Volume 28, Issue 12 November 5-11, 2013 Marc’s NFL Game Of The Month Goes This Sunday! FREE WEEKEND OF LATE PHONE PICKS IS HERE! 94% AWESOME ANGLE INSIDE!

• ‘Betcha Didn’t Know’ Handicapping Article • Awesome Angle & Tremendous Trends • Incredible Stat of the Week • Analysis on Every Lined Game • Best Bets and Key Plays • Full Schedule with Opening Lines

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COPYRIGHT NOTICE - All materials in this newsletter are protected by United States copyright law and may not be reproduced, distributed, transmitted, rebroadcast, displayed, or otherwise published without the prior written permission of Playbook.com. You may not alter or remove any trademark, copyright or other notice, nor may you offer for sale or resale the material included herein. www.PLAYBOOK.com 1. 800. PLAYBOOK Marc Lawrence's BETCHA TIME IS DIDN'T ON MY SIDE KNOW A Weekly Insight Into The Art Of Sports Handicapping

“You’re searching for good times BLACK BOOK™, the twist in this is that the game with at least one blemish But just wait and see. the premise applies to ALL NFL teams (loss) on its record, these hungry dogs You’ll come running back that have yet to taste victory when with time on their side ratchet up to they are coming off a Bye Week. 19-4 ATS, while winning 11 of the You’ll come running back to me.” It’s an idea that works for two reasons. 23 games in straight-up fashion. Talk about getting off the schneid! he title of this treatise actually One: winless teams bring value from belongs to one of the rare songs the oddsmaker into each game, and Better yet, if the foe is not off a win T recorded by the Rolling Stones Two: rest does wonders for clubs that of 20 or more points in its last game, that was not penned by Mick Jagger are struggling. Our powerful database these timely dogs zoom to 18-2 ATS! and Keith Richards. confi rms both notions. This week fi nds the Jacksonville Jaguars with ‘time on their side’. When they performed ‘Time Is on For openers, winless dogs that are 0-4 My Side’ during their fi rst guest spot or worse on the season have gone So instead of abandoning these lost on The Ed Sullivan Show, Sullivan 181-137-10 ATS since 1980, a 57% puppies, “Now you always say, that was shocked by their appearance winning proposition on the blind. you want to be free. You’ll come and declared that they would never Secondly, winless dogs playing with running back. You’ll come running be invited onto the show again. But rest, at any stage of the season, bark back to me. Because time is on my rather than kicking them to the curb, as loud as the rest: side, yes it is…” he subsequently invited them back Note: unfortunately, our Late Phone several times. PLAY ON any NFL Football Service took it on the chops One of the Stones’ most popular winless dog with rest. last week and, as a result, anyone tunes, it was re-recorded in cover who joined us for our $99 Football versions by numerous other artists If you were to play all such teams Weekend of Winners will be entitled over the years, including the likes of: in this simple situation, you would to a free weekend of service this week. The Who, Del Shannon, INXS, Tina own a solid 35-25-1 ATS – or 58% - Simply use your same PIN number Turner and most recently, Tim Urban winning mark since 1980. to access this week’s plays on our Toll-Free platform. Special note: this on a broadcast of ‘American Idol’ this Better yet, bring these same guys week’s Late Phone Football Service spring. in as dogs of 6 or more points and plays will be released this THURSDAY For our purposes, it plays into one our suddenly you’re talking about a 71% (one day early) anytime after 5:00 PM favorite NFL handicapping theories, winning investment, as they improve ET. involving winless teams with rest. to 22-9 ATS in this spot (aka: a nice Similar to our ‘WAKE UP CALL’ article name for dogs of this breed). penned in the 2008 edition of the Incidentally, if the opponent enters

AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK DOUBLE PLAY AGAINST any BUBBLE TRIVIATRIVIA TEASERTEASER favorite of 20 or less points from Game Six out off two losses exact if BURST THIS WEEK'S AMAZING SITUATIONAL PLAY they were undefeated prior to the ATS W-L Record Beat me once, shame on you. Beat me twice, shame on me. losses – provided they won 9 or fewer The fact is this coach is very seldom shamed. He is terrifi c in revenge games last season and their fi rst loss Since 1992: games, going 47-23-3 ATS in his career, including 33-10-1 against .666 of the season was by 12 or less points. or greater opponents. Bring him in off a loss with revenge against these 15-1 quality foes and he is 7-0 ATS! Who in this week’s prideful coach? Play AGAINST: TEXAS TECH (94%) For the Trivia Teaser answer, turn to page 7. Be sure to check out the COACHES LEAGUE for ATS records on every View Marc’s Awesome Angle Of The Week College & NFL coach in 16 key situational roles. Simply log on to www. PLAYBOOK.com and click on the COACHES LEAGUE. at the PLAYBOOK.com website!

page 2 • www.PLAYBOOK.com • 1.800.PLAYBOOK FOR A COMPLETE 2-MINUTE HANDICAP OF EVERY GAME 2-MINUTE ON TODAY'S CARD, VISIT www.PLAYBOOK.com ATS = Against The Spread • A = Away • Con = Conference • D = Dog HANDICAP F = Favorite • H = Home • Rev = Revenge • R = Road • SU = Straight-Up College Football Games NFL Games All results are ATS – Against The Spread – and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains the exclusive private property of PLAYBOOK™ and PLAYBOOK.COM™ and may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher. TEAMS KEY FACTS, STATS & ATS TRENDS TEAMS KEY FACTS, STATS & ATS TRENDS Saturday, November 9 Thursday, November 7 Va Tech SERIES: 9-3 L12 / 5-1 away… 9-3 w/ conf revenge Washington 2-5 SUATS vs NFC North… 5-0 away w/ OU line 47 > pts MIAMI FLA 4-1 as conf HF’s < 13 pts… 3-1 aft Fla St… 1-4 bef Duke MINNESOTA 8-1 SU and 9-0 ATS off BB losses vs NFC East opp Byu 4-0 away off Weekday SU win… 2-6 away w/ rest Sunday, November 10 WISCONSIN 2-6 home vs opp w/ rest… 2-5 as non-conf HF’s 10 < pts Jacksonville Series: 4-1 L5… 5-0 away off DD ATS loss vs .500 > div opp Arizona St SERIES: 3-0 L3… 5-1 aft Wash St… 3-1 bef Oregon St TENNESSEE 5-0 vs opp w/ rest… 0-8 as div HF’s 6 > pts UTAH 8-2 home w/ rest… 1-3 as conf HD’s 10 < pts Philadelphia Series: 9-3 L12… 9-0 off SUATS win vs opp off SUATS loss Nebraska 0-3 as Big 10 dogs 13 < pts… 2-5 away vs conf revenge GREEN BAY 8-19-1 vs NFC East opp off SUATS win MICHIGAN SERIES: Fav 2-0… 1-16-1 w/ conf revenge… 1-4 Game Nine Buffalo 2-9 dogs off SU loss vs opp off ATS loss 14 > pts Notre Dame 4-1 Game Ten… 1-8 aft Navy… 1-3 away vs ACC PITTSBURGH Series: 7-1 L8… 1-9 as favs < 7 pts in 1st of BB HG’s PITTSBURGH SERIES: 3-1-1 L5… 4-1 Game Nine… 3-1 home off BB RG’s Oakland 1-5 as dogs 2 > pts vs opp w/ rest… 1-5 vs NFC East Miss St 6-2 in 2nd of BB RG’s… 0-4 as RD’s 15 > pts NY GIANTS 0-8-1 as favs in 1st of BB HG’s… 0-7 H after allow 10< pts TEXAS A&M 6-1 Game Ten home… 5-1 as conf favs 17 > pts St. Louis 8-0 vs .666 > opp off SU win… Fisher: 9-3 vs .600 > opp Ucla 3-0 Game Nine… 0-3 aft Colorado… 1-4 bef Weekday gm INDIANAPOLIS 11-2 off SUATS div road win… 8-2 as non-conf favs < 10 pts ARIZONA SERIES: Host 4-0… 5-1 aft Cal… 4-1 w/ conf revenge Seattle 4-0 as non-div RF’s > 6 pts vs < .500 opp Lsu SERIES: 3-0 L3… 4-0 w/ rest… 6-1 w/ conf revenge ATLANTA 8-1 as dogs off SU loss… 0-15 as dogs > 3 pts off BB RG’s ALABAMA 1-3 w/ rest… 1-3 vs opp w/ rest… 2-6 vs .750 > conf opp Cincinnati 6-0 as favs < 10 pts off SU fav loss… 0-6 as div RF’s BALTIMORE Series: 5-2-1 L8… 5-2-1 as div dogs 5 < pts Detroit 6-1 w/ rest vs > .500 opp… 0-7 vs opp w/ revenge SMART CHICAGO 5-1 after Monday game… 4-1 after Packers BOX Carolina Series: 4-0 L4… 0-6 as conf dogs 4 > pts in Games 9-12 S FRANCISCO 6-1 w/ rest… 1-8 home vs non-div opp off SUATS win PUTTIN’ ON THE STATS Houston 3-1 after Colts… 2-8-1 vs NFC West opp With Halloween now in the rear view mirror, it’s on to the best time of ARIZONA 3-1-1 vs AFC South… 1-10 off DD ATS win vs < .500 opp the College Football season – the month of November! That’s because Denver 10-2 w/ rest vs .500 opp… 7-2 as RF’s after score 35 > pts the combination of stats and angles combine to bring us the best SAN DIEGO Series: 1-3 L4H… 10-0 in div game w/ OU line 48 > pts winning edges of the year. Our ‘Puttin’ On The Stats’ theory is a dandy, and best of all it’s simple Dallas 4-1 as dogs vs NFC South… 0-5 O/U A w/ O/U line 49 > pts and it wins. What we are looking to do from this point of the season out NEW ORLEANS Series: 5-1 L6H… 14-5 SUATS off one loss-exact is to ‘Play On’ any team as a dog if they’ve won all – or all but one – of their games in total yards ITS (In The Stats) season-to-date. Conversely, Monday, November 11 we will look to ‘Play Against’ any favorite that has lost all – or all but Miami 1-8 as favs off SU dog win… 1-5 favs off Thursday game one – of their games in total yards ITS. TAMPA BAY Series: 4-0 L4… 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS Monday HD As we head toward Thanksgiving, here’s this year’s list from our sister publication – the PLAYBOOK MIDWEEK ALERT – of ‘Play On’ (as dog) WEEK TEN BYES: and ‘Play Against’ (as favorite) teams to fatten up on for the balance of the 2013 season: CLEVELAND, KANSAS CITY, PLAY ON DOGS: *Arizona State, *Baylor, *BYU, Cincinnati, East NEW ENGLAND, NEW YORK JETS Carolina, *Florida State, Georgia, Louisville, *Michigan State, Northern Illinois, Ohio State, Oklahoma, *Oregon, Virginia Tech and *Western Kentucky. PLAY AGAINST FAVORITES: Central Michigan, Connecticut, Eastern INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK Michigan, Florida International, Idaho, Kansas, *Miami Ohio, New Mexico State, Purdue, Southern Miss, Temple, UMass, USF, and UTEP. Michigan is 5-13 SU and 1-16-1 ATS Important: an *asterisk indicates the team is either 100% or 0% ITS this in its last eighteen games when looking season. Once a dog loses the stats a second time, or a favorite wins the to avenge a conference loss. stats for the second time during the season, they immediately come Be sure to read the INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK off the list. each week in the PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter! There you have it. Now pass the gravy and let the feast begin…

