Annual Report 2019
Annual report 2019
ON TO NEW HEIGHTS Financial results of Naftogaz Group in 2019, UAH bn
Oil midstream Gas domestic Total Integrated gas and downstream Gas transit* transmission* Gas storage Ukrnafta Other MARKET AND REFORMS
Revenues**
2018 289.6 137.8 13.0 72.3 27.2 1.8 36.1 1.4 2019 251.6 114.5 12.0 70.2 22.7 3.3 28.2 0.7 -13% -17% -8% -3% -17% 83% -22% -50% STRATEGY AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY
Assets
2018 578.3 210.5 14.9 96.4 18.3 199.8 30.0 8.6 2019 484.5 224.9 16.6 111.4 14.2 76.7 32.9 7.7 -16% 7% 11% 16% -22% -62% 10% -11% CORPORATE GOVERNANCE CORPORATE
Adjusted EBITDA
2018 90.9 43.3 2.2 36.6 -1.8 0.0 13.1 -2.5 2019 65.0 37.0 1.1 34.3 -9.8 2.0 2.3 -1.9 -28% -15% -50% -6 -444% 6 494% -82% 24% RESPONSIBILITY ENVIRONMENTAL AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL
* discontinued operations ** elimination for operations within the group was not included Net cash generated by Net profit Dividend payments Tax payments Capital investments operating activities
2018 11.6 29.5 109.1 24.9 71.6 2019 63.3 20.8 100.6 27.7 110.0 446% -30% -8% 11% 54% FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS
Annual Report 2019 2 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 3 Naftogaz Group CONTENTS Address of supervisory board 7 CEO's address 9 MARKET AND REFORMS MARKET AND REFORMS Macroeconomic overview 13 Natural gas market 17 Global oil market 33 Unbundling of GTS Operator 41 Natural gas transit 45 Legislative changes 49 STRATEGY AND OPERATIONS Address of COO 55 Integrated Gas Business Delivery Unit 61 Oil Midstream and Downstream Business Delivery Unit 77 Natural gas transmission 83 STRATEGY AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY Gas Storage Business Delivery Unit 91 Technical Business Enabling Unit 95 Ukrnafta PJSC results 101 New Energy Business Unit 105 New Businesses 109 CORPORATE GOVERNANCE Address of the supervisory board member 115 Corporate governance 117 Report of Naftogaz supervisory board 121 Executive board members and their remuneration 131
Risk management 133 GOVERNANCE CORPORATE ENVIRONMENTAL AND SOCIAL RESPONSIBILITY Address of first deputy CEO 137 Human resources management 139 Occupational safety 149 Cooperation with local communities 157 Investments in energy efficiency 159 Environmental protection 163 Procurement management 173 FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS CFO's address 179 RESPONSIBILITY Summary of 2019 results 181 ENVIRONMENTAL AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL Consolidated financial statements 185 Independent auditor’s report 187 Consolidated statement of financial position 191 Consolidated statement of profit or loss 192 Consolidated statement of comprehensive income 192 Consolidated statement of changes in equity 193 Consolidated statement of cash flows 193 ADDITIONAL INFORMATION Determination of the content and the material topics of the report 237 Material topics under GRI Standard 239 Contacts 245 Terms and abbreviations 246 FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS
Annual Report 2019 4 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 5 Naftogaz Group MARKET AND REFORMS
It is my great pleasure, on behalf of my colleagues on the private discussions with the President of Russia. We are also supervisory board and all employees of Naftogaz of Ukraine, grateful to Ukraine's international partners in EU and USA to invite you to read this 2019 Annual Report. whose support helped us achieve the result. ADDRESS OF The past year has been an extraordinary time for the Finally, the third challenge was to steer the Naftogaz Group company and achievements have been commensurate. Our through turbulent global times, including a rapidly melting challenges have been numerous and extremely difficult. I am energy market and falling oil and gas prices. This context has very proud that the company, under the leadership of Andriy made our third challenge equally vital: the transformation Kobolyev and the executive board, has managed to meet all of Naftogaz into a modern energy company that Ukraine can SUPERVISORY of our challenges successfully, to the benefit of the people of be proud of and that is a major actor on the energy front Ukraine. contributing in a substantial way to the transformation of the In these thanks, I naturally wish to associate the country towards a vibrant, healthy and sustainable future that
government of Ukraine. Without their support, our serves the people of Ukraine well. AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY achievements would not have been possible either. Now that the unbundling has been completed, the BOARD CHAIR Allow me some brief words on each of these challenges. Stockholm arbitration is behind us – fortunately with The first challenge has been the successful unbundling substantial revenues in our bank accounts – the third and delivery of our UTG business to form an independent challenge, the Naftogaz transformation into a vibrant and transmission business. On January 1, 2020 the unbundling exemplary energy player in the midst of a collapse of the project was completed. OGTSU LLC was transferred from energy markets will become the main focus of the group for Ukrtransgaz JSC (Naftogaz Group) to the ownership and the coming years. This challenge has also seen progress during management of the state company MGU JSC, 100% of which the last year, particularly with the planned strengthening of is owned by the Ministry of Finance of Ukraine. Many doubted our executive board and the further progress on the internal that this unbundling would be achieved, in time and in quality. organization of the "new" Naftogaz. This was for me never in doubt. I wish to thank the Naftogaz We already know that 2020 does not offer in its early Unbundling team for ensuring this outcome, as well as the months much to rejoice about: gas prices have continued to
supervisory board of MGU, who have become partners in this fall, but in addition the entire globe has been attacked by the GOVERNANCE CORPORATE major development. COVID-19 virus, which in the short run has halted most of the In creating the successful unbundled business, we greatly world's economies, further depressing energy markets, but benefited from the support of major European international foremost putting the government and the people of Ukraine transmission partners who formed a consortium to advise in front of tremendous challenges, of a type not experienced us on the operation, and also the Energy Community so far. Secretariat who atively participated and certified the new Times were already expected, towards the end of 2019, unbundled entity as complying with the European Energy to become even more difficult in 2020. The current health Directives. Other international partners, such as the World and economic crisis are making the year 2020 even more Bank, the EBRD, and also some major countries committed critical. Fortunately, the government of Ukraine has agreed to Ukraine's transformation, watched and supported us. Let with our recommendation to reappoint our CEO for another them receive our thanks here and we remain indebted to 4 years, allowing continuity and competence in leadership them. This means that a major step has been made to fulfill at a time when stress and disruption appear all around us. RESPONSIBILITY Ukraine's promise as an integrated player in European and Andriy Kobolyev, together with the new executive board and international gas markets. This has been achieved and we the entire Naftogaz community, has our greatest thanks and AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL should all take pride in it. admiration for accepting the challenge in what are most Clare Spottiswoode The second challenge facing Naftogaz was our litigation difficult times, and agreeing to put their best efforts that the Supervisory board chair with Gazprom at the Stockholm Court of Arbitration. All have group can continue its journey towards showing that Ukraine witnessed the successful conclusion of these negotiations has one more great company to be proud of. with an agreement by Gazprom to not only pay USD 2.9 billion Ukraine is a resilient country, not unfamiliar with suffering to Naftogaz as part of the settlement of the arbitration case, in major ways. Naftogaz has inherited this resilience in its but also to agree a 5-year transmission contract which allows blood, and it will serve the group well in the months and years Naftogaz to absorb the loss of its transmission business (and to come, and Naftogaz will come out of the current global With my and my board’s sincere thanks. its associated revenues) in a more gradual way. Of course, this crisis stronger. This we all are committed to in Naftogaz Group, agreement was made possible by the excellent negotiating and we will spare no efforts to also navigate 2020 in the best efforts of Naftogaz team, which very early on believed in the way possible notwithstanding a very adverse environment. possibility of this outcome and then spared no effort to make In this environment, we look forward to the support of it happen. The outcome vitally benefited from the full support our shareholder, the government of Ukraine, and all the and engagement of the President of Ukraine, who spared stakeholders of Naftogaz Group who share its ambition and no effort either in ensuring this most favorable outcome in purpose. FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS
Annual Report 2019 6 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 7 Naftogaz Group a drop in their cost. In particular, we anticipated that gas Ukrainians. Therefore, steps aimed at creating a transparent, would cost much less due to the LNG market glut and the competitive gas market in Ukraine will develop the country emergence of new suppliers. However, the economic crisis as a whole and strengthen opportunities for greater social CEO’S ADDRESS turned out to be much stronger than we expected. Sharp justice. fluctuations in the price of oil and gas, together with the As a result of reforms in recent years, today’s Ukraine is
obvious dependence of this volatility on political decisions, no longer dependent on gas supplies from Russia, and no MARKET AND REFORMS the development of pandemic conditions in different regions one can use the gas lever for political purposes. To further of the world, and the growing global trend of abandoning strengthen the country's energy independence, we will work hydrocarbons as an energy source, all serve to create a in two key areas – increasing natural gas production and fundamentally new environment in which we have to work. reducing consumption by implementing energy efficiency The dramatic change in the economic landscape measures. Given the unprecedented reduction in gas prices definitely impacts our development strategy, budgets and in the world this year, and the fact that prices in some periods investment priorities. The plunge in prices for fossil fuels were lower than the cost of production, we are introducing and uncertainty about the timing of the global economic internal competition between upstream and energy efficiency recovery are forcing us to revisit previously approved businesses for capital investment. The company's money will development programs. Naftogaz must always respond work exactly where it currently generates the greatest return. to external changes and adapt in order to achieve its own Economic feasibility is the main criterion when determining strategic objectives. the directions of internal investment. We realize that Naftogaz remains one of the major Despite the fluctuations in oil and gas price, expansion
