Status of the Spiny Dogfish Shark Resource Off the Continental U.S. Pacific Coast in 2011

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Status of the Spiny Dogfish Shark Resource Off the Continental U.S. Pacific Coast in 2011 Status of the spiny dogfish shark resource off the continental U.S. Pacific Coast in 2011 Vladlena Gertseva Ian G. Taylor Fishery Resource Analysis and Monitoring Division Northwest Fisheries Science Center National Marine Fisheries Service National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration 2725 Montlake Blvd East, Seattle, WA 98112 April 27, 2012 1 Table of Contents: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .......................................................................................................... 4 1. Introduction ......................................................................................................................... 22 1.1. Distribution, biology and life history ........................................................................... 22 1.2. Historical and current fishery ..................................................................................... 24 1.3. Fisheries off Canada and Alaska ................................................................................ 25 1.4. Management history and performance ....................................................................... 25 2. Assessment data .................................................................................................................. 26 2.1. Fishery-dependent data................................................................................................ 26 2.1.1. Commercial landings ....................................................................................... 26 2.1.1.1. Washington .................................................................................................... 27 2.1.1.2. Oregon ........................................................................................................... 27 2.1.1.3. California ...................................................................................................... 28 2.1.2. Recreational removals ..................................................................................... 28 2.1.2.1. Washington .................................................................................................... 28 2.1.2.2. Oregon ........................................................................................................... 29 2.1.2.3. California ...................................................................................................... 30 2.1.3. Bycatch in Pacific hake fishery ....................................................................... 30 2.1.4. Discard ............................................................................................................ 31 2.1.5. Fishery biological data ........................................................................................... 33 2.1.5.1. Length composition data ................................................................................. 33 2.1.5.2. Age data ........................................................................................................... 34 2.2. Fishery-independent data ............................................................................................ 36 2.2.1. Survey indices ......................................................................................................... 37 2.2.2. Survey biological data ............................................................................................ 38 2.2.2.1. Length composition data ................................................................................. 38 2.3. Biological parameters .................................................................................................. 39 2.3.1. Natural mortality .................................................................................................... 39 2.3.2. Growth .................................................................................................................... 39 2.3.3. Maturity and fecundity ............................................................................................ 40 2.3.4. Weight-length relationship...................................................................................... 40 3. Model description................................................................................................................ 41 3.1. Assessment program .................................................................................................... 41 3.2. General model specifications ....................................................................................... 41 3.3. Likelihood components ................................................................................................ 42 3.4. Model parameters ......................................................................................................... 42 3.4.1. Life history parameters ........................................................................................... 42 3.4.2. Stock-recruitment parameters ................................................................................. 42 3.4.3. Selectivity parameters ............................................................................................. 44 4. Model selection and evaluation .......................................................................................... 45 4.1. Alternate model configurations .................................................................................. 45 4.2. Convergence status ..................................................................................................... 45 5. Response to the STAR Panel recommendations .............................................................. 46 6. Base model results ............................................................................................................... 46 7. Model uncertainty ............................................................................................................... 47 7.1. Sensitivity analyses ..................................................................................................... 48 2 7.1.1. Alternative assumptions about fishery removals .................................................... 48 7.1.2. Alternative assumptions about historical discard................................................... 48 7.1.3. Alternative assumptions about discard mortality ................................................... 48 7.1.4. Alternative assumptions about gear selectivity....................................................... 49 7.1.5. Alternative assumptions about extra variance for the IPHC survey ...................... 49 7.1.6. Alternative assumptions of spawner-recruit relationship ....................................... 49 7.2. Retrospective analyses ................................................................................................ 50 7.3. Likelihood profile analyses ......................................................................................... 50 8. Reference points .................................................................................................................. 51 9. Status of the stock ............................................................................................................... 51 10. Decision table ................................................................................................................... 52 11. Regional management consideration ............................................................................ 52 12. Research and data needs ................................................................................................ 53 Acknowledgements ..................................................................................................................... 54 Literature cited............................................................................................................................ 55 TABLES ....................................................................................................................................... 59 FIGURES ..................................................................................................................................... 82 APPENDIX A: Numbers at age estimated by the base model .............................................. 209 A-1: Female numbers at age. ................................................................................................... 210 A-2: Male numbers at age. ....................................................................................................... 225 APPENDIX B: Spiny dogfish assessment model files ............................................................ 240 B-1: Stock Synthesis starter file ............................................................................................... 240 B-2: Stock Synthesis forecast file ............................................................................................. 241 B-3: Stock Synthesis data file ................................................................................................... 242 B-4: Stock Synthesis control file .............................................................................................. 252 3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Stock Spiny dogfish (Squalus suckleyi) in the Northeast Pacific Ocean occur from the Gulf of Alaska, with isolated individuals found in the Bering Sea, southward to San Martin Island, in southern Baja California. They are extremely abundant in waters off British Columbia and Washington, but decline in abundance southward along the Oregon and California coasts. This assessment
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