Petro-Market Civilization. (20 November, 2012)
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ROMAHDUS Vipu
ROMAHDUS ViPu Lokakuu 2014 1 Sisällys Lukijalle……………………………………………………… 2 1 Mikä romahdus?…………………………………………… 2 2 Romahduksen lajeista……………………………………… 6 3 Romahduksen vaiheista…………………………………… 15 4 Teoreetikkoja ja näkemyksiä……………………………… 17 5 Romahdus—maailmanloppu, apokalypsi, kriisi, utopia… 25 6 Romahdus ja selviytyminen………………………………. 29 7 Pitääkö romahdusta jouduttaa?…………………………… 44 8 Romahdus, tieto ja hallinta………………………………… 49 9 Romahdus ja politiikka…………………………………….. 53 2 Lukijalle Tämä teksti on osa pohdiskelua, jonka tarkoituksena on luoda pohjaa Vihreän Puolueen poliittiselle toiminnalle. Tekstin aiheena on jo monin paikoin ja tavoin alkanut teollisten sivilisaatioiden ja modernismin kehityskertomuksen romahdus. Tekstin ensimmäiset 8 lukua käsittelevät erilaisia teorioita, käsityksiä ja vapaampaankin ajatuksenlentoon nojaavia näkökulmia romahdukseen. Ne eivät siis missään nimessä edusta ViPun poliittisia käsityksiä tai tavotteita, vaan pohjustavat alustavia poliittisia johtopäätöksiä, jotka esitetään luvussa 9. Toisin sanoen luvut 1-8 pyörittelevät aihetta suuntaan ja toiseen ja luku 9 esittää välitilinpäätöksen, jonka on edelleen tarkoitus tarkentua ja elää tilanteen mukaan. Tätä romahdus-osiota on myös tarkoitus lukea muiden ViPun teoreettisten tekstien kanssa, niiden ristivalotuksessa. 1 Mikä romahdus? Motto: "Yhden maailman loppu on toisen maailman alku, yhden maailmanloppu on toisen maailmanalku." Moton sanaleikin tarkoitus on huomauttaa, että vaikka yhteiskunnan romahdus onkin yksilön ja ryhmän näkökulmasta vääjäämätön tapahtuma, johon -
Part I: Introduction
Part I: Introduction “Perhaps the sentiments contained in the following pages are not yet sufficiently fashionable to procure them general favor; a long habit of not thinking a thing wrong gives it a superficial appearance of being right, and raises at first a formidable outcry in defense of custom. But the tumult soon subsides. Time makes more converts than reason.” -Thomas Paine, Common Sense (1776) “For my part, whatever anguish of spirit it may cost, I am willing to know the whole truth; to know the worst and provide for it.” -Patrick Henry (1776) “I am aware that many object to the severity of my language; but is there not cause for severity? I will be as harsh as truth. On this subject I do not wish to think, or speak, or write, with moderation. No! No! Tell a man whose house is on fire to give a moderate alarm; tell him to moderately rescue his wife from the hands of the ravisher; tell the mother to gradually extricate her babe from the fire into which it has fallen -- but urge me not to use moderation in a cause like the present. The apathy of the people is enough to make every statue leap from its pedestal, and to hasten the resurrection of the dead.” -William Lloyd Garrison, The Liberator (1831) “Gas is running low . .” -Amelia Earhart (July 2, 1937) 1 2 Dear Reader, Civilization as we know it is coming to an end soon. This is not the wacky proclamation of a doomsday cult, apocalypse bible prophecy sect, or conspiracy theory society. -
As the World Burns……..……….....……………….…
$65.00 per year $6.00 U.S. A Nonpartisan Non-sectarian MAP for the Here That Is, Into the Tomorrow of Our Own Making Vol. VII, No. 8 ——–—————–———————————————————–—–——–————————— Dec 8, 2004 © Copyright 2004 FTW Economic Alert AsAs TheThe WorldWorld BurnsBurns By Michael C. Ruppert -- But when the run on the dollar begins, OPEC will inevitably at some point switch its pricing to the Euro, which the entire world is wrangling - much to Europe's chagrin - into not only a safe-haven currency, but a profitable one. The next house is being built before the old one is abandoned. When the run on the dollar begins, it will be as if the rest of the world declared war on the United States of America by launching a missile, dropping a bomb, or landing an army at Bethany Beach, Delaware. That this will lead ultimately to widespread global warfare seems certain. This is exactly the way the administration is setting it up to appear to the American people. Think of 9/11 times fifty. The rest of the world is merely defending itself with non-violent means - for the moment. But it will be portrayed as an attack upon the US. "Why?" George Bush will ask, rhetorically. "They hate us because of our freedom." And, barring a miracle, the end results will be exactly the same as from a physical attack: devastation so complete and unthinkable - magnified by the brutal impacts of Peak Oil - that only a few will even try to prepare for it. That is sad because preparation will make all the difference (barring luck or divine intervention) in who survives and to what extent they remain intact and functioning afterwards. -
The Status of the Water-Food-Energy Security Nexus in Asia and the Pacific Region