Andriy Kobolyev contributors to the state budget and an important stability of proven hydrocarbon reserves remains a strategic priority. AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY Chief Executive Officer factor for Ukraine’s financial system. We also understand that We see this work as an investment in the future energy raising funds in international financial markets under current independence of our country and aim to increase the intensity market conditions will be more difficult than before and and efficiency of our exploration activities. GETTING STRONGER AND SHOWING RESULTS In 2019, Naftogaz generated a net profit of will require a clearer business model, rigorous selection of The preparation of the company for a future IPO – place- UAH 50.6 billion, of which 95% was paid to the state as investment projects, and reliable repayment sources. ment of part of its shares on a stock exchange – is closely 2019 was a year of great challenges for Naftogaz, but dividends. This is a new record for our company or any other Cooperation with international financial organizations linked to the transformation processes taking place within the also a year of significant achievements. The hard work of the state-owned company in Ukraine. remains a priority to both Ukraine and Naftogaz. The group. These processes are implemented in order to increase previous periods has begun to yield results – the company has Ongoing transformation processes within the group now company successfully secured loan facilities from the the efficiency of business processes, eliminate duplication of demonstrated its ability to resolve the most difficult problems allow Naftogaz to rapidly resolve complex problems in related EBRD and the World Bank on several occasions in order to functions, simplify decision-making procedures, and strength- rapidly and efficiently. areas. In particular, a serious challenge for us was the prompt ensure uninterrupted gas supplies to Ukrainian consumers. en the personal responsibility of managers. To perform these 2019 saw an effective reset in relations between Ukraine’s take over of operational management of Novoyavorivska and This fruitful cooperation was possible thanks to reforms tasks, we have significantly updated the composition of the biggest company and the country’s authorities. For perhaps Novorozdilska combined heat and power plants (CHPs) in implemented by the Ukrainian government in the gas market board and management of the company, attracting experi- the first time, we saw clear synergy in the teamwork of the Lviv region. The ability of the Naftogaz team to quickly adapt and SOE corporate governance. enced professionals. The company will further strengthen its GOVERNANCE CORPORATE government, parliament and Naftogaz. This synergy resulted to risks and learn new skills we gained during past years of While continuing reforms aimed at improving the management capabilities. in the flawless unbundling of the gas transmission system reforms prevented a man-made catastrophe. We launched efficiency of the group, we will focus on specific tasks It is during the current crisis that we have to prove that operator (GTS) and successful negotiations with Russia on both CHPs and promptly provided 60,000 residents with heat set by our shareholder – the government. These include we are an effective company capable of transforming and continued gas transit through Ukraine. We would like to thank and hot water. I greatly appreciate this local achievement, ensuring revenues to the state budget, strengthening energy changing the business landscape around us. the president, the governmental team, and members of as it supports our course to build a sustainable and highly independence, increasing proven oil and gas reserves, and Naftogaz is pursuing a digitization strategy, which helps parliament for their commitment to coordinated and fruitful efficient business capable of responding quickly to changing preparing the company for an IPO. These strategic tasks remove paper document flow, make business processes more cooperation with Naftogaz to the benefit of the Ukrainian circumstances while creating value in new industries. require us to work even harder in the current environment. In transparent, and improve accuracy and speed of data with people. I hope this effective cooperation will continue in 2020. Last year, in view of the size of the company and its impact the process of their implementation, new growth points will controlled access to information. We began this process with We performed a very complicated unbundling of the GTS on the economy of Ukraine, one of our key focuses was the inevitably be created, both for Naftogaz Group and for the the comprehensive introduction of SAP. operator in as little as six months. I would like to emphasize development of the national gas market. whole country. It is especially important for me that the tasks Implemented projects include a consolidated reporting that the unbundling process was implemented according An oversupplied market and full storage facilities induced set by the owner are organically combined with our vision of and financial planning system based on SAP BPC, Energy to the comprehensive plan proposed by the Naftogaz team price decoupling in the Ukrainian market: competitive offers the group’s overall development strategy. Trading Risk Management, Business Process Management and RESPONSIBILITY several years ago. This plan enabled Ukraine to achieve two have been priced below import parity over the past several Talent Management System. Our IT strategy road map until goals: create the independent GTS operator in line with to months. Naftogaz shifted from regulated pricing cap set out in 2023 contains nearly 70 IT projects. AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL European rules and protect the country's interests in the a resolution of the Cabinet of Ministers to market pricing. LEADERS OF FUTURE CHANGE In addition to improving business processes, we plan to arbitration proceedings against Gazprom. I am grateful to all The new opportunities, competencies and safety buffer continue opening up new areas of activity, including entry to involved decision makers for trusting our judgement. gained in 2019 make us confident that the group will address In addition to close cooperation with international the gas retail market and development of renewables. We The successful unbundling of the GTS operator made it new challenges effectively and set even more ambitious goals. financial organizations, the task of generating increased believe that only an effective and diversified business will be possible to sign a new transit deal with Gazprom on beneficial It is already clear that further challenges await in what is an economic value requires the completion of the Ukrainian able to ensure sustainable value creation for shareholders terms for Ukraine. This new contract guarantees at least extremely unfavorable business environment. gas market reform, an increase in its resilience to external amid the economic storm. USD 7.2 billion in stable revenues until 2024. influences, and the elimination of opportunities for abuse To ensure sustainable development, the group will con- Moreover, the Russian monopolist paid compensation by individual players. This is possible under conditions of tinue to increase investment in occupational safety, environ- awarded under the early Stockholm arbitration ruling. ON THE THRESHOLD OF GREAT full market liberalization, transition from mass to personal mental protection, and interaction with the local communities In 2019, Naftogaz was once again the largest source of state TRANSFORMATIONS subsidies, and the creation of a favorable environment for the where we operate. budget revenues. During the year, we paid UAH 121.4 billion development of competition. The state and society are just as I am grateful to the Naftogaz team. I remain convinced in taxes and dividends to the state and local budgets. Almost The world, including Ukraine, has entered a period of interested in these transformations as Naftogaz, because the that by constantly improving, we will be able to respond to every sixth hryvnia of the state budget revenue was generated economic crisis due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Last year, we billions of dollars owed by individual market participants are the many challenges facing the company. We take our share by Naftogaz Group. Flexibility and financial reliability of Naftogaz projected certain indications of crisis in the global economy, direct budget losses. These funds would greatly strengthen of responsiblity for Ukraine, we care for our country, and we provide support to the state as our only shareholder. including a reduction in consumption of fossil fuels and the government's ability to provide social support for all drive its development through our work. FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS
Annual Report 2019 8 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 9 Naftogaz Group IN THIS SECTION: WORLD GAS PRODUCTION GAS PRICES AT EUROPEAN HUBS 13 | Macroeconomic overview 17 | Natural gas market 33 | Global oil market +6.1 % -40 % 41 | Unbundling of GTS Operator Increase in world gas Change in gas prices at
45 | Natural gas transit production European hubs MARKET AND REFORMS 49 | Legislative changes STRATEGY AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY CORPORATE GOVERNANCE CORPORATE RESPONSIBILITY ENVIRONMENTAL AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL
THE ERA OF LOW PRICES
While natural gas has often been described as the "fuel of the future," recent trends indicate that the future is already here. In 2019 the global natural gas market showed the second fastest annual growth rate in global gas production, gradually growing over the last decade. Due to low gas prices and high prices for carbon emission permits, gas consumption MARKET AND REFORMS MARKET has increased in the electricity sector, displacing coal in many European countries. FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS
Річний звіт 2019 10 Група Нафтогаз Річний звіт 2019 11 Група Нафтогаз MACROECONOMIC GDP IN 2019 REAL WAGES In 2019, real GDP In 2019, real wages growth remained at the of regular employees level of 2018 increased by 9.8% OVERVIEW +3.2 % +9.8 % MARKET AND REFORMS
STRENGTHENING THE POSITION 2020, real wage growth began to decline at the end of Q1 2020. Consumer Price Index and Real Wages Index in 2014-2020 2019 was the year of restoring relative financial stability Despite the recovery of domestic demand, the National in Ukraine, which was achieved against the backdrop of sig- Bank of Ukraine managed to keep consumer inflation to the 50 nificant political changes. Major factors include decrease in level of 4.1%. Lower inflationary pressure on the national -cur 43.3% inflation pace, successful efforts of the Ministry of Finance of rency, primarily due to lower energy prices and stabilization Ukraine on the capital markets, which resulted in reduction of of hryvnia after weakening in March 2020, provides grounds 40 the costs of borrowings as well as in reduction of refinancing for 2020 inflation expectation in the target range of 5% + -1% rate. Other factors included strengthening of the national according to the Inflation Report released by National Bank of 30 currency, decrease in the unemployment rate, increase in Ukraine on January, 2020. AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY average wages and salaries. Increase in goods and services export revenues, growing 24.9% 19.1% At the same time, in 2019 Ukraine faced slight reduction agricultural productivity coupled with a decrease in energy 20 12.4% 12.5% in real GDP growth rate relative to 2018, which amounted to prices had a positive impact on the balance of payments. In 9.8% 9.3% 3.2%. This slowdown could be explained, primarily by the addition, a significant factor in decrease of the current-ac- % 10 13.7% unfavorable external markets environment which affected count deficit (from USD 4.2 billion to USD 1.3 billion) was re- 9.0% 8.9% 4.1% 6.0% industrial production and outlook, including falling prices ceipt of compensation by Naftogaz of Ukraine from Gazprom 0 on the metal market resulting from trade wars between the pursuant to the Stockholm arbitration award. largest producers and consumers, as well as weakening of Stabilization of macroeconomic indicators led to decrease price competitiveness of the industry due to strengthening of the capital costs to the lowest, over the years, borrowing -10 -6.5% of the national currency. In turn, high crop yields and rising rates on public offering in foreign markets. domestic consumption supported by higher incomes of the Nafogaz managed to get the attractive interest rate during -20 population and improving consumer sentiment partially Eurobonds placement in 2019. The interest rate at the date of is- -20.2% offset the negative effect of the industrial slowdown. suance was only 127 basis points higher than the quotaton of the GOVERNANCE CORPORATE -30 In 2019, incomes of the population continued to grow, Ukraine’s sovereign debt with a similar maturity. Peak demand for 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 forecast largely as the result of the increase in the average wage. Nafogaz Eurobonds exceeded supply by 2.9 tmes, which indicates Thus, in 2019 real wages of full-time employees increased a high level of confdence in the сompany’s creditworthiness. Consumer Price Index Real Wages Index by 9.8%, however, primarily due to the quarantine restric- The economic growth in 2019 contributed to an increase tions imposed to contain the COVID-19 outbreak in March in demand for labor, which led to a reduction in unemploy- Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine
GDP growth rates and Industrial Production Index Ukraine's balance of payments in 2019, USD billion
6 4.0% RESPONSIBILITY 4 3.4% 3.2%
2.4% AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL 2.5% -4.2 2 3.0% 2.9 0 1.1% 7.3
% -2 -0.5% 6.0
-4 3.1 -6 -6.6% -5.0% 0.0 -8 -9.8% Capital Financial Current Balance of Compensation Balance of -10 GDP change rate Industrial Production Index account account operations payments not from Gazprom payments -12 -12,3% including including compensation compensation 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 from Gazprom from Gazprom forecast FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine Source: NBU's Inflation Report
Annual Report 2019 12 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 13 Naftogaz Group ment rate. The labor migration continues to play an import- IMF forecasts a 7.7% drop in Ukraine's GDP in 2020 and an ant role in the Ukrainian economy. According to preliminary increase of 3.6% in 2021. Labor market in Ukraine estimates by the National Bank of Ukraine, in 2019 private Along with global challenges, a number of internal problems 12 25 transfers to Ukraine (through official and informal channels) remain relevant: Ukraine continues to lag behind the European amounted to nearly USD 12 billion. Still, a significant reduc- countries in growth rates and is more vulnerable to the effects 9.3% 9.5% tion in transfers from abroad should be expected in 2020 of the financial crisis without international support. 9.1% 9.3% 8.8% 20 since thousands of migrant workers were forced to return to The stability of the Ukrainian economy continues to be 9 8.2%
Ukraine due to the quarantine restrictions. significantly influenced by the program of Cooperation with MARKET AND REFORMS 15 IMF, the main condition of which is the continuation of reforms in Ukraine. The adoption of a law prohibiting the return of % 6 1.4 EXPECTING THE CRISES bankrupt banks to ex-owners and opening the land market are 18.1 10 million among the key steps to the new program. 16.4 16.3 16.2 16.4 16.6 3 In 2019, new external challenges appear, in particular, As of the date of this report, Ukraine has fulfilled all the 5 worsening conditions through the transition of the global conditions for continuing cooperation with the IMF, agreed on a economy into a recession phase as well as increased world stand-by program in the amount of UAH 5 billion for a period of commodity prices volatility. A real shock to the global econ- 18 months instead of an extended financing program (EFF) for 0 0 omy was the COVID-19 pandemic, which broke out in China a period of 3 years and received the first tranche from IMF. The 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 in December 2019. This event forced major review of the cooperation with IMF is expected to enhance financial stability by Unemployment rate. % Employed population aged 15-70, million expectations of the global economy growth. maintaining a balance of payments and supporting the budget. Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine At the time of the release of this Annual Report, a high In recent years the international analytical agencies have level of uncertainty concerning the virus influence on the perceived Ukraine's cooperation with the IMF as an indicator of economy and the time needed for restoring the world stability. Continuation and protection of initiated reforms from AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY economy growth remained both in Ukraine and globally. political influence such as anti-corruption, corporate gover- Revised global growth forecast According to the World Economic Outlook Report (here- nance reforms, etc. directly affect the macroeconomic situation 10 9.2 inafter WEO Report) released by the International Monetary in the country. 8 Fund (hereinafter IMF) as of April 2020, and based on the 2020 is expected to be the year of high levels of required 6.1 6.0 6 5.8 5.8 assumption that the pandemic will fade in the second half public debt repayment. Macroeconomic dangers may be com- 4.7 4.7 4 2.9 3.3 3.4 3.0 2.9 of 2020, the world economy is expected to decline by 3%, pounded by other risks, such as global economic recession 2.3 2.0 2.2 2 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.7 1.2 1.1 which is 6.3 percentage points below January 2020 expecta- due to the coronavirus, war escalation in the eastern Ukraine, 0.7 0.7 0.5 2.3 tions. The major impact is assumed in Q2 2020 for almost all reduction in agricultural yields due to worsening of weather % 0 countries except China (where it was in Q1 2020). In turn, it conditions, increased volatility in world prices, and decline in -2 is estimated that countries experiencing the large-scale virus foreign investments. -4 -3.0 outbreak will lose up to 8% of working days in 2020 during One of the Ukraine’s tangible risks, namely the loss of the -6 -5.2 -5.3 the quarantine regime and gradual abolition of the quaran- contract for the gas transit through the territory of Ukraine to -5.9 -8 -7.5 tine measures. The current Great Lockdown is considered to the European clients starting from 2020, which has created sig- World Eurozone USA China Japan Brazil GOVERNANCE CORPORATE be the worst recession since the Great Depression, never- nificant tensions in Europe as well, has been resolved satisfac- theless, the IMF anticipates recovery to begin in 2021, the torily for Ukraine, reduced uncertainty and will have a positive 2019 2020 (forecast as of Jan‘20) 2020 (forecast as of Jan‘20) global economy is projected to grow by 5.8%. In turn, the impact on the country's economy in the coming periods. 2021 (forecast as of Apr‘20) 2021 (forecast as of Jan‘20) Source: IMF
Capital flows in Ukraine in 2019 Scheduled sovereign debt repayments as of 01.06.2020
Net borrowings FDI 600
8 RESPONSIBILITY 7.2 7.3 2012 8.4 500 486.7
7 AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL Rest of 2013 4.5 400 6 real sector 171.8 363.5 2.5 2014 0.4 5 4.3 2015 3.0 300 0.5 Naftogaz 264.0 billion UAH 162.7 232.9 232.3 4 Group 215.6 USD billion USD 2016 3.3 200 190.2 176.7 157.3 3 314.9 134.1 131.8 115.0 153.9 140.8 2017 2.6 117.8 Public 137.2 94.0 96.3 78.6 2 4.2 100 200.8 66.0 sector 2.4 2.9 2018 98.8 100.5 87.3 100.6 1 53.0 59.9 61.0 51.8 62.2 2019 3.1 0 0 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 2018 2019 Foreign debt Domestic debt USD billion FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS Source: NBU Source: Ministry of Finance of Ukraine
Annual Report 2019 14 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 15 Naftogaz Group EUROPEAN NATURAL GAS MARKET 1 EUROPEAN GAS MARKET KEY INDICATORS 2019: Sustainability-focused policies in selected markets NATURAL — For the 2019, the spot prices at the European hubs drop by 43.7% (or 10.2 EUR / MWh) on TTF and 38.9% (or 8.6 China Mandated coal to gas switch to improve local air EUR / MWh) on NCG. quality — Gas consumption in European countries increased by 3.6% South Korea Reduction in coal and nuclear power generation
(or 18.5 bcm) compared to the previous year. MARKET AND REFORMS GAS MARKET — Natural gas production in Europe was 6.3% (or 16.8 bcm) Saudi Arabia Phase out of oil products used in power generation lower than the 2018 volumes. — Natural gas imports to Europe increased by 10.2% (or 38.3 bcm) compared to 2018, while European LNG imports Great Britain Carbon price floor driving coal out of power generation GLOBAL NATURAL GAS MARKET rose by a record 41.6% from 54 million tons in 2018 to 76 million tons in 2019. According to the European Com- India Expansion of city gas distribution to improve air 2019 can safely be called the year of beginning "low prices" mission, LNG became the second largest source of natural quality trend in both the natural gas and overall commodity gas imports to Europe in Q2 and Q3 2019. 36% Source: Snam Global Gas Report 2019 Change in price of gas markets: A clear downward trend in prices in Europe can be traced at world hubs** — Over the year, natural gas prices have significantly fallen as far back as January 2019. or even halved at 3 key world gas hubs, i.e., the prices in The main contributors to the declining trend were, first Europe (TTF hub) decreased by more than 40%, in the USA and foremost, an increase in supply in the market owing to + (Henry Hub) – by 19%, in Asia (NE Asia spot hub) – by 40% the increasing LNG imports and the convergence of world 143 compared to the 2018 average. regional prices. The decline in gas consumption in Asia and -41 % AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY BCM — At the beginning of 2020, the prices kept dropping and the increase in production in the US led to excess LNG flows Change in gas prices at over Q1 2020 the TTF prices fell by another 21% compared diverted to Europe that surged gas supply in an already satu- Change in capacity for gas European hubs** export-import*** to Q4 2019. rated market. — According to forecasts by leading think tanks, gas prices The factor that contributed to supporting gas prices in the - % will remain depressed in the short term due to slowdown European market, especially the front-month curve in Octo- 6.3 in global economic growth and foreign trade volumes, ber-November 2019, was a concern about the expiry of the Change in natural gas +12.5 % weak demand for liquefied natural gas (hereinafter transit agreement between Ukraine and Russia on January 1, production volumes* referred to as “LNG”) in China, large volumes of natural gas 2020 and uncertainty at that time about the likelihood of the Growth of LNG production in the world**** in European storage facilities, and commissioning of new parties entering into a new agreement. Due to the uncertainty LNG capacities. about the terms of the potential new agreement, the vol- umes of transit, and the overall risk of not entering into a new +41.6% However, such a price drop is not surprising, given the agreement, market participants ensured record volumes of Increase in LNG imports to