1.800.PLAYBOOK • www.PLAYBOOK.com • page 3 THIS WEEK IN FOOTBALL - NOVEMBER 5 -11 Remember: You Have A PLAYBOOK BEST BET Whenever Our Predicted Margin Of Victory Is 7 Or More Points In Favor Of Your Line Hokies Invade Miami, Bring Early End To Hurricane Season… Saints Cut Jerry’s Cowboys Down To Size In Bayou Blowout… Tuesday, November 5 know. Bowling Green’s Matt Johnson has completed 64% of his passes and has thrown for fi ve TDs and zero interceptions in his last four games Ohio U over BUFFALO by 3 – compared to Austin Boucher, a 48% passer who has thrown for more This isn’t easy for us. We’ve been telling you about resurgent Buffalo picks than scores this season. With the visitors having won and covered for weeks now and Jeff Quinn’s boys have not disappointed, romping two straight in the series on this fi eld, there’s really only one way to to FIVE consecutive wins and covers – with the smallest margin of look here. BeeGees stay alive in the MAC East race. victory coming by 20 points in a 41-21 beatdown of Kent State back on September 26. However, despite overpowering their last fi ve foes by Wednesday, November 6 27.8 PPG, we won’t fi nd ourselves running with the Bulls tonight in this battle for the top slot in the MAC East division. Why? To borrow a word BALL ST over C Michigan by 20 from the current UPS ad campaign… it’s all about logistics. In the last Staying in the MAC, 8-1 Ball State must win here to remain unbeaten 15 meetings between these two schools, Buffy has come favored just in conference play and keep the heat on current MAC West co-leader ONCE, and the Bulls lost that game outright to the Bobcats. And even Northern Illinois. The Gonads slug it out with the Huskies the following though Buffalo has managed to win four of the last 10 battles with Ohio Wednesday and should they emerge victorious over NIU, a home game on the scoreboard, all of those victories came in the role of underdog. against pitiful Miami Ohio will be the only hurdle standing in the way As for current form, the truth is the hosts have allowed more yards of a trip to the conference championship game for BSU. However, it’s than they’ve gained this season and eventually they’ll have to pay the the upcoming battle against the undefeated Huskies that makes us wary price. We think the bill comes due tonight: our sister publication, the here: the Ballers are just 1-4 ATS as a pick or favorite – and 0-3 ATS off MIDWEEK ALERT, points out that Ohio University has been winning back-to-back SU wins – the week before tangling with the sled dogs from the stats by an average of 144 YPG since October, an improvement of DeKalb. We can’t take advantage of that chink in the armor, not with a 91 YPG over its September numbers. No, it won’t be easy, not with UB CMU squad that’s 0-5 ATS as conference dogs in Game Nine and 0-3 SUATS running back Branden Oliver rushing for 125 YPG to take the heat off in the last three series meetings. Besides having to overcome a look- QB Jake Licata, but we seldom pass on a dog that shows up with the ahead to the NIU showdown, Ball State HC Pete Lembo must also devise better offense AND defense, particularly a critter with Ohio’s pedigree. a game plan for the Chippewas that will reveal nothing of importance We’ll side with the program that knows how to win – 42-20 SU the last to the Huskies’ coaches when viewed on fi lm. That in itself is enough to 4+ seasons – against a Buffalo squad that’s just now learning how. keep us out of this midweek MACer, despite the fact that regular season Wednesday night home chalk off back-to-back wins are an eye-popping Bowling Green over MIAMI OHIO by 28 11-1 ATS! Chips proved they’re down but not completely out when they While the aforementioned battle rages between the Bobcats and Bulls, ambushed Ohio U on the road a few weeks ago, 26-23, so tonight’s big 5-3 Bowling Green (3-1 in MAC play) travels to the southwest corner of line could easily prove troublesome. Reluctantly, we’ll pass for now. Ohio to keep its East division title hopes alive against the conference laughingstock, the 0-8 RedHawks. Once a foe to be reckoned with, Thursday, November 7 Miami Ohio now lies in shambles, showing little improvement after sacking head coach Don Treadwell a month ago. The hapless ‘Hawks 3 BEST BET are riding a 12-game losing streak, have lost fi ve straight conference games at Yager Stadium, and are being outgained by a whopping 249 BAYLOR over Oklahoma by 3 YPG in 2013. Ughhh! We quizzed our all-knowing database for some The fi rst of two magnifi cent matchups on this Thursday evening ammunition on Miami’s behalf and came up virtually empty: the hosts (Oregon versus Stanford kicks off at 9:00 ET), tonight’s Big 12 battle do own a 7-1 SUATS mark at home in Game Nine of the season, but is loaded with intrigue. For openers, this is a genuine ‘step-up’ game that’s the only bullet in their arsenal – and it’s probably a blank. No for a Baylor squad that has looked all but invincible while climbing problem with the role of road warriors for the BeeGees as they’re a to the No. 6 spot in the current BCS rankings. But while everyone perfect 5-0 SUATS since last season in MAC games played away from seems blinded by the Bears’ impressive 64 PPG offense – which more Doyt Perry Stadium. A simple QB comparison tells us all we need to than doubles the Sooners’ average output of 31 PPG this season – the fact is Buffalo and Kansas State are the only winning teams on this year’s list of victims (BU blasted Buffy but failed to bring home FREE WEEKEND LATE PHONE SERVICE TO ALL the bacon against KSU when the Bears were held to a season-low 35 PLAYBOOK FOOTBALL NEWSLETTER SUBSCRIBERS! points). The once-beaten Sooners (lost to Texas) are a competitive 8-2-1 ATS as regular season dogs with rest when playing off a SU This is the week all PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter subscribers win whereas rest turns to rust for Art Briles’ bunch, currently just are entitled to a FREE WEEK of Marc’s award-winning Preferred 2-7 ATS as home chalk following a bye week. Besides being a play- Picks Late Phone Football Service selections as a free no-charge on proposition in this week’s SMART BOX, Oklahoma is also a ‘LAY bonus. It’s our way of saying THANK YOU for your business! LADY LAY’ recommendation from Marc’s 2011 Black Book, which supports conference dogs that have been favored in their previous Simply call the PLAYBOOK Weekend Update Phone Line this seven games in a row. Big Game Bob chips in with a 3-1 ATS mark THURSDAY anytime after 5:00 PM ET (note special time) and as a dog of 7 or more points of late, while also bringing a 25-11 SU you’re in. It’s that simple. record into the fray against unbeaten foes – and just four of those 11 setbacks came by more than 10 points. Remember, the Bears upset Note: if you are a full season PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter the Sooners here in 2011 as 17-point DOGS with RG3, and laying this subscriber and do not have your Weekend Update Phone number kind of wood into a team that has been favored in each of its last call the Playbook offi ce to obtain the number at: 1.954.377.8000. 20 regular season games is simply a case of pushing the envelope The customer service department will pass along the Weekend too far. The Clincher: Baylor is 1-20 SU all-time against OU, Update Phone number only (not the Late Phone selections) at installed as a double-digit dog in 18 of those meetings, and that time. Thank you! losing SU and ATS in its two tries as chalk.

page 4 • www.PLAYBOOK.com • 1.800.PLAYBOOK LA-LAFAYETTE over Troy by 7 How about a little comic relief before the second of tonight’s heavyweight twin bill? The Sun Belt is always glad to oblige, though this matchup may prove to be somewhat better than advertised. The pressure seems to be mounting on the conference-leading Cajuns – how else can you explain Lafayette trailing national bottom feeder New Mexico State, 28-14, before rallying in the second half to win – as they bring a 6-game win streak into this battle. Head coach Mark Hudspeth had better have plenty of Gatorade on hand for his defense: the Trojans arrive having scored more than 30 points in eight of nine games this season, plus they’ve averaged a healthy 34 PPG in the last eight meetings with the boys from Cajun country. Those are numbers to remember since the hosts own a dismal 4-17-1 ATS record as chalk of 3 or more points in games where they allow more than 28 points. Tonight’s double-digit impost is considerably higher, and just bagging the outright win will be of far greater importance to Lafayette since a victory here sets up a potential winner-take-all showdown with state rival ULM for the league championship (winnable road games versus Georgia State and South Alabama are sandwiched around the duel with the Warhawks). The hosts last shared a piece of the Sun Belt title with ULM and Arkansas State back in 2005 and must stop a Troy team that’s covered three of the last four meetings with Lafayette at Cajun Field. With ULL now 0-3 ATS as chalk in Game Nine of the season, and the Trojans eager to clinch a postseason bowl berth win a win today, we three games ago, but the stop-unit has held four of its last fi ve foes to look for a hard-fought thriller to unfold in southern Louisiana. Take season-low yards. We could go on but our best advice is simply that the what you can get and hang on for the ride. Cards are not to be messed with at the moment, especially since they arrive with revenge from their only home loss of last year (as double- digit chalk) to UConn. We won’t challenge that with a team that’s going UUPSETPSET GAME OF THE WEEK UUPSETPSET through the motions after Pasqualoni was pink-slipped, certainly not one that’s failed to perform after a week off during the season (1-5 STANFORD over Oregon by 1 ATS last six). One-loss Louisville thinks it should be ranked considerably After Florida State leapfrogged Oregon into the No. 2 spot in the higher in the BCS than No. 20 and the Cardinals will go all out to prove BCS rankings following Saturday night’s demolition of previously their point here. Lay it if you play it. unbeaten Miami, the Ducks get a chance to strut their stuff before a national TV audience – and perhaps recapture the coveted poll Air Force over NEW MEXICO by 3 position. Oregon certainly brings plenty of good numbers into Wow, a week ago we had already tossed the Flyboys into a mass grave this fray, going 6-0 ATS of late when playing with Pac-12 revenge and were heaping dirt atop their corpses when they broke a 21-21 and 13-1 ATS away from Eugene when playing with a week’s rest. halftime tie against Army and went on to score a 42-28 victory over There’s also a mega-revenge motive involved as the Cardinal beat the Black Knights. Yes, the Falcons were fl ying high after snapping a the Ducks in overtime at Autzen Stadium last year and ruined 7-game losing skid against the infantry, prompting SS Christian Spears Oregon’s perfect 10-0 season (ultimately denying OU a shot at the to declare, “This is the best 2-7 has ever felt… it’s an awesome feeling.” BCS championship game). The problem for the webfeet is Marc’s Credit RB Anthony LaCoste – who actually played defensive back last ‘TAKE IT TO THE LIMIT’ angle from his 2013 Black Book which season – for leading by example: a career-high 263 rushing yards and commands that we ‘play against’ 5-0 or greater college road teams three touchdowns. The elusive LaCoste will continue his campaign to in the game following a week of rest. In contrast, Stanford (like take over as the team’s featured RB against a porous New Mexico rush Oklahoma in the Baylor game) is a ‘LAY LADY LAY’ go-with play defense that gets ripped for a disturbing 6.3 YPC. Still, Troy Calhoun’s from Marc’s 2011 Black Book. Best of all, though, is Cardinal head jet jockeys are riding a ridiculous 0-7 ATS losing streak in games after coach David Shaw’s ATS history in tonight’s role. He’s 4-0 ATS as an battling fellow military teams, plus they’ve lost their last seven games in underdog (2-0 SUATS if +9.5 or more), and an outstanding 12-3 a row when playing away from Colorado Springs. Meanwhile, following SU and 11-3-1 ATS versus an .800 or greater opponent – including their close-but-no-cigar loss to San Diego State last Saturday, 2-6 New 10-1-1 ATS if that foe allows 15 or more PPG on the season. Mexico is now in the unenviable position of having to run the table Whew! Yes, the ducklings may have covered four of the last fi ve to become bowl-eligible. That’s a tall order tonight as the Lobos are a in this series on the road but they’re just 1-2 SUATS here when dreadful 2-10 ATS in Weekday games. They’ve also lost the stats in their undefeated and 1-3 ATS in Weekday road trips. Oregon QB Marcus last three games – meaning they are ‘leaking oil’ – and we’re not about Mariota’s magical run will end against the most well-coached and to trust a team like that as chalk. Current troubles aside, Air Force has physical defense he’s faced all season. Another one bites the dust! absolutely mopped the fl oor with New Mexico in recent series history, The Clincher: Stan protects The Farm like a pack of junkyard going 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings, including 5-0 SU the dogs, going 33-3 SU the last six years, including 5-1 SU and last fi ve. Despite some not-so-attractive numbers in 2013, we’ll ride with 6-0 ATS as an underdog. the history dog in Albuquerque this evening.

Friday, November 8 Saturday, November 9 Louisville over CONNECTICUT by 31 Iowa over PURDUE by 16 Turns out that ditching HC Paul Pasqualoni just four games into the You can look at Iowa’s season in one of two ways: (1) the Hawkeyes season hasn’t really solved UConn’s myriad of problems. Following a are a 5-4 disappointment whose 2nd-half collapse against Wisconsin season-opening 33-18 loss to Towson that virtually sealed Pasqualoni’s last week (outscored 21-3 by the Badgers) is a microcosm of the team’s fate, the Huskies went 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS while losing by an average recent feeble efforts, or (2) Iowa is better than their record shows, of 14.3 PPG. Sans PP, the ‘new-look’ sled dogs have gone 0-3 SUATS having lost its four games to Northern Illinois, Michigan State, Ohio while getting spanked by 24.3 PPG! The hosts are in an awful spot here, State and Wisconsin – teams with a combined record of 32-3 SU and 22- too, as they’re currently 0-3 ATS when playing off a loss of 21 or more 7-3 ATS. As with all such scenarios, the truth probably lies somewhere points, scoring just 11 PPG in those contests. That won’t get it done in between. There’s no doubt, however, that the Boilermakers have against a Teddy Bridgewater-led offensive attack that’s put almost 40 become the dregs of the Big 10 in 2013. Purdue’s lone win in this season’s on the board every time out this season. We also expect Charlie Strong’s 1-7 disaster was a 6-point decision over FCS opponent Indiana State. defense to assert themselves against Connecticut’s pop-gun attack Even more disturbing is the fact that the Boilers’ only score in their tonight: the Cardinals may have had their feathers ruffl ed against UCF (continued on next page)

