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Mass Evacuations As Second Cyclone in a Week Forms Off India 24 May 2021
Mass evacuations as second cyclone in a week forms off India 24 May 2021 Storm" ahead of landfall, the department said. Storm surges of up to four metres (13 feet) high were "likely to inundate low-lying coastal areas", it added. Evacuations in coastal districts and the Sundarbans mangrove forest, a UNESCO world heritage site, started on Sunday, West Bengal disaster management minister Javed Ahmed Khan said. "We have to evacuate nearly half a million people... to schools (and) government offices, which have been turned into cyclone centres to provide shelter to these people," Khan told AFP. Indian authorities have ordered the evacuation of nearly Odisha's special relief commissioner, Pradeep half a million people as a new cyclone heads towards Jena, told local media that evacuations were being the country's eastern coast. planned, with the state also making arrangements to provide power back-ups to oxygen plants supplying hospitals treating Covid-19 patients. Indian authorities on Monday ordered the Additional oxygen supplies were also being sent to evacuation of nearly half a million people out of the hospitals with virus patients in areas that could be path of a new cyclone heading towards the east of affected by Yaas. the country, just a week after another deadly storm smashed into the west coast. The military and disaster teams have been deployed to help with the preparations and potential The cyclones are hitting as India reels from a surge rescue operations, Prime Minister Narendra Modi in coronavirus infections that has plunged the said Sunday. healthcare system into crisis and pushed the country's Covid-19 death toll above 300,000. -
Cyclone Tauktae, May 2021 Second Advisory
Cyclone Tauktae, May 2021 Second Advisory Cyclone Tauktae that originated as a depression near the Lakshadweep Table 2: Forecasted Impact on the States in the next 48 hours- Wind Islands on May 14, has intensified into an Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm State 17th May 18th May (166 to 221 kmph), according to the IMD bulletin No. 25 (ARB/01/2021) at Gujarat Gale winds (155-165 kmph gusting to 185 Gale winds (80-90 kmph 1430 IST on May 17. According to the IMD forecasts, it is expected to move kmph; Gujarat coast) gusting to 100 kmph) north-north westwards and make a landfall on the coast of Gujarat near Porbandar and Mahuva (east of Diu) on the night of May 17, and further Goa Gale winds (180–190 kmph gusting to 210 move towards Rajasthan, weakening into a depression but with gusting kmph) wind and accompanying rainfall. Maharashtra Gale winds (90-100 kmph gusting to 100 Being the first cyclone to impact India in 2021, this ESCS has brought heavy kmph) rainfall and wind to all States and UTs on the western coast of India since Rajasthan Squally winds (45-55 kmph th May 14. A summary of potential wind and rainfall impacts (between 17 to gusting to 65 kmph) 19th May) over the various States along the western coast of India has been given in Table 1 and 2. Table 1: Forecasted Impact on the States in the next 48 hours- Rainfall IMPACT State 17th May 18th May 19th May Six people have lost their lives to the cyclone in Karnataka and 121 villages 1 Karnataka Heavy to Very Heavy Light to moderate rainfall are affected in the state . -
12 June 2019 1. Gujarat on Alert As Cyclonic Storm Vayu Inches Towards the Coast • the India Meteorological Department Issued
www.gradeup.co 12 June 2019 1. Gujarat on alert as cyclonic storm Vayu inches towards the coast • The India Meteorological Department issued an orange alert over Cyclone Vayu which is expected to reach the Gujarat coast. • Cyclone Vayu, named by India. • It is moving towards the North (expected to hit Gujarat coast) and is expected to draw moisture away from the monsoon that in turn will delay the arrival of monsoon. Related Information Conditions for cyclone formation: 1. Warm sea temperature of about 27 Celsius 2. Presence of Coriolis force 3. Calm atmospheric conditions How does Cyclone affect monsoon? • Cyclones are sustained by very strong low-pressure areas at their core. • Winds in surrounding areas are forced to rush towards