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AUGUST 30 – SEPTEMBER 3

Indexindex Rotation Schedule ...... 3 VSiN NFL Consensus ...... 4 Matt Youman’s 3 NFL Games to Watch ...... 5 Q&A With Warren Sharp ...... 6 NFL Top Weekly Trends ...... 7 NFL Matchups ...... 8 NFL Top Weekly Trends ...... 13 Top Tips for Winning Early in the NFL Season ...... 17 Top NFL Week 1 Historical Systems AND Qualifying Games for 2017 ...... 18 Football Line Moves ...... 21 VSiN Consensus ...... 22 Matt Youman’s 3 College Football Games to Watch ...... 23 College Football Top Weekly Trends ...... 24 Top 12 College Football Stability Mismatches for Week 2 ...... 25 College Football Matchups ...... 26 Opening Lines by Brent Musburger ...... 45 Analyzing 2017 College Football Teams on a 3-Year Downward Trend ...... 46 Football Betting Observations and Betting News ...... 48

Welcome to Week 2 of the VSiN Point Spread Weekly, and welcome to the start of Welcome to another exciting NFL season. We hope all of you were able to get a copy of last week’s college football kickoff issue and enjoyed Point Spread the coverage. In this week’s issue, we will cover the kickoff of the 2017 NFL season as Weekly well as the college second week action. Thank you for the great response we received over the past week. We have made no bones about it, our goal is to make Point Spread Weekly the ultimate College & Pro Football BETTING Resource. If you agree that we have, make sure to get yourself locked in for a season subscription at a heavily discounted rate from our weekly cover price.

Among many regular features you will become used to, last week we introduced a trio of proprietary STRENGTH RATINGS. These are my POWER RATINGS, EFFECTIVE STRENGTH INDICATORS and BETTORS’ RATINGS. They are each born from unique formulas I’ve developed over the last seven years. After felding several questions regarding the ratings last week, here is a quick explanation of each:

• The Power Ratings are my own manually adjusted ratings updated after every game based upon analysis of live action and box scores • The Effective Strength Ratings are purely statistical ratings, using the teams’ key stats against schedule strength and their previous opponents’ averages. These are also adjusted for any key injuries the team had endured or faced against. • The Bettors Ratings are a quantifed interpretation of how bettors perceive teams based upon how lines of recent games have moved and closed.

For the record, in last week’s college football kickoff issue, our Bettors’ Ratings were 7-3 ATS in our 10 featured games, while our Power Ratings and Effective Strength Indicators were 6-4 ATS.

In this week’s issue, besides the usual tips, stats, trends and such, we also offer up some feature articles. In college, there is a piece on Teams Trending Downward Heading into 2017, as well as the continued series on College Football Stability mismatches. We also offer a special NFL Systems article, detailing unique betting angles that have performed very well in Week 1 of recent NFL seasons, taking into account lines, totals, and stats from last season.

There are also NFL columns from Brent Musburger and a Q&A with Warren Sharp, who offers up his expertise on some specifc teams’ win totals for the upcoming season.

As a reminder, be sure to visit VSiN.com this week to watch the live programming and to get the latest news and updates on line movements. If you haven’t done so yet, you defnitely should sign up for the VSiN newsletter.

Let’s cash some tickets this weekend! Good luck from everyone at VSiN!

Steve Makinen 2 Editor

VSiN.COM - VEGAS STATS & INFORMATION NETWORK Rotation Schedule NFL WEEK 1 COLLEGE FOOTBALL continued COLLEGE FOOTBALL continued THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 7, 2017 SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 451 KANSAS CITY 48 48 345 FRESNO ST 52 54 393 SAN DIEGO ST 60 58 P: 5:30PM C: 7:30PM E: 8:30PM NFL P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM ESPN2 P: 8:00PM C: 10:00PM E: 11:00PM 452 NEW ENGLAND -7 -8 346 ALABAMA -42 -44 394 ARIZONA ST -3 -4.5 347 TULANE 54.5 48 395 UTAH 1.5 47.5 COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 2 P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM CBSC P: 7:15PM C: 9:15PM E: 10:15PM ESPN2 FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 8, 2017 348 NAVY -13 -14 396 BYU 49.5 -1 301 OHIO U 57 56 349 W KENTUCKY -6 -8.5 397 0 -2 P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM BIG10 P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM BIG10 P: 7:30PM C: 9:30PM E: 10:30PM ESPNU 302 PURDUE -4 -4.5 350 ILLINOIS 61 57.5 398 ARIZONA 65.5 65.5 303 OKLAHOMA ST -25 -28 351 TX-SAN ANTONIO 60.5 58.5 399 BOISE ST 61 58.5 P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM ESPN2 P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM P: 7:30PM C: 9:30PM E: 10:30PM ESPN 304 S ALABAMA 64.5 66 352 BAYLOR -16 -17 400 WASHINGTON ST -7.5 -11 353 HAWAII 65 63 SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 P: 2:00PM C: 4:00PM E: 5:00PM PAC12 NFL WEEK 1 continued 305 FLA ATLANTIC 57.5 57.5 354 UCLA -22 -24 SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 10, 2017 P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM BIG10 355 C MICHIGAN 57.5 56 453 NY JETS 43 40 306 WISCONSIN -33 -32 P: 1:00PM C: 3:00PM E: 4:00PM P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 307 BUFFALO 49 49 356 KANSAS -3.5 -5.5 454 BUFFALO -6 -7.5 P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM CBSC 357 NEBRASKA 68 73.5 455 ATLANTA -7 -7 308 ARMY -17 -17 P: 1:30PM C: 3:30PM E: 4:30PM P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 309 W MICHIGAN 56 51.5 358 OREGON -10 -14 456 CHICAGO 50.5 50 P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM BIG10 359 MIAMI FL -12 -15 457 JACKSONVILLE 42 40 310 MICHIGAN ST -7.5 -7.5 P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM ESPNU P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 311 E MICHIGAN 54 53 360 ARKANSAS ST 54.5 55.5 458 HOUSTON -4.5 -5.5 P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM BIG10 361 SAN JOSE ST 62 63 459 48.5 47.5 312 RUTGERS -4 -5 P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 313 OLD DOMINION -2.5 -3.5 362 TEXAS -24 -28 460 WASHINGTON -3 0 P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM 363 TCU 2.5 -3 461 ARIZONA 2.5 -1.5 314 MASSACHUSETTS 63 61.5 P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM CBS P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 315 NORTHWESTERN 0 -3 364 ARKANSAS 59.5 58 462 DETROIT 48 47.5 P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM ESPNU 365 LA LAFAYETTE 62.5 64 463 OAKLAND 51.5 51 316 DUKE 53 55 P: 1:00PM C: 3:00PM E: 4:00PM P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 317 SOUTH FLORIDA -17 -18 366 TULSA -16 -16 464 TENNESSEE 1.5 -2 P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM ESPNN 367 MARSHALL 54 55.5 465 TAMPA BAY 3 -2.5 318 CONNECTICUT 62 68 P: 3:00PM C: 5:00PM E: 6:00PM ESPN3 P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 319 EAST CAROLINA 59.5 64 368 NC STATE -20 -24 466 MIAMI 47 41.5 P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM FOX 2 369 TOLEDO -8 -9.5 467 BALTIMORE 42.5 42.5 320 WEST VIRGINIA -20 -25 P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM ESPN3 P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 321 CINCINNATI 49.5 49.5 370 NEVADA 66 64.5 468 CINCINNATI -2 -3 P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM ABC 371 LA MONROE 55 54.5 469 PITTSBURGH -9.5 -9 322 MICHIGAN -29 -34 P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 323 LOUISVILLE -6 -10 372 FLORIDA ST -35 -33 470 CLEVELAND 47.5 46.5 P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM ESPN 373 SOUTH CAROLINA 60.5 74.5 471 INDIANAPOLIS 47 42 324 NORTH CAROLINA 61.5 63.5 P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM ESPN2 P: 1:05PM C: 3:05PM E: 4:05PM 325 CHARLOTTE 56 54 374 MISSOURI -3 -2.5 472 LA RAMS 3 -3.5 P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM 375 NORTH TEXAS 64.5 64.5 473 SEATTLE 49 50.5 326 KANSAS ST -37 -36 P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM ESPN3 P: 1:25PM C: 3:25PM E: 4:25PM 327 IOWA -3 -2.5 376 SMU -14 -14 474 GREEN BAY -3 -3 P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM ESPN2 377 AUBURN 56 54 475 CAROLINA -3.5 -5.5 328 IOWA ST 50.5 48 P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM ESPN P: 1:25PM C: 3:25PM E: 4:25PM 329 WAKE FOREST 44 43.5 378 CLEMSON -6 -5 476 SAN FRANCISCO 48 48 P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 379 GEORGIA 51.5 55 477 NY GIANTS 49 48 330 BOSTON COLLEGE -3 -1 P: 4:30PM C: 6:30PM E: 7:30PM NBC P: 5:30PM C: 7:30PM E: 8:30PM NBC 331 NEW MEXICO ST 67 68 380 NOTRE DAME -6 -4.5 478 DALLAS -6.5 -3.5 P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM 381 MISSISSIPPI ST -8 -7 332 NEW MEXICO -10 -7.5 P: 4:30PM C: 6:30PM E: 7:30PM CBSC MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 11, 2017 333 RICE 62 -1.5 382 LOUISIANA TECH 67 67.5 479 NEW ORLEANS 47.5 48 P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM 383 OKLAHOMA 64 64.5 P: 4:10PM C: 6:10PM E: 7:10PM ESPN 334 UTEP 0 57 P: 4:30PM C: 6:30PM E: 7:30PM ABC 480 MINNESOTA -3.5 -3.5 335 TEXAS ST UNIV 55.5 54 384 OHIO ST -5.5 -7.5 481 LA CHARGERS 44 43.5 P: 11:00AM C: 1:00PM E: 2:00PM PAC12 385 MEMPHIS 64 68.5 P: 7:20PM C: 9:20PM E: 10:20PM ESPN 336 COLORADO -35 -36 P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM ESPNN 482 DENVER -5 -3.5 337 UAB 56.5 55.5 386 UCF -2.5 -1.5 P: 12:00PM C: 2:00PM E: 3:00PM ESPN3 387 STANFORD 54.5 56 338 BALL ST -13 -14 P: 5:30PM C: 7:30PM E: 8:30PM FOX 339 MIDDLE TENN ST 68.5 73 388 USC -5.5 -7 P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM 389 UNLV 67 73 340 SYRACUSE -10 -8.5 P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM ESPN3 341 INDIANA -2.5 -3.5 390 IDAHO -7.5 -6.5 P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM 391 MINNESOTA 54 52 342 VIRGINIA 55 56.5 P: 7:00PM C: 9:00PM E: 10:00PM FOX 1 343 PITTSBURGH 67 68 392 OREGON ST 1 -2.5 P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM ABC 344 PENN ST -17 -21

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YOUR TRUSTED SOURCE FOR EXCLUSIVE SPORTS GAMBLING NEWS, ANALYSIS AND DATA AUGUST 30 – SEPTEMBER 3

VSiN NFL Consensus Matt Jonathan Power Effective Bettors Consensus Youmans Von Tobel Rating Strength Ratings

* – indicates Best Bet (BB) Thursday, September 7, 2017 - (451) KANSAS CITY at (452) NEW ENGLAND (-8) Kansas City Kansas City Kansas City New England Kansas City Kansas City

Thursday, September 7, 2017 - (451) KANSAS CITY at (452) NEW ENGLAND - TOTAL (48) OVER OVER UNDER UNDER UNDER UNDER

Sunday, September 10, 2017 - (457) JACKSONVILLE at (458) HOUSTON (-5.5) Houston Houston Jacksonville Jacksonville Jacksonville Jacksonville

Sunday, September 10, 2017 - (457) JACKSONVILLE at (458) HOUSTON - TOTAL (40) UNDER UNDER OVER OVER OVER OVER

Sunday, September 10, 2017 - (473) SEATTLE at (474) GREEN BAY (-3) Green Bay Green Bay Green Bay Green Bay Green Bay Green Bay

Sunday, September 10, 2017 - (473) SEATTLE at (474) GREEN BAY - TOTAL (50.5) OVER OVER UNDER UNDER UNDER UNDER

Sunday, September 10, 2017 - (477) NY GIANTS at (478) DALLAS (-3.5) Dallas NY Giants Dallas NY Giants Dallas Dallas

Sunday, September 10, 2017 - (477) NY GIANTS at (478) DALLAS - TOTAL (48) OVER UNDER UNDER OVER UNDER UNDER

Monday, September 11, 2017 - (479) NEW ORLEANS at (480) MINNESOTA (-3.5) New Orleans New Orleans Minnesota New Orleans Minnesota New Orleans

Sunday, September 11, 2017 - (479) NEW ORLEANS at (480) MINNESOTA - TOTAL (48) OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER

NFL Best Bets

TODD DEWEY MITCH MOSS MATT YOUMANS LV Review-Journal VSiN.com VSiN.com Patriots -9 Bears +7 Jets +8 Bills -8 Titans -1.5 Eagles -1 Bengals -3 49ers +5.5 Cardinals -1 Panthers -5.5 Saints +3.5 Titans -1.5 Giants +3.5 Chargers +3.5 Chargers +3.5

BRETT LAWSON JONATHAN VON TOBEL VSiN.com VSiN.com Eagles -1 Chiefs +9 Titans -1.5 Jets +8 Steelers -9.5 Bears +7 Seahawks +3 Browns +9.5 Broncos -3.5 49ers +5.5 4

VSiN.COM - VEGAS STATS & INFORMATION NETWORK Matt Youmans’ 3 NFL Games to Watch RAIDERS-TITANS -2 proved to be a Vegas kind of guy last year. He was more than willing to gamble, and he won most of the time. The Raiders were good, Line but they also were riding a lucky roll, winning fve games by three points or fewer on the way to 12-4. The coach pressed at the right times, and Derek 51 Carr delivered. Carr has become a legit elite . He passed for Total 28 touchdowns with six interceptions and posted the league’s eighth-best passer rating (96.7) in 2016. On top of the numbers, he’s a strong leader. He has plenty of pass-catching weapons and should add a punishing element to the running attack. Oakland ranked sixth in the NFL in total offense (373.3 yards per game) and seventh in scoring (26.0). The Raiders will have a top-10 offense again, but there are problems on the other side of the ball, where they ranked 26th in total defense and still show too many weaknesses in the secondary. Tennessee can exploit those weak spots. The Titans, No. 3 in rushing offense at 136.7 yards per game, are built to play power football with a top-notch line and tough runners. is maturing as a passer in much the same way Carr did a year ago. These offenses are nearly mirror images. Tennessee is a little better defensively, though. Carr and the Raiders escaped Nashville with a 17-10 win last September. In the NFL, a team that was lucky one year tends to get the worst of it the next year. This looks like a good time to back the Titans as 1½-point favorites.

STEELERS-BROWNS A rookie quarterback making his frst start is typically in a bet-against spot. +9 DeShone Kizer, a second-round pick from Notre Dame, won Cleveland’s Line quarterback job by default. After a one-win fasco of a season, the Browns have nothing to lose by launching their future now. Kizer will show fashes of 46.5 playmaking brilliance and endure stretches of blunders. Kizer has exciting Total potential, but he’s simply not ready for an improved Pittsburgh defense. And it would be stunning if he debuted by beating Big Ben in a head-to-head duel. Now that Le’Veon Bell is ready to roll, is surrounded by an explosive cast of big-play threats. This handicapper puts Pittsburgh No. 2 in the NFL power rankings, behind New England and one spot above Green Bay. There’s no need to dig deep into the numbers with these AFC North teams. What matters is Roethlisberger has a 21-2 career record against Cleveland, and he’s not losing this game to a rookie. Laying more than a touchdown on the road is playing with fre. However, playing 6- or 6½-point teasers can be a smart strategy for bettors to utilize in the NFL. The advice here is to go the safe route and play the Steelers on a teaser to knock the line — which is 8½ to 9 and could close as high as 10 by kickoff — below a feld goal.

CHARGERS-BRONCOS -3.5 In brief appearances in the preseason, Chargers quarterback was sharp. His interception total (21) was troubling last season, but that was more Line a matter of a quarterback who tried to force throws while under pressure behind a woeful offensive line. The line is much better now and the weapons 43.5 are there — running back , wideout and tight Total end , to name a few. Despite everything falling apart around him, Rivers produced a 33-touchdown season. The Chargers have the QB edge in this matchup, and their -led defense is on the rise. Bosa will put heat on , who won the Broncos’ uninspiring quarterback competition. Denver’s defense, which ranked No. 4 overall and No. 1 in the league against the pass, has declined and is not what it was the past two years. The most popular storyline with the Chargers is their move to . In handicapping this game, that storyline is irrelevant. Opinions seem to be split on the Chargers — some wiseguys love their potential and others remain pessimistic. The Chargers lost last year’s season opener in at Kansas City and dropped fve other games by four points or fewer. Rivers has a history of playing well in Denver, and he can be counted on to show up again on the Monday night stage. The recommendation is to ride Rivers and the Chargers getting points. The line is sitting at 3½ and probably will hit 4.

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YOUR TRUSTED SOURCE FOR EXCLUSIVE SPORTS GAMBLING NEWS, ANALYSIS AND DATA AUGUST 30 – SEPTEMBER 3

Q&A with Warren Sharp by Rex Beyers Warren Sharp is well known to bettors in the the biggest two improvements a team can know. make. If you look at a lot of advanced metrics, the Bears offense under was fairly Sharp is the proprietor of SharpFootballAnalysis. good. The schedule is tough, so I don’t like com. His NFL totals routinely beat the closing them as much as I do Cleveland but I still think line and even wiseguys have been betting the 49ers can get to fve or six wins. them the last few seasons. Sharp recommends: San Francisco OVER 4.5 wins One example of Sharp’s work can be found with him breaking down the NFL schedules Alexander: You said you like to bet primarily analytically here: http://www.rotoworld.com/ on UNDERS, so what are a few of those that articles/nf/72810/298/superior-strength-of- you’re looking at? schedule. Sharp: People are underestimating the loss of for Detroit. They really didn’t use Sharp had a rough summer, as a contractor the much last season; But Boldin was made a mistake with the natural gas at his their go-to guy in the red zone. Many people residence and within 48 hours of that job being just assume that will turn into a red done, he lost his voice. Turns out that carbon zone monster with Boldin gone. While they won monoxide was being pumped into his home nine games, eight were by one score. That offce. He didn’t have his voice for the better means their opponents are always in games, part of two months but seems to be recovered and without Boldin the red zone effciency is just in time for the start of the NFL season. bound to dip at least a little bit. That means the Lions are not scoring as many points and it He made an appearance Monday with VSiN means that their opponents are gonna have host Gill Alexander on “A Numbers Game” a chance to win some of those close games. (10-noon ET/7-9 a.m. PT). Sharp will be on an They could be in for a slight bit of regression. NFL roundtable show every Thursday during the Minnesota is a little better this year and the season with Bill Krackomberger, Evan Silva and Bears won’t be any worse than they were last Alexander at 11 a.m. ET (8 PT). Here is a look at year. The Packers will win the division but the a few of Sharp’s insights on some NFL season one team to step backward will be the Detroit win totals. Lions. Sharp recommends: Detroit UNDER 7.5 or 8 wins Alexander: What are some of the season wins totals that might still present value for folks? Alexander: What’s another UNDER that you’re Sharp: Usually I tend to look for UNDERS but looking at? I’m a little bullish on a few teams. One of them Sharp: I like the Broncos to go UNDER 8.5. We would be the . They’ve really see how desperate they are already, having improved the offensive and has to go out and acquire . He’s said he wants to rely more on the run game. a terrible quarterback and now he’s coming They get to face the Ravens in week 2, the back to Denver for the veteran minimum. But Colts in week 3 and the Bengals in week 4. if they feel like they need him, that tells you has had a back injury and those all you need to know about their quarterback tend to fare up so he might not be healthy. situation. The goal was to use shotgun more this still hasn’t shown signs that he season, as Mike McCoy loves to run it. Paxton will be ready the next week. Vontaze Burfct Lynch was a shotgun quarterback in college will be back from suspension but it will be his but he’s been terrible, even in this system. So frst game. They also get the Steelers in week now they’re resorting to Trevor Siemian, who 17 and the Steelers started in stinks in the shotgun. Under center, he posted this spot last year. They might have things a 123 quarterback rating but in the shotgun it wrapped up in a pretty weak AFC this year was a 71. He threw for 8.1 yards per attempt and could face Jones again. Factor in games under center but 3.9 in the shotgun. All other with the Jets, Jaguars and Bears and it’s an advanced metrics support those numbers. The optimal schedule for the Browns without even defense is best set up to defend the pass, and mentioning the upgrades at quarterback, on that’s going back a few years, when Peyton the line, good receivers and running backs Manning was healthy and could help build and an improved defense. There are a lot a big lead and force other teams to pass. of good things going on in Cleveland. While They’re not going to have many big leads I certainly don’t expect them to make the so other teams will be able to run the ball on playoffs this year, they’re headed in the right Denver, and they’re average at best against direction. the run. It’s a very diffcult division (with the Sharp recommends: Cleveland OVER 5 wins Raiders and Chiefs, I’m a little down on both of them and the Chargers, who are better than Alexander: And you also like San Francisco to people think) and I have them playing the go OVER as well? hardest schedule in the league by my metrics. Sharp: The best way to get your team back Even a seven-to-eight-win season is not a on track is to improve your offense, because terrible season for a team like Denver, but it will this is an offensive league. When you insert a still cash this ticket. new quarterback and play caller, those are Sharp recommends: Denver UNDER 9 wins 6

VSiN.COM - VEGAS STATS & INFORMATION NETWORK NFL Top Weekly Trends TEAMS TO PLAY ON TEAMS TO PLAY AGAINST (469) PITTSBURGH AT (470) (469) PITTSBURGH AT (470) CLEVELAND CLEVELAND 22.5% PITTSBURGH is 35-19-3 53.1% CLEVELAND is 4-19-2 ATS(L25G) ROI ATS(L57G) on ROAD - division ROI - As underdog games ( $1460 Proft with a 53.1% ROI ) ( $1410 Proft with a 22.5% ROI )

(473) SEATTLE AT (474) GREEN (455) ATLANTA AT (456) BAY CHICAGO 14.6% GREEN BAY is 59-39-2 16.6% CHICAGO is 19-30-1 ATS(L50G) ROI ATS(L100G) - As favorite ROI at HOME - All Games ( $1610 Proft with a 14.6% ROI ) ( $910 Proft with a 16.6% ROI )

(479) NEW ORLEANS AT (480) (471) INDIANAPOLIS AT (472) MINNESOTA LA RAMS 29.8% MINNESOTA is 34-16 ATS(L50G) 31.8% LA RAMS is 15-34-1 ATS(L50G) - ROI - All Games ROI In September ( $1640 Proft with a 29.8% ROI ) ( $1750 Proft with a 31.8% ROI )

GAMES TO PLAY OVER GAMES TO PLAY UNDER (461) ARIZONA AT (462) (467) BALTIMORE AT (468) DETROIT CINCINNATI 29.8% ARIZONA is 34-16 OVER(L50G) - 14.7% BALTIMORE is 29-19-2 ROI 1500 or more travel miles ROI UNDER(L50G) - VS AFC-NORTH ( $1640 Proft with a 29.8% ROI ) ( $810 Proft with a 14.7% ROI )

(473) SEATTLE AT (474) GREEN (469) PITTSBURGH AT (470) BAY CLEVELAND 23.8% SEATTLE is 24-13 OVER(L37G) - 18.4% CLEVELAND is 31-19 ROI VS NFC-NORTH ROI UNDER(L50G) at HOME - All ( $970 Proft with a 23.8% ROI ) Games ( $1010 Proft with a 18.4% ROI )

(475) CAROLINA AT (476) SAN (481) LA CHARGERS AT (482) FRANCISCO DENVER 24.2% CAROLINA is 32-17-1 18.4% LA CHARGERS is 31-19 ROI OVER(L50G) on ROAD - ROI UNDER(L5Y) - Conference Conference games games ( $1330 Proft with a 24.2% ROI ) ( $1010 Proft with a 18.4% ROI )

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YOUR TRUSTED SOURCE FOR EXCLUSIVE SPORTS GAMBLING NEWS, ANALYSIS AND DATA AUGUST 30 – SEPTEMBER 3

NFL Matchups (451) KANSAS CITY [SU:12-5 | ATS:9-7-1] AT (452) NEW ENGLAND (-9 | 48.5) [SU:17-2 | ATS:16-3] SEPTEMBER 7, 2017 8:30 PM on NBC - (FOXBORO, MA)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF KANSAS CITY 23.8 19 25-106 [4.2] 34-23-230 [6.7] 14.1 19.4 21 28-124 [4.5] 37-22-246 [6.6] 19.1 +15 +4.4 NEW ENGLAND 28.7 23 30-112 [3.8] 36-24-284 [7.8] 13.8 16.4 18 23-88 [3.9] 37-23-239 [6.4] 19.9 +13 +12.3

As per usual, the champs open the season and it should be another raucous scene at Gillette Stadium. New England is favored again to repeat, but that has not happened in 12 years, after occurring four times from 1989 to 2005. Despite incredible productivity, is still 40 and at some point Father Time wins. The Patriots are 13-3 ATS at home the past two years. Kansas City has the unenviable task as being the frst Pats opponent, but coach ’s Chiefs teams are 23-12 ATS on the road and anything over a touchdown favorite in Week 1 is a big number. If New England plays there game, they cover, however, any slipups and the Chiefs could make this close.