1.800.PLAYBOOK • www.PLAYBOOK.com • page 5 a win over the Bearcats today. We don’t see that happening but with 10 NOVEMBER the hosts just 3-13 ATS as chalk with rest off a SU win – and a double- revenger against Rutgers on deck (UC 0-3 SUATS at home before playing TO REMEMBER! the Knights) – we fully expect the Mustangs to ride back to Dallas with cash in hand. Saddle up! You get EVERY PLAY from Marc Lawrence’s award- winning Late Phone Football Service for the DUKE over NC State by 3 ENTIRE MONTH of November – including (1) his We have mixed feelings about backing the Pack here after their 4th- NFL Game of the Month (this weekend), (2) Famous quarter meltdown against North Carolina cost us a False Favorite 5★ Game of the Month and (3) his legendary 10★ Game Of The Month winner. But with the Dukies winning their last College Football Game of the Year – all for only four games in a row to qualify for a second straight bowl under HC $299. Or, if you choose, you can sign up for 10★ , the Blue Devils become automatic fade material in this NOVEMBER GUARANTEED for $399 (based on $100 matchup. Speaking of bowls, State’s recent 4-game losing streak puts per star rating, including the cost of the service, the Wolfpack in peril of snapping a 3-year bowl streak, a scenario that you must show a profi t or you’ll receive Late will occur if Dave Doeren’s reeling squad can’t win three of its fi nal four Phone Football Service from Marc thru the College Bowls). SPECIAL BONUS: Add Marc’s Late Phone games. They take the fi rst step here in a series that has seen them abuse Basketball Service throughout November for only Duke on a regular basis. NC State has cashed in fi ve of the last six trips $100 extra! Get all your football and basketball to Wallace Wade Stadium, plus the visitors are an intimidating 14-2 SU winners for the entire month of November for in the last 16 meetings. During that span, they’ve been a dog to the less than the cost of one 3★ winner alone! All Devils just twice, and the Pack won and covered both contests. Several major credit cards accepted for instant service! of Duke’s wins this season have been far from impressive – they were outgained in the 13-10 win at Virginia Tech by an incredible 189 yards – 1.800.321.7777 and the team’s feeble 2-5 SU and 1-5-1 ATS record of late as conference chalk is a huge concern. We’ll pin our hopes on Doeren’s 5-1 ATS career log as a dog of 14 or fewer points as the Wolfpack catches Duke still fat and sassy of its upset of the Hokies. Closer than you think. last three games came on a 55-yard TD pass with 39 seconds remaining against Nebraska’s practice squad three weeks ago! Head coach Darrell ‘I E CAROLINA over Tulsa by 12 wish I was back at Kent State’ Hazell probably doesn’t want to hear that It’s been a season to forget for Tulsa as the Hurricane blew into late his team owns a 1-7 ATS failure at home when playing off a shutout loss, August on an 11-3 bowl-winning run and have since been downgraded or that the squad has lost the cash six straight times after playing Ohio to a little more than an annoying breeze. Like several others already State. But even with Purdue lost in a downward spiral, we’re not anxious mentioned, Bill Blankenship’s squad cannot lose another game if they to lay this kind of wood with a team that hasn’t topped 24 points in any want to go bowling in 2013. “Not gonna happen,” as President George of its last fi ve games – not when that team has won just a single game H. Bush once stated, not against a Pirate crew that’s won and covered by more than this number (16 points) all season. The bottom line is this three straight in this series. Our concern in laying the big wood with the game has p-a-s-s written all over it… so we’ll do just that. Bucs, though, is Tulsa’s huge shift from favorite to dog. East Carolina has been favored just ONCE in 10 games all-time in this series (0-1 ATS) – W Kentucky over ARMY by 3 and today they are laying more than two touchdowns in a Homecoming Looks like we may have jumped on the Bobby Petrino bandwagon a year game! Meanwhile, the Hurricane is taking 16 points here after having early. After singing his praises a few weeks ago – not an easy thing to been favored in each of the last fi ve contests. Ol’ Reliable adds further do considering BP’s morals and off-the-fi eld antics – Western Kentucky support for fading ECU with this gem: double-digit dogs are 67-46-2 promptly went south, losing two of its last three games SU while failing ATS if they were favored in their last fi ve games. Even so, we offer this to get the cash in all three. Despite their recent lapse, the Hilltoppers can opinion less as an endorsement for Tulsa and more as a play-against still make it to a bowl by winning one of their fi nal three games. This versus East Carolina. We’re not getting involved with either side but looks like their best shot, especially after Army was strafed into surrender if you can’t leave the game alone, we suggest a small play on the dog. last week by an Air Force squad that had lost seven straight outings! The Cadets are faced with staying home for the holidays a third consecutive INDIANA over Illinois by 8 year if they don’t win here, then sweep their fi nal two against Ahh, at last… a Battle Royal between two teams whose expectations and Navy. We don’t see it happening but ringing the register in today’s have been rudely squashed this year. The Hoosiers opened 3-2 with matchup is not out of the question considering Army stands 3-1 SUATS impressive home wins over Bowling Green and Penn State before all-time versus the Sun Belt. The big concern here is a WKU rush defense disintegrating like a proton fi red down the tunnel of the Large Hadron that’s coughed up 180 or more yards on four occasions facing off with a Collider. Not to be outdone, Illinois started 3-1 with a 45-17 signature Black Knights’ ground game that averages a whopping 337 YPG. Throw win over Cincinnati before losing four straight games to join Indiana in the Hilltoppers’ weak 1-6 ATS mark as a favorite of 7 or more points in the ranks of desperate 3-5 college teams struggling to reach .500 by and we have little choice but to go on the take at Michie Stadium today. season’s end. Not only have the fast-fading Hoosiers gone 0-3 SUATS In their last home game of the season, look for Army to take Petrino on since rolling over the Nittany Lions, they’ve also lost the stats in the last quite a ride before fi nally giving up the ghost. three games, making them a ‘leaking oil’ favorite – which is never hard to do with a team sporting a 500-yard defense. But even if the hosts CINCINNATI over Smu by 4 emerge victorious today, they’ll still need to beat either Wisconsin or Considering the schizophrenic nature of Cincinnati’s efforts this season, Ohio State on the road to go bowling for the fi rst time under HC Kevin it’s almost shocking to realize that the Bearcats are 6-2 SU in 2013. But Wilson (we’re penciling in the ‘W’ in IU’s season-ender versus pitiful one look at their list of victims – Purdue, Northwestern State, Miami Purdue). Like a computer geek with a face full of zits and coke-bottle Ohio, Temple, Connecticut and Memphis – tells us new coach Tommy glasses who’s looking to bed a Victoria’s Secret supermodel, it just ain’t Tuberville is not getting the most out of a team that fi nished 20-6 SU gonna happen! The Illini are also on a fast track to failure, going 0-4 in the two years prior to his arrival. Tubs has also enjoyed the luxury of SU and ITS the last four games – the worst of which was a gut-busting going against foes whose head coaches have little experience in that overtime loss to Penn State last Saturday. It’s going to be hard for Tim role: of his seven lined opponents, three are led by 1st-year coaches Beckman to get his team off the mat for today’s game, especially when and two by 2nd-year coaches (the only two head coaches with a track Illinois has gone 0-4 SUATS of late after playing PSU. Still, we like their record to speak of, Paul Pasqualoni and Don Treadwell, were fi red in chances to grab the green against a clueless Indiana defense that gave mid-season). This won’t be the case against SMU as is in his up a ridiculous 42 points at home last week in a loss to Minnesota! In sixth year at the helm following a lengthy stay at Hawaii. Jones seems today’s ‘lesser-of-two-evils’ Game of the Week, the points are the play. to get the most out of his teams after a bye week. The Mustangs are 5-1 ATS in their last six tries after extra zzzzz’s, plus Jones himself is 13-7 SU and 14-6 in his last 20 games with rest, including 6-0 ATS the last six NOTE: Home team is shown in ALL CAPS. PLAYBOOK versus a foe off a win. And despite its mediocre 3-4 SU mark in 2013, selection is Underlined and Bold. Should we pass or not have a strong opinion on a game, neither team will be bolded. the Ponies can vault past the Bearcats into 3rd place in the AAC with

page 6 • www.PLAYBOOK.com • 1.800.PLAYBOOK Tcu over IOWA ST by 7 Where hast thou gone, TCU? The team that lost just 3 games the three seasons before joining the Big 12 is stuck on that same number in 2013, going 3-6 SU as Gary Patterson’s team continues its inexorable – and puzzling – journey into the college football septic tank. No, these are not the Frog legs we used to order without fail in the past: TCU has gone 1-4 SUATS in its last fi ve games, the last a humbling home OT loss to lightweight West Virginia. Thankfully for Frog fans, they now get to face a team even more wretched than themselves, an Iowa State bunch whose only win this season came against terrible Tulsa. Simply put, the Cyclones have completely fallen apart following a controversial 1-point home loss to Texas fi ve weeks ago. The once- dependable defense has disappeared, allowing 71, 58 and 41 points in its last three outings. Making matters worse for Paul Rhoads’ team, top RB Aaron Wimberly missed last week’s 41-7 loss at Kansas State and may not be back today. The Horned Ones have been like money in the bank in Game Ten of the season, going 12-3 SU and 13-2 ATS the last 15 years, plus they’ve cashed in three of the last four series meetings with ISU. Unfortunately, current form dictates that they cannot be trusted laying points to ANYONE right now. That’s our story and we’re sticking to it. If you wish to get involved with this tragedy, you’ll have to pick you own poision. Florida St over WAKE FOREST by 28 5 BEST BET If football fans weren’t completely impressed with the Seminoles after the dismantling of Clemson three weeks ago, they certainly are now Virginia Tech over MIAMI FLA by 10 after the Noles torched the Hurricanes without their best effort. The Frank Beamer was like money in the bank when playing the win pushed Florida State into the No. 2 spot in the BCS rankings, but Hurricanes during the Larry Coker/ years, going whether they stay there will rely on the performances of other teams, 8-1 ATS, but Al Golden has covered two straight against the starting with this week’s Stanford-Oregon and Bama-LSU games. The Beamster since taking over at Miami in 2011. However, if the Noles pressure remains on Jimbo Fisher to keep the pedal to the metal against didn’t expose every Miami weakness in that ‘Bubble Bursting’ loss the relative lightweights in their remaining schedule (Noles will play on Saturday night, the Canes have certainly been diminished by Syracuse, Idaho, and a way-down Florida team after Wake), but we see the loss of star RB Duke Johnson to a broken ankle. The Hokies a natural letdown likely to occur here. After all, FSU is 0-5 ATS as road have plenty of weaknesses themselves, most recently at QB as chalk of 15 or more points and Fisher is 0-7 ATS on the road in his last Logan Thomas has tossed 6 interceptions en route to back-to-back seven meetings against an opponent coming off a loss. Meanwhile, the losses against Duke and BC, bringing a 6-game winning streak Demon Deacons are 5-1 ATS against undefeated conference foes from Week Six out, not to mention 8-1 ATS in the fi rst of back-to-back home to an abrupt halt. Still, this becomes an extremely important games. Unfortunately for Wake HC Jim Grobe, the Deacs have lost their game for Tech, as an upset would put them in the driver’s seat biggest playmaker, WR Michael Campanaro, to a broken collarbone for the ACC championship game, equaling Miami at 4-2 in the – meaning QB Tanner Price will have to look elsewhere for 3rd-down conference while owning the tie-breaker against both the Canes targets to help keep the score close. But while ‘Famous Jameis’ may feel and Georgia Tech. Also, the Gobblers fall squarely into the ‘right at home’ in Winston-Salem, we feel that laying 5 TDs against a SMART BOX this week, a good thing for November considering scrappy Wake Forest team on the road is asking a bit much. Take it or they have outstatted all but one of their opponents this season. leave it. This looks promising for Beamer as Miami has now allowed over 500 yards in consecutive weeks. Our well-oiled machine adds its MARSHALL over Uab by 27 two cents: ACC conference favorites are just 3-9 ATS after facing The Blazers put up a gritty effort as home dogs last weekend against Jimbo Fisher’s Seminoles, including 0-5 ATS when facing a .400 or Middle Tennessee, jumping out to a 7-point halftime lead before falling greater opponent. And if you need more convincing, here’s The behind by 8 points in the fourth quarter. Then, with the game on the Clincher: Beamer is also the answer to this week’s TRIVIA line, they tied the score with less than 2 minutes left – only to give up an TEASER on page 2. ensuing 75-yard drive which resulted in a short Blue Raider FG for the win. Unfortunately for UAB’s Garrick McGee, his team looks seriously Penn St over MINNESOTA by 6 outclassed this week against a Marshall squad that has rolled up nearly The Nittany Lions have come up with a couple of big-play offensive 1,100 yards in the past two games en route to 112 points. QB Rakeem stars to go along with freshman QB Christian Hackenberg. Wide Cato threw for 4 TDs in the 1st quarter alone to put the game away receiver Allen Robinson is starting to remind us of O.J. McDuffi e early against Southern Miss and the Herd was particularly impressive (averaging 10 catches for 150 yards in his last four games) while RB on the ground, averaging 11.3 yards per carry. A win here will send Bill Belton carried the rock for over 200 yards against Illinois – the fi rst Doc Holliday’s team back to a bowl after last year’s 5-7 disappointment, Penn State player to do that since Larry Johnson in 2002. Meanwhile, and with a Black Friday battle for C-USA East supremacy brewing on the Gophers have met every challenge, scoring SU victories in their Thanksgiving weekend against East Carolina, the Herd will need to keep dishing out the offensive Thunder until then. last three games as more-than-a-TD underdogs, despite the fact that HC Jerry Kill has been forced to avoid the sidelines on game day due to epileptic seizures. But make no mistake, Kill is the architect of this impressive 7-2 season, led by a QB rotation of Phillip Nelson and Mitch Leidner, and emerging RB David Cobb, who has rushed for over 100 Never Pay For A yards in three straight games. As normally is the case, the oddsmakers have fi nally caught up to the situation, and the Gophers will fi nd themselves as small favorites this week. According to our all-knowing Losing Pick Again. database, that’s a no-no as teams in this role are just 8-21 ATS since 1980 laying points off three SU underdog wins, including 5-21 ATS when playing off a win of less than 30 points. Finally, Penn State is 4-1 ATS in the last fi ve games of this series, and you can expect Bill perts O’Brien to have his troops ready for battle coming off the emotional PB OT victory against the Fighting Illini. X www.playbook.com (continued on next page) 1.800.PLAYBOOK • www.PLAYBOOK.com • page 7 FLORIDA over Vanderbilt by 6 The Gators are in danger of suffering their fi rst losing campaign in 34 Marc ’s $99 FOOTBALL years, way back when Charley Pell’s debut season ended at 0-10-1. It’s the second-longest streak in the nation (only Florida State owns a longer WEEKEND OF WINNERS! streak of 37 straight winning seasons) and because of that lengthy You get all of Marc’s College and NFL history, Gator Nation is calling for the head of Will Muschamp. At 4-4 Late Phone Football Service releases and four games remaining, Florida should still make a bowl game at this weekend – including his NFL 6-6, but who knows after that? As for this contest, we like the numbers GAME OF THE MONTH – ALL FOR JUST that point to the Commodores. The visitor has covered fi ve straight in $99 COMPLETE! FREE BONUS: Marc’s this series while Vandy is 8-1 ATS as a conference road dog of 13 or less Weekend Late Phone Basketball points. The Commies are also 8-3 ATS with conference revenge, and Plays! Log on at www.PLAYBOOK.com overall there are too many good numbers to overlook a Vandy squad or call for friendly customer service. that is also looking to win two games to gain a bowl invitation. We All major credit cards accepted! believe that some understanding regarding Florida’s injury situation will be present among the school’s administration – if not the fan base – so Muschamp should survive this diffi cult season. But be aware of the 1.800.321.7777 following: this is the lowest number the Gators have laid at home in this series since 1980. With the pressure squarely on the reptiles, we’ll take FREE BONUS: LATE PHONE SERVICE BASKETBALL PLAYS! rather than lay here today. W Michigan over E MICHIGAN by 5 It’s always a risky proposition to choose between a pair of 1-8 teams MARYLAND over Syracuse by 3 and after examining the numbers, we think some caution is warranted Look no further than the Florida-Georgia game in Jacksonville last here. The visiting team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings between these Saturday to get a close-up look at two teams absolutely decimated by cross-state rivals, and while the Eagles have outgained the Chips by season-ending injuries to key players. Not every team has a freshman 36 YPG, Western Michigan holds the defensive advantage by 93 yards phenom like Maty Mauk of Missouri to step in for a devastating loss per contest. WMU gave P.J. Fleck his fi rst win before the bye week, a like that of starting QB James Franklin. The Terps started 4-0 but, like dramatic 1-point victory over UMass in which the Minutemen failed on Clemson and Miami, have seen their season derailed by running into a 2-point conversion with 22 seconds left, so we look for the double- Florida State. And now, the loss of star WRs Deon Long and Stefon revenging Broncos to play with passion this week. Meanwhile, Eastern’s Diggs (plus the less-severe injuries to QB C.J. Brown and RB Brandon only win came back in August against Howard – not Schnellenberger Ross), means the Terps are headed to a lesser bowl to take on one of but Howard University – and that is certainly no reason to brag. Here’s the C-USA also-rans. They have outgained only one of their last four the stat we like the most: the last seven teams to start the season 0-8 opponents while also dropping three of the four contests SUATS, and and then pick up their fi rst win, went 6-1 ATS the game thereafter. we’re fi nding it hard to believe that they can still be favored here. The And here’s something that should make the folks in Ypsilanti cringe: Cuse is coming off a shutout of the same Wake Forest team that beat the Eagles have given up 50 or more points in fi ve games this year Maryland, 34-10, two weeks ago – does that set off some red fl ags? (including 55 last week to Toledo) and were outgained 729-309 by the Maryland may have a couple of players back this week, but we’re Rockets. They are now ranked 121st in the country in total defense staying far, far away from the Turtles. The Orange get their turn to (ahead of only Cal and New Mexico State), allowing 523 YPG. Heck, we travel to Tallahassee and get spanked next week, so a win is mandatory think Michigan State could do better if they used only 9 players! We just here if they want to go bowling. can’t trust Ron English’s Eagles in this spot. Missouri over KENTUCKY by 16 UTSA over Tulane by 8 To those Wildcat fans that expected Mark Stoops to turn the program There are more than a few interesting games on tap this week... around, we’ll say it again: give him time. But this weekend features unfortunately, this ain’t one of ‘em. The feeling here is the upstart Wave a whole new group of freshmen on the UK basketball court (SIX may have hit the wall after clinching bowl eligibility with their 6th win, McDonald’s All-Americans!) set to start the season ranked No. 1, so we’re as they have been outgained in each of their last four games. After three not feeling sorry for you. Despite Kentucky’s 48-14 win over Alabama narrow victories, Tulane dropped a stinker last week against Florida State last week, all the numbers seem to favor Missouri: the Tigers are Atlantic, as the Owls ended four straight possessions with interceptions 8-1 ATS when heading out on the road following three or more home (3 by starter Nick Montana) and broke open a close game with 17 games, and they’re 7-1 ATS away versus conference opponents with a unanswered points in the 4th quarter. Meanwhile the Roadrunners win percentage of .250 or less. Kentucky answers with a dreadful 0-7 ATS need wins in two of their fi nal three games to become bowl eligible mark off the rare SU home win, a 1-9 ATS effort as a double-digit home (here, at North Texas and back home against Louisiana Tech), familiar dog, and a 1-7 ATS record in the second of back-to-back home tilts. Still, ground for HC Larry Coker, who won a national championship in his with the way our luck has been running, THIS will be the week that Maty fi rst season at the helm in Miami, and took the Canes to a bowl game Mauk wakes up and plays like a real freshman! Translation: we’ll pass on in each of his six seasons there. UTSA has outgained its opponents in this one. With the Cats as clawless as they have been this year, the only fi ve of the last six games, and will be looking to bag its 3rd consecutive ticket with Kentucky’s name on it for us will be the one that says CBB. victory. We think they’ll get it… but the cover is a whole ‘nother story. N CAROLINA over Virginia by 18 Fresno St over WYOMING by 4 Credit Larry Fedora with the perseverance to turn around a season Meaningful game with BCS implications for the undefeated Bulldogs: that was going nowhere at 1-5. Two victories later and with a very soft they must keep winning due to their ‘outsider’ status as a member of a schedule ahead (Heels close the season at home against Old Dominion non-automatic qualifi er conference. If the season ended today, Fresno and Duke), UNC is suddenly in position for a post-Christmas dance at the would be in as the 16th-ranked team in the BCS standings, but any Belk Bowl in nearby Charlotte. So, the pressure is on this week against slip-ups along the way will be devastating. This is a tricky spot for Tim Virginia, and after the Tar Heels derailed our False Favorite Game of the DeRuyter’s team as the Cowboys are coming off a bye week and Wyoming Month last week with a 4th quarter TD to cover against arch-rival N.C. QB Brett Smith is every bit the equal of Bulldog QB Derek Carr. Dave State, we’re not going to fade them for a second straight time. North Carolina has an NFL-quality tight end in Eric Ebron and if QB Bryn Renner stays healthy, Fedora’s squad could run the table and fi nish at 7-5. On the other side, HC Mike London is a dead man walking with six straight OFF SHORE GAMING ASSOCIATION defeats and he’s headed for a fourth straight season under .500 against Providing Security & Integrity Since 1998. the spread. Sophomore QB David Watford has done a decent job under FIND OUT MORE TODAY! center and RB Kevin Parks has scored 10 TDs as a junior (no other player has more than three). Both will be back next season… which is probably www.OSGA.com more than we can say for London. Steer clear of this one.