these low-pressure areas. • Similar low-pressure areas, when they develop near or over land, are instrumental in pulling the monsoon winds over the country as well. • But right now, the low-pressure area at the centre of the cyclone is far more powerful than any local system that can pull the monsoon winds moving northeast. • Thus by sucking all the moisture from the monsoon winds towards itself the northward progress, especially in interior areas, would not be possible till the cyclone dissipates Different Cyclonic Alerts • Yellow: Be Updated • Orange: Be prepared • Red: Take action • Green: No warning Arabian Sea Cyclones • Arabian Sea cyclones are also relatively weak compared to those emerging in the Bay of Bengal. • In the last 120 years, just about 14% of all cyclonic storms, and 23% of severe cyclones, around India have occurred in the Arabian Sea. -
Tropical Cyclone Tauktae
Tropical Cyclone Tauktae - Estimated Impacts Warning 7, 15 May 2021 2100 UTC PDC-1I-7A JTWC Summary: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01A (TAUKTAE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 263 NM SOUTH OF MUMBAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM CONTINUED TO CONSOLIDATE AND HAS BECOME MORE SYMMETRICAL WITH A DEEPENING CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST AND AN EVOLVING EYE FEATURE.THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION FEATURE IN THE 151703Z AMSU-B 89GHZ PASS AND COMPOSITE WEATHER RADAR LOOP FROM GOA, INDIA.THE INITIAL INTENSITY 65 KNOTS IS BASED ON THE PGTW DVORAK ESTIMATE OF T4.0/65KTS AND ADT OF T3.9/63KTS.THE UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS WITH ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW, LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15KTS), AND WARM (31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE.TC 01A IS TRACKING POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYERED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE EAST AND WILL CONTINUE ON ITS CURRENT TRACK THROUGH TAU 36.AFTERWARD, IT WILL TRACK MORE NORTHWARD AND ROUND THE RIDGE AXIS BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL NEAR VERAVAL, INDIA SHORTLY AFTER TAU 48.THE POSSIBILITY OF RAPID INTENSIFICATION (RI) REMAINS HIGH DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS AS THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE, REACHING A PEAK INTENSITY OF 105 KNOTS BY TAU 36.AFTERWARD, THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN WITH LAND INTERACTION.AFTER LANDFALL, THE CYCLONE WILL RAPIDLY ERODE AS IT TRACKS ACROSS THE RUGGED TERRAIN, LEADING TO DISSIPATION BY TAU 120, POSSIBLY -
Intensity Prediction of Tropical Cyclones Using Long Short-Term Memory Network
INTENSITY PREDICTION OF TROPICAL CYCLONES USING LONG SHORT-TERM MEMORY NETWORK Koushik Biswas Sandeep Kumar Department of Computer Science, IIIT Delhi Department of Computer Science, IIIT Delhi New Delhi, India, 110020. & [email protected] Department of Mathematics, Shaheed Bhagat Singh College, University of Delhi New Delhi, India, 110020. [email protected], [email protected] Ashish Kumar Pandey Department of Mathematics, IIIT Delhi New Delhi, India, 110020. [email protected] July 8, 2021 ABSTRACT Tropical cyclones can be of varied intensity and cause a huge loss of lives and property if the intensity is high enough. Therefore, the prediction of the intensity of tropical cyclones advance in time is of utmost importance. We propose a novel stacked bidirectional long short-term memory network (BiLSTM) based model architecture to predict the intensity of a tropical cyclone in terms of Maximum surface sustained wind speed (MSWS). The proposed model can predict MSWS well advance in time (up to 72 h) with very high accuracy. We have applied the model on tropical cyclones in the North Indian Ocean from 1982 to 2018 and checked its performance on two recent tropical cyclones, namely, Fani and Vayu. The model predicts MSWS (in knots) for the next 3, 12, 24, 36, 48, 60, and 72 hours with a mean absolute error of 1.52, 3.66, 5.88, 7.42, 8.96, 10.15, and 11.92, respectively. Keywords Deep Learning · LSTM · Tropical Cyclone · Cyclone intensity arXiv:2107.03187v1 [cs.LG] 7 Jul 2021 1 Introduction The weather-related forecast is one of the difficult problems to solve due to the complex interplay between various cause factors. -
