CNN 2020 NH Primary Poll

February 9, 2020

SANDERS'S LEAD OVER BUTTIGIEG IN NH HOLDING STEADY; BIDEN AND WARREN TRAIL By: Sean P. McKinley, M.A. [email protected] Zachary S. Azem, M.A. 603-862-2226 Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D. cola.unh.edu/unh-survey-center DURHAM, NH – With three days of campaigning le before the votes are counted in , Senator maintains a slim lead over former South Bend (IN) Mayor Pete Bu gieg among likely Democra c voters. Former Vice President and Massachuse s Senator con nue to trail, with Senator , Hawaii Congresswoman , and entrepreneur further back. Klobuchar has experienced a slight up ck in support since the last polling period and now sits in fi h place. Sanders con nues to hold a sizeable lead among self-described liberal likely Democra c voters while Bu gieg leads among moderates and conserva ves.

These findings are based on the latest CNN 2020 New Hampshire Primary Poll*, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Seven hundred sixty-five (765) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed in English by landline and cellular telephone between February 5 and February 8, 2020. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 3.5 percent. Included in the sample were 384 likely 2020 Democra c Primary voters (margin of sampling error +/- 5.0 percent) and 227 likely 2020 Republican Primary voters (margin of sampling error +/- 6.5 percent). Trend points prior to July 2019 reflect results from the Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.

2020 Democra c Primary

Fi y-three percent of likely Democra c primary voters say they have definitely decided whom they will support in the upcoming New Hampshire presiden al primary, largely unchanged compared to the period from February 4-7. Twenty-eight percent say they are leaning towards someone, while 19% say they are s ll trying to decide. Among likely Democra c primary voters, 57% of registered Democrats say they have definitely decided while slightly fewer voters registered as undeclared (48%) feel this way.

Definitely Decided on Candidate - Democra c Primary Voters - October 2017 to February 5-8, 2020

100% 94% 91% 85% 87% 80% 77% 78%

60% 64% 57% 51% 49% 53%

40%

23% 31% 28% 20% 30% 20% 14% 19% 13% 21% 20% 10% 19% 8% 16% 5% 9% 0% 4% 5% 8% 5% Oct 2017 Feb 2018 Apr 2018 Aug 2018 Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 Feb 5-8 2020 2020

Definitely Decided Leaning Towards Someone Still Trying To Decide

* We ask that this copyrighted informa on be referred to as the CNN 2020 New Hampshire Primary Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. If the 2020 New Hampshire Democra c primary were held today, 28% of likely primary voters say they would vote for Sanders, 21% would vote for Bu gieg, 12% would vote for Biden, and 9% would vote for Warren. Six percent say they would vote for Klobuchar, 5% would vote for Gabbard, 4% would vote for Yang, 2% would vote for businessman , 1% would vote for former New York Mayor , and 1% would vote for another candidate. Eleven percent of likely Democra c primary voters say they are undecided.

Preferred Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate - February 5-8, 2020

Bernie Sanders 28%

Pete Buttigieg 21%

Joe Biden 12%

Elizabeth Warren 9%

Amy Klobuchar 6%

Tulsi Gabbard 5%

Andrew Yang 4%

Tom Steyer 2%

Michael Bloomberg 1%

Other 1%

Undecided 11%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%

Preferred Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate - October 2017 to February 5-8, 2020

40% Bernie Sanders 35% 35% Joe Biden 31% 31% 30% 30% Elizabeth Warren 30% 28% Tulsi Gabbard 26% 28% 29% Amy Klobuchar 24% 25% 25% Andrew Yang 24% 24% 21% 21% Tom Steyer 19% 19% 21% 20% Michael Bloomberg 22% 18% 18% 19% 16% 15% 14% 15% 15% 17% 15% Undecided 13% 11% 15% 10% 12% 12% 12% 12% 10% 10% 11% 12% 10% 10% 9% 7% 9% 6% 9% 6% 8% 6% 5% 5% 4% 2% 4% 1% 3% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1%1% 2% 1% 1% 0%0% 0% 0% 0 0 8 9 0 8 9 8 9 7 9 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

l 7 8 r r t t b b n g - - u c c p p e e a u 4 5 J

J O O A A F F A b b e e F F Because Michael Bloomberg is not running in the New Hampshire primary, his name was not included in the list of candidates who were read aloud. However, responses from those who volunteered Bloomberg as their choice are included. Michael Bennet and Deval Patrick were included in the read list of candidates but did not receive support from any respondents. Support for Klobuchar has increased very slightly compared to the period from February 4-7, but overall, responses to this ques on are largely unchanged.

Change in Preferred Democra c Candidate from February 4-7 to February 5-8, 2020

Amy Klobuchar 0.9%

Bernie Sanders 0.6%

Joe Biden 0.4%

Andrew Yang 0.4%

Tulsi Gabbard -0.2%

Pete Buttigieg -0.3%

Michael Bloomberg -0.5%

Elizabeth Warren -0.5%

Tom Steyer -0.6%

-5% -4% -3% -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10%

Among likely Democra c voters who are self-described liberals, 46% support Sanders, 20% support Bu gieg, 13% support Warren, 5% support Biden, and 4% support Klobuchar.

Among self-described moderates and conserva ves, 23% support Bu gieg, 16% support Biden, 15% support Sanders, and 8% each support Gabbard or Klobuchar. Bu gieg remains the favorite candidate of this group.

Preferred Democra c Candidate by Ideology - February 5-8, 2020

Bernie Sanders 46% (-4%)

Pete Buttigieg 20% (1%)

Elizabeth Warren 13% (-2%)

Joe Biden 5% (0%)

Liberal Amy Klobuchar 4% (2%)

Andrew Yang 1% (0%)

Tulsi Gabbard 1% (1%)

Michael Bloomberg 0% (0%)

Tom Steyer 0% (0%)

Pete Buttigieg 23% (-1%)

Joe Biden 16% (1%)

Bernie Sanders 15% (2%)

Tulsi Gabbard 8% (0%) Moderate or Amy Klobuchar 8% (1%) Conservative Andrew Yang 5% (1%)

Elizabeth Warren 5% (0%)

Tom Steyer 4% (-1%)

Michael Bloomberg 2% (-1%)

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65% Support for Sanders con nues to be highly concentrated among younger voters, par cularly female voters under the age of thirty-five, 64% of whom support Sanders. Sanders also enjoys robust support and leads the field among men aged thirty-five to forty-nine. Support for Sanders is slightly higher compared to the period from February 4-7 among women under thirty-five (+5) and men aged thirty-five to forty-nine (+5) while support among men under thirty-five has slightly decreased (-5).

Bu gieg's support con nues to be more balanced; he leads the field among women aged fi y to sixty-four and is virtually ed among all voters aged sixty-five and older but remains a very distant second to Sanders among men and par cularly women under thirty-five and has lost ground among women sixty-five and older.

Support for Biden (+5) has slightly increased compared to the period from February 4-7 among men under thirty-five, but Biden's support remains largely concentrated among men and women sixty-five and older. Klobuchar is now third among women between fi y and sixty-four and women sixty-five and older, having increased her share of the vote among the la er group by 6 percentage points since the February 4-7 period.

Preferred Democra c Candidate by Gender and Age - February 5-8, 2020

Women Men

Bernie Sanders 64% (5%) 39% (-5%)

Pete Buttigieg 11% (1%) 18% (-3%) 18 to 34 Elizabeth Warren 11% (-2%) 9% (0%)

Joe Biden 5% (-6%) 15% (5%)

Bernie Sanders 28% (0%) 44% (5%)

Pete Buttigieg 24% (-1%) 23% (2%)

35 to 49 Elizabeth Warren 17% (0%) 7% (-4%)

Joe Biden 7% (1%) 4% (-1%)

Amy Klobuchar 7% (1%)

Pete Buttigieg 25% (3%) 22% (4%)

Bernie Sanders 13% (1%) 24% (1%)

50 to 64 Amy Klobuchar 11% (2%) 7% (-1%)

Joe Biden 9% (0%) 10% (0%)

Elizabeth Warren 6% (0%) 5% (1%)

Joe Biden 23% (1%) 24% (5%)

Pete Buttigieg 21% (-8%) 24% (0%)

65 and older Bernie Sanders 12% (-1%) 8% (2%)

Amy Klobuchar 14% (6%) 5% (-3%)

Elizabeth Warren 7% (0%) 9% (0%)

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Sanders con nues to lead Bu gieg among men and women without a college degree, though the gap has narrowed slightly compared to the period from February 4-7 among men without a college degree. Biden has gained slightly (+4) among men without a college degree, but has declined by the same amount among women with a college degree, while Klobuchar (+4) has seen her share of the vote among women with a college degree increase.

Preferred Democra c Candidate by Educa on and Gender - February 5-8, 2020

Women Men No College Bernie Sanders 32% (2%) 31% (-3%) Degree Pete Buttigieg 18% (-1%) 21% (2%) Joe Biden 14% (0%) 13% (4%) Elizabeth Warren 7% (0%) 7% (0%) Amy Klobuchar 7% (1%) 0% (-1%) College Pete Buttigieg 25% (-1%) 22% (-1%) Degree or Bernie Sanders 19% (1%) 28% (2%) More Elizabeth Warren 15% (-1%) 9% (-2%) Joe Biden 7% (-4%) 12% (0%) Amy Klobuchar 11% (4%) 7% (1%)

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Warren con nues to be the candidate with the most support if the respondent's preferred candidate were not on the ballot. Twenty-one percent say they would support Warren as their second choice, 16% would support Bu gieg, 14% would support Sanders, 10% would support Biden, 9% would support Klobuchar, and 7% would support Yang. Five percent or less say their second choice would be Gabbard (5%), Steyer (3%), Bloomberg (2%), Colorado Senator Michael Bennet (1%), former Massachuse s Governor Deval Patrick (1%), or someone else (1%) as their second choice. Five percent say they don't have a second choice while 6% are undecided.

