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Current and Future Challenges of Family Care in the UK

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Current and Future Challenges of Family Care in the UK Current and future challenges of family care in the UK Future of an ageing population: evidence review Foresight, Government Office for Science Current and future challenges of family care in the UK Andreas Hoff Zittau/Goerlitz University of Applied Sciences March 2015 This review has been commissioned as part of the UK government’s Foresight Future of an Ageing Population project. The views expressed do not represent policy of any government or organisation. Contents Executive summary ................................................................................................................................4 1. Introduction ........................................................................................................................................7 2. Demographic context of family care ................................................................................................. 8 2.1 Rising life expectancy .....................................................................................................................8 2.2 Medium fertility ...............................................................................................................................9 2.3 Internal and international migration ................................................................................................. 9 2.3.1 International migration .............................................................................................................9 2.3.2 Internal migration ...................................................................................................................10 2.4 Population ageing .........................................................................................................................11 2.4.1 Proportion of older people (aged 65+ years) ..........................................................................11 2.4.2 Proportion of the ‘oldest old’ (80+ years) ................................................................................12 3. Changing family values, family formation and intergenerational family relations....................... 14 3.1 Changing family values and family formation ................................................................................14 3.1.1 Female employment is the norm ............................................................................................14 3.1.2 Growing acceptance of divorce/separation ............................................................................14 3.1.3 Pluralism of living arrangements ............................................................................................15 3.1.4 Childlessness .........................................................................................................................16 3.2 Changing family structures and intergenerational relations ...........................................................16 3.2.1 Postponement of births and other life transitions ....................................................................16 3.2.2 The emergence of the ‘beanpole family’ .................................................................................16 3.2.3 The multi-local multigenerational family .................................................................................17 4. Family care ........................................................................................................................................18 4.1 Patterns of family caregiving .........................................................................................................18 4.1.1 Intergenerational caregiving I: Adult children caring for their parents ..................................... 18 4.1.2 Intergenerational caregiving II: Grandparents as childcare providers ..................................... 19 4.1.3 Intragenerational caregiving: Spousal care ............................................................................19 4.1.4 Regional variation in family care ............................................................................................ 19 4.2 Challenges of contemporary and future family care ......................................................................20 4.2.1 Gendered division of labour ...................................................................................................20 4.2.2 Health and socio-economic well-being of family carers ..........................................................20 4.2.3 Ethnic minority caregiving ......................................................................................................21 4.2.4 Reconciling family care and employment ...............................................................................21 4.2.5 Dementia caregiving ..............................................................................................................22 5. Conclusion and policy recommendations ......................................................................................23 References ............................................................................................................................................25 Executive summary Population ageing challenges the ways in which family care to older people is provided. Demographic context of family care Population ageing: The British population is ageing. Between the census in 2001 and that in 2011 the number of older people (65+ years) in England and Wales increased from 8.3 to 9.2 million, or 16% of the population, which is projected to increase to 21% by 2030 and 23% by 2040. However, the UK is experiencing moderate population ageing compared to its European neighbours. A major challenge for the UK is regional variation – one-tenth of the London population is aged 65+ years, but the proportion in Cumbria, Devon, Dorset, Lincolnshire and Somerset is more than twice as much. The fastest growing age group: The ‘oldest old’ (80+ years), who have a substantial risk of requiring long-term care, are the fastest growing age group in the UK. Their numbers increased by 250,000 to 1.25 million in England and Wales between 2001 and 2011. Two-thirds of the ‘oldest old’ are women, but the proportion of men in this age group has grown faster than that of women over the past decade. The proportion of the ‘oldest old’ is projected to double between 2000 and 2040, from 3.9 to 7.7%. The drivers of demographic change: Population ageing in the UK is caused by a combination of rising longevity and medium fertility. Immigration, although substantial, is insufficient to counterbalance the effect of population ageing but is essential for maintaining the care workforce in the UK health and social care sectors, particularly in the South East of England. Changing family values, family formation and intergenerational family relations Normative assumptions about female employment, marriage/divorce and family formation changed within a generation, which has repercussions on intergenerational family relations and the family’s caregiving capacity. Female employment is the norm: Two-thirds of British women are employed, mainly as a result of increasing female tertiary education, and encouraged by employment-oriented family policies in combination with rising housing costs. There is, however, variation in female labour market participation depending on ethnic background. Plurality of family forms: Parenthood is increasingly detached from marriage, and divorce is more acceptable throughout the life course, resulting in a plurality of family forms. Although divorce at advanced ages is more common than before, the majority of older people still live as married couples. Childlessness: The majority of British older people have children and grandchildren, but childlessness is increasing. Pathways leading into childlessness vary, but postponed lifetime transitions as well as tertiary education play an important role. 4 Changing intergenerational family relations: Increasing longevity and lower fertility than in past generations result in intergenerational family structures characterised by more vertical than horizontal linkages. Older Britons nowadays spend more years with grandchildren than they spent with their own young children. However, intergenerational relationships are increasingly lived across a geographical distance, which has implications for the nature of intergenerational interaction as well as that of family care. Intergenerational or spousal care? The ‘oldest old’ are predominantly cared for by their children, whereas married older people predominantly receive spousal care. Intergenerational family care: Although the number of men involved in family care is increasing, intergenerational care is still predominantly a female preoccupation. When sons provide care for their parents, they are often the only child. But daughters remain the most important source of support for older people aged 75+ years. Intergenerational family care is more common in the rural areas of North and South Wales, and parts of North West, North East and East England. Spousal care: Spouses are the most important support source for married older people in need of care. Spouses are the fastest growing group of informal care providers. Despite growing numbers of older men providing spousal care it is still predominantly provided by women. In future, spousal care is likely to become more important than it is at present. Grandchild care: Grandparental childcare on an occasional basis is an important back-up solution for parents with small children
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