Winds, Rain Batter Western India As Cyclone Veers Away 13 June 2019, by Rajesh Joshi
Winds, rain batter western India as cyclone veers away 13 June 2019, by Rajesh Joshi On Wednesday, forecasters had been bracing for the system to hit Gujarat with full force winds equivalent to a category one or two hurricane. Authorities in Gujarat evacuated more than 285,000 people as a precaution. Schools have been closed, with officials fearing major damage to houses, crops, power lines and communications. Five people have been killed by lightning in Gujarat, mostly farmers and labourers working in fields, authorities said. The Air Force, Coastguard and Navy were all on high alert, with 36 teams from the National Disaster Cyclone Vayu had been expected to hit Gujarat with full Response Force (NDRF) deployed in coastal force areas. On Thursday, the eye of the cyclone was some 110 kilometres (70 miles) from Veraval, a major hub of High winds and heavy rains pounded western India India's fisheries industry, exporting to Japan, South on Thursday as a major cyclone expected to hit the East Asia, Europe, the Gulf and the United States. coast veered away instead into the Arabian Sea. The state also houses major ports as well as the Vayu, classified as a very severe cyclonic storm, Jamnagar oil refinery, the world's largest. moved north-northwestwards in the night over the Arabian Sea, and was around 110 kilometres (70 All ports in Gujarat halted the berthing of vessels miles) from the coast of Gujarat state. from Wednesday, while Indian Railways cancelled 77 trains. It was "very likely" to keep moving in the same direction, but still skirt the coast, packing winds of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who comes from 135-145 kilometres (84-90 miles) per hour and Gujarat, said Wednesday that the central gusts of 160 kilometres (100 miles) per hour, the government was closely monitoring the situation. -
Cyclone Tauktae
Cyclone Tauktae What is the issue? The recent Cyclone Tauktae has left a trail of death and destruction before making landfall in Gujarat. This reminds again that accurate forecasts and resilience-building hold the key to handling severe cyclones. How severe was Cyclone Tauktae? Cyclone Tauktae swelled into an extremely severe cyclonic storm. It led to dumping enormous volumes of water all along the west coast. The cyclone caused loss of life in Kerala, Karnataka, Goa, Maharashtra and Gujarat, before weakening overland. The twin crises of the cyclone and COVID-19 have strained the capacities of multiple States, especially the coastal ones. What are IMD’s recent measures? In 2020, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) launched an impact- based cyclone warning system. This was designed to reduce economic losses by focusing on districts and specific locations. It incorporates such factors as population, infrastructure, land use and settlements. The IMD also claimed that its accuracy of forecasts, for instance, in plotting landfall location, is now better. Together with ground mapping of vulnerabilities, this is a promising approach to avoid loss of life and destruction of property. What are the priorities now? Developing greater expertise in forecasting and disaster mitigation is essential. Crafting policies to increase resilience among communities is another priority. Arabian Sea has emerged as a major source of severe cyclones. Their intensity is aggravated by long-term rise in sea surface temperatures linked to pollution over South Asia and its neighbourhood. So importance of precise early warnings is high now than before. Climate-proofing lives and dwellings is also a high priority now. -
Cyclone Tauktae