V-TRENDS • NEW ENGLAND is 13-2 ATS(L5Y) - VS Opp With 1000 or more travel miles • NEW ENGLAND is 15-3 ATS(L2Y) - As favorite • NEW ENGLAND is 35-15 OVER(L50G) at HOME - Conference games

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-01-16 KANSAS CITY (20) at NEW ENGLAND (27) -6 44.5 NEW ENGLAND HOME FAV OVER 2014-09-29 NEW ENGLAND (14) at KANSAS CITY (41) +3 45.0 KANSAS CITY HOME DOG OVER 2011-11-21 KANSAS CITY (3) at NEW ENGLAND (34) -17 46.5 NEW ENGLAND HOME FAV UNDER 2008-09-07 KANSAS CITY (10) at NEW ENGLAND (17) -16.5 43.0 KANSAS CITY ROAD DOG UNDER 2005-11-27 NEW ENGLAND (16) at KANSAS CITY (26) -3 50.0 KANSAS CITY HOME FAV UNDER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge KANSAS CITY 48 26.5 19.3 19.9 NEW ENGLAND -8 30.5 -6.6 28.2 26.5

HOME teams are on a 3-0 ATS run in KC-NE series, average win 21.7 PPG

(453) NY JETS [SU:5-11 | ATS:6-8-2] AT (454) BUFFALO (-9.5 | 40) [SU:7-9 | ATS:6-9-1] SEPTEMBER 10, 2017 1:00 PM on CBS - NEW ERA FIELD (BUFFALO, NY)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF NY JETS 17.2 18 26-113 [4.3] 34-19-217 [6.3] 19.2 25.6 20 27-99 [3.7] 34-22-243 [7.1] 13.4 -20 -8.4 BUFFALO 24.9 20 31-164 [5.3] 30-18-190 [6.4] 14.2 23.6 21 29-133 [4.6] 32-19-224 [7.0] 15.1 +6 +1.3

Buffalo waved the white fag to this season by trading their best and . New Sean McDermott could not possibly be pleased about that development, yet his team is still around a touchdown favorite over the , which says a lot about their skill level. New York played three in the preseason and none of them will excel on this team, based on their own merit and teammates abilities. With as bad as Gang Green appears, this line might make more sense in month than today. Last year both teams had better squads and the Jets swept the season series as underdogs. Also watch the total with the Bills 12-3 OVER as favorites.

V-TRENDS • BUFFALO is 11-6 ATS(L17G) - First game of the season • NY JETS is 3-6-2 ATS(L3Y) on ROAD - Conference games • BUFFALO is 10-2 UNDER(L12G) at HOME - VS OPP with more than 13 days rest

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2017-01-01 BUFFALO (10) at NY JETS (30) +4 43.0 NY JETS HOME DOG UNDER 2016-09-15 NY JETS (37) at BUFFALO (31) -1 40.5 NY JETS ROAD DOG OVER 2016-01-03 NY JETS (17) at BUFFALO (22) +3 41.0 BUFFALO HOME DOG UNDER 2015-11-12 BUFFALO (22) at NY JETS (17) -2 41.5 BUFFALO ROAD DOG UNDER 2014-11-24 * NY JETS (3) vs BUFFALO (38) -3 39.0 BUFFALO xxxx FAV OVER

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VSiN.COM - VEGAS STATS & INFORMATION NETWORK NFL Matchups STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge NY JETS 40 18.5 16.9 18.1 BUFFALO -7.5 21.5 -5.4 22.5 23.5

UNDERDOGS are on a 6-1 ATS run in the NYJ-BUF series

(455) ATLANTA (-7 | 50) [SU:13-6 | ATS:12-7] AT (456) CHICAGO [SU:3-13 | ATS:7-9] SEPTEMBER 10, 2017 1:00 PM on FOX - SOLDIER FIELD (CHICAGO, IL)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF ATLANTA 34.1 24 26-117 [4.5] 33-23-299 [8.9] 12.2 25.3 23 23-104 [4.6] 42-27-273 [6.5] 14.9 +16 +8.8 CHICAGO 17.4 20 24-108 [4.6] 35-22-248 [7.1] 20.5 24.9 20 28-122 [4.4] 33-21-225 [6.8] 13.9 -20 -7.5

It is well known the Super Bowl loser has not started the year well and given how Atlanta lost last year, that hangover could be something since these losers are 7-10 and 4-13 ATS since the last time the Falcons played in the big game. The Atlanta offense probably will not be quite as strong, yet the defense is a year older and has more experience. Chicago is coming off three straight losing seasons and is thought to be heading towards a fourth, but at least it will be with a different quarterback. You will not hear about the Bears and quick starts, since they are 3-8-1 ATS the past four years in September, including 0-6 ATS the last two seasons.

V-TRENDS • ATLANTA is 10-4 ATS(L2Y) - Conference games • CHICAGO is 4-14 ATS(L5Y) at HOME - OU line of 45 or more • ATLANTA is 7-3-1 UNDER(L3Y) on ROAD - On grass feld

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2014-10-12 CHICAGO (27) at ATLANTA (13) -3 55.5 CHICAGO ROAD DOG UNDER 2011-09-11 ATLANTA (12) at CHICAGO (30) +1.5 40.5 CHICAGO HOME DOG OVER 2009-10-18 CHICAGO (14) at ATLANTA (21) -4 46.5 ATLANTA HOME FAV UNDER 2008-10-12 CHICAGO (20) at ATLANTA (22) +3 43.0 ATLANTA HOME DOG UNDER 2005-12-18 ATLANTA (3) at CHICAGO (16) -3.5 31.0 CHICAGO HOME FAV UNDER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge ATLANTA -7 29.5 28.3 28.9 CHICAGO 50 19.5 7.5 21.8 21.4

UNDERDOGS are on a 6-2 ATS run in the ATL-CHI series

(457) JACKSONVILLE [SU:3-13 | ATS:8-8] AT (458) HOUSTON (-5.5 | 39.5) [SU:10-8 | ATS:7-10-1] SEPTEMBER 10, 2017 1:00 PM on CBS - NRG STADIUM (HOUSTON, TX)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF JACKSONVILLE 19.9 20 24-102 [4.2] 39-23-233 [6.0] 16.8 25.0 19 28-106 [3.8] 34-22-215 [6.3] 12.8 -16 -5.1 HOUSTON 17.9 19 29-116 [4.0] 36-21-196 [5.4] 17.4 20.9 17 25-98 [3.9] 34-20-202 [6.0] 14.4 -4 -3.0

All we really learned about Jacksonville in the preseason is that coach is not sold on as his QB of the future. Marrone will want to generate a rushing attack and turn Bortles into more of play-action passer and control the game in that manner. Houston has been talking up Tom Savage as their signal caller, with the rest of the NFL not in agreement. The Texans are in the same boat, wanting to run frst, but they have more perimeter playmakers and a stronger defense. Houston has largely controlled this series with an 11-4 and 8-6-1 ATS home record against the Jaguars. Both clubs need a good beginning to the season and have to win division battles.

V-TRENDS • HOUSTON is 10-3-1 ATS(L3Y) - As favorite • JACKSONVILLE is 2-12 ATS(L5Y) - In September • JACKSONVILLE is 11-3-1 OVER(L15G) on ROAD - Before playing TENNESSEE

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RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-12-18 JACKSONVILLE (20) at HOUSTON (21) -3.5 39.5 JACKSONVILLE ROAD DOG OVER 2016-11-13 HOUSTON (24) at JACKSONVILLE (21) -3 42.0 HOUSTON ROAD DOG OVER 2016-01-03 JACKSONVILLE (6) at HOUSTON (30) -5.5 45.0 HOUSTON HOME FAV UNDER 2015-10-18 HOUSTON (31) at JACKSONVILLE (20) -3 43.0 HOUSTON ROAD DOG OVER 2014-12-28 JACKSONVILLE (17) at HOUSTON (23) -9 38.0 JACKSONVILLE ROAD DOG OVER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge JACKSONVILLE 40 21 17.9 18.7 HOUSTON -5.5 22.5 -4.3 23.3 23

UNDERDOGS are on a 7-2 ATS run in the JAC-HOU series

(459) PHILADELPHIA [SU:7-9 | ATS:8-8] AT (460) WASHINGTON (PK | 47.5) [SU:8-7-1 | ATS:10-6] SEPTEMBER 10, 2017 1:00 PM on FOX - FEDEX FIELD (LANDOVER, MD)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF PHILADELPHIA 22.9 21 27-113 [4.1] 38-24-224 [5.9] 14.7 20.7 19 24-103 [4.2] 35-21-239 [6.9] 16.5 +6 +2.2 WASHINGTON 24.8 22 24-106 [4.5] 38-25-297 [7.8] 16.2 23.9 23 26-120 [4.5] 37-24-258 [7.0] 15.8 0 +0.9

Carson Wentz has made progress as he embarks on his second season. What could hold him back is an offensive line that continues to have issues in pass protection. This is something Philadelphia has to fnd answers to otherwise Wentz and the Eagles offense will not reach potential. Philly has failed to cover six straight (1-5 SU) against Washington. The Redskins are the perfect team for the D.C. area, they love all the drama. Having gotten rid of last year’s starting wide receivers, QB and the guys are still learning each other and it shows. Defensive speed needs have been addressed, it becomes a matter of everyone understanding where they need to be. Washington is 12-30 ATS in September home starts.

V-TRENDS • PHILADELPHIA is 8-3 ATS(L2Y) - On grass feld • WASHINGTON is 2-10 ATS(L5Y) at HOME - More than 6 days rest • WASHINGTON is 18-7 UNDER(L25G) - More than 6 days rest

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-12-11 WASHINGTON (27) at PHILADELPHIA (22) +2 48.0 WASHINGTON ROAD FAV OVER 2016-10-16 PHILADELPHIA (20) at WASHINGTON (27) +3 45.0 WASHINGTON HOME DOG OVER 2015-12-26 WASHINGTON (38) at PHILADELPHIA (24) -3 48.0 WASHINGTON ROAD DOG OVER 2015-10-04 PHILADELPHIA (20) at WASHINGTON (23) +3 45.5 WASHINGTON HOME DOG UNDER 2014-12-20 PHILADELPHIA (24) at WASHINGTON (27) +7 51.0 WASHINGTON HOME DOG xxxx

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge PHILADELPHIA 47.5 22.5 24.2 22.6 WASHINGTON 0 21.5 -1.8 23.3 26.4 WAS

WASHINGTON is on a 5-0 SU & ATS run versus Philadelphia

(461) ARIZONA (-1.5 | 47.5) [SU:7-8-1 | ATS:6-10] AT (462) DETROIT [SU:9-8 | ATS:7-9-1] SEPTEMBER 10, 2017 1:00 PM on FOX - FORD FIELD (DETROIT, MI)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF ARIZONA 26.1 23 25-108 [4.3] 40-24-258 [6.4] 14.0 22.6 18 26-95 [3.6] 34-21-210 [6.2] 13.5 0 +3.5 DETROIT 20.7 20 21-80 [3.7] 37-24-253 [6.9] 16.1 22.6 21 25-110 [4.4] 34-25-246 [7.2] 15.8 -1 -1.9

This is one of several contests in Week 1 which when looking back later in the year, teams could point to negatively or positively. looked like he should have retired last year, but you get the impression he and wanted one more shot. Arizona’s offense has big play elements everywhere and the defense also has difference-makers if not known stability at this time. Detroit entered the off-season needing defensive line upgrade, it did not happen for reasons unknown. If Palmer has a clear, clean pocket to throw from, the Lions high-paid will need a brilliant performance. These two clubs are 6-1 OVER when playing in the Motor City. 10

VSiN.COM - VEGAS STATS & INFORMATION NETWORK V-TRENDS • DETROIT is 10-4-1 ATS(L15G) at HOME - VS Opp With 1500 or more travel miles • ARIZONA is 9-16 ATS(L25G) - All Games • ARIZONA is 12-2 OVER(L3Y) - 1000 or more travel miles

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2015-10-11 ARIZONA (42) at DETROIT (17) +4.5 46.0 ARIZONA ROAD FAV OVER 2014-11-16 DETROIT (6) at ARIZONA (14) +1 41.5 ARIZONA HOME DOG UNDER 2013-09-15 DETROIT (21) at ARIZONA (25) +1 47.0 ARIZONA HOME DOG UNDER 2012-12-16 DETROIT (10) at ARIZONA (38) +5.5 43.5 ARIZONA HOME DOG OVER 2009-12-20 ARIZONA (31) at DETROIT (24) +14 46.5 DETROIT HOME DOG OVER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge ARIZONA -1.5 24 23.8 22.4 DETROIT 47.5 22.5 -1.1 23.7 25.1 DET

HOME teams are on a 12-1 ATS run in the ARZ-DET series since ‘99

(463) OAKLAND [SU:12-5 | ATS:10-7] AT (464) TENNESSEE (-2 | 51) [SU:9-7 | ATS:7-9] SEPTEMBER 10, 2017 1:00 PM on CBS - NISSAN STADIUM (NASHVILLE, TN)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF OAKLAND 25.3 21 27-117 [4.4] 38-23-246 [6.5] 14.3 24.2 20 27-118 [4.3] 33-20-252 [7.6] 15.3 +13 +1.1 TENNESSEE 23.8 20 30-137 [4.6] 31-19-221 [7.0] 15.0 23.6 20 22-88 [4.0] 40-24-269 [6.8] 15.1 0 +0.2

Oakland has one of the best offensive lines in football, a superb young quarterback in and they have assembled an impressive collection of talent which should enable the Raiders to score a number of points. Nonetheless, the have weaknesses and the secondary is worse. In a contest like this, Oakland will have to rely on past experience and they are 11-3 ATS away against AFC opponents the past two years. Tennessee’s O-Line is right with the Raiders and with QB Marcus Mariota having better wide-outs to go to, with an excellent running game, this is early measurement battle for coach ’s crew. As opposed to the Raiders, Tennessee has struggled with conference foes and is 6-17 ATS since 2015.

V-TRENDS • OAKLAND is 10-3 ATS(L3Y) on ROAD - Conference games • TENNESSEE is 3-12-1 ATS(L16G) at HOME - VS AFC-WEST • TENNESSEE is 10-4 OVER(L2Y) - On grass feld

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-09-25 OAKLAND (17) at TENNESSEE (10) +2 47.0 OAKLAND ROAD FAV UNDER 2015-11-29 OAKLAND (24) at TENNESSEE (21) PK 45.0 OAKLAND ROAD xxx xxxx 2013-11-24 TENNESSEE (23) at OAKLAND (19) +2.5 42.0 TENNESSEE ROAD FAV xxxx 2010-09-12 OAKLAND (13) at TENNESSEE (38) -6.5 39.5 TENNESSEE HOME FAV OVER 2007-10-28 OAKLAND (9) at TENNESSEE (13) -7 39.0 OAKLAND ROAD DOG UNDER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge OAKLAND 51 26 24.5 24.5 TENNESSEE -2 23.5 -0.1 25.5 25.6

FAVORITES have gone 8-1-1 ATS in the OAK-TEN series since ‘02

(465) TAMPA BAY (-2.5 | 43.5) [SU:9-7 | ATS:9-7] AT (466) MIAMI [SU:10-7 | ATS:8-7-2] SEPTEMBER 10, 2017 1:00 PM on FOX - HARD ROCK STADIUM (MIAMI, FL)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF TAMPA BAY 22.1 21 28-101 [3.6] 36-22-245 [6.8] 15.7 23.1 20 27-117 [4.4] 34-22-251 [7.3] 15.9 +2 -1.0 MIAMI 22.1 17 25-110 [4.4] 30-20-221 [7.3] 15.0 24.1 22 29-143 [4.9] 36-22-239 [6.7] 15.9 +1 -2.0

Almost former FOX television analyst has made a very positive impression in aqua green and orange and is “excited” about Miami’s home opener. The Dolphins have quite a variety of offensive talent that Cutler could use, it just comes down to turnovers for him. Coach is extremely unhappy with his secondary, which Tampa Bay could expose. The 11

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Buccaneers claim they are ready for postseason football and they are an exciting up and coming unit. QB had playmakers around him and if the running game comes around, the Bucs offense could be lethal. The defense has a chance to be better than 23rd, as long as the group as a whole comes to play on every down.

V-TRENDS • TAMPA BAY is 10-5 ATS(L5Y) on ROAD - On grass feld • MIAMI is 7-16-2 ATS(L25G) at HOME - Non-conference games • MIAMI is 9-3 OVER(L2Y) - On grass feld

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2013-11-11 MIAMI (19) at TAMPA BAY (22) +2.5 39.5 TAMPA BAY HOME DOG OVER 2009-11-15 TAMPA BAY (23) at MIAMI (25) -10 43.0 TAMPA BAY ROAD DOG OVER 2005-10-16 MIAMI (13) at TAMPA BAY (27) -4.5 34.5 TAMPA BAY HOME FAV OVER 2000-12-10 TAMPA BAY (16) at MIAMI (13) -3 34.0 TAMPA BAY ROAD DOG UNDER 1997-09-21 MIAMI (21) at TAMPA BAY (31) -3.5 36.5 TAMPA BAY HOME FAV OVER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge TAMPA BAY -2.5 24 22.7 22.4 MIAMI 41.5 22.5 -1 21.8 24.1

TAMPA BAY is 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS versus Miami since ‘97

(467) BALTIMORE [SU:8-8 | ATS:7-8-1] AT (468) CINCINNATI (-3 | 42.5) [SU:6-9-1 | ATS:6-9-1] SEPTEMBER 10, 2017 1:00 PM on CBS - PAUL BROWN STADIUM (CINCINNATI, OH)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF BALTIMORE 21.4 20 23-91 [4.0] 42-27-256 [6.0] 16.2 20.1 18 24-89 [3.7] 36-23-233 [6.4] 16.0 +5 +1.3 CINCINNATI 20.3 21 28-111 [4.0] 35-23-246 [7.0] 17.6 19.7 20 26-113 [4.4] 37-23-237 [6.4] 17.8 +3 +0.6

The frst game of a new season can be made too much of, yet for these division partners it means a great deal to start with a W. Scouts are saying Baltimore’s No. 7 defense from a year ago should be even better and it might need to with QB Joe Flacco’s balky back a real concern, despite coach insisting Flacco “..will be ready for Cincinnati.” The Bengals after fve consecutive winning seasons fell to 6-9-1 in 2016 and frmly believe if healthy can win the AFC North and return to playoffs. has looked comfortable and when his Bengals are home against the Ravens, they are 14-7 SU and 13-8 ATS.

V-TRENDS • BALTIMORE is 8-3-1 ATS(L3Y) - division games • CINCINNATI is 8-17 ATS(L25G) at HOME - VS OPP with more than 6 days rest • CINCINNATI is 10-3 UNDER(L3Y) - division games

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2017-01-01 BALTIMORE (10) at CINCINNATI (27) +2.5 40.5 CINCINNATI HOME DOG UNDER 2016-11-27 CINCINNATI (14) at BALTIMORE (19) -3 42.0 BALTIMORE HOME FAV UNDER 2016-01-03 BALTIMORE (16) at CINCINNATI (24) -9.5 40.5 BALTIMORE ROAD DOG UNDER 2015-09-27 CINCINNATI (28) at BALTIMORE (24) -1.5 45.5 CINCINNATI ROAD DOG OVER 2014-10-26 BALTIMORE (24) at CINCINNATI (27) +3 44.0 CINCINNATI HOME DOG OVER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge BALTIMORE 42.5 23 19.2 20.4 CINCINNATI -3 22.5 -2.3 23.2 22.7

UNDERDOGS are on a 5-1 ATS run in the BAL-CIN series CINCINNATI is 9-3 ATS when hosting Baltimore since ‘05

(469) PITTSBURGH (-9 | 46.5) [SU:13-6 | ATS:11-7-1] AT (470) CLEVELAND [SU:1-15 | ATS:3-12-1] SEPTEMBER 10, 2017 1:00 PM on CBS - FIRSTENERGY STADIUM (CLEVELAND, OH)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF PITTSBURGH 24.4 21 26-114 [4.3] 36-23-259 [7.1] 15.3 20.6 20 23-93 [4.1] 37-24-246 [6.7] 16.5 +5 +3.8 12 CLEVELAND 16.5 18 22-107 [4.9] 35-21-204 [5.8] 18.8 28.2 23 31-143 [4.6] 34-22-250 [7.4] 13.9 -12 -11.7

VSiN.COM - VEGAS STATS & INFORMATION NETWORK If New England were somehow to falter, the team according to oddsmakers that steps into their place is Pittsburgh from the AFC. The Steelers have the ammo offensively to do a great deal of damage and with their youthful defense gaining invaluable experience the last couple years, they could be ready to take the next step. For Cleveland, the idea is simply getting better after 1-15 campaign. The last couple drafts have added players and if DeShone Kizer works out eventually at quarterback, all the better. Speaking of QB, did you know the last Browns quarterback to start 16 games in a season was Tim Couch in 2002! Cleveland is 3-12-1 ATS at home the last couple years.

V-TRENDS • PITTSBURGH is 10-5-1 ATS(L2Y) - As favorite • CLEVELAND is 1-10-1 ATS(L3Y) - division games • PITTSBURGH is 9-2 UNDER(L3Y) on ROAD - As favorite

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2017-01-01 CLEVELAND (24) at PITTSBURGH (27) -3 41.5 x x x x x xxxx xxx OVER 2016-11-20 PITTSBURGH (24) at CLEVELAND (9) +8 45.5 PITTSBURGH ROAD FAV UNDER 2016-01-03 PITTSBURGH (28) at CLEVELAND (12) +12.5 47.0 PITTSBURGH ROAD FAV UNDER 2015-11-15 CLEVELAND (9) at PITTSBURGH (30) -7 43.5 PITTSBURGH HOME FAV UNDER 2014-10-12 PITTSBURGH (10) at CLEVELAND (31) -2.5 46.5 CLEVELAND HOME FAV UNDER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge PITTSBURGH -9 28.5 29.3 28.2 CLEVELAND 46.5 17 9 17.5 19.2

FAVORITES have gone 4-0-1 ATS in the L5 of the PIT-CLE series

(471) INDIANAPOLIS [SU:8-8 | ATS:7-8-1] AT (472) LA RAMS (-3.5 | 42) [SU:4-12 | ATS:4-10-2] SEPTEMBER 10, 2017 4:05 PM on CBS - LOS ANGELES MEMORIAL COLISEUM (LOS ANGELES, CA)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF INDIANAPOLIS 25.7 22 26-102 [4.0] 36-23-263 [7.2] 14.2 24.5 22 26-120 [4.7] 36-24-262 [7.2] 15.6 -5 +1.2 LA RAMS 14.0 15 23-78 [3.3] 33-19-184 [5.5] 18.7 24.6 20 26-104 [3.9] 36-24-233 [6.4] 13.7 -11 -10.6

When Indianapolis coach said there is no time table for Andrew Luck return, one can only surmise the recovery process is going slow and they want to make sure he’s 100 percent because the offensive line, while expected to be improved, it was a big reason why Luck needed shoulder surgery to begin with. That brings us to Scott Tolzein as the No.1 quarterback and he will try and improve on the Colts 25-12 ATS mark as a road favorite of three points or less. The coaching change for the Rams has brought about a batch of moving parts that do not look cohesive yet. The Rams are 11-20 ATS as non-division home underdogs the last decade.

V-TRENDS • INDIANAPOLIS is 17-7-1 ATS(L25G) on ROAD - Non-conference games • LA RAMS is 3-13-1 ATS(L17G) - First game of the season • INDIANAPOLIS is 11-1 OVER(L3Y) - On grass feld

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2013-11-10 ST LOUIS (38) at INDIANAPOLIS (8) -7 43.0 ST LOUIS ROAD DOG OVER 2009-10-25 INDIANAPOLIS (42) at ST LOUIS (6) +14 45.0 INDIANAPOLIS ROAD FAV OVER 2005-10-17 ST LOUIS (28) at INDIANAPOLIS (45) -13.5 51.0 INDIANAPOLIS HOME FAV OVER 2001-12-30 INDIANAPOLIS (17) at ST LOUIS (42) -12 58.5 ST LOUIS HOME FAV OVER 1995-10-01 ST LOUIS (18) at INDIANAPOLIS (21) -3 39.5 x x x x x xxxx xxx UNDER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge INDIANAPOLIS 42 23.5 18.4 18.9 LA RAMS -3.5 19 -3 23.4 23.1

The L4 Colts-Rams h2h games went OVER the total, winning team avg 41.8 PPG

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(473) SEATTLE [SU:11-6-1 | ATS:8-9-1] AT (474) GREEN BAY (-3 | 50.5) [SU:12-7 | ATS:11-7-1] SEPTEMBER 10, 2017 4:25 PM on FOX - LAMBEAU FIELD (GREEN BAY, WI)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF SEATTLE 22.2 20 26-104 [4.0] 35-23-252 [7.2] 16.0 18.6 19 27-91 [3.4] 34-21-229 [6.8] 17.2 -1 +3.6 GREEN BAY 27.6 22 23-103 [4.5] 39-25-270 [6.9] 13.5 25.1 21 24-96 [4.1] 36-23-278 [7.6] 14.9 +8 +2.5

What a great opener for two of the favorites in the NFC! Seattle’s defense reminded many of the one that went to consecutive Super Bowls in August, with domineering numbers and blinding speed. The offensive line and are what to watch on offense, as the Seahawks talk about this being there year. Seattle is 1-8 and 2-5-2 ATS at Lambeau. The Hawks’ defense might be ready and so will and the guys in Green Bay. There is a different sense about the Packers this year, knowing Rodgers will be 34 in December and Super Bowl chances are running down. The Pack has the front line talent, with backups worrisome. The Packers are 53-34-2 ATS as single digit favorites.

V-TRENDS • GREEN BAY is 11-4-3 ATS(L18G) - VS Opp With 1500 or more travel miles • SEATTLE is 2-8-1 ATS(L11G) on ROAD - First game of the season • GREEN BAY is 10-3 OVER(L5Y) - In September

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-12-11 SEATTLE (10) at GREEN BAY (38) +3 46.5 GREEN BAY HOME DOG OVER 2015-09-20 SEATTLE (17) at GREEN BAY (27) -3 49.0 GREEN BAY HOME FAV UNDER 2015-01-18 GREEN BAY (22) at SEATTLE (28) -8.5 44.5 GREEN BAY ROAD DOG OVER 2014-09-04 GREEN BAY (16) at SEATTLE (36) -4.5 46.5 SEATTLE HOME FAV OVER 2012-09-24 GREEN BAY (12) at SEATTLE (14) +3 45.0 SEATTLE HOME DOG UNDER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge SEATTLE 50.5 27.5 22.7 22.8 GREEN BAY -3 28.5 -3.8 26.3 26.6

GREEN BAY is 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS hosting Seattle since ‘03

(475) CAROLINA (-5.5 | 48) [SU:6-10 | ATS:6-9-1] AT (476) SAN FRANCISCO [SU:2-14 | ATS:4-11-1] SEPTEMBER 10, 2017 4:25 PM on FOX - LEVIS STADIUM (SANTA CLARA, CA)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF CAROLINA 23.1 20 28-113 [4.0] 35-19-230 [6.5] 14.8 25.1 21 23-92 [3.9] 38-26-268 [7.0] 14.3 -2 -2.0 SAN FRANCISCO 19.3 18 29-126 [4.4] 31-18-182 [5.9] 16.0 30.0 22 34-166 [4.8] 33-20-240 [7.4] 13.5 -5 -10.7

With low expectations and excitement with running the show in San Francisco, there is an unusual amount of optimism from the 49ers players they could stun Carolina in home opener. There has been the usual amount of frustration from the Niners with growing pains, yet Shanahan has them believing. The Panthers are convinced last year was an abomination and they will return to the postseason and will have monster year and thrive with new weapons around him. One aspect to watch for in the frst fve Carolina contests is effort, as to often, particularly on defense, the ‘Cats went through the motions last season. Carolina is 8-1 ATS on the road to Frisco area.

V-TRENDS • SAN FRANCISCO is 8-2-1 ATS(L11G) at HOME - More than 13 days rest • CAROLINA is 4-9 ATS(L5Y) on ROAD - OU line of 45 or more • SAN FRANCISCO is 17-7-1 OVER(L25G) - VS NFC-SOUTH

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-09-18 SAN FRANCISCO (27) at CAROLINA (46) -11.5 44.5 CAROLINA HOME FAV OVER 2014-01-12 SAN FRANCISCO (23) at CAROLINA (10) +1 41.5 SAN FRANCISCO ROAD FAV UNDER 2013-11-10 CAROLINA (10) at SAN FRANCISCO (9) -6 42.5 CAROLINA ROAD DOG UNDER 2010-10-24 SAN FRANCISCO (20) at CAROLINA (23) +2 35.5 CAROLINA HOME DOG OVER 2007-12-02 SAN FRANCISCO (14) at CAROLINA (31) -3 35.0 CAROLINA HOME FAV OVER

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VSiN.COM - VEGAS STATS & INFORMATION NETWORK STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge CAROLINA -5.5 25 27 26.2 SAN FRANCISCO 48 17.5 5.1 21.2 21.4

CAROLINA is 16-4 ATS all-time versus 49ers, including 8-1 ATS @ SF

(477) NY GIANTS [SU:11-6 | ATS:8-7-2] AT (478) DALLAS (-4 | 48) [SU:13-4 | ATS:10-7] SEPTEMBER 10, 2017 8:30 PM on NBC - AT&T STADIUM (ARLINGTON, TX)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF NY GIANTS 19.0 18 24-87 [3.6] 38-24-245 [6.5] 17.5 18.9 19 25-88 [3.5] 39-23-256 [6.5] 18.2 -4 +0.1 DALLAS 26.6 23 31-149 [4.8] 31-21-231 [7.5] 14.3 20.0 21 21-84 [4.0] 40-27-264 [6.6] 17.4 +5 +6.6

While the saga plays out, no word yet if Odell Beckham Jr. will be ready as he attempts to get ankle healed. Though this would lower the excitement level, this is the Giants and the Cowboys. New York is counting on an aging and defense that made tremendous strides after spending a shipload of money to upgrade. Dallas is secure with , yet we have seen rookie signal callers burst onto the scene and then regress. The Cowboys major concern is fnding a consistent pass rush, with the secondary completely overhauled. Dallas is in 0-5 ATS downer versus the G-Men and are 2-6 ATS against Big Blue at home in their last eight tries.

V-TRENDS • NY GIANTS is 7-4-1 ATS(L3Y) - VS OPP with more than 6 days rest • DALLAS is 6-19 ATS(L25G) at HOME - More than 6 days rest • DALLAS is 8-2-1 OVER(L3Y) at HOME - As favorite

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-12-11 DALLAS (7) at NY GIANTS (10) +3.5 47.0 NY GIANTS HOME DOG UNDER 2016-09-11 NY GIANTS (20) at DALLAS (19) -1 48.0 NY GIANTS ROAD DOG UNDER 2015-10-25 DALLAS (20) at NY GIANTS (27) -3 44.5 NY GIANTS HOME FAV OVER 2015-09-13 NY GIANTS (26) at DALLAS (27) -7 52.0 NY GIANTS ROAD DOG OVER 2014-11-23 DALLAS (31) at NY GIANTS (28) +4 48.5 NY GIANTS HOME DOG OVER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge NY GIANTS 48 25.5 22.5 21.1 DALLAS -3.5 27.5 -4.8 25.7 25.5

NY GIANTS are 9-4-1 ATS at Dallas since ‘04

(479) NEW ORLEANS [SU:7-9 | ATS:10-5-1] AT (480) MINNESOTA (-3.5 | 48) [SU:8-8 | ATS:9-7] SEPTEMBER 11, 2017 7:10 PM on ESPN - US BANK STADIUM (, MN)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF NEW ORLEANS 29.3 25 25-109 [4.3] 42-29-317 [7.5] 14.5 28.4 22 25-102 [4.1] 36-24-274 [7.5] 13.2 -3 +0.9 MINNESOTA 20.4 19 24-75 [3.2] 37-26-240 [6.5] 15.4 19.2 19 25-107 [4.2] 34-21-208 [6.1] 16.4 +11 +1.2

As the season begins, the most impressive part of New Orleans summer camp is their defense. (Yes, you did read that correctly.) Whether that holds true once we start for real will be determined, but just the fact it even came up proves the Saints front offce is trying to help and the offense. Minnesota fans will be shocked to see in a Saints uniform and the Vikings defenders will have to tackle him at real speed. The Minnesota defense wore down in 2016 and unless and Vikes can deliver consistency the same problems will persist. Minnesota is 13-4 ATS playing at home the past couple years.

V-TRENDS • MINNESOTA is 10-3 ATS(L3Y) at HOME - Conference games • NEW ORLEANS is 10-15 ATS(L25G) on ROAD - On non-grass feld • MINNESOTA is 17-8 UNDER(L3Y) - Conference games

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RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2014-09-21 MINNESOTA (9) at NEW ORLEANS (20) -9.5 49.5 NEW ORLEANS HOME FAV UNDER 2011-12-18 NEW ORLEANS (42) at MINNESOTA (20) +7 53.0 NEW ORLEANS ROAD FAV OVER 2010-09-09 MINNESOTA (9) at NEW ORLEANS (14) -4.5 49.0 NEW ORLEANS HOME FAV UNDER 2010-01-24 MINNESOTA (28) at NEW ORLEANS (31) -4 53.5 MINNESOTA ROAD DOG OVER 2008-10-06 MINNESOTA (30) at NEW ORLEANS (27) -3 47.0 MINNESOTA ROAD DOG OVER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge NEW ORLEANS 48 22 22.5 22.4 MINNESOTA -3.5 23 -3.6 25.7 26

OVER the total is 9-3-1 in the L13 NO-MIN h2h games

(481) LA CHARGERS [SU:5-11 | ATS:7-9] AT (482) DENVER (-3.5 | 43.5) [SU:9-7 | ATS:9-7] SEPTEMBER 11, 2017 10:20 PM on ESPN - SPORTS AUTHORITY FIELD AT MILE HIGH (DENVER, CO)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF LA CHARGERS 25.6 21 25-94 [3.8] 36-22-262 [7.2] 13.9 26.4 21 26-98 [3.8] 36-23-249 [6.9] 13.1 -7 -0.8 DENVER 20.8 18 26-93 [3.6] 36-21-230 [6.5] 15.5 18.6 19 30-130 [4.3] 34-19-186 [5.4] 17.0 +2 +2.2

In the fnal game of Week 1, we have a division rivalry encounter. Both these AFC West clubs have seen a great deal of change, starting with the head coaches. Denver had a strong preseason and if their defensive front is as good as they played, this will again be an elite defense that can stop the pass and the run (28th last year). The Broncos are on a 6-0 SU and ATS September streak. The Chargers are also different and are playing in a new city. The San Diego regime has done good work in restructuring the roster and we will see how it plays out in Los Angeles. The Bolts are 40-22 ATS as 3.5 to 7-point road underdog.

V-TRENDS • DENVER is 9-3-1 ATS(L5Y) - In September • LA CHARGERS is 9-15-1 ATS(L5Y) - division games • DENVER is 9-1-2 UNDER(L3Y) - VS OPP with more than 6 days rest

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-10-30 SAN DIEGO (19) at DENVER (27) -4 43.5 DENVER HOME FAV OVER 2016-10-13 DENVER (13) at SAN DIEGO (21) +3 44.5 SAN DIEGO HOME DOG UNDER 2016-01-03 SAN DIEGO (20) at DENVER (27) -10 42.0 SAN DIEGO ROAD DOG OVER 2015-12-06 DENVER (17) at SAN DIEGO (3) +6 45.0 DENVER ROAD FAV UNDER 2014-12-14 DENVER (22) at SAN DIEGO (10) +4 49.5 DENVER ROAD FAV UNDER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge LA CHARGERS 43.5 21.5 20 18.7 DENVER -3.5 25.5 -6.5 DEN 24 25.2 DEN

Nine of L12 Chargers-Broncos h2h games in DEN went OVER the total

VSiN Fall Weekend Lineup (11 a.m.-8 p.m. ET)

Point Spread Saturday/Point Spread Sunday (11 a.m.-1 p.m. ET): Brent Musburger reprises the role he played so well as host of the NFL Today show on CBS. He’ll host a fast- paced two hours that preview the big games Saturday in college football and every game Sunday in the NFL

The Green Zone (1-8 p.m. ET): You know the NFL RedZone channel . . . which switches to diferent games as teams are close to scoring? This is the VSiN Green Zone, where we keep bettors informed when their bets are close to cashing in as well as how the odds are 16 changing during the action. Tom Helmer and Matt Youmans will quarterback the afternoon’s action.

VSiN.COM - VEGAS STATS & INFORMATION NETWORK Percentage’, which in layman’s term is scoring Top Tips for differential calculated into a win percentage. If a team’s scoring differential is in accordance with its record in one season, there is a good Winning Early chance they will revert to the norm the next year.

Take for example the Oakland Raiders of in the NFL last year, who were 12-4, yet only had a +31 scoring differential, which was less than half of Kansas City’s (+78) and they were tied Season atop the NFC West record-wise. Exactly half of If you have been preparing for the start of the Oakland’s victories were by six or fewer points. NFL season like those of us at the Weekly- you With a questionable secondary and still a hole might have a case of information overload. at middle , it is not an accident There is no question it is better to be over- Oakland’s win total at sportsbooks is 9.5. prepared than not knowing what is going on and being caught off guard. Even before Miami lost , the Dolphins were coming off 10-6 campaign If you are a typical bettor and just trusting your and frst playoff appearance since 2008, they past judgment and been doing some modest were only listed with win total of 8, in spite of reading, listening to local sports talk radio, playing the Jets and Bills four times. One widely podcasts or catching a few games on TV, let us accepted reason for such a low fgure was help you with fundamental thoughts for betting that Miami was -17 in point differential, which is NFL football. more in line with a 7-9 club. Six of the Fins’ wins were by six or less points. Some of these you know and are good refreshers and others are preconceived notions With a new coach, it’s hard to get a good that have been around for years that lack the read on the now , but this relevancy of the past. much we know, in spite of 5-11 record in 2016, they were only -13 in points score/allowed (four STUDY TEAM SCHEDULES, NOT THE WHOLE better than Miami in fact), and with a win total SEASON, JUST THE FIRST FOUR GAMES of 7.5, it would not be a reach to see the Bolts When the NFL releases their schedules, too fnish at .500. many people lose their minds. What they do is breakdown the entire schedule, try to fnd TRYING TO LOCATE THE MAGIC TEAM TO wins and losses and use this as season-long FOLLOW benchmark. Many pull out the Magic 8-ball or some other useless tool to help determine that team This can be a complete waste of time unless you just know is going to improve from the you are extremely astute and are dropping year before to ride on. Of course there is 10K or more on futures wagers. no foolproof method to fnd such a team, because of injuries and other factors. However, The reason we say this is each year is a new if you look how a team fnished the year before year in the NFL. Who had Carolina going from and does not have unrealistic expectations, the Super Bowl to last in the NFC South? Or there is potential value to be found. Cincinnati falling to 6-9-1 after fve consecutive winning seasons? And what about Miami For example, in 2014, Carolina started 3-2 and being 10-6 and making the playoffs?! went in the tank with a 0-6-1. Because the NFC South was so bad that year, the Panthers There is a reason why half the division champions won their last four games, won the division are new among the eight of them every year. and beat Arizona is a wild card game, before falling to Seattle. In 2015, Carolina was won the Instead, focus your attention to what is at NFC and went to the Super Bowl. hand. Pittsburgh is a notorious slow starter, however, don’t the Steelers look good playing Two years ago, Detroit opened 1-7 and coach at Cleveland, Minnesota and at Chicago Jim Caldwell looked like he would be fred in before heading to Baltimore? just his second season. Miraculously, the Lions turned their season around with a 6-2 close. Philadelphia started 3-0 last year, but how Last year, Detroit stopped beating themselves do think the Eagles might fare playing at and was 9-4 in December before too many Washington, at Kansas City, home to the injuries, especially to Matthew Stafford, caused Giants and traveling cross-country to take on them to fade. Along that ride, the Lions roared the L.A. Chargers? at 8-4-1 ATS.

CONSIDER THE ‘PYTHAGOREAN WIN Who might be this year’s squad be? Tampa PERCENTAGE’ FOR SEASON WIN TOTALS Bay’s young and exciting club discovered AND TEAM VALUATIONS confdence, belief and effort for four quarters If you are baseball bettor along with football, can lead to wins and they closed out 2016 6-2. you should be aware of the great Bill James Are the Buccaneers primed to take the next step? who introduced us to ‘Pythagorean Win 17

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digits, or back a heavy favorite that enjoyed an unusually good season a year ago. Along Top NFL Week that same line of thinking, isn’t it reasonable to think that there is no way teams like Cleveland 1 Historical or San Francisco will be as dismal as in 2016? Or how about the opposite, can Atlanta or Dallas be counted on to reach the same Systems and heights as a year ago? With thoughts like that in mind, we thought Qualifying we’d pour over the recent opening week action in the NFL to determine if we can’t gain an edge on the books by picking apart the Games for early thoughts of oddmakers through the use of betting systems.

2017 As you’ll see below, there have been some Another season of NFL football has arrived, signifcant systems that have developed in and although the lines & totals for week 1 of recent opening week action in the NFL. All of the 2017 season have been out for months, them have at least a 61% winning percentage it is probably only now that most of you are over their lifetime. In each case we’ve tried to starting to dig into the offerings. Unlike past provide a reasonable explanation as to why, seasons, it seems very little has happened this as well the games that will qualify this coming offseason in terms fo dramatically altering the weekend. line that were released then. Does that mean oddsmakers have it pegged? Not exactly! Please note: These systems are sorted by our Even the experts make mistakes. They don’t own personal rating system that factors in net know everything, and they certainly can’t units above zero, winning percentage, R.O.I., accurately quantify the week 1 chemistry of and likelihood of the angle occurring again the teams, how they’ve changed in personnel, in 2017. Note also, lines used were as of Friday the attitude adjustments since last year, etc. 9/1/17 and may differ slightly at the time of wagering, thus altering the qualifcation of Remember, the bookies’ job is to try and get games in that system. All stats and records as much even action on the various wagering noted are based strictly on regular season options in a game, not so much to pick the games of the prior season. game. Naturally, there can be weak spots then, and savvy bettors who are prepared with both knowledge of the teams and a powerful 1. Week 1 games with totals of less than 48 weapon like systems can be ready to take points and featuring home teams that won at advantage. least 11 games against the spread the prior regular season are 15-1 OVER (93.8%) the total As always, the start of this NFL season is met since ‘02 (Win: +13.9 units, R.O.I.: 86.9%, Rating: with much anticipation. Remember though, 8*) unless you are really prepared, and have 2017 Potential Plays: Play OVER the total in analyzed all of the current information NE-KC available to you, don’t get too overzealous Analysis: Teams that cover the spread in that and risk an unhealthy percentage of your many games are typically pretty explosive bankroll on a given week or game. If you teams that are riding positive momentum into haven’t poured through the preseason their season openers. Unfortunately, only one publications or the previews by popular team won 11 of more games ATS in the regular websites, you need to do that before season last year, New England. Keep an eye Thursday, or at least by Sunday. Not only on the total, as it was at 47.5 as of presstime. have some coaches and players come and gone, some teams have changed schemes, 2. Week 1 non-divisional conference games and in general, EVERY one of the 32 teams featuring a road favorite and a total greater boasts fresh optimism. They all share the same than 41 are 22-4 UNDER (84.6%) the total since dream…reaching the postseason. ‘99 (Win: +17.6 units, R.O.I.: 67.6%, Rating: 8*) 2017 Potential Plays: Play UNDER the total in Many people refer to the acronym NFL as ATL-CHI & CAR-SF “Not For Long”, as because of salary cap Analysis: Considering that the home teams in restrictions and free agency, there is more this particular system have scored just 14.6 PPG turnover in good teams than in any other sport in the 26 contests, it would seem that these from season to season. Bookmakers have an teams are home dogs for a good reason… advantage when it comes to this, since the they can’t can’t score. The result is obvious, media tends to drive the public thinking. I am UNDER’s. not trying to scare you out of betting the Week 1 NFL action, just cautioning you to consider if 3. Week 1 home favorites that had a worse there are enough valid reasons to lay double- record than their opponent the previous 18

VSiN.COM - VEGAS STATS & INFORMATION NETWORK season are 32-10-4 ATS (76.2%) since ‘00 (Win: +11.8 units, R.O.I.: 30.3%, Rating: 6*) +21.0 units, R.O.I.: 50%, Rating: 7*) 2017 Potential Plays: Play UNDER the total in 2017 Potential Plays: Play on Tennessee, ATL-CHI, ARI-DET, OAK-TEN, & NO-MIN Cincinnati, Green Bay Analysis: Oddsmakers will naturally infate the Analysis: This system has provided solid totals of returning high scoring offenses. Most longevity. Three more plays are on tap for 2017 often, they are OVER-infated, as just because as this is a nice transitional system showing a team scores well one season doesn’t mean that oddsmakers do get it right many times in it will the next. For week 1 of the 2017 season, analyzing teams’ changes in the offseason. many of the league’s best offenses from a year ago are on the road, offering up fve different 4. Opening week road underdogs of more plays on this system. than 3 points that won between 4 & 6 games the prior season are 27-8-1 ATS (77.1%) since ‘04 9. Opening week games with road favorites of (Win: +18.2 units, R.O.I.: 52%, Rating: 7*) 3 points or more are 44-21-3 UNDER (67.6%) the 2017 Potential Plays: Play on NY Jets, LA total since ‘00 (Win: +20.9 units, R.O.I.: 32.1%, Chargers Rating: 6*) Analysis: This system has quickly elevated itself 2017 Potential Plays: Play UNDER the total in to #4 on our list by going 11-2 ATS over the L4 ATL-CHI, PIT-CLE, IND-LAR, CAR-SF seasons. Last year, the Chargers and Dolphins Analysis: In most cases, teams become road covered their games while Chicago came up favorites in Week 1 because the host team short at Houston. The LOS ANGELES CHARGERS can’t or isn’t expected to score points. Bad are on the list once again for 2017. Remember, offenses = low scores. every team’s slate is wiped clean and each season offers fresh optimism. 10. Divisional home underdogs are 12-6 SU & 14-4 ATS (77.7%) in Week 1 since ‘09 (Win: +9.6 5. Opening week road teams that won units, R.O.I.: 53.3%, Rating: 6*) between 4 & 6 games the prior season are 2017 Potential Plays: NONE 36-13-3 ATS (73.5%) since ‘04 (Win: +21.7 units, Analysis: There isn’t a whole lot more R.O.I.: 44.3%, Rating: 7*) motivating than an opening week contest at 2017 Potential Plays: Play on NY Jets, LA home against a targeted team in the division. Chargers, Carolina In most cases, the road favorite in this scenario Analysis: Teams in the 4-6 win range usually is a returning playoff team, while the home qualify as potential bounce-back teams the dog is an aspiring one. As you can see, over next season, as it’s quite likely they suffered the last eight years, the aspiring team has from bad luck or injuries in the previous enjoyed plenty of success and a great start to campaign. The start of the new season offers the season. Unfortunately, unless some late line fresh motivation and momentum. You’ll notice movements help our cause, there will be no this system is very similar to #4 above, only with plays for 2017. no line range qualifer. 11. Home teams have won the L14 season 6. Opening week home favorites hosting teams opener weeknight games, going 9-2-3 ATS that were above .500 the prior season are 38- (81.8%) (Win: +6.8 units, R.O.I.: 61.8%, Rating: 5*) 14-4 ATS (73%) since ‘00 (Win: +22.6 units, R.O.I.: 2017 Potential Plays: Play on New England 43.5%, Rating: 7*) Analysis: The tradition of this game pits the 2017 Potential Plays: Play on New England, defending Super Bowl champion as the home Tennessee, Green Bay, Dallas team. Last year, Denver hosted Carolina and Analysis: In short, home favorites hosting a won 21-20 as a 3-point underdog. In this year’s quality opponent are likely a very strong team game, the Patriots, with a Super Championship themselves, and opening the season provides to celebrate, host the Chiefs. extra motivation. After having only one qualifying play a year ago, fortunately we are 12. Week 1 games with road favorites of 3 blessed with four in 2017. points or more and total is 43 or more are 21- 10-1 UNDER (67.7%) since ‘00 (Win: +10 units, 7. Week 1 divisional contest road teams that R.O.I.: 32.2%, Rating: 5*) won 6 or fewer games the prior season are 2017 Potential Plays: Play UNDER the total in 21-7 ATS (75%) since ‘01 (Win: +13.3 units, R.O.I.: ATL-CHI, PIT-CLE, IND-LAR, CAR-SF 47.5%, Rating: 7*) Analysis: Again, very similar to #8 above, the 2017 Potential Plays: Play on NY Jets, higher the total, the more chances that these Jacksonville, LA Chargers games go UNDER. Analysis: This system is on at least a 7-game winning streak, with four outright upsets to 13. Week 1 games with totals greater than 44 show for it. Last year, the Giants pulled out a and featuring home teams that allowed more win at Dallas, as did Tampa Bay, at Atlanta. For than 21 PPG the prior season are 42-23 UNDER 2017, three teams qualify. (64.6%) the total since ‘01 (Win: +16.7 units, R.O.I.: 25.6%, Rating: 5*) 8. Week 1 games featuring road teams that 2017 Potential Plays: Play UNDER the total in scored more than 26 PPG the prior season are ATL-CHI, PHI-WAS, ARI-DET, OAK-TEN, TB-MIA, 27-12-2 UNDER (69.2%) the total since ‘02 (Win: PIT-CLE, IND-LAR, SEA-GB, CAR-SF 19