page 8 • www.PLAYBOOK.com • 1.800.PLAYBOOK Christensen’s squad is just 4-4 with the nation’s 108th-ranked defense, but the Cowboys head coach is also 16-6 ATS in revenge situations. It’s fair to expect a shootout with two of the country’s most explosive QBs in action, and we won’t pass up double-digits with a team like Wyoming that can match anyone score-for-score. How ‘bout them Cowboys! 4 BEST BET Kansas St over TEXAS TECH by 8 Despite the disparity of the W-L records, this is a very even matchup. The Red Raiders have dropped back-to-back games after a 7-0 start and their wobbly defense has allowed foes season high – or 2nd high – yards in their last three games. Tech is also 0-3-1 ATS as favorites in the fi rst of back-to-back home games and 2-6 ATS as conference home chalk of 7 or less points. On the fl ip side, wily veteran Bill Snyder now rivals Steve Spurrier with a spread record of 106-64-1 in conference games, including 26-9 as a pick or dog of 7 or less points. Snyder’s Wildcats currently stand 6-1 ATS as conference road dogs of 7 points or less while also sporting a 9-1 ATS mark in road tilts following back-to-back home games. In addition, KSU is starting to hit on all defensive cylinders now, having held its last four foes to season low – or 2nd low – yardage marks. With Marc’s ‘ONLY THE GOOD DIE YOUNG’ angle from the 2009 Black Book who missed two games earlier this year with an injury but still has nearly also at work here, it makes Grandpa’s work that much easier. The 2,000 yards passing and has run for 528 more. Here’s an interesting stat Clincher: The Red Raiders are in a ‘Double Bubble Burst’ role for you: senior WR Brandon Wimberly has caught a pass in every game and 94% angles defi nitely tend to pique our interest. See of his college career, a nation-long streak that will reach 50 games with this week’s AWESOME ANGLE on page 2 for details. a reception against the Rams. Colorado State has dominated this series over the years, winning nine straight times at one point, but lost the WISCONSIN over Byu by 11 last meeting, 51-6 to the Wolfpack in 2010. We like the Rams’ chances The biggest edge here for Wisconsin lies in HC Gary Andersens’s to get back on the winning track here, and enhance their opportunity familiarity with the Cougars from his days at Utah State where he for bowl eligibility while evening their record at 5-5. Now that we’ve covered the number in his last four meetings with BYU. Andersen is ‘alerted’ you, look for the Rams to run roughshod over the Pack. also an outrageous 17-3-1 ATS versus non-conference opposition, including 8-0 ATS against an opponent off a win, 8-0 ATS if his win WASHINGTON over Colorado by 31 percentage is .750 or greater, and 7-0 ATS if his foe is .700 or above. The Buffaloes won their two early September non-conference games, Wow! The Cougars, on the other hand, have won eight straight against but since the Pac-12 schedule got underway, the season appears to the number as dogs of 10 or less points, but are just 2-6 ATS away with have taken a dive into the Grand Canyon, as Colorado has lost all fi ve rest. The visitors have also dropped two in a row and failed to cover off conference matchups by at least 22 points. As to the current state of back-to-back wins versus Big Ten opposition. Brigham Young (6-2) has the CU program, this stat from the database is even more revealing: the already accepted a bid to play in the Fight Hunger Bowl in San Francisco Buffs are just 2-18 SU and 5-15 ATS from Game Five out versus FBS foes while the Badgers (also 6-2) have virtually no shot at a Big Ten title, but the last three years. It certainly makes Colorado fans long for the Gary are very much alive for a BCS at-large bid that could put them in the Barnett days, or at least drive them to roll up a fatty to help forget. Sugar Bowl or the Orange Bowl. First things fi rst, however, and that Along those lines (no pun intended), and with conversation about Carl starts with a victory at home versus the Mormons. Lay it if you play it. Pelini still a hot topic here in South Florida, it begs the question: Does a coach get fi red if he smokes pot in a state where marijuana is legal? MISSISSIPPI over Arkansas by 13 Hey, we probe the deep questions here at Playbook! For the Huskies, a Things can be pretty rough on a new head coach during his fi rst year in a promising start also ran into a brick wall once the Pac-12 powerhouses new program, but we’re quite sure that Bret Bielema never expected the arrived on the scene, but the fact remains that a bowl bid is in the offi ng situation that he has settled into at Arkansas, and we can only suspect with one more win. After three straight 7-6 campaigns, this could very that he must be asking himself, “Why in the hell did I leave Madison?” well be identifi ed as a step up for , now in his 5th season Well, when you live in Florida like we do, the answer seems obvious, in Seattle. A Friday night trip to Pasadena to take on archrival UCLA is although Fayetteville seems to be sort of a questionable location. on deck, but we think Sarkisian will have his Huskies focused on ripping Maybe he wanted the challenge and prestige of the SEC conference… a thoroughly outclassed Colorado team that they’ve defeated 52-24 and who knows? After starting the season with three pattycakes, Bielema 38-3 the past two years. And we’re not just blowing smoke, either. has now lost six in a row, and only next week’s game against Mississippi State presents his best opportunity to notch a fourth victory and match Texas over WEST VIRGINIA by 4 last year’s mark of 4-8 under John L. Smith. While a win looks like a After that miserable 1-2 start, Mack Brown has stepped back from the diffi cult proposition this week against a talented Ole Miss squad, a abyss and put together a 5-game winning streak, shifting the focus of cover seems like a possibility, especially with the Razorbacks’ status as a Longhorn Nation from a search for Brown’s replacement to looking for ‘Mission Dog’ seeking revenge, a solid money-making play from Marc’s a stand-in for AD DeLoss Dodds. The Horns are now atop the Big 12 with 2010 Black Book. Not our favorite play on the card this week by any a 5-0 conference mark and will be anxious to avenge a 48-45 home loss means, as Hugh Freeze is 5-0 SUATS at home versus a foe off back-to- as 7-point chalk to the Mountaineers last year. This is also the last of four back losses. But if you put a gun to our heads, we would opt to make revenge games on the UT itinerary this season, having gone 3-0 SUATS the tough call on the avenging ‘Mission Pigs’. Sooie! in the previous three. The problem is that WVU is coming off a previous home loss and the Mounties are 45-10 SU in Morgantown since 2005, COLORADO ST over Nevada by 14 with only three losses by more than 5 points. The Stump Jumpers are also Our sister publication, the MIDWEEK ALERT, reports that the Rams 12-1-1 ATS in Game Ten of the season off a win, and more importantly, are home again this week off a 12-point loss against Boise State where 16-4 ATS in their last 20 contests as conference dogs. The bottom line CSU drowned the Broncos in the stats, winning 626-437. This game sets is there are just too many good numbers to ignore, especially with the up nicely for Jim McElwain’s improved rushing offense (187.2 YPG on Billies needing two wins in their fi nal three games to salvage a bowl bid. the ground), which has pounded out over 220 yards in their last three Texas is still without QB David Ash, and junior LB Jordan Hicks was lost for contests. Contrast that with the soft rushing defense of the Wolfpack the season in the K-State game with a ruptured Achilles tendon (he was (allowing nearly 258 YPG, ranked 3rd-to-last in the nation), and leading the Longhorns in tackles at that time). Meanwhile, WVU’s leading sophomore Kapri Bibbs should be in for a big day. Nevada will be trying rusher Charles Sims had his best game of the season last week against TCU to snap a 4-game losing skid and they’re led by junior QB Cody Fajardo, (24 rushes for 154 yards). Load up that rifl e and get yourself a steer!