UNESCAP Contract No. 6122 Index No.827239. Draft submitted by A. Hezri Adnan on …. The Status of the Water-Food-Energy Security Nexus in Asia and the Pacific region A position paper commissioned by the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific 15 MARCH 2013 0 Position Paper on the Status of the Water-Food-Energy Nexus in Asia and the Pacific region Deliverable 5: First Draft 1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 CONTENTS 1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ................................................................................................................ 1 2. BACKGROUND ............................................................................................................................ 4 2.1. The debate on resources scarcity ................................................................................ 4 2.2. New resource realism ....................................................................................................... 5 2.3. Rationale to integrate water-energy-food ................................................................ 6 2.4. Benefits of the Nexus approach .................................................................................... 7 2.5. Report overview ................................................................................................................. 9 3. NEXUS AT THE FOREFRONT OF POLICY AND SCIENTIFIC DEBATE ................................... 9 3.1. Policy conferences ......................................................................................................... -
Shale Gas Issues from Various Jurisdictions
Shale Gas Issues From Various Jurisdictions ........................................................................................ 10 Foreword ........................................................................................................................................... 10 Calls for Moratoriums and Bans ......................................................................................................... 11 Pennsylvanians Demand Senators Declare Independence from Fracking ..................................... 11 Anti-Frackers Turn Focus On State Of Colorado After Win At Boulder County Level .................... 11 French president vows no fracking while he is president ............................................................... 11 Dear Governor Cuomo - New Yorkers Against Fracking Embedded Video ................................... 12 Fracking ban is about our water ..................................................................................................... 12 Gas drillers cancel lease with NE Pa. landowners ......................................................................... 12 Kent mayors vote for shale gas moratorium ................................................................................... 12 Contamination and Science ............................................................................................................... 14 Fracking near Shafter raises questions about drilling practices - Embedded video ........................ 14 RED WATER AND FOAM: FRACKING POLLUTION NEAR RICHWOOD, -
Michael Klare WWI Conference – NYC 4-3-14 Geopolitics and War I'm Going to Talk About the Resurgence of Geopolitics As the D
Michael Klare WWI Conference – NYC 4-3-14 Geopolitics and War I’m going to talk about the resurgence of geopolitics as the driving force in international competition and conflict. Geopolitics has been the driving force behind most large-scale conflicts of the past few centuries, is driving current international crises, and will be the primary cause of any new great-power conflict that may arise. Preventing conflict will therefore require an understanding of contemporary geopolitics, and the development of strategies for curbing the geopolitical impulse. Strategies for peace that fail to take account of geopolitics will not succeed. So first, what do I mean by geopolitics, and how is it shaping the current international environment? Geopolitics represents the intersection of geography, the pursuit of power, and material interests like access to vital raw materials such as land water, minerals, and energy. History tells us that the great powers continuously struggle amongst themselves for political and economic advantage, and that struggle usually takes the form of a struggle for colonies, cropland, slaves, vital raw materials, markets, and key geographical positions like Gibraltar, Singapore, Hong Kong, the Dardanelles, and the Strait of Hormuz. Control over these assets determine whether a state will rise and prosper, or decline and fail. All major wars are driven by the pursuit of such geopolitical assets, or efforts to prevent their seizure by rival powers. Of course, warring powers always provide a religious or ideological justification for such forays: the spread of Christianity, the spread of Communism or Democracy, the prerogatives of the Master Race, and so on. -
Renewablesrenewables