+ % GOVERNANCE CORPORATE 11.1 number of factors that were affecting the natural gas natural gas injected into the UGS (i.e., 97% of UGS maximum Europe*** Increase in biogas market during the year such as: capacity was filled up) during the gas injection season. capacity *** — Natural gas production and trade growth rates, amounting Owing to the fact that the risks of not signing the transit to 6.1% and 2.8% respectively, exceeded the consumption agreement between Ukraine and Russia did not material- +33.9 % +6.1 % growth rate of 2.5%, which resulted in an imbalance ize, and because of the temperatures keeping higher than The level of reserves in storage between supply and demand building energy resource the historical averages (the average annual temperature facilities in Europe at the end of Increase in world gas surplus. in Europe in 2019 was 1.2 °C higher than the 1981-2010 the year compared to production* — Development of trade infrastructure, namely increase in average), Europe ended the heating season with record 2014-2018 average**** LNG production capacity by 40 million tons / year (up to high gas reserves (i.e., 60% of total capacity was filled up, +2.5 % 442 million tons / year) in North America, Asia, Africa and which is the highest level ever recorded in Europe at the + % the Middle East; regional pipelines capacity expansion and end of the heating season). The lockdown measures taken 3.6 Increase in world gas commissioning of the Turkish Stream, the Trans-Anatolian to curb the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic as well as Increase in natural gas consumption* Natural Gas Pipeline (TANAP) and the EUGAL pipeline. anticipation of a financial crisis are not favorable conditions consumption* RESPONSIBILITY — The world average temperature in 2019 keeping 0.6 °C to boost gas demand. The prices keep falling in 2020 (by +2.8% above the 1981-2010 average and only 0.04 °C below the 21% in Q1 2020 compared to Q4 2019), and it is difficult to AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL average temperature in 2016, which is the warmest year in predict the potential floor the gas prices could touch owing Increase in LNG trade and the history of meteorological observations. to such bearish sentiments. +10.2 % gas transportation through — At the same time, along with the factors favorable for the Increase in natural gas pipelines* gas prices downward dynamics, 2019 saw a noticeable Overall, 2019 proved to be a year of "surplus" for the imports to Europe* intensification of the implementation of sustainable devel- global natural gas market due to both endogenous factors opment policy and government support for environmental (i.e., supply), and exogenous factors including weather and + °С protection measures. These practices, in turn, are becom- infrastructure developments. Whether the natural gas price + °С Note: Unless otherwise stated, the 2018 and 0.6 1.2 ing increasingly important drivers inflating demand for curve can change its trend upward will depend on possible 2019 indicators are compared. The average annual Average annual natural gas. In particular, in 2019, global biomethane ca- changes in the natural gas supply and demand balance. Note: Unless otherwise stated, the 2018 and temperature in the world temperature in Europe pacity increased by 11.1% (or 0.5 bcm), low-carbon hydro- Factors that can have a significant impact on this balance and 2019 indicators are compared. (compared to the period (compared to Source: 1981-2010)***** gen capacity – by 37.8% (or 1.7 bcm), and CCUS (carbon determine price dynamics are discussed below. 1981-2010) ***** Source: *OECD Monthly gas statistics December 2019 capture, utilization and storage) capacity – by 16.2% (or 6 *Eurostat **Average change in prices at the Henry Hub, NBP, and NE Asia spot hub **Average change in prices at TTF and NCG hubs; data taken from Bloomberg ***Snam Global Gas Report 2019 Mt СО2) comparing to the previous year. ***According to ICIS ****According to McKinsey ****According to AGSI+platform *****https://www.climatechangenews.com/-2019/08/01/2020second- *****https://www.euronews.com/13/01/2020/climate-now-2019-was- FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS warmest-year-record-ends-hottest-decade-yet-says-eu-observatory/ warmest-year-on-record-in-europe
Annual Report 2019 16 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 17 Naftogaz Group THE ERA OF LOW PRICES Dynamics of gas production in the United States While natural gas has often been described as the "fuel of — Average annual spot prices at TTF hub fell by 41% (from +10.3% the future," recent trends indicate that the future is already EUR 23.59 / MWh in 2018 to EUR 13.83 / MWh in 1 050 here. In 2019 the global natural gas market showed the sec- 2019). In December 2019, the price decreased by 43.7% 1 000 +12.4% ond fastest annual growth rate in global gas production, grad- compared to the beginning of the year. ually growing over the last decade. — Average annual spot prices at NCG hub fell by 39% 950
Due to low gas prices and high prices for carbon emission (from EUR 23.16 / MWh in 2018 to EUR 14.17 / MWh in 900 +26.9% MARKET AND REFORMS permits, gas consumption has increased in the electricity 2019). In December 2019, the price decreased by 38.9% sector, displacing coal in many European countries. In Q3 compared to the beginning of the year. 850 bcm 2019, coal imports to Europe have fallen to a minimum since — Brent crude oil prices fell 10% year-on-year (from 800 1 025 2000, according to KPMG. As a result, coal-fired electricity USD 71.06 / barrel in 2018 to USD 64.24 / barrel in 929 generation in Europe is down 24% in 2019 compared to the 2019). In December 2019, the price increased by 10.8% 750 previous year. compared to the beginning of the year. 815 804 827 700 779 Supply indicators analysis shows the main increase in — Coal API2 average annual prices fell by 33% (from 724 gas production in the U.S. (+87 bcm, or +10%) and Australia USD 91.87 / t in 2018 to USD 61.67 / t in 2019). In 650 634 681 716 (+21.4 bcm, or +16.4%), which is related to the global LNG December 2019, the price decreased by 32.2% compared 0 infrastructure development and the shale gas production to the beginning of the year. 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 technology prices reduction. According to EIA (U.S. Energy — At the same time, the price of CO2 emission permits Information Administration), natural gas consumption in the has increased by 56% (from USD 15.92 / t in 2018 to Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, in-house estimates United States increased by only 3% in 2019, though it reached USD 24.78 / t in 2019). In December 2019, the price in- a record 2.4 bcm / day. At the same time, gas production creased by 5.8% compared to the beginning of the year. AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY increased by as much as 10.3%. The difference between gas consumption and production growth rates, as well as the Significant LNG supply in the European market, and, as Dynamics of spot prices for natural gas at the American Henry Hub trend towards redirection of LNG flows from Asia to Europe, a consequence, highly filled gas storages, have also had a led to a surplus of natural gas in world markets. significant impact on gas pricing. Thus, in 2019, LNG imports 7 In 2019, the U.S. natural gas market has also seen a down- to Europe increased to nearly 76 million tons (+ 41.6% to 6 ward trend in prices due to rapidly growing production rate 2018). and completion of construction of Permian Basin infrastruc- In view of the above factors, there was a 50-60% decrease 5 ture pipelines. in spot prices at European gas hubs in Q3 2019 year on year. u t 4 Spot prices at most European gas hubs have also gone By September 2019, the spot gas price at TTF, continuing the B down, and as early as September 2019, the price at the TTF downward trend started in Q4 2018, had fallen to EUR 9.6 / M 3 gas hub had fallen to a ten-year low. Gas prices in Europe fell MWh, which was the lowest since September 2009. In the first USD/ in parallel with prices in other commodity markets, amid rising days of September 2019, the average daily price dropped to 2 CORPORATE GOVERNANCE CORPORATE СО2 emission permits: EUR 7.5 / MWh, which was the lowest since October 2006. 1
0 Jul 17 Jul Jul 14 Jul Jul 15 Jul Jul 16 Jul Jul 19 Jul Jul 18 Jul Jan 17 Jan Jan 14 Jan Jan 15 Jan Jan 16 Jan Jan 19 Jan Jan 18 Jan Apr 17 Oct 17 Apr 14 Oct 14 Apr 15 Oct 15 Apr 16 Oct 16 Oct 19 Apr 18 Oct 18 Jan 20 Jan Apr 19
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration
World gas production growth rate Dynamics of spot prices for natural gas at TTF RESPONSIBILITY 8 24 Drop in gas flows Start of heating season in the EU
to the European market and no signed gas transit agreement AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL 7 20 from Russia and Norway between Ukraine and Russia
6 16
5 12 Increase by 26% %
4 EUR/MWh 8 in price of coal 3 4 2 0 1
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 01.01.2019 01.02.2019 01.03.2019 01.04.2019 01.05.2019 01.06.2019 01.07.2019 01.08.2019 01.09.2019 01.10.2019 01.11.2019 01.12.2019 01.01.2020 FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS Source: Statista, in-house estimates Source: U.S. Bloomberg
Annual Report 2019 18 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 19 Naftogaz Group NATURAL GAS Dynamics of spot prices for oil, coal, СО2 emission permits, and IN STORAGES AT RECORD LEVELS natural gas at European hubs The EU countries with the largest gas storages are Germa- Filling levels of major European ny, Italy, the Netherlands, and France covering 62.6% of the 30 total European active storage capacity. According to AGSI data, gas storages as of 1 October 2019 the EU gas storage operating capacity at the end of 2019 was 35
Ukraine MARKET AND REFORMS 20 104 bcm, excluding 16 bcm of capacity to be constructed or already under construction. Ukraine's gas storage is the largest 30 in Europe with 30 bcm total capacity, which is 28.8% of all EU 25 Germany 10.8% gas storages volume. 10 Italy In 2019, European gas storages were filled with gas at their 20 5.8% highest levels. The average gas reserves were above the 2014- bcm 15 France Netherlands
% 0 2018 average by 33.9% against the backdrop of rising LNG 66.5% 10 imports, declining spot prices, and abnormally warm weather. 98.2% 97.0% On average, net storage balances accumulated during Q3 5 98.1% 100% -10 2019 accounted for 23.9% of the total gas storage capacity, compared to 33% for the same period in 2018: the average 0 filling rate increased from 73% as of 30 June 2019 to 97% as Used capacity Free capacity -20 of 1 October 2019. As a result, at the end of September 2019, Source: AGSI, in-house estimates STRATEGY AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY -30 -32.2% The level of gas reserves in EU gas storages in 2019
-40 -38.9% compared to the 5-year range of 2014-2018 gas years -43.7% 110
-50 100 90 80 +33.9% -60 70
bcm 60 50 2019 Jul 19 Jul Jan 19 Jan Jun 19 Jun Apr 19 Oct 19 CORPORATE GOVERNANCE CORPORATE Feb 19 Feb Sep 19 Sep Nov 19 Nov Aug 19 Aug Dec 19 Mar 19 Mar May 19 May storage capacity 40 2014-2018 average 30 Brent, EUR/barrel Spot at NCG, EUR/MWh maximum – minimum range in 2014-2018 20 Coal AP12, EUR/ton Emission allowances, EUR/ton Spot at TTF, EUR/MWh 10 Source: Bloomberg Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Source: AGSI, in-house estimates
GLOBAL LNG MARKET Structure of global LNG imports in 2019 Gas stocks in Ukraine’s UGS facilities as of the 1st day of each month In 2019, global LNG demand increased to 359 million tons1. 21.8 22 LNG imports to Europe increased to almost 76 million tons in 20.5 20.7 2019, the highest ever recorded. Europe absorbed most of the 2015-2018 average RESPONSIBILITY Europe 21.4% 6.7% India 20 additional production, namely more than 21% of LNG produced 2018 18.3 worldwide in 2019, compared to 13.5% in 2018. Thus, the growth 2019 AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL 18 of Europe's share in total LNG imports globally was the most America maximum – minimum range in 2015-2018 significant compared to other regions (+7.9% year over year). 4.1% 15.9 and Mexico 16 Increase in the diversification of LNG contract terms among producers and buyers has led to increase in the num- 13.8 13.6 9.1% Others 14 ber of liquefaction and regasification plants by almost 10%, as bcm well as increase in LNG market liquidity. Reduced LNG prices 12 11.5 have fueled its use and, as a consequence, accelerated the 11.1 shift from other energy sources to natural gas in remote re- 9.7 10 9.5 gions with no developed gas transportation infrastructure. The 8.8 Pakistan, European market ended the 2019-20 heating season with high JSТC* 55.4% 3.3% Bangladesh 8 levels of UGS reserves, which in turn does not allow the Euro- * Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, China pean market to absorb oversupply, as it did in 2019. 6 Source: Independent Commodity Intelligence Services (ICIS) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS 1 https://www.shell.com/promos/download-the-full-lng-2020/_jcr_content.stream/1582140325378/ddcfff9e5f778ee9e8876b3b564e7337599b0d61/lng-outlook-twentytwenty-factsheet-final.pdf Source: AGSI, in-house estimates