Second Choice for Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on - February 2019 to February 5-8, 2020

Feb 5-8 2020

25%

22% 22% 22% % 1

20% 20% 2 20% 21% 20% 19% 18% 17% % 6

18% 16% 1 15% 16% %

15% 4 1 13% 14% 14% 12% 12% 12% 13% % 0 1

10% 10% %

10% 9 10% 10% 10% 9% %

8% 7 6% 7% 6% 7% 7% % 6 % 6% % 6% 5 5% 5% 5 4% 5% 5% % 3% 4% 2% 3% 3 % 2% 2% 2% % 2 % 1 % 1 0% 1% 1% 1 Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020 Feb 5-8 2020

Elizabeth Warren Joe Biden Tulsi Gabbard Michael Bennet Undecided Pete Buttigieg Amy Klobuchar Tom Steyer Deval Patrick No Second Choice Bernie Sanders Andrew Yang Michael Bloomberg Other A plurality of Sanders supporters (41%) con nue to say Warren is their second choice, while 17% would support Bu gieg and 7% would support Biden. Supporters of the other top candidates are more divided in their second choice. Among Bu gieg supporters, 22% pick Biden as their second choice, 21% select Sanders, 19% pick Warren, and 17% pick Klobuchar.

Among Biden supporters, 26% pick Bu gieg as their second choice, 14% each select Sanders or Klobuchar, and 13% pick Warren. In January, nearly half of Warren supporters selected Sanders as their second choice, but now 28% select Bu gieg and 24% select Klobuchar as their second choice and only 21% choose Sanders.

Second Choice for Democra c 2020 Nomina on by First Choice - February 5-8, 2020

Elizabeth Warren 41% (-3%)

Bernie Pete Buttigieg 17% (2%) Sanders Joe Biden 7% (-1%) Amy Klobuchar 1% (0%) Joe Biden 22% (-3%)

Pete Bernie Sanders 21% (5%) Buttigieg Elizabeth Warren 19% (-2%) Amy Klobuchar 17% (0%) Pete Buttigieg 26% (-1%) Bernie Sanders 14% (0%) Joe Biden Amy Klobuchar 14% (2%) Elizabeth Warren 13% (-3%) Pete Buttigieg 28% (4%)

Elizabeth Amy Klobuchar 24% (1%) Warren Bernie Sanders 21% (-1%) Joe Biden 9% (-1%)

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%

Nearly three-quarters of Biden supporters say they have definitely decided whom they will vote for. Two-thirds of Sanders supporters (67%) feel the same way about their candidate, 62% of Steyer supporters have definitely decided, and 57% of Klobuchar supporters have done so. About half of Bu gieg (52%), Warren (50%), Gabbard (46%), and Yang (45%) supporters say they have definitely decided, while only 34% of Bloomberg supporters feel that way about their vote.

Defini veness of Decisions by Preferred Candidate - February 5-8, 2020

Joe Biden 73% 17% 9%

Bernie Sanders 67% 26% 7%

Tom Steyer 62% 19% 19%

Amy Klobuchar 57% 23% 21%

Pete Buttigieg 52% 16% 31%

Elizabeth Warren 50% 26% 24%

Tulsi Gabbard 46% 25% 29%

Andrew Yang 45% 40% 15%

Michael Bloomberg 34% 66%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Definitely Decided Leaning Towards Someone Still Trying To Decide When asked which candidate they would not support under any circumstances, 24% of likely Democra c voters say that all of the candidates are acceptable to them. Eighteen percent say that they would not under any circumstances vote for Biden, 16% would not vote for Warren, and 10% each would not vote for Gabbard or Sanders. Fewer likely voters say they would not vote for Steyer (4%), Bu gieg (3%), Patrick (2%), Bennet (2%), Klobuchar (1%), Yang (1%), Bloomberg (1%), or another candidate (1%). Nine percent don't know or are unsure whom they wouldn't vote for under any circumstances.

Responses to this ques on are largely unchanged compared to the period from February 4-7.

Would Not Vote For Candidate Under Any Circumstances - February 2019 to February 5-8, 2020

Feb 5-8 2020

27%

25%

25% %

25% 4 24% 2 24%

20% % 8 17% 18% 1 %

18% 6 16% 1 15% 14% 14% 16% 15% 13%

13% 11% 11% % % 0 0 1 1

10% % 8% 11% 11% 10% 9 9% 10% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 4% % % 4% 4 5% 3% 3 2% % 2%4% 3% %

3% 2% % % 2

1% 2 % 1 1 %

0% 1

0% 1 0% 1% 1% Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 Feb 5-8 2020 2020

Joe Biden Tom Steyer Amy Klobuchar None All Are Ok Elizabeth Warren Pete Buttigieg Andrew Yang Don't Know/Not Sure Tulsi Gabbard Deval Patrick Michael Bloomberg Bernie Sanders Michael Bennet Other

Change in Candidate Would Not Vote For Under Any Circumstances from February 4-7 to February 5-8, 2020

Pete Buttigieg 0.8% Joe Biden 0.5% Amy Klobuchar 0.3% Michael Bennet 0.3% Tom Steyer 0.3% Tulsi Gabbard 0.3% Andrew Yang 0.2% Michael Bloomberg 0.0% Elizabeth Warren -0.1% None All Are Ok -0.2% Deval Patrick -0.3% Bernie Sanders -1.3%

-5% -4% -3% -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% Voters' Predicted Winner of NH Primary

More than half (57%) of likely Democra c New Hampshire primary voters think that Sanders is most likely to win the New Hampshire primary, a significant increase since January (39%) but unchanged compared to the period from February 4-7. Eleven percent think that Bu gieg will win the primary, 9% think Biden is most likely to win, down from 22% in January, and 5% think that Warren will win. One percent or less believe that Steyer (1%), Klobuchar (1%), Gabbard (1%), Yang (<1%), or Bloomberg (<1%) is most likely to win the primary, while 14% are unsure who is most likely to win.

Candidate Most Likely to Win the New Hampshire Primary - January 2020 to February 5-8, 2020

Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020 Feb 5-8 2020

Bernie Sanders 39% 56% 57%

Pete Buttigieg 7% 11% 11%

Joe Biden 22% 10% 9%

Elizabeth Warren 12% 6% 5%

Tom Steyer 1% 1% 1%

Amy Klobuchar 1% 1% 1%

Tulsi Gabbard 1% 1% 1%

Andrew Yang 1% 1% 0%

Michael Bloomberg 0% 0% 0%

Other 1%

Undecided 15% 12% 14%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

Sanders supporters remain confident that he will win the New Hampshire primary; 85% of Sanders supporters believe he is most likely to win, largely unchanged compared to the period from February 4-7 but slightly higher than in January (72%). Thirty-six percent of Biden supporters believe he will win the primary, down from 40% in the February 4-7 period and 53% in January. Fewer Bu gieg (28%), Gabbard (19%), Steyer (18%), Klobuchar (15%), or Warren (12%), supporters believe their preferred candidate will win the primary.

Believe Preferred Candidate Most Likely to Win the New Hampshire Primary - January 2020 to February 5-8, 2020

Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020 Feb 5-8 2020

Bernie Sanders 72% 83% 85%

Joe Biden 53% 40% 36%

Pete Buttigieg 31% 29% 28%

Tulsi Gabbard 12% 18% 19%

Tom Steyer 19% 16% 18%

Amy Klobuchar 7% 15% 15%

Elizabeth Warren 35% 15% 12%

Andrew Yang 7% 11%

Michael Bloomberg 13%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Twenty-nine percent of likely Democra c New Hampshire primary voters think that Sanders has the best chance to win the general elec on in November, while 23% think Biden has the best chance to win the general elec on. Biden had held a clear lead on this ques on since July 2019 but is seven percentage points behind Sanders. Fourteen percent meanwhile believe Bu gieg has the best chance.

Fewer likely voters think that Warren (5%), Bloomberg (3%), Klobuchar (2%), Gabbard (2%), Yang (1%), Steyer (1%), or someone else (1%) is most likely to win the general elec on, while 19% don't know or are unsure.

