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The Long Red Thread How Democratic Dominance Gave Way to Republican Advantage in Us House of Representatives Elections, 1964
THE LONG RED THREAD HOW DEMOCRATIC DOMINANCE GAVE WAY TO REPUBLICAN ADVANTAGE IN U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ELECTIONS, 1964-2018 by Kyle Kondik A thesis submitted to Johns Hopkins University in conformity with the requirements for the degree of Master of Arts Baltimore, Maryland September 2019 © 2019 Kyle Kondik All Rights Reserved Abstract This history of U.S. House elections from 1964-2018 examines how Democratic dominance in the House prior to 1994 gave way to a Republican advantage in the years following the GOP takeover. Nationalization, partisan realignment, and the reapportionment and redistricting of House seats all contributed to a House where Republicans do not necessarily always dominate, but in which they have had an edge more often than not. This work explores each House election cycle in the time period covered and also surveys academic and journalistic literature to identify key trends and takeaways from more than a half-century of U.S. House election results in the one person, one vote era. Advisor: Dorothea Wolfson Readers: Douglas Harris, Matt Laslo ii Table of Contents Abstract…………………………………………………………………………………....ii List of Tables……………………………………………………………………………..iv List of Figures……………………………………………………………………………..v Introduction: From Dark Blue to Light Red………………………………………………1 Data, Definitions, and Methodology………………………………………………………9 Chapter One: The Partisan Consequences of the Reapportionment Revolution in the United States House of Representatives, 1964-1974…………………………...…12 Chapter 2: The Roots of the Republican Revolution: -
January 2010 Franklin & Marshall College Poll
For immediate release Wednesday, January 27, 2010 January 2010 Franklin & Marshall College Poll SURVEY OF PENNSYLVANIANS SUMMARY OF FINDINGS Prepared by: Center for Opinion Research Floyd Institute for Public Policy Franklin & Marshall College BERWOOD A. YOST DIRECTOR, FLOYD INSTITUTE FOR PUBLIC POLICY DIRECTOR, CENTER FOR OPINION RESEARCH HEAD METHODOLOGIST, FRANKLIN & MARSHALL COLLEGE POLL G. TERRY MADONNA DIRECTOR, CENTER FOR POLITICS AND PUBLIC AFFAIRS DIRECTOR, FRANKLIN & MARSHALL COLLEGE POLL JENNIFER L. HARDING PROJECT MANAGER, CENTER FOR OPINION RESEARCH PROJECT MANAGER, FRANKLIN & MARSHALL COLLEGE POLL KAY K. HUEBNER PROGRAMMER, CENTER FOR OPINION RESEARCH January 26, 2010 Table of Contents METHODOLOGY ..................................................................................................................... 2 KEY FINDINGS ........................................................................................................................ 4 THE RACE FOR PENNSYLVANIA GOVERNOR ...................................................................4 THE RACE FOR U.S. SENATE ...............................................................................................5 ARLEN SPECTER ...................................................................................................................6 TABLE A-1 ............................................................................................................................... 8 TABLE A-2 .............................................................................................................................. -
Survey of Pennsylvanians on the 2004 Presidential Election
The Morning Call/ Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion SURVEY OF PENNSYLVANIANS ON THE 2004 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION KEY FINDINGS REPORT October 22, 2004 KEY FINDINGS: 1. The race for Pennsylvanian’s crucial electoral votes for president remains extremely close with John Kerry leading George Bush by 2 percentage points. This lead is well within the poll’s margin of error 2. Pennsylvanians remain extremely divided in their views of President Bush, with almost identical percentages of commonwealth voters viewing him favorably in relation to those viewing him unfavorably. 3. Pennsylvanians rate president Bush as the candidate who would better handle the issue of terrorism, while Senator Kerry is rated higher on his ability to handle the issues of the economy and health care. 4. While a majority of Pennsylvania voters feel that the war in Iraq was not worth the costs paid by the United States, the state’s electorate is split on which candidate would better handle the situation in Iraq. 5. The war in Iraq and the economy are identified as the two most important issues upon which Pennsylvania voters will make their decision in the presidential race, with terrorism a close third. 6. For individuals that identified terrorism as the main issue that will decide their presidential vote, Bush is preferred by an overwhelming 4 to 1 margin. 7. Pennsylvanians demonstrate significant pessimism about the direction of the state’s economy, with John Kerry the overwhelming choice of voters who see the state’s economy as worse than last year. METHODOLOGY: The following key findings report summarizes data collected in a telephone survey of 787 registered voters in the state of Pennsylvania between October 17 and 21, 2004. -
Pennsylvania House of Representatives Bipartisan Management Committee