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Analysis: Score one for the oddsmakers in typically require a complete overhaul, a this case, as most often they are able to diffcult task in the span of six months. Starting accurately identify the host teams that may the season on the road only heightens the be improved defensively from one season to chances of a relapse. the next. However, this system seems to be trending downward, with a 9-12 record over 19. Double-digit road underdogs are 3-10 SU the last three years so perhaps its ready to but 9-4 ATS (66.7%) in Week 1 since ‘00 (Win: fall off our list? For 2017 there are NINE such +4.6 units, R.O.I.: 35.4%, Rating: 4*) games. 2017 Potential Plays: NONE Analysis: Laying double-digits this early with any 14. Week 1 games in which the home favorite team just doesn’t make sense, as every team won at least four more games than the starts with a fresh slate and believes it has a opponent the prior season are 31-17 OVER shot at the postseason at this point, even the (64.5%) the total since ‘00 (Win: +12.3 units, worst underdog. There doesn’t fgure to be any R.O.I.: 25.6%, Rating: 5*) games that reach double-digit pointspreads 2017 Potential Plays: Play OVER the total in this weekend. JAC-HOU Analysis: Host teams in this situation are most 20. Week 1 hosts that averaged more than 28.5 often good teams with good offenses or PPG the prior season are 12-4 SU & 10-5-1 ATS the game is played faster because of the (66.7%) since ‘01 (Win: +4.5 units, R.O.I.: 30%, separation and one team playing from far Rating: 4*) behind. Additionally, being a week 1 game, 2017 Potential Plays: NONE both teams are healthy. Analysis: Great offense, starting the season at home. These teams seem to pick up right 15. Since ‘06, Week 1 non-conference games where they left off. Unfortunately, the only with totals of 42.5 or more are 15-7 UNDER two teams that scored that many points last (68.2%) (Win: +7.3 units, R.O.I.: 33.2%, Rating: 5*) season, Atlanta & New Orleans, are both on 2017 Potential Plays: Play UNDER the total in the road. TB-MIA, IND-LAR Analysis: Higher level totals, unfamiliarity in 21. Non-conference road underdogs of 3 to 6.5 opponent, this has often led to UNDER plays. points are 10-6-5 ATS (62.5%) in Week 1 since There are far fewer non-conference games in ‘00 (Win: +3.4 units, R.O.I.: 21.2%, Rating: 4*) week 1 of 2017 as compared to 2016. 2017 Potential Plays: NONE Analysis: Amazingly, fve of the L21 games 16. Week 1 non-divisional conference road in this system have resulted in a push on the favorites are 16-9-1 ATS (64%) since ‘99 (Win: spread. It’s hard to beat an unfamiliar foe, +6.1 units, R.O.I.: 24.4%, Rating: 5*) particularly when an unfriendly pointspread 2017 Potential Plays: Play on Atlanta, Carolina is attached. For 2017, there are only two non- Analysis: If you refer back to #2, this same set conference matchups, and both of those of circumstances affects the totals. However, feature road favorites. if you recall, the host teams in this particular system have scored just 14.6 PPG in the 26 22. Divisional home favorites of 3 points or less contests. Historically, these home dogs are not are 10-6 ATS (62.5%) in Week 1 since ‘01 (Win: good offensive teams. Pretty easy to see why +3.4 units, R.O.I.: 21.2%, Rating: 4*) the road favorites have ATS success. Only two 2017 Potential Plays: Washington, Cincinnati play qualify for 2017, the Falcons and Panthers. Analysis: A lot of motivation can come from hosting early divisional games with such a short 17. Bettors are 35-22 (61.4%) when moving schedule in the NFL. These small home favorites opening totals more than two points in Week 1 are also motivated by the lack of respect since ‘04 (Win: +11.9 units, R.O.I.: 20.9%, Rating: associated with small pointspreads. 4*) 2017 Potential Plays: (CHECK CLOSING TOTALS Good luck with your plays and enjoy NFL AGAINST OPENERS AT KICKOFF) Kickoff 2017! Analysis: Week 1 NFL lines are hammered on by bettors for over three months, and they have been good at dissecting totals. Last year, bettors moved fve different games more than 2 points on the total and those games were 3-2. You won’t know these plays specifcally until just before kickoff.

18. Week 1 games featuring road teams that allowed more than 25.5 PPG the prior season are 24-15 OVER (61.5%) the total since ‘02 (Win: +7.5 units, R.O.I.: 19.2%, Rating: 4*) 2017 Potential Plays: Play OVER the total in NYJ- BUF, NO-MIN, LAC-DEN Analysis: Defenses that allow that many points 20

VSiN.COM - VEGAS STATS & INFORMATION NETWORK ATS after gaining 6.75 or more yards per play in previous game. Football Line Our View- Penn State covers

(363) TCU at (364) ARKANSAS 3:30 ET CBS Moves While we understand Arkansas lost potential Welcome back to another edition of Line All-SEC corner Ryan Pulley last week, any Moves, as we add the NFL to college football one player from the secondary does not this week. All the NFL lines have been out for dramatically change a line, which made it months, thus, some numbers have changed perplexing why the Razorbacks were shifted quite a bit and others are because of injuries. from -2.5 to +3 home underdogs versus TCU. Last year in the NFL we were 51-38 ATS, 57.3%. The Horn Frogs nearly overcame 13-0 defcit at halftime against the Hogs before losing 41-38 COLLEGE FOOTBALL last season, yet TCU is just 1-9 ATS as favorites. (303) OKLAHOMA STATE at (146) SOUTH Our View- Arkansas covers ALABAMA 8:00 ET ESPN2 Oklahoma State whipped Tulsa and it could NFL have been worse as 10 of the 24 points the (459) PHILADELPHIA at (460) WASHINGTON 1:00 Golden Hurricane scored were directly from ET FOX gift turnovers. The Cowboys have been ridden After this amount of time it seems clear bettors from -24.5 to -28 at South Alabama, who just are not all that excited about Washington covered against Ole Miss. Do the Jaguars going into the season and prefer more from fall to 0-8 ATS off one or more spread winners what they have seen from Philadelphia in winner? taking the Redskins from -3 to a Pick. This is Our View - South Alabama covers contrary to what has happened in recent years where Washington is 5-1 and 6-0 ATS. (319) EAST CAROLINA at (320) WEST VIRGINIA Our View- Lean Washington covers 12:00 ET FS2 East Carolina was the only FBS squad not to (461) ARIZONA at (462) DETROIT 1:00 ET FOX be a favorite against FCS foe and they were Not sure if football bettors really like Arizona or hammered 34-14 by James Madison while are just not impressed with Detroit, in fipping catching six points. Now having to play on the Lions from -2.5 to +1.5. The Cardinals do the road, the Pirates ship is taking on water, have explosive elements on offense if they can moving from +19.5 to +24 at West Virginia. With keep QB Carson Palmer upright. And Detroit the total at 64.5, ECU is 0-6 ATS when total is 63 did not fx their main defensive shortcoming, or higher. rushing the passer. Defnitely a tricky line move. Our View- Lean West Virginia covers Our View- Lean Detroit covers

(321) CINCINNATI at (322) MICHIGAN 12:00 ET ABC (463) OAKLAND at (464) TENNESSEE 1:00 ET CBS The way an inexperienced Michigan club Are those betting football reading too much manhandled Florida, oddsmakers look to be into the preseason where Oakland looked correct that the Wolverines are reloading and poor on defense or are they believing this is not rebuilding. With Cincinnati thought to be a real problem and not willing to over look it just another AAC squad, Michigan has blown even if the Raiders offense is loaded? Oakland up from -29 to -34. Because the Wolverines will has been switched from -1.5 to -2 despite their dominate the line of scrimmage, they should 11-2 ATS road mark in the AFC. pound the Bearcats into submission. Our View- Oakland covers Our View- Lean Michigan covers (477) N.Y. GIANTS at (478) DALLAS 8:30 ET NBC (323) LOUISVILLE at (324) NORTH CAROLINA A great deal of mystery about if all the stars 12:00 ET ESPN will be out as our newsletter hit the shelves If North Carolina could not contain a Cal Tuesday night. Will we see Ezekiel Elliott or Odell quarterback playing his frst game and Beckham Jr. on Sunday night? What we do permitting 363 passing yards at Chapel know is Dallas has been dropped three points Hill, what chance will the Tar Heels have in to -3.5 and that makes all the sense in the stopping Louisville’s Lamar Jackson? Not the world with the Cowboys 10-25 ATS as home only one wondering this as the Heisman winner favorites under coach . and friends have been bumped up four points Our View- Lean New York covers to -10. However, that is quite a few points with Louisville only fair defensively. (481) L.A. CHARGERS at (482) DENVER 10:20 ET ESPN Our View- Lean North Carolina covers To wrap it up, Denver opened at -5 and was lowered to -3.5. Despite the Broncos being (343) PITTSBURGH at (344) PENN STATE 3:30 ET 18-8 SU at a Mile High over the Chargers, they ABC are only 12-12-2 ATS. Denver has the better Penn State was shoved from -17 to -20.5 in this defense, but offensively L.A. 2.0 has more Keystone State clash, having a prolifc offense weapons at their disposal. The Broncos are 6-0 and defense that is good and likely to get ATS the last two September’s. better. Pittsburgh is starting over on offense Our View- Denver covers and last year’s 127th ranked pass defense just conceded 311 yards to Youngstown State. This College Best Bets – 2-0 could be blowout and the Nittany Lions are 6-0 College Leans - 3-2 21

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VSiN College Football Consensus Matt Jonathan Power Effective Bettors Consensus Youmans Von Tobel Rating Strength Ratings 6-4 (60%) 5-5 (50%) 6-4 (60%) 6-4 (60%) 7-3 (70%) 5-5 (50%)

* – indicates Best Bet (BB) Friday, September 8, 2017 - (303) OKLAHOMA ST at (304) S ALABAMA (+28) S Alabama S Alabama S Alabama S Alabama S Alabama S Alabama

Saturday, September 9, 2017 - (309) W MICHIGAN at (310) MICHIGAN ST (-7.5) Michigan St Michigan St. Michigan St. Michigan St. Michigan St. Michigan St

Saturday, September 9, 2017 - (323) LOUISVILLE at (324) NORTH CAROLINA (+10) N Carolina N Carolina N Carolina N Carolina N Carolina N Carolina

Saturday, September 9, 2017 - (327) IOWA at (328) IOWA ST (+2.5) Iowa Iowa St Iowa St Iowa Iowa St Iowa St

Saturday, September 9, 2017 - (363) TCU at (364) ARKANSAS (+3) TCU TCU Arkansas TCU Arkansas TCU

Saturday, September 9, 2017 - (377) AUBURN at (378) CLEMSON (-5) Auburn Auburn Clemson Auburn Clemson Auburn

Saturday, September 9, 2017 - (383) OKLAHOMA at (384) OHIO ST (-7) Oklahoma Ohio St Oklahoma Ohio St Oklahoma Oklahoma

Saturday, September 9, 2017 - (387) STANFORD at (388) USC (-7) Stanford Stanford Stanford Stanford Stanford Stanford

Saturday, September 9, 2017 - (393) SAN DIEGO ST at (394) ARIZONA ST (-4.5) Arizona St San Diego St Arizona St Arizona St Arizona St Arizona St

Saturday, September 9, 2017 - (395) UTAH at (396) BYU (-1.5) Utah BYU Utah Utah Utah Utah

College Football Best Bets

TODD DEWEY BRETT LAWSON MATT YOUMANS LV Review-Journal VSiN.com VSiN.com Last week: 2-3 Last week: 3-2 Last week: 3-2 Okla. St.-So. Alabama Over 66.5 Western Michigan +7.5 Duke +3.5 UTSA-Baylor Over 58 Pittsburgh +21 Georgia +6.5 Central Florida -1.5 Auburn +5.5 Oklahoma +7.5 Stanford +7 Oklahoma +7.5 Stanford +7 Idaho -6.5 Stanford +7 Utah -1

PAUL HOWARD AMAL SHAH VSiN.com VSiN.com Last week: 4-1 Last week: 3-2 Purdue -4 Penn State -21 Nebraska +14 Georgia +6.5 Texas -26 Ohio State -7.5 Mississippi State -7 Stanford +7 22 Stanford +7 Washington State -10

VSiN.COM - VEGAS STATS & INFORMATION NETWORK Matt Youmans’ 3 College Football Games to Watch GEORGIA-NOTRE DAME -4 Are the Fighting Irish back? There were reasons to be impressed by Notre Dame in its 49-16 victory over Temple to open the season. But there also are Line reasons not to believe in the Irish until we see more. The Owls, with a new coach and quarterback, are down. Georgia is in a different league. In his 53 frst start, Brandon Wimbush showed he will be a running threat (12 carries, Total 106 yards) and solid passer (17 of 30, 184 yards, two touchdowns). He’s not close to being DeShone Kizer yet, and Kizer struggled last season in Brian Kelly’s offense. Wimbush threw one interception, but he was fortunate that number was not three. The Bulldogs, much faster and more physical than the Owls, bring a defense that will cause Wimbush problems. Aside from Equanimeous St. Brown, the Irish lack big-time receivers. Of course, Georgia is stuck without its starting quarterback, Jacob Eason, who is expected to miss the rest of this month with a sprained left knee. That’s a costly loss, although freshman Jake Fromm played well in relief last week, completing 10 of 15 passes for 143 yards and a touchdown against Appalachian State. The Bulldogs will rely on their stud running backs, Nick Chubb and , to carry the mail. Notre Dame fnished 4-8 last season, when it lost home games to Michigan State, Duke, Stanford and Virginia Tech. This is a big game for Kelly and his coaching future in South Bend. In June, South Point sports book director Chris Andrews opened Georgia as a 1-point favorite in this matchup. Eason’s injury, plus an impressive frst outing by the Irish, triggered a major line adjustment. Chubb, Michel and the better defense should give the Bulldogs a good shot to win as 6½-point road underdogs.

OKLAHOMA-OHIO STATE Lincoln Riley turned 34 on Tuesday, three days after winning his frst game -7.5 as Oklahoma coach. To cap off his birthday week, he gets to face Urban Line Meyer in Columbus. Riley’s veteran predecessor, Bob Stoops, was no match for Meyer last year. The Buckeyes stormed into Norman and embarrassed 64.5 the Sooners 45-24. J.T. Barrett outplayed Baker Mayfeld in the quarterback Total showdown. Mayfeld will play a bigger role in the sequel. Ohio State’s soft spot is its defensive secondary. In the season opener, the Buckeyes were picked apart by Indiana quarterback Richard Lagow, who’s only an above-average passer. If you read the preseason magazines, Ohio State’s defense was hyped as the second coming of the 1985 . While the defensive front is strong, the secondary is weak and a reason for Meyer to worry. Mayfeld connected on 19 of 20 passes for 329 yards and three touchdowns in the frst half of the Sooners’ 56-7 stomping of Texas-El Paso last week. Obviously, UTEP is not Ohio State, but the point is Mayfeld appears ready for this challenge. It looks like Oklahoma — after losing running backs and and wideout to the NFL — has a powerful offensive line and enough skill-position talent to compete. The biggest question is, can the Sooners slow the Buckeyes’ ground attack? Mike Weber returns this week to complement freshman star J.K. Dobbins, who ripped the Hoosiers for 181 yards on 29 carries. Oklahoma is a live ‘dog getting 7 ½ to 8 points.

STANFORD-SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA -6.5 Never overreact to one game. It’s tempting to say USC has been overhyped Line again. The Trojans needed a fourth-quarter rally to put away four-touchdown ‘dog Western Michigan last week, when Heisman contender Sam Darnold failed to throw a touchdown pass and was picked off twice. Darnold is good, 56 but he’s probably not as great as the media hype that followed his Rose Bowl Total performance. The Cardinal opened in Australia by crushing Rice 62-7, but that score was a refection of the Owls being awful. Bryce Love, who will be a fne replacement for Christian McCaffrey, ran for 180 yards. Keller Chryst also showed Stanford will get quality quarterback play. The Cardinal rolled up 656 total yards and 9.0 yards per play. While the numbers from Week 1 mean little, there were signs that Stanford is physical enough up front to do some damage against USC with its ground attack. With the line pinballing from 6½ to 7, the preferred side is the Cardinal plus-7.

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College Football Top Weekly Trends TEAMS TO PLAY ON TEAMS TO PLAY AGAINST (303) OKLAHOMA ST AT (304) S (317) SOUTH FLORIDA AT (318) ALABAMA CONNECTICUT 21.2% OKLAHOMA ST is 49-28-1 37.5% CONNECTICUT is 14-36 ROI ATS(S2000) - as double digit ROI ATS(L5Y) - All Games favorite ( $2060 Proft with a 37.5% ROI ) ( $1820 Proft with a 21.2% ROI )

(327) IOWA AT (328) IOWA ST (331) NEW MEXICO ST AT (332) IOWA is 33-15-1 ATS(L49G) - as NEW MEXICO 30.6% favorite of 7 or less points 72.0% NEW MEXICO ST is 2-22-1 ROI ( $1650 Proft with a 30.6% ROI ) ROI ATS(L25G) - Against decent defensive teams yielding less than 5.0 yards per play(CS) ( $1980 Proft with a 72.0% ROI )

(305) FLA ATLANTIC AT (306) (379) GEORGIA AT (380) NOTRE WISCONSIN DAME 23.3% WISCONSIN is 55-30-1 38.4% GEORGIA is 13-35-1 ATS(L50G) ROI ATS(S2000) - Against decent ROI - Against lesser passing teams offensive teams averaging averaging less than 6.5 yards more than 5.7 yards per per attempt(CS) play(CS) ( $2070 Proft with a 38.4% ROI ) ( $2200 Proft with a 23.3% ROI ) GAMES TO PLAY OVER GAMES TO PLAY UNDER (389) UNLV AT (390) IDAHO (483) MEMPHIS AT (484) UCF UNLV is 31-16 OVER(L5Y) - All UCF is 28-10-1 UNDER(L50G) - 25.9% Games 39.6% In September ROI ( $1340 Proft with a 25.9% ROI ) ROI ( $1700 Proft with a 39.6% ROI )

(325) CHARLOTTE AT (326) (345) FRESNO ST AT (346) KANSAS ST ALABAMA 33.2% KANSAS ST is 30-13 OVER(L50G) 39.2% ALABAMA is 35-13 UNDER(L50G) ROI at HOME - As favorite ROI at HOME - Against decent ( $1570 Proft with a 33.2% ROI ) defensive teams yielding less than 5.0 yards per play(CS) ( $2070 Proft with a 39.2% ROI )

(357) NEBRASKA AT (358) (395) UTAH AT (396) BYU OREGON BYU is 37-12 UNDER(L50G) - 44.4% OREGON is 32-10-1 44.2% Against decent rushing teams ROI OVER(L50G) at HOME - as ROI averaging more than 4.4 yards favorite of more than 7 points per carry(CS) ( $2100 Proft with a 44.4% ROI ) ( $2380 Proft with a 44.2% ROI )

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VSiN.COM - VEGAS STATS & INFORMATION NETWORK couple adjustments due to the quarterback injuries at Florida State and Georgia. Here are Top 12 College the plays for week 2:

T-1. (391) MINNESOTA at (392) OREGON ST - Football Stability Advantage: OREGON ST by 14 T-1. (397) HOUSTON at (398) ARIZONA - Stability Advantage: ARIZONA by 14 Stability T-1. (351) TX-SAN ANTONIO at (352) BAYLOR - Stability Advantage: TX-SAN ANTONIO by 14 T-4. (341) INDIANA at (342) VIRGINIA - Stability Mismatches Advantage: VIRGINIA by 10 T-4. (301) OHIO U at (302) PURDUE - Stability for Week 2 Advantage: OHIO U by 10 T-6. (309) W MICHIGAN at (310) MICHIGAN ST - In last week’s season opening Weekly, we Stability Advantage: MICHIGAN ST by 9 detailed our method for determining college T-6. (337) UAB at (338) BALL ST - Stability football program stability and stressed how Advantage: BALL ST by 9 important it was in handicapping early T-6. (369) TOLEDO at (370) NEVADA - Stability season games. We posted the top 9 stability Advantage: TOLEDO by 9 mismatches of last week and those plays went T-9. (321) CINCINNATI at (322) MICHIGAN - 5-3 ATS, with the Houston-UTSA qualifying game Stability Advantage: MICHIGAN by 8 being postponed. If you did any regression on T-9. (343) PITTSBURGH at (344) PENN ST - Stability the four August Saturday games, you would Advantage: PENN ST by 8 have seen that Stanford also qualifed with T-9. (395) UTAH at (396) BYU - Stability a “7” advantage over Rice. Thus our season Advantage: BYU by 8 record stands at 6-3 ATS. For week 2, there are 12. (379) GEORGIA at (380) NOTRE DAME - 12 plays that meet our requisite advantage of Stability Advantage: GEORGIA by 7 7 Stability Points. Note that we have made a