Candidate With Best Chance to Win General Elec on - February 2019 to February 5-8, 2020

Feb 5-8 2020 50%

45% 45%

41% 40%

35% 36% 32%

30% %

29% 9

30% 2 29% 29% %

25% 3 25% 25% 23% 2 20% 22% % 20% 9 1 20% 19% 16% 17%

18% % 4

14% 1 15% 16% 15% 14% 14%

10% 8% 9%

6% 5% % 5% 5 3% 5% % %

4% 3 %

2% 2 % % 2 % 2% 1 1 0% 1% 1 Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020 Feb 5-8 2020

Bernie Sanders Elizabeth Warren Tulsi Gabbard Someone else Joe Biden Michael Bloomberg Andrew Yang Don't Know/Not Sure Pete Buttigieg Amy Klobuchar Tom Steyer

The vast majority of Biden (92%) supporters believe their candidate has the best chance to win the general elec on, while 71% of Sanders supporters feel the same way. Less than half of Warren (46%), Bu gieg (43%), and Klobuchar (36%) supporters believe their candidate has the best chance of winning the general elec on. Republican 2020 Presiden al Nomina on

Support for primary challengers to President Trump in the New Hampshire Republican primary remains very low. The overwhelming majority of Republican primary voters (91%) say they would vote for if the primary were held today, 5% would support former Massachuse s Governor William Weld, 2% would support another candidate, and 2% don't know or are undecided. Results are nearly iden cal to those during the February 4-7 period and also closely mirror results in January and in July and October 2019.

Preferred Republican 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate - February 2019 to February 5-8, 2020

Feb 5-8 2020 100.. 90% 91% 91% 86% 91%

80% 86%

76% 68%

60%

40%

20% 17% 10% 12% 7% 4% 4% 5% 5% 2% 2% 0% 3% 5% 5% Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020 Feb 5-8 2020

Donald Trump Joe Walsh Larry Hogan Other William Weld John Kasich DK/Undecided

Four in five likely Republican New Hampshire primary voters (81%) have definitely decided whom they will support in the upcoming presiden al primary. Five percent are leaning toward someone while 14% are s ll trying to decide. The propor on of respondents who say they have definitely decided con nues to increase as the primary nears.

Definitely Decided on Candidate - Republican Primary Voters - October 2017 to February 5-8, 2020

100%

78% 80% 77% 81% 73% 68% 68%

60% 63% 53% 61% 57% 50%

40% 34% 43% 30% 35% 28% 22% 23% 19% 20% 16% 12% 12% 18% 10% 10% 14% 8% 6% 5% 10% 0% 8% 8% 5% Oct 2017 Feb 2018 Apr 2018 Aug 2018 Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 Feb 5-8 2020 2020

Definitely Decided Leaning Towards Someone Still Trying To Decide

Joe Walsh, who suspended his campaign on February 7, was included in the list of Republican candidates for completed surveys from February 5 to February 7, but did not receive support from any respondents. With the primary only two days away, the percentage of Granite Staters who say they are extremely interested in it (45%) is largely unchanged since January (45%). Thirty-five percent, the highest propor on saying so this primary cycle, say they are very interested, 13% are somewhat interested, and only 8% say they are not very interested.

Interest in 2020 NH Presiden al Primary - October 2017 to February 5-8, 2020

60% 60% 55% 54%

50% 49% 48% 48% 47% 45% 44% 45% 43%

40% 35% 34% 32%

30% 28% 28% 29% 27% 26% 24% 24%

20% 21% 20% 18% 17% 16% 15% 14% 13% 14% 13% 12% 13% 11% 9% 10% 8% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 8% 4%

0% Oct 2017 Feb 2018 Apr 2018 Aug 2018 Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 Feb 5-8 2020 2020

Extremely Interested Very Interested Somewhat Interested Not Very Interested

Likely Democra c primary voters (53%) are only slightly more likely to describe themselves as extremely interested than likely Republican primary voters (50%), while 32% of those who are likely to vote but are undecided on which primary in which they will vote say they are extremely interested.

In the run-up to the 2016 presiden al elec on, likely Republican primary voters were slightly more likely to say they were extremely interested than Democra c voters and likely voters who were undecided on which primary they would vote in. Seventy-four percent of New Hampshire residents say they will definitely vote in the primary, while 11% say they will vote unless there is an emergency. Five percent say they may vote, 5% probably will not vote, and 4% are unsure. Responses to this ques on are largely unchanged over the past year.

Likelihood of Vo ng in Primary - October 2017 to February 5-8, 2020

100%

82% 80% 76% 76% 74% 4% 78% 5% 74% 75% 74% 5% 71% 72% 72% 60% 11%

40%

74%

20% 14% 13% 12% 11% 10% 10% 11% 9% 9% 7% 8% 5% 5% 0% 5% 5% 8 9 8 9 7 8 7 9 8 9 0 0 0 - - 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 Feb 5-8 2020 4 5

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 b b 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

e e l r r t t b b n g F F u c c p p e e a u J J O O A A F F A

Definitely vote in Primary Probably not vote in Primary Will vote in Primary unless emergency Unsure May vote in Primary

About the same percentage of likely Republican (90%) and likely Democra c voters (86%) say that they will definitely vote in the primary.

Will Definitely Vote in Primary - By Likely Primary Par cipa on - February 2015 to February 5-8, 2020

100% 92% 92% 90% 89% 88% 90% 86% 91% 91% 81% 86% 81% 86% 80% 84% 83% 78% 79% 73%

60%

40%

20%

0% Feb 2015 May 2015 Jul 2015 Oct 2015 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020 Feb 5-8 2020

DEM Primary Voter GOP Primary Voter In New Hampshire, undeclared voters are allowed to choose whether to vote in the Democra c or Republican presiden al primary. Among this group, 68% say they plan to vote in the Democra c primary, 27% plan to vote in the Republican primary, and 4% don't know or are unsure. These results are largely unchanged compared to the February 4-7 period.

In the run-up to the 2016 presiden al elec on, featuring compe ve primaries for both par es, undeclared voters were nearly equally split on which primary they planned to par cipate in. In 2012, the last electoral cycle featuring a largely non-compe ve primary for one party, undeclared voters planned to par cipate in the Republican primary at about a similar rate as undeclared voters plan to par cipate in the Democra c primary this year.

Undeclared Voters' Choice of Primary - 2008 to 2020

Jan 5-6, 2008 Jan 5-8, 2012 Feb 4-8, 2016 Feb 4-7, 2020 Feb 5-8, 2020 100%

90%

80% 74% 71% 70% 68%

60% 60%

50% 47% 46%

40% 40%

30% 26% 27%

20% 17%

9% 10% 7% 4% 5% 0% 0%

Democrat Republican Unsure CNN 2020 NH Primary Poll

CNN 2020 New Hampshire Primary Poll These findings are based on the latest CNN 2020 New Hampshire Primary Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Seven hundred sixty-five (765) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed in English by landline and cellular telephone between February 5 and February 8, 2020. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 3.5 percent. Included in the sample were 384 likely 2020 Democra c Primary voters (margin of sampling error +/- 5.0 percent) and 227 likely 2020 Republican Primary voters (margin of sampling error +/- 6.5 percent). Trend points prior to July 2019 reflect results from the Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.

The random sample used in the CNN 2020 New Hampshire Primary Poll was purchased from Scien fic Telephone Samples (STS), Rancho Santo Margarita, CA. STS screens each selected telephone number to eliminate non-working numbers, disconnected numbers, and business numbers to improve the efficiency of the sample, reducing the amount of me interviewers spend calling non-usable numbers. When a landline number is reached, the interviewer randomly selects a member of the household by asking to speak with the adult currently living in the household who has had the most recent birthday. This selec on process ensures that every adult (18 years of age or older) in the household has an equal chance of being included in the survey.

The data have been weighted to adjust for numbers of adults and telephone lines within households. Addi onally, data were weighted by respondent sex, age, educa on, and region of the state to targets from the most recent American Community Survey (ACS) conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau. In addi on to poten al sampling error, all surveys have other poten al sources of non-sampling error including ques on order effects, ques on wording effects, and non-response. Due to rounding, percentages may not sum to 100%. The number of respondents in each demographic below may not equal the number reported in cross-tabula on tables as some respondents choose not to answer some ques ons.

For more informa on about the methodology used in the CNN 2020 New Hampshire Primary Poll, contact Dr. Andrew Smith at (603) 862-2226 or by email at [email protected].

CNN 2020 New Hampshire Primary Poll, February 5-8, 2020 Demographics

DEM Primary Voter GOP Primary Voter N % N % Gender of Female 218 57% 100 44% Respondent Male 166 43% 127 56% Age of Respondent 18 to 34 100 27% 40 18% 35 to 49 84 22% 33 15% 50 to 64 109 29% 101 46% 65 and older 83 22% 46 21% Level of Education High school or less 88 23% 75 33% Technical school/Some college 149 39% 81 36% College graduate 85 22% 51 23% Postgraduate work 58 15% 18 8% Ideology Conservative 26 7% 133 60% Liberal 147 42% 13 6% Moderate 180 51% 75 34% Region of State Central / Lakes 54 14% 47 21% Connecticut Valley 53 14% 26 11% Manchester Area 64 17% 41 18% Mass Border 77 20% 65 29% North Country 45 12% 24 11% Seacoast 91 24% 24 10% Registered to Vote Reg. Democrat 198 51% 74 33% Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 186 49% 153 67% Definitely Decided on Candidate - Democra c Primary Voters

Have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the New Hampshire primary, are you leaning toward someone, or have you considered some candidates but are s ll trying to decide?

