Presidential Primary Election
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June 2018 June 3Rd, 2018 19 Men and 6 Women NBC's Meet the Press
June 2018 June 3rd, 2018 19 men and 6 women NBC's Meet the Press with Chuck Todd: 5 men and 1 woman Frm. Mayor Rudy Giuliani (M) PM Justin Trudeau (M) Joshua Johnson (M) Peggy Noonan (W) Rich Lowry (M) Ben Rhodes (M) CBS's Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan: 5 men and 2 women Gov. John Kasich (M) Rep. Will Hurd (M) Frm. Amb. Robert Gallucci (M) Dr. Jung Pak (W) David Nakamura (M) Susan Page (W) Michael Crowley (M) ABC's This Week with George Stephanopoulos: 5 men and 2 women Frm. Mayor Rudy Giuliani (M) Frm. Amb. Bill Richardson (M) Tom Bossert (M) Sue Mi Terry (W) Frm. Speaker Newt Gingrich (M) Karen Finney (W) Patrick Gaspard (M) CNN's State of the Union with Jake Tapper: *With Guest Host Dana Bash 1 man and 1 woman Rep. Kevin McCarthy (M) Minister Chrystia Freeland (W) Fox News' Fox News Sunday with Chris Wallace: 3 men and 0 women Corey Lewandowski (M) Guy Benson (M) Larry Kudlow (M) June 10th, 2018 13 men and 6 women NBC's Meet the Press with Chuck Todd: No Data Available CBS's Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan: 4 men and 4 women Frm. Amb. Susan Rice (W) Dir. Larry Kudlow (M) Sen. Edward Markey (M) Evan Osnos (M) Seung Min Kim (W) Selena Zito (W) Molly Ball (W) Kenneth Starr (M) ABC's This Week with George Stephanopoulos: 1 man and 0 women Jonathan Cheng (M) CNN's State of the Union with Jake Tapper: 1 man and 2 women Dir. -
Shake-Up in New Jersey Presidential Stakes
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Contact: PATRICK MURRAY This poll was conducted by the 732-263-5858 (office) Monmouth University Polling Institute 732-979-6769 (cell) [email protected] 400 Cedar Avenue West Long Branch, NJ 07764 www.monmouth.edu/polling EMBARGOED to: Tuesday, January 15, 2008, 5:00 am SHAKE-UP IN NEW JERSEY PRESIDENTIAL STAKES Hillary still ahead but Obama gains; McCain overtakes Rudy It appears that the early presidential nominating contests have shaken up the primary picture here in New Jersey, especially for the G.O.P. According to the latest Monmouth University/Gannett New Jersey Poll taken after the Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primary, Hillary Clinton now leads Barack Obama by 12 points among likely Democratic voters in New Jersey, which is down somewhat from the 19 point lead she held in October. However, the poll found an even larger shake-up on the Republican side, with John McCain now holding a slight 4 point lead over Rudy Giuliani. Just a few months ago, the former New York mayor held a commanding 32 point lead over the Arizona senator. Among likely Democratic primary voters in New Jersey, Hillary Clinton currently claims support from 42% of voters, compared to 30% for Barack Obama, 9% for John Edwards, and 2% for Dennis Kucinich. Another 17% remain undecided. Support levels for Clinton, Edwards and Kucinich are nearly identical to what they registered in the October 2007 poll. However, Obama’s support has increased by 7 percentage points on the heels of his strong showing in Iowa and New Hampshire. “Senator Obama’s early win in Iowa has swung some previously undecided New Jersey voters into his camp, but Senator Clinton’s support among rank and file Democrats here remains strong,” commented Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute. -
Many Republicans Unaware of Romney's Religion PUBLIC STILL
NEWS Release . 1615 L Street, N.W., Suite 700 Washington, D.C. 20036 Tel (202) 419-4350 Fax (202) 419-4399 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: FOR FURTHER INFORMATION: Wednesday, December 5, 2007 Andrew Kohut, Director Kim Parker, Senior Researcher Many Republicans Unaware of Romney’s Religion PUBLIC STILL GETTING TO KNOW LEADING GOP CANDIDATES Even as the 2008 presidential Knowledge of GOP Candidates’ Backgrounds campaign draws increasing news coverage, the public shows limited ---Percent correct--- Name the candidate who is… Total Rep Dem Ind awareness of the personal Former mayor of NYC {Giuliani} 86 90 84 85 backgrounds of some of the top GOP Former Vietnam POW {McCain} 56 65 49 61 Former TV & movie actor {Thompson} 47 59 42 