$65.00 per year $6.00 U.S. A Nonpartisan Non-sectarian MAP for the Here That Is, Into the Tomorrow of Our Own Making Vol. VIII, No. 2 ——–—————–———————————————————–—–——–—————–——— May 11, 2005 © Copyright 2005 RenewablesRenewables PART 2 Emphasizing Proximity By Mike Kane [Clearly, a massive program of renewable energy construction is in order. But it is just as clear that neither the fed- eral government nor the majority of American citizens has the insight or the will to undertake such a program - and someday soon (given the American monetary position in the world system), they may not even have the capital. John C. Pennie and others like him deserve respect for their prudence and foresight, and for the small but real con- tribution their renewables make to the environmental situation -- but their projects have little to do with the national emergency that FTW expects in the middle term. -JAH] The following report was based primarily on an interview with John C. Pennie on January 17, 2005. Since then, Mr. Pennie has informed FTW that plans to erect three wind turbines on the same property as his residence have been cancelled. On April 26, 2005, Mr. Pennie sent me the following email: From: J.C. Pennie To: Michael Kane Sent: Tuesday, April 26, 2005 10: 20 AM Michael, I have been pondering your article "Renewables Part 1" and agree with your premise. That is why we have de- cided to focus on 'inland clusters' (of wind turbines) servicing a local area. In Ontario, there are many small community hydro distributors, which could potentially allow for distributed rather than centralized generation of renewables. -
Life After the Oil Crash Page 1 of 24
Peak Oil: Life After the Oil Crash Page 1 of 24 Life After the Oil Crash "Deal with Reality, or Reality will Deal with You" Dear Reader, Civilization as we know it is coming to an end soon. This is not the wacky proclamation of a doomsday cult, apocalypse bible prophecy sect, or conspiracy theory society. Rather, it is the scientific conclusion of the best paid, most widely-respected geologists, physicists, and investment bankers in the world. These are rational, professional, conservative individuals who are absolutely terrified by a phenomenon known as global “Peak Oil.” "Are We 'Running Out'? I Thought There Was 40 Years of the Stuff Left" Oil will not just "run out" because all oil production follows a bell curve. This is true whether we're talking about an individual field, a country, or on the planet as a whole. Join the LATOC Mailing Oil is increasingly plentiful on the upslope of the bell curve, increasingly List scarce and expensive on the down slope. The peak of the curve coincides with the point at which the endowment of oil has been 50 percent depleted. Once the peak is passed, oil production begins to go down while cost begins to go up. In practical and considerably oversimplified terms, this means that if 2000 was the year of global Peak Oil, worldwide oil production in the year 2020 will be With his the same as it was in 1980. However, the world’s population in 2020 will be website, Lif both much larger (approximately twice) and much more industrialized (oil- Savinar he dependent) than it was in 1980. -
Earth 2100—Act Two
EARTH 2100—ACT TWO BOB WOODRUFF The year is 2015, six short years from now, and the best laid plans are getting underway. A wave farm off Scotland is harnessing the ocean’s energy.1 Vatican City has gone totally solar.2 And here in America, cars are running cleaner and more efficiently.3 Still we cling to that old habit…oil. And it’s getting harder and more expensive to find.4 NEWSCAST Across the US people are going to extremes to find gas price relief. In California...5 THOMAS HOMER DIXON Professor, Centre for Environment and Business, University of Waterloo We could see – doubling, or tripling of real oil prices, that’s after inflation. MICHAEL KLARE Professor, Peace & World Security Studies, Hampshire College We are running out of oil, and we've created a society, the American way of life is what we call it, based on the assumption that oil will be plentiful forever. THOMAS HOMER DIXON The large spread out suburbs that we've grown accustomed to, the strip malls, the big box stores with their enormous parking lots around them all of those have been made possible because we have had cheap gasoline as energy becomes much more expensive, you'll see that those areas become less desirable places to live. MARCH 2015 Graphic Novel Element: LUCY The first time I moved? I was six. Everyone was leaving the suburbs for the city. There were new jobs and you didn’t need a car for everything. My dad was going to work on new streetcar system in Miami.6 And my mother told me we were going to live on the top floor of an apartment building. -
The Changing Dynamics of Energy Conflict
View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by PennState, The Dickinson School of Law: Penn State Law eLibrary Penn State Journal of Law & International Affairs Volume 3 Issue 2 The 9 Billion People Question: The Challenge of Global Resource Scarcity February 2015 From Scarcity to Abundance: The Changing Dynamics of Energy Conflict Michael T. Klare Follow this and additional works at: https://elibrary.law.psu.edu/jlia Part of the Agriculture Law Commons, Diplomatic History Commons, Energy and Utilities Law Commons, History of Science, Technology, and Medicine Commons, International and Area Studies Commons, International Law Commons, International Trade Law Commons, Law and Politics Commons, Natural Resources Law Commons, Oil, Gas, and Mineral Law Commons, Political Science Commons, Public Affairs, Public Policy and Public Administration Commons, Rule of Law Commons, Social History Commons, and the Transnational Law Commons ISSN: 2168-7951 Recommended Citation Michael T. Klare, From Scarcity to Abundance: The Changing Dynamics of Energy Conflict, 3 PENN. ST. J.L. & INT'L AFF. 10 (2015). Available at: https://elibrary.law.psu.edu/jlia/vol3/iss2/4 The Penn State Journal of Law & International Affairs is a joint publication of Penn State’s School of Law and School of International Affairs. Penn State Journal of Law & International Affairs 2015 VOLUME 3 NO. 2 FROM SCARCITY TO ABUNDANCE: THE CHANGING DYNAMICS OF ENERGY CONFLICT Michael T. Klare* INTRODUCTION In November 2012, the International Energy Agency (IEA) triggered headlines around the world when it announced that the United States, by dint of its success in utilizing new extractive technologies, would likely overtake Saudi Arabia to become the world’s leading oil producer by 2020.1 At a time in which many analysts had come to believe that the world was facing an impending “peak” in global oil output followed by an irreversible decline,2 the IEA’s report was said to herald a new and unexpected era of hydrocarbon plenty. -
Draft Extradition Update…
$65.00 per year $6.00 U.S. FROM THE WILDERNESS A Nonpartisan Non-sectarian MAP from the Here That Is, Into the Tomorrow of Our Own Making Vol. VII, No. 3 ——–—————–————————————————–—–——–————————— July 1, 2004 © Copyright 2004 -- Special Report, Berlin Conference on Peak Oil -- World Developments Catch Up With Policy Debates Peak Oil Revisited – The Bill Collector Calls by Michael C. Ruppert I must not fear. Fear is the mind-killer. Fear is the little death that brings total obliteration. I will face my fear. I will permit it to pass over me and through me. And when it has gone past, I will turn the inner eye to see its path. Where the fear has gone there will be nothing. Only I will remain. -- Frank Herbert, DUNE The one thing that every Middle Eastern leader, manager, and planner who dreams of holding his country together fears now, is that there will be a widespread uprising, inspired by the perceived victory against Spain after Madrid, and Spain’s withdrawal from Iraq, that it might prompt much of the Muslim world to start attacking oil facilities everywhere. This is the way they see that has worked to defeat the West and to avenge their grievances. May God help us all if that happens. Stability must come to Iraq. But how? -- Anonymous Middle Eastern Participant at the Third Conference of the Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas – Berlin, May 2004 JUNE 21, 2004: 11:00 PDT – (BERLIN, LOS ANGELES), FTW began writing about Peak Oil in the summer of 2002. -
Growth Isn't Possible: Why We Need a New Economic Direction
Schumacher College Transformative learning for sustainable living Growth isn’t possible Why we need a new economic direction Contents Foreword 2 Introduction 4 Greenhouse gas emissions and current climate change 24 Scenarios of growth and emission reductions 52 Peak Oil, Gas and Coal? 69 Carbon capture and storage – 85 the nuclear fusion of the 2010s? The limits to nuclear 91 The hydrogen economy 93 Biofuels 95 Geoengineering – technological saviour 98 or damaging distraction? How much can energy efficiency really improve? 102 Equity considerations 117 If not the economics of global growth, then what? 118 Getting an economy the right size for the planet Endnotes 125 Foreword If you spend your time thinking that the most important objective of public policy is to get growth up from 1.9 per cent to 2 per cent and even better 2.1 per cent we’re pursuing a sort of false god there. We’re pursuing it first of all because if we accept that, we will do things to the climate that will be harmful, but also because all the evidence shows that beyond the sort of standard of living which Britain has now achieved, extra growth does not automatically translate into human welfare and happiness. Lord Adair Turner1 Chair of the UK Financial Services Authority Anyone who believes exponential growth can go on forever in a finite world is either a madman or an economist. Kenneth E. Boulding Economist and co-founder of General Systems Theory n January 2006, nef (the new economics foundation) published the report Growth isn’t working.2 It highlighted a flaw at the heart of the general economic strategy Ithat relies upon global economic growth to reduce poverty.