Feb 4-7 Feb 5-8 Oct 2017 Feb 2018 Apr 2018 Aug 2018 Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 2020 2020 Definitely Decided 2% 5% 5% 8% 5% 9% 16% 23% 31% 51% 53% Leaning Towards Someone 4% 8% 4% 13% 10% 14% 20% 21% 20% 19% 19% Still Trying To Decide 94% 87% 91% 78% 85% 77% 64% 57% 49% 30% 28%

N 196 219 127 198 239 237 386 574 514 365 384 Preferred Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate

Now, I'm going to read you a list of some candidates who are running for the Democra c nomina on. If the Democra c primary for president were held today, which of the following would you support for the Democra c nomina on? (Candidates rotated)

Feb 4-7 Feb 5-8 Oct 2017 Feb 2018 Apr 2018 Aug 2018 Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 2020 2020 Bernie Sanders 31% 24% 31% 30% 26% 30% 19% 21% 25% 28% 28% Pete Buttigieg 1% 15% 10% 10% 15% 21% 21% Joe Biden 24% 35% 29% 19% 22% 18% 24% 15% 16% 11% 12% Elizabeth Warren 13% 15% 12% 17% 7% 5% 19% 18% 12% 9% 9% Amy Klobuchar 1% 0% 1% 4% 2% 0% 5% 6% 5% 6% Tulsi Gabbard 1% 1% 1% 5% 5% 6% 5% Andrew Yang 2% 1% 5% 5% 3% 4% Tom Steyer 0% 3% 2% 3% 2% Michael Bloomberg 1% 1% 2% 1% John Delaney 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% Michael Bennet 1% 0% 0% Deval Patrick 0% 1% 1% 6% 3% 10% 4% 9% 3% 6% 3% 4% 6% 3% 3% 2% 2% Beto O'Rourke 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 0% 0% 1% 2% 2% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% Tim Ryan 1% 0% 2% 0% 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% 0% 0% Joseph Kennedy III 4% 7% 2% Martin O'Malley 3% 1% 1% 1% Mark Zuckerberg 2% Other 5% 4% 1% 2% 3% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% Undecided 11% 15% 8% 12% 14% 12% 9% 10% 10% 11% 11%

N 211 223 129 204 237 237 383 570 514 364 382

Because Michael Bloomberg is not running in the New Hampshire primary, his name was not included in the list of candidates who were read aloud. However, responses from those who voluntered Bloomberg as their choice are included. Michael Bennet and Deval Patrick were included in the read list of candidates but did not receive support from any respondents. Second Choice for Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on

If that candidate were not running, who would be your second choice?

Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020 Feb 5-8 2020 Elizabeth Warren 10% 14% 22% 22% 20% 22% 21% Pete Buttigieg 1% 6% 6% 10% 16% 15% 16% Bernie Sanders 18% 20% 20% 17% 13% 13% 14% Joe Biden 18% 19% 12% 12% 10% 12% 10% Amy Klobuchar 2% 3% 1% 6% 7% 10% 9% Andrew Yang 1% 0% 4% 8% 7% 7% Tulsi Gabbard 2% 2% 4% 3% 5% 5% 5% Tom Steyer 0% 2% 6% 2% 3% Michael Bloomberg 1% 1% 1% 2% Michael Bennet 0% 1% 1% 1% Deval Patrick 2% 0% 1% John Delaney 1% 2% 1% 1% 0% Kamala Harris 14% 8% 15% 6% Cory Booker 9% 9% 2% 3% Beto O'Rourke 6% 3% 0% 1% Steve Bullock 0% 0% Julian Castro 0% 2% Kirsten Gillibrand 2% 1% 1% Tim Ryan 1% 0% Seth Moulton 0% John Hickenlooper 1% 0% 0% Marianne Williamson 0% Bill de Blasio 0% Jay Inslee 1% Eric Swalwell 1% Wayne Messam 0% Sherrod Brown 2% Other 1% 2% 1% 3% 1% 1% No Second Choice 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% Undecided 12% 6% 5% 6% 4% 5% 6%

N 196 193 348 510 460 325 342 Would Not Vote For Candidate Under Any Circumstances

Which of the candidates running for the Democra c nomina on would you not vote for under any circumstance?

Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020 Feb 5-8 2020 Joe Biden 3% 5% 14% 11% 11% 17% 18% Elizabeth Warren 13% 14% 8% 11% 12% 16% 16% Tulsi Gabbard 2% 2% 1% 5% 11% 9% 10% Bernie Sanders 8% 8% 6% 7% 13% 11% 10% Tom Steyer 0% 3% 4% 4% 4% Pete Buttigieg 1% 2% 1% 0% 1% 3% 3% Deval Patrick 2% 2% 2% Michael Bennet 1% 0% 1% 1% 2% Amy Klobuchar 1% 2% 1% 0% 2% 1% 1% Andrew Yang 0% 1% 4% 4% 1% 1% Michael Bloomberg 6% 2% 1% 1% John Delaney 0% 1% 1% 1% Marianne Williamson 4% 9% Beto O'Rourke 2% 3% 2% 4% Kamala Harris 3% 1% 2% 2% Julian Castro 1% 1% 1% 2% Cory Booker 3% 1% 1% 1% Joe Sestak 0% Steve Bullock 0% 0% Bill de Blasio 2% Kirsten Gillibrand 4% 3% 1% Tim Ryan 1% Jay Inslee 0% John Hickenlooper 0% 1% 0% Eric Swalwell 0% Other 4% 2% 0% 1% 1% None All Are Ok 15% 27% 25% 18% 25% 24% 24% Don't Know/Not Sure 35% 28% 30% 21% 11% 9% 9%

N 230 238 378 567 514 356 376 Candidate Most Likely to Win the New Hampshire Primary

Which Democra c candidate do you think will win the New Hampshire Primary?

Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020 Feb 5-8 2020 Bernie Sanders 39% 56% 57% Pete Buttigieg 7% 11% 11% Joe Biden 22% 10% 9% Elizabeth Warren 12% 6% 5% Tom Steyer 1% 1% 1% Amy Klobuchar 1% 1% 1% Tulsi Gabbard 1% 1% 1% Andrew Yang 1% 1% 0% Michael Bloomberg 0% 0% 0% John Delaney 0% Other 1% Undecided 15% 12% 14%

N 515 365 384

Candidate With Best Chance to Win General Elec on

Which Democra c candidate do you think has the best chance of winning in the general elec on next November?

Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020 Feb 5-8 2020 Bernie Sanders 23% 30% 16% 14% 20% 29% 29% Joe Biden 33% 25% 45% 36% 41% 25% 23% Pete Buttigieg 4% 1% 3% 8% 14% 14% Elizabeth Warren 2% 2% 9% 18% 6% 5% 5% Michael Bloomberg 1% 2% 3% 3% Amy Klobuchar 1% 0% 2% 2% 2% 2% Tulsi Gabbard 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% Andrew Yang 0% 0% 1% 2% 1% Tom Steyer 0% 1% 2% 1% 1% Kamala Harris 5% 2% 7% 2% Beto O'Rourke 3% 3% 2% 1% Cory Booker 2% 2% 1% 1% Michael Bennet 0% Marianne Williamson 0% 0% Steve Bullock 0% Tim Ryan 0% John Delaney 0% Kirsten Gillibrand 0% 0% Sherrod Brown 1% Someone else 1% 1% 1% Don't Know/Not Sure 30% 30% 15% 20% 16% 17% 19%

N 232 240 380 569 515 363 382 Preferred Republican 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate

Now, I'm going to read a list of candidates running for the Republican nomina on. If the Republican primary for President were held today, which of the following would you support for the Republican nomina on?

Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020 Feb 5-8 2020 Donald Trump 68% 76% 86% 86% 90% 91% 91% William Weld 3% 5% 7% 5% 4% 5% 5% Joe Walsh 1% 1% Mark Sanford 1% John Kasich 17% 10% Larry Hogan 1% Other 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% DK/Undecided 12% 8% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2%

N 217 208 289 461 393 199 224

Joe Walsh, who suspended his campaign on February 7, was included in the list of Republican candidates for completed survey from February 5 to February 7, but did not receive support from any respondents.

Definitely Decided on Candidate - Republican Primary Voters

Have you definitely decided whom you will vote for in the New Hampshire primary, are you leaning toward someone, or have you considered some candidates but are s ll trying to decide?

Feb 4-7 Feb 5-8 Oct 2017 Feb 2018 Apr 2018 Aug 2018 Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 2020 2020

Still Trying To Decide 77% 63% 68% 68% 57% 50% 35% 28% 19% 16% 14% Leaning Towards Someone 5% 8% 10% 10% 10% 8% 12% 12% 8% 6% 5% Definitely Decided 18% 30% 22% 23% 34% 43% 53% 61% 73% 78% 81%

N 183 157 111 199 213 207 283 459 393 202 227 Interest in Primary

As you may know, the New Hampshire Presiden al Primary is being held on February 11th. How interested would you say you are in the 2020 New Hampshire Presiden al Primary elec on?

Feb 4-7 Feb 5-8 Oct 2017 Feb 2018 Apr 2018 Aug 2018 Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 2020 2020 Extremely Interested 47% 55% 54% 60% 49% 48% 43% 48% 45% 44% 45% Very Interested 27% 24% 24% 20% 28% 32% 28% 29% 26% 34% 35% Somewhat Interested 18% 13% 13% 15% 16% 11% 21% 14% 17% 14% 13% Not Very Interested 8% 7% 9% 4% 7% 9% 8% 9% 12% 8% 8% Don't Know/Not Sure 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%

N 570 523 340 500 604 548 862 1,264 1,174 671 720

Likelihood of Vo ng in 2020 Presiden al Primary

Which of the following statements best describes you?