Annual Report 2019 20 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 21 Naftogaz Group the average filling rate of EU gas storages was 14% higher than to the EU countries. Because of this uncertainty, there was the year before; by late September, it has been at the last a trend to inject more in gas storage facilities before the World temperature anomalies dynamics (deviation from the 20th century average temperature), оС eight years' highest. heating season in order to mitigate the risks to gas supply in 8.0 As a result, the average filling rate of EU gas storage winter. 1.6 facilities at the end of September 2019 was 14% higher than a Ukraine, being the direct participant in these process- 1.4 year before. es, has also accumulated gas in storage facilities as a backup 1.2 The excess over the average gas volume is due to not source in case of any transit halts. In the course of this prepara- 1 only climatic conditions and lower prices, but also the un- tion, Ukraine has managed to accumulate the largest gas stocks MARKET AND REFORMS certainty regarding gas transit from Russia. In early 2019, in its UGS facilities for the heating season for the past seven 0.8 the gas transit agreement with Gazprom was to expire from years: on 22 October 2019, UGS reserves reached 21.5 bcm, 0.6 1 January 2020. Historically, this is the main gas supply route which is 4.8 bcm more than in 2018 (16.7 bcm). 0.4 0.2 0 NEW TEMPERATURE RECORDS -0.2
According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Jan 1992 Jan Jan 2013 Jan Jan 1995 Jan Jan 1983 Jan 2016 Jan 2019 Jan Jan 2010 Jan Jan 2001 Jan Jan 1986 Jan 1989 Jan 1998 Jan Jan 1980 Jan Jan 2007 Jan -7.7 % Administration, 2019 was the second warmest year since 2004 Jan Change in records began. The average global surface temperature Source: NOAA natural gas consumption** of the Earth in 2019 was 1.42 °C higher than the average temperature in the 20th century (anomalies are calculated compared to the average for each period of the 20th century). о + % In addition, 9 of the 10 warmest years have been recorded Europe temperature anomalies dynamics (deviation from the 20th century average temperature), С AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY 3.2 since 2005. 5.0 Changes in volumes of In Europe, in December, according to the Copernicus transit of natural gas Climate Change Service, the average air temperature in De- 2.0 through Ukraine* cember was 3.2 °C higher than the standard benchmark for 1.5 December in 1981-2010. In Ukraine, 2019 was a record year. According to the Boris 1.0 Sreznevsky Central Geophysical Observatory, 2019 was the 0.5 warmest in the entire observation period since 1881. The + % highest deviation from the average occurred in the heating 0 43.3 season, which had a significant impact on gas consumption. It -0.5 Stocks in storage in Ukraine at is worth noting that the air temperature in December 2019 in the end of the year compared Kyiv exceeded 15 °C for the first time in the history of obser- -1.0 to the average for 2014-2018* vations. GOVERNANCE CORPORATE Jan 1992 Jan Jan 2013 Jan Jan 1995 Jan Jan 2016 Jan 2019 Jan Jan 1983 Jan Jan 2010 Jan Jan 2001 Jan Jan 1986 Jan 1989 Jan 1998 Jan Jan 1980 Jan Jan 2007 Jan Jan 2004 Jan - % NATURAL GAS MARKET IN UKRAINE Source: NOAA 1.3 In 2019, the Ukrainian natural gas market, as a part of the Change in natural gas European and global gas markets, was influenced by the same production volumes* fundamental factors that were exacerbated by a number of Temperature deviation in 2019 from the average in the last 30 years in Ukraine, оС local factors and expectations, namely: — Reduction in gas consumption that took place due to high Jan 2019 temperatures and regulatory changes in gas prices for PSO consumers: natural gas consumption decreased by 7.7% Feb 2019 (or 2.5 bcm) compared to 2018. RESPONSIBILITY + % Mar 2019 34.5 — Natural gas surplus in the market that occurred owing to a 34.5% (or 3.7 bcm) y-o-y increase in natural gas imports Apr 2019 AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL Increase in natural gas amid reduced consumption. May 2019 imports to Ukraine* — Decrease in gas production by 1.3% (or 0.3 bcm) compared to the previous year. Jun 2019 — Uncertainty by the end of 2019 regarding the prospects for Jul 2019 an extension of the transit contract with Russia. +2.6°С — A record high volume of natural gas in Ukrainian UGS at Aug 2019 the end of 2019, that was 43% (or 5.7 bcm) higher than Average annual temperature Sep 2019 in Ukraine (compared to the the 2014-2018 heating season average, amid preparations climatic norm)*** for a “zero transit” scenario and a possible shortage of gas Oct 2019 in the heating period. Nov 2019 Note: Unless otherwise stated, the 2018 and 2019 indicators are compared. Dec 2019 Source: *Ukrtransgaz **According to the company's data -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 *** https://apostrophe.ua/ua/article/society/01-02-2020/pyilevyie-buri- FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS zasuha-i-ad-letom-kak-izmeneniya-klimata-povliyayut-na-ukrainu/30693 Source: Bloomberg
Annual Report 2019 22 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 23 Naftogaz Group GAS TRANSIT THROUGH UKRAINE GAS PRODUCTION IN UKRAINE Volumes of natural gas transit In 2019, the transit volume was 89.6 bcm, which is through Ukraine in 2015-2019 Along with the increase in liquefied natural gas imports on-year to 14.9 bcm. At the same time, the reduction in the 2.8 bcm (or 3.2%) more than in 2018. in 2019, Europe also demonstrates a tendency to reduce volume of commercial gas produced by Ukrgasvydobuvannya Russia supplies about 40% of its gas to the European mar- 100 +22.5% +13.7% -7.2% +3.2% its natural gas production. For example, in 2019, the Dutch in 2019 was not so significant comparing to the previous year, kets through Ukraine. However, there is a risk of significant government approved an updated plan to halt production in i.e., the company produced 13.6 bcm of natural gas in 2019, decrease in transit through Ukraine after the Nord Stream 2 80 Groningen – Europe's largest gas field – by 2022. which is 1.4% less than in 2018. pipeline is put into operation. Under the terms of the con- Overall, in 2019, the European countries produced Ukrnafta produced 1.16 bcm of natural gas in 2019, MARKET AND REFORMS tract, Gazprom will reduce the amount of gas transmitted 60 250.1 bcm of natural gas, which is 6.3% less than in 2018 which is 7.0% (or 0.08 bcm) higher than the 2018 through Ukraine in 2020 from 90 bcm to 65 bcm. Reductions (266.9 bcm). volumes. bcm 93.5 82.2 86.8 89.6 in gas transit volumes will continue in the coming years, with 40 In 2019, gross gas production in Ukraine amounted to 20.7 Private companies operating in Ukraine increased their an average annual gas transit volume in accordance with the 67.1 bcm, which is 1.3% less than 20.9 bcm produced in 2018. natural gas production in 2019 by about 230 mcm (or 5.3%) – contract of about 40 bcm in 2021-2024. 20 Gross gas production by Ukrgasvydobuvannya, the key up to 4.6 bcm. production company in the Naftogaz group, fell by 3.8% year- 0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Source: Ukrtransgaz
Distribution of transit flows by exit points in 2018-2019, bcm Natural gas production in European countries and Ukraine in 2018-2019, bcm STRATEGY AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 126.4 Uzhhorod 49.2 2018 2019 (Slovakia) 57.2 119.1 Orlivka 40.7 18.1 39.9 38.9 (Romania) 10.2 Berehove 11.8 33.7 20.9 (Hungary) 15.1 20.7 10.3 10.0 Drozdovychi 4.0 6.0 5.7 5.6 5.7 5.5 (Poland) 4.9 4.0 4.1 3.1 3.4 2.6 1.9 1.7 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.5 GOVERNANCE CORPORATE 2.9 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.4 Moldova 2.9 Italy Serbia Poland Ireland Austria Croatia Norway Tekove Ukraine Hungary
0.7 Romania Germany Denmark (Romania) countries
0.2 Netherlands 2018 2019 Britain Great Czech Republic Czech Other European Source: Ukrtransgaz Source: Eurostat, Ukrtransgaz
Changes in the volume of gas transit through the Ukrainian GTS in 2018-2019 Gross natural gas production GAS PRODUCTION IN UKRAINE IN 2019 in Ukraine in 2016-2019 350 Among the European RESPONSIBILITY +2.0% +2.1% -1.3% countries, Ukraine takes 25 the fourth place as one of AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL the leading gas producers 300 20.1 20.5 20.9 20.7 20.7 20 4.2 4.1 4.4 4.6 BCM 250 15 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.2 bcm mcm/day
10 200 15.5 14.9 GAS TRANSIT THROUGH UKRAINE 14.6 15.3 5 In 2019, the transit volume was 89.6 bcm, which is 150 2.8 bcm (or 3.2%) more 0 than in 2018. Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2016 2017 2018 2019 89.6 2018 2019 Private companies Ukrnafta Ukrgasvydobuvannya BCM FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS Source: Ukrtransgaz Source: Ukrgasvydobuvannya
Annual Report 2019 24 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 25 Naftogaz Group Gas balance in Ukraine in 2019, bcm MARKET AND REFORMS 9.5 Households GAS BALANCE (direct use) 14.1 Households 4.6 Heat producers for households*** Private AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY 7.0 importers 14.2 25.4 8.1 Imports Gas consumed Industrial consumers by users
7.2 Naftogaz Public sector 0.4 and religious organizations CORPORATE GOVERNANCE CORPORATE Heat producers for public sector, 2.8 religious organizations, industrial sector** 29.9 29.9 Gas sources Gas consumption
14.9 1.9 Ukrtransgaz Ukrgasvydobuvannya RESPONSIBILITY 0.9 Gas distribution operators* 4.5 AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL 20.7 Operating needs and Production technical loss 4.6 Other 1.3 Ukrgasvydobuvannya
1.2 Ukrnafta 0.4 Ukrnafta
* including the estimated volume of gas used as unauthorized offtakes (~0.7 bcm) UGS – underground gas storage -5.0 UGS ** including the estimated volume of gas used as unauthorized offtakes (~0.5 bcm) *** according to Operational Activity Department, Naftogaz 0.0 Other FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS Source: Naftogaz
Annual Report 2019 26 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 27 Naftogaz Group GAS IMPORTS GAS CONSUMPTION amounted to 4.6 bcm, which is 0.2 bcm or 4.3% less than in 2018 due to milder weather in 2019 compared to 2018. Amid the global growth in export and import capacity togaz's share of total gas imports to Ukraine in 2019 consti- In 2019, Europe consumed about 529 bcm of natural gas, Basically, households are unable to regulate the use of heat in 2019, the European countries increased their natural gas tuted 50.2%. which is 3.6% more than in 2018. Ukraine ranked 7th among in their homes (or such regulation in individual apartments has imports by 10.2% – from 376.0 bcm in 2018 to 414.4 bcm in In 2019, about 50 private Ukrainian companies imported European countries in terms of gas consumption. little effect on the apartment block due to the redistribution of 2019. In 2019, Ukraine ranked 8th among the largest natural gas from Europe, totaling 7.0 bcm (49.8% of the total Natural gas consumption in Ukraine fell by 7.7% in 2019 (i.e., heat among other apartments). Therefore, gas saving factors for gas importers in Europe ranking. volume). from 32.3 bcm to 29.9 bcm) compared to 2018. household heating are insignificant.
In 2019, Ukraine imported gas exclusively from the Euro- In 2019, the Slovak route remained the main gas supply In 2019, households used 9.5 bcm of gas, which is 1.1 bcm Heat production for public institutions and the industrial MARKET AND REFORMS pean market. Compared to 2018, total gas imports increased route to Ukraine. Deliveries through Slovakia increased from or 10.4% less than in 2018. Such a decline can be explained by a sector reached 2.8 bcm, which is 0.5 bcm more than in 2018. by 34.5% – from 10.6 bcm to 14.2 bcm. Naftogaz imported 61% in 2018 to 64% in 2019, while flows from Hungary de- decrease in temperature-sensitive natural gas demand. In 2019, gas consumption by the industrial sector has 7.2 bcm, which is 2.4% or 0.2 bcm more than in 2018. Naf- creased from 32% in 2018 to 26% in 2019. Gas consumption by district heating companies in 2019 dropped significantly – from 9.4 bcm to 8.1 bcm (or 13.8%).