PENNSYLVANIA HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES BIPARTISAN MANAGEMENT COMMITTEE ORAL HISTORY PROJECT INTERVIEW WITH: The Honorable David Sweet (D) 48th District Washington County 1977-1988 INTERVIEW CONDUCTED BY: Jesse Teitelbaum, Research Analyst July 19, 2011 Transcribed by: Erin Miller © Copyright, Pennsylvania House of Representatives, Office of the Chief Clerk 1 Jesse Teitelbaum (JT): Good morning. The Honorable David Sweet (DS): Hello, Jesse. How are you? JT: I‟m well, thank you. DS: Good. JT: I‟m sitting here with David Sweet, who represented the 48th District, a Democrat from Washington County, from 1977 to 1988. Thank you for being with me. DS: Well, thank you for having me. It‟s great to be able to memorialize some of the memories and the things that happened over the years while I was in the Legislature, and I‟m not sure, like many things, I‟m not sure anyone will ever view this or read it, but it‟s probably good to have it all on the record. It‟s great. JT: Absolutely, absolutely. What I‟d like to do is start out just by asking you some questions about your early life. DS: Sure. JT: Tell me about your childhood, where you grew up, your family, and some of your early education. 2 DS: Well, I grew up in Washington, Pennsylvania, which is a little town. It was about 20 thousand then – it‟s probably not much more than 12 or 13 thousand now –25 miles southwest of Pittsburgh. JT: Okay. DS: And Washington – Little Washington to some people because people would drive through – Route 40 was the old national pike, and the interstate was actually built when I was a very small child that went around Washington, Pennsylvania, but many people knew of Washington, Pennsylvania, because they had to slog right through the main street of the town, as you did many towns before the interstate highway system, and it was Little Washington, but it was a good little town. -
SURVEY of LEHIGH VALLEY RESIDENTS on the 2004 PRESIDENTIAL, PENNSYLVANIA SENATE, and 15Th CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT ELECTION RACES
The Morning Call/ Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion SURVEY OF LEHIGH VALLEY RESIDENTS ON THE 2004 PRESIDENTIAL, PENNSYLVANIA SENATE, AND 15th CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT ELECTION RACES KEY FINDINGS REPORT October 3, 2004 KEY FINDINGS: 1. John Kerry leads George W. Bush in a survey of Lehigh Valley voters by six points – 47% - 41%. 2. Kerry is pulling on traditionally Democratic bases, such as female voters, people under the age of 35 and people over the age of 65 3. In general, people in the Lehigh Valley believe the country is safer from terrorism than it was prior to September of 2001, but do not believe that going to war with Iraq has made the country safer from terrorism. 4. Local opinion on the worth of the War in Iraq continues to have a large impact on preferences for the candidates seeking the White House, with individuals viewing the value of the war negatively overwhelmingly supporting John Kerry and those viewing the war’s worth positively supporting the president in large numbers 5. It appears likely that there will be significant ticket splitting occurring in the Lehigh Valley this fall, with more local voters leaning towards Senator Kerry in his election bid in comparison with support for other Democrats seeking seats in Congress. 6. Senator Arlen Specter maintains a strong lead over Congressmen Joe Hoeffel among Lehigh valley voters in the race to represent Pennsylvania in the United States Senate. 7. In the race for the 15th Congressional Seat being vacated by Pat Toomey, State Senator Charlie Dent is holding a considerable lead over his Democratic opponent Joe Driscoll. -
A Tale As Old As Time
YOUR HOMETOWN PAPER SINCE 1871 | www.longislandadvance.net | FEBRUARY 6, 2020 | $1 VOTE ON WEDNESDAY, MARCH 18 RE-ELECT Mayor Paul Pontieri Trustee John A. (Jack) Krieger Trustee Lori Devlin • Trustee Thomas Ferb EXPERIENCE YOU CAN TRUST FOLLOW @PATCHOGUE2020 ON #PATCHOGUE2020 Paid for by Friends of PAtchogue PATCHOGUE2020.COM Canaan Lake expected to refill by summer’s end Additional work will create new parkland and add public water access BY NICOLE FUENTES The multiphase plan to restore Canaan Lake back to its recreation- al glory days is now, according to Legis. Rob Calarco (D-Patchogue) in its final phase. Once completed later this summer, the lake will be restored back to its natural state to be used once again as a recreational center- piece in North Patchogue. In November, New York Depart- ment of Environmental Conservation permit applications were submitted, allowing the project to move into the last phase. They were ultimate- ly approved this January, and the Suffolk County Department of Pub- lic Works is currently soliciting bids for a contractor. Calarco acquired an additional $1.65 million in county funding late last year for the comple- tion of the project. Construction is expected to begin in the spring, and the lake should refill late this sum- mer or in early fall. The project began in 2017 with the installation of a new culvert and sluice gate under Traction Boule- vard, which allowed the lake to be drained in 2018 and ultimately dry out the lake bed. In 2019 the lake A tale as old as time bed was dry enough to utilize heavy machinery to scrape it and pile sed- are available for $15 and can be pur- Troy Sica as Cogsworth, Emma But- iment along the perimeter to help ‘Beauty and the Beast’ chased online only at ShowTix4U. -