Oct Feb Apr Aug Feb Apr Jul Oct Jan Feb 4-7 Feb 5-8 2017 2018 2018 2018 2019 2019 2019 2019 2020 2020 2020 Definitely vote in Primary 74% 76% 71% 82% 78% 75% 72% 76% 72% 74% 74% Will vote in Primary unless emergency 11% 9% 14% 10% 9% 13% 12% 7% 8% 10% 11% May vote in Primary 5% 4% 4% 3% 6% 5% 6% 7% 5% 6% 5% Probably not vote in Primary 2% 5% 6% 2% 2% 4% 5% 5% 7% 5% 5% Unsure 7% 6% 5% 3% 5% 3% 5% 5% 8% 4% 4%

N 567 517 340 500 601 547 863 1,265 1,176 671 720 Definitely Decided on Candidate - Democra c Primary Voters

Definitely Decided Leaning Towards Someone Still Trying To Decide N

STATEWIDE 53% 19% 28% 384

Registered to Reg. Democrat 57% 16% 27% 198 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 48% 23% 29% 186 Party ID Democrat 54% 19% 27% 305 Independent 49% 19% 32% 48 Republican 41% 25% 34% 28 Ideology Liberal 57% 20% 22% 147 Moderate 49% 20% 31% 180 Conservative 49% 22% 29% 26 Age of 18 to 34 59% 25% 16% 100 Respondent 35 to 49 53% 22% 25% 84 50 to 64 43% 17% 40% 109 65 and older 57% 15% 28% 83 Gender of Women 49% 20% 32% 218 Respondent Men 57% 19% 23% 166 Age & Gender Women, 18-34 54% 33% 13% 49 Men, 18-34 65% 17% 18% 51 Women, 35-49 51% 16% 32% 50 Men, 35-49 56% 29% 15% 34 Women, 50-64 41% 13% 46% 64 Men, 50-64 46% 22% 32% 45 Women, 65 and older 52% 18% 29% 51 Men, 65 and older 64% 9% 27% 32 Education & Women, no college degree 49% 21% 30% 140 Gender Women, college degree or more 50% 17% 34% 76 Men, no college degree 58% 17% 25% 97 Men, college degree or more 57% 23% 20% 66 Level of High school or less 53% 23% 23% 88 Education Technical school/Some college 52% 17% 31% 149 College graduate 51% 19% 30% 85 Postgraduate work 57% 21% 23% 58 Region of Central / Lakes 43% 24% 33% 54 State Connecticut Valley 57% 20% 24% 53 Manchester Area 53% 5% 42% 64 Mass Border 57% 22% 21% 77 North Country 49% 20% 31% 45 Seacoast 54% 24% 22% 91 Preferred Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate

Michael Bernie Joe Biden Pete Buttigieg Tulsi Gabbard Amy Klobuchar Bloomberg Sanders

STATEWIDE 12% 1% 21% 5% 6% 28%

Registered to Reg. Democrat 13% 1% 21% 3% 6% 30% Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 11% 2% 21% 8% 6% 27% Party ID Democrat 12% 1% 21% 3% 6% 31% Independent 11% 21% 13% 6% 23% Republican 15% 22% 16% 4% 8% Ideology Liberal 5% 0% 20% 1% 4% 46% Moderate 16% 2% 25% 6% 9% 15% Conservative 13% 11% 25% 4% 17% Age of 18 to 34 10% 15% 3% 51% Respondent 35 to 49 6% 23% 7% 4% 34% 50 to 64 9% 2% 24% 6% 9% 17% 65 and older 23% 1% 22% 5% 10% 10% Gender of Women 11% 1% 21% 1% 8% 28% Respondent Men 13% 1% 21% 11% 3% 29% Age & Gender Women, 18-34 5% 11% 64% Men, 18-34 15% 18% 7% 39% Women, 35-49 7% 24% 7% 28% Men, 35-49 4% 23% 17% 44% Women, 50-64 9% 3% 25% 11% 13% Men, 50-64 10% 1% 22% 15% 7% 24% Women, 65 and older 23% 1% 21% 4% 14% 12% Men, 65 and older 24% 1% 24% 6% 5% 8% Education & Women, no college degree 14% 1% 18% 2% 7% 32% Gender Women, college degree or more 7% 2% 25% 11% 19% Men, no college degree 13% 21% 13% 0% 31% Men, college degree or more 12% 2% 22% 8% 7% 28% Level of High school or less 16% 16% 7% 0% 45% Education Technical school/Some college 12% 1% 21% 6% 6% 24% College graduate 7% 1% 27% 5% 9% 24% Postgraduate work 12% 3% 19% 2% 9% 22% Decided on Definitely Decided 16% 1% 21% 5% 6% 36% Vote Leaning Towards Someone 10% 18% 7% 7% 37% Still Trying To Decide 4% 3% 24% 6% 4% 8% Region of Central / Lakes 6% 1% 25% 1% 6% 29% State Connecticut Valley 8% 1% 32% 4% 34% Manchester Area 20% 16% 10% 7% 21% Mass Border 14% 1% 29% 11% 2% 23% North Country 15% 2% 14% 4% 11% 24% Seacoast 8% 2% 13% 3% 7% 37%

Because Michael Bloomberg is not running in the New Hampshire primary, his name was not included in the list of candidates who were read aloud. However, responses from those who voluntered Bloomberg as their choice are included. Michael Bennet and Deval Patrick were included in the read list of candidates but did not receive support from any respondents. Preferred Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate

Elizabeth Tom Steyer Andrew Yang Other Undecided N Warren

STATEWIDE 2% 9% 4% 1% 11% 382

Registered to Reg. Democrat 2% 12% 1% 1% 11% 196 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 2% 6% 6% 2% 10% 186 Party ID Democrat 2% 11% 2% 1% 10% 305 Independent 1% 13% 3% 10% 48 Republican 4% 6% 5% 21% 27 Ideology Liberal 0% 13% 1% 9% 147 Moderate 4% 5% 4% 2% 12% 179 Conservative 14% 5% 11% 26 Age of 18 to 34 10% 6% 1% 3% 100 Respondent 35 to 49 13% 1% 11% 84 50 to 64 5% 6% 4% 3% 15% 108 65 and older 3% 8% 2% 1% 14% 83 Gender of Women 2% 10% 3% 1% 14% 216 Respondent Men 2% 7% 5% 2% 6% 166 Age & Gender Women, 18-34 11% 7% 2% 49 Men, 18-34 9% 6% 3% 3% 51 Women, 35-49 17% 18% 50 Men, 35-49 7% 2% 2% 34 Women, 50-64 6% 6% 4% 2% 22% 62 Men, 50-64 3% 5% 4% 3% 5% 45 Women, 65 and older 3% 7% 15% 51 Men, 65 and older 3% 9% 6% 3% 11% 32 Education & Women, no college degree 2% 7% 3% 1% 13% 138 Gender Women, college degree or more 3% 15% 2% 18% 76 Men, no college degree 1% 7% 4% 4% 6% 97 Men, college degree or more 2% 9% 6% 4% 66 Level of High school or less 1% 5% 1% 1% 6% 88 Education Technical school/Some college 2% 8% 5% 2% 12% 147 College graduate 2% 8% 3% 14% 85 Postgraduate work 3% 18% 4% 8% 58 Decided on Definitely Decided 2% 8% 3% 1% 202 Vote Leaning Towards Someone 2% 12% 8% 75 Still Trying To Decide 2% 8% 2% 3% 38% 105 Region of Central / Lakes 1% 14% 4% 5% 9% 54 State Connecticut Valley 8% 4% 8% 53 Manchester Area 6% 4% 1% 15% 63 Mass Border 1% 3% 4% 2% 11% 77 North Country 2% 7% 7% 15% 44 Seacoast 2% 16% 4% 1% 7% 91

Because Michael Bloomberg is not running in the New Hampshire primary, his name was not included in the list of candidates who were read aloud. However, responses from those who voluntered Bloomberg as their choice are included. Michael Bennet and Deval Patrick were included in the read list of candidates but did not receive support from any respondents. Second Choice for Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on

Michael Michael Pete Tulsi Amy Deval Joe Biden Bennet Bloomberg Buttigieg Gabbard Klobuchar Patrick