1.800.PLAYBOOK • www.PLAYBOOK.com • page 9 the Irish fi nally out-stubborned the Swabbies, halting an end-around by Special $99 End-Of-Season Navy’s Shawn Lynch on fourth-and-4 in Irish territory with only a minute Discount Rate Now In Effect! left to play. Now it’s up to head coach Ken Niumatalolo to revive the Midshipmen for a fi nal run at postseason play, a task made easier by today’s reeling opponent. The 0-8 Rainbow Warriors are a long way from Marc Lawrence’s home – 4859 miles to be exact – so they can add ‘jet lag’ to their list of concerns along with an 0-6 ATS failure in the second of back-to-back PERFECT SYSTEM CLUB! road games. However, there is another bright spot for Hawaii besides HC Chow’s 4-1 ATS mark in non-conference games: the kids from the An online internet service that provides pineapple patch arrive as a ‘LEAN ON ME’ play – a 17-returning starter weekly College Football and NFL Football dog off a pair of ATS losses from Marc’s Best of the Black Book. They Super Systems in 100% PERFECT WINNING also catch Navy in one of its least profi table situations today. Besides ROLES outlining the parameter, the logic being 4-8 ATS after skirmishing with the Irish, the Middies are an awful supporting the system and the qualifying 2-10 ATS in their last dozen tries as chalk, including 0-4 ATS as favorites teams each week throughout the regular of 14 or more points. Still a tough call as Navy’s 1-3 SU slide of late has season. The PERFECT SYSTEM CLUB has produced a 3-1 ATS effort, plus the Middies have won and covered both had only one losing season since its lined home games so far. With problems plaguing both teams, we’ll take inception 10 years ago! For details, call the a step back and suggest the slightest of plays on the dog. PLAYBOOK Customer Service Department NORTH TEXAS over Utep by 24 toll free at 1.800.752.9266 or log on to our A new Texas legend could be in the making at Denton. In a rare prime- website today. Don’t miss out! time TV appearance on Halloween night last Thursday, North Texas took care of new C-USA foe (and in-state adversary) Rice by a 28-16 score, www.PLAYBOOK.com the Mean Green’s fourth straight win and cover. But the centerpiece of UNT’s bowl-qualifying 6th win of the season was a goal-line stand that left network announcers speechless: the unyielding North Texas Arizona St over UTAH by 1 defense held the Owls on eight straight tries starting from the 1-yard The Sun Devils have blasted the Utes the past two years and while ASU line, including TWO attempts on 4th down (kudos to Zach Orr, one of QB is having another great season (2511 yards and 23 TDs the hardest-hitting LBs we’ve seen all year). As a result of that win, the vs. just 8 interceptions), we fi nd this to be a precarious spot for Todd Mean Green remain one of the hottest teams in the land – and currently Graham’s team with revenge games on deck against Oregon State and in a 3-way tie atop the C-USA West division. North Texas has also invested UCLA. The Devils are also just 3-14 ATS in the second of back-to-back more work in making its home fi eld a true advantage, improving on a road games and 1-5 ATS coming off a weekday game. Revenge will be 7-4 SU home mark in HC Dan McCarney’s fi rst two seasons by posting a on the minds of the Utes, who will be looking for payback after last perfect 4-0 SUATS record so far in 2013. Perfection has been absent from year’s embarrassing 37-7 beating in Tempe, and Utah still has a possible UTEP’s vocabulary this season; the 1-7 Miners are on a horrendous 0-6 bowl berth in sight (after missing out last year). With tilts against SU, ATS and ITS slide, and we know not to involve ourselves with teams Washington State and Colorado set to close out the regular season that don’t uphold the holy trinity. Considering UTEP’s 1-10 ATS failure following a trip to Eugene, we won’t call this a must-win situation, but in Game Nine conference clashes, we would seriously consider going an upset certainly would make things a lot simpler. Watch this line as Green were it not for the fact that today’s spread represents the biggest the number could possibly trend downwards, but Utah is 12-4-1 ATS North Texas has laid in our database. Maybe the smart thing to do is as home dogs of 7 or more points, and Kyle Whittingham’s teams have wait until the Mean Green entertain a more competitive UTSA team the been known to play the spoiler role in Salt Lake City from time to time. following week – when the price won’t be so heavy. With zero interest Also, don’t forget that Dennis Erickson joined the coaching staff for in the Miners (word is the ‘Bring Back Mike Price’ campaign is growing Utah this season and knows a little something about attacking the Sun daily) and an itchy trigger fi nger, we’d better pass. Devil defense, as he was head coach at ASU from 2007-11. With an assist from Dennis, look for the Utes to menace the Devils. OKLAHOMA ST over Kansas by 27 Cowboys seem to be peaking at the right time as they’ve got the trio MICHIGAN over Nebraska by 3 of Texas, Baylor and Oklahoma waiting in the wings after today’s Bipolar Huskers dress up as dogs for the fi rst time this season, but mismatch. In the last two games – both on the Big 12 road – Okie State perhaps this is not good news considering they are 0-6 SUATS when ran up 52 and 58 points, totals that the Pokes may have no interest in not laying points (pick or dog) since 2011 – with every loss by 14 or more matching today… not when they can win out and claim their second points. The feeling here is Bo Pelini would likely have been hitting up conference crown in the last three years. When it comes to Kansas, we brother Carl for some of his stash had the Huskers not connected on know there’s not a snowball’s chance in Hades the Jayhawks will win a 49-yard Hail Mary pass to turn a loss into a win over Northwestern the game on the scoreboard; it boils down to ‘how many points are last Saturday. Certainly some sort of pain reliever is in order as Pelini’s involved?’ Since you asked, KU has garnered a whopping average of butt has been blistered by the hot seat he’s been living on this season. 26.5 PPG as the underdog in its last four games. We’re thinking Charlie On the positive side, though, Pelini is 23-4 SU versus a foe that allows may want his guys to give the fans back home a better show than more than 23.5 PPG on the season, with only two losses by more than 6 what they’ve seen lately, and there’s nothing quite as reassuring for points. Last week, DC ’s Michigan State defense absolutely a hot-seat coach like Weis than scaring the bejesus out of a ranked stifl ed Devin Gardner and the Wolverines, sacking No. 98 seven times team (OSU now BCS No. 14) while lining a few pockets in the process. and if you subtracted the sacks from Michigan’s rushing total, they However, that’s a ‘best-case scenario’ – KU is a dismal 1-10 ATS as a gained one yard on 22 carries… that’s right, one yard against that conference road dog of more than 24 points in the real world. The rock-ribbed Spartan defense. Just as scary is Michigan’s performance in downtrodden Jayhawks do, however, enjoy one redeeming quality: games after getting smacked around by the Spartans: 0-7 ATS at home they’re 17-6 ATS on the road off an away game when playing with a after playing MSU and facing an opponent with a .500 or better win losing record, including 6-0 ATS versus a foe off a win of 7 or more percentage. Finally, the Wolves’ rotten record in games when seeking points. With Oklahoma State holding a decisive 9-2 ATS edge in the conference revenge (see this week’s INCREDIBLE STAT on page 3) has last 11 series showdowns, the only question here is whether or not us buttering up the Corn. the Cowboys take their foot off the pedal. Seeing as how there’s a much bigger Longhorns’ tilt on the horizon, we wouldn’t be surprised NAVY over Hawaii by 15 if the Jayhawks bored the Boys’ starters into an early exit. Oh, what Jeez, how much punishment can one team take? No, we’re not talking the hell… we’ll put on the clothespin and live dangerously with Charlie about winless Hawaii; they’ve been a lost cause ever since Norm Chow Tuna today. took over in . We’re talking instead about 4-4 Navy, a squad that’s lost two of its last three games by a total of just 5 points. The 38-34 setback versus Notre Dame last week clearly qualifi es as the Midshipmen’s FREE PICKS: 1.714.228.6272 worst loss of the season. The game featured eight lead changes until

page 10 • www.PLAYBOOK.com • 1.800.PLAYBOOK Usc over CALIFORNIA by 21 Man, it’s too bad isn’t more photogenic because he’s doing a helluva job re-focusing USC after the Lane Kiffi n debacle. Stepping in after the Trojans’ 62-41 destruction by Arizona State, Orgeron has led them to a 3-1 SUATS record against the likes of Arizona, Notre Dame, Utah and Oregon State. Unfortunately for Ed, the talking heads on sports TV have let it be known that he will NOT be seriously considered for the head coaching vacancy come season’s end. Like it or not, Orgeron’s only concern here will be to keep the wheels in motion against a previously hapless Cal squad that somehow woke up and threw a scare into Arizona on this fi eld last Saturday. The men of Troy certainly own all the ATS advantages in today’s matchup. Southern Cal has rung the register in seven of the last eight meetings with the Bears, including the last four at Berkeley, and owns a jaw-dropping 11-2 SU and 10-2 ATS mark in Game Ten of the season. California can claim a few jaw-droppers of its own, just not good ones. The bad news Bears are a shocking 0-13 SU and 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games versus FBS opponents, plus they’re just 1-8 ATS in the second of consecutive home games. With numbers like that, we don’t think Cal can spring a Bear trap on anyone… much less the revitalized Trojans. We don’t say it often but this looks like a good spot to lay the points. lay an ATS egg in this spot. It’s always a jolt to conference-affi liated Notre Dame over PITTSBURGH by 1 teams when they take on a non-conference foe this late in the schedule, Is it just us or does Notre Dame’s magical run from last season seem especially as a road favorite, and the Eagles back up that notion with a like it happened light years ago? One thing’s for sure, after disposing 1-4 ATS log on the road versus non-cons. We know it strains credibility of everyone in their path in 2012 (minus Bama), the Irish are fi nding it but the awful Aggies have actually shown some signs of life, picking up diffi cult to get the money in payback games this year, going a weak 1-4- fi rst their win of the season two games ago against Abilene Christian, 1 ATS versus avenging foes to date. When it comes to payback, however, then outstatting La-Lafayette last week. At least fi rst-year New Mexico this is the real deal. Pitt had Notre Dame doped and roped last season State HC Doug Martin (another coach who must be asking ‘why me’?) at South Bend, leading the undefeated Irish by a 20-6 score before the can’t be blamed for the program’s abominable 1-12 SUATS home run hosts somehow rallied to force overtime. Three extra sessions later, the against non-conference foes. And though we could probably count Irish left the fi eld with a 29-26 triumph – a win that was enough of a on one hand the number of times we’ve actually recommended a play catalyst to send Brian Kelly’s boys to the BCS title game. We’re sure on NMSU, we think this is worse spot for BC than the Aggies today. 2nd-year Panthers HC Paul Chryst remembers it well and Pitt’s recent Regardless of which side interests you, be sure to bring a clothespin. 2-0-1 ATS series edge suggests we’ll see another close game today. The Panthers also possess a strong 9-2 ATS mark as home dogs off back- Utah St over UNLV by 16 to-back road games, including 6-0 ATS versus a foe off a double-digit Let’s hear it for fi rst-year Utah State HC Matt Wells, who has somehow ATS win. And after dealing with the ‘screw-up-once-and-he’s-gone’ steered his team through the loss of big-time QB Chuckie Keeton and spread option attacks of Navy and Georgia Tech, the Panthers ‘D’ will emerged with a 5-4 record. A critical cog in the Aggies’ success has been be overjoyed to see the stodgy Irish offense lumber onto Heinz Field. relief QB Darrell Garretson: he’s completed 67% of his passes and led Pitt is one of several teams needing to win two of its fi nal four games to the team to 47 and 45 point outputs in the past two contests, each a SU become bowl-eligible, and we think the Cats will come with everything win. Though currently tied with Boise State atop the Mountain division they’ve got. Irish eke out their 5th straight win – but lose their 2nd of the MWC, Utah State does not own the tie-breaker with the Broncos straight against the spread. – which means no-slips for USU should they wish to compete in the conference title game. The Rebels take the fi eld at Sam Boyd Stadium TEXAS A&M over Mississippi St by 24 with an identical 5-4 mark, needing only a single win in any of their We can tell you up front we have no interest in Dan Mullen’s Bulldogs. fi nal three games to become bowl-eligible – and possibly save HC Bobby It’s become painfully evident that Mississippi State is not equipped to Hauck’s hide. We don’t like the fact that UNLV has been outgained by deal with the SEC’s better teams – or ANY decent team, for that matter. a whopping 491 yards in their last three games. And we for sure don’t The Dogs have dumped four in a row against the number and things like that Hauck is tearing down one of his best coaching trends: after don’t look to be improving, not with a visit from Alabama up next after posting a 13-3 ATS mark at home in his previous four years, the Vegas the Aggies. As you might expect, the ATS archives are heavily in favor of coach has now slid to 1-3 ATS at Glitter Gulch this season. Utah State A&M here, with the hosts standing 5-1 ATS as conference chalk of 17 or has claimed the cash in four of the last fi ve series meetings (4-0-1 ATS) more points, and 4-1-1 ATS at home before a week of rest. In contrast, and a win here means they can close out the regular season at Logan MSU is a lifeless 0-4 ATS as a road dog of 15 or more points, plus Doggie with back-to-back contests against Colorado State and Wyoming. An Daddy Mullen is a money-burning 1-10 SUATS off a loss when facing 8-4 fi nish won’t make up for the sting of losing Keeton but it sure might a .750 or greater opponent. State’s offense has averaged 23 PPG the salve the wound. Rebs’ 34 PPG defense proves to be their undoing. last four times out but that won’t hold up against the expected 49 PPG assault from A&M’s Johnny Cash (trailed 7-0 early versus UTEP MIDDLE TENNESSEE over Florida Int’l by 20 last week before rattling off 57 in a row to cover 47.5-point impost). After following a mid-season 3-game losing streak with a pair of Manziel hasn’t been mentioned much in this year’s Heisman chatter and SU victories, the 5-win Raiders are just one win shy of gaining bowl we expect him to close out his last three regular season games with a eligibility. Don’t expect them to stop there, however: last year Rick vengeance. Everything points to the Aggies here – it’s even their fi nal Stockstill’s team won 8 games but the expected bowl invitation never home game of 2013 – but we can’t seem to pull the trigger on such a big materialized. Closing out the current campaign against Southern number. Jump right in if you’re interested but we’ll take a pass today. Miss and UTEP (1-15 combined) gives Middle Tennessee a real shot at duplicating last season’s SU win total – should they get by the Golden Boston College over NEW MEXICO ST by 20 Panthers fi rst. Considering FIU’s only victory this year came courtesy After bringing down Virginia Tech in a 34-27 surprise last week, Boston of winless Southern Miss, that won’t be a tall order. Panthers HC Ron College can relax a bit today as the Eagles pay a visit to everyone’s Turner liked what he saw last week when this troops hung with high- favorite ‘Last Resort’ – the New Mexico State Aggies, a team that usually powered ECU in a 21-point home loss but now they take to the road supplies other bad (but more fortunate) teams with their one SU victory with an offense averaging just 2 yards per rush and 11 PPG. Florida of the year. At 4-4, BC doesn’t fi t into that category but neither do the International also gets outgained by a ridiculous 175 YPG, meaning the Eagles normally lay a huge number like today’s. Considering they’ve hosts should improve on their 3-1 SUATS record in the last four series gone 1-5 In The Stats the last six games, including 0-3 ATS the last three, meetings. We’ll be content to watch from afar. the Boston boys are leaking some serious oil – meaning they could easily (continued on next page)

