Donald Trump 68% 76% 86% 86% 90% 91% 91% 90% William Weld 3% 5% 7% 5% 4% 5% 5% 7% Joe Walsh 1% 1% Mark Sanford 1% John Kasich 17% 10% Larry Hogan 1% Other 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% DK/Undecided 12% 8% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1%

N 217 208 289 461 393 199 224 210

Joe Walsh, who suspended his campaign on February 7, was included in the list of Republican candidates for completed survey from February 5 to February 7, but did not receive support from any respondents.

Definitely Decided on Candidate - Republican Primary Voters

Have you definitely decided whom you will vote for in the New Hampshire primary, are you leaning toward someone, or have you considered some candidates but are s ll trying to decide?

Oct Feb Apr Aug Feb Apr Oct Jan Feb 4-7 Feb 5-8 Feb 6-9 Jul 2019 2017 2018 2018 2018 2019 2019 2019 2020 2020 2020 2020

Still Trying To Decide 77% 63% 68% 68% 57% 50% 35% 28% 19% 16% 14% 15% Leaning Towards Someone 5% 8% 10% 10% 10% 8% 12% 12% 8% 6% 5% 4% Definitely Decided 18% 30% 22% 23% 34% 43% 53% 61% 73% 78% 81% 81%

N 183 157 111 199 213 207 283 459 393 202 227 212 Interest in Primary

As you may know, the New Hampshire Presiden al Primary is being held on February 11th. How interested would you say you are in the 2020 New Hampshire Presiden al Primary elec on?

Oct Feb Apr Aug Feb Apr Oct Jan Feb 4-7 Feb 5-8 Feb 6-9 Jul 2019 2017 2018 2018 2018 2019 2019 2019 2020 2020 2020 2020 Extremely Interested 47% 55% 54% 60% 49% 48% 43% 48% 45% 44% 45% 46% Very Interested 27% 24% 24% 20% 28% 32% 28% 29% 26% 34% 35% 32% Somewhat Interested 18% 13% 13% 15% 16% 11% 21% 14% 17% 14% 13% 15% Not Very Interested 8% 7% 9% 4% 7% 9% 8% 9% 12% 8% 8% 7% Don't Know/Not Sure 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%

N 570 523 340 500 604 548 862 1,264 1,174 671 720 672

Likelihood of Vo ng in 2020 Presiden al Primary

Which of the following statements best describes you?

Oct Feb Apr Aug Feb Apr Jul Oct Jan Feb 4-7 Feb 5-8 Feb 6-9 2017 2018 2018 2018 2019 2019 2019 2019 2020 2020 2020 2020 Definitely vote in Primary 74% 76% 71% 82% 78% 75% 72% 76% 72% 74% 74% 74% Will vote in Primary unless emergency 11% 9% 14% 10% 9% 13% 12% 7% 8% 10% 11% 12% May vote in Primary 5% 4% 4% 3% 6% 5% 6% 7% 5% 6% 5% 6% Probably not vote in Primary 2% 5% 6% 2% 2% 4% 5% 5% 7% 5% 5% 4% Unsure 7% 6% 5% 3% 5% 3% 5% 5% 8% 4% 4% 4%

N 567 517 340 500 601 547 863 1,265 1,176 671 720 671 Definitely Decided on Candidate - Democra c Primary Voters

Definitely Decided Leaning Towards Someone Still Trying To Decide N

STATEWIDE 50% 21% 28% 364

Registered to Reg. Democrat 52% 20% 27% 193 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 48% 23% 29% 171 Party ID Democrat 52% 20% 28% 282 Independent 50% 21% 29% 50 Republican 35% 34% 31% 28 Ideology Liberal 57% 22% 22% 149 Moderate 46% 21% 33% 162 Conservative 38% 28% 34% 26 Age of 18 to 34 57% 26% 17% 97 Respondent 35 to 49 51% 26% 23% 77 50 to 64 38% 18% 44% 100 65 and older 58% 15% 27% 79 Gender of Women 43% 23% 34% 210 Respondent Men 61% 19% 20% 153 Age & Gender Women, 18-34 41% 40% 19% 50 Men, 18-34 74% 11% 15% 47 Women, 35-49 48% 21% 30% 46 Men, 35-49 54% 32% 13% 31 Women, 50-64 32% 15% 53% 59 Men, 50-64 47% 21% 32% 41 Women, 65 and older 51% 19% 31% 49 Men, 65 and older 69% 10% 21% 30 Education & Women, no college degree 41% 27% 31% 131 Gender Women, college degree or more 45% 17% 38% 77 Men, no college degree 67% 14% 19% 91 Men, college degree or more 51% 26% 22% 62 Level of High school or less 51% 26% 23% 73 Education Technical school/Some college 53% 20% 28% 149 College graduate 44% 21% 35% 88 Postgraduate work 53% 21% 25% 51 Region of Central / Lakes 49% 20% 31% 62 State Connecticut Valley 64% 20% 17% 40 Manchester Area 45% 8% 47% 59 Mass Border 54% 25% 21% 77 North Country 36% 30% 34% 39 Seacoast 53% 25% 23% 86 Preferred Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate

Michael Michael Pete Tulsi Amy Bernie Joe Biden Bennet Bloomberg Buttigieg Gabbard Klobuchar Sanders

STATEWIDE 0% 11% 0% 22% 5% 7% 29%

Registered to Reg. Democrat 0% 12% 0% 21% 3% 6% 29% Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 0% 9% 0% 22% 7% 7% 29% Party ID Democrat 0% 10% 0% 20% 4% 6% 31% Independent 1% 12% 21% 9% 6% 26% Republican 16% 32% 5% 11% 6% Ideology Liberal 7% 21% 1% 5% 39% Moderate 1% 14% 1% 24% 6% 9% 20% Conservative 14% 14% 19% 6% 14% Age of 18 to 34 11% 18% 3% 44% Respondent 35 to 49 2% 25% 6% 1% 40% 50 to 64 1% 6% 23% 7% 10% 22% 65 and older 0% 25% 1% 19% 6% 14% 9% Gender of Women 10% 0% 21% 2% 8% 27% Respondent Men 1% 11% 0% 22% 9% 5% 31% Age & Gender Women, 18-34 9% 13% 50% Men, 18-34 13% 23% 6% 37% Women, 35-49 28% 2% 33% Men, 35-49 4% 20% 14% 51% Women, 50-64 6% 23% 2% 10% 18% Men, 50-64 2% 5% 23% 13% 10% 27% Women, 65 and older 25% 20% 5% 18% 8% Men, 65 and older 1% 26% 2% 18% 6% 8% 11% Education & Women, no college degree 12% 20% 3% 5% 34% Gender Women, college degree or more 8% 1% 23% 13% 14% Men, no college degree 1% 13% 22% 11% 1% 32% Men, college degree or more 1% 8% 1% 22% 8% 10% 30% Level of High school or less 1% 12% 16% 6% 2% 44% Education Technical school/Some college 13% 23% 6% 4% 28% College graduate 0% 7% 1% 25% 4% 12% 20% Postgraduate work 10% 1% 19% 2% 11% 23% Decided on Definitely Decided 14% 0% 18% 3% 6% 42% Vote Leaning Towards Someone 1% 10% 28% 5% 9% 28% Still Trying To Decide 5% 1% 24% 8% 6% 4% Region of Central / Lakes 8% 22% 1% 8% 34% State Connecticut Valley 1% 38% 9% 28% Manchester Area 16% 20% 13% 6% 17% Mass Border 13% 1% 27% 11% 4% 23% North Country 17% 2% 17% 4% 7% 26% Seacoast 1% 9% 13% 0% 7% 40%

Because Michael Bloomberg is not running in the New Hampshire primary, his name was not included in the list of candidates who were read aloud. However, responses from those who volunteered Bloomberg as their choice are included. Deval Patrick was included in the read list of candidates but did not receive support from any respondents. Preferred Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate

Elizabeth Tom Steyer Andrew Yang Other Undecided N Warren

STATEWIDE 1% 10% 4% 1% 10% 363

Registered to Reg. Democrat 1% 14% 2% 1% 10% 191 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 2% 5% 5% 1% 11% 172 Party ID Democrat 1% 13% 2% 11% 282 Independent 1% 12% 4% 8% 50 Republican 4% 6% 9% 10% 26 Ideology Liberal 0% 16% 1% 9% 149 Moderate 2% 5% 3% 1% 13% 161 Conservative 20% 9% 6% 26 Age of 18 to 34 12% 8% 2% 4% 97 Respondent 35 to 49 16% 10% 77 50 to 64 2% 6% 3% 3% 17% 98 65 and older 2% 8% 2% 13% 78 Gender of Women 2% 12% 2% 15% 208 Respondent Men 1% 7% 5% 3% 5% 154 Age & Gender Women, 18-34 16% 8% 4% 50 Men, 18-34 8% 7% 3% 3% 47 Women, 35-49 21% 15% 46 Men, 35-49 8% 2% 31 Women, 50-64 4% 8% 1% 27% 57 Men, 50-64 0% 3% 6% 7% 4% 41 Women, 65 and older 2% 7% 14% 48 Men, 65 and older 3% 10% 6% 10% 30 Education & Women, no college degree 1% 11% 2% 11% 129 Gender Women, college degree or more 2% 15% 2% 22% 76 Men, no college degree 7% 5% 4% 4% 91 Men, college degree or more 2% 7% 4% 1% 5% 62 Level of High school or less 10% 1% 7% 73 Education Technical school/Some college 1% 9% 5% 2% 9% 148 College graduate 2% 9% 3% 1% 15% 87 Postgraduate work 2% 15% 3% 13% 51 Decided on Definitely Decided 2% 10% 3% 1% 184 Vote Leaning Towards Someone 1% 12% 6% 78 Still Trying To Decide 9% 3% 3% 38% 101 Region of Central / Lakes 10% 4% 2% 11% 62 State Connecticut Valley 11% 8% 6% 40 Manchester Area 2% 9% 1% 17% 58 Mass Border 1% 5% 4% 2% 9% 78 North Country 1% 9% 3% 14% 39 Seacoast 2% 15% 3% 1% 8% 86

