AUGUST 30 – SEPTEMBER 3 Indexindex Rotation Schedule ..................................................................................................... 3 VSiN NFL Consensus ................................................................................................... 4 Matt Youman’s 3 NFL Games to Watch .................................................................. 5 Q&A With Warren Sharp ............................................................................................ 6 NFL Top Weekly Trends ............................................................................................... 7 NFL Matchups ............................................................................................................. 8 NFL Top Weekly Trends ............................................................................................. 13 Top Tips for Winning Early in the NFL Season ......................................................... 17 Top NFL Week 1 Historical Systems AND Qualifying Games for 2017 ................. 18 Football Line Moves ................................................................................................. 21 VSiN College Football Consensus .......................................................................... 22 Matt Youman’s 3 College Football Games to Watch ......................................... 23 College Football Top Weekly Trends ...................................................................... 24 Top 12 College Football Stability Mismatches for Week 2 ................................... 25 College Football Matchups .................................................................................... 26 Opening Lines by Brent Musburger ............................................................................... 45 Analyzing 2017 College Football Teams on a 3-Year Downward Trend ................... 46 Football Betting Observations and Betting News ................................................. 48 Welcome to Week 2 of the VSiN Point Spread Weekly, and welcome to the start of Welcome to another exciting NFL season. We hope all of you were able to get a copy of last week’s college football kickoff issue and enjoyed Point Spread the coverage. In this week’s issue, we will cover the kickoff of the 2017 NFL season as Weekly well as the college second week action. Thank you for the great response we received over the past week. We have made no bones about it, our goal is to make Point Spread Weekly the ultimate College & Pro Football BETTING Resource. If you agree that we have, make sure to get yourself locked in for a season subscription at a heavily discounted rate from our weekly cover price. Among many regular features you will become used to, last week we introduced a trio of proprietary STRENGTH RATINGS. These are my POWER RATINGS, EFFECTIVE STRENGTH INDICATORS and BETTORS’ RATINGS. They are each born from unique formulas I’ve developed over the last seven years. After felding several questions regarding the ratings last week, here is a quick explanation of each: • The Power Ratings are my own manually adjusted ratings updated after every game based upon analysis of live action and box scores • The Effective Strength Ratings are purely statistical ratings, using the teams’ key stats against schedule strength and their previous opponents’ averages. These are also adjusted for any key injuries the team had endured or faced against. • The Bettors Ratings are a quantifed interpretation of how bettors perceive teams based upon how lines of recent games have moved and closed. For the record, in last week’s college football kickoff issue, our Bettors’ Ratings were 7-3 ATS in our 10 featured games, while our Power Ratings and Effective Strength Indicators were 6-4 ATS. In this week’s issue, besides the usual tips, stats, trends and such, we also offer up some feature articles. In college, there is a piece on Teams Trending Downward Heading into 2017, as well as the continued series on College Football Stability mismatches. We also offer a special NFL Systems article, detailing unique betting angles that have performed very well in Week 1 of recent NFL seasons, taking into account lines, totals, and stats from last season. There are also NFL columns from Brent Musburger and a Q&A with Warren Sharp, who offers up his expertise on some specifc teams’ win totals for the upcoming season. As a reminder, be sure to visit VSiN.com this week to watch the live programming and to get the latest news and updates on line movements. If you haven’t done so yet, you defnitely should sign up for the VSiN newsletter. Let’s cash some tickets this weekend! Good luck from everyone at VSiN! Steve Makinen 2 Editor VSiN.COM - VEGAS STATS & INFORMATION NETWORK Rotation Schedule NFL WEEK 1 COLLEGE FOOTBALL continued COLLEGE FOOTBALL continued THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 7, 2017 SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 451 KANSAS CITY 48 48 345 FRESNO ST 52 54 393 SAN DIEGO ST 60 58 P: 5:30PM C: 7:30PM E: 8:30PM NFL P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM ESPN2 P: 8:00PM C: 10:00PM E: 11:00PM 452 NEW ENGLAND -7 -8 346 ALABAMA -42 -44 394 ARIZONA ST -3 -4.5 347 TULANE 54.5 48 395 UTAH 1.5 47.5 COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 