Cyclone Tauktae drishtiias.com/printpdf/cyclone-tauktae Why in News Recently, Cyclone Tauktae made landfall in Gujarat. The cyclone has left a trail of destruction as it swept through the coastal states of Kerala, Karnataka, Goa and Maharashtra. Key Points 1/3 About: Named by: It is a tropical cyclone, named by Myanmar. It means 'gecko', a highly vocal lizard, in the Burmese language. Typically, tropical cyclones in the North Indian Ocean region (Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea) develop during the pre-monsoon (April to June) and post-monsoon (October to December) periods. May-June and October-November are known to produce cyclones of severe intensity that affect the Indian coasts. Classification: It has weakened into a "very severe cyclonic storm" from the "extremely severe cyclonic storm". The India Meteorological Department (IMD) classifies cyclones on the basis of the maximum sustained surface wind speed (MSW) they generate. The cyclones are classified as severe (MSW of 48-63 knots), very severe (MSW of 64-89 knots), extremely severe (MSW of 90-119 knots) and super cyclonic storm (MSW of 120 knots or more). One knot is equal to 1.8 kmph (kilometers per hour). Developed in Arabian Sea: Tauktae is the fourth cyclone in consecutive years to have developed in the Arabian Sea, that too in the pre-monsoon period (April to June). After Cyclone Mekanu in 2018, which struck Oman, Cyclone Vayu in 2019 struck Gujarat, followed by Cyclone Nisarga in 2020 that struck Maharashtra. All these cyclones since 2018 have been categorised either ‘Severe Cyclone’ or above. Arabian Sea becoming Hotbed of Cyclones: Annually, five cyclones on average form in the Bay of Bengal and the Arabian Sea combined. -
P17:Layout 1
Friday 17 International Friday, June 14, 2019 Winds, rain batter western India as cyclone veers away Forecasters had been bracing for the system to hit Gujarat AHMEDABAD: High winds and heavy rains teams from the National Disaster Response pounded western India yesterday as a major cy- Force (NDRF) deployed in coastal areas. clone expected to hit the coast veered away in- stead into the Arabian Sea. Vayu, classified as a Praying for safety very severe cyclonic storm, moved north-north- Yesterday, the eye of the cyclone was some westwards in the night over the Arabian Sea, and 110 kilometers from Veraval, a major hub of India’s was around 110 kilometers from the coast of Gu- fisheries industry, exporting to Japan, South East jarat state. It was “very likely” to keep moving in Asia, Europe, the Gulf and the United States. The the same direction, but still skirt the coast, pack- state also houses major ports as well as the Jam- ing winds of 135-145 kilometers per hour and nagar oil refinery, the world’s largest. All ports in gusts of 160 kilometers per hour, the India Me- Gujarat halted the berthing of vessels from teorological Department (IMD) said. Wednesday, while Indian Railways cancelled 77 “The threat of surge in wind, dust storm and trains. Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who comes rainfall remains very much. The centre of the from Gujarat, said Wednesday that the central storm — known as the eye — has slightly government was closely monitoring the situation. moved away from the Gujarat coast, but its di- “Praying for the safety and well-being of all those ameter is well over 900 kilometers,” an IMD of- affected by Cyclone Vayu,” he tweeted. -
Cyclone VAYU to Hit Gujarat Coast This Afternoon North India Gets Respite from Heatwave After Rainfall and Dust Storm India Unli
Imphal Times Supplementary issue 4 Cyclone VAYU to hit Gujarat coast Sport News this afternoon Nottingham weather today, India Agency places. Meanwhile, many Kutch through Video Kandla have been New Delhi June 13, parts in Saurashtra and Conference. suspended till today vs New Zealand World Cup 2019 south Gujarat witnessed He asked the officials to midnight. In Gujarat, cyclone Vayu is rainfall in the morning ahead ensure 100 per cent evacuation Th e Western Railway has also likely to hit the Veraval coast of the landfall of the of people and cattle living up decided to short-terminate or - Rain may force delayed start by toda y afternoon with a Cyclone. to 10 kilometres from the sea cancel some of its trains passing Agency eve of the New Zealand matches will take a major step wind speed of 155-165 kmph. AIR correspondent reported shore. through areas of Gujarat that are New Delhi June 13, encounter due to the gloomy towards ensuring semi-final The state government along that Chief Minister Vijay Total 47 teams of NDRF have likely to be affected by cyclone weather and wet patches in the qualification if they get a point with security agencies have Rupani visited the along with military