Because Michael Bloomberg is not running in the New Hampshire primary, his name was not included in the list of candidates who were read aloud. However, responses from those who voluntered Bloomberg as their choice are included. Michael Bennet and Deval Patrick were included in the read list of candidates but did not receive support from any respondents. Second Choice for Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on

Michael Michael Pete Tulsi Amy Deval Joe Biden Bennet Bloomberg Buttigieg Gabbard Klobuchar Patrick

STATEWIDE 1% 9% 2% 14% 6% 9% 1%

Registered to Reg. Democrat 1% 11% 15% 2% 11% Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 2% 7% 4% 12% 12% 7% 1% Party ID Democrat 1% 10% 1% 14% 5% 10% 0% Independent 7% 6% 3% 10% 14% 8% Republican 4% 2% 17% 12% 7% 5% Ideology Liberal 8% 3% 11% 7% 5% 1% Moderate 3% 13% 1% 18% 8% 13% 0% Conservative 2% 13% 3% Age of 18 to 34 5% 3% 11% 15% 3% Respondent 35 to 49 11% 12% 3% 14% 50 to 64 3% 7% 0% 19% 5% 4% 2% 65 and older 4% 14% 4% 12% 1% 17% Gender of Women 0% 11% 3% 11% 7% 11% 0% Respondent Men 3% 7% 1% 17% 6% 7% 1% Age & Gender Women, 18-34 11% 6% 7% 18% 7% Men, 18-34 16% 11% Women, 35-49 11% 11% 2% 19% Men, 35-49 12% 12% 5% 8% Women, 50-64 8% 16% 6% 4% 2% Men, 50-64 6% 6% 0% 23% 4% 4% 3% Women, 65 and older 1% 14% 6% 8% 1% 17% Men, 65 and older 7% 14% 2% 18% 17% Education & Women, no college degree 11% 4% 9% 9% 9% Gender Women, college degree or more 1% 10% 2% 16% 4% 14% 1% Men, no college degree 5% 5% 15% 4% 2% Men, college degree or more 9% 1% 21% 8% 14% 2% Level of High school or less 3% 11% 11% 7% 12% Education Technical school/Some college 1% 7% 3% 12% 7% 3% College graduate 10% 1% 21% 3% 13% 2% Postgraduate work 1% 10% 2% 13% 10% 17% 1% Decided on Definitely Decided 2% 12% 1% 15% 6% 9% Vote Leaning Towards Someone 1% 4% 4% 11% 12% 7% 1% Still Trying To Decide 2% 8% 1% 15% 12% 2% Region of Central / Lakes 6% 1% 12% 9% 6% 3% State Connecticut Valley 9% 1% 14% 7% 13% Manchester Area 1% 13% 3% 15% 4% 8% Mass Border 5% 10% 4% 8% 3% 9% North Country 3% 2% 15% 9% 6% Seacoast 10% 1% 19% 8% 12% 1% Second Choice for Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on

Bernie Tom Elizabeth Andrew No Second Other Undecided N Sanders Steyer Warren Yang Choice

STATEWIDE 15% 4% 20% 6% 2% 5% 6% 324

Registered to Reg. Democrat 15% 3% 24% 8% 2% 5% 3% 173 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 14% 5% 15% 5% 2% 5% 8% 151 Party ID Democrat 16% 4% 25% 7% 1% 2% 5% 250 Independent 11% 8% 3% 1% 6% 16% 4% 46 Republican 8% 0% 3% 9% 8% 21% 4% 23 Ideology Liberal 19% 1% 34% 5% 1% 1% 5% 136 Moderate 7% 7% 9% 8% 1% 7% 4% 139 Conservative 27% 10% 7% 10% 21% 8% 25 Age of 18 to 34 16% 2% 26% 5% 3% 5% 5% 93 Respondent 35 to 49 15% 6% 14% 15% 5% 6% 69 50 to 64 15% 6% 21% 6% 3% 3% 5% 81 65 and older 12% 3% 17% 2% 8% 7% 69 Gender of Women 13% 3% 25% 4% 2% 5% 5% 177 Respondent Men 17% 6% 14% 9% 2% 5% 6% 146 Age & Gender Women, 18-34 6% 27% 2% 6% 7% 5% 48 Men, 18-34 27% 4% 25% 8% 3% 6% 45 Women, 35-49 12% 2% 15% 14% 7% 6% 39 Men, 35-49 18% 10% 12% 16% 3% 6% 30 Women, 50-64 23% 3% 31% 1% 2% 3% 42 Men, 50-64 7% 9% 10% 12% 4% 6% 6% 39 Women, 65 and older 12% 3% 25% 5% 7% 42 Men, 65 and older 14% 2% 5% 4% 11% 6% 27 Education & Women, no college degree 10% 1% 26% 4% 2% 7% 7% 115 Gender Women, college degree or more 17% 7% 20% 4% 1% 1% 1% 60 Men, no college degree 17% 8% 16% 13% 3% 5% 7% 87 Men, college degree or more 18% 4% 11% 3% 5% 5% 59 Level of High school or less 8% 23% 15% 2% 9% 68 Education Technical school/Some college 16% 5% 21% 5% 3% 10% 6% 135 College graduate 21% 3% 13% 4% 1% 4% 3% 74 Postgraduate work 11% 9% 19% 2% 3% 3% 44 Decided on Definitely Decided 12% 3% 24% 5% 3% 5% 4% 184 Vote Leaning Towards Someone 22% 5% 15% 6% 1% 8% 4% 78 Still Trying To Decide 14% 7% 14% 10% 4% 11% 63 Region of Central / Lakes 10% 7% 24% 6% 3% 7% 7% 55 State Connecticut Valley 15% 33% 8% 38 Manchester Area 20% 1% 22% 8% 2% 2% 48 Mass Border 17% 3% 18% 5% 6% 7% 6% 70 North Country 18% 10% 14% 5% 19% 33 Seacoast 11% 5% 14% 12% 3% 3% 79 Would Not Vote For Candidate Under Any Circumstances