1.800.PLAYBOOK • www.PLAYBOOK.com • page 11 LA-MONROE over Arkansas St by 3 stat department: both of these conference leaders faced Memphis this Yet another matchup where both teams are jockeying for position season and both lost the stats by over 100 yards to the Tigers… go fi gure! in the conference standings – the winner takes over 2nd spot in the Knights rate an edge for their stingier defense but Houston’s high- Sun Belt – and a possible bowl berth as well. The 4-4 Red Wolves need powered attack assures the back door will always be open. A solid take. two more wins in their fi nal four games to perpetuate a two-year Ucla over ARIZONA by 3 bowl streak and if they get one today, it will mark the fi rst time this Critical matchup in the Pac-12 South: both teams are one game behind season that ASU has notched back-to-back SU wins. Not so for the host division-leading Arizona State, and both have the Sun Devils remaining Warhawks, who are currently riding a 3-0 SUATS streak while looking to to play – which means the loser here is history. A quick check of recent earn just their second bowl bid in school history (lost to Ohio U in last series history points us toward the Wildcats as the host has gone on a year’s Independence Bowl). ULM hasn’t been a dependable play in its Final Home Game of the season, covering just once in the last four years 9-1 ATS run, including 4-0 ATS the last four. However, 2nd-year Arizona – a stat that fi ts comfortably next to the visitors’ recent 3-0 SUATS edge HC Rich Rodriguez contributed to that stat in a negative way last season in this series. Though neither team owns a signifi cant statistical edge when Jim Mora Jr’s Bruins walloped the Wildcats, 66-10. Granted, Rich overall, the most glaring defi cit for La-Monroe lies in turnovers as Arky Rod has greatly improved on 2012’s miserable 1-5 ATS effort as chalk State boasts a sizable +9 advantage in that department. We think ULM’s by going 3-1-1 ATS as a favorite so far but unless the public moves the recent success has them slightly over-valued here, and in a battle of two line in his direction, Rodriguez will wear the dog collar in tonight’s war team that will go all-out, the points look to be in order. between 6-2 teams (RR 4-4 ATS getting points at UA). Not only does he own a poor 1-5 mark as a HF/HD of 4 or less points, Rodriguez stands LA TECH over Southern Miss by 14 just 3-16-2 ATS in his last 21 games versus a conference opponent off a When you see a team as bad as Louisiana Tech laying more than two double-digit win. Mora trumps that with a perfect 4-0 SUATS effort off touchdowns, it’s a safe bet the opponent is a certifi ed bottom-feeder. a win against a foe off a win of more than 3 points. When push comes In this case, it’s the deep south’s answer to New Mexico State, the not- to shove, we’ll back the better coach. And, in this case, the better team. so-Golden Eagles of Southern Mississippi. We have to hand it to former head coach Ellis Johnson; in the span of one year, he destroyed a quality ALABAMA over Lsu by 8 program so completely that it’s nowhere near showing signs of recovery. It may not be the most glamorous matchup of the week – Thursday The Eagles were a postseason fi xture until Johnson showed up last year night’s dynamic duo takes that honor – but every time these two fi erce – and they haven’t won a game since. Even more disturbing, the stats SEC rivals get together, major implications abound. Tonight’s tangle in are regressing on both sides of the ball: USM’s defense is giving up 7 Tuscaloosa marks the 8th consecutive time these teams meet as ranked points and 17 YPG more than last season while a pair of opponents… no surprise since the winner of this series has played in the that have combined for 17 picks and just 10 TDs is responsible for the National Championship game four times. Since 2006, Bama leads the Eagles’ 13-PPG offense. At least current fall guy Todd Monken knows he series 4-3 but has lost twice at home. More interesting, perhaps, is that has a pair of home games remaining after today’s contest where he can the average margin of victory in the last six regular season meetings is possibly get off the schneid (it would look better on his resumé). But only 6.3 PPG. LSU will really have to bring it if the Tigers hope to keep with a stop (and we use the term loosely) unit that’s allowed 55 or more things close here: Nick Saban’s Tide have outscored their opponents points in four of the last fi ve games, we can’t see Monken extending his 151-0 in the fi rst half of the last six games, and only Baylor is winning team’s 7-1 SU series record against the Bulldogs today. However, a cover the stat wars by larger margin than Alabama since October (Tide +308 seem well within reason considering the hosts are 0-4 ATS at Ruston YPG / Bears +325). It’s safe to say that the Nictator will emerge victorious versus C-USA foes the last two seasons. All things considered, we just tonight as Bama stands an impressive 32-2 SU as double-digit home chalk can’t lay teens with a 3-5 team that averages just 20 PPG. under his lead. However, our tireless database assures us that LSU has an excellent shot at picking Bama’s pocket before leaving town: the Bayou Auburn over TENNESSEE by 11 Bengals have covered three straight regular season games against the Last week proved something about both of these teams – Tide, they’re 4-0 ATS of late with rest, and they’re 6-1 ATS when playing has fashioned a legitimate contender at Auburn while Tennessee needs with conference revenge (Bama prevailed last year at Baton Rouge, 21- another year’s experience and a solid recruiting class to be competitive 17). And even though Tigers head coach Les Miles is a surprisingly weak in the demanding SEC. The Vols were a big disappointment to us last 3-7 SU versus 4-0 or greater opponents (just one loss by more than 10 pts), week with their no-show at Missouri and we won’t be looking their the Mad Hatter owns a no-nonsense 7-3-1 ATS log as a dog of 4 or more way for some time. Meanwhile, Malzahn has taken many of the players points at LSU. Saban’s numbers aren’t overly impressive as he’s a sloppy responsible for last year’s 3-9 SU and 3-8 ATS debacle and transformed 15-11 SU and 10-15-1 ATS during regular season play with rest – including them into an 8-1 SU and 6-2 ATS powerhouse that can’t wait to get back 2-5 SU versus greater-than .700 foes, with the two wins coming by 7 home for a pair of revengers against Georgia and Alabama (Tigers were and 9 points. The Tide has also struggled to get the money when taking outscored 87-0 by the two SEC foes in 2012). Cut to Knoxville, where on fellow SEC contenders as they’re just 2-6 ATS versus .750 or greater injuries and lack of depth and experience has caused Tennessee to fade league opponents. For a defi nitive take on this matchup, we turn to our badly in recent weeks, winning just two of its last seven games on the SEC scout, Jaybird The Bulldog, who went missing a few weeks ago (eh- scoreboard. The Vols are also an awful 1-7 ITS versus FBS opponents heh) after picking South Carolina over Tennessee, but has since turned up this season with their only stat win coming in a 7-point decision over in Vegas (he’s reportedly developed a fondness for the zip-line attraction South Alabama. Bad ATS numbers weigh heavy on the hosts, too: UT is on Fremont Street). “Sorry I went AWOL but I just had to get out of just 2-7 ATS at home off back-to-back road dates, 2-7 ATS before facing town,” said Jay. “I’ll be in the front row at the sports book to watch this Vanderbilt, and 2-6-2 ATS as a conference home dog of 4 or more points. one and I’ll be siding with the Tigers. Give me Les Miles and double-digits In light of Auburn’s impressive 5-0 SU and 4-0 ATS run – and the Tigers against anyone, anytime, anywhere.” Save us us a seat, Jaybird. We’ll be winning the stats by an average of 153 YPG since October – we’re not right there with you. fading that with an opponent living largely on name and reputation. SAN JOSE ST over San Diego St by 8 UCF over Houston by 6 The ‘Battle of the Saints’ moves to Spartan Stadium this year after SJSU Can’t wait to see these two newcomers to the AAC fi nally get it on. The won last season’s renewal of the series at San Diego. First-year HC Ron Cougars have roared out to a 7-1 SU and 6-1 ATS start with only a 1-point Caragher inherited a team that has won and covered three straight loss to BYU separating Tony Levine’s team from perfection. UCF stands versus Diego and after a rough 1-3 SU start in 2013, the Spartans have a near identical 6-1 SUATS in 2013 with the Knights losing at home by a rebounded with a 4-game win streak entering this contest. In fact, with fi eld goal to South Carolina. With Houston currently 3-0 in conference San Jose concluding the campaign at home against Fresno State – and play compared to the Knights’ 4-0 mark, today’s winner will walk away both of today’s teams owning one conference loss behind the unbeaten with the top spot. One thing’s for sure: Louisville (3-1 in the AAC) will Bulldogs – Caragher’s squad controls its own destiny in the MWC West be pulling for Houie here as the Cardinals and Cougars hook up at Papa division race. Rocky Long’s Atztecs also suffered a rocky start to the John’s Cardinal Stadium next Saturday. George O’Leary’s team, led by season (0-3 SU) but a 4-1 run in their last fi ve outings has put the 4-4 team underrated QB Blake Bortles (15 TDs and just 4 picks TY), has grabbed the back onto the bowl bubble. With both defenses currently allowing more green in three of the last four series meetings but they show up here as points that the offense can muster, this becomes an extremely tough call. double-digit Homecoming chalk, a role we particularly like to fade when Since the Spartans have performed slightly better as chalk than the Aztecs we bring a winning team into the fray. And this from our totally random have as dogs, we’ll lean to the home side in this pivotal MWC showdown. page 12 • www.PLAYBOOK.com • 1.800.PLAYBOOK PRO FOOTBALL Marc Has won This Game 35 of 50 Times This Past Decade! Marc Lawrence's Thursday, November 7 NFL GAME MINNESOTA over Washington by 1 Vikings’ woes continue as they return home off a hard-luck loss at OF THE MONTH! Dallas, riding a 4-game losing streak after devouring fi sh and chips Goes Sunday, November 10! with blokes across the ocean. As a result, Minnesota HC Leslie Frazier Last Month: Baltimore (+3) 16, Pittsburgh 19 • Push currently resides on the hot seat while looking to plug holes in a sinking ship. The fi rst sign of a good fi x arrives in the form of an NFC East foe as www.PLAYBOOK.com Minny has been mighty in games against teams from this division when taking the fi eld off a back-to-back losses, going 8-1 SU and 9-0 ATS. $50 PAY AFTER YOU WIN ONLINE The Norsemen are also 4-1 SUATS in their last fi ve games as a home dog. www.PLAYBOOK.com On the other side of the coin, the American Natives are just 2-5 SUATS in their last seven battles with the NFC North, and 1-5 SUATS as favorites in $30 PREPAID GUARANTEED DISCOUNT games before fi ghts with Philly. Toss in the Hogs’ 1-4 SUATS road mark on Thursdays and suddenly the fl ame on Frazier’s derriere diminishes 1.800.321.7777 for the time being. FREE WITH $99 WEEKEND OF WINNERS Sunday, November 10 teams that are favored with problems. Given the fact that Buffi e drilled TENNESSEE over Jacksonville by 7 Kansas City in the stats, 470-210, in its home loss last week, we’ll opt An especially unattractive AFC South battle kicks off at LP Field in instead for the blue-collar dog here. Nashville Sunday afternoon where the Titans host the Jaguars in a battle of two teams that have been home for the holidays each of the NY GIANTS over Oakland by 3 last four years. Be that as it may, there is still plenty of ATS interest in For all intents and purposes, the play in this game should be on recently this scrape with Jacksonville a featured play in Marc’s ‘TIME IS ON MY surging Big Blue against the west coast invaders. But this business is SIDE’ BETCHA DIDN’T KNOW article outlined on page 2. Given the fact all about gathering edges and other than that, the G-Men fall fl at. the Jags are also 5-0 ATS away in games off a double-digit spread loss For openers, these two teams practically mirror one another in the when facing a .500 or greater division foe – and a scrappy 4-1 ATS the tale of the statistical tape this season. The Black-and-Silver do hold last fi ve games in this series – we have no problem running with these an advantage in the ground game, though, where they outrush the cats today. Tennessee is more likely focused on a bigger showdown with Giants better than 2-to-1 (148 versus 70 RYPG). And speaking of stats, the Colts next week (0-5-1 ATS before Indy) and its 0-8 ATS mark as Oakland has also outgained each of its last three opponents, holding division home chalk of 6 or more points also bodes well for Jack. The two of them to season low – or 2nd – low yards. The Giants have been bottom line is not all winning tickets have to be good-looking ones. The colossal failures as favorites in the fi rst of back-to-back home games ugly ones spend, too. (0-8-1 ATS) and are 0-7 ATS at home in games after allowing 10 or less points in their last game. In addition, New York has not laid this GREEN BAY over Philadelphia by 2 sort of wood since October of last year against the 0-4 Browns. As the With reports of a broken collarbone, superstar QB Aaron Rodgers will saying goes, what goes up must come down, and it does just that for be watching this game in street clothes with us. For a team already Big Blue today. decimated with injuries, this loss is unfathomable. The Packers ‘next man up’ philosophy works for ordinary and better-than-average starters, but INDIANAPOLIS over St. Louis by 4 when it comes to losing arguably the best in the NFL, there In what might well be the most uninviting quarterback matchup to is no way to replace that kind of fi repower. Instead, Seneca Wallace fi lls come down the pike in ages – Kellen Clemens versus Andrew Luck – the his shoes for the time being. Normally a case like this would fi nd a team fact is it’s all about the numbers when it comes to handicapping the NFL, rallying around the backup, but with Wallace having failed miserably and it’s the Colts who come up frightfully short in this matchup. It starts in relief Monday night in a loss to the Bears, that argument looks to be with the fact that Indy returns home off a miraculous 4Q comeback win moot. FYI: since taking over as a starter in 2008, Rodgers has missed only over division rival Houston, a game in which the Texans dominated in two starts with the Packers (1-1 SU and 2-0 ATS in those games behind the stats on the playing fi eld (483-314). Then again, it’s nothing new Matt Flynn). What we do know is Philly QB Nick Foles enters off a record- for Indianapolis to win games while being outstatted. They made it to tying 7 TD pass performance over Oakland in a game in which he set an the playoffs last year despite allowing more yards than they gained, NFL record with a perfect passer rating of 158.3. Amazingly, the Eagles and they’re doing it once again this season. The fact is they have lost scored 49 points on only 57 plays against the Raiders, a Chip Kelly trait the stat wars in each of their last four contests by an average 119 YPG. if ever there was one. You may like the Eagles’ 9-0 ATS record in games While St. Louis may not be at full strength with star QB off a SUATS win when facing an opponent off a SUATS loss, but you out for the season, they have not quit trying. That’s evidenced by the won’t dig their 0-5 SUATS mark in their last fi ve games against the NFC fact they have not been outgained in any of their last three contests, North. Us, we don’t like backing teams off record-setting performances, despite being 0-3 on the scoreboard. A glitzy 8-0 ATS mark in games nor are we particularly fond of laying points with backup signal callers. against .666 or greater opposition off a win attests to the fact that they All of which puts us on the sidelines with Mr. Rodgers, who offi cially are, indeed, Ram tough. Indy’s straight up lucky run continues today, becomes an 8-point quarterback today. while Louie bags the cash. PITTSBURGH over Buffalo by 1 Seattle over ATLANTA by 6 How low can a team go? The Steelers pathetic’ 4Q meltdown against It’s apparent all of the Falcons’ great numbers are going by the wayside the Patriots last week not only resulted in the most points ever allowed due to the litany of injuries this team has suffered. It’s also evident the by a Steel Curtain defense, but also the worse loss ever in franchise high-fl ying Seahawks are nowhere close to the unit that opened the history. As a result ,a defense that allowed a league-best 276 YPG last season on a 4-0 SUATS skein. So where does that lead us here, you ask? season is surrendering 342 YPG this campaign. Q: Do you think the loss Value lovers (read: us) will point out that the last time these two teams of James Harrison was meaningful, or what? Mike Tomlin’s troops will met in 2011 (when Russell Wilson was behind center at Wisconsin), look to turn the corner today knowing they are 5-0 SUATS the last fi ve Atlanta was a 6-point road favorite! And the last time the Dirty Birds games as a host in this series, but only 1-9 ATS as favorites of less than were installed as a dog three games in a row was back in 2009 when they 7 points in the fi rst of back-to-back home games. The good news for downed the Jets, 10-7, as 6-point puppies. However, Atlanta’s god-awful Buffalo is the reported return of starting QB EJ Manuel, and it’s needed 0-15 ATS record as a dog of more than 3 points in games off back-to-back as the Bills’ lone win without him was a scant 2-point decision over the travelers certainly quells the notion of jumping into this fray headfi rst Dolphins in Thad Lewis’ return home to Miami. While we’d like to hop with the Falcons (not even their 8-1 ATS dog log in games off a loss is all over the Steelers at this price, experience has taught us to back off of (continued on next page)