46 candidates. Mormon {Romney} 42 60 33 40 Former governor of MA {Romney} 35 46 28 34 While 86% of the public is An abortion rights supporter {Giuliani} 30 41 25 30 Former governor of AR {Huckabee} 26 36 20 28 able to name Rudy Giuliani as the A former Baptist minister {Huckabee} 21 28 17 21 former mayor of New York City, only Opposed to the Iraq war {Paul} 14 21 12 13 about half as many – 42% of the public – correctly identified Mitt Romney as a Mormon and even fewer (35%) knew that Romney was the former governor of Massachusetts. Romney’s speech on religion and politics, scheduled for Dec. 6, is widely seen as an effort to assuage concerns that some religious conservatives in the GOP have raised about his Mormon faith. Among Republicans, 60% could name Romney as the Republican candidate who is Mormon, but 40% could not. -
Democratic Primary Preview: Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina CLINTON PRESSED in IOWA, but HOLDS WIDE LEADS ELSEWHERE
NEWS Release 1615 L Street, N.W., Suite 700 Washington, D.C. 20036 Tel (202) 419-4350 Fax (202) 419-4399 FOR RELEASE: MONDAY, DECEMBER 3, 2007 10:00AM Democratic Primary Preview: Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina CLINTON PRESSED IN IOWA, BUT HOLDS WIDE LEADS ELSEWHERE A Survey Conducted in Association with The Associated Press Also inside… Iraq, health care top issues Clinton by far the most electable But electability matters less than in ‘04 Clinton, Obama split black vote in South Carolina FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Andrew Kohut, Director Scott Keeter, Director of Survey Research Carroll Doherty and Michael Dimock, Associate Directors Pew Research Center for the People & the Press 202/419-4350 http://www.people-press.org Democratic Primary Preview: Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina CLINTON PRESSED IN IOWA, BUT HOLDS WIDE LEADS ELSEWHERE Democrats enter the presidential primary campaign upbeat about their candidates and united in their views on major issues. Sen. Hillary Clinton is the clear frontrunner in New Hampshire and South Carolina, where she holds 19-point and 14-point leads, respectively. However in Iowa she is in a statistical tie with Barack Obama. Clinton has a clear advantage on the key issue of Democratic Horse Race health care, and leads among Democratic women voters in Based on Likely Voters* all three states – where women constitute majorities of the Natl IA NH SC likely caucus and primary electorates. Her lead is also % % % % Clinton 48 31 38 45 particularly wide among older voters – voters over age 50 in Obama 22 26 19 31 all three states favor her over Obama by more than two-to- Edwards 11 19 15 10 Richardson 3 10 10 1 one. -
School Election Results
PRESIDENTIAL PREFERENCE PRIMARY ELECTION MOCK SCHOOL ELECTION CONDUCTED BY THE FLAGLER COUNTY ELECTIONS OFFICE ELECTION RESULTS BY SCHOOL CUMULATIVE ELECTION RESULTS PPP Mock Election - FPC Results County Wide School Election Results United States President (Vote For One) United States President (Vote For One) Name Votes Pct Name Votes Pct Ron Paul 102 37.50% Mitt Romney 366 27.51% Mitt Romney 47 17.28% Ron Paul 319 23.98% Herman Cain 31 11.40% Rick Santorum 211 15.86% Newt Gingrich 25 9.19% Newt Gingrich 171 12.85% Michele Bachmann 24 8.82% Herman Cain 112 8.42% Rick Santorum 19 6.99% Michele Bachmann 93 6.99% Jon Huntsman 11 4.04% Rick Perry 36 2.70% Rick Perry 9 3.31% Jon Huntsman 17 1.27% Gary Johnson 4 1.47% Gary Johnson 11 0.82% Total Votes: 272 Total Votes From All Schools: 1330 PPP Mock Election - MHS Results United States President (Vote For One) Mitt Romney Name Votes Pct Ron Paul Mitt Romney 85 22.43% Rick Santorum Ron Paul 79 20.84% Newt Gingrich Herman Cain 67 17.68% Michele Bachmann 57 15.04% Herman Cain Rick Santorum 31 8.18% Michele Bachmann Newt Gingrich 30 7.92% Rick Perry Rick Perry 20 5.28% Jon Huntsman Jon Huntsman 5 1.32% Gary Johnson 5 1.32% Gary Johnson Total Votes: 379 PPP Mock Election - BTMS Results United States President (Vote For One) Name Votes Pct Mitt Romney 219 35.78% Rick Santorum 145 23.69% Newt Gingrich 107 17.48% Ron Paul 107 17.48% Herman Cain 13 2.12% Michele Bachmann 12 1.96% Rick Perry 7 1.14% Jon Huntsman 1 0.16% Gary Johnson 1 0.16% Total Votes: 612 PPP Mock Election - ITMS Results United States President (Vote For One) Name Votes Pct Ron Paul 31 46.27% Mitt Romney 18 26.87% Newt Gingrich 9 13.43% Rick Santorum 7 10.45% Herman Cain 1 1.49% Gary Johnson 1 1.49% Michele Bachmann 0 0% Jon Huntsman 0 0% Rick Perry 0 0% Total Votes: 67. -