Michael Michael Pete Tulsi Amy Deval Joe Biden Bennet Bloomberg Buttigieg Gabbard Klobuchar Patrick

STATEWIDE 2% 17% 1% 4% 9% 1% 1%

Registered to Reg. Democrat 2% 18% 1% 5% 14% 2% 1% Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 2% 17% 0% 4% 4% 1% 0% Party ID Democrat 3% 16% 0% 4% 12% 2% 1% Independent 27% 1% 6% 1% 1% Republican 16% Ideology Liberal 3% 19% 1% 5% 16% 2% 0% Moderate 2% 12% 1% 3% 5% 2% 1% Conservative 23% 6% Age of 18 to 34 3% 35% 5% 8% 1% Respondent 35 to 49 1% 9% 1% 5% 10% 3% 1% 50 to 64 4% 11% 1% 4% 9% 65 and older 0% 10% 3% 12% 3% 3% Gender of Women 2% 20% 1% 3% 9% 1% 1% Respondent Men 2% 13% 0% 6% 9% 3% 1% Age & Gender Women, 18-34 5% 45% 2% Men, 18-34 25% 10% 14% 1% Women, 35-49 7% 2% 12% Men, 35-49 3% 12% 2% 8% 8% 7% 3% Women, 50-64 3% 13% 2% 7% 11% Men, 50-64 5% 7% 5% Women, 65 and older 13% 14% 2% 3% Men, 65 and older 1% 4% 8% 9% 4% 4% Education & Women, no college degree 2% 28% 3% 8% 1% 1% Gender Women, college degree or more 2% 5% 2% 3% 11% Men, no college degree 1% 12% 8% 11% 3% Men, college degree or more 3% 15% 1% 4% 6% 2% 3% Level of High school or less 2% 19% 2% 14% 4% Education Technical school/Some college 2% 23% 6% 7% 1% 1% College graduate 3% 10% 5% 7% 1% 1% Postgraduate work 2% 10% 4% 11% 1% 1% Decided on Definitely Decided 2% 20% 1% 5% 13% 1% 1% Vote Leaning Towards Someone 3% 13% 1% 3% 5% 1% 3% Still Trying To Decide 2% 15% 4% 6% 2% Region of Central / Lakes 2% 10% 1% 1% 7% 1% State Connecticut Valley 34% 2% 7% 6% Manchester Area 3% 8% 1% 13% 3% 2% Mass Border 1% 24% 4% 15% 1% North Country 19% 5% 2% 2% 1% Seacoast 4% 14% 1% 11% 7% 2% Would Not Vote For Candidate Under Any Circumstances

Don't Bernie Tom Elizabeth Andrew None All Other Know/Not N Sanders Steyer Warren Yang Are Ok Sure STATEWIDE 8% 5% 13% 2% 0% 26% 10% 356