1.800.PLAYBOOK • www.PLAYBOOK.com • page 13 enough remove that blemish). Seattle’s recent woes (1-4 ATS last fi ve games), along with an early east coast start for a west coast team, makes FREE WEEKEND LATE PHONE SERVICE TO ALL ’s crew unappealing as well, despite playoff loss revenge on this fi eld as 3-point dogs last season. Like it nor not, we’ll leave both of PLAYBOOK FOOTBALL NEWSLETTER SUBSCRIBERS these birds alone to fend for themselves in this head-scratcher. THIS WEEK! SEE DETAILS ON PAGE 4! BALTIMORE over Cincinnati by 3 Like the title of one of our favorites tunes ‘Low Rider’ from one of our outyarding foes 120 YPG), but we witnessed Houston’s plight fi rst hand favorite groups, War, its time the Ravens step on the gas and drive a in its loss to Indianapolis when head coach and offensive coordinator little faster if they’re serious about returning to the playoffs to defend was taken off the fi eld on a stretcher at halftime: without their title. A 3-game losing streak fi nds 3-5 Baltimore in him to call the plays, the offense became lifeless. And when you cut off 3rd place in the AFC North, yet only two losses back of division-leading the head, the body dies. With that, we have no choice but to leave these Cincinnati. Thus, this game is for all the marbles for John Harbaugh’s harlots alone this week. bunch as amazingly a win today puts them only one game back atop the division leader board. Good news for the Black Birds is Cincy’s 1-5 SU Denver over SAN DIEGO by 3 and 0-6 ATS record when laying points on the division road. It fi ts like In what is fast becoming a storyline in the NFL, yet another head coach Sofía Vergara in a bikini next to Joe Flacco’s 3-0 ATS career mark as a is sidelined with health issues this week with Denver’s John Fox out after home dog versus sub .700 opponents. Toss in Bengals QB Andy Dalton’s undergoing an aortic heart valve procedure. Jack Del Rio takes over for dreary 2-8 SU and 2-7-1 ATS career record in division games in which he Fox and knowing what we know about Del Rio that is not good news is not favored by 5 or more points and suddenly Baltimore’s prospects for the Broncos – especially considering Jack’s 6-12 ATS NFL record as a favorite of 7 or more points, including 1-7 ATS when facing an opponent are looking up. The fact that defending Super Bowl champions are off a SUATS loss. On the other side, San Diego’s loss to Washington is 4-0 SUATS as dogs in games off three losses cements it. It’s time the also problematic given the fact they failed to punch it in for the win Ravens ‘take a little trip’ into the winner’s circle. Otherwise, they shall from the one-inch line on fi rst down at the end of regulation last week. be defending Super Bowl champions, nevermore. The good news for the Chargers is a glossy 10-0 ATS in division games in CHICAGO over Detroit by 3 which the O/U total is set at 48 or more points – including nine SU wins Status of Bears QB Jay Cutler was up in the air at press time, thus in a row. A heavy dose of triple revenge, and the Bolts’ 6-3 SU and 7-2 rendering a tepid take on this contest. What we do know is Chicago ATS mark in its last nine games as dogs at Qualcomm Stadium, does it. is yielding more yards than they gain this season (-26 net YPG) while Fox-less Denver squeaks past Diego in this heartbreaker. the Lions appear to have their roar back, gaining more yards than they allow (+34). With both teams currently in a 3-way tie with Green Bay for 5 BEST BET the top spot in the NFC North, Chicago will be out to avenge a 40-32 loss NEW ORLEANS over Dallas by 17 suffered in the Motor City the last week in September. The good news is the Bears are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in games off a Monday nighter, and Talk about a team on a mission: the Saints’ undertaking this 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS after groveling with Green Bay. On the other hand, season has been spectacular. With the stain of ‘Bountygate’ now Detroit is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games against avenging division foes. in the rear view mirror and all the pieces back in place, N’Awlins However, we will say this about Josh McCown… he has proven his worth has emerged as leaders atop the NFC South thanks to a Top backing up Cutler as evidenced by a 100.2 QB rating, and is 9-4 ATS as a 10-ranked offense AND defense. Their mission tonight is to let the starting quarterback in the league in division games, including 6-0 ATS NFL viewing audience know they are back and, more important, off a division game. Nonetheless, until Cutler’s condition clears and the to send a message to the Cowboys that should they meet again line is confi rmed, we forced to take a wait and see approach. down the road in the playoffs, they are not to be taken lightly. For openers, the Who Dats have been like money in the bank going 4 BEST BET 10-1 ATS in non-division games when playing off one loss-exact, including 6-0 ATS at home. In addition, they are 5-1 ATS, including Carolina over SAN FRANCISCO by 6 3-0 ATS when off a loss, as a host in this series. Meanwhile, the Our initial observation was that this opening line looked low. Fishy Cowboys enter on a tidy 3-1 SUATS run – but it should be noted low, if you get our drift. After all, the mighty Niners own the hottest they were outstatted in three of the four contests, including last hand in the NFC, entering on a 5-0 SUATS run – albeit against foes week’s win over the Vikings. Furthermore, the Saints outgained who are 13-28 collectively this season. However, the same can be the Jets in last week’s loss, making this a neat ‘double-inside’ out said of the 5-3 Panthers, who have reeled off four wins in a row, stat affair. The fact is only Jason Garrett’s 5-0 ATS mark as a dog while scoring 30 or more points in each game. Granted, Carolina’s of more than 4 points keeps us from totally snapping the rubber fi ve victims this season are all losing squads, sporting a combined band. The Clincher: Since the 2011 season, the Saints are 7-33 record season to date. What really bothers us, though, is San 13-0 SUATS at home under Sean Payton. Fran’s 2-5 ITS (In The Stats) mark in its last seven games. That and the fact that favorites returning from London have NEVER beat Monday, November 11 the spread in these ‘sea legs’ games, going 0-5 ATS. Compounding matters, the Panthers have been practically an annuity in this 3 BEST BET series, going 11-1 ATS, including 3-0 SUATS the last three games. Holy mackerel, it all makes sense to us now. The Clincher: The TAMPA BAY over Miami by 7 Panthers are 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in games versus opponents off a double-digit spread win the last two seasons. Yes, it’s hard asking a virgin to suddenly become a vixen but when you’re living in the mess the Dolphins are these days, it’s all systems go. For openers, 0-5 or worse NFL dogs of 3 or less points ARIZONA over Houston by 3 are 13-5 SU and 13-3-2 ATS when playing with revenge. The Bucs’ Uh oh. We’re going to have trouble in this game and we know it going 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS mark as Monday night home dogs fi ts like a in. Like an unfaithful spouse, we have every right to ditch the always- glove next to their 4-0 ATS mark in this series. Enter the dazed and tempting Texans… especially after last Sunday night’s giveaway loss discombobulated Dolphins who are 1-10 SU and 0-9-2 ATS away to the Colts. As we’ve said over and over (and over and over) again, on Mondays off a win, and 0-4 SUATS in their last four Monday Houston’s numbers look like those of a contestant in a beauty pageant. night appearances – not to mention 1-8 ATS as favorites in games The problem is their football IQ also mimics those same contestants, off a SU underdog win. No bullying here. With Miami as distracted as all we hear is “DUH” at the conclusion of their games this season. as a team can be these days, look for Tampa to shed its chastity For it all, Houie is 2-6 SU and 1-7 ATS this year despite owning the top belt tonight. The Clincher: NFL Monday night home teams defense, and a Top 10-ranked offense, in the league. Yes we realize off an ATS away win in which they scored 24 or more points the Cardinals are a bloodletting 1-10 ATS in games off a double- are 13-3 SU and 13-2-1 ATS when facing a non-division foe digit spread win when facing a losing opponent. And they are being off a home game. outgained an average -28 YPG on the season (as opposed to Houston

page 14 • www.PLAYBOOK.com • 1.800.PLAYBOOK Now in its 29th year, the WISE GUYS CONTEST is a $10,000 winners-take- all handicapping event sponsored by PLAYBOOK.com. NEW THIS YEAR: WISE GUYS CONTEST All plays are graded against the lines posted after 1:00 PM Mondays on the WISE GUYS CONTEST page at PLAYBOOK.com. Each week below we'll A $10,000 Contest Sponsored by PLAYBOOK.com post Single Plays from the Top 20 point-earners. Following the play is their overall Win-Loss record / Double Play record / Total Points earned to date.

