3 May 2021 Marley Spoon AG (MMM) – Q1 Report Wayne Sanderson – Head of Research Revenue growth 81%; Subscriber growth 85%; Guidance upgraded
[email protected] +61 400 434 548 Recommendation Buy PT $3.86 Summary Marley Spoon AG (MMM) is a subscription-based weekly meal Risk Rating High kit provider founded in Germany in 2014. A meal kit is a box 12-mth Target Price (AUD) $3.86 (was $3.96) delivered directly to the customers’ home which includes the Share Price (AUD) $2.65 required ingredients to cook typically two or more meals along 12-mth Price Range $0.21 - $3.80 with step-by-step recipe instructions. Menus change weekly Forecast 12-mth Capital Growth 45.7% with 20-30 different choices per week. Forecast 12-mth Dividend Yield 0.0% MMM currently services customers in 8 countries across 3 12-mth Total Shareholder Return 45.7% three continents: Australia, USA and Europe (Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Germany, the Netherlands and Sweden). MMM has also launched a second brand – Dinnerly which targets more Market cap ($m) 678.5 (EUR 441.0m) cost-conscious consumers. Net debt (net cash) ($m)(Dec 20) (2.7) (EUR 1.8m) MMM launched in Germany in August 2014, the USA in April Enterprise Value ($m) 681.2 (EUR 442.8m) 2015 and Australia in June 2015. It listed on the ASX in 2018. Gearing (Net Debt/ Equity) 17% Record Q1 Revenue – Guidance raised Shares on Issue (m) 256.0 MMM delivered impressive growth in a record quarter: Options / est. Convertible bonds (m) 15.1 Sector Consumer Discretionary ● Revenue of EUR 77.4m up 81% on pcp with strong growth Average Daily Value Traded ($) $980,000 in all regions: Europe +108%, USA +82% (+98% constant ASX 300 Weight 0.2% currency), Australia +65% (+50% cc).