Registered to Reg. Democrat 6% 4% 8% 1% 0% 27% 10% 188 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 10% 5% 20% 3% 0% 24% 10% 168 Party ID Democrat 7% 6% 8% 2% 0% 30% 10% 276 Independent 10% 1% 26% 1% 1% 11% 13% 50 Republican 17% 51% 4% 9% 3% 27 Ideology Liberal 3% 7% 4% 0% 1% 32% 7% 148 Moderate 13% 2% 18% 3% 0% 24% 11% 162 Conservative 12% 8% 35% 5% 4% 6% 25 Age of 18 to 34 3% 4% 11% 25% 5% 95 Respondent 35 to 49 5% 8% 17% 1% 18% 20% 73 50 to 64 10% 5% 14% 2% 1% 31% 8% 100 65 and older 15% 3% 10% 5% 25% 9% 78 Gender of Women 8% 7% 11% 2% 0% 27% 9% 205 Respondent Men 8% 2% 17% 2% 0% 24% 11% 151 Age & Gender Women, 18-34 3% 8% 7% 30% 50 Men, 18-34 3% 16% 20% 11% 45 Women, 35-49 9% 8% 19% 2% 17% 23% 42 Men, 35-49 7% 15% 19% 16% 31 Women, 50-64 4% 6% 4% 2% 1% 38% 7% 59 Men, 50-64 18% 2% 27% 3% 2% 22% 8% 41 Women, 65 and older 17% 4% 11% 5% 20% 10% 49 Men, 65 and older 12% 1% 9% 5% 34% 8% 29 Education & Women, no college degree 6% 3% 9% 1% 29% 8% 127 Gender Women, college degree or more 11% 12% 13% 4% 1% 24% 11% 77 Men, no college degree 9% 2% 18% 1% 19% 15% 88 Men, college degree or more 7% 2% 16% 3% 1% 31% 5% 62 Level of High school or less 9% 4% 15% 26% 6% 68 Education Technical school/Some college 7% 3% 12% 2% 25% 13% 147 College graduate 10% 6% 13% 4% 1% 30% 10% 88 Postgraduate work 8% 11% 17% 2% 2% 23% 6% 51 Decided on Definitely Decided 9% 3% 14% 1% 1% 21% 9% 182 Vote Leaning Towards Someone 4% 9% 14% 3% 32% 9% 78 Still Trying To Decide 10% 5% 11% 2% 30% 13% 96 Region of Central / Lakes 9% 8% 12% 1% 1% 32% 15% 61 State Connecticut Valley 4% 3% 15% 4% 2% 20% 3% 40 Manchester Area 9% 5% 17% 30% 9% 59 Mass Border 10% 5% 17% 21% 4% 77 North Country 3% 4% 4% 3% 37% 20% 38 Seacoast 10% 3% 12% 4% 21% 12% 80 Candidate Most Likely to Win the New Hampshire Primary

Michael Joe Biden Pete Buttigieg Tulsi Gabbard Amy Klobuchar Bloomberg

STATEWIDE 6% 0% 10% 1% 1%

Registered to Reg. Democrat 7% 6% 1% 2% Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 4% 1% 15% 1% Party ID Democrat 7% 0% 8% 2% 0% Independent 11% Republican 8% 26% 6% Ideology Liberal 5% 1% 8% 1% Moderate 7% 14% 1% 1% Conservative 7% 8% Age of 18 to 34 7% 4% Respondent 35 to 49 6% 12% 50 to 64 2% 14% 2% 2% 65 and older 11% 1% 11% 3% Gender of Women 6% 1% 12% 1% 1% Respondent Men 6% 8% 1% 0% Age & Gender Women, 18-34 10% 5% Men, 18-34 4% 3% Women, 35-49 4% 16% Men, 35-49 8% 7% Women, 50-64 2% 13% 4% Men, 50-64 1% 15% 5% Women, 65 and older 8% 2% 13% 5% Men, 65 and older 17% 6% Education & Women, no college degree 6% 1% 13% 2% 1% Gender Women, college degree or more 5% 10% 1% Men, no college degree 9% 6% 2% Men, college degree or more 3% 10% 1% Level of High school or less 8% 2% 6% 3% Education Technical school/Some college 7% 12% 2% 1% College graduate 3% 9% 1% Postgraduate work 6% 12% 1% Decided on Definitely Decided 6% 7% 1% 1% Vote Leaning Towards Someone 9% 19% Still Trying To Decide 3% 1% 8% 2% 2% Region of Central / Lakes 3% 2% 10% State Connecticut Valley 16% 2% Manchester Area 8% 5% 4% 3% Mass Border 4% 13% 3% North Country 7% Seacoast 14% 9% 1% Candidate Most Likely to Win the New Hampshire Primary