2016 Change? (0-yes) Ret TOTAL 2016 Change? (0-yes) Ret TOTAL Team (Conference) Record HC?OC?DC?QB? Strs STABILITY Team (Conference) Record HC?OC?DC?QB? Strs STABILITY AIR FORCE (MTN WEST) 10-3 4 3 3 4 0 (7) 14 MISSOURI (SEC) 4-8 4 3 3 4 3 (15) 17 AKRON (MAC) 5-7 4 3 3 4 3 (15) 17 N ILLINOIS (MAC) 5-7 4 3 3 0 2 (12) 12 ALABAMA (SEC) 14-1 4 0 3 4 2 (11) 13 NAVY (AMER ATH) 9-5 4 3 3 0 2 (12) 12 APPALACHIAN ST (SBC) 10-3 4 3 3 4 3 (14) 17 NC STATE (ACC) 7-6 4 3 3 4 4 (17) 18 ARIZONA (PAC 12) 3-9 4 3 3 4 3 (14) 17 NEBRASKA (BIG TEN) 9-4 4 3 0 0 2 (10) 9 ARIZONA ST (PAC 12) 5-7 4 0 0 4 3 (15) 11 NEVADA (MTN WEST) 5-7 0 0 0 4 3 (14) 7 ARKANSAS (SEC) 7-6 4 3 0 4 3 (13) 14 NEW MEXICO (MTN WEST) 9-4 4 3 3 4 2 (10) 16 ARKANSAS ST (SBC) 8-5 4 3 3 4 2 (10) 16 NEW MEXICO ST (SBC) 3-9 4 3 3 4 3 (16) 17 ARMY (IND) 8-5 4 3 3 4 3 (16) 17 NORTH CAROLINA (ACC) 8-5 4 3 0 0 2 (12) 9 AUBURN (SEC) 8-5 4 0 3 4 3 (15) 14 NORTH TEXAS (CUSA) 5-8 4 3 3 4 2 (11) 16 BALL ST (MAC) 4-8 4 3 0 4 2 (12) 13 NORTHWESTERN (BIG TEN) 7-6 4 3 3 4 3 (16) 17 BAYLOR (BIG 12) 7-6 0 0 0 0 3 (13) 3 NOTRE DAME (IND) 4-8 4 0 0 0 3 (15) 7 BOISE ST (MTN WEST) 10-3 4 3 3 4 1 (9) 15 OHIO ST (BIG TEN) 11-2 4 0 3 4 3 (15) 14 BOSTON COLLEGE (ACC) 7-6 4 3 3 0 3 (15) 13 OHIO U (MAC) 8-6 4 3 3 4 3 (13) 17 BOWLING GREEN (MAC) 4-8 4 3 3 4 2 (12) 16 OKLAHOMA (BIG 12) 11-2 0 3 3 4 3 (16) 13 BUFFALO (MAC) 2-10 4 3 3 4 3 (14) 17 OKLAHOMA ST (BIG 12) 10-3 4 3 3 4 2 (12) 16 BYU (IND) 9-4 4 3 3 4 2 (12) 16 OLD DOMINION (CUSA) 10-3 4 3 3 0 3 (14) 13 C MICHIGAN (MAC) 6-7 4 0 3 0 3 (15) 10 OLE MISS (SEC) 5-7 0 0 0 0 2 (11) 2 CALIFORNIA (PAC 12) 5-7 0 0 0 0 3 (14) 3 OREGON (PAC 12) 4-8 0 0 0 4 4 (17) 8 CHARLOTTE (CUSA) 4-8 4 3 3 4 2 (12) 16 OREGON ST (PAC 12) 4-8 4 3 3 4 3 (15) 17 CINCINNATI (AMER ATH) 4-8 0 0 0 4 2 (10) 6 PENN ST (BIG TEN) 11-3 4 3 3 4 3 (16) 17 CLEMSON (ACC) 14-1 4 3 3 0 2 (12) 12 PITTSBURGH (ACC) 8-5 4 0 3 0 2 (10) 9 COASTAL CAROLINA (SBC) 10-2 4 3 3 4 2 (10) 16 PURDUE (BIG TEN) 3-9 0 0 0 4 3 (13) 7 COLORADO (PAC 12) 10-4 4 3 0 0 2 (12) 9 RICE (CUSA) 3-9 4 3 0 0 3 (16) 10 COLORADO ST (MTN WEST) 7-6 4 3 3 4 3 (15) 17 RUTGERS (BIG TEN) 2-10 4 0 3 4 3 (14) 14 CONNECTICUT (AMER ATH) 3-9 0 0 0 4 3 (14) 7 S ALABAMA (SBC) 6-7 4 3 3 4 2 (10) 16 DUKE (ACC) 4-8 4 3 3 4 2 (12) 16 SAN DIEGO ST (MTN WEST) 11-3 4 3 0 4 2 (11) 13 E MICHIGAN (MAC) 7-6 4 0 3 4 3 (16) 14 SAN JOSE ST (MTN WEST) 4-8 0 0 0 0 3 (15) 3 EAST CAROLINA (AMER ATH) 3-9 4 3 3 0 2 (12) 12 SMU (AMER ATH) 5-7 4 3 3 4 3 (14) 17 FLA ATLANTIC (CUSA) 3-9 0 0 0 4 4 (17) 8 SOUTH CAROLINA (SEC) 6-7 4 3 3 4 3 (16) 17 FLA INTERNATIONAL (CUSA) 4-8 0 0 0 4 3 (15) 7 SOUTH FLORIDA (AMER ATH) 11-2 0 0 0 4 3 (16) 7 FLORIDA (SEC) 9-4 4 3 0 4 3 (14) 14 SOUTHERN MISS (CUSA) 7-6 4 3 3 0 2 (12) 12 FLORIDA ST (ACC) 10-3 4 3 3 0 3 (15) 13 STANFORD (PAC 12) 10-3 4 3 3 4 3 (16) 17 FRESNO ST (MTN WEST) 1-11 0 0 0 4 3 (16) 7 SYRACUSE (ACC) 4-8 4 3 3 4 4 (19) 18 GA SOUTHERN (SBC) 5-7 4 0 3 0 2 (10) 9 TCU (BIG 12) 6-7 4 3 3 4 4 (17) 18 GEORGIA (SEC) 8-5 4 3 3 0 4 (17) 14 TEMPLE (AMER ATH) 10-4 0 0 0 0 2 (10) 2 GEORGIA ST (SBC) 3-9 0 0 0 4 3 (14) 7 TENNESSEE (SEC) 9-4 4 0 3 0 3 (14) 10 GEORGIA TECH (ACC) 9-4 4 3 3 0 3 (16) 13 TEXAS (BIG 12) 5-7 0 0 0 4 4 (17) 8 HAWAII (MTN WEST) 7-7 4 0 0 4 3 (14) 11 TEXAS A&M (SEC) 8-5 4 3 3 0 2 (12) 12 HOUSTON (AMER ATH) 9-4 0 0 0 0 3 (15) 3 TEXAS ST UNIV (SBC) 2-10 4 0 3 0 3 (13) 10 IDAHO (SBC) 9-4 4 3 3 4 2 (10) 16 TEXAS TECH (BIG 12) 5-7 4 3 3 0 3 (14) 13 ILLINOIS (BIG TEN) 3-9 4 3 3 0 2 (11) 12 TOLEDO (MAC) 9-4 4 3 3 4 2 (12) 16 INDIANA (BIG TEN) 6-7 0 0 0 4 3 (15) 7 TROY (SBC) 10-3 4 3 3 4 3 (14) 17 IOWA (BIG TEN) 8-5 4 3 3 0 3 (15) 13 TULANE (AMER ATH) 4-8 4 3 3 4 3 (16) 17 IOWA ST (BIG 12) 3-9 4 3 3 4 2 (12) 16 TULSA (AMER ATH) 10-3 4 3 3 0 3 (13) 13 KANSAS (BIG 12) 2-10 4 0 3 4 3 (13) 14 TX-SAN ANTONIO (CUSA) 6-7 4 3 3 4 3 (14) 17 KANSAS ST (BIG 12) 9-4 4 3 3 4 3 (14) 17 UAB (CUSA) N/A 4 0 0 0 0 (4) 4 KENT ST (MAC) 3-9 4 3 3 4 3 (13) 17 UCF (AMER ATH) 6-7 4 3 3 4 3 (13) 17 KENTUCKY (SEC) 7-6 4 3 0 4 4 (17) 15 UCLA (PAC 12) 4-8 4 0 3 4 3 (15) 14 LA LAFAYETTE (SBC) 6-7 4 0 3 0 3 (13) 10 UNLV (MTN WEST) 4-8 4 3 3 4 2 (12) 16 LA MONROE (SBC) 4-8 4 3 3 4 3 (15) 17 USC (PAC 12) 10-3 4 3 3 4 2 (12) 16 LOUISIANA TECH (CUSA) 9-5 4 3 3 0 2 (11) 12 UTAH (PAC 12) 9-4 4 0 3 0 1 (9) 8 LOUISVILLE (ACC) 9-4 4 3 0 4 2 (11) 13 UTAH ST (MTN WEST) 3-9 4 0 3 4 2 (10) 13 LSU (SEC) 8-4 4 0 3 4 2 (11) 13 UTEP (CUSA) 4-8 4 3 3 4 2 (12) 16 MARSHALL (CUSA) 3-9 4 3 3 4 3 (13) 17 VANDERBILT (SEC) 6-7 4 3 3 4 3 (16) 17 MARYLAND (BIG TEN) 6-7 4 3 3 0 3 (13) 13 VIRGINIA (ACC) 2-10 4 3 3 4 3 (14) 17 MASSACHUSETTS (IND) 2-10 4 3 0 4 3 (15) 14 VIRGINIA TECH (ACC) 10-4 4 3 3 0 2 (12) 12 MEMPHIS (AMER ATH) 8-5 4 3 3 4 3 (15) 17 W KENTUCKY (CUSA) 11-3 0 0 0 4 2 (10) 6 MIAMI FL (ACC) 9-4 4 3 3 0 3 (15) 13 W MICHIGAN (MAC) 13-1 0 0 0 0 2 (12) 2 MIAMI OHIO (MAC) 6-7 4 3 3 4 4 (17) 18 WAKE FOREST (ACC) 7-6 4 3 0 4 3 (14) 14 MICHIGAN (BIG TEN) 10-3 4 3 3 4 0 (5) 14 WASHINGTON (PAC 12) 12-2 4 3 3 4 3 (13) 17 MICHIGAN ST (BIG TEN) 3-9 4 3 3 0 1 (9) 11 WASHINGTON ST (PAC 12) 8-5 4 3 3 4 3 (16) 17 MIDDLE TENN ST (CUSA) 8-5 4 3 0 4 2 (12) 13 WEST VIRGINIA (BIG 12) 10-3 4 0 3 0 1 (8) 8 MINNESOTA (BIG TEN) 9-4 0 0 0 0 3 (13) 3 WISCONSIN (BIG TEN) 11-3 4 3 0 4 3 (15) 14 MISSISSIPPI ST (SEC) 6-7 4 3 0 4 3 (13) 14 WYOMING (MTN WEST) 8-6 4 3 0 4 3 (14) 14 25 YOUR TRUSTED SOURCE FOR EXCLUSIVE SPORTS GAMBLING NEWS, ANALYSIS AND DATA AUGUST 30 – SEPTEMBER 3

College Football Matchups (301) OHIO U [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] AT (302) PURDUE (-4 | 57) [SU:0-1 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 8, 2017 8:00 PM on FS1 - ROSS-ADE STADIUM (WEST LAFAYETTE, IN)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF OHIO U 59.0 22 53-248 [4.7] 19-13-172 [9.1] 7.1 0.0 7 31-68 [2.2] 24-6-40 [1.7] 0.0 +1 +59.0 PURDUE 28.0 25 21-51 [2.4] 57-33-293 [5.1] 12.3 35.0 27 33-146 [4.4] 46-30-378 [8.2] 15.0 -1 -7.0

V-TRENDS • PURDUE is 12-2-1 UNDER(S2000) at HOME - Against elite defensive teams yielding less than 4.4 yards per play(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD No Recent Head-Head Games

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge OHIO U 56 36 24.6 27.2 PURDUE -4.5 35 -1.8 30.9 29.9

(303) OKLAHOMA ST (-28 | 66) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] AT (304) S ALABAMA [SU:0-1 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 8, 2017 8:00 PM on ESPN2 - LADD-PEEBLES STADIUM (MOBILE, AL)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF OKLAHOMA ST (11) 59.0 25 37-332 [9.0] 26-21-308 [11.8] 10.8 24.0 26 60-244 [4.1] 38-20-188 [4.9] 18.0 0 +35.0 S ALABAMA 27.0 25 37-170 [4.6] 31-19-204 [6.6] 13.9 47.0 23 29-102 [3.5] 35-28-429 [12.3] 11.3 +1 -20.0

Oklahoma State showed who they were in their opening game win over Tulsa and will look to improve on the road in Mobile, AL. The Cowboys QB Mason Rudolph said he spent the off-season working on accuracy and deep ball throwing and results were positive, plus it helps he has pass- catchers who will know how to get open and will fght for the ball. Okie State still has defensive concerns and will have to slow the Jaguars running game to beat huge road spread, however, they are 27-8 ATS after scoring 50+ points. Though South Alabama covered against Ole Miss, they allowed 15.3 YPC and Oklahoma State can better that number. The Jaguars are 3-12 ATS when they concede 28 or more points.

V-TRENDS • OKLAHOMA ST is 16-6 ATS(S2000) - Against anemic teams being outscored by opponents by more than 13.5 points per game(CS) • S ALABAMA is 3-8 ATS(S2000) at HOME - Non-conference games • OKLAHOMA ST is 18-3 OVER(S2000) - Against poor passing defenses yielding more than 7.9 yards per attempt(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD No Recent Head-Head Games

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge OKLAHOMA ST (11) -28 56 39.6 42.9 S ALABAMA 66 30 23 SAL 22.4 SAL 19

(483) MEMPHIS [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] AT (484) UCF (-3 | 67.5) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 8, 2017 6:30 PM on ESPNN - BRIGHT HOUSE NETWORKS STADIUM (ORLANDO, FL)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF MEMPHIS 37.0 16 39-319 [8.2] 25-10-97 [3.9] 11.2 29.0 25 49-146 [3.0] 37-21-279 [7.5] 14.7 +2 +8.0 UCF 61.0 31 45-148 [3.3] 33-26-439 [13.3] 9.6 17.0 13 26-134 [5.2] 31-18-201 [6.5] 19.7 +2 +44.0

V-TRENDS • MEMPHIS is 19-6 UNDER(L25G) on ROAD - Conference games

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2013-10-05 UCF (24) at MEMPHIS (17) +10 48.5 MEMPHIS HOME DOG UNDER 2012-10-20 UCF (35) at MEMPHIS (17) +24 50.0 MEMPHIS HOME DOG OVER 2011-10-29 MEMPHIS (0) at UCF (41) -29.5 48.0 UCF HOME FAV UNDER 2010-11-27 UCF (37) at MEMPHIS (17) +26.5 55.0 MEMPHIS HOME DOG UNDER 2009-10-03 MEMPHIS (14) at UCF (32) -7 46.0 UCF HOME FAV xxxx 26

VSiN.COM - VEGAS STATS & INFORMATION NETWORK College Football Matchups STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge MEMPHIS 68.5 45 31.1 32.7 UCF -1.5 43 -1 33.1 31.8

HOME teams are on a 8-1 ATS run in MEM-UCF series since ‘05

(305) FLA ATLANTIC [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-1] AT (306) WISCONSIN (-31.5 | 58.5) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 12:00 PM on BTN - CAMP RANDALL STADIUM (MADISON, WI)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF FLA ATLANTIC 19.0 16 24-40 [1.7] 33-21-286 [8.7] 17.2 42.0 23 68-416 [6.1] 10-3-110 [11.0] 12.5 0 -23.0 WISCONSIN (9) 59.0 25 45-234 [5.2] 23-15-244 [10.6] 8.1 10.0 16 27-85 [3.1] 41-25-219 [5.3] 30.4 +2 +49.0

V-TRENDS • FL ATLANTIC is 19-5 UNDER(L25G) on ROAD - In September

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD No Recent Head-Head Games

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge FLA ATLANTIC 57.5 27 10 9.6 WISCONSIN (9) -31.5 59.5 -36.3 WIS 46.5 WIS 46.1 WIS

(307) BUFFALO [SU:0-1 | ATS:1-0] AT (308) ARMY (-16.5 | 49) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 12:00 PM on CBSSN - MICHIE STADIUM (WEST POINT, NY)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF BUFFALO 7.0 13 22-51 [2.3] 42-22-211 [5.0] 37.4 17.0 21 51-169 [3.3] 32-19-239 [7.5] 24.0 0 -10.0 ARMY 64.0 22 47-513 [10.9] 2-0-0 [0.0] 8.0 6.0 20 34-66 [1.9] 41-28-240 [5.9] 51.0 0 +58.0

V-TRENDS • ARMY is 4-9-1 ATS(S2000) at HOME - Against inept offensive teams averaging less than 4.5 yards per play(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-09-24 ARMY (20) at BUFFALO (23) +13.5 50.5 BUFFALO HOME DOG UNDER 2014-09-06 BUFFALO (39) at ARMY (47) -3 53.0 ARMY HOME FAV OVER 2008-10-18 ARMY (24) at BUFFALO (27) -11 46.0 ARMY ROAD DOG OVER 2001-11-10 BUFFALO (26) at ARMY (19) -15.5 53.5 BUFFALO ROAD DOG UNDER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge BUFFALO 49 26.5 17.9 16.2 ARMY -16.5 40 -16.8 33.5 34.5

(309) W MICHIGAN [SU:0-1 | ATS:1-0] AT (310) MICHIGAN ST (-7 | 51.5) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 3:30 PM on BTN - SPARTAN STADIUM (EAST LANSING, MI)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF W MICHIGAN 31.0 24 48-263 [5.5] 23-12-94 [4.1] 11.5 49.0 25 34-232 [6.8] 33-23-289 [8.8] 10.6 +1 -18.0 MICHIGAN ST 35.0 25 46-215 [4.7] 36-22-250 [6.9] 13.3 10.0 9 24-67 [2.8] 31-10-145 [4.7] 21.2 -2 +25.0

It seems odd to say, but we will have a better idea about who Michigan State is after they face Western Michigan. The Spartans packed away Bowling Green in the second half 35-10 and played more like the team we are used to seeing. Brian Lewerke appeared to be the steadying presence Michigan State needs at quarterback, however, as we witnessed last the Broncos still have scoring punch, hanging 31 on USC. Michigan State will need to show their dominance at the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball to emerge victorious and beat the number. Remember this, Sparty 3-11 ATS in the frst portion of the schedule lately and Western Mich. the opposite at 11-3 ATS. 27

YOUR TRUSTED SOURCE FOR EXCLUSIVE SPORTS GAMBLING NEWS, ANALYSIS AND DATA AUGUST 30 – SEPTEMBER 3

College Football Matchups V-TRENDS • W MICHIGAN is 14-3 ATS(L5Y) - Against high-scoring teams averaging 32 PPG or more(CS) • MICHIGAN ST is 2-9 ATS(S2000) at HOME - Before playing NOTRE DAME • MICHIGAN ST is 12-3 UNDER(S2000) - Against inept passing defenses yielding more than 8.3 yards per attempt(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2015-09-04 MICHIGAN ST (37) at W MICHIGAN (24) +17.5 57.5 W MICHIGAN HOME DOG OVER 2013-08-30 W MICHIGAN (13) at MICHIGAN ST (26) -27.5 44.5 W MICHIGAN ROAD DOG UNDER 2010-09-04 W MICHIGAN (14) at MICHIGAN ST (38) -22.5 51.0 MICHIGAN ST HOME FAV OVER 2009-11-07 W MICHIGAN (14) at MICHIGAN ST (49) -20.5 55.5 MICHIGAN ST HOME FAV OVER 2003-08-30 W MICHIGAN (21) at MICHIGAN ST (26) -13.5 58.0 W MICHIGAN ROAD DOG UNDER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge W MICHIGAN 51.5 39 22.2 21.2 MICHIGAN ST -7.5 44.5 -9 29.8 30.6

(311) E MICHIGAN [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] AT (312) RUTGERS (-5 | 51) [SU:0-1 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 3:30 PM on BTN - HIGH POINT SOLUTIONS STADIUM (PISCATAWAY, NJ)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF E MICHIGAN 24.0 19 41-126 [3.1] 31-22-267 [8.6] 16.4 7.0 13 35-166 [4.7] 29-12-114 [3.9] 40.0 +1 +17.0 RUTGERS 14.0 19 42-131 [3.1] 35-24-178 [5.1] 22.1 30.0 17 24-84 [3.5] 30-17-284 [9.5] 12.3 -2 -16.0

V-TRENDS • RUTGERS is 13-2 UNDER(S2000) at HOME - Against poor rushing teams averaging less than 3.4 yards per carry(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2013-09-14 E MICHIGAN (10) at RUTGERS (28) -28 54.0 E MICHIGAN ROAD DOG UNDER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge E MICHIGAN 53 31 24.2 24.9 RUTGERS -5 30.5 -3.3 29.8 29.9

(313) OLD DOMINION (-4 | 60) [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] AT (314) MASSACHUSETTS [SU:0-2 | ATS:0-2] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 3:30 PM - WARREN MCGUIRK (AMHERST, MA)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF OLD DOMINION 31.0 15 31-98 [3.2] 26-18-187 [7.2] 9.2 17.0 18 41-115 [2.8] 31-13-160 [5.2] 16.2 -2 +14.0 MASSACHUSETTS 31.5 21 33-97 [2.9] 39-24-330 [8.4] 13.6 38.0 19 41-216 [5.3] 28-17-235 [8.4] 11.9 -3 -6.5

V-TRENDS • OLD DOMINION is 9-2 OVER(L5Y) on ROAD - Against ineffcient defenses allowing less than 15.3 yards per point(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-10-07 MASSACHUSETTS (16) at OLD DOMINION (36) -7 52.5 OLD DOMINION HOME FAV UNDER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge OLD DOMINION -3.5 34 31.7 34.8 MASSACHUSETTS 61.5 26.5 5 29.8 29.4

(315) NORTHWESTERN (-3 | 55) [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] AT (316) DUKE [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 12:00 PM on ESPNU - WALLACE WADE STADIUM (DURHAM, NC)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF NORTHWESTERN 31.0 27 50-156 [3.1] 38-28-352 [9.3] 16.4 20.0 19 26-142 [5.5] 37-16-199 [5.4] 17.1 0 +11.0 DUKE 60.0 30 47-243 [5.2] 34-26-281 [8.3] 8.7 7.0 8 31-64 [2.1] 18-11-94 [5.2] 22.6 +1 +53.0

28

VSiN.COM - VEGAS STATS & INFORMATION NETWORK College Football Matchups V-TRENDS • NORTHWESTERN is 10-1 UNDER(L5Y) - In September

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-09-17 DUKE (13) at NORTHWESTERN (24) -4 44.5 NORTHWESTERN HOME FAV UNDER 2015-09-19 NORTHWESTERN (19) at DUKE (10) -3.5 50.0 NORTHWESTERN ROAD DOG UNDER 2008-09-06 NORTHWESTERN (24) at DUKE (20) +5.5 44.0 DUKE HOME DOG xxxx 2007-09-15 DUKE (20) at NORTHWESTERN (14) -16.5 52.5 DUKE ROAD DOG UNDER 2003-09-20 NORTHWESTERN (28) at DUKE (10) -3 51.0 NORTHWESTERN ROAD DOG UNDER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge NORTHWESTERN -3 49 26.4 26.2 DUKE 55 46 -0.3 28.3 DUKE 26.7

UNDERDOGS are 5-1 ATS in L6 of NW-DUKE series UNDER the total is 6-0-1 in L7 of NW-DUKE series

(317) SOUTH FLORIDA (-17.5 | 66) [SU:2-0 | ATS:0-2] AT (318) CONNECTICUT [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 12:00 PM on ESPNN - RENTSCHLER FIELD (HARTFORD, CT)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF SOUTH FLORIDA (21) 36.5 25 61-234 [3.8] 29-16-209 [7.2] 12.1 19.5 16 37-100 [2.7] 42-21-207 [4.9] 15.7 +4 +17.0 CONNECTICUT 27.0 18 37-160 [4.3] 41-28-278 [6.8] 16.2 20.0 24 26-89 [3.4] 56-33-358 [6.4] 22.4 -1 +7.0

V-TRENDS • CONNECTICUT is 13-2 UNDER(S2000) at HOME - Against good teams with 80%+ winning pct(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-10-15 CONNECTICUT (27) at SOUTH FLORIDA (42) -20.5 54.0 CONNECTICUT ROAD DOG OVER 2015-10-17 SOUTH FLORIDA (28) at CONNECTICUT (20) PK 44.0 SOUTH FLORIDA ROAD xxx OVER 2014-09-19 CONNECTICUT (14) at SOUTH FLORIDA (17) -1.5 42.0 SOUTH FLORIDA HOME FAV UNDER 2013-10-12 SOUTH FLORIDA (13) at CONNECTICUT (10) -3.5 40.5 SOUTH FLORIDA ROAD DOG UNDER 2012-11-03 CONNECTICUT (6) at SOUTH FLORIDA (13) -7 46.5 x x x x x xxxx xxx UNDER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge SOUTH FLORIDA (21) -17.5 47.5 40.3 UNDER 41.8 UNDER CONNECTICUT 68 24.5 20 20.9 21.5