WNBC/Marist Poll Poughkeepsie, NY 12601 Phone 845.575.5050 Fax 845.575.5111
WNBC/Marist Poll Poughkeepsie, NY 12601 Phone 845.575.5050 Fax 845.575.5111 www.maristpoll.marist.edu EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE: Wednesday 6:00 p.m. February 22, 2006 All references must be sourced WNBC/Marist Poll Contact: Dr. Lee M. Miringoff Dr. Barbara L. Carvalho Marist College 845.575.5050 National Poll: Campaign 2008 Hillary Clinton and Condoleezza Rice Are Top Contenders Among Their Party’s Faithful But Is America Ready for a Woman President? This WNBC/Marist Poll reports: • Hillary Clinton is the Democratic presidential primary frontrunner and most voters think she is going to run: Hillary Clinton is a formidable favorite among Democrats for her party’s presidential nomination. A majority of Democrats like her more than they did just two years ago. Democrats generally think she is ideologically about right, neither too liberal nor too conservative. Most of them would like to see her enter the presidential contest in 2008, and many think she will. But like the other potential Democratic and Republican presidential candidates for 2008, Senator Clinton faces a general electorate that is divided over who they would like to see in the race. She is competitive, though politically polarizing, against two of the three Republican presidential frontrunners. But most registered voters do not think she is likely to win. A majority of both Democrats and independents believe she will be treated more harshly on the campaign hustings than other potential presidential candidates. ¾ Senator Hillary Clinton outpaces the field of potential Democratic candidates nationwide for the party’s 2008 presidential nomination. Clinton receives 40% among Democrats and Democratic leaning independents. -
The Democrats
CBS NEWS POLL For release: Friday, June 29, 2007 6:30 P.M. EDT CAMPAIGN 2008 June 26-28, 2007 Many Americans are looking for even more choices in the race for the presidency than the 18 announced candidates they now have: Should Fred Thompson decide to officially enter the race for the Republican nomination, he is already a strong contender, tying John McCain for second place, after Rudy Giuliani. Americans would like a third political party (especially self-described Independents, and primary voters who say they are dissatisfied with their current choices) -- but Americans have historically liked the idea of more candidate choices. But as of now, most don’t know much about or have an opinion of New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg, who recently dropped out of the Republican Party, perhaps in anticipation of a run at the presidency in 2008 as a third-party candidate. And on the Democratic side, where most primary voters are satisfied with the choices, Hillary Clinton continues to lead Barack Obama. MIKE BLOOMBERG AND A THIRD PARTY New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg's recent party registration change from Republican to “Unaffiliated” has many speculating that he is preparing an independent run for President. That speculation has sparked debate about the need for a third political party. 53% say that a third party is needed to compete with the Democratic and Republican parties. 41% disagree. These views are similar to what they were in 1996, and in 1992 voters also expressed the desire for a new party. Half of both Republicans and Democrats do not think there is a need for a third political party, but 71% of Independents say there is. -
NTS Total Election Reporting and Certification System - Condensed Recanvass Report
