The Election Spring
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Revolution and Democracy: Sociopolitical Systems in the Context of Modernisation Leonid E
preview version Revolution and Democracy: Sociopolitical Systems in the Context of Modernisation Leonid E. Grinin and Andrey V. Korotayev Abstract The stability of socio-political systems and the risks of destabi- lisation in the process of political transformation are among the most im- portant issues of social development; the transition to democracy may pose a serious threat to the stability of a respective socio-political system. This article studies the issue of democratisation. It highlights the high economic and social costs of a rapid transition to democracy for countries unpre- pared for it—democracy resulting from revolutions or similar large-scale events. The authors believe that in a number of cases authoritarian regimes turn out to be more effective in economic and social terms than emerging democracies, especially those of a revolutionary type, which are often inca- pable of ensuring social order and may have a swing to authoritarianism. Effective authoritarian regimes can also be a suitable form of transition to an efficient and stable democracy. Using historical and contemporary examples, particularly the recent events in Egypt, the article investigates various correlations between revolutionary events and the possibility of es- tablishing democracy in a society. Keywords: democracy, revolution, extremists, counterrevolution, Isla- mists, authoritarianism, military takeover, economic efficiency, globali- sation, Egypt Introduction It is not surprising that in five years none of the revolutions of the Arab Spring has solved any urgent issues. Unfortunately, this was probably never a possibility. Various studies suggest a link between 110 preview version revolutions and the degree of modernisation of a society.1 Our research reveals that the very processes of modernisation, regardless of the level of consumption and the rate of population growth, is closely and organically linked to the risk of social and political upheaval, which can Leonid E. -
Introduction
Notes Introduction 1. Maye Kassem. 1999. In the Guise of Democracy: Governance in Contem- porary Egypt (London: Ithaca Press); Eberhard Kienle. 2001. A Grand Delusion: Democracy and Economic Reform in Egypt (London: I. B. Tau- ris); Eva Bellin. 2002. Stalled Democracy: Capital, Labor, and the Paradox of State- Sponsored Development (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press); Jason Brownlee. 2007. Authoritarianism in an Age of Democratization (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press); Lisa Blaydes. 2011. Elections and Distributive Politics in Mubarak’s Egypt (Cambridge: Cambridge Uni- versity Press); Ellen Lust-Okar. 2004. “Divided They Rule: The Manage- ment and Manipulation of Political Opposition,” Journal of Democracy 36(2): 139– 56. 2. Barrington Moore. 1966. Social Origins of Dictatorship and Democracy (Boston: Beacon); Charles Moraz. 1968. The Triumph of the Middle Class (New York: Anchor); Eric Hobsbawm. 1969. Industry and Empire (Har- mondsworth: Penguin). 3. Bellin. 2002. 4. Nazih Ayubi. 1995. Over-Stating the Arab State: Politics and Society in the Middle East (London: I. B. Tauris). 5. Samuel Huntington. 1991. The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century (Norman: University of Oklahoma Press), p. 67. 6. Ray Bush. 2012. “Marginality or Abjection? The Political Economy of Pov- erty Production in Egypt,” in Marginality and Exclusion in Egypt, ed. Ray Bush and Habib Ayeb (Cairo: American University in Cairo Press), p. 66. 7. Bellin. 2002. 8. Amr Adly. 2009. “Politically- Embedded Cronyism: The Case of Egypt,” Busi- ness and Politics 11(4): 1– 28. 9. Bellin. 2002. 10. Adly. 2009. 11. The only Policies Secretariat meeting that Gamal Mubarak missed since the establishment of the Secretariat in 2002 was in March 2010 when he was accompanying his father in Germany for treatment. -
Sidi Kerir Petrochemical Company (Sidpec)