Natural gas imports to the European countries and Ukraine in 2018-2019, bcm Natural gas consumption in the European countries and Ukraine in 2018-2019, bcm
91 92 2018 2019 85 2018 2019 81 84 79 73 74 71 43 44
42 AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY 67 41 43 44 36 32 41 40 31 30 36 32 21 21 19 18 16 18 18 16 15 14 14 15 16 11 12 11 11 12 11 10 10 8 8 8 10 9 9 9 9 8 6 6 6 6 5 5 6 6 5 5 5 4 5 3 5 5 5 3 2 3 1 3 3 3 3 3 CORPORATE GOVERNANCE CORPORATE Italy Italy Spain Spain Poland Poland France France Ireland Ireland Austria Austria Greece Greece Croatia Norway Ukraine Ukraine Slovakia Slovakia Belgium Belgium Bulgaria Bulgaria Hungary Hungary Portugal Portugal Romania Romania Germany Germany countries countries Netherlands Netherlands Great Britain Great Great Britain Great Czech Republic Czech Czech Republic Czech Other European Other European Source: Eurostat, Ukrtransgaz Source: Eurostat, Ukrtransgaz
Natural gas imports to Ukraine in 2016-2019 Natural gas imports to Ukraine by entry Ukraine's gas consumption 2018-2019, bcm points in 2016-2019 10.6 Households (direct use) 9.5
15 15 14.1 14.2 RESPONSIBILITY 14.1 14.2 9% 10% Heat producers for households* 4.8 4.6 7.8 – Naftogaz to private gas supply ENVIRONMENTAL AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL 11.1 10.6 companies for resale to households 11.1 20% 26% Heat producers for public sector, religious 2.3 5.4 10.6 9% 0.2 – Naftogaz direct supplies to households 10 7.0 10 7% organizations and industrial sector** 2.8 9.5 2.9 9% 0.5 Total 1.5 – supplies to households by other 3.6 bcm Public sector and religious organizations consumption companies 32% 0.4 bcm 9.4 5 5 82% Industry 8.2 8.7 7.2 71% 8.1 (61.7%) 7.0 61% 64% (73.9%) (66.0%) (50.2%) Operating needs (gas production, transmission 4.7 and distribution), LPG production*** 4.5
0 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 2016 2017 2018 2019 2016 2017 2018 2019 Naftogaz of Ukraine JSC From Poland (Hermanowice) From Slovakia (Budince) * including the estimated volume of gas used as unauthorized offtakes (~ 0.7 bcm) ** including the estimated volume of gas used as unauthorized offtakes (~ 0.5 bcm) 2018 2019 Other importers From Hungary (Beregdaroc) *** according to the company’s data FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS Source: Ukrtransgaz Source: Ukrtransgaz Source: Eurostat, Ukrtransgaz
Annual Report 2019 28 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 29 Naftogaz Group In 2019, changes were made to the PSO regime governing adopted Resolution No485 of 5 June 2019 according to which Naftogaz's activities. Naftogaz purchased natural gas produced by prices for June-December 2019 were set as the lowest of the four Ukrgasvydobuvannya and Chornomornaftogaz in 2017-2019 at a options: import parity price, average UEEX price, selling price for regulated price: by 31 October 2018 at the price of UAH 4 849 / industrial users paying in advance, PSO price (according to Reso- tcm (w/o VAT); from 1 November 2018 to 30 April 2019 – at the lution No867 of 19 October 2018). price of UAH 6 116 / tcm (w/o VAT). At the beginning of 2020, realizing that gas transit through As a result of the decrease in the price in the European mar- Ukraine will continue and the risk of interrupted supply was ket, the gas price for industrial consumers in Ukraine has become avoided, the government adopted a new pricing methodology MARKET AND REFORMS lower than the one for households and heat producers. To linked to import parity. In January, the Cabinet of Ministers issued eliminate such an imbalance, on 5 June 2019, the CMU adopted Resolution No17 of 24 January 2020 according to which the price Resolution No. 485, which amends Resolution No. 293 and, con- should not exceed the level based on the TTF average actual sequently, the mechanism for calculating the price of natural gas gas price for the period from 1 to 22 day of the delivery month, sold for the needs of households and heat producers. In accor- difference (spread) between the TTF price and the price at the dance with Resolution No. 485, Naftogaz sets the price of gas at a Ukrainian border, gas transmission tariff for the entry point to level equal to the lowest of the following: Ukraine at the cross border interconnection. — average customs value of imported gas for the previous However, the pricing based on the new resolution applied month, published by the Ministry of Economy; only in January and February. The objective conditions in the — average natural gas price for commercial customers of Ukrainian market drove a decrease in domestic gas prices lower Naftogaz for the last month, which is delivered on a prepaid than the import parity level (record high stocks in UGS facilities, basis; warm winter, lower gas demand). The oversupplied market and — average price on the Ukrainian Energy Exchange; or filled UGS facilities conditioned a decoupling in the Ukrainian
— the price of gas under the PSO regime set in the PSO market, which means that price fluctuations in the Ukrainian AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY Regulation No. 867 as of 19.10.2018. market were not reflecting European trends. Supporting the The foundations for the liberalization of gas prices for PSO market-based gas pricing mechanism, the company shifted from consumers were laid gradually in 2019, including coupling with the pricing methodology recommended by the CMU resolution market indicators. Unlike January-April 2019, when the price was to market-based pricing. Upon Naftogaz’s initiative, starting from set according to the CMU Resolution No867 of 19 October 2018 March, the PSO price is calculated as weighted average price (paragraph 13 of the PSO Regulation), in May 2019, the price was offered by winners of Prozorro biddings for balancing and fuel gas calculated as Naftogaz’s average selling price to industrial users purchased by the GTS Operator and adjusted according to gas according to the CMU Resolution No293 of 3 April 2019. Later, to sale and purchase agreements. Thanks to this initiative, house- minimize the influence of one source on pricing, the government holds saved on their gas bills and real market price was offered.
Change in the difference between import parity and regulated (PSO) gas prices, GOVERNANCE CORPORATE UAH/tcm (excluding VAT)
9 500 9 000 8 500 Decoupling period 8 000 (market price 7 500 below import parity) 7 000 6 500 RESPONSIBILITY 6 000 UAH/tcm
5 500 AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL 5 000 4 500 4 000 3 500 3 000 2 500 2 000 Jul 2017 Jul 2016 Jul 2019 Jul 2018 Jul 2020 Jan 2017 Jan 2016 Jan 2019 Apr 2017 Jan 2018 Oct 2016 Oct 2019 Apr 2016 Apr 2019 Oct 2018 Apr 2018 Jan 2020 Oct 2 017 Apr 2020
actual PSO price MEDT price (import parity) CMU PSO price, 2020
Source: Naftogaz, in-house estimates FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS
Annual Report 2019 30 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 31 Naftogaz Group Brent oil prices, 2018-2019
95 Exacerbation of the GLOBAL problem of the US 86.07 90 government shutdown 85 80.42 in Q4 2018
80 MARKET AND REFORMS 74.69 OIL MARKET 75 70 USD/barrel 65 OPEC and International Energy OIL MARKET: KEY EVENTS 60 Growth against the resolution 62.11 of the US government Attacks on oil Agency pessimistic forecasts for decline in oil demand and slowdown 1 Brent oil price fluctuation range, USD per barrel 55 shutdown in Q1 2019 tankers in — The oil market in 2019 was more stable than in 2018: 53.24 Gulf waters 55.25 of global economy 50.57 Brent prices ranged within USD 53.2-74.7 per barrel, 50 compared with USD 50.6-86.1 per barrel in 2018. Com- The price of Brent crude oil, USD per barrel Min Max Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec modity prices were declining impacted by a slowdown in 2018 50.57$ 86.07$ global trade and limited demand. This was due to reduced 2019 53.24$ 74.69$ 2018 2019 consumption because of macroeconomic factors, on the Джерело: EIA one hand, and geopolitical conflicts, on the other hand. Source: Platts STRATEGY AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY — Shale oil has enabled the United States to become the world's largest oil producer. According to EIA, annual crude Oil exports, million bpd oil production in the United States in 2019 reached a re- 2 Global oil demand and supply cord high of 12.23 million barrels per day (b/d), which is 12,00 11% more than in 2018. 2018 2019 2020 F 2021 F Total oil production, million bpd 100.81 100.60 102.09 102.44 10,00 9.00 9.54 9.36 — Global demand for oil increased by 0.78% in 2019, while Total consumption, million bpd 99.97 100.75 101.12 102.85 Supply and demand situation 0.84% -0.15% 0.96% -0.40% 8,00 GDP increased by 2.9%. 8.26 8.38 8.61
Source: EIA 6,00 million bpd 5.93 4,00 4.50 CORPORATE GOVERNANCE CORPORATE 2,00 3.13 THE GLOBAL OIL MARKET However, as the coronavirus epidemic that began in late 2019 in China continues to spread and more and more 0 Compared to 2018, which was a year of contrasts for the countries suffer significant losses, a slowdown in oil and gas 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 F 2021 F 2022 F 2023 F 2024 F oil market, oil prices in 2019 were much more stable and demand in the next period will have a negative impact on Saudi Arabia The Russian Federation USA were determined by a trade corridor of USD 53.2-74.7 per world oil prices. barrel. This was mainly the case in the second half of the Source:IEA year, when as a result of OPEC + efforts to reduce the supply, on the one hand, and increased production in the US, on US OIL PRODUCTION GROWTH the other hand, the market almost reached equilibrium (USD 55-69 per barrel). The world oil market is undergoing significant changes. Shale oil production in the United States At the beginning of the year, oil prices showed a significant The shale revolution in the United States, which has made RESPONSIBILITY rise amid an improving global situation. The US government the country the leading oil-producing nation in the world, 12,00 shutdown in Q4 2018 - Q1 2019 was resolved, the US Federal is ongoing. Total annual crude oil production, according to AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL 9.6 9.6 Reserve eased its rhetoric on monetary policy, and the US and EIA, in 2019 was a record 12.23 million bpd (11% more than 10,00 9.1 9.4 China settled into a trade war ceasefire regime and sought in 2018), of which 7.4 million bpd is shale oil. Since 2010, 8.4 compromise in negotiations. After nearly four months of shale oil production has increased by almost 40%. The rapid 8,00 7.4 “optimism”, Brent prices came close to USD 74.7 per barrel. growth of the industry is due to the fact that it takes only 3 In early May, negotiations between the US and China to 18 months for a new field to start producing oil. By com- 6.3 million bpd 6,00 failed and markets faced another wave of protectionism. parison, it takes five to seven years to get oil from a new off- 4.7 5.0 Signs of global economic slowdown began to emerge, which shore field. Consequently, there is strong growth in exports, 4.0 4.4 contributed to the deterioration of forecasts for oil demand and which strengthens the US position in international markets. 4,00 3.0 reflected in a drop in quotes. A partial rise in quotes in June- In December 2018, for the first time in 50 years, the US 2.0 August was due to tension in the Middle East. Amid the US-Iran acted as a net exporter of liquid fuels. In 2020, the IEA fore- 2,00 1.1 confrontation, there were several attacks on oil tankers in Gulf casts an average net export of 740 000 bpd. Over the past 0.6 waters, which have increased the risk of supply disruption. ten years, the USA has more than doubled its oil production 0 Significant pressure on oil prices in 2019 was caused by trade thanks to the rapid development of the shale oil industry, 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 F 2021 F 2022 F 2023 F 2024 F wars. A decline in global trade tension was felt since October and which has enabled the United States to become one of the had a positive impact on global commodity and stock markets. world's largest oil producers. Source: IEA FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS
Annual Report 2019 32 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 33 Naftogaz Group According to EIA, global oil demand grew by a mere 0.78% in 2019. In OECD countries, which account for almost half of Oil demand and supply in 2018-2019 Refinery utilization rate in Europe and Brent oil prices world consumption, demand decreased by 0.52%. In other countries, consumption of "black gold" rose by 1.99%, which is + 0.78% 90 90 101,00 the lowest rate since the 2008-2009 crisis. At the same time, 100.81 100.75 the IMF estimates show that global GDP grew by 2.9%, includ- 100.60 80 85 ing in developing countries by 3.7%. Global oil demand growth 100,60 is projected to decline as soon as in 2020 and 2021, since MARKET AND REFORMS 70 80 % global trends including for transport fuel demand, demon- 99.97 strate negative dynamics. 100,20 / barrel USD 60 75 million bpd
99,80 GLOBAL GDP GROWTH OIL DEMAND 50 70
99,40 01.11.2019 01.11.2018 01.12.2019 01.12.2018 01.10.2019 01.10.2018 01.07.2019 01.01.2019 01.07.2018 01.01.2018 01.02.2019 01.04.2019 01.03.2019 01.05.2019 01.02.2018 01.04.2018 01.03.2018 01.01.2020 01.05.2018 01.06.2019 01.09.2019 01.06.2018 01.09.2018 01.08.2019 01.08.2018 2018 2019 01.02.2020 +2.9% +0.78% Global oil production Global oil consumption Brent oil prices, USD / barrel (left axis) Refinery utilization rate in Europe, % (right axis) Source: EIA Source: OPEC, Thomson Reuters STRATEGY AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY
Forecasted global oil supply and demand Refinery utilization rate and oil refining margins in Europe
104,00 9 90 88 103,00 8 86 7 102,00 84 101,00 6 82 % 100,00 5 80 USD / barrel / barrel USD million bpd 78 99,00 4 76 98,00 3 74 97,00 2 72 GOVERNANCE CORPORATE 96,00 01.11.2019 01.11.2018 01.12.2019 01.12.2018 01.10.2019 01.10.2018 01.07.2019 01.01.2019 01.07.2018 01.01.2018 01.02.2019 01.04.2019 01.03.2019 01.05.2019 01.02.2018 01.04.2018 01.03.2018 01.01.2020 01.05.2018 01.06.2019 01.09.2019 01.06.2018 01.09.2018 01.08.2019 01.08.2018 01.02.2020 Q1 2017 Q1 2019 Q1 2018 Q2 2017 Q4 2017 Q3 2017 Q2 2019 Q4 2019 Q3 2019 Q2 2018 Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q1 2021* Q2 2021* Q4 2021* Q3 2021* Q1 2020* Q2 2020* Q4 2020* Q3 2020* Global oil production Global oil consumption Brent oil refining margin, North-Western Europe, USD / barrel (left axis) Refinery utilization rate in Europe, % (right axis) *forecast Source: EIA Source: OPEC
Production of petroleum products Structure of petroleum products production EUROPEAN OIL REFINING MARKET December last year, the margin reached its minimum at least in Europe in 2018-2019, million tons in Europe in 2019 RESPONSIBILITY for the past two years – USD 2.54 per barrel – under pressure Despite the fall in oil prices, the European oil refining market from the accumulated petroleum products in the region due 260.9 Other 30% 3% Liquefied gas AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL has remained relatively stable over the last two years. For to reduced consumption amid a slowdown in industrial pro- Diesel fuel 262.3 example, 2019 was at the level of 2018 in terms of profitability duction in Europe. Gasoline 123.3 7% and demand for petroleum products in Europe. The average Overall, production of petroleum products decreased by 120.0 refinery utilization rate in Europe in 2019 was at the same level only 1% over the previous year to 655.5 million tons in com- 79.6 Oil Other as in the previous year – about 84%. Throughout the year, parison with 2018. Within the petroleum products range, 83.9 Mazut 10% refining margins showed volatility, ranging from about USD 2.50 mazut production decreased the most – by 12% to 68.5 mil- Mazut 77.7 18% to 7.50 per barrel. The highest average margin – almost USD 7 lion tons due to reduced demand for the product during warm 68.6 per barrel – dropped during the summer season, when demand winter and as a result of improved efficiency of mazut refining, 56.8 Gasoline for petroleum products is traditionally higher due to seasonal which has led to increase in light petroleum production at Кerosene 57.8 9% factors. some refineries. Last year, as in 2018, the total share of gas- 45.6 40% In September, the seasonal drop in demand for gasoline oline and diesel in the production structure of the European Oil 44.7 and the decline in petroleum product exports marked the refineries accounted for 58% of total refining. 18.3 Diesel fuel Kerosene beginning of a margin decline that continued until the end Trends for the coming years Liquefied gas 18.3 2018 2019 of 2019. In October, the refining margin increased slightly The profitability of oil refining on the continent will decline amid the planned closure of individual refineries. However, by this year due to the drop in demand in Europe and other Source: IEA Source: EIA FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS
Annual Report 2019 34 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 35 Naftogaz Group markets adjacent to European refineries where transport The policies of Western European countries to reduce restrictions are in place due to the measures designed to curb harmful emissions will gradually promote the replacement of Ukrnafta oil and gas condensate selling price in 2019 the spread of the COVID-19 virus. Partly, these negative trends petroleum products with renewable energy, which will be curbed by the planned closure of a number of refining will have a negative impact on refinery utilization 75,00 71.83 1 70.10 plants in Europe this year . and profitability. In addition, most of the European 68.47 The launch of new refineries in Europe, Africa, the Middle refining industry will remain vulnerable to imported 70,00 66.87 72.50 67.09 East and the United States can adversely impact the refinery oil supplies. 63.51 65,00 67.32 utilization rate in Europe. If the number of European refineries All these factors are already driving the European refin- 59.93 60.64 59.45 MARKET AND REFORMS are not reduced, their average utilization rate may drop to eries to close or optimize their capacity. Total refinery ca- 60,00 62.42 62.68 62.93 70% by 2023 due to reduced consumption and dependence of pacities in the European Union decreased from 15.8 million 61.82 60.83 USD per barrel USD the European capacities on demand in the neighboring mar- bpd in 2008 to 14 million bpd in 20183. Under the current 55,00 57.90 2 54.83 kets in Africa, Asia and the Middle East . circumstances, the trend will continue. 50,00
45,00
UKRAINIAN OIL AND PETROLEUM PRODUCTS nya, which produces and processes gas condensate and oil at 40,00 January February April May July August October November December MARKET its own production facilities, increased its raw material pro- duction by 6.6% – from 446.7 thousand tons to 478.2 thou- The needs of the Ukrainian market for oil are satisfied sand tons. Estimated average auction sale price normalized to USD/barrel Brent oil by domestic production and imported supplies. The most Naftogaz Group’s share in total oil and gas condensate Source: OPEC, Thomson Reuters important oil and gas condensate companies in Ukraine are production in Ukraine in 2019 was over 90%. At the same
Ukrnafta and Ukrgasvydobuvannya, which are included to time, the share of petroleum products produced by Ukrainian AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY Naftogaz Group. Overall, these companies increased oil and companies of Naftogaz Group is significantly lower than the condensate production by 5.7% in 2019 – from 1.89 million share of petroleum products imported to Ukraine from abroad Total volumes processed by Structure of petroleum products tons to 1.99 million tons. Ukrnafta, in particular, increased its or produced from imported oil. Shebelynka GPP in 2016-2019 produced by Shebelynka GPP in 2018-2019 oil and condensate production by 4.8% – from 1.45 million According to Enkorr, in 2019, Ukrtatnafta (Kremenchuk tons to 1.52 million tons. The company managed to achieve Oil Refinery) increased its crude oil imports by 37% to +3.5% 1% positive production results under the conditions of limited 918 thousand tons compared to 669 thousand tons in 550,0 515.4 515.7 Losses investment resources thanks to a number of operations 2018. The plant reduced its purchases of Azerbaijani oil 497.8 2% 500,0 481.1 on the active wells, transition to new productive horizons, by 7.7% to 617 thousand tons, but began importing raw optimization of major and current repairs of potentially materials from the US and Libya in the amount of 240 and 450,0 LPG 2% productive wells, and replacement of critically worn-out 56 thousand tons, respectively. In addition, according to 3% 400,0 equipment. However, the overall trend in oil production in the Ukrainian Interbank Exchange and the Ukrainian Energy 8% Ukraine in recent years remains negative. Exchange, 1.325 million tons of Ukrnafta oil was purchased 350,0 Heavy petroleum products 9% In accordance with Article 4 of the Law of Ukraine "On Oil for processing at the Kremenchuk Refinery, which is 9.3% GOVERNANCE CORPORATE thousand tons and Gas", Ukrnafta shall sell its produced oil and gas conden- less than in 2018. The total volume of crude oil used for 300,0 sate at exchange auctions. Change in selling prices at auctions processing at the Kremenchuk Refinery amounted to Light petroleum 89% 250,0 products followed global oil price trends. approximately 2.32 million tons / year, while the Shebe- 86% Another company of Naftogaz Group, Ukrgasvydobuvan- lynka Refinery processed about 0.5 million tons / year. The 200,0 2016 2017 2018 2019 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