FRX2Any v.08.00.00 DEMO NTS Total Election Reporting and Certification System - Condensed Recanvass Report GREENE COUNTY BOARD OF ELECTIONS Primary Election 02/05/2008 OFFICIAL DEMOCRATIC PARTY County Wide - PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES (DEMOCRATIC) Ashland - Page 1 Whole Number DEM DEM DEM DEM DEM DEM Blank Votes HILLARY BILL JOE BIDEN JOHN EDWARDS BARACK OBAMA DENNIS J CLINTON RICHARDSON KUCINICH 28 15 1 0 1 11 0 0 WARD TOTALS 28 15 1 0 1 11 0 0 Athens - Page 1 Whole Number DEM DEM DEM DEM DEM DEM Blank Votes HILLARY BILL JOE BIDEN JOHN EDWARDS BARACK OBAMA DENNIS J CLINTON RICHARDSON KUCINICH 184 109 0 0 3 70 1 1 W:000 D:002 63 39 0 0 2 22 0 0 WARD TOTALS 247 148 0 0 5 92 1 1 Cairo - Page 1 Whole Number DEM DEM DEM DEM DEM DEM Blank Votes HILLARY BILL JOE BIDEN JOHN EDWARDS BARACK OBAMA DENNIS J CLINTON RICHARDSON KUCINICH 97 66 2 0 2 26 0 1 W:000 D:004 184 115 3 0 5 59 2 0 WARD TOTALS 281 181 5 0 7 85 2 1 Catskill - Page 1 Whole Number DEM DEM DEM DEM DEM DEM Blank Votes HILLARY BILL JOE BIDEN JOHN EDWARDS BARACK OBAMA DENNIS J CLINTON RICHARDSON KUCINICH 142 70 1 0 1 70 0 0 W:000 D:005 154 80 0 1 2 61 2 8 W:000 D:008 10 4 0 0 0 6 0 0 02/26/2008 08:52:55 AM Page 1 FRX2Any v.08.00.00 DEMO NTS Total Election Reporting and Certification System - Condensed Recanvass Report GREENE COUNTY BOARD OF ELECTIONS Primary Election 02/05/2008 OFFICIAL DEMOCRATIC PARTY County Wide - PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES (DEMOCRATIC) Catskill - Page 1 Whole Number DEM DEM DEM DEM DEM DEM Blank Votes HILLARY BILL JOE BIDEN JOHN EDWARDS BARACK OBAMA DENNIS -
TO: Edwards for President FROM: Global Strategy Group, LLC RE: Updated Electability Data Date December 18, 2007
MEMORANDUM TO: Edwards for President FROM: Global Strategy Group, LLC RE: Updated electability data Date December 18, 2007 Synopsis: Nationwide polling shows John Edwards is the Democrat with the best chance of defeating the Republican candidate in the 2008 Presidential election. All three Democratic candidates have a slight lead on Republican frontrunner Rudy Giuliani. Edwards’ average margin of victory is greater than Obama’s and well ahead of Clinton’s against the other Republican candidates. Edwards outperforms the other Democratic candidates in match-ups with Republican candidates in key battleground states including Iowa, Missouri, and Ohio. Further, unlike other Democrats who must “run the table” in states where Democrats have been competitive in recent elections, Edwards brings new states into play. This provides alternate scenarios – and a margin for error – when it comes to amassing 270 electoral votes. National electability: This table shows the average margin for each Democrat for nationwide general election polls since the first of November in which they are included in horse race questions. General Election Match-ups Edwards Clinton Obama Rudy Giuliani........ +4 (4 polls) +4 (15 polls) +2 (7polls) Mike Huckabee .... +14 (3 polls) +5 (3 polls) +10 (3 polls) John McCain........ +8 (3 polls) +3 (6 polls) +1 (4 polls) Mitt Romney......... +18 (3 polls) +9 (9 polls) +11 (8 polls) Fred Thompson.... +14 (1 poll) +9 (7 polls) +10 (4 polls) • In national general election polling, Edwards fares better than or at least as well as Clinton and Obama against all five Republicans. • Against Giuliani, all three candidates maintain a slight lead. -
10 the Fog of Freedom
10 The Fog of Freedom Christopher M. Kelty Talk of freedom and liberty pervade the past and present of the digital com- puter and the Internet, from everyday “academic freedom” to the more specific notion of a “freedom to tinker”; from the prestigious Computers, Freedom and Privacy conference to “net neutrality”; from “Internet Free- dom” in North Africa and the Middle East and the Occupy movement in the United States to the famous case of Free Software, which has articulated precise freedoms as well as a legally constituted commons in reusable tech- nologies; from the “FreedomBox” to the Freedom Fone to “Liberté Linux (see figure 10.1).1 What kind of talk is this? Idle chatter? A rhetorical flourish? Serious busi- ness? Or perhaps it is more than talk? Freedom is associated with the digi- tal computer and the Internet to a greater extent than it is to most other technologies. And the digital computer and the Internet are associated with freedom much more than with other ideals, like justice, well-being, health, or happiness. Further, arguments are made just as often that digital com- puters and the Internet restrict rather than enhance freedom, leading to a morass of claims about the powers—good and evil—of these new technolo- gies that drape the globe and permeate our consciousness. There are many ways to dismiss this association as ideology or marketing hype, but there are fewer ways to take it seriously. Careful attention to the history and development of the digital computer and the Internet should be balanced with careful attention to the political theories of freedom and liberty if we want to make sense of the inflated claims associating freedom and computers. -