SUBSCRIBE NOW THE MIDDLE EAST ( LE. 3 ) OBSERVER TO : THE MIDDLE THE PUBLISHER: AHMED FODA CHIEF EDITOR: H.A. RAOUF EAST OBSERVER MIDDLE EAST COUNSELORS: YASMIN FODA Economic AHMED SHAFIK covering the MAHMOUD FODA N.M.M. RASHED Middle East, Dir. of Public Relations: KAMAL MOKHTAR Arab Gulf and Head Office : 41, Sherif St., Cairo, Egypt African Markets Tel.: 23939732 - 23926919 Mob. : 01006670340 Head Office Emails : [email protected] 41, Sherif St., Cairo, Egypt [email protected] Tel. : 23939732 - 23926919 Fax : 23939732 - 27485844 [email protected] Mob. : 01006670340 Printed at Societe Orientale de Publicite Emails : [email protected] (S.O.P.) - Cairo - Egypt [email protected] - [email protected] 62nd YEAR No. 1 CAIRO WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 7, 2015 ESTABLISHED 1945 PRESIDENTIAL DECREE PRESIDENT SISI AND EMIR OF KUWAIT DISCUSS BILATERAL SISI REVIEWS WITH BUSINESSMEN Comment ON CREATING PHOS- OPPORTUNITIES OF INVESTMENT IN EGYPT PHATE INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS, ISSUES OF COMMON CONCERN TO THE REGION President Sisi met with the members of the Kuwaiti Chamber of SUBTERRANEAN ZONE IN ASWAN Commerce and Industry under Ali Thanyan Al Ghanem and 15 WATER HOPE OF President Abdel Fattah Al-Sisi has Kuwaiti investors with whom he discussed available chances of invest- issued a decree on establishing a ment in Egypt. During the meeting, Kuwaiti Businessmen expressed AGRICULTURAL phosphate industrial zone in Wadi willingess to take part in the economic conference which will be held EXPANSION IN Helal in Al-Sebaia City in Edfu, in Sharm El-Sheikh in March with the aim of supporting Egypt. The Aswan governorate at investments of Kuwaiti Businessmen offered the problems faced by Kuwaiti investors EGYPT LE 3.3 billion, and on an area of 5,115 in Egypt and called for solving them immediately. -
Saasamay 15, 2004
February 15, 2014 AUTOMOTIVE .................................................................. 5 GOVERNMENT BANS MOTORCYCLE AND THREE-WHEELER IMPORTS FOR ONE YEAR 5 A ministerial decree was issued on February 12 to authorize the minister of finance to issue a ban on the importation of motorcycles and three wheelers assembled abroad for one year. .......... 5 REAL ESTATE .................................................................. 5 GOVERNMENT APPROVES SETTLEMENT ON SODIC’S EASTOWN 5 The government has approved the settlement on Sixth of October Development and Investment Company’s (SODIC) East town land. ..................................................... 5 BUILDING MATERIALS ...................................................... 5 LAFARGE PLANS TO USE FUEL COKE ARE CURBED 5 The French company Lafarge has been ordered by the Ministry of State for Environmental Affairs (MSEA) to halt its preparations to build storage units for fuel coke. .......................... 5 -1- Compiled by: Business Studies & Analysis Center (BSAC) Subscribe and unsubscribe by sending an e-mail to: [email protected] Web: http://www.amcham.org.eg EZZ STEEL MAINTAINS ITS FEBRUARY STEEL PRICES AT EGP 4,950/TON 6 Steel prices in Egypt were maintained by Ezz Steel and Beshay Steel for February at EGP 4,950/ton and EGP 4,960/ton, respectively. ........................................................... 6 ECONOMY ...................................................................... 6 NIR INCREASE TO USD17.105 BILLION IN JANUARY 2014 6 Egypt's net international -
Political Parties and Public Opinion in Egypt. February 2014
Political Parties and Public Opinion in Egypt. February 2014. Mohammed el-Agati Nick Sigler Nick Harvey MP Poll study by Sobhy Essaila Foreword by Greg Power Political Parties and Public Opinion in Egypt Political Parties and Public Opinion in Egypt Researchers in the order of the papers: Greg Power : (Director of Global Partners Governance) (Political researcher and the executive Mohamed El-Agati : Director of the AFA) (Head of international relations for UNISON Nick Sigler : syndicate) (Member of House of Commons and Former Nick Harvy : Minister) (Pollster and expert at Al-Ahram center for Sobhi essela : strategic and political studies) Publishers: Arab Forum for Alternatives and Global Partners Governance No. filing Publishing and Distribution +2 01222235071 [email protected] www.rwafead.com These papers are the product of an internal seminar. They are issued in a non-periodic manner and reflect only the views of their authors and not necessarily the opinion of the Arab Forum for Alternatives (AFA) or any of its partner institutions. Index CHALLENGES FOR POLITICAL PARTIES IN TRANSITIONAL ELECTIONS - ORGANISATION, POLICIES AND IDENTITY .............................................................. 7 ANALYSIS OF A STUDY ON THE ORIENTATION OF EGYPTIANS REGARDING POLITICAL PARTICIPATION AND POLITICAL PARTIES............................................ 11 OPINION POLLS AND EGYPTIAN POLITICAL PARTIES (BENEFITSAND PITFALLS) ... 21 POLITICAL PARTIES AND CAMPAIGNING: CONCLUSIONS FROM THE POLL .......... 27 EGYPTIANS’ PERSPECTIVES ON POLITICAL -