forces have ‘Vayu’. Several parts of the state Heavy rain in Nottingham outfield. against India. Three more wins geared up to reduce the Gandhinagar control room been operational in the state. including Junagadh, Gir since Monday is likely to The met department has in their next five matches will damage of cyclone. So far, 2 yesterday midnight and held Meanwhile, flight operations Somnath, Dang, Sabarkantha are delay the start of India vs New predicted more than 50% more or less guarantee them a lakh 75 thousand people a meeting with district at airports in Porbandar, Diu, witnessing rainfall from the Zealand ICC World Cup 2019 chances of rain throughout top two finish. -
Climate Change 2020
Adani Transmission Ltd - Climate Change 2020 C0. Introduction C0.1 (C0.1) Give a general description and introduction to your organization. ATL is one of the largest private sector power transmission and distribution companies in India, and operates in the business of establishing, commissioning, operating and maintaining electric power transmission systems. It has operational projects in the states of Gujarat, Maharashtra, Rajasthan, Haryana, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh with more than 11,000 ckt km (circuit kilometres) of electric transmission lines with a transformation capacity of more than 18,000 MVA. The transmission networks are consistently operating at more than 99.76% availability. Our Vision is "To be a world-class leader in businesses that enrich lives and contribute to nations in building infrastructure through sustainable value creation". ATL has further set an ambitious target to set up 20,000 circuit km of transmission lines by 2022 by leveraging both organic and inorganic growth opportunities. Aligned with our business focus, we have developed expertise in our team to create modern, technology-based transmission assets for the nation, backed with potential market, project expertise and efficient O&M support. We are working with a philosophy of "Growth with Goodness" we, at ATL, are committed to shaping a common future through environmental stewardship, social responsibility and business performance. ATL’s commitment towards the economic, social and environmental aspects of its business lends credence to its vision of achieving leadership in the transmission sector. Our ESG outlook considers the two-way relationship our business maintains with our ecosystem and stakeholders, including customers, communities, employees, suppliers and so on. -
Pakistan's C Climate
Government of Pakistan Pakistan Meteorological Department SSttaattee ooff PPaakkiissttaann’’ss CClliimmaattee iinn 22001199 OVERVIEW • Pakistan’s annual rainfall 21% above normal • Rainfall above normal for Sindh & Balochistan • More than average rainfall during post -monsoon (OND ) season, especially in November • Close to average national mean temperature • First non-warmest year happened in past five years • Significant heatwaves in May and in June • Jacobabad 51 °C on 1-2 June hottest days of the year • The frequency of cyclones in Arabian Sea abnormally high in this year. • Four cyclones were formed in Arabian Sea • The cyclone “Vayu” reached close to Pakistan coast but dissipated before crossing coast • One of the strongest positive Indian Ocean Dipole event • El Niño–Southern Oscillation neutral throughout the year RAINFALL During the year 2019 the r ainfall activity over the country as a whole was slightly above normal (+21.4 per cent of long term average 1981-2010). The regions of Sindh, Balochistan & Punjab received above normal rainfall of the o rder of +63%, +47% & +18% respectively whereas AJK, GB & KPK experienced close to normal annual rainfall. Figure 1. Spatial d istrribution of 2019 annual rainfall actual (left) & departure (right ) 1 In the winter season (JFM) the rainfall activity over the country as a whole was moderately above normal (+37%). AJK (+7%) & KPK (+8%) received close to normal, Punjab (+37%) & GB (+34%) recorded moderately above normal and Balochistan (+59%) & Sindh (+210%) recorded largely above normal rainfall . In the pre-monsoon season (AMJ), rainfall activity over the country as a whole was more or less continuation of previous season, with moderately above normal rainfall (+27%).