2018 2019 Source: Ukrgasvydobuvannya Source: Ukrgasvydobuvannya Oil and gas condensate production Sales of oil and gas condensate by Naftogaz group companies in 2013 - 2019 by Ukrnafta in 2018-2019 Kremenchuk Oil Refinery and the Shebelynka Oil Refinery petroleum products shipped by rail was optimized: 5 3,00 2 000,0 -9.3% produce Euro 5 fuel. new weighing complexes have been installed with an CAGR - 4.7% In 2019, the Shebelynka Oil Refinery (Shebelynka VPGKN, automated analytical and control system. RESPONSIBILITY 2,50 1 600,0 1 461.9 Ukrgasvydobuvannya JSC) increased its raw material process- — The geography of retail sales was expanded – fuel under 1 325.4 ing to 473 thousand tons (by 18.7 thousand tons or 4.1% the Shebel brand became available in Kyiv, Zhytomyr, AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL 2,00 more than in 2018). The production of motor fuels increased Chernihiv, Kharkiv, Dnipro, Zaporizhzhia, Poltava regions 1 200,0 as follows: gasoline up to 149 thousand tons (by 18.5 thou- and the territories of Donetsk and Luhansk regions 1,50 sand tons or 14.2%), diesel up to 88.3 thousand tons (by 3.2 controlled by the Ukrainian government. thousand tons million tons 800,0 thousand tons or 3.8%). In 2019, the estimated balance (total consumption) of the 1,00 The overall production of liquefied hydrocarbon gas at Ukrainian motor fuel market, according to the sector publi- 0,50 400,0 the production capacities of Ukrgasvydobuvannya decreased cations, has increased by 7%. The highest growth rates were to 152.7 thousand tons (by 12.2 thousand tons or 7.4% com- demonstrated by diesel and LPG. In 2019, the diesel market 0,00 0,0 pared to 2018) due to the reduction of the raw material pro- increased by 7% (by 471 thousand tons), while the LPG market 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2018 2019 duction (reduction in gas condensate factor). (excluding raw materials for petrochemical processes) grew by In 2019, at the Shebelynka Refinery: 11% (by 195 thousand tons). Industrial consumption was the Ukrnafta Ukrgasvydobuvannya — A new hydro-purification reactor was put into operation driver for increase of diesel supply. The gasoline market ended Source: Naftogaz Source: Ukrnafta, Ukrainian Energy Exchange and diesel dewaxing was launched, which enabled the a three-year volume downturn and also posted an increase of plant to start a new product – arctic diesel fuel. 1.3% or 25 thousand tons. 1 https://www.spglobal.com/platts/en/market-insights/latest-news/oil/111119-refinery-news-roundup-works-continue-in-europe 2 https://www.clingendaelenergy.com/inc/upload/files/CIEP_paper_2017-02_web.pdf — The technological losses during processing and production The Ukrainian petroleum product market is heavily depen- FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS 3 https://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/business-sites/en/global/corporate/pdfs/energy-economics/statistical-review/bp-stats-review-2019-full-report.pdf fell by more than half – down to 1%. Accounting for dent on imports of finished petroleum products – in 2019,
Annual Report 2019 36 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 37 Naftogaz Group imports accounted for almost 75% of domestic demand. eries increased by 10% to 908 thousand tons. The production OIL TRANSIT AND TRANSMISSION In 2019, among other things, Ukrtransnafta signed an According to the State Statistics Service of Ukraine, in 2019, of gasoline by the Kremenchuk Refinery (Ukrtatnafta PJSC) for additional agreement with Transneft PJSC on the provision Ukraine imported 8.4 million tons of petroleum products worth the first time exceeded the volume of imports from Belarus, Oil transmission through the Ukrainian trunk oil pipe- of services for the transmission of Russian oil through the USD 5.36 billion, which is 2.75% less than in 2018 in monetary which until 2019 was the main source of supply for this type lines is carried out exclusively by Ukrtransnafta, which is an territory of Ukraine, which continues the terms of the main terms. Since the Ukrainian petroleum product market is import of motor fuel. In 2019, the Belarusian refineries reduced their enterprise of Naftogaz group. In 2019, the total volume of agreement until 2030. The extension of the agreement guar- dependent, the price of petroleum products in the domestic gasoline deliveries to Ukraine by 17%, reducing their share in transmitted oil amounted to approximately 15.51 million tons, antees the safe and sustainable operation of the Ukrainian oil market is determined in line with the exchange rate and quo- this segment of the Ukrainian market from 43.5% to 35.5%. which is 0.5% more than in 2018, of which: to the Ukrainian transmission system on a long-term basis, serves as a basis for tations for oil products on international exchanges. This formu- Analysis of the geographical structure of diesel fuel im- refineries – 2.38 million tons (13.4% more than in 2018); tran- loading the trunk oil pipelines system with transit volumes of MARKET AND REFORMS la-based pricing practice based on quotations from internation- ports shows that the Russian Federation is still the largest sit through the territory of Ukraine – 13.13 million tons (1.6% oil towards European countries, and ensures a stable source al independent price agencies is common in many commodity source of supply, although the volume of deliveries decreased less than in 2018), which was caused, among other reasons, of revenue for the company. markets around the world. by 7.8% (by 211 thousand tons), which is explained by the by forced oil transit interruptions from 25 April to 11 May Following the results of a number of consultations, at both Eastern European petroleum product importing countries introduction of an additional special duty in accordance with 2019 and from 17 May to 21 May 2019 because of a sharp de- the interstate level with the participation of the presidents play an important role in the fuel supply to the Ukrainian mar- the CMU Resolution No. 624 dated 17 July 2019, for heavy terioration in the quality of raw materials coming from Russia of Ukraine and Belarus and the level of state companies, a ket, including Belarus and Lithuania, Ukraine’s major gasoline distillates (gas oils) of 3.75% from 1 August 2019 and 4% from through the Druzhba pipeline. The content of organochlorine contractual, technical, technological and commercial framework suppliers. In 2019, according to Enkorr, the production of 1 October 2019. At the same time, imports of diesel fuel from compounds exceeded the norm tenfold. Because of the or- was developed for arrangement of oil transportation from the petroleum products, including gasoline, by the Ukrainian refin- Belarus increased by 14.8% to 2.47 million tons. ganochlorine compounds identified in the Druzhba pipeline, Black Sea basin to the refineries of the Republic of Belarus using Slovakia and Hungary refused to accept Russian oil transmit- Ukrainian trunk oil pipelines that would enable the conclusion ted by Ukrtransnafta. of the relevant contracts and the start of oil transportation in During the entire period when low-quality Russian oil was the shortest possible time. Indicative balance of petroleum products Changes in the structure of the Ukrainian displaced from the Ukrainian section of the Druzhba pipeline, Also during 2019, Ukrtransnafta actively worked on other market of Ukraine in 2017-2019, mln tons gasoline market in 2018-2019 Transneft PJSC was booking the Ukrtransnafta capacity and paid promising projects aimed at diversifying the sources and EUR 4.3 million to the company for this service from May 2019 to routes of oil supply to Ukraine and its transit through the AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY 50 January 2020. territory of Ukraine, including a project designed to enable the Balance 44% 2018 2019 In cooperation with Ukrtatnafta, the number of oil grades transmission of various oil grades through the southern branch 40 39% transmitted through the Ukrainian oil transportation system of the Druzhba oil pipeline to oil refineries in Slovakia, the Czech 35% 36% expanded in 2019. In particular, this was the first time that the Republic, and Hungary, and a project for the construction of the Imports Kremenchuk Oil Refinery received Libyan El Sharara oil and Brody-Adamovo oil pipeline in order to connect Ukrainian and 30 American Bakken oil. Polish oil transmission systems, etc. % Production 20 17% 12% 10 7% 8% Alternative routes of oil export to Europe have enough free capacity to substitute Ukrainian route Exports ШВЕЦИЯ 1% 1% 0 CORPORATE GOVERNANCE CORPORATE -2,00 0,00 2,00 4,00 6,00 8,00 10,00 Belarus Lithuania Kremenchuk Shebelynka Others FINLAND oil refinery oil refinery Transneft oil transit routes 1 Prymorsk 2017 2018 2019 other oil transit routs 2 Source: Naftogaz, Enkorr, State Statistics Service of Ukraine Source: Enkorr potential risk of alternative route Ust-Luga ESTONIA RUSSIA exit points Comparative dynamics of changes in the wholesale prices for gasoline in Ukraine and LATVIA 1 Prymorsk North-Western Europe in 2019 (price as of 03.01.2019 = 100%) 22 38 LITHUANIA Moscow 70% 2 Ust-Luga 10 28 RUSSIA Adamovo 60% 3 RESPONSIBILITY 12 28 50% BELARUS Adamovo 4 Budkovice AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL 3 40% 5 Fenyeslitke 12 13 POLAND Novorossiysk 30% GERMANY 6 5 37 20% Kyiv CZECH Budkovice UKRAINE free capacity, million t 10% REPUBLIC SLOVAKIA 4 oil transit in 2019, million t
0% AUSTRIA 5 MOLDOVA Fenyeslitke -10% HUNGARY Jan 19 Feb 19 Mar 19 Apr 19 May 19 Jun 19 Jul 19 Aug 19 Sep 19 Oct 19 Nov 19 Dec 19 SLOVENIA ROMANIA
CROATIA A-95 gasoline (Ukraine) net of taxes and duties Eurobob quotations (North-Western Europe) ITALY BOSNIA AND Novorossiysk HERZEGOVINA 6 Source: Platts, Ukrgasvydobuvannya SERBIA GEORGIA FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS Source: Ukrtransnafta
Annual Report 2019 38 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 39 Naftogaz Group gas transportation system of Ukraine to GTS Operator LLC, In addition, the separation of the GTS operator should by the right of economic management. not have jeopardized the legal position of Naftogaz in the — The Act of transfer of a 100% stake in GTS Operator LLC, arbitration proceedings against Gazprom in Stockholm, which completed the acquisition by JSC "Mahistralni which began in 2018. In the arbitration on transit tariffs, UNBUNDLING Gazoprovody Ukrainy" of full control over GTS Operator Naftogaz required Gazprom to revise the transit tariff in LLC. 2018-2019 in accordance with the EU tariff regulation By signing these documents, Naftogaz Group completed transposed into Ukrainian legislation. If an unbundling
the separation of the gas transportation system operator. model was implemented that would not allow Naftogaz MARKET AND REFORMS OF GTS OPERATOR to claim compensation under this proceeding, Naftogaz MAIN OBJECTIVES would be exposed to losing the opportunity to receive up to USD 12 billion from Gazprom. In addition, it would weaken ACHIEVED THROUGH UNBUNDLING: Ukraine’s position in the negotiations to continue transit. On January 1, 2020, the unbundling process, i.e. the of Energy and Environmental Protection of Ukraine to the 1Ukraine has made the most progress in implementing restructuring that resulted in the full separation of natural Ministry of Finance of Ukraine. European legislation among the countries that have acceded 3Separation of the GTS operator gave impetus to the gas transportation activities from Naftogaz, was completed. to the Energy Community Treaty. continuation of Ukrainian gas market reform. Before 2020, gas storage and transportation through trunk 2Authorization of the Ministry of Finance of Ukraine to manage This conclusion can be drawn from the latest report of The achievement of GTS Operator LLC as an independent gas pipelines was provided by Ukrtransgaz (a company 100% state property used in Ukrainian natural gas transportation the Energy Community Secretariat1 and the progress made in operator, in its relations with the adjacent GTS operators, is owned by Naftogaz). From January 1, 2020 the company operations. the last months of 2019. The report, published in November the implementation of European operating rules at almost was divided into two separate legal entities: the gas storage 2019, stated that the key steps not yet implemented by all western points. This allowed not only for the launch of facilities operator (Ukrtransgaz), which remