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Ipsos Poll Conducted for Thomson Reuters Core Political Data Ipsos Poll Conducted for Thomson Reuters Core Political Data AUGUST 7, 2019 © 2019 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos. © 2019 Ipsos 1 IPSOS POLL CONDUCTED FOR REUTERS Core Political Data These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for date August 1-5, 2019 For the survey, a sample of including ages 2,129 1,795 807 772 140 Registered Democratic Republican Independent 18+ Americans Voters Registered Registered Registered Voters Voters Voters were interviewed online © 2019 Ipsos 2 IPSOS POLL CONDUCTED FOR REUTERS Core Political Data The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus the following percentage points 2.4 2.6 3.9 4.0 9.4 All Adults All Registered Democratic Republican Independent Voters Registered Voters Registered Voters Registered Voters For more information about credibility intervals, please see the appendix. © 2019 Ipsos 3 IPSOS POLL CONDUCTED FOR REUTERS Core Political Data • The data were weighted to the U.S. current population data by: – Gender – Age – Education – Ethnicity – Region • Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls. • All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. • Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of one per cent. • Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding. • To see more information on this and other Reuters/Ipsos polls, please visit: http://polling.reuters.com/ © 2019 Ipsos 4 ALL ADULT AMERICANS Right Direction/Wrong Track Generally speaking, would you say things in this country are heading in the right direction, or are they off on the wrong track? 10% 12% 9% 6% 31% 33% All Democratic Right Direction All Adults Registered Registered Voters Voters Wrong Track 57% 58% 84% Don’t know 10% 16% 18% Republican 27% Independent Registered Registered Voters 64% Voters 66% © 2019 Ipsos 5 ALL ADULT AMERICANS Most Important Problem Facing America In your opinion, what is the most important problem facing the U.S. today? Democratic Republican Independent All Adults All Registered Voters Registered Voters Registered Voters Registered Voters Economy generally 10% 9% 11% 8% 10% Unemployment / lack of jobs 5% 4% 5% 2% 6% War / foreign conflicts 3% 3% 4% 2% 3% Immigration 20% 22% 8% 41% 10% Terrorism / terrorist attacks 7% 7% 4% 9% 8% Healthcare 18% 19% 25% 12% 24% Energy issues 1% 1% 2% 1% 0% Morality 7% 7% 6% 8% 8% Education 5% 4% 5% 4% 6% Crime 5% 5% 6% 4% 5% Environment 7% 7% 12% 2% 5% Other 9% 10% 12% 6% 13% Don’t know 4% 2% 1% 1% 2% © 2019 Ipsos 6 ALL ADULT AMERICANS Most Important Problem Facing America Economy generally In your opinion, what is the most important problem facing the U.S. today? Unemployment / jobs 45% Healthcare 40% Terrorism 35% Immigration 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 © 2019 Ipsos 7 ALL ADULT AMERICANS Donald Trump’s Approval Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as President? Is that strongly (approve/disapprove) or somewhat (approve/disapprove)? (Asked of those who selected “approve” or “disapprove”) Q2b. If you had to choose, do you lean more towards approve or disapprove? (Asked of those who selected “don’t know”) Democratic Republican Independent All Adults Registered Voters Registered Voters Registered Voters Registered Voters Strongly approve 22% 24% 3% 51% 8% Somewhat approve 18% 18% 5% 33% 20% Lean towards approve 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% Lean towards disapprove 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% Somewhat disapprove 10% 9% 11% 6% 14% Strongly disapprove 42% 44% 78% 5% 47% Not sure 5% 3% 2% 1% 6% TOTAL APPROVE 41% 43% 9% 86% 31% TOTAL DISAPPROVE 54% 54% 90% 12% 63% © 2019 Ipsos 8 Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as President? job as his handling is Donald Trump way of the or disapprove approve you do Overall, Approval Weekly Trump’s Donald AMERICANS ADULT ALL 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% © 2019 Ipsos 2019 © 0% Jan 20-24, 2017 Feb 3-7, 2017 Feb 17-21, 2017 March 3-7, 2017 March 17-21, 2017 March 31-April 4, 2017 April 21-25, 2017 May 5-9, 2017 May 19-23, 2017 June 2-6, 2017 June 16-20, 2017 June 30-July 4, 2017 July 14-18, 2017 July 28- Aug 1,2017 Aug 11-15, 2017 Aug 25-29, 2017 Sept 8-12, 2017 Sept 22-26, 2017 Oct 6-10, 2017 Oct 20-24,2017 Nov 3-7, 2017 Nov 17-21, 2017 Dec 1-5, 2017 Dec 15-19, 2017 Dec 29, 2017 - Jan 2, 2018 Jan 12-16, 2018 Jan 26-30, 2018 Feb 9-13, 2018 February 23-27, 2018 March 9-13, 2018 March 23-27, 2018 April 6-10, 2018 April 20 - 24, 2018 May 4-8, 2018 May 18-22, 2018 June 1-5, 2018 June 15-19, 2018 June 28-July 2, 2018 July 13-17, 2018 July 27-31, 2018 August 8-14, 2018 August 22-28, 2018 Sept 5-11, 2018 Sept 19-25,2018 October 3-9, 2018 October 17-23, 2018 November 7-13, 2018 November 21-27, 2018 December 5-11, 2018 December 19-25, 2018 January 2-8, 2019 January 16-22, 2019 Jan 30-Feb 5, 2019 February 20-26, 2019 March 6 - 12, 2019 March 20 -26, 2019 April 5-9, 2019 April 17-23, 2019 May 6-7, 2019 May 17-20, 2019 May 29-June 5, 2019 June 17-18, 2019 June 28-July 2, 2019 July 15-16, 2019 54% July 29-30, 2019 41% 9 FAMILIARITY & FAVORABILITY AMONG DEMOCRATIC REGISTERED VOTERS 2020 Democratic Presidential Candidates How familiar are you with the following public figures, taking into account all the ways you may have heard about them? Would you say you are generally favorable or unfavorable towards these public figures? (Asked only of those aware of the individual people in the previous question) 90% Familiarity Favorability 82% 88% 71% 80% 82% 71% 71% 72% 71% 58% 69% 64% 63% 61% 61% 48% 62% 54% 52% 50% 55% 50% 52% 49% 52% 49% 51% 39% 46% 42% 45% 34% 37% 38% 29% 26% 25% 24% 26% 21% 19% 20% 22% 20% 9% 14% 13% FAMILIARITY AMONG DEMOCRATIC REGISTERED VOTERS Familiarity Trend How familiar are you with the following public figures, taking into account all the ways you may have heard about them? 100% Joe Biden Kamala Harris Elizabeth Warren Bernie Sanders Pete Buttigieg 91% 89% 90% 90% 89% 88% 89% 88% 88% 80% 72% 70% 70% 71% 67% 63% 63% 64% 60% 58% 50% 46% 43% 44% 40% 41% 30% May 2019 June 2019 July 2019 August 2019 FAVORABILITY AMONG DEMOCRATIC REGISTERED VOTERS Favorability Trend Would you say you are generally favorable or unfavorable towards these public figures? (Asked only of those aware of the individual people in the previous question) 95% Joe Biden Kamala Harris Elizabeth Warren Bernie Sanders Pete Buttigieg 90% 89% 87% 85% 82% 82% 82% 83% 83% 81% 81%82% 82% 80% 79% 80% 78% 79% 75% 76% 72% 70% 70% 71% 65% May 2019 June 2019 July 2019 August 2019 FAMILIARITY & FAVORABILITY AMONG ALL AMERICANS 2020 Democratic Presidential Candidates How familiar are you with the following public figures, taking into account all the ways you may have heard about them? Would you say you are generally favorable or unfavorable towards these public figures? (Asked only of those aware of the individual people in the previous question) Familiarity Favorability 79% 77% 58% 59% 48% 49% 52% 54% 52% 50% 49% 49% 46% 50% 42% 46% 45% 45% 44% 34% 40% 44% 43% 45% 41% 44% 43% 42% 39% 40% 40% 37% 31% 33% 30% 27% 22% 18% 24% 23% 19% 17% 17% 20% 18% 18% 9% 12% 11% 12% FAMILIARITY AMONG ALL AMERICANS Familiarity Trend How familiar are you with the following public figures, taking into account all the ways you may have heard about them? 90% Joe Biden Kamala Harris Elizabeth Warren Bernie Sanders Pete Buttigieg 82% 80% 80% 79% 80% 80% 78% 78% 77% 70% 60% 60% 58% 59% 59% 50% 50% 47% 48% 45% 40% 32% 34% 30% 31% 32% 20% May 2019 June 2019 July 2019 August 2019 FAVORABILITY AMONG ALL AMERICANS Favorability Trend Would you say you are generally favorable or unfavorable towards these public figures? (Asked only of those aware of the individual people in the previous question) 70% Joe Biden Kamala Harris Elizabeth Warren Bernie Sanders Pete Buttigieg 65% 62% 60% 59% 58% 57% 55% 55% 54% 54% 54% 52% 53% 51% 51% 52% 50% 50% 50% 49% 49% 47% 45% 40% May 2019 June 2019 July 2019 August 2019 DEMOCRATIC REGISTERED VOTERS 2020 Democratic Primary Horserace If the 2020 Democratic presidential primary election were held today, and you had to choose from the list of candidates below, for whom would you vote? 28% 23% 12% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% DEMOCRATIC REGISTERED VOTERS 2020 Democratic Primary Horserace - Trend If the 2020 Democratic presidential primary election were held today, and you had to choose from the list of candidates below, for whom would you vote? 40% Joe Biden Kamala Harris Elizabeth Warren Bernie Sanders Pete Buttigieg 35% 36% 36% 30% 28% 28% 25% 23% 20% 18% 15% 15% 16% 13% 12% 10% 11% 9%8% 8% 7% 5% 5% 5% 4% 5% 0% May 2019 June 2019 July 2019 August 2019 DEMOCRATIC, INDEPENDENT, & OTHER REGISTERED VOTERS 2020 Democratic Primary Horserace If the 2020 Democratic presidential primary election were held today, and you had to choose from the list of candidates below, for whom would you vote? 25% 20% 15% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% DEMOCRATIC, INDEPENDENT, & OTHER REGISTERED VOTERS 2020 Democratic Primary Horserace - Trend If the 2020 Democratic presidential primary election were held today, and you had to choose from the list of candidates below, for
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