The Role of Political Parties in Promoting a Culture of Good Governance in Egypt Post-2011
The American University in Cairo The School of Global Affairs and Public Policy The Role of Political Parties in Promoting a Culture of Good Governance in Egypt Post-2011 A Thesis Submitted to the Public Policy and Administration Department in partial fulfillment of the requirements of the degree of Master of Arts By Omar Kandil Supervised by Dr. Amr Hamzawy Professor , Public Policy and Administration, AUC Dr. Lisa Anderson President, AUC Dr. Hamid Ali Associate Professor & Chair, Public Policy and Administration, AUC Spring 2015 1 Acknowledgements There are a few people without which it would have been impossible for me to finish this piece of work. Two of the most important women of my life top the list: my mother Amany Mohamed Abdallah and my wife-to-be Hanya El-Azzouni, who are the fuel of all of my past, present and future life’s endeavors. I must thank them and express my deepest love and gratitude to everything they have given me and their presence in my life day by day. It would have been impossible to make it through without them. You are my blessings. This thesis closes my chapter as an AUC student, a chapter which opened in 2007. This place has given me so much and I would not have been able to write this research without the numerous opportunities this institution has blessed me with. I especially wish to thank President Lisa Anderson for being a constant source of guidance, friendship, and support throughout the past years, on all levels of my AUC experience, as an undergraduate student, graduate student, staff member, and now on this work. -
Egypt: 6 Political Parties and 22 Civil Society Organizations Reject the New Associations Law
www.cihrs.org Egypt: 6 Political parties and 22 civil society organizations reject the new associations law November 15, 2016. | Egypt /Road Map Program, Statements and Position Papers Political parties and civil society organizations reject the new associations law Joint Press Statement The undersigned political parties and civil society organizations condemn and reject the proposed law on civic associations drafted by parliamentary committees, because it effectively eradicates civil society and defers administration of it to the government and security apparatus. Parliament began to debate the bill and approved 40 of its 89 articles yesterday in record time. It is scheduled to resume debate on the remaining articles on November 15. We also condemn parliament’s treatment of civil society as an enemy to be defeated through secret plots and laws. REUTERS/Khaled Elfiqi/Pool The bill closely resembles the previous government- sponsored bill released to the media in September, which was rejected by rights organizations. The bill drafted by the “people’s representatives,” however, is even more repressive and hostile to civic associations and the very idea of volunteerism and collective initiatives. If approved, the law could destroy legally established civic associations working in social development and services. Such organizations will be required under the law to reconcile their legal status with the new statute, which sets overly broad conditions for registration, such as that the organization in question not engage in activity that conflicts with national security and the public order. In fact, the law will give the competent administrative body (as yet undefined) the power to determine whether an association’s activities correspond with the needs of society and development plans. -
Egypt Weekly Newsletter January 2014, 4Th Quarter