UNDERDOGS are 5-1-2 ATS in L8 of USF-CON series

(319) EAST CAROLINA [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-1] AT (320) WEST VIRGINIA (-24 | 65) [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 12:00 PM on FS2 - MILAN PUSKAR STADIUM (MORGANTOWN, WV)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF EAST CAROLINA 14.0 28 30-80 [2.7] 53-28-292 [5.5] 26.6 34.0 23 44-422 [9.6] 22-15-192 [8.7] 18.1 -2 -20.0 WEST VIRGINIA 24.0 29 35-221 [6.3] 54-31-371 [6.9] 24.7 31.0 21 45-234 [5.2] 27-15-235 [8.7] 15.1 -1 -7.0

V-TRENDS • WEST VIRGINIA is 2-11-1 ATS(S2000) at HOME - Against unopportunistic offenses averaging more than 16.70 yards per point(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2009-09-12 EAST CAROLINA (20) at WEST VIRGINIA (35) -5.5 43.5 WEST VIRGINIA HOME FAV OVER 2008-09-06 * EAST CAROLINA (24) vs WEST VIRGINIA (3) -7 47.5 EAST CAROLINA xxxx DOG UNDER 2007-09-22 EAST CAROLINA (7) at WEST VIRGINIA (48) -24 59.0 WEST VIRGINIA HOME FAV UNDER 2006-09-23 WEST VIRGINIA (27) at EAST CAROLINA (10) +21 57.0 EAST CAROLINA HOME DOG UNDER 2005-09-24 EAST CAROLINA (15) at WEST VIRGINIA (20) -24 52.0 EAST CAROLINA ROAD DOG UNDER

29

YOUR TRUSTED SOURCE FOR EXCLUSIVE SPORTS GAMBLING NEWS, ANALYSIS AND DATA AUGUST 30 – SEPTEMBER 3

College Football Matchups STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge EAST CAROLINA 64 32 ECU 23.7 ECU 21.9 ECU WEST VIRGINIA -24.5 46.5 -18.3 41.8 38.8

WEST VIRGINIA is 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS hosting ECU since ‘00

(321) CINCINNATI [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] AT (322) MICHIGAN (-34 | 49.5) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 12:00 PM on ABC - MICHIGAN STADIUM (ANN ARBOR, MI)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF CINCINNATI 26.0 15 29-97 [3.3] 28-17-151 [5.4] 9.5 14.0 20 60-224 [3.7] 19-9-89 [4.7] 22.4 +2 +12.0 MICHIGAN (8) 33.0 19 49-215 [4.4] 26-12-218 [8.4] 13.1 17.0 9 27-11 [0.4] 26-14-181 [7.0] 11.3 +1 +16.0

V-TRENDS • MICHIGAN is 11-2 OVER(L3Y) - Against decent teams outscoring opponents by more than 7 points per game(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD No Recent Head-Head Games

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge CINCINNATI 49.5 33 5.5 8.5 MICHIGAN (8) -34 59.5 -30.3 44.6 MICH 38.3

(323) LOUISVILLE (-9.5 | 64.5) [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] AT (324) NORTH CAROLINA [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 12:00 PM on ESPN - KENAN STADIUM (CHAPEL HILL, NC)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF LOUISVILLE (17) 35.0 27 33-146 [4.4] 46-30-378 [8.2] 15.0 28.0 25 21-51 [2.4] 57-33-293 [5.1] 12.3 +1 +7.0 NORTH CAROLINA 30.0 28 45-219 [4.9] 44-25-221 [5.0] 14.7 35.0 20 35-106 [3.0] 38-24-363 [9.6] 13.4 -1 -5.0

Lamar Jackson was not perfect for Louisville, nonetheless, his 485 yards of offense carried the Cardinals to victory over Purdue. Jackson will not be the problem if Louisville does not contend in the ACC Atlantic, now that Deondre Francois is done for FSU. The Cards cannot fumble inside the fve-yard line like they did twice in Indianapolis. The ‘Ville does come in at 9-0 ATS on the road off a 10+ point spread setback. North Carolina’s pass defense was no match for a talented inexperienced Cal quarterback and it will be a great deal more challenging dealing with Mr. Heisman. The Tar Heels will move the ball and are 9-1 ATS off one or more spread losses. With these squads, turnovers will decide outcome.

V-TRENDS • NORTH CAROLINA is 9-2 ATS(L3Y) - Against decent passing defenses yielding less than 6.5 yards per attempt(CS) • LOUISVILLE is 4-9 ATS(L5Y) - Against lesser passing teams averaging less than 6.5 yards per attempt(CS) • LOUISVILLE is 11-2 UNDER(S2000) on ROAD - Against lesser defensive teams yielding more than 5.7 yards per play(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2012-09-15 NORTH CAROLINA (34) at LOUISVILLE (39) -3 56.0 LOUISVILLE HOME FAV OVER 2011-10-08 LOUISVILLE (7) at NORTH CAROLINA (14) -13.5 46.0 LOUISVILLE ROAD DOG UNDER 2005-10-08 NORTH CAROLINA (14) at LOUISVILLE (69) -14 62.0 LOUISVILLE HOME FAV OVER 2004-09-25 LOUISVILLE (34) at NORTH CAROLINA (0) +9 66.5 LOUISVILLE ROAD FAV UNDER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge LOUISVILLE (17) -10 55 37.4 34.5 NORTH CAROLINA 63.5 46 5.3 UNC 27.7 28.3

LOUISVILLE is on a 4-0 ATS run versus UNC

30

VSiN.COM - VEGAS STATS & INFORMATION NETWORK College Football Matchups (325) CHARLOTTE [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-1] AT (326) KANSAS ST (-36 | 51) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 12:00 PM - STADIUM (MANHATTAN, KS)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF CHARLOTTE 7.0 13 35-166 [4.7] 29-12-114 [3.9] 40.0 24.0 19 41-126 [3.1] 31-22-267 [8.6] 16.4 -1 -17.0 KANSAS ST (19) 55.0 16 31-186 [6.0] 16-10-333 [20.8] 9.4 19.0 28 55-223 [4.1] 35-27-198 [5.7] 22.2 +3 +36.0

V-TRENDS • KANSAS ST is 11-1 OVER(S2000) at HOME - Against unopportunistic offenses averaging more than 16.70 yards per point(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD No Recent Head-Head Games

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge CHARLOTTE 54 20 8.7 10.1 KANSAS ST (19) -36 52.5 -36.5 45.3 46.9

(327) IOWA (-3 | 48) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] AT (328) IOWA ST [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 12:00 PM on ESPN2 - JACK TRICE STADIUM (AMES, IA)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF IOWA 24.0 16 41-138 [3.4] 15-8-125 [8.3] 11.0 3.0 15 30-59 [2.0] 40-23-174 [4.3] 77.7 -2 +21.0 IOWA ST 42.0 24 35-134 [3.8] 36-27-271 [7.5] 9.6 24.0 21 22-119 [5.4] 38-23-259 [6.8] 15.8 +2 +18.0

Iowa was on numerous bettors ‘upset alert’ against Wyoming and that was proven unnecessary as the Iowa defense dominated talented QB Josh Allen. Offensively, the Hawkeyes will get beat in Ames if they commit four turnovers again like they did last week. Iowa has a new group on offense and that will take some time to develop continuity and for the most part the spread refects that. Iowa is 7-5 SU and ATS in Ames recently. Iowa State won and covered versus Northern Iowa and will try and build on that and have a Hawkeye State sweep. The Cyclones have the offense to match points with their rival and cannot turn this into a grinder. The home team is just 3-6 ATS.

V-TRENDS • IOWA is 10-2 ATS(L5Y) on ROAD - As favorite • IOWA ST is 5-11-1 ATS(L5Y) - Against opportunistic offenses averaging less than 12.35 yards per point(CS) • IOWA ST is 8-2 UNDER(S2000) at HOME - Against poor rushing teams averaging less than 3.4 yards per carry(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-09-10 IOWA ST (3) at IOWA (42) -15 50.0 IOWA HOME FAV UNDER 2015-09-12 IOWA (31) at IOWA ST (17) +3.5 47.5 IOWA ROAD FAV OVER 2014-09-13 IOWA ST (20) at IOWA (17) -13 49.0 IOWA ST ROAD DOG UNDER 2013-09-14 IOWA (27) at IOWA ST (21) PK 46.5 IOWA ROAD xxx OVER 2012-09-08 IOWA ST (9) at IOWA (6) -3.5 48.5 IOWA ST ROAD DOG UNDER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge IOWA -2.5 47 26.1 27.8 OVER IOWA ST 48 43 1.3 22.5 25.8

ROAD teams are 10-5 ATS in the IOWA-ISU series since ‘02

(329) WAKE FOREST [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] AT (330) BOSTON COLLEGE (-1 | 43) [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 1:00 PM on ACCN - ALUMNI STADIUM (CHESTNUT HILL, MA)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF WAKE FOREST 51.0 28 45-248 [5.5] 27-20-239 [8.9] 9.5 7.0 12 45-207 [4.6] 9-2-41 [4.6] 35.4 0 +44.0 BOSTON COLLEGE 23.0 21 50-148 [3.0] 42-26-191 [4.5] 14.7 20.0 18 35-164 [4.7] 39-16-203 [5.2] 18.4 0 +3.0

V-TRENDS • BOSTON COLLEGE is 8-0 UNDER(L3Y) - As favorite 31

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College Football Matchups RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-11-26 BOSTON COLLEGE (17) at WAKE FOREST (14) -3 34.5 BOSTON COLLEGE ROAD DOG UNDER 2015-10-10 WAKE FOREST (3) at BOSTON COLLEGE (0) -9.5 35.5 WAKE FOREST ROAD DOG UNDER 2014-10-25 BOSTON COLLEGE (23) at WAKE FOREST (17) +13 41.0 WAKE FOREST HOME DOG UNDER 2013-09-06 WAKE FOREST (10) at BOSTON COLLEGE (24) -2.5 47.5 BOSTON COLLEGE HOME FAV UNDER 2012-11-03 BOSTON COLLEGE (14) at WAKE FOREST (28) -3.5 53.0 WAKE FOREST HOME FAV UNDER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge WAKE FOREST 43.5 43.5 23 23.6 BOSTON COLLEGE -1 40.5 -0.5 22.3 23.9

The L7 games in the WAKE-BC series went UNDER the total

(331) NEW MEXICO ST [SU:0-1 | ATS:1-0] AT (332) NEW MEXICO (-7.5 | 68) [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 8:00 PM - DREAMSTYLE STADIUM (ALBUQUERQUE, NM)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF NEW MEXICO ST 31.0 27 30-151 [5.0] 58-40-398 [6.9] 17.7 37.0 19 40-79 [2.0] 30-24-321 [10.7] 10.8 -2 -6.0 NEW MEXICO 38.0 21 40-259 [6.5] 18-12-222 [12.3] 12.7 14.0 20 21-8 [0.4] 55-35-274 [5.0] 20.1 +1 +24.0

V-TRENDS • NEW MEXICO is 11-2 OVER(L5Y) at HOME - Against lesser defensive teams allowing more than 29 PPG(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-09-10 NEW MEXICO (31) at NEW MEXICO ST (32) +11 61.0 NEW MEXICO ST HOME DOG OVER 2015-10-03 NEW MEXICO ST (29) at NEW MEXICO (38) -10.5 66.0 NEW MEXICO ST ROAD DOG OVER 2014-09-20 NEW MEXICO (38) at NEW MEXICO ST (35) +4 63.0 NEW MEXICO ST HOME DOG OVER 2013-10-05 NEW MEXICO ST (17) at NEW MEXICO (66) -12 59.0 NEW MEXICO HOME FAV OVER 2012-09-22 NEW MEXICO (27) at NEW MEXICO ST (14) -5 56.0 NEW MEXICO ROAD DOG UNDER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge NEW MEXICO ST 68 27 27.7 29.4 NEW MEXICO -7.5 33 -9 37.5 37.8

Nine of the L12 NM-NMSU h2h games have gone OVER the total

(333) RICE [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-1] AT (334) UTEP (-1.5 | 55.5) [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 8:00 PM - SUN BOWL (EL PASO, TX)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF RICE 7.0 14 38-146 [3.8] 24-10-95 [4.0] 34.4 62.0 27 36-287 [8.0] 37-21-369 [10.0] 10.6 -2 -55.0 UTEP 7.0 11 21-73 [3.5] 27-16-94 [3.5] 23.9 56.0 35 38-180 [4.7] 36-32-496 [13.8] 12.1 -1 -49.0

V-TRENDS • RICE is 10-2 OVER(S2000) on ROAD - Against inept offensive teams averaging less than 4.5 yards per play(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-11-19 UTEP (24) at RICE (44) -2.5 55.0 RICE HOME FAV OVER 2015-11-06 RICE (21) at UTEP (24) +4.5 56.5 UTEP HOME DOG UNDER 2014-11-21 UTEP (13) at RICE (31) -7.5 48.5 RICE HOME FAV UNDER 2013-10-26 UTEP (7) at RICE (45) -19 58.5 RICE HOME FAV UNDER 2012-11-24 RICE (33) at UTEP (24) -1 56.5 RICE ROAD DOG OVER

32

VSiN.COM - VEGAS STATS & INFORMATION NETWORK College Football Matchups STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge RICE -1.5 24.5 29.3 30.2 OVER UTEP 57 21.5 -0.3 28 32.1

RICE has owned UTEP of late, 12-2 ATS since ‘02

(335) TEXAS ST [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] AT (336) COLORADO (-35.5 | 58) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 2:00 PM on PAC12 - FOLSOM FIELD (BOULDER, CO)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF TEXAS ST 20.0 18 41-155 [3.8] 28-18-135 [4.8] 14.5 11.0 20 40-59 [1.5] 34-21-199 [5.9] 23.5 -1 +9.0 COLORADO 17.0 19 38-143 [3.8] 29-21-202 [7.0] 20.3 3.0 23 33-88 [2.7] 47-24-309 [6.6] 132.3 +1 +14.0

V-TRENDS • COLORADO is 7-17-1 ATS(L25G) - Against solid defensive teams yielding less than 4.8 yards per play(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD No Recent Head-Head Games

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge TEXAS ST 54 16 7.4 11.8 COLORADO -35.5 49 -32.8 47.1 43.6

(337) UAB [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] AT (338) BALL ST (-14 | 54.5) [SU:0-1 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 3:00 PM on ESPN3 - SCHEUMANN STADIUM (MUNCIE, IN)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF UAB 38.0 23 58-259 [4.5] 22-12-165 [7.5] 11.2 7.0 9 33-45 [1.4] 29-13-138 [4.8] 26.1 0 +31.0 BALL ST 21.0 21 51-171 [3.4] 34-21-204 [6.0] 17.9 24.0 14 30-71 [2.4] 19-10-145 [7.6] 9.0 -1 -3.0

V-TRENDS • BALL ST is 9-2 UNDER(L2Y) - VS Non-ranked team

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD No Recent Head-Head Games

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge UAB 55.5 19.5 21.9 21.1 BALL ST -14 30.5 -14.5 34.1 36.2

(339) MIDDLE TENN ST [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-1] AT (340) SYRACUSE (-9.5 | 73) [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 3:30 PM on ACCN - CARRIER DOME (SYRACUSE, NY)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF MIDDLE TENN ST 6.0 14 26-49 [1.9] 31-18-166 [5.4] 35.8 28.0 15 35-71 [2.0] 28-20-296 [10.6] 13.1 -1 -22.0 SYRACUSE 50.0 34 41-155 [3.8] 52-37-431 [8.3] 11.7 7.0 8 30-54 [1.8] 27-12-113 [4.2] 23.9 -1 +43.0

V-TRENDS • SYRACUSE is 9-2 ATS(S2000) at HOME - Against lesser passing defenses yielding more than 7.5 yards per attempt(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD No Recent Head-Head Games

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge MIDDLE TENN ST 73 33.5 28.9 UNDER 28 SYRACUSE -8.5 43.5 -13.3 SYR 38.4 42.8 SYR

33

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College Football Matchups (341) INDIANA (-3 | 57) [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-1] AT (342) VIRGINIA [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 3:30 PM on ACCN - SCOTT STADIUM (CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF INDIANA 21.0 25 27-17 [0.6] 68-42-420 [6.2] 20.8 49.0 26 51-292 [5.7] 35-20-304 [8.7] 12.2 -3 -28.0 VIRGINIA 28.0 19 32-92 [2.9] 40-27-262 [6.5] 12.6 10.0 12 41-168 [4.1] 13-7-72 [5.5] 24.0 +1 +18.0

V-TRENDS • VIRGINIA is 14-3 UNDER(L5Y) - Against ineffcient defenses allowing less than 15.3 yards per point(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2011-09-10 VIRGINIA (34) at INDIANA (31) +7 55.0 INDIANA HOME DOG OVER 2009-10-10 INDIANA (7) at VIRGINIA (47) -7 47.0 VIRGINIA HOME FAV OVER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge INDIANA -3.5 43 27.9 27.4 VIRGINIA 56.5 39.5 0.3 30.1 VIR 26.4

(343) PITTSBURGH [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] AT (344) PENN ST (-20.5 | 67.5) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 3:30 PM on ABC - BEAVER STADIUM (UNIVERSITY PARK, PA)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF PITTSBURGH 28.0 24 53-208 [3.9] 24-17-140 [5.8] 12.4 21.0 19 26-107 [4.1] 32-18-311 [9.7] 19.9 0 +7.0 PENN ST (4) 52.0 24 34-247 [7.3] 31-21-322 [10.4] 10.9 0.0 12 34-73 [2.1] 29-14-86 [3.0] 0.0 0 +52.0

Penn State had not begun to believe in themselves in this Keystone State connection a year ago, but played a strong second half in losing at Pitt 42-39. Now in Happy Valley, the Nittany Lions are Top 10 material and the Panthers reconstructed offense from last season needed OT to hold off Youngstown State. The dynamic dual of RB Saquon Barkley and QB Trace McSorley lead the Lions and the defensive front seven is expected to only improve as the season goes forward. Penn State is 7-0 ATS after gaining 6.75 or more yards a play in their previous contest. For Pittsburgh to stay in this battle, they will need to move the chains running to chew up the clock and have pass rush.

V-TRENDS • PITTSBURGH is 9-2 ATS(L5Y) on ROAD - Against decent offensive teams averaging more than 5.7 yards per play(CS) • PENN ST is 9-15-1 ATS(L25G) - Against effcient offenses averaging less than 13.2 yards per point(CS) • PITTSBURGH is 9-1 OVER(L5Y) - Against elite offensive teams averaging more than 6.3 yards per play(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-09-10 PENN ST (39) at PITTSBURGH (42) -3 44.5 x x x x x xxxx xxx OVER 2000-09-16 PENN ST (0) at PITTSBURGH (12) +5.5 46.5 PITTSBURGH HOME DOG UNDER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge PITTSBURGH 68 47.5 PIT 26.4 PITT 26.2 PENN ST (4) -20.5 59.5 -15.5 39.9 42.8

(345) FRESNO ST [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] AT (346) ALABAMA (-44 | 54) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 3:30 PM on ESPN2 - BRYANT-DENNY STADIUM (TUSCALOOSA, AL)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF FRESNO ST 66.0 26 40-199 [5.0] 37-23-414 [11.2] 9.3 0.0 8 26--7 [-0.3] 31-15-155 [5.0] 0.0 +2 +66.0 ALABAMA (1) 24.0 13 42-173 [4.1] 18-10-96 [5.3] 11.2 7.0 15 27-40 [1.5] 33-19-210 [6.4] 35.7 +3 +17.0

V-TRENDS • ALABAMA is 9-1 UNDER(L3Y) at HOME - as favorite of more than 14 points

34

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STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge FRESNO ST 54 31 6.9 4.6 ALABAMA (1) -44 68.5 -41.3 47.4 45.1

(347) TULANE [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] AT (348) NAVY (-13 | 48) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 3:30 PM on CBSSN - NAVY-MARINE CORPS MEMORIAL STADIUM (ANNAPOLIS, MD)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF TULANE 43.0 26 51-296 [5.8] 15-10-185 [12.3] 11.2 14.0 10 22-77 [3.5] 27-15-148 [5.5] 16.1 +1 +29.0 NAVY 42.0 23 68-416 [6.1] 10-3-110 [11.0] 12.5 19.0 16 24-40 [1.7] 33-21-286 [8.7] 17.2 0 +23.0

V-TRENDS • TULANE is 8-3 UNDER(L3Y) - AS double digit underdog

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-09-17 NAVY (21) at TULANE (14) +7 42.0 x x x x x xxxx xxx UNDER 2015-10-24 TULANE (14) at NAVY (31) -25 57.0 TULANE ROAD DOG UNDER 2005-11-05 TULANE (21) at NAVY (49) -11.5 52.5 NAVY HOME FAV OVER 2004-11-06 NAVY (10) at TULANE (42) +8.5 54.0 TULANE HOME DOG UNDER 2003-11-01 TULANE (17) at NAVY (35) -10 63.5 NAVY HOME FAV UNDER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge TULANE 48 36 17.7 19 NAVY -14 44 -12 31.4 31.5

HOME teams are on a 4-1-1 ATS run in TUL-NAVY series

(349) W KENTUCKY (-7.5 | 57.5) [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] AT (350) ILLINOIS [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 8:00 PM on BTN - MEMORIAL STADIUM (CHAMPAIGN, IL)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF W KENTUCKY 31.0 20 40-100 [2.5] 31-20-264 [8.5] 11.7 17.0 22 22-25 [1.1] 48-29-320 [6.7] 20.3 -1 +14.0 ILLINOIS 24.0 14 30-71 [2.4] 19-10-145 [7.6] 9.0 21.0 21 51-171 [3.4] 34-21-204 [6.0] 17.9 +1 +3.0

V-TRENDS • W KENTUCKY is 11-1-1 OVER(L5Y) - Against decent defensive teams yielding less than 5.0 yards per play(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2014-09-06 W KENTUCKY (34) at ILLINOIS (42) -3.5 69.5 ILLINOIS HOME FAV OVER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge W KENTUCKY -8.5 41.5 30.6 35.6 OVER ILLINOIS 57.5 33 5.5 27.1 ILL 28.9

(351) TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO [SU:0-0 | ATS:0-0] AT (352) BAYLOR (-17 | 57.5) [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 8:00 PM - MCLANE STADIUM (WACO, TX)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF UTSA 0.0 0 0-0 [0.0] 0-0-0 [0.0] 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 [0.0] 0-0-0 [0.0] 0.0 0 0.0 BAYLOR 45.0 22 34-254 [7.5] 30-14-278 [9.3] 11.8 48.0 31 43-138 [3.2] 60-44-447 [7.5] 12.2 -2 -3.0

V-TRENDS • TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO is 15-7 UNDER(L5Y) on ROAD - VS Non-ranked team

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College Football Matchups RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD No Recent Head-Head Games

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO 58.5 32.5 19.4 19.6 BAYLOR -17 46 -17.8 37 39.1

(353) HAWAII [SU:2-0 | ATS:2-0] AT (354) UCLA (-23.5 | 62) [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 5:00 PM on PAC12 - ROSE BOWL (PASADENA, CA)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF HAWAII 39.5 20 42-205 [4.9] 31-18-272 [8.8] 12.1 26.5 25 44-163 [3.7] 37-22-284 [7.6] 16.9 +2 +13.0 UCLA 45.0 29 25-63 [2.5] 59-35-491 [8.3] 12.3 44.0 23 63-382 [6.1] 30-9-89 [3.0] 10.7 -3 +1.0

V-TRENDS • UCLA is 8-2-1 UNDER(L5Y) - Against lesser passing defenses yielding more than 7.5 yards per attempt(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD No Recent Head-Head Games

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge HAWAII 63 33.5 20.2 20.4 UCLA -23.5 51.5 -22 40.4 43.7

(355) C MICHIGAN [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] AT (356) KANSAS (-5.5 | 55.5) [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 4:00 PM - MEMORIAL STADIUM (LAWRENCE, KS)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF C MICHIGAN 30.0 24 50-246 [4.9] 54-28-253 [4.7] 16.6 27.0 15 31-108 [3.5] 40-21-284 [7.1] 14.5 +2 +3.0 KANSAS 38.0 17 25-73 [2.9] 37-23-364 [9.8] 11.5 16.0 13 33-94 [2.8] 44-25-170 [3.9] 16.5 -2 +22.0

V-TRENDS • C MICHIGAN is 11-4-1 OVER(S2000) on ROAD - Against shutdown passing defenses yielding less than 5.9 yards per attempt(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2014-09-20 C MICHIGAN (10) at KANSAS (24) -5 44.5 KANSAS HOME FAV UNDER 2007-09-01 C MICHIGAN (7) at KANSAS (52) -7.5 51.5 KANSAS HOME FAV OVER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge C MICHIGAN 56 30 25.8 29.1 CMU KANSAS -5.5 31.5 -3.8 30.6 29.3

(357) NEBRASKA [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] AT (358) OREGON (-14 | 69.5) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 4:30 PM on FOX - AUTZEN STADIUM (EUGENE, OR)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF NEBRASKA 43.0 25 38-225 [5.9] 32-19-238 [7.4] 10.8 36.0 32 21-82 [3.9] 68-46-415 [6.1] 13.8 +2 +7.0 OREGON 77.0 37 52-348 [6.7] 27-23-355 [13.1] 9.1 21.0 25 38-99 [2.6] 48-25-266 [5.5] 17.4 0 +56.0

These two played a 35-32 thriller with Nebraska winning last season and Oregon could have won except for too many fruitless two-point tries. The Cornhuskers have serious defensive concerns heading to Eugene after permitting over 500 yards to Arkansas State. The lone upside for the Huskers is history, in which they are 14-3 ATS after scoring and allowing 30 points or more in last game. At least the Ducks played like how they used to smashing Southern Utah 77-21, but we fnd out what kind of progress new coach Willie Taggert has made this week. Essentially, we have two fawed clubs used to winning and the winner get a temporary boost before conference play begins. Oregon is 27-12 ATS after having 200+ yards rushing advantage.

