Jobs and Joining: What's the Effect of WTO for China's Urban Employment? Dorothy J. Solinger University of California, Irvine East Asian Institute, Columbia University
[email protected] March 2002 Prepared for the Conference, "The Political and Economic Reforms of Mainland China in a Changing Global Society," sponsored by the College of Social Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan, April 25-27, 2002. 2 On December 11, 2001, after fifteen years of tortuous and often tense negotiations, China formally joined the World Trade Organization. The governments and the media in both the U.S. and China hailed this juncture pretty much as a cause for unmitigated rejoicing. Indeed, ever since the two parties signed their own bilateral agreement 25 months earlier, the publicity in both nations had been almost nothing but positive, with much of the informed population in both places quite satisfied. For instance, a survey of 1,023 respondents among the social elite in China's three premier cities (Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou) conducted in July and August 2001 by Asia Market Intelligence found that, "The overall feeling among China's elite is that their country's accession to membership of the world's main business club will boost prosperity in general."1 Once having joined, China, it appears, was set to become much more modern and affluent. At any rate, as many press releases and journal articles penned in the country proclaimed, "Entering is a necessary choice in our development"; "the trend of economic globalization is a necessity for the global economy"; and our joining "conforms with the currents of history," to quote from just one very typical source.2 As for the U.S., American products will be able to enter China free of most of the barriers set up against them in the past, and American investors will no longer have to suffer discriminatory restrictions and requirements once they receive national treatment in sales, purchasing, distribution, transport and use.