STATEWIDE 1% 10% 2% 16% 5% 9% 1%

Registered to Reg. Democrat 0% 13% 0% 16% 1% 10% Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 2% 7% 3% 16% 9% 8% 1% Party ID Democrat 0% 11% 1% 17% 3% 10% 0% Independent 6% 9% 3% 16% 16% 3% Republican 2% 2% 12% 10% 4% 5% Ideology Liberal 9% 3% 13% 4% 3% 1% Moderate 2% 13% 0% 22% 6% 15% 0% Conservative 2% 8% 3% 2% Age of 18 to 34 8% 2% 14% 9% 4% Respondent 35 to 49 10% 17% 3% 12% 50 to 64 2% 12% 0% 15% 4% 8% 2% 65 and older 2% 12% 4% 18% 2% 14% Gender of Women 0% 12% 3% 15% 7% 11% 0% Respondent Men 2% 8% 0% 18% 3% 7% 1% Age & Gender Women, 18-34 11% 5% 11% 14% 6% Men, 18-34 4% 17% 5% 2% Women, 35-49 11% 16% 3% 18% Men, 35-49 9% 18% 4% 5% Women, 50-64 13% 14% 7% 8% 1% Men, 50-64 4% 11% 0% 16% 1% 7% 2% Women, 65 and older 1% 14% 5% 15% 3% 13% Men, 65 and older 3% 10% 1% 21% 17% Education & Women, no college degree 12% 3% 12% 7% 9% Gender Women, college degree or more 1% 13% 2% 20% 5% 15% 1% Men, no college degree 3% 5% 16% 2% 2% Men, college degree or more 12% 1% 21% 4% 14% 2% Level of High school or less 2% 8% 9% 5% 10% Education Technical school/Some college 1% 10% 3% 17% 5% 3% College graduate 12% 1% 23% 5% 13% 2% Postgraduate work 1% 12% 2% 17% 4% 16% 1% Decided on Definitely Decided 1% 11% 1% 18% 5% 10% Vote Leaning Towards Someone 1% 7% 4% 16% 10% 4% 1% Still Trying To Decide 1% 11% 1% 10% 12% 2% Region of Central / Lakes 9% 17% 1% 9% 2% State Connecticut Valley 12% 13% 8% 16% Manchester Area 1% 14% 3% 18% 3% 3% Mass Border 4% 11% 4% 10% 2% 11% North Country 2% 20% 10% 7% Seacoast 10% 1% 19% 6% 9% 1% Second Choice for Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on

Bernie Tom Elizabeth Andrew No Second Other Undecided N Sanders Steyer Warren Yang Choice

STATEWIDE 14% 3% 21% 7% 1% 5% 6% 342

Registered to Reg. Democrat 13% 3% 25% 8% 1% 4% 3% 175 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 15% 3% 16% 6% 1% 6% 8% 167 Party ID Democrat 15% 3% 24% 8% 0% 1% 6% 275 Independent 11% 3% 6% 7% 15% 3% 43 Republican 8% 0% 6% 9% 5% 31% 5% 21 Ideology Liberal 14% 2% 36% 10% 1% 4% 134 Moderate 12% 4% 9% 6% 1% 5% 4% 157 Conservative 26% 9% 7% 11% 30% 2% 23 Age of 18 to 34 11% 31% 9% 3% 4% 5% 98 Respondent 35 to 49 16% 2% 19% 10% 1% 4% 5% 74 50 to 64 18% 6% 16% 8% 6% 2% 92 65 and older 12% 3% 14% 1% 1% 5% 12% 71 Gender of Women 10% 3% 26% 4% 1% 3% 6% 186 Respondent Men 19% 3% 15% 11% 2% 6% 5% 156 Age & Gender Women, 18-34 36% 2% 5% 5% 5% 48 Men, 18-34 23% 25% 16% 1% 3% 5% 49 Women, 35-49 10% 24% 7% 5% 5% 41 Men, 35-49 23% 5% 14% 14% 3% 3% 4% 33 Women, 50-64 21% 5% 21% 7% 2% 49 Men, 50-64 15% 7% 10% 10% 11% 5% 43 Women, 65 and older 8% 3% 20% 1% 2% 14% 43 Men, 65 and older 17% 3% 6% 1% 3% 9% 8% 28 Education & Women, no college degree 9% 2% 27% 3% 2% 5% 8% 121 Gender Women, college degree or more 12% 3% 19% 6% 1% 1% 62 Men, no college degree 20% 3% 18% 16% 1% 8% 7% 92 Men, college degree or more 19% 4% 11% 3% 2% 4% 3% 64 Level of High school or less 9% 3% 24% 17% 1% 3% 9% 82 Education Technical school/Some college 16% 2% 23% 4% 2% 7% 7% 130 College graduate 17% 3% 14% 6% 4% 2% 73 Postgraduate work 13% 6% 17% 3% 3% 2% 3% 53 Decided on Definitely Decided 11% 3% 24% 4% 2% 5% 5% 202 Vote Leaning Towards Someone 17% 1% 19% 10% 6% 4% 75 Still Trying To Decide 19% 6% 12% 14% 4% 9% 65 Region of Central / Lakes 12% 6% 24% 6% 6% 7% 49 State Connecticut Valley 18% 19% 6% 1% 5% 48 Manchester Area 18% 1% 26% 7% 3% 2% 53 Mass Border 14% 5% 14% 8% 5% 5% 7% 69 North Country 13% 6% 11% 5% 7% 19% 37 Seacoast 10% 1% 25% 10% 1% 4% 3% 85 Would Not Vote For Candidate Under Any Circumstances

Michael Michael Pete Tulsi Amy Deval Joe Biden Bennet Bloomberg Buttigieg Gabbard Klobuchar Patrick

STATEWIDE 2% 18% 1% 3% 10% 1% 2%

Registered to Reg. Democrat 0% 19% 1% 4% 15% 2% 3% Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 3% 17% 0% 3% 5% 1% 0% Party ID Democrat 2% 16% 0% 4% 12% 2% 2% Independent 30% 1% 4% 1% 1% Republican 16% Ideology Liberal 0% 21% 0% 6% 17% 2% 0% Moderate 3% 13% 1% 3% 6% 1% 3% Conservative 22% Age of 18 to 34 38% 5% 7% 2% Respondent 35 to 49 1% 9% 1% 4% 11% 1% 50 to 64 4% 8% 1% 2% 12% 3% 65 and older 2% 12% 3% 10% 3% 3% Gender of Women 1% 19% 1% 1% 11% 1% 2% Respondent Men 2% 15% 0% 6% 8% 2% 1% Age & Gender Women, 18-34 45% 6% Men, 18-34 31% 10% 9% 4% Women, 35-49 7% 2% 14% Men, 35-49 2% 11% 2% 8% 7% 3% Women, 50-64 2% 10% 2% 4% 13% 6% Men, 50-64 6% 6% 9% Women, 65 and older 2% 15% 12% 2% 2% Men, 65 and older 1% 8% 8% 6% 3% 4% Education & Women, no college degree 1% 26% 1% 10% 1% 4% Gender Women, college degree or more 2% 7% 2% 2% 14% Men, no college degree 3% 16% 9% 11% 2% Men, college degree or more 1% 14% 1% 2% 4% 2% 2% Level of High school or less 2% 18% 3% 12% 1% 3% Education Technical school/Some college 2% 24% 5% 9% 2% 2% College graduate 2% 11% 4% 11% 1% 0% Postgraduate work 1% 10% 3% 8% 2% 1% Decided on Definitely Decided 1% 18% 1% 4% 12% 0% 1% Vote Leaning Towards Someone 2% 17% 1% 2% 6% 3% 3% Still Trying To Decide 2% 18% 3% 7% 2% 2% Region of Central / Lakes 4% 9% 1% 1% 3% 4% State Connecticut Valley 20% 1% 9% 4% Manchester Area 2% 9% 13% 3% Mass Border 1% 26% 3% 14% 3% North Country 20% 4% 12% 2% 1% Seacoast 2% 20% 1% 9% 7% 1% Would Not Vote For Candidate Under Any Circumstances

Don't Bernie Tom Elizabeth Andrew None All Other Know/Not N Sanders Steyer Warren Yang Are Ok Sure STATEWIDE 10% 4% 16% 1% 1% 24% 9% 376

Registered to Reg. Democrat 8% 3% 8% 2% 1% 27% 9% 191 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 11% 5% 24% 1% 1% 21% 8% 185 Party ID Democrat 8% 5% 11% 1% 0% 27% 9% 298 Independent 8% 27% 1% 4% 14% 9% 48 Republican 28% 47% 8% 28 Ideology Liberal 3% 7% 5% 1% 1% 29% 7% 145 Moderate 15% 1% 22% 1% 0% 23% 9% 180 Conservative 15% 9% 36% 2% 10% 7% 25 Age of 18 to 34 4% 6% 13% 22% 3% 98 Respondent 35 to 49 6% 7% 17% 2% 24% 17% 79 50 to 64 13% 2% 19% 2% 2% 25% 7% 109 65 and older 15% 2% 13% 3% 26% 9% 81 Gender of Women 9% 5% 13% 1% 1% 25% 8% 214 Respondent Men 11% 2% 19% 1% 0% 22% 9% 162 Age & Gender Women, 18-34 3% 11% 11% 24% 49 Men, 18-34 6% 15% 20% 6% 49 Women, 35-49 7% 8% 14% 3% 24% 22% 45 Men, 35-49 5% 7% 21% 24% 11% 34 Women, 50-64 9% 3% 11% 2% 2% 31% 5% 64 Men, 50-64 19% 1% 29% 1% 1% 16% 11% 45 Women, 65 and older 16% 1% 17% 2% 23% 10% 51 Men, 65 and older 14% 4% 7% 5% 32% 8% 30 Education & Women, no college degree 6% 3% 13% 27% 8% 135 Gender Women, college degree or more 14% 8% 14% 3% 3% 22% 9% 76 Men, no college degree 9% 4% 19% 1% 15% 11% 94 Men, college degree or more 13% 1% 18% 2% 1% 33% 5% 66 Level of High school or less 5% 6% 17% 25% 8% 83 Education Technical school/Some college 9% 2% 15% 1% 20% 10% 145 College graduate 11% 3% 16% 3% 2% 29% 8% 85 Postgraduate work 17% 7% 16% 2% 2% 24% 6% 58 Decided on Definitely Decided 12% 2% 17% 1% 1% 22% 7% 201 Vote Leaning Towards Someone 4% 10% 17% 1% 27% 7% 75 Still Trying To Decide 10% 3% 13% 1% 26% 14% 100 Region of Central / Lakes 8% 5% 14% 1% 2% 31% 16% 54 State Connecticut Valley 7% 2% 18% 4% 29% 6% 52 Manchester Area 12% 6% 19% 28% 8% 64 Mass Border 11% 4% 17% 17% 4% 77 North Country 5% 2% 14% 2% 22% 16% 43 Seacoast 11% 4% 13% 3% 21% 8% 86 Candidate Most Likely to Win the New Hampshire Primary