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VSiN.COM - VEGAS STATS & INFORMATION NETWORK College Football Matchups V-TRENDS • OREGON is 20-7-1 ATS(S2000) - Against weak defensive teams allowing more than 31.5 PPG(CS) • NEBRASKA is 3-8-2 ATS(L5Y) - Against shutdown passing defenses yielding less than 5.9 yards per attempt(CS) • OREGON is 10-2 OVER(L3Y) at HOME - All Games

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-09-17 OREGON (32) at NEBRASKA (35) -3 72.5 x x x x x xxxx xxx UNDER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge NEBRASKA 73.5 46.5 25 UNDER 27.4 UNDER OREGON -13.5 54.5 -12.3 37.9 40.4

(359) MIAMI FL (-14.5 | 55.5) [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] AT (360) ARKANSAS ST [SU:0-1 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 3:30 PM on ESPNU - CENTENNIAL BANK STADIUM (JONESBORO, AR)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF MIAMI FL (16) 41.0 28 34-317 [9.3] 31-18-233 [7.5] 13.4 13.0 20 30-121 [4.0] 39-25-229 [5.9] 26.9 +2 +28.0 ARKANSAS ST 36.0 32 21-82 [3.9] 68-46-415 [6.1] 13.8 43.0 25 38-225 [5.9] 32-19-238 [7.4] 10.8 -2 -7.0

V-TRENDS • ARKANSAS ST is 8-1 UNDER(S2000) at HOME - Against good teams with 70%+ winning pct(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2014-09-13 ARKANSAS ST (20) at MIAMI FL (41) -14 52.0 MIAMI FL HOME FAV OVER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge MIAMI FL (16) -14.5 53 35.1 33.3 ARKANSAS ST 55.5 37 12 19.6 20.4

(361) SAN JOSE ST [SU:1-1 | ATS:2-0] AT (362) TEXAS (-26 | 63) [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 3:30 PM on LHN - ROYAL TEXAS MEMORIAL STADIUM (AUSTIN, TX)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF SAN JOSE ST 28.0 20 45-190 [4.2] 38-20-244 [6.4] 15.5 27.5 21 67-255 [3.8] 18-8-135 [7.5] 14.2 -2 +0.5 TEXAS 41.0 26 31-98 [3.2] 53-34-375 [7.1] 11.5 51.0 18 43-263 [6.1] 15-12-219 [14.6] 9.5 -1 -10.0

From sheer joy to off the tracks for Texas in three and half hours. Coach Tom Herman’s honeymoon period is already over and the Longhorns better blowout San Jose State by far more than the oddsmakers spread or the heat really rises. Herman is not going to change the culture of what appears to be privileged Horns players immediately, having to create hunger for success. Texas is only 11-11 ATS as 20+ point chalk since 2009. The Spartans are on the road for the frst time after 2-0 ATS start and will look to test the Longhorns defensive front with their running game and up-tempo style. San Jose State already have fve turnovers and that could bury them in Austin.

V-TRENDS • SAN JOSE ST is 17-8 ATS(L25G) - Against poor teams with 40%+ winning pct(CS) • TEXAS is 6-10 ATS(L3Y) - VS Non-ranked team • TEXAS is 19-6 UNDER(L25G) - Against solid defensive teams yielding less than 4.8 yards per play(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD No Recent Head-Head Games

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge SAN JOSE ST 63 32 SJSU 21 17.1 TEXAS -27.5 50 -21.5 44.8 43.3

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College Football Matchups (363) TCU (-3 | 58) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] AT (364) ARKANSAS [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 3:30 PM on CBS - RAZORBACK STADIUM (FAYETTEVILLE, AR)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF TCU (23) 63.0 24 36-242 [6.7] 30-23-300 [10.0] 8.6 0.0 7 42-24 [0.6] 14-7-41 [2.9] 0.0 +1 +63.0 ARKANSAS 49.0 26 45-236 [5.2] 22-16-179 [8.1] 8.5 7.0 9 31-80 [2.6] 29-14-95 [3.3] 25.0 0 +42.0

Not much to be learned from either team’s opening game blowouts. In this showdown of former pals, TCU is striving for more offensive balance and if the offensive line does the job, that makes QB Kenny Hill much more effective. The Horned Frogs are in the process of upgrading defensive line with more bulk when facing massive O-Line’s like Arkansas. Important year for Bret Bielema in Arkansas and possibly he can make more noise and needs this game. The offense is in the capable hands of QB and should have a lot of versatility. The defense changing from 4-3 to 3-4 will require adjustments, but little time afforded with this contest and the SEC ahead. Big game for both teams.

V-TRENDS • TCU is 14-5 ATS(L5Y) - Against strong rushing teams averaging more than 4.7 yards per carry(CS) • ARKANSAS is 4-9 ATS(L3Y) - Against strong offensive teams averaging more than 6.0 yards per play(CS) • ARKANSAS is 9-3 UNDER(L5Y) - Against shutdown passing defenses yielding less than 5.9 yards per attempt(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-09-10 ARKANSAS (41) at TCU (38) -10 57.0 ARKANSAS ROAD DOG OVER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge TCU (23) -3 52 30.4 30.7 ARKANSAS 58 47 2 26.4 28.5

(365) LA LAFAYETTE [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] AT (366) TULSA (-14 | 64) [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 4:00 PM on ESPN3 - CHAPMAN STADIUM (TULSA, OK)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF LA LAFAYETTE 51.0 15 36-201 [5.6] 23-12-162 [7.0] 7.1 48.0 24 54-343 [6.4] 25-15-171 [6.8] 10.7 +2 +3.0 TULSA 24.0 26 60-244 [4.1] 38-20-188 [4.9] 18.0 59.0 25 37-332 [9.0] 26-21-308 [11.8] 10.8 0 -35.0

V-TRENDS • TULSA is 18-5-1 OVER(L25G) at HOME - All Games

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD No Recent Head-Head Games

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge LA LAFAYETTE 64 28 24.8 24.1 TULSA -16 38.5 -13.5 37 37.7

(367) MARSHALL [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] AT (368) NC STATE (-24.5 | 55.5) [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 6:00 PM on ACCN - CARTER-FINLEY STADIUM (RALEIGH, NC)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF MARSHALL 31.0 15 25-59 [2.4] 30-20-208 [6.9] 8.6 26.0 25 42-131 [3.1] 44-23-298 [6.8] 16.5 0 +5.0 NC STATE 28.0 29 35-89 [2.5] 64-45-415 [6.5] 18.0 35.0 12 21-31 [1.5] 29-17-215 [7.4] 7.0 -1 -7.0

V-TRENDS • MARSHALL is 11-3 UNDER(L3Y) - Against lesser defensive teams allowing more than 29 PPG(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD No Recent Head-Head Games

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge MARSHALL 55.5 32 17.5 16 38 NC STATE -24 50 -22 38.8 37.1 VSiN.COM - VEGAS STATS & INFORMATION NETWORK College Football Matchups (369) TOLEDO (-9.5 | 70.5) [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] AT (370) NEVADA [SU:0-1 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 7:00 PM on ESPN3 - MACKAY STADIUM (RENO, NV)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF TOLEDO 47.0 25 41-239 [5.8] 34-19-314 [9.2] 11.8 13.0 7 40-128 [3.2] 14-3-47 [3.4] 13.5 -1 +34.0 NEVADA 20.0 19 26-142 [5.5] 37-16-199 [5.4] 17.1 31.0 27 50-156 [3.1] 38-28-352 [9.3] 16.4 0 -11.0

V-TRENDS • NEVADA is 9-2 UNDER(L5Y) - Against elite rushing teams averaging more than 5.0 yards per carry(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD No Recent Head-Head Games

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge TOLEDO -9.5 41 38.3 39.6 OVER NEVADA 64.5 30 7.8 27.2 30.7

(371) LA MONROE [SU:0-1 | ATS:1-0] AT (372) FLORIDA ST (-32.5 | 54.5) [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 7:00 PM on ACC - DOAK CAMPBELL STADIUM (TALLAHASSE, FL)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF LA MONROE 29.0 25 49-146 [3.0] 37-21-279 [7.5] 14.7 37.0 16 39-319 [8.2] 25-10-97 [3.9] 11.2 -2 -8.0 FLORIDA ST (10) 7.0 15 27-40 [1.5] 33-19-210 [6.4] 35.7 24.0 13 42-173 [4.1] 18-10-96 [5.3] 11.2 -3 -17.0

V-TRENDS • LA MONROE is 10-2 OVER(L2Y) - All Games

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2011-09-03 LA MONROE (0) at FLORIDA ST (34) -30 54.0 FLORIDA ST HOME FAV UNDER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge LA MONROE 54.5 25 11.8 10.3 FLORIDA ST (10) -32.5 60.5 -34.3 43.6 46.3

(373) SOUTH CAROLINA [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] AT (374) MISSOURI (-2.5 | 72) [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 7:00 PM on ESPN2 - FAUROT FIELD (COLUMBIA, MO)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF SOUTH CAROLINA 35.0 12 21-31 [1.5] 29-17-215 [7.4] 7.0 28.0 29 35-89 [2.5] 64-45-415 [6.5] 18.0 +1 +7.0 MISSOURI 72.0 35 41-294 [7.2] 34-21-521 [15.3] 11.3 43.0 21 39-139 [3.6] 35-24-353 [10.1] 11.4 0 +29.0

V-TRENDS • MISSOURI is 14-3 UNDER(L5Y) at HOME - VS Non-ranked team

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-11-05 MISSOURI (21) at SOUTH CAROLINA (31) -4 57.0 SOUTH CAROLINA HOME FAV UNDER 2015-10-03 SOUTH CAROLINA (10) at MISSOURI (24) -2.5 42.5 MISSOURI HOME FAV UNDER 2014-09-27 MISSOURI (21) at SOUTH CAROLINA (20) -6.5 61.0 MISSOURI ROAD DOG UNDER 2013-10-26 SOUTH CAROLINA (27) at MISSOURI (24) -3 53.5 SOUTH CAROLINA ROAD DOG UNDER 2012-09-22 MISSOURI (10) at SOUTH CAROLINA (31) -10 47.5 SOUTH CAROLINA HOME FAV UNDER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge SOUTH CAROLINA 74.5 46 32 UNDER 32.4 UNDER MISSOURI -2.5 45 -2.5 37.3 34.3

The L5 SC-MIZ h2h games went UNDER the total

39

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College Football Matchups (375) NORTH TEXAS [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] AT (376) SMU (-13.5 | 64.5) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 7:00 PM on ESPN3 - GERALD J. FORD STADIUM (DALLAS, TX)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF NORTH TEXAS 59.0 31 60-436 [7.3] 24-17-232 [9.7] 11.3 14.0 15 33-86 [2.6] 41-20-180 [4.4] 19.0 +1 +45.0 SMU 58.0 25 48-243 [5.1] 23-12-222 [9.7] 8.0 14.0 15 35-75 [2.1] 31-16-144 [4.6] 15.6 +2 +44.0

V-TRENDS • SMU is 2-9 ATS(L5Y) - Against resilient defenses allowing more than 17.25 yards per point(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-09-03 SMU (34) at NORTH TEXAS (21) +7 68.0 SMU ROAD FAV UNDER 2015-09-12 NORTH TEXAS (13) at SMU (31) -6 59.5 SMU HOME FAV UNDER 2014-09-06 SMU (6) at NORTH TEXAS (43) -3 44.5 NORTH TEXAS HOME FAV OVER 2007-09-08 NORTH TEXAS (31) at SMU (45) -17.5 46.0 NORTH TEXAS ROAD DOG OVER 2006-09-09 SMU (6) at NORTH TEXAS (24) +5 40.0 NORTH TEXAS HOME DOG UNDER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge NORTH TEXAS 64.5 27 23.6 25.7 SMU -13.5 38 -14.3 36.8 40.4

(377) AUBURN [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] AT (378) CLEMSON (-4.5 | 54) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 7:00 PM on ESPN - MEMORIAL STADIUM (CLEMSON, SC)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF AUBURN (13) 41.0 25 53-351 [6.6] 26-15-184 [7.1] 13.0 7.0 8 47-70 [1.5] 9-4-8 [0.9] 11.1 -2 +34.0 CLEMSON (3) 56.0 34 43-353 [8.2] 35-25-312 [8.9] 11.9 3.0 5 44-119 [2.7] 5-1-1 [0.2] 40.0 -1 +53.0

In an evening loaded with great games, this matchup might be the most telling about future results for both squads. Kelly Bryant was ready for frst game as new Clemson signal caller, but Kent State is not Auburn. Bryant will have to show poise when under duress and stick with the game plan as the Auburn defense is built to be disruptive and they just held Georgia Southern to 78 total yards. Clemson is only 2-7 ATS in Death Valley versus Top 25 foes since 2007. QB Jarrett Stidham had as good debut for Auburn and now arguably will face the best defense he will see before Alabama. The Tigers from Alabama are 13-4 ATS after rushing for 350+ yards and can engineer upset.

V-TRENDS • CLEMSON is 8-2-1 ATS(L3Y) - Against solid defensive teams yielding less than 4.8 yards per play(CS) • AUBURN is 3-9-1 ATS(L3Y) - Against strong rushing teams averaging more than 4.7 yards per carry(CS) • AUBURN is 8-2 UNDER(L3Y) - Against solid defensive teams allowing less than 22 PPG(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-09-03 CLEMSON (19) at AUBURN (13) +9 62.5 AUBURN HOME DOG UNDER 2012-09-01 * AUBURN (19) vs CLEMSON (26) -2 54.5 CLEMSON xxxx FAV UNDER 2011-09-17 AUBURN (24) at CLEMSON (38) -5 57.5 CLEMSON HOME FAV OVER 2010-09-18 CLEMSON (24) at AUBURN (27) -8 54.5 CLEMSON ROAD DOG UNDER 2007-12-31 * AUBURN (23) vs CLEMSON (20) -2 44.5 AUBURN xxxx DOG UNDER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge AUBURN (13) 54 58 27.6 AUB 25.5 CLEMSON (3) -5 62 -7.3 27.4 32.4

UNDER the total is 4-1 in L5 of AUB-CLM series

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VSiN.COM - VEGAS STATS & INFORMATION NETWORK College Football Matchups (379) GEORGIA [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] AT (380) NOTRE DAME (-4 | 53) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 7:30 PM on NBC - NOTRE DAME STADIUM (SOUTH BEND, IN)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF GEORGIA (15) 31.0 18 44-221 [5.0] 20-11-147 [7.3] 11.9 10.0 12 32-136 [4.2] 32-21-148 [4.6] 28.4 -2 +21.0 NOTRE DAME (24) 49.0 26 44-422 [9.6] 30-17-184 [6.1] 12.4 16.0 18 37-85 [2.3] 35-19-245 [7.0] 20.6 0 +33.0

Georgia will be without starting QB Jacob Eason, who suffered knee injury in opener and will go with true freshman Jake Fromm. The Bulldogs would like nothing better than need Fromm like they did the last time they faced Notre Dame, when QB Buck Belue was 1-for-13 for seven yards in Sugar Bowl and they won national championship. Georgia will be handing the ball to impressive tandem of Nick Chubb and Sony Michel. We got out frst look at new Notre Dame offense without Brian Kelly calling plays and it appears they will probe weaknesses and make opponents stop them. In spite of Fromm playing, it will be too tempting for Dawgs to run the entire game against suspect Irish secondary.

V-TRENDS • NOTRE DAME is 9-2 ATS(L5Y) at HOME - Against decent offensive teams averaging more than 5.7 yards per play(CS) • GEORGIA is 4-20-1 ATS(L25G) - Against poor passing teams averaging less than 6.15 yards per attempt(CS) • GEORGIA is 16-5 UNDER(S2000) on ROAD - In September

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD No Recent Head-Head Games

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge GEORGIA (15) 55 53.5 21.5 21.6 NOTRE DAME (24) -4.5 56 -9.5 ND 32.1 ND 32.2 ND

(381) MISSISSIPPI ST (-8.5 | 67.5) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] AT (382) LOUISIANA TECH [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 7:30 PM on CBSSN - JOE AILLET STADIUM (RUSTON, LA)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF MISSISSIPPI ST 49.0 29 50-281 [5.6] 36-20-274 [7.6] 11.3 0.0 2 39-18 [0.5] 8-3-15 [1.9] 0.0 0 +49.0 LOUISIANA TECH 52.0 22 37-221 [6.0] 35-18-276 [7.9] 9.6 24.0 22 33-133 [4.0] 40-20-256 [6.4] 16.2 0 +28.0

V-TRENDS • LOUISIANA TECH is 11-1 OVER(L2Y) - OU line of 60 or more

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2015-10-17 LOUISIANA TECH (20) at MISSISSIPPI ST (45) -10.5 60.0 MISSISSIPPI ST HOME FAV OVER 2011-09-24 LOUISIANA TECH (20) at MISSISSIPPI ST (26) -20 58.0 LOUISIANA TECH ROAD DOG UNDER 2008-08-30 MISSISSIPPI ST (14) at LOUISIANA TECH (22) +7 44.5 LOUISIANA TECH HOME DOG UNDER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge MISSISSIPPI ST -7 50 35.5 37.8 LOUISIANA TECH 67.5 37 9.3 28.8 29.1

(383) OKLAHOMA [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] AT (384) OHIO ST (-7.5 | 64.5) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 7:30 PM on ABC - OHIO STADIUM (COLUMBUS, OH)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF OKLAHOMA (5) 56.0 35 38-180 [4.7] 36-32-496 [13.8] 12.1 7.0 11 21-73 [3.5] 27-16-94 [3.5] 23.9 +1 +49.0 OHIO ST (2) 49.0 26 51-292 [5.7] 35-20-304 [8.7] 12.2 21.0 25 27-17 [0.6] 68-42-420 [6.2] 20.8 +3 +28.0

Quarterback Baker Mayfeld may have new receivers but it did not matter against UTEP, as he was 19-for-20 against for 329 yards. This sets up as titanic confrontation, with Oklahoma offensive line blocking Ohio State’s defensive front and the Sooners coaches will look to understand where Indiana had so much success well into third quarter against Buckeyes defense. Ohio State will want to get J.T. Barrett into early comfort zone as he struggled at time versus the Hoosiers and no matter what anyone says, when the Buckeyes run, Barrett plays better. The Sooners are 26-18 ATS out of conference since 2007, while the Buckeyes are 10-4-1 ATS in September of late. Oklahoma looking for payback after 45-25 spanking last year in Norman. 41

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College Football Matchups V-TRENDS • OKLAHOMA is 11-2 ATS(L5Y) on ROAD - Against good teams with 60%+ winning pct(CS) • OHIO ST is 2-8-1 ATS(L5Y) - Against shutdown passing defenses yielding less than 5.9 yards per attempt(CS) • OKLAHOMA is 12-2 OVER(L5Y) on ROAD - Against decent offensive teams averaging more than 5.7 yards per play(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-09-17 OHIO ST (45) at OKLAHOMA (24) +1.5 58.5 OHIO ST ROAD FAV OVER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge OKLAHOMA (5) 64.5 63 26.3 28.4 OHIO ST (2) -7.5 66 -7.3 34.7 35

(387) STANFORD [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] AT (388) USC (-6.5 | 56) [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 8:30 PM on FOX - LOS ANGELES MEMORIAL COLISEUM (LOS ANGELES, CA)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF STANFORD (14) 62.0 27 36-287 [8.0] 37-21-369 [10.0] 10.6 7.0 14 38-146 [3.8] 24-10-95 [4.0] 34.4 +2 +55.0 USC (6) 49.0 25 34-232 [6.8] 33-23-289 [8.8] 10.6 31.0 24 48-263 [5.5] 23-12-94 [4.1] 11.5 -1 +18.0

In what could be the frst of two matchups between these teams, this will be one of the premier collisions of the Pac-12 campaign. Stanford routed Rice, but USC needed all four quarters to put a away a pesky Western Michigan bunch, as the Trojans were gouged for 263 yards on the ground. If USC permits anywhere close to that many yards rushing again in this contest, they will get beat. The Cardinal are expected to push Washington in the Pac-12 North and might have the horses to do so, with improvement on both sides of the line of scrimmage. What to watch for, the team with the most rushing yards has won 10 of last 11 confrontations.

V-TRENDS • STANFORD is 19-6 ATS(L25G) - Against opportunistic offenses averaging less than 12.35 yards per point(CS) • USC is 3-9 ATS(L3Y) - VS AP top 25 • USC is 13-3-1 UNDER(L5Y) at HOME - Against decent offensive teams averaging more than 5.7 yards per play(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-09-17 USC (10) at STANFORD (27) -7 50.5 STANFORD HOME FAV UNDER 2015-12-05 * STANFORD (41) vs USC (22) +4.5 58.0 STANFORD xxxx FAV OVER 2015-09-19 STANFORD (41) at USC (31) -10 50.5 STANFORD ROAD DOG OVER 2014-09-06 USC (13) at STANFORD (10) -3 52.5 USC ROAD DOG UNDER 2013-11-16 STANFORD (17) at USC (20) +4 44.5 USC HOME DOG UNDER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge STANFORD (14) 56 58 27.3 STAN 23.9 USC (6) -7 61 -6.3 29.7 30.1

STANFORD is 6-2-1 ATS on the road vs. USC since ‘01

(389) UNLV [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-1] AT (390) IDAHO (-6.5 | 70.5) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 7:00 PM on ESPN3 - COWAN SPECTRUM AT KIBBIE DOME (MOSCOW, ID)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF UNLV 40.0 25 46-344 [7.5] 21-11-220 [10.5] 14.1 43.0 21 61-309 [5.1] 26-15-140 [5.4] 10.4 -2 -3.0 IDAHO 28.0 15 44-193 [4.4] 19-14-163 [8.6] 12.7 6.0 8 35-95 [2.7] 25-10-95 [3.8] 31.7 -3 +22.0

V-TRENDS • UNLV is 3-9 ATS(S2000) on ROAD - Against dominant teams outscoring opponents by more than 15 points per game(CS)

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VSiN.COM - VEGAS STATS & INFORMATION NETWORK College Football Matchups RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-09-24 IDAHO (33) at UNLV (30) -14 61.5 IDAHO ROAD DOG OVER 2010-09-18 UNLV (7) at IDAHO (30) -7 59.0 IDAHO HOME FAV UNDER 2005-09-10 IDAHO (31) at UNLV (34) -13 52.0 IDAHO ROAD DOG OVER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge UNLV 73 25.5 33.5 UNLV 31.3 UNDER IDAHO -6.5 26.5 -4.3 31.6 UNDER 35.2

(391) MINNESOTA [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] AT (392) OREGON ST (-2.5 | 52) [SU:1-1 | ATS:0-2] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 10:00 PM on FS1 - RESER STADIUM (CORVALLIS, OR)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF MINNESOTA 17.0 21 51-169 [3.3] 32-19-239 [7.5] 24.0 7.0 13 22-51 [2.3] 42-22-211 [5.0] 37.4 0 +10.0 OREGON ST 31.0 20 30-153 [5.0] 36-22-269 [7.5] 13.6 45.0 29 48-241 [5.0] 33-21-279 [8.3] 11.6 -2 -14.0

V-TRENDS • MINNESOTA is 9-2-1 ATS(L3Y) - As underdog

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-09-01 OREGON ST (23) at MINNESOTA (30) -13 56.0 OREGON ST ROAD DOG UNDER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge MINNESOTA 52 43 22.7 26.7 OREGON ST -2.5 39 0.3 27 26

(393) SAN DIEGO ST [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] AT (394) ARIZONA ST (-3 | 55) [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 11:00 PM on PAC12 - SUN DEVIL STADIUM (TEMPE, AZ)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF SAN DIEGO ST 38.0 27 52-276 [5.3] 23-17-237 [10.3] 13.5 17.0 16 27-57 [2.1] 24-19-258 [10.8] 18.5 +1 +21.0 ARIZONA ST 37.0 19 40-79 [2.0] 30-24-321 [10.7] 10.8 31.0 27 30-151 [5.0] 58-40-398 [6.9] 17.7 +2 +6.0

Since neither team will be an actor on national stage, this is about conference pride. San Diego State is still the favorite to win the MWC West and does return RB Rashaad Penny, but has a brand new offensive line and the defense will be tested by Arizona State QB Manny Wilkins, who is a true dual threat. The Aztecs will be forced to want to throw the pigskin, since the Sun Devils had the worst pass defense in the country and just give up 395 yards to New Mexico State. ASU might have won frst game, but pass defense is still a disaster and unless they can mount pass rush, the Devils fall to 1-9 ATS in Tempe after scoring and allowing 31+ digits.