Aa006392.Pdf (11.83Mb)
Inside: Message from the National Commander page 2 “MAKE FLAB PROTECTION AN ISSUE" National Adjutant’s column pages “A MEMORIAL FOR EVERYONE” Where candidates stand on flag protection page a Dateline: Capitol Hill page 7 “BUDGET PROCESS BADL Y LAGGING; VA APPROPRIA TIONS WILL SUFFER” A National Headquarters Publication Legion, VSOs support mandatory VA funding pages October 11,2002 Vol. 12, No. 4 Up & Coming: OCTOBER National Disability/Employment Awareness Month A matter of life or death 16 - Notification of Child Welfare Foundation Grant Commander outlines The American Legion's vision for VA. recipients for 2003 25-27 - National Americanism Conference in Indianapolis By James V. Carroll Contributing Editor 25-27 - Auxiliary Department Chaplains and Girls State Directors Conference in Indianapolis Thousands of veterans may die waiting for VA NOVEMBER health care if new and innovative sources of income 3-8 - Legion College in Indianapolis are not found, American Legion National 5 - Election Day Commander Ronald F. Conley told a joint session of House and Senate Veterans' Affairs committees on 11 - Veterans Day Capitol Hill in September. 6-9 - Auxiliary Presidents and Secretaries Conference in "There are 7 million veterans either enrolled or Indianapolis waiting to enroll to make VA their primary health¬ 17-23 - American Education Week care provider," Conley said. "But in order for the 24-30- National Family Week growing number of veterans to access VA health 28 - Holiday Donor Blood Drive begins care, additional revenue streams must be generated 28 - Thanksgiving to supplement - not offset - annual discretionary DECEMBER appropriations." To provide every veteran his or her promised 1-31 - Holiday Donor Blood Drive care, VA must become a needs-driven health-care 7 - Pearl Harbor Day operation and abandon its current budget-driven 15-Bill of Rights Day system, Conley said. -
2009 Annual Report-2.Pdf
Contents Page Letter from Co-Chairs .................................................. 1 2009 Federal Legislative Goals ...................................... 2 2009 State Legislative Goals ......................................... 2 2009 Accomplishments ................................................ 3 2009 Highlights ............................................................ 8 TFIC Officers & Committee Chairs .......................... 14 IDOT Districts and Regional Offices ......................... 15 IDOT Map of Districts and Regional Offices ............. 15 Illinois Congressional District Maps ........................... 16 Illinois Congressional Directory ................................. 18 Illinois General Assembly Directory ........................... 21 2009 TFIC Member Organizations ...... inside back cover Mission Statement .......................................... back cover How to Become a Member Membership in TFIC is open to organizations, associations, unions, local governments, regional groups and chambers of commerce from throughout Illinois. Any organization with members who realize the importance of transportation to Illi- nois jobs and the economy is encouraged to join. Contact Eric Fields, TFIC Membership Chair, at the Associ- ated General Contractors of Illinois, 217/789-2650; [email protected] or any member of the TFIC steering com- mittee. 312 S. Fourth Street, Suite 200 Springfield, Illinois 62701 217/572-1270 www.tficillinois.org For the past several years, TFIC has been working to support passage of a comprehensive -
Entire Issue
E PL UR UM IB N U U S Congressional Record United States th of America PROCEEDINGS AND DEBATES OF THE 107 CONGRESS, SECOND SESSION Vol. 148 WASHINGTON, WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 6, 2002 No. 8 House of Representatives The House met at 10 a.m. Mr. TIAHRT led the Pledge of Alle- Mr. LAMPSON. Mr. Speaker, every The Chaplain, the Reverend Daniel P. giance as follows: day for a year I spoke out on inter- Coughlin, offered the following prayer: I pledge allegiance to the Flag of the national child abduction. Today I will O Lord, our guardian and our refuge, United States of America, and to the Repub- focus on one case, that of Ludwig in times of war it is difficult to pray. lic for which it stands, one nation under God, Koons, who is being illegally kept in When living under the threat of attack, indivisible, with liberty and justice for all. Rome, Italy. Until Ludwig is returned anxieties and fear can steal Your abid- f to the United States, I will speak with ing presence. CONGRATULATING JENNIE WEISS outrage at the injustice that is being At such times, there is so much to BLOCK FOR HER NEW BOOK EX- done to this family, an example of pray about. To lift up to You all the PLORING THEOLOGY AND THE what thousands of American parents names of the victims of war is in itself DISABILITY MOVEMENT and their children face every day. a heavy task. To remember them in Ludwig Koons was born in New York prayer keeps our love alive and unveils (Ms. -
Congressional Record United States Th of America PROCEEDINGS and DEBATES of the 108 CONGRESS, SECOND SESSION
E PL UR UM IB N U U S Congressional Record United States th of America PROCEEDINGS AND DEBATES OF THE 108 CONGRESS, SECOND SESSION Vol. 150 WASHINGTON, THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 18, 2004 No. 133 House of Representatives The House met at 10 a.m. and was PRAYER THE JOURNAL called to order by the Speaker pro tem- The Chaplain, the Reverend Daniel P. The SPEAKER pro tempore. The pore (Mr. SIMPSON). Coughlin, offered the following prayer: Chair has examined the Journal of the Blessed be the God and Father of us f all, for he has chosen you to be rep- last day’s proceedings and announces resentatives of his people. to the House his approval thereof. Lord God, what a blessing it is to re- DESIGNATION OF THE SPEAKER Pursuant to clause 1, rule I, the Jour- alize one has a calling at a particular PRO TEMPORE nal stands approved. time for a specific service to accom- plish Your holy will. It is then we truly The SPEAKER pro tempore laid be- f fore the House the following commu- have purpose. nication from the Speaker: Both in great and small things, we WASHINGTON, DC, become neither overwhelmed nor dis- PLEDGE OF ALLEGIANCE November 18, 2004. dainful. Every task can be embraced. Every duty fulfilled. Every burden can The SPEAKER pro tempore. Will the I hereby appoint the Honorable MICHAEL K. be lightened by the knowledge that gentleman from Wisconsin (Mr. GREEN) SIMPSON to act as Speaker pro tempore on come forward and lead the House in the this day. -
Bloch Rubin ! ! a Dissertation Submitted in Partial Satisfaction of The
! ! ! ! Intraparty Organization in the U.S. Congress ! ! by! Ruth Frances !Bloch Rubin ! ! A dissertation submitted in partial satisfaction of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Political Science in the Graduate Division of the University of California, Berkeley ! Committee in charge: Professor Eric Schickler, Chair Professor Paul Pierson Professor Robert Van Houweling Professor Sean Farhang ! ! Fall 2014 ! Intraparty Organization in the U.S. Congress ! ! Copyright 2014 by Ruth Frances Bloch Rubin ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! Abstract ! Intraparty Organization in the U.S. Congress by Ruth Frances Bloch Rubin Doctor of Philosophy in Political Science University of California, Berkeley Professor Eric Schickler, Chair The purpose of this dissertation is to supply a simple and synthetic theory to help us to understand the development and value of organized intraparty blocs. I will argue that lawmakers rely on these intraparty organizations to resolve several serious collective action and coordination problems that otherwise make it difficult for rank-and-file party members to successfully challenge their congressional leaders for control of policy outcomes. In the empirical chapters of this dissertation, I will show that intraparty organizations empower dissident lawmakers to resolve their collective action and coordination challenges by providing selective incentives to cooperative members, transforming public good policies into excludable accomplishments, and instituting rules and procedures to promote group decision-making. And, in tracing the development of intraparty organization through several well-known examples of party infighting, I will demonstrate that intraparty organizations have played pivotal — yet largely unrecognized — roles in critical legislative battles, including turn-of-the-century economic struggles, midcentury battles over civil rights legislation, and contemporary debates over national health care policy. -
Copyright by Kristen Courtney Wilkerson 2003
Copyright by Kristen Courtney Wilkerson 2003 The Dissertation Committee for Kristen Courtney Wilkerson certifies that this is the approved version of the following dissertation: Cyber-Campaigning for Congress: A Cultural Analysis of House Candidate Web Sites Committee: Gary B. Wilcox, Supervisor Sharon E. Jarvis, Co-Supervisor Neal M. Burns Deborah K. Morrison Jef I. Richards Cyber-Campaigning for Congress: A Cultural Analysis of House Candidate Web Sites by Kristen Courtney Wilkerson, B.A., M.A. Dissertation Presented to the Faculty of the Graduate School of The University of Texas at Austin in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy The University of Texas at Austin May 2003 Dedication This dissertation is dedicated, first and foremost, to my husband, David. Throughout the research process, he never ceased to provide intelligent thoughts, constant encouragement, and an eager ear. There is no doubt that without his love and support, I could not have completed such a daunting task. I would also like to express heartfelt thanks to my father and mother, Tom and Jo Earnhart, for their constant love and never-ending faith in me. No matter which paths I've chosen in life -- and there have been a few -- they have never once questioned my choices or my abilities. I am so very grateful to be their daughter. And finally, thank you to my yellow Labrador, Simon, for sitting patiently at my feet, being a good boy (most of the time), and keeping me company during countless hours of research. Acknowledgements There are several intelligent, kind, and persistent faculty members who took the time and energy to see this dissertation to completion.