Elizabeth Bernie Sanders Tom Steyer Andrew Yang Undecided N Warren

STATEWIDE 59% 2% 6% 1% 15% 363

Registered to Reg. Democrat 60% 2% 6% 1% 15% 193 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 57% 1% 5% 15% 170 Party ID Democrat 57% 2% 6% 1% 16% 282 Independent 66% 6% 17% 50 Republican 55% 5% 28 Ideology Liberal 64% 1% 6% 1% 13% 149 Moderate 53% 1% 7% 15% 162 Conservative 64% 7% 13% 26 Age of 18 to 34 76% 2% 3% 2% 6% 97 Respondent 35 to 49 59% 9% 15% 77 50 to 64 50% 4% 6% 19% 100 65 and older 46% 5% 23% 79 Gender of Women 52% 2% 7% 19% 209 Respondent Men 68% 1% 4% 1% 9% 153 Age & Gender Women, 18-34 72% 4% 2% 7% 50 Men, 18-34 80% 4% 4% 5% 47 Women, 35-49 50% 9% 21% 46 Men, 35-49 73% 8% 4% 31 Women, 50-64 47% 3% 7% 24% 59 Men, 50-64 55% 5% 5% 13% 41 Women, 65 and older 36% 8% 27% 49 Men, 65 and older 60% 1% 15% 30 Education & Women, no college degree 49% 3% 7% 18% 131 Gender Women, college degree or more 57% 5% 22% 77 Men, no college degree 64% 2% 6% 2% 8% 91 Men, college degree or more 74% 2% 10% 62 Level of High school or less 52% 8% 3% 19% 73 Education Technical school/Some college 57% 4% 7% 12% 149 College graduate 67% 3% 17% 88 Postgraduate work 61% 5% 16% 51 Decided on Definitely Decided 67% 1% 5% 10% 182 Vote Leaning Towards Someone 63% 2% 3% 4% 78 Still Trying To Decide 41% 4% 9% 32% 103 Region of Central / Lakes 66% 3% 7% 9% 61 State Connecticut Valley 69% 4% 9% 40 Manchester Area 58% 3% 19% 59 Mass Border 51% 8% 3% 18% 77 North Country 60% 6% 3% 25% 39 Seacoast 56% 2% 6% 13% 86 Candidate With Best Chance to Win General Elec on

Michael Michael Pete Tulsi Amy Deval Joe Biden Bennet Bloomberg Buttigieg Gabbard Klobuchar Patrick

STATEWIDE 0% 22% 2% 13% 1% 3% 1%

Registered to Reg. Democrat 23% 1% 13% 4% Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 0% 21% 3% 13% 3% 2% 1% Party ID Democrat 23% 1% 12% 1% 4% 1% Independent 1% 18% 1% 8% 5% 1% Republican 23% 8% 37% 3% Ideology Liberal 24% 0% 10% 3% Moderate 0% 25% 3% 16% 3% 4% 2% Conservative 17% 2% 14% 3% Age of 18 to 34 30% 9% Respondent 35 to 49 18% 10% 3% 50 to 64 1% 17% 1% 20% 5% 5% 65 and older 25% 4% 12% 8% Gender of Women 27% 1% 11% 3% 1% Respondent Men 0% 16% 3% 16% 3% 3% Age & Gender Women, 18-34 38% 2% Men, 18-34 21% 17% Women, 35-49 23% 10% 6% Men, 35-49 11% 8% Women, 50-64 23% 18% 4% Men, 50-64 2% 7% 3% 24% 12% 6% Women, 65 and older 22% 2% 10% 9% Men, 65 and older 30% 8% 15% 6% Education & Women, no college degree 30% 8% 2% 2% Gender Women, college degree or more 22% 2% 13% 5% Men, no college degree 1% 20% 1% 15% 5% 1% Men, college degree or more 10% 5% 18% 1% 6% Level of High school or less 1% 21% 1% 6% 6% Education Technical school/Some college 29% 14% 3% 2% College graduate 15% 2% 14% 1% 5% Postgraduate work 18% 5% 17% 7% Decided on Definitely Decided 20% 1% 10% 1% 3% 1% Vote Leaning Towards Someone 1% 23% 2% 19% 1% 2% Still Trying To Decide 25% 2% 14% 2% 4% Region of Central / Lakes 14% 2% 15% 2% State Connecticut Valley 8% 23% 8% Manchester Area 35% 1% 8% 4% 7% Mass Border 24% 4% 14% 3% 1% North Country 26% 2% 9% 2% Seacoast 1% 22% 0% 12% 2% 3% Candidate With Best Chance to Win General Elec on

Don't Bernie Elizabeth Andrew Someone Tom Steyer Know/Not N Sanders Warren Yang else Sure STATEWIDE 30% 1% 6% 0% 0% 21% 362

Registered to Reg. Democrat 29% 1% 10% 19% 193 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 30% 1% 1% 1% 1% 23% 169 Party ID Democrat 31% 1% 7% 0% 20% 281 Independent 34% 2% 1% 1% 27% 50 Republican 16% 2% 2% 10% 28 Ideology Liberal 37% 10% 16% 149 Moderate 19% 2% 4% 1% 1% 21% 162 Conservative 49% 13% 26 Age of 18 to 34 43% 3% 1% 15% 97 Respondent 35 to 49 36% 7% 26% 76 50 to 64 25% 2% 4% 1% 20% 100 65 and older 17% 1% 11% 0% 1% 21% 79 Gender of Women 27% 1% 6% 0% 23% 208 Respondent Men 34% 0% 6% 0% 1% 18% 153 Age & Gender Women, 18-34 44% 2% 2% 13% 50 Men, 18-34 41% 4% 18% 47 Women, 35-49 24% 6% 32% 45 Men, 35-49 54% 10% 17% 31 Women, 50-64 24% 3% 4% 24% 59 Men, 50-64 27% 0% 3% 1% 14% 41 Women, 65 and older 19% 1% 13% 24% 49 Men, 65 and older 13% 8% 1% 2% 17% 30 Education & Women, no college degree 35% 1% 5% 16% 131 Gender Women, college degree or more 13% 2% 7% 1% 35% 76 Men, no college degree 37% 5% 15% 91 Men, college degree or more 29% 0% 7% 1% 2% 21% 62 Level of High school or less 46% 6% 14% 73 Education Technical school/Some college 31% 1% 5% 17% 149 College graduate 21% 1% 4% 1% 1% 34% 87 Postgraduate work 19% 2% 12% 1% 19% 51 Decided on Definitely Decided 40% 1% 8% 1% 0% 13% 181 Vote Leaning Towards Someone 24% 1% 7% 1% 19% 78 Still Trying To Decide 16% 2% 35% 103 Region of Central / Lakes 34% 7% 27% 60 State Connecticut Valley 37% 13% 11% 40 Manchester Area 27% 1% 5% 13% 59 Mass Border 31% 1% 3% 1% 1% 16% 77 North Country 25% 5% 1% 30% 39 Seacoast 27% 2% 5% 1% 26% 86 Preferred Republican 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate

Donald Trump William Weld Other DK/Undecided N

STATEWIDE 90% 7% 1% 1% 210

Registered to Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 86% 11% 1% 2% 63 Vote Reg. Republican 92% 5% 2% 1% 147 Party ID Democrat 74% 16% 10% 11 Independent 76% 24% 24 Republican 93% 4% 1% 2% 173 Ideology Liberal 95% 5% 10 Moderate 81% 15% 3% 1% 82 Conservative 97% 2% 1% 1% 114 Age of 18 to 34 92% 6% 1% 39 Respondent 35 to 49 88% 8% 2% 2% 34 50 to 64 90% 8% 2% 1% 92 65 and older 89% 6% 3% 3% 39 Gender of Women 89% 7% 1% 3% 89 Respondent Men 91% 7% 2% 0% 122 Age & Gender Women, 18-34 83% 17% 14 Men, 18-34 98% 2% 25 Women, 35-49 84% 16% 5 Men, 35-49 89% 9% 2% 30 Women, 50-64 91% 6% 2% 1% 41 Men, 50-64 88% 10% 1% 51 Women, 65 and older 89% 4% 2% 4% 24 Men, 65 and older 88% 9% 3% 14 Education & Women, no college degree 92% 6% 1% 2% 65 Gender Women, college degree or more 84% 8% 3% 5% 24 Men, no college degree 95% 5% 85 Men, college degree or more 80% 14% 5% 2% 35 Level of High school or less 98% 1% 1% 70 Education Technical school/Some college 90% 10% 79 College graduate 82% 12% 4% 3% 40 Postgraduate work 79% 11% 6% 4% 20 Region of Central / Lakes 95% 5% 36 State Connecticut Valley 93% 5% 2% 19 Manchester Area 86% 11% 3% 46 Mass Border 90% 8% 1% 1% 66 North Country 82% 6% 2% 9% 25 Seacoast 100% 18

Joe Walsh, who suspended his campaign on February 7, was included in the list of Republican candidates for completed survey from February 5 to February 7, but did not receive support from any respondents. Definitely Decided on Candidate - Republican Primary Voters

Definitely Decided Leaning Towards Someone Still Trying To Decide N

STATEWIDE 81% 4% 15% 212

Registered to Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 70% 7% 24% 63 Vote Reg. Republican 85% 3% 11% 149 Party ID Democrat 94% 6% 11 Independent 68% 5% 27% 26 Republican 82% 4% 14% 173 Ideology Liberal 93% 1% 5% 10 Moderate 78% 3% 19% 83 Conservative 82% 6% 12% 114 Age of 18 to 34 64% 4% 33% 39 Respondent 35 to 49 88% 10% 2% 34 50 to 64 85% 3% 12% 93 65 and older 78% 5% 16% 39 Gender of Women 77% 2% 21% 89 Respondent Men 84% 6% 10% 123 Age & Gender Women, 18-34 53% 47% 14 Men, 18-34 70% 5% 25% 25 Women, 35-49 84% 16% 5 Men, 35-49 89% 11% 30 Women, 50-64 87% 13% 41 Men, 50-64 83% 5% 12% 53 Women, 65 and older 66% 9% 25% 24 Men, 65 and older 98% 2% 14 Education & Women, no college degree 77% 2% 21% 65 Gender Women, college degree or more 76% 2% 21% 24 Men, no college degree 84% 5% 11% 86 Men, college degree or more 83% 8% 9% 35 Level of High school or less 82% 2% 16% 72 Education Technical school/Some college 80% 6% 15% 79 College graduate 82% 5% 13% 40 Postgraduate work 77% 8% 15% 20 Region of Central / Lakes 86% 10% 4% 36 State Connecticut Valley 69% 7% 24% 21 Manchester Area 79% 3% 18% 46 Mass Border 84% 2% 13% 66 North Country 77% 6% 17% 25 Seacoast 80% 20% 18 Interest in Primary