Michael Joe Biden Pete Buttigieg Tulsi Gabbard Amy Klobuchar Bloomberg

STATEWIDE 9% 0% 11% 1% 1%

Registered to Reg. Democrat 10% 0% 7% 1% 1% Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 9% 1% 15% 1% 1% Party ID Democrat 11% 0% 9% 1% 1% Independent 11% Republican 7% 27% 5% Ideology Liberal 5% 1% 10% 1% Moderate 12% 14% 1% 2% Conservative 7% 7% Age of 18 to 34 8% 5% Respondent 35 to 49 8% 14% 50 to 64 7% 0% 13% 2% 4% 65 and older 15% 1% 13% 3% Gender of Women 9% 1% 13% 1% 2% Respondent Men 9% 8% 1% 0% Age & Gender Women, 18-34 8% 8% Men, 18-34 7% 3% Women, 35-49 8% 14% Men, 35-49 8% 14% Women, 50-64 8% 1% 14% 7% Men, 50-64 7% 12% 4% Women, 65 and older 14% 2% 16% 4% Men, 65 and older 16% 8% Education & Women, no college degree 12% 1% 12% 2% 2% Gender Women, college degree or more 5% 1% 14% 1% Men, no college degree 13% 7% 2% Men, college degree or more 3% 11% 1% Level of High school or less 14% 1% 7% 2% Education Technical school/Some college 11% 12% 1% 2% College graduate 3% 13% 1% Postgraduate work 6% 1% 12% 1% Decided on Definitely Decided 10% 0% 11% 1% 2% Vote Leaning Towards Someone 10% 16% Still Trying To Decide 8% 1% 6% 2% 1% Region of Central / Lakes 9% 3% 14% State Connecticut Valley 1% 14% 2% Manchester Area 15% 8% 3% 5% Mass Border 7% 17% 3% North Country 5% 8% Seacoast 14% 5% 1% Candidate Most Likely to Win the New Hampshire Primary

Elizabeth Bernie Sanders Tom Steyer Andrew Yang Undecided N Warren

STATEWIDE 57% 1% 5% 0% 14% 384

Registered to Reg. Democrat 57% 2% 5% 1% 15% 198 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 56% 1% 4% 13% 186 Party ID Democrat 55% 2% 5% 1% 15% 305 Independent 71% 5% 13% 48 Republican 53% 8% 28 Ideology Liberal 58% 2% 7% 1% 15% 147 Moderate 52% 1% 4% 14% 180 Conservative 75% 6% 6% 26 Age of 18 to 34 73% 2% 4% 2% 6% 100 Respondent 35 to 49 59% 5% 13% 84 50 to 64 50% 3% 5% 16% 109 65 and older 42% 4% 23% 83 Gender of Women 49% 2% 5% 18% 218 Respondent Men 66% 1% 3% 1% 9% 166 Age & Gender Women, 18-34 68% 5% 4% 6% 49 Men, 18-34 79% 3% 4% 5% 51 Women, 35-49 52% 7% 19% 50 Men, 35-49 71% 2% 5% 34 Women, 50-64 43% 2% 4% 22% 64 Men, 50-64 59% 3% 7% 8% 45 Women, 65 and older 33% 6% 25% 51 Men, 65 and older 55% 1% 20% 32 Education & Women, no college degree 45% 3% 6% 17% 140 Gender Women, college degree or more 54% 4% 22% 76 Men, no college degree 62% 1% 5% 2% 8% 97 Men, college degree or more 74% 1% 9% 66 Level of High school or less 55% 2% 2% 18% 88 Education Technical school/Some college 51% 3% 8% 10% 149 College graduate 66% 2% 16% 85 Postgraduate work 60% 4% 15% 58 Decided on Definitely Decided 62% 1% 3% 10% 202 Vote Leaning Towards Someone 59% 7% 2% 6% 75 Still Trying To Decide 44% 3% 6% 28% 107 Region of Central / Lakes 55% 3% 6% 11% 54 State Connecticut Valley 72% 2% 9% 53 Manchester Area 51% 18% 64 Mass Border 49% 5% 2% 17% 77 North Country 62% 5% 3% 17% 45 Seacoast 57% 2% 9% 12% 91 Candidate With Best Chance to Win General Elec on

Michael Joe Biden Pete Buttigieg Tulsi Gabbard Amy Klobuchar Someone else Bloomberg

STATEWIDE 23% 3% 14% 2% 2% 1%

Registered to Reg. Democrat 26% 2% 14% 3% 0% Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 21% 4% 14% 3% 2% 1% Party ID Democrat 24% 3% 13% 1% 3% 0% Independent 20% 1% 9% 10% 1% 2% Republican 21% 8% 36% 2% Ideology Liberal 21% 1% 12% 2% Moderate 29% 6% 17% 4% 3% 1% Conservative 13% 2% 13% 2% Age of 18 to 34 28% 9% 2% Respondent 35 to 49 19% 3% 13% 1% 50 to 64 21% 4% 19% 4% 4% 1% 65 and older 26% 4% 15% 5% 1% Gender of Women 26% 3% 15% 3% 0% Respondent Men 20% 3% 14% 4% 1% 1% Age & Gender Women, 18-34 32% 5% Men, 18-34 24% 13% 3% Women, 35-49 23% 6% 16% Men, 35-49 12% 8% 3% Women, 50-64 24% 3% 19% 6% Men, 50-64 16% 4% 19% 9% 2% 2% Women, 65 and older 25% 1% 15% 7% 1% Men, 65 and older 29% 10% 15% 2% 2% Education & Women, no college degree 30% 3% 12% 2% Gender Women, college degree or more 20% 2% 19% 5% 1% Men, no college degree 23% 2% 13% 5% 0% Men, college degree or more 16% 6% 16% 2% 2% 3% Level of High school or less 24% 1% 6% 4% 0% Education Technical school/Some college 28% 4% 16% 1% 2% College graduate 16% 3% 19% 2% 4% 2% Postgraduate work 21% 5% 15% 4% 2% Decided on Definitely Decided 21% 3% 13% 1% 3% 0% Vote Leaning Towards Someone 24% 2% 14% 3% 2% 1% Still Trying To Decide 27% 3% 17% 2% 1% 0% Region of Central / Lakes 17% 1% 19% 2% 1% State Connecticut Valley 15% 22% 2% Manchester Area 37% 1% 11% 3% 7% Mass Border 29% 4% 18% 4% 1% 1% North Country 24% 10% 6% Seacoast 18% 3% 10% 2% 2% 2% Candidate With Best Chance to Win General Elec on

Don't Bernie Elizabeth Andrew Someone Tom Steyer Know/Not N Sanders Warren Yang else Sure STATEWIDE 29% 1% 5% 1% 1% 19% 382

Registered to Reg. Democrat 30% 1% 8% 0% 16% 198 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 28% 1% 2% 3% 1% 22% 184 Party ID Democrat 31% 1% 6% 2% 0% 17% 305 Independent 28% 0% 1% 2% 29% 48 Republican 14% 2% 19% 27 Ideology Liberal 38% 8% 2% 15% 146 Moderate 16% 2% 3% 1% 1% 18% 179 Conservative 47% 24% 26 Age of 18 to 34 45% 2% 5% 9% 100 Respondent 35 to 49 33% 6% 24% 83 50 to 64 21% 3% 3% 1% 21% 109 65 and older 17% 1% 9% 1% 1% 21% 83 Gender of Women 29% 1% 4% 0% 0% 19% 217 Respondent Men 29% 1% 6% 3% 1% 19% 165 Age & Gender Women, 18-34 58% 2% 2% 2% 49 Men, 18-34 33% 3% 7% 16% 51 Women, 35-49 22% 4% 29% 49 Men, 35-49 50% 10% 18% 34 Women, 50-64 21% 2% 2% 23% 64 Men, 50-64 21% 3% 5% 2% 19% 45 Women, 65 and older 20% 1% 10% 1% 21% 51 Men, 65 and older 11% 8% 1% 2% 21% 32 Education & Women, no college degree 37% 1% 3% 12% 140 Gender Women, college degree or more 16% 1% 7% 1% 1% 29% 76 Men, no college degree 33% 1% 4% 3% 16% 97 Men, college degree or more 23% 0% 8% 2% 3% 21% 66 Level of High school or less 45% 1% 3% 15% 88 Education Technical school/Some college 30% 1% 5% 13% 149 College graduate 20% 1% 4% 1% 2% 29% 84 Postgraduate work 18% 0% 13% 2% 2% 20% 58 Decided on Definitely Decided 36% 2% 6% 1% 0% 12% 201 Vote Leaning Towards Someone 28% 6% 4% 1% 15% 75 Still Trying To Decide 16% 0% 0% 33% 106 Region of Central / Lakes 28% 7% 1% 24% 53 State Connecticut Valley 33% 8% 6% 14% 53 Manchester Area 26% 3% 2% 11% 64 Mass Border 29% 0% 1% 1% 13% 76 North Country 30% 4% 1% 25% 45 Seacoast 28% 2% 8% 1% 2% 26% 91 Preferred Republican 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate

Donald Trump William Weld Other DK/Undecided N

STATEWIDE 91% 5% 2% 2% 224

Registered to Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 88% 5% 2% 5% 74 Vote Reg. Republican 92% 5% 2% 1% 150 Party ID Democrat 75% 11% 15% 8 Independent 79% 11% 5% 4% 19 Republican 93% 4% 1% 2% 195 Ideology Liberal 88% 7% 5% 13 Moderate 84% 11% 4% 2% 74 Conservative 96% 1% 1% 2% 132 Age of 18 to 34 98% 2% 40 Respondent 35 to 49 89% 3% 5% 4% 33 50 to 64 89% 8% 2% 1% 100 65 and older 88% 4% 1% 7% 44 Gender of Women 92% 3% 2% 4% 99 Respondent Men 90% 7% 2% 1% 125 Age & Gender Women, 18-34 100% 13 Men, 18-34 97% 3% 28 Women, 35-49 81% 8% 11% 11 Men, 35-49 92% 5% 3% 22 Women, 50-64 94% 3% 2% 1% 43 Men, 50-64 86% 12% 2% 56 Women, 65 and older 88% 4% 8% 26 Men, 65 and older 89% 4% 3% 5% 18 Education & Women, no college degree 95% 2% 3% 68 Gender Women, college degree or more 85% 4% 5% 6% 30 Men, no college degree 94% 5% 1% 1% 86 Men, college degree or more 82% 11% 5% 2% 39 Level of High school or less 98% 1% 2% 73 Education Technical school/Some college 91% 7% 2% 81 College graduate 85% 8% 5% 3% 51 Postgraduate work 80% 8% 6% 6% 18 Region of Central / Lakes 87% 6% 3% 4% 47 State Connecticut Valley 94% 4% 2% 24 Manchester Area 91% 6% 3% 40 Mass Border 91% 7% 1% 1% 65 North Country 87% 13% 24 Seacoast 100% 24

Joe Walsh, who suspended his campaign on February 7, was included in the list of Republican candidates for completed survey from February 5 to February 7, but did not receive support from any respondents. Definitely Decided on Candidate - Republican Primary Voters

Definitely Decided Leaning Towards Someone Still Trying To Decide N

STATEWIDE 81% 5% 14% 227

Registered to Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 76% 7% 17% 74 Vote Reg. Republican 84% 3% 13% 153 Party ID Democrat 91% 9% 8 Independent 64% 5% 31% 20 Republican 83% 4% 13% 196 Ideology Liberal 95% 5% 13 Moderate 80% 3% 18% 75 Conservative 81% 6% 12% 133 Age of 18 to 34 68% 12% 20% 40 Respondent 35 to 49 89% 5% 6% 33 50 to 64 85% 2% 13% 101 65 and older 76% 4% 20% 46 Gender of Women 78% 4% 19% 100 Respondent Men 84% 5% 11% 127 Age & Gender Women, 18-34 69% 16% 15% 13 Men, 18-34 67% 10% 22% 28 Women, 35-49 81% 19% 11 Men, 35-49 92% 8% 22 Women, 50-64 85% 15% 43 Men, 50-64 86% 4% 11% 58 Women, 65 and older 65% 6% 29% 28 Men, 65 and older 94% 6% 18 Education & Women, no college degree 77% 5% 18% 69 Gender Women, college degree or more 78% 2% 20% 30 Men, no college degree 84% 5% 12% 87 Men, college degree or more 85% 7% 8% 39 Level of High school or less 82% 2% 16% 75 Education Technical school/Some college 80% 7% 13% 81 College graduate 83% 3% 14% 51 Postgraduate work 79% 9% 12% 18 Region of Central / Lakes 84% 7% 9% 47 State Connecticut Valley 77% 5% 19% 26 Manchester Area 86% 3% 12% 41 Mass Border 83% 2% 14% 65 North Country 78% 22% 24 Seacoast 70% 15% 14% 24 Interest in Primary

Extremely Somewhat Very Interested Not Very Interested N Interested Interested

STATEWIDE 45% 35% 13% 8% 720

Registered to Reg. Democrat 53% 36% 9% 3% 206 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 41% 36% 14% 9% 326 Reg. Republican 41% 30% 16% 13% 184 Party ID Democrat 52% 36% 8% 3% 333 Independent 37% 34% 20% 9% 93 Republican 39% 32% 16% 13% 281 Ideology Liberal 58% 30% 10% 3% 168 Moderate 42% 37% 16% 5% 305 Conservative 44% 31% 10% 15% 193 Age of 18 to 34 36% 36% 18% 10% 177 Respondent 35 to 49 43% 35% 12% 10% 144 50 to 64 48% 36% 10% 6% 232 65 and older 53% 28% 11% 7% 144 Gender of Women 48% 38% 9% 6% 367 Respondent Men 41% 31% 17% 11% 353 Age & Gender Women, 18-34 38% 45% 10% 7% 78 Men, 18-34 35% 28% 24% 13% 99 Women, 35-49 48% 38% 11% 4% 69 Men, 35-49 38% 33% 14% 15% 75 Women, 50-64 50% 37% 7% 6% 120 Men, 50-64 45% 35% 14% 6% 111 Women, 65 and older 54% 30% 10% 7% 87 Men, 65 and older 53% 26% 14% 8% 57 Education & Women, no college degree 44% 43% 7% 6% 242 Gender Women, college degree or more 55% 28% 13% 4% 122 Men, no college degree 38% 33% 17% 12% 233 Men, college degree or more 47% 30% 16% 8% 117 Level of High school or less 39% 40% 11% 10% 205 Education Technical school/Some college 42% 36% 13% 9% 269 College graduate 48% 28% 17% 7% 154 Postgraduate work 57% 30% 8% 5% 85 Decided on Definitely Decided 58% 35% 4% 2% 194 Vote Leaning Towards Someone 52% 37% 11% 72 Still Trying To Decide 44% 39% 14% 3% 103 Region of Central / Lakes 39% 41% 13% 6% 123 State Connecticut Valley 55% 26% 7% 11% 90 Manchester Area 45% 38% 10% 7% 130 Mass Border 44% 30% 18% 8% 174 North Country 49% 32% 11% 9% 75 Seacoast 40% 38% 13% 8% 128 Likelihood of Vo ng in 2020 Presiden al Primary

Will vote in Definitely vote May vote in Probably not Primary unless Unsure N in Primary Primary vote in Primary emergency STATEWIDE 74% 11% 5% 5% 4% 720

Registered to Reg. Democrat 80% 12% 3% 2% 4% 206 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 69% 14% 7% 5% 6% 326 Reg. Republican 75% 7% 7% 10% 1% 184 Party ID Democrat 78% 13% 5% 3% 2% 333 Independent 67% 11% 6% 8% 8% 93 Republican 71% 10% 6% 8% 5% 281 Ideology Liberal 78% 14% 5% 2% 1% 168 Moderate 69% 15% 7% 4% 5% 306 Conservative 77% 6% 5% 8% 4% 192 Age of 18 to 34 62% 16% 12% 6% 4% 177 Respondent 35 to 49 70% 13% 7% 6% 4% 145 50 to 64 79% 11% 1% 6% 4% 231 65 and older 83% 7% 3% 4% 4% 144 Gender of Women 75% 12% 4% 5% 4% 367 Respondent Men 72% 11% 7% 6% 4% 353 Age & Gender Women, 18-34 59% 17% 13% 5% 5% 78 Men, 18-34 65% 15% 10% 6% 3% 99 Women, 35-49 74% 18% 1% 4% 2% 69 Men, 35-49 66% 7% 12% 9% 6% 75 Women, 50-64 79% 10% 1% 6% 5% 120 Men, 50-64 78% 12% 2% 6% 3% 111 Women, 65 and older 83% 7% 3% 4% 3% 87 Men, 65 and older 82% 5% 4% 4% 4% 57 Education & Women, no college degree 74% 12% 4% 5% 5% 242 Gender Women, college degree or more 76% 13% 5% 4% 2% 122 Men, no college degree 71% 9% 8% 7% 5% 233 Men, college degree or more 73% 14% 5% 6% 2% 118 Level of High school or less 74% 7% 6% 7% 6% 205 Education Technical school/Some college 72% 13% 6% 5% 4% 269 College graduate 74% 13% 6% 4% 2% 155 Postgraduate work 75% 14% 3% 6% 2% 84 Decided on Definitely Decided 92% 8% 194 Vote Leaning Towards Someone 84% 16% 72 Still Trying To Decide 75% 25% 103 Region of Central / Lakes 73% 9% 2% 6% 10% 124 State Connecticut Valley 85% 4% 6% 5% 1% 90 Manchester Area 71% 11% 8% 8% 3% 130 Mass Border 69% 13% 8% 5% 5% 173 North Country 78% 15% 1% 5% 2% 75 Seacoast 72% 16% 5% 3% 3% 128