V-TRENDS • ARIZONA ST is 9-3 ATS(S2000) at HOME - Against poor defensive teams yielding more than 6.0 yards per play(CS) • SAN DIEGO ST is 3-10-1 ATS(L5Y) - In September • ARIZONA ST is 21-6 OVER(L5Y) - Against decent rushing teams averaging more than 4.4 yards per carry(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2007-09-15 SAN DIEGO ST (13) at ARIZONA ST (34) -28.5 60.0 SAN DIEGO ST ROAD DOG UNDER 2002-09-14 ARIZONA ST (39) at SAN DIEGO ST (28) +5 52.0 ARIZONA ST ROAD FAV OVER 2001-09-08 SAN DIEGO ST (7) at ARIZONA ST (38) -7 47.5 ARIZONA ST HOME FAV UNDER 2000-08-31 ARIZONA ST (10) at SAN DIEGO ST (7) +4 48.0 SAN DIEGO ST HOME DOG UNDER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge SAN DIEGO ST 58 42 23.3 24.4 ARIZONA ST -4.5 44 -6 34.2 ASU 33.2

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College Football Matchups (395) UTAH (-1.5 | 47) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] AT (396) BYU [SU:1-1 | ATS:0-2] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 10:15 PM on ESPN2 - LAVELL EDWARDS STADIUM (PROVO, UT)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF UTAH 37.0 27 47-272 [5.8] 32-23-227 [7.1] 13.5 16.0 12 28-51 [1.8] 31-14-187 [6.0] 14.9 0 +21.0 BYU 10.0 9 24-83 [3.4] 25-14-148 [5.8] 23.1 16.5 20 46-190 [4.1] 27-15-159 [5.9] 21.2 0 -6.5

BYU was severely outclassed by LSU in 27-0 whitewashing, gaining a mere 97 yards on offense and never crossing midfeld, while being thrashed for 497 yards. The Tanner Mangum of two years ago has disappeared and unless he returns, the Cougars offense will misfre frequently. Utah arrives in Provo with an 8-3 SU and 9-2 ATS mark against BYU and low scoring has prevailed with the UNDER 8-2-1. The Utes have Top 30 talent and never have a problem getting up for the Holy War, which we are thrilled is back on again. Plain and simple, Utah has better athletes and BYU lacks perimeter players that can shake loose which does not help Mangum. Should be another entertaining close skirmish.

V-TRENDS • UTAH is 10-3 ATS(L5Y) - Non-conference VS NON-BIG 5 • BYU is 4-14 ATS(S2000) at HOME - Against stout rushing defenses yielding less than 3.0 yards per(CS) • UTAH is 13-3 UNDER(L5Y) - Against decent passing defenses yielding less than 6.5 yards per attempt(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-09-10 BYU (19) at UTAH (20) -3 42.5 BYU ROAD DOG UNDER 2015-12-19 * UTAH (35) vs BYU (28) +2.5 53.5 UTAH xxxx FAV OVER 2013-09-21 UTAH (20) at BYU (13) -7 60.5 UTAH ROAD DOG UNDER 2012-09-15 BYU (21) at UTAH (24) +3.5 45.0 UTAH HOME DOG xxxx 2011-09-17 UTAH (54) at BYU (10) -4 45.0 UTAH ROAD DOG OVER

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge UTAH 47.5 46.5 23.1 25.7 BYU -1 44 -0.5 22.7 24.8

UNDERDOGS are on a 6-1 ATS run in UTAH-BYU series

(397) HOUSTON (-1 | 62.5) [SU:0-0 | ATS:0-0] AT (398) ARIZONA [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 10:30 PM on ESPNU - ARIZONA STADIUM (TUCSON, AZ)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF HOUSTON 0.0 0 0-0 [0.0] 0-0-0 [0.0] 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 [0.0] 0-0-0 [0.0] 0.0 0 0.0 ARIZONA 62.0 23 47-506 [10.8] 14-7-89 [6.4] 9.6 24.0 29 42-185 [4.4] 50-27-377 [7.5] 23.4 +3 +38.0

V-TRENDS • HOUSTON is 12-2 ATS(L5Y) - Against resilient defenses allowing more than 17.25 yards per point(CS)

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD No Recent Head-Head Games

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge HOUSTON -2 47 31.9 31 ARIZONA 65.5 44 -0.3 31.3 32.8

(399) BOISE ST [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-0-1] AT (400) WASHINGTON ST (-10.5 | 58.5) [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 10:30 PM on ESPN - MARTIN STADIUM (PULLMAN, WA)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF BOISE ST 24.0 19 44-147 [3.3] 32-19-210 [6.6] 14.9 13.0 11 29-76 [2.6] 34-17-139 [4.1] 16.5 +1 +11.0 WASHINGTON ST (20) 31.0 27 25-150 [6.0] 48-40-361 [7.5] 16.5 0.0 7 32-115 [3.6] 12-5-28 [2.3] 0.0 0 +31.0

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VSiN.COM - VEGAS STATS & INFORMATION NETWORK College Football Matchups Boise State held off Troy with defense and special teams and might require same methods to leave Pullman with a victory. QB Brett Rypien is surrounded by many new faces and the Broncos were far from cohesive at home in scoring just two offensive touchdowns. Having hung on to beat Washington State last season on the blue turf 31-28 as 13-point favorites, Boise State will be an away underdog for the frst time in four years. The Cougars were just glad not to lose season opener, something they had done for fve straight years. Backed with QB Luke Falk and an improving defense that pitched shutout over Montana State (last shutout was 1999), Washington State continues to improve in Mike Leach’s sixth season.

V-TRENDS • BOISE ST is 20-7-1 ATS(S2000) - Against shutdown passing defenses yielding less than 5.9 yards per attempt(CS) • WASHINGTON ST is 10-15 ATS(L25G) - Against poor rushing teams averaging less than 3.4 yards per carry(CS) • WASHINGTON ST is 6-1 UNDER(L5Y) - Non-conference VS NON-BIG 5

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-09-10 WASHINGTON ST (28) at BOISE ST (31) -13 73.0 WASHINGTON ST ROAD DOG UNDER 2001-09-08 WASHINGTON ST (41) at BOISE ST (20) +6 NL WASHINGTON ST ROAD FAV 2000-10-07 BOISE ST (35) at WASHINGTON ST (42) +2.5 NL WASHINGTON ST HOME DOG

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors’ Rtng Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge Proj Edge Proj Edge BOISE ST 58.5 45 25.1 25.6 WASHINGTON ST (20) -10.5 52 -9.5 36 32.9

Opening Lines by Brent Musburger It is like Christmas putting 21 points on the board – in the fourth for football quarter. And with DeShone Kizer starting for bettors. Week the Browns, I admit I have a bias against rookie 1 of the NFL quarterbacks. season is here, and I have On the college side in Week 2, South Carolina already found a plus 2½ at Missouri. The Gamecocks may be couple stocking the most underrated team in the SEC East. The stuffers for you Jake Bentley-to-Deebo Samuel connection – sides that I will be a familiar one soon enough, and Will am taking for Muschamp was a better coaching hire than openers. the mainstream media concluded.

Houston Texans minus 5 vs. Jacksonville. Finally for starters, Rutgers minus-4 hosting Admittedly part of this is emotional. I am Eastern Michigan. You may have seen that the pulling for the good folks in Houston to have Scarlet Knights lost to Washington 30-14, but something to cheer them up after Hurricane the Huskies found themselves in a close game Harvey. But the other part of this is J.J. Watt – early in the second half. If Rutgers can make a and not just all the work he has done on the game of it against a team that could contend ground with storm relief. He and that Texans for a national semifnal, it is certainly capable defense are as good as it gets in the AFC. of beating an improving MAC team.

Pittsburgh Steelers minus 9 at Cleveland. I Those are the games that jump off the page would even take this one at minus 10, and early on. Of course, we are just getting into the it ought to get there. That’s because Ben gifts that will just keep on giving long after it Roethlisberger’s offense is fully capable of fnally cools off here in the desert.

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only starting to be put on the program. The combined record for this group was 126-161 Analyzing SU (43.9%) & 159-126 ATS (55.8%). The worst ATS record of any team in this bunch was 4-8, so clearly identifying the teams that will ft this bill 2017 College in 2017 is a worthwhile strategy. Again, I will attempt to do this a little later.

Football 3. Teams that had the same coach for that season but he was replaced afterward Teams on There were 16 teams in the study that wound up replacing their coach after the subsequent season following the three year downward a 3-Year trend. This group of teams was horrifc, both on the scoreboard and at the betting window. The combined records were 41-153 SU (21.1%) Downward & 75-113 ATS (39.9%). The only two of the 16 teams that posted a winning ATS mark were 2015 Syracuse (8-4 ATS) and 2016 Fresno State Trend (7-4 ATS). Naturally this group might be the If you read most preseason publications, visit hardest to pick out because you are making team websites, or simply watch the analysts diffcult assumptions of a coach being fred on TV games, for the most part you will fnd after this upcoming season, but again, I will try more optimism than pessimism at this time to do so shortly. of year. For one, the break of a new season naturally brings fresh hope for ALL teams, and FITTING THE 2017 DOWNWARD TRENDING for two, quite frankly, in this politically correct TEAMS INTO OUR THREE CATEGORIES world we live in, folks are afraid to make As promised, I broke the 2017 downward negative commentary. Unfortunately, the trending teams into the three categories. mathematical reality is that for every team You can feel free to decipher the latter two that improves in 2017, one will decline. In this categories yourself should you disagree with piece, I am going to look at teams that are my logic. In any case, the frst category is trending downward in 2017 and forecast what easy… the future might hold for them based upon past similar instances. New coach for 2017 These are the schools that have trended To complete this study, I grabbed all of the downward in at least the last three years and season logs for teams over the last six years have replaced their head coach for 2017. that had trended downward in three straight Recall however that this is not a great group seasons to the point where at least the fnal of teams to back in terms of covering point season was a losing season. That means, the spreads. team had to have a worse record than it did the prior year in three straight seasons. You • CINCINNATI can see from the chart alongside that I have • OREGON grouped all of these teams into three distinct • RUTGERS categories. These were some of my key • TEXAS STATE fndings: Same coach for 2017 AND should be around 1. Teams that had a new coach for that for 2018 upcoming season This is the group of teams that I ft into our There were 15 teams over the last six seasons middle category, those whose coaches I that I found ft into this group. Their combined expect to be around for 2018. This would be record for the upcoming season (or the 4th the group that I expect to do very well against season sequentially) was 53-131 SU (28.8%) & the number based upon recent history. 82-98 ATS (45.6%). If you take out the 10-3 ATS mark of Ole Miss in 2012 under Hugh Freeze, ILLINOIS – begins just his second the ATS mark drops to 72-95, which accounts season in Champaign and I would expect for just 43.1% ATS. Obviously this is not a group with his rich coaching resume he will be given of teams you’ll want to follow religiously plenty of time to turn things around. throughout the season. I will introduce those teams in a bit. MISSOURI- Like Smith at Illinois, Barry Odom is also starting his second season at Missouri. He 2. Teams that had the same coach for that welcomes back QB Drew Lock and nine other season offensive starters as well, giving all the more There were 23 teams that I found ft into this reason to think that the Tigers could rebound group. This means that their coach made it in 2017. through the fourth season and possibly even began a trend back upward. In many cases, VIRGINIA – After his run of success at BYU, these were teams that had coaches in the Bronco Mendenhall might be the coach with infancy of their term, and their mark was the longest leash coming off a 2-10 season 46 at Virginia. He has returning senior QB Kurt

VSiN.COM - VEGAS STATS & INFORMATION NETWORK Benkert in place to help lead the Cavaliers COLLEGE FOOTBALL TEAMS ON 3-YEAR DECLINE back to respectability. SU ATS Off Def PPG Team Season W-L W-L PPG PPG Diff TCU – ’s 2016 TCU team is only NEW COACH FOR THAT SEASON considered a “losing” team because they lost their bowl game last December to fall to 6-7. MINNESOTA 2011 3-9 7-5 18.4 31.7 -13.3 Prior to that, the Horned Frogs had posted 11 KANSAS 2012 1-11 4-7 18.3 36.1 -17.8 wins in 2015 and 12 in 2014. Only by default do OLE MISS 2012 7-6 10-3 31.5 27.6 3.8 they seem to ft our system so I wouldn’t be shy UAB 2012 3-9 5-7 28.3 37.5 -9.3 at all about backing TCU this fall. COLORADO 2013 4-8 6-6 25.4 38.3 -12.8 KENTUCKY 2013 2-10 4-8 20.5 31.2 -10.7 UCLA – With one of the best quarterbacks SOUTH FLORIDA 2013 2-10 5-7 13.8 28.6 -14.8 in the country leading the way, I don’t think UTEP 2013 2-10 2-10 21.8 39.3 -17.6 Jim Mora’s UCLA team will continue trending WAKE FOREST downward. Six of their eight losses last year 2014 3-9 6-6 14.8 26.4 -11.6 were by 10 points or less, making the Bruins OREGON ST 2015 2-10 3-9 19.0 37.0 -18.0 a top candidate for a bounce back team in TULSA 2015 6-7 7-5 37.2 39.8 -2.7 2017. BALL ST 2016 4-8 7-5 27.0 30.1 -3.1 EAST CAROLINA 2016 3-9 3-9 27.0 36.1 -9.1 Same coach for 2017 BUT a candidate to NORTH TEXAS 2016 5-8 7-5 24.8 32.6 -7.8 potentially be replaced afterward SOUTH CAROLINA 2016 6-7 6-6 20.8 26.5 -5.7 ARIZONA – The Wildcats have gone from 10 COMBINED RECORD: 53-131 SU (28.8%), 82-98 ATS (45.6%) to 7 to 3 wins over the last three seasons, and SAME COACH FOR THAT SEASON clearly Rich Rodriguez in on the hot seat. Last year Arizona allowed 38.3 PPG in the Pac 12. BUFFALO 2011 3-9 6-6 22.2 29.4 -7.3 That is approaching bottom-out level. CALIFORNIA 2011 7-6 7-6 28.3 24.2 4.2 OREGON ST 2011 3-9 4-8 21.8 30.8 -9.0 ARIZONA ST – It would seem that the coaching SAN JOSE ST 2011 5-7 8-4 24.5 30.3 -5.8 seats are getting hot all over the desert, as WAKE FOREST 2011 6-7 8-5 26.0 27.0 -1.0 Todd Graham can’t be too comfortable in EAST CAROLINA 2012 8-5 6-7 31.5 31.6 -0.2 Tempe either. His defense allowed a tick under LA MONROE 2012 8-5 8-5 33.8 29.2 4.7 40 PPG as well in 2016 and another season like HAWAII 2013 1-11 7-5 27.4 38.8 -11.3 that will prove disastrous for him. UTAH 2013 5-7 6-6 29.2 28.0 1.2 DUKE – This was a tough one for me to group, CALIFORNIA 2014 5-7 7-5 38.3 39.8 -1.5 as David Cutcliffe has taken Duke to heights FLA INTERNATIONL 2014 4-8 7-4 23.0 24.8 -1.8 not seen prior. However, off a 4-8 season, the PURDUE 2014 3-9 7-5 23.8 31.7 -7.8 Blue Devils are trending downward, and it TCU 2014 12-1 11-2 46.5 19.0 27.5 doesn’t fgure to get much easier in a loaded TEMPLE 2014 6-6 6-6 23.1 17.5 5.6 ACC this fall. VIRGINIA 2014 5-7 7-5 25.8 24.1 1.8 W MICHIGAN 2014 8-5 10-3 33.8 24.9 8.8 N ILLINOIS – Not too many years ago, Northern WEST VIRGINIA 2014 7-6 7-6 33.5 27.6 5.8 Illinois was a BCS-party crasher. Now having won fewer games than the prior season in four CONNECTICUT 2015 6-7 5-8 17.2 19.5 -2.3 straight years, Rod Carey desperately needs a SAN JOSE ST 2015 6-7 8-5 27.9 27.2 0.7 turnaround. With several diffcult road games TEXAS 2015 5-7 5-6 26.4 30.3 -3.9 on the slate and a new quarterback to work BUFFALO 2016 2-10 4-8 16.5 32.3 -15.8 in, I’m not confdent that will happen. RICE 2016 3-9 6-6 25.3 37.3 -12.1 WYOMING 2016 8-6 9-5 35.9 34.1 1.9 RICE – David Bailiff has been at Rice 11 years COMBINED RECORD: 126-161 SU (43.9%), 159-126 ATS (55.8%) now. Having sunk to 3-9 last year and then SAME COACH BUT REPLACED AFTER THAT SEASON getting tagged 62-7 in the opener by Stanford, I don’t foresee year #12 coming. AKRON 2011 1-11 3-8 14.2 38.5 -24.3 FLA ATLANTIC 2011 1-11 3-9 12.9 34.7 -21.8 UTAH ST – Matt Wells begins his 5th season at KANSAS 2011 2-10 6-6 22.3 43.8 -21.4 Utah State and has only 10 starters back from MEMPHIS 2011 2-10 5-7 16.3 35.1 -18.8 his 3-9 team of 2016. That record matched the BOSTON COLLEGE 2012 2-10 4-8 19.8 29.7 -9.8 schools worst in football since 2008. The 2017 IDAHO 2012 1-11 3-9 15.8 42.4 -26.6 schedule is very diffcult by Aggies’ standards, KENTUCKY 2012 2-10 3-9 17.9 31.0 -13.1 and the talent just isn’t there to bring this team TENNESSEE 2012 5-7 4-8 36.2 35.7 0.5 back quickly in the Mountain West. TEXAS TECH 2012 8-5 6-7 37.5 31.8 5.7 UTEP – Sean Kugler’s UTEP team squares off ARMY 2013 3-9 4-8 24.4 31.6 -7.2 with Rice on Saturday, and a win will do SMU 2014 1-11 4-8 11.1 41.3 -30.3 wonders for either program, perhaps even IOWA ST 2015 3-9 5-5 25.0 32.7 -7.7 transferring the winner onto the list of teams LA MONROE 2015 2-11 5-7 21.0 36.5 -15.5 that will be under the same coach leadership SYRACUSE 2015 4-8 8-4 27.3 31.0 -3.8 in 2018. That might be a stretch, but whoever TX-SAN ANTONIO 2015 3-9 5-6 22.6 33.8 -11.2 wins will at least generate some positive FRESNO ST 2016 1-11 7-4 17.7 30.9 -13.3 energy for at least one week. COMBINED RECORD: 41-153 SU (21.1%), 75-113 ATS (39.9%) 47

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and prevented the game from turning into a rout. Their skill and importance will really matter Football since quarterback Deondre Francois is fnished for the season and if the Seminoles are going to win the ACC, it will be the defense and running Betting game that will have to carry Jimbo Fisher’s club. WE ALSO NOTICED THIS Observations We should not make too much of all the events of Week 1, largely because it is only one game. The best way to view the outcomes is to check and Betting back in early October and review what has happened to teams that either looked really News good or suspicious in Week 1 Here is our new weekly look at what is South Carolina could have a real fnd in happening in football and wagering. quarterback Jake Bentley, who was poised in upset win versus N.C. State. The Wolfpack start TEXAS FANS NOT HAPPY ALREADY AND like usual, losing games they should win and will OTHER WILD BETTING NEWS win others they will be expected to lose. We tried to warn people that in spite of Tom Herman being a very good coach, Michigan smacked Florida around and it Texas has talented individual players, but is would have been worse except Wolverines’ strictly a borderline Top 30ish club. Longhorns quarterbacks tossed a pair of Pick 6’s. For those fans thought the glory days would arrive who thought Michigan might have to rebuild immediately, however, Maryland was not at with so many new players rather than retool, all phased on the road and by the end of the that question looks to have been answered. For frst quarter knew they could win the line of Florida, it is more of the same, a terrible offensive scrimmage and began shoving Texas around. line, a defensive front though fast, is too small to compete with bigger O-Lines and still searching The Terrapins won in the trenches and amassed for a quarterback. Betting Florida this season 492 yards as +19 road underdogs, including might not be all that comfortable. 263 on the ground which included 6.1 yards a carry. Faced with a dramatic defcit, the Horns Next let’s talk about Texas A&M, UCLA and QB Shane Buechele was forced to throw 52 Tennessee, more specifcally the coaches. times and was effective. But with breakdowns everywhere, it is back to the drawing board for Kevin Sumlin’s Aggies were ready to play against Herman and Texas, as the 51 points surrendered UCLA from the starting whistle, Texas A&M had were the most given up in a season opener. better players, were completely prepared and executed their game plan perfectly in building We will cover Texas A&M shortly, if Kevin Sumlin is 44-10 lead. still employed. The Bruins were just the opposite, you would Before Saturday, 40 or more point favorites were have guessed they got flm on the Aggies the 253-0 SU, now they have suffered frst loss. UNLV night before and never imagined that they paid Howard University $600,000.00 to come would be blocked or Texas A&M was that fast. to the desert and suffer a beatdown. The Bison All eyes in blue and yellow were fxed on Jim (actual nickname of team in Washington, D.C.), Mora, whose team was not mentally prepared. led by Cam Newton’s younger brother, upset the Rebels 45-42 as monumental +45 point Thanks to the Aggies losing starting quarterback underdogs. Sports writers at the Sun Nick Starkel, their offensive momentum was are calling in it, “The worst loss in UNLV history”. undermined and UCLA did not have to fear the pass. With pass protection adjustments, Josh Also, Baylor’s decline might be taking faster than Rosen of the Bruins had more time to throw and expected, with 49-45 upset stunner as -33 point the game completely changed as the gassed home chalk to Liberty College. First-year coach Texas A&M pass rush was fnished. (Ask the Matt Ruhle might rue the day he took this job. Falcons about the Super Bowl how this feels)

THE TIDE LEAVE NO DOUBT WHO IS NO.1 In the end, we witnessed a miraculous Alabama went off a as touchdown or -7.5 point comeback by UCLA, but it does not take favorite over Florida State, depending on the away for the fact that Mora’s team needed sportsbook and in the second half overwhelmed unexplainable events to win or that Sumlin had the Seminoles with defense and special teams. a complete look of panic as the game was A mixture of skill and luck did the trick on special slipping away. teams for Alabama and their defense played a fawless second half with perfectly timed and Between those coaches and Butch Jones at executed blitzes to stife Florida State offense. Tennessee, good luck betting for or against that trio in 2017. It was a typical recipe we have seen before under coach Nick Saban and as per usual it ADDING UP THE NUMBERS worked as the Tide covered with ease. The favorites were 35-5 SU, but only 19-20-1 ATS in FBS contests for Week 1. Lower scores prevailed A tip of the hat to the Florida State defense, at 21-19 UNDER. In FBS vs. FCS action, the bigger being given deplorable feld position in the schools got what they mostly paid for with a 42-4 second half with the Noles miscues, yet held up SU record, however, were miserable 17-29 ATS. 48

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