Week 10: Below are the Top 20 Contestants from the 2013 Playbook Wise Guys Contest – One Point Single Plays Listed BIG Dave Lemmon Norm Hitzges Smu (+9.5) 10-8 / 5-4 / 15 pts Baylor (-14.5) 10-8 / 5-4 / 15 pts Playbook.com NormsClubhouse.com Billy Coleman Peter Brown Wisconsin (-7.5) 12-6 / 6-3 / 18 pts SEAHAWKS (-6) 10-8 / *5-4 / 15 pts BillyColemanSports.net Yahoo Sports Radio Brad Diamond Rob Vinciletti Byu (+7.5) 11-7 / 5-4 / 16 pts JAGUARS (+13) 12-6 / 6-3 / 18 pts DiamondQuickPicks.com [email protected] Chuck Edel Robbie Gainous Army (+7) 11-7 / 5-4 / 16 pts Marshall (-23.5) 11-7 / 5-4 / 16 pts SportsXRadio.com CajunSportsWire.com JB Sports Robert Ferringo STEELERS (-3.5) 12-6 / 7-2 / 19 pts BRONCOS (-7) 12-5-1 / 5-3-1 / 17 pts JBSports.net DocSports.com Joe Nelson Southern Comfort RAMS (+10) 9-7-2 / 6-3 / 15 pts RAMS (+10) 13-5 / *6-3 / 19 pts NellySports.com Playbook.com Jorge Gonzalez Special K Sports Texas Tech (-2.5) 10-8 / 6-3 / 16 pts Oregon (-10.5) 11-5 / 7-1 / 18 pts VegasWise.com SpecialKSports.com Ken Thomson Statfox Dave 49ERS (-6.5) 8-10 / 7-2 / 15 pts Utah State (-13.5) 13-5 / *7-2 / 21 pts SportsXRadio.com Statfox.com Kevin O’Neill Tom Freese BILLS (+3.5) 10-8 / 6-3 / 16 pts San Jose State (-7) 12-4-2 / 6-1-2 / 18 pts RealWorldSports.com Playbook.com Mr. East Will Cover Washington (-28) 13-5 / 5-4 / 18 pts Pittsburgh (+5) 12-6 / 4-5 / 16 pts Playbook.com Playbook.com To view the entire Wise Guys standings, including Triple, Double and Single plays, visit www.PLAYBOOK.com and cash in this weekend for only $12! THE 2-MINUTE HANDICAP: O/U STYLE

AN 'OVER / UNDER' LAST season: 11-6 ATS (65%). THIS season: 5-3-1 ATS. The fi rst 8 games of the NFL schedule are listed below. As always, REPORT ON THIS the number listed fi rst is the ‘OVER’ and the number listed second is the ‘UNDER’. The ENTIRE 2-minute Handicap (all 16 WEEK'S NFL CARD games) along with this week’s 3 NFL O/U BEST BETS will appear in the 2013 "TOTALS" TIPSHEET by Victor King – the defi nitive weekly OU newsletter. A single issue is only $8.00 (or $45.95 for the year). Sent via email on Tuesdays. Call the BY VICTOR KING PLAYBOOK offi ces to get on the 2013 “Totals Train”! …*This week’s TREND play: Eagles @ Packers ’OVER’ the TOTAL. – WEEK TEN GAME MATCHUPS KEY OVER/UNDER STATS Washington 4-1 O/U vs NFC NORTH... 5-2 O/U bef Phil... 4-2 O/U Thursday RG... but 1-4 O/U aft SD... 3-8 O/U non-div RF’s 3 < pts MINNESOTA 8-2 O/U aft Dal... 3-1 O/U L4 vs Wash (51.5)... 7-3 O/U non-div dogs 4 < Pts... but 1-4 O/U Thursdays... 2-5 O/U bef Seat Jacksonville 3-1 O/U as div dogs 8 > pts... 3-1 O/U w/ line 42 < pts... 3-1 O/U bef Arz... but 2-5 O/U aft Bye... 3-7 O/U L10 vs Ten (38.9) TENNESSEE 5-0 O/U favs 8 > pts... 7-2 O/U div HF’s > 3 pts... 3-1 O/U Game 9... 5-2 O/U bef Thur gm... but 1-4 O/U vs .250 < opp Gm 5 > Philadelphia 5-0 O/U away TY (61.8)... 5-0 O/U non-div dogs 8 > Pts... 5-0 O/U away vs opp off Mon gm... 4-1 O/U vs NFC NORTH GREEN BAY 4-0 O/U 2nd of BB HG vs non-diiv opp... 3-0 O/U aft Mon gm... 10-2 O/U aft Chic... 4-1 O/U vs NFC EAST... 4-1 O/U Game 9 Buffalo 4-1 O/U away vs AFC NORTH... 7-2 O/U non-div RD’s 6 < pts... but 1-4 O/U bef NYJ... 1-3 O/U Game 10... 1-3 O/U L4 vs Pit PITTSBURGH 5-0 O/U bef Det... 6-2 O/U Game 9... but 0-4 O/U 1st of BB HG... 0-4 O/U non-div HF’s 6 < pts... 1-7 O/U off SU L 21 > pts Oakland 2-0 O/U L2 vs NYG... 4-1 O/U A vs any EAST div opp... 4-1 O/U aft allow 45 > pts... 3-1 O/U aft Phil... but 2-12 O/U off off Bye NY GIANTS 10-3 O/U H vs any WEST div opp... 3-1 O/U bef GB... 3-1 O/U non-conf HF’s > 4 pts... 5-2 O/U Game 9... but 1-3 O/U aft Bye St. Louis 9-1 O/U vs AFC SOUTH... 5-1 O/U off home ‘Over’... 4-1 O/U non-conf dogs 8 > pts... 3-1 O/U aft Ten... but 1-3 O/U bef Bye INDIANAPOLIS 2-0 O/U L2 vs Stl... 4-1 O/U as favs off div ‘Over’... 9-2 O/U bef Ten... 3-1 O/U bef Thur RG... but 0-3 O/U aft Hous Seattle 4-0 O/U bef Min... 3-0 O/U L3 vs Atl (65.0)... 5-2 O/U non-div RF’s > 3 pts... 5-2 O/U vs NFC SOUTH... but 1-4 O/U Game 10 ATLANTA 10-3 O/U vs NFC WEST... 4-1 O/U Game 9... 3-1 O/U vs .800 > opp Gm 8 >... but 1-3 O/U home off BB RG... 1-3 O/U aft Car Cincinnati 5-1 O/U 1st of BB div gms... 3-1 O/U L4 vs Bal (48.0)... 6-2 O/U aft Thur gm... but 1-6 O/U off road fav loss... 2-6 O/U aft Mia BALTIMORE 5-0 O/U bef non-conf RG... 4-0 O/U home in 3rd straight div gm... 7-2 O/U vs opp off Thur gm... but 2-6 O/U aft Clev

1.800.PLAYBOOK • www.PLAYBOOK.com • page 15 A REVIEW OF THE CURRENT THIS WEEK'S BEST BETS STAR-RATED BEST BET SELECTIONS FOR WEEK ENDING MONDAY, NOVEMBER 11, 2013 3 BEST BET 4 BEST BET 5 BEST BET COLLEGE OKLAHOMA KANSAS STATE VIRGINIA TECH NFL BUCCANEERS PANTHERS SAINTS UPSET GAME STANFORD SUBSCRIBE TO PLAYBOOK TODAY: 1.800.752.9266

“Your purchase of the information in this publication is intended strictly for the private use of the subscriber and/or purchaser. The redistribution of any portion of this information, in any form, without the express written consent of Preferred Picks® (or Playbook® or Playbook.com®) is strictly prohibited and is subject to the laws of the jurisdictions involved.” 2013 COLLEGE & PRO FOOTBALL - NOVEMBER 5-11

Listed next to the games below are two entries: OL is the Don Best opening line on the contest and PB is the PLAYBOOK margin on the game. You have a PLAYBOOK BEST BET whenever our predicted margin of victory is 7 or more points in favor of your line. Remember, opening lines are subject to change during the week so always check YOUR CURRENT LINE against the PLAYBOOK line to determine a play. All times listed are Eastern Standard Time • Games in Offi cial International Rotation sequence • Dates & times subject to change OL PB OL PB OL PB OL PB 127 TULSA 163 COLORADO PAC-12 199 LSU TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 5 3:45 PM TIME CHANGE 8:00 PM TIME CHANGE 8:00 PM 128 E CAROLINA 14 12 164 WASHINGTON 26 31 200 ALABAMA CBS 9 8 101 OHIO U 3 129 ILLINOIS 165 TEXAS FOX 8 4 201 SAN DIEGO ST 8:00 PM 3:30 PM TIME CHANGE 7:00 PM TIME CHANGE 10:30 PM 102 BUFFALO ESPN2 2’ 130 INDIANA BIG10 9’ 8 166 WEST VIRGINIA 202 SAN JOSE ST CBSC 6’ 8 103 BOWLING GREEN 24 28 131 TCU 6’ 7 167 ARIZONA ST 7 1 8:00 PM 12:00 PM 4:00 PM TIME CHANGE SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 10 104 MIAMI OHIO ESPNU 132 IOWA ST FS1 168 UTAH PAC-12 133 FLORIDA ST 35 28 169 NEBRASKA 203 JACKSONVILLE WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 6 12:00 PM 3:30 PM 1:00 PM 134 WAKE FOREST ABC 170 MICHIGAN ABC 6’ 3 204 TENNESSEE 13’ 7 105 C MICHIGAN 135 UAB 171 HAWAII 205 PHILADELPHIA 8:00 PM 12:00 PM 3:30 PM 1:00 PM 106 BALL ST ESPN2 21’ 20 136 MARSHALL 20’ 27 172 NAVY CBSC 17 15 206 GREEN BAY 3 2 137 VIRGINIA TECH 10 173 UTEP 207 BUFFALO THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 7 7:00 PM TIME CHANGE 3:30 PM 1:00 PM 138 MIAMI FLA ESPN 6 174 NORTH TEXAS 24 24 208 PITTSBURGH 4 1

107 WASHINGTON 2 139 PENN ST 6 175 KANSAS FS1 209 OAKLAND 8:25 PM 12:00 PM 4:00 PM TIME CHANGE 1:00 PM 108 MINNESOTA NFL 1 140 MINNESOTA ESPN2 1’ 176 OKLAHOMA ST 32 27 210 NY GIANTS 6’ 3 109 OKLAHOMA 141 SYRACUSE 177 USC 17 21 211 ST. LOUIS 7:30 PM 3:30 PM TIME CHANGE 3:00 PM TIME CHANGE 1:00 PM 110 BAYLOR FS1 9 3 142 MARYLAND 3 3 178 CALIFORNIA FOX 212 INDIANAPOLIS 11’ 4 111 TROY ESPNU 143 MISSOURI 13’ 16 179 NOTRE DAME 3’ 1 213 SEATTLE 6’ 6 7:30 PM 12:00 PM 8:00 PM TIME CHANGE 1:00 PM 112 LA-LAFAYETTE 13 7 144 KENTUCKY ESPNU 180 PITTSBURGH ABC 214 ATLANTA 113 OREGON 8’ 145 VIRGINIA 181 MISSISSIPPI ST 215 CINCINNATI 2’ 9:00 PM 12:30 PM TIME CHANGE 3:30 PM 1:00 PM 114 STANFORD ESPN 1 146 NORTH CAROLINA 14 18 182 TEXAS A&M CBS 19 24 216 BALTIMORE 3 147 VANDERBILT 183 BOSTON COLLEGE 24 20 217 DETROIT FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 8 12:00 PM TIME CHANGE 3:30 PM 1:00 PM 148 FLORIDA 7’ 6 184 NEW MEXICO ST 218 CHICAGO NL 3 115 LOUISVILLE 27 31 149 W MICHIGAN 4 5 185 UTAH ST 13 16 219 CAROLINA 6 8:30 PM 1:00 PM 8:00 PM TIME CHANGE 4:05 PM 116 UCONN ESPN2 150 E MICHIGAN 186 UNLV ESPNU 220 SAN FRANCISCO 6’ 117 AIR FORCE ESPNU 1 151 TULANE 187 FLORIDA INT’L 221 HOUSTON 9:00 PM 2:00 PM 4:00 PM 4:25 PM 118 NEW MEXICO 1’ 152 UTSA 7’ 8 188 MIDDLE TENN 17 20 222 ARIZONA 3 3 153 FRESNO ST 14 4 189 ARKANSAS ST 223 DENVER 7 3 SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 9 10:15 PM TIME CHANGE 7:00 PM 4:25 PM 154 WYOMING ESPN2 190 LA-MONROE 3’ 3 224 SAN DIEGO 119 IOWA 14’ 16 155 KANSAS ST 8 191 SOUTHERN MISS 225 DALLAS NBC 12:00 PM 12:00 PM TIME CHANGE 7:00 PM 8:30 PM 120 PURDUE BIG10 156 TEXAS TECH ABC 2’ 192 LA TECH CBSC 14 14 226 NEW ORLEANS 6’ 17 121 W KENTUCKY 5 3 157 BYU 193 AUBURN 7 11 12:00 PM 3:30 PM 12:00 PM TIME CHANGE MONDAY, NOVEMBER 11 122 ARMY CBSC 158 WISCONSIN ESPN 7’ 11 194 TENNESSEE ESPN 123 SMU 159 ARKANSAS 195 HOUSTON 227 MIAMI 3’ 12:00 PM 12:20 PM TIME CHANGE 7:00 PM 8:40 PM 124 CINCINNATI 7 4 160 MISSISSIPPI 17’ 13 196 UCF ESPN2 10 6 228 TAMPA BAY ESPN 7 125 NC STATE 161 NEVADA 197 UCLA 2’ 3 NFL WEEK TEN BYES: 4:00 PM TIME CHANGE 3:30 PM 10:00 PM TIME CHANGE CLEVELAND, KANSAS CITY, 126 DUKE ESPNU 10 3 162 COLORADO ST 7’ 14 198 ARIZONA ESPN NEW ENGLAND, NEW YORK JETS Marc’s NFL Game Of The Month Goes This Sunday! 1.800.PLAYBOOK • www.PLAYBOOK.com • page 16