EGYPT WEEKLY NEWSLETTER JANUARY, 2014 (4th QUARTER) CONTENT 1. Political Overview………..........01 2. Economic Overview……..….…..01 3. Banking…………………….……..….04 4. Subsidy………………………………..05 5. Investment……………………..…..06 6. Food Industry………………....….06 7. Energy..….……………………………07 8. IT & Telecom……..…..…………...08 9. Construction..………………………09 10. International Trade..….………10 Compiled by Thai Trade Center, Cairo POLITICAL OVERVIEW Egypt Police General Killed as al-Seesi Weighs Presidency Source: Egypt Indepdent, January 27, 2014 Gunmen killed a senior Egyptian police official a day after the military endorsed a possible presidential run by Defense Minister Abdelfatah al-Seesi. Assailants on a motorcycle shot Major General Mohamed al-Saeed, director of the Interior Ministry’s technical office, said Ahmed Dawoud, an officer at the Giza investigations unit. A day earlier, the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces said that the public wants al-Seesi, who hasn’t announced his plans, to run for election and it’s up to him to “shoulder the responsibility.” The assassination spotlights the security woes that have fueled calls for al-Seesi, who ousted Islamist President Mohamed Mursi in July, to run for the top job. His critics accuse him of leading the bloodiest crackdown against Islamists in decades since Mursi’s ouster, and say the country is turning back into a police state. Mursi went on trial today in the second of four criminal cases against him. “Al-Seesi has a strong support base pushing for him to run,” said Islam Al Tayeb, a research analyst at the International Institute for Strategic Studies in London . “And if he runs, he will highly likely win.” ECONOMIC OVERVIEW Egypt Central Bank receives additional $2 billion from Saudi Arabia Source: Egypt Economist, January 28, 2014 Egypt's Central Bank (CBE) received $2 billion from Saudi Arabia, the Egyptian daily Al-Mal reported on Wednesday. -
Trends in Overseas Direct Investment by Chinese Companies in 2013
Trends in Overseas Direct Investment by Chinese Companies in 2013 January 2015 China and North Asia Division Overseas Research Department Japan External Trade Organization (JETRO) Exclusion of liability clause Responsibility for decisions made based on the information provided in this report shall rest solely on readers. Though JETRO strives to provide accurate information, JETRO will not be responsible for any loss or damage incurred by readers through the use of the information. Unauthorized reproduction prohibited Introduction There is a trend among Chinese companies toward direct foreign investment (FDI) that is becoming more active each year. China’s 2013 FDI (net, flow) announced in September 2014 set a new record, at USD107, 843.71 million, a 22.8% increase year-on-year. By region, Chinese FDI in Asia and Central and South America drove the increase, while FDI in Europe declined. By industry, mining and finance stood out as contributing to the increase, while manufacturing made a negative contribution. In light of these circumstances, this report presents multifaceted verification of the situation in regions of China with regard to Chinese FDI and the situation in the countries and regions that receive FDI, and it describes the current state of overseas development by Chinese companies, which are expanding around the world. This report appeared in JETRO Daily in November and December 2014, and it is based on the data available at the time of writing (September-October 2014).It is hoped that this report will serve as a reference in various quarters, including at Japanese companies. January 2015 Overseas Research Department, Japan External Trade Organization (JETRO) . -
Abstract Mass Mobilization And
ABSTRACT MASS MOBILIZATION AND THE BREAKDOWN OF DEMOCRATIC REGIMES: EGYPT AND INDONESIA IN A COMPARATIVE PERSPECTIVE Testriono, M.A. Department of Political Science Northern Illinois University, 2016 Kikue Hamayotsu, Director Why do elite conflicts in new democratic countries produce divergent political outcomes? Under what conditions do elite conflicts lead to the survival or the breakdown of democracy? Previous studies emphasize structural, institutional, and elite factors in explaining democratic breakdown, while overlooking popular mobilization as a factor. In proposing the interaction of two variables, elite conflict and mass mobilization, this thesis argues the divergent levels of the embeddedness of mass mobilization in elite conflict during political crisis result in either the survival or the breakdown of democratic regimes. I examine Egypt and Indonesia because they underwent severe elite conflict but had different regime outcomes. Egypt is a case of a high-level embeddedness of mass mobilization in an elite conflict during political crisis, which triggered a military takeover and resulted in the breakdown of Egyptian democracy. In contrast, Indonesia is a case of a low-level embeddedness of mass mobilization in an elite conflict during political crisis, which resulted in the survival of Indonesian democracy. NORTHERN ILLINOIS UNIVERSITY DEKALB, ILLINOIS MAY 2016 MASS MOBILIZATION AND THE BREAKDOWN OF DEMOCRATIC REGIMES: EGYPT AND INDONESIA IN A COMPARATIVE PERSPECTIVE BY TESTRIONO © 2016 Testriono A THESIS SUBMITTED TO THE GRADUATE SCHOOL IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE MASTER OF ARTS DEPARTMENT OF POLITICAL SCIENCE Thesis Director: Kikue Hamayotsu ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I would like to express my special gratitude to my thesis advisor, Prof. -
Womenls Rights in Egypt
Amnesty International Education Resource WOMEN’S RIGHTS IN EGYPT ABOUT THIS RESOURCE These two lesson plans provide a cross-curricular scheme of work for 14-16 year- olds. Students investigate the current issue of women’s rights in Egypt using images, up-to-date information and peer-learning. They learn how to use persuasive writing techniques for a real and pressing purpose, and carry out structured peer-assessment of speaking, listening and writing skills. The scheme is recommended for use in GCSE English Language, drama and humanities subjects, including citizenship. Links to the curricula of the UK are included. RESOURCE CONTENTS This document contains: • Lesson plans 1 and 2 • Teacher’s notes • UK curriculum links To use the lesson plans, you will need to download the following supporting materials: • Gallery pack • Lesson 1 worksheets - Role play worksheet - Peer assessment sheet: role play - Universal Declaration of Human Rights summary version* • Lesson 2 worksheets - Persuasive writing examples - Writing a persuasive letter - Peer assessment sheet: persuasive writing - Address sheet • PowerPoint presentation Women’s rights in Egypt LearninG OBJectiVes Students will: • learn about women’s rights in Egypt; • read non-fiction texts for information; • use personal targets to improve speaking and listening skills; • write to persuade effectively; • take responsible and informed action to defend human rights. 1 Amnesty International Women’s rights in Egypt WOMEN’S RIGHTS IN EGYPT LESSON 1 RESEARCHING AND ROLE-PLAYS LEARNING OBJECTIVES In this lesson students will: • learn about women’s rights in Egypt; • read non-fiction texts for information; • use personal targets to improve speaking and listening skills. -
Social Media- a New Virtual Civil Society in Egypt? Abdulaziz Sharbatly
Social Media- a new Virtual Civil Society in Egypt? Abdulaziz Sharbatly This is a digitised version of a dissertation submitted to the University of Bedfordshire. It is available to view only. This item is subject to copyright. • Social Media - a new virtual civil society in Egypt? UNIVERSITY OF BEDFORDSHIRE 1 Social Media: a new virtual civil society in Egypt? by Abdulaziz Sharbatly A thesis submitted to the University of Bedfordshire in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy Research Institute for Media, Arts & Performance Journalism & Communications Department 2 AbstractAbstractAbstract This project seeks to trace the power of social media in serving as a virtual civil society in the Arab world, focusing on Egypt as a case study. This study aims to explore the role of social media in mobilising Egyptian activists across generations, and particularly in reaching out to people under the age of 35 who constitute around 50 per cent of the population. Studies preceding the 2011 uprising reported that young Egyptians were politically apathetic and were perceived as incapable of bringing about genuine political changes. Drawing on a range of methods and data collected from focus groups of young people under the age of 35, interviews with activists (across generations and gender), and via a descriptive web feature analysis, it is argued that online action has not been translated into offline activism. The role of trust in forming online networks is demonstrated, and how strong ties can play a pivotal role in spreading messages via social media sites. Activists relied on social media as a medium of visibility; for those who were not active in the political sphere, social media have been instrumental in raising their awareness about diverse political movements and educating them about the political process, after decades of political apathy under Mubarak’s regime.