Extremely Somewhat Very Interested Not Very Interested N Interested Interested

STATEWIDE 46% 32% 15% 7% 672

Registered to Reg. Democrat 53% 35% 9% 3% 200 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 42% 34% 17% 8% 280 Reg. Republican 47% 24% 18% 11% 187 Party ID Democrat 57% 31% 9% 3% 305 Independent 33% 35% 21% 10% 99 Republican 40% 30% 18% 12% 255 Ideology Liberal 61% 28% 8% 3% 159 Moderate 46% 33% 18% 3% 279 Conservative 40% 31% 14% 15% 185 Age of 18 to 34 39% 29% 22% 9% 166 Respondent 35 to 49 41% 37% 11% 11% 134 50 to 64 52% 30% 12% 5% 214 65 and older 53% 29% 12% 7% 131 Gender of Women 50% 32% 12% 6% 339 Respondent Men 42% 31% 17% 9% 332 Age & Gender Women, 18-34 42% 31% 19% 8% 78 Men, 18-34 37% 28% 25% 10% 88 Women, 35-49 49% 31% 12% 8% 53 Men, 35-49 36% 41% 11% 12% 81 Women, 50-64 55% 34% 7% 3% 113 Men, 50-64 49% 26% 18% 7% 102 Women, 65 and older 51% 31% 13% 6% 83 Men, 65 and older 56% 25% 11% 9% 49 Education & Women, no college degree 47% 35% 12% 6% 223 Gender Women, college degree or more 55% 27% 13% 5% 114 Men, no college degree 38% 33% 19% 11% 220 Men, college degree or more 50% 27% 16% 7% 109 Level of High school or less 41% 37% 15% 7% 186 Education Technical school/Some college 44% 32% 15% 9% 257 College graduate 49% 27% 16% 8% 144 Postgraduate work 60% 27% 10% 4% 80 Decided on Definitely Decided 61% 31% 6% 2% 170 Vote Leaning Towards Someone 60% 25% 15% 72 Still Trying To Decide 42% 43% 12% 3% 95 Region of Central / Lakes 43% 39% 12% 6% 116 State Connecticut Valley 46% 30% 12% 12% 82 Manchester Area 48% 32% 15% 5% 117 Mass Border 48% 28% 16% 7% 171 North Country 53% 30% 10% 8% 70 Seacoast 41% 31% 20% 8% 116 Likelihood of Vo ng in 2020 Presiden al Primary

Will vote in Definitely vote May vote in Probably not Primary unless Unsure N in Primary Primary vote in Primary emergency STATEWIDE 74% 12% 6% 4% 4% 671

Registered to Reg. Democrat 79% 11% 3% 1% 6% 200 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 69% 16% 7% 3% 4% 279 Reg. Republican 75% 7% 7% 7% 3% 187 Party ID Democrat 77% 13% 5% 1% 3% 305 Independent 65% 16% 6% 7% 6% 99 Republican 73% 10% 7% 6% 5% 255 Ideology Liberal 78% 15% 5% 0% 2% 159 Moderate 73% 15% 7% 2% 3% 279 Conservative 73% 6% 6% 8% 7% 185 Age of 18 to 34 64% 16% 11% 5% 4% 166 Respondent 35 to 49 69% 15% 8% 6% 1% 134 50 to 64 81% 10% 2% 2% 5% 214 65 and older 80% 7% 4% 3% 5% 131 Gender of Women 73% 14% 5% 3% 5% 339 Respondent Men 75% 10% 7% 5% 3% 332 Age & Gender Women, 18-34 58% 20% 11% 7% 5% 78 Men, 18-34 69% 12% 12% 4% 3% 88 Women, 35-49 71% 25% 2% 2% 53 Men, 35-49 67% 9% 14% 9% 1% 81 Women, 50-64 82% 8% 3% 2% 5% 112 Men, 50-64 79% 11% 2% 3% 5% 102 Women, 65 and older 77% 9% 5% 3% 6% 83 Men, 65 and older 85% 4% 3% 3% 4% 49 Education & Women, no college degree 73% 14% 4% 3% 6% 223 Gender Women, college degree or more 74% 15% 6% 3% 3% 114 Men, no college degree 75% 8% 9% 4% 4% 220 Men, college degree or more 74% 13% 4% 5% 3% 109 Level of High school or less 73% 7% 8% 4% 8% 186 Education Technical school/Some college 74% 14% 6% 3% 2% 257 College graduate 73% 14% 6% 3% 4% 144 Postgraduate work 75% 14% 3% 6% 2% 79 Decided on Definitely Decided 91% 9% 170 Vote Leaning Towards Someone 90% 10% 72 Still Trying To Decide 73% 27% 95 Region of Central / Lakes 73% 12% 5% 5% 5% 116 State Connecticut Valley 71% 6% 9% 5% 9% 82 Manchester Area 75% 13% 7% 4% 2% 117 Mass Border 73% 13% 7% 4% 4% 170 North Country 78% 15% 3% 3% 70 Seacoast 74% 12% 7% 3% 3% 116