Predicting Elections from Politicians' Faces
University of Pennsylvania ScholarlyCommons Marketing Papers Wharton Faculty Research June 2008 Predicting Elections from Politicians' Faces J. Scott Armstrong University of Pennsylvania, [email protected] Kesten C. Green Monash University Randall J. Jones Jr. University of Central Oklahoma Malcolm Wright University of South Australia Follow this and additional works at: https://repository.upenn.edu/marketing_papers Recommended Citation Armstrong, J. S., Green, K. C., Jones, R. J., & Wright, M. (2008). Predicting Elections from Politicians' Faces. Retrieved from https://repository.upenn.edu/marketing_papers/136 This paper is posted at ScholarlyCommons. https://repository.upenn.edu/marketing_papers/136 For more information, please contact [email protected]. Predicting Elections from Politicians' Faces Abstract Prior research found that people's assessments of relative competence predicted the outcome of Senate and Congressional races. We hypothesized that snap judgments of "facial competence" would provide useful forecasts of the popular vote in presidential primaries before the candidates become well known to the voters. We obtained facial competence ratings of 11 potential candidates for the Democratic Party nomination and of 13 for the Republican Party nomination for the 2008 U.S. Presidential election. To ensure that raters did not recognize the candidates, we relied heavily on young subjects from Australia and New Zealand. We obtained between 139 and 348 usable ratings per candidate between May and August 2007. The top-rated candidates were Clinton and Obama for the Democrats and McCain, Hunter, and Hagel for the Republicans; Giuliani was 9th and Thompson was 10th. At the time, the leading candidates in the Democratic polls were Clinton at 38% and Obama at 20%, while Giuliani was first among the Republicans at 28% followed by Thompson at 22%. -
Conservative Movement
Conservative Movement How did the conservative movement, routed in Barry Goldwater's catastrophic defeat to Lyndon Johnson in the 1964 presidential campaign, return to elect its champion Ronald Reagan just 16 years later? What at first looks like the political comeback of the century becomes, on closer examination, the product of a particular political moment that united an unstable coalition. In the liberal press, conservatives are often portrayed as a monolithic Right Wing. Close up, conservatives are as varied as their counterparts on the Left. Indeed, the circumstances of the late 1980s -- the demise of the Soviet Union, Reagan's legacy, the George H. W. Bush administration -- frayed the coalition of traditional conservatives, libertarian advocates of laissez-faire economics, and Cold War anti- communists first knitted together in the 1950s by William F. Buckley Jr. and the staff of the National Review. The Reagan coalition added to the conservative mix two rather incongruous groups: the religious right, primarily provincial white Protestant fundamentalists and evangelicals from the Sunbelt (defecting from the Democrats since the George Wallace's 1968 presidential campaign); and the neoconservatives, centered in New York and led predominantly by cosmopolitan, secular Jewish intellectuals. Goldwater's campaign in 1964 brought conservatives together for their first national electoral effort since Taft lost the Republican nomination to Eisenhower in 1952. Conservatives shared a distaste for Eisenhower's "modern Republicanism" that largely accepted the welfare state developed by Roosevelt's New Deal and Truman's Fair Deal. Undeterred by Goldwater's defeat, conservative activists regrouped and began developing institutions for the long haul.