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APEC STUDY CENTER The Future of the WTO and the International Trading System n 26 February 2002, the APEC Study Center and the OProgram in International Economic Policy, School for International and Public Affairs, sponsored a keynote address given by Dr. Supachai Panitchpakdi, the Spring 2002 Distinguished Speaker in International Economic Policy. Moderated and introduced by Professor Merit E. Janow, Director of the Program in International Economic Policy, Professors Jagdish Bhagwati and Joseph Stiglitz of Columbia University joined Dr. Supachai in extensive discussion following the address. Excerpts of their presentations are presented below. Co-sponsored by: Program in International Economic Policy, School for International and Public Affairs, Columbia University 2 APEC Study Center Merit E. Janow Director, Program in International Economic Policy, School of International and Public Affairs; Co-Director, APEC Study Center, Columbia University MERIT E. JANOW never been greater. Dr. Supachai comes Introductory Comments to this difficult task after a long and successful career as a scholar, diplomat he WTO is operating in an and politician. He served as Deputy environment of growing demands T Prime Minister and Minister of Commerce and cross-pressures: Developing in Thailand. He also spent time in the countries are urging the WTO to more financial sector and in academia. fully reflect their economic interests and concerns. Issues such as the envi- Professors Joseph Stiglitz and Jagdish ronment, health, labor and investment Bhagwati are with us to exchange views remain contentious both within nations with Dr. Supachai and help us think and between nations and much work together about the challenges facing the is necessary to advance international international trading system. Professor treatment of these issues. There is Stiglitz’s unique contribution in the also active discussion on the need for field of economics was recognized by greater cooperation between interna- the Nobel Prize last year and his contri- tional institutions like the World Bank butions to public policy have also been and the WTO and expanded efforts are enormous. His leadership has been bold underway (or at least under discussion) as Chairman of the Council of Economic on how to expand capacity building and Advisors and Chief Economist of the technical assistance programs toward World Bank at a time of economic developing countries. Some believe that crisis in Asia. policy makers need to push global eco- In the field of international trade, nomic integration still further and that Professor Bhagwati’s enormous contri- the WTO is the place where this can bution to economic scholarship and occur. Others believe that the world public policy cannot be overstated. He’s is still digesting the Uruguay Round the author of more than 200 articles and experimentation with broader and and 40 volumes. There’s no important deeper formal integration or liberaliza- aspect of this field that he has not tion should occur more slowly or, addressed. His famous wit and wise perhaps, elsewhere. We are here today counsel served the previous Director to examine these and other questions. General of the WTO, Arthur Dunkel, Dr. Supachai Panitchpakdi will take whom he served as economic policy the helm as Director General of the advisor. He is a special advisor to WTO in September 2002. He does this the UN on globalization and external at a time when interest in the WTO has advisor to the WTO at present. The Future of the WTO and the International Trading System3 SUPACHAI PANITCHPAKDI of difficulties, disputes, and conflicts. Director General Designate, The GATT would try to mediate and World Trade Organization solve these disputes, but countries were not legally required to comply. Under entered the race for the position the DSM, the decisions of the final of Director General of the World I panel, the appellate body, must be put Trade Organization because I thought into practice. The WTO allows those that after fifty odd years, the time had who argue that they have been harmed come for an institution with the global to retaliate against those countries who responsibilities of the GATT, to have violated the agreement. Quotas may be a kind of global governance as well. We imposed against goods from violating need global governance at the major countries, as well as higher tariffs or international institutions, if we’re going surcharges. Normally, these violate to manage the process of globalization WTO rules, but if they are imposed to so that each and everyone can benefit. compensate for an injury agreed upon Today, we have 144 members, with by the appellate body, they become 28 countries waiting in the wings to legitimate. join the WTO. If we can facilitate The WTO is becoming a very accession procedures, membership significant organization with all kinds could expand to cover more than 170 of old and new responsibilities. Of countries in a few years time. Imagine course, if you look at the body of this global institution, with the vast the WTO, it’s a very small office. We responsibility of looking after the rules Asia used to be a place have about 540 staff members. If you of the trade game, policing violations of compare that with 7,000 people at the where trade expansion those who try to avoid their past com- World Bank, a few thousand at the IMF, mitments, trying to think of ways to was taken for granted, this is a very small unit with, again, a strengthen the rules in order to nurture very small budget of around $100 mil- but during the financial trade expansion in a way that is as free lion a year. That amounts to only part of and frictionless and as fair as possible meltdown, there was a the travel budget of the World Bank for each and everyone concerned. We contraction of around talk always about a level playing field. My friend, Mike Moore, who is You will hear a lot of talk about the the present director general, has been 30% to 35% per year field not being very level at all. If this going around with his hands open seek- for intra-Asian trade. is the case, then it is the WTO that will ing donations for the WTO. Everyone have to see to it that we level the field wants technical assistance, capacity —Supachai Panitchpakdi as much as we can. building, training courses. The WTO differs from other Look at China’s entry into the WTO. organizations and is culturally different At least 20 subsidiary committees at the from the GATT for two major reasons. WTO will have to work on all of China’s One is that every agreement under the commitments in cultural services, indus- auspices of the WTO is legally binding. try, intellectual property, environment, When governments sign onto any market access, legal infrastructure, etc. agreement with the WTO, they have to This will involve hundreds of people. enact new laws back home. For exam- On the Chinese side it involves thou- ple, to follow up on the Trade-Related sands of people because they have to Intellectual Property Rights Protection explain what things have been executed Agreement (TRIPs), there would be six according to their WTO commitment. or eight laws that would have to be put China will also need to train thousands into practice on patents, trademarks, of people every year. They will do it on copyrights, geographical indications, their own and with the collaboration of trade secrets, etc. institutions around the world but, of course, the WTO will have to help. The second major difference of the WTO is the Dispute Settlement Another new assignment is to Mechanism (DSM). Under the GATT, look into the interplay between trade, countries could have round after round finance and debt relief programs. We’ve seen in recent years that despite the fact 4 APEC Study Center always easy to reconcile with one another. Industrialized countries, for example, look at trade from different Supachai Panitchpakdi angles compared with developing coun- Director General Designate, tries. Tariffs in industrial sectors have World Trade Organization already been reduced to a very low level, around 3% on average for indus- trialized countries. If you talk about market access in the industrial sector for industrialized countries, there’s not much to do. You can go down to 2%, to 1%, to zero, but that is a small change. The developing countries, of course, have different sets of tariffs, mostly in the industrial sectors, ranging from 10% to 15%, even 20%. These are still quite substantial and should be reduced in due time. The interests of the advanced countries lie not only in the areas of negotiations to improve market access for industrial goods, but also in new areas like services, banking, finance, telecommunications, transportation, that we have created a lot of room for express delivery, management consul- more trade through hard negotiation, in tancy, etc. These, of course, are things a couple of months time all those gains that can be delivered more efficiently would be wiped out because of the fail- by the industrialized countries. Advanced ure to meet financial commitments. countries are also very mindful of con- Some countries have not been adopting sequences on the environment. The rational macroeconomic policies and European Union has even looked into have become an easy victim of preda- the trade consequences for their culture. tors—the so-called hedge fund managers. Cultural diversity is something to be Asia used to be a place where trade preserved, but it can also be used as a expansion was taken for granted, but pretext to block trade in certain areas, during the financial meltdown, there motion pictures, for example, and in was a contraction of around 30% to various services industries.