2 P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM CBSC P: 7:15PM C: 9:15PM E: 10:15PM ESPN2 FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 8, 2017 348 NAVY -13 -14 396 BYU 49.5 -1 301 OHIO U 57 56 349 W KENTUCKY -6 -8.5 397 HOUSTON 0 -2 P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM BIG10 P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM BIG10 P: 7:30PM C: 9:30PM E: 10:30PM ESPNU 302 PURDUE -4 -4.5 350 ILLINOIS 61 57.5 398 ARIZONA 65.5 65.5 303 OKLAHOMA ST -25 -28 351 TX-SAN ANTONIO 60.5 58.5 399 BOISE ST 61 58.5 P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM ESPN2 P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM P: 7:30PM C: 9:30PM E: 10:30PM ESPN 304 S ALABAMA 64.5 66 352 BAYLOR -16 -17 400 WASHINGTON ST -7.5 -11 353 HAWAII 65 63 SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 P: 2:00PM C: 4:00PM E: 5:00PM PAC12 NFL WEEK 1 continued 305 FLA ATLANTIC 57.5 57.5 354 UCLA -22 -24 SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 10, 2017 P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM BIG10 355 C MICHIGAN 57.5 56 453 NY JETS 43 40 306 WISCONSIN -33 -32 P: 1:00PM C: 3:00PM E: 4:00PM P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 307 BUFFALO 49 49 356 KANSAS -3.5 -5.5 454 BUFFALO -6 -7.5 P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM CBSC 357 NEBRASKA 68 73.5 455 ATLANTA -7 -7 308 ARMY -17 -17 P: 1:30PM C: 3:30PM E: 4:30PM P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 309 W MICHIGAN 56 51.5 358 OREGON -10 -14 456 CHICAGO 50.5 50 P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM BIG10 359 MIAMI FL -12 -15 457 JACKSONVILLE 42 40 310 MICHIGAN ST -7.5 -7.5 P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM ESPNU P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 311 E MICHIGAN 54 53 360 ARKANSAS ST 54.5 55.5 458 HOUSTON -4.5 -5.5 P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM BIG10 361 SAN JOSE ST 62 63 459 PHILADELPHIA 48.5 47.5 312 RUTGERS -4 -5 P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 313 OLD DOMINION -2.5 -3.5 362 TEXAS -24 -28 460 WASHINGTON -3 0 P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM 363 TCU 2.5 -3 461 ARIZONA 2.5 -1.5 314 MASSACHUSETTS 63 61.5 P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM CBS P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 315 NORTHWESTERN 0 -3 364 ARKANSAS 59.5 58 462 DETROIT 48 47.5 P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM ESPNU 365 LA LAFAYETTE 62.5 64 463 OAKLAND 51.5 51 316 DUKE 53 55 P: 1:00PM C: 3:00PM E: 4:00PM P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 317 SOUTH FLORIDA -17 -18 366 TULSA -16 -16 464 TENNESSEE 1.5 -2 P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM ESPNN 367 MARSHALL 54 55.5 465 TAMPA BAY 3 -2.5 318 CONNECTICUT 62 68 P: 3:00PM C: 5:00PM E: 6:00PM ESPN3 P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 319 EAST CAROLINA 59.5 64 368 NC STATE -20 -24 466 MIAMI 47 41.5 P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM FOX 2 369 TOLEDO -8 -9.5 467 BALTIMORE 42.5 42.5 320 WEST VIRGINIA -20 -25 P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM ESPN3 P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 321 CINCINNATI 49.5 49.5 370 NEVADA 66 64.5 468 CINCINNATI -2 -3 P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM ABC 371 LA MONROE 55 54.5 469 PITTSBURGH -9.5 -9 322 MICHIGAN -29 -34 P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 323 LOUISVILLE -6 -10 372 FLORIDA ST -35 -33 470 CLEVELAND 47.5 46.5 P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM ESPN 373 SOUTH CAROLINA 60.5 74.5 471 INDIANAPOLIS 47 42 324 NORTH CAROLINA 61.5 63.5 P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM ESPN2 P: 1:05PM C: 3:05PM E: 4:05PM 325 CHARLOTTE 56 54 374 MISSOURI -3 -2.5 472 LA RAMS 3 -3.5 P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM 375 NORTH TEXAS 64.5 64.5 473 SEATTLE 49 50.5 326 KANSAS ST -37 -36 P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM ESPN3 P: 1:25PM C: 3:25PM E: 4:25PM 327 IOWA -3 -2.5 376 SMU -14 -14 474 GREEN BAY -3 -3 P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM ESPN2 377 AUBURN 56 54 475 CAROLINA -3.5 -5.5 328 IOWA ST 50.5 48 P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM ESPN P: 1:25PM C: 3:25PM E: 4:25PM 329 WAKE FOREST 44 43.5 378 CLEMSON -6 -5 476 SAN FRANCISCO 48 48 P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 379 GEORGIA 51.5 55 477 NY GIANTS 49 48 330 BOSTON COLLEGE -3 -1 P: 4:30PM C: 6:30PM E: 7:30PM NBC P: 5:30PM C: 7:30PM E: 8:30PM NBC 331 NEW MEXICO ST 67 68 380 NOTRE DAME -6 -4.5 478 DALLAS -6.5 -3.5 P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM 381 MISSISSIPPI ST -8 -7 332 NEW MEXICO -10 -7.5 P: 4:30PM C: 6:30PM E: 7:30PM CBSC MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 11, 2017 333 RICE 62 -1.5 382 LOUISIANA TECH 67 67.5 479 NEW ORLEANS 47.5 48 P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM 383 OKLAHOMA 64 64.5 P: 4:10PM C: 6:10PM E: 7:10PM ESPN 334 UTEP 0 57 P: 4:30PM C: 6:30PM E: 7:30PM ABC 480 MINNESOTA -3.5 -3.5 335 TEXAS ST UNIV 55.5 54 384 OHIO ST -5.5 -7.5 481 LA CHARGERS 44 43.5 P: 11:00AM C: 1:00PM E: 2:00PM PAC12 385 MEMPHIS 64 68.5 P: 7:20PM C: 9:20PM E: 10:20PM ESPN 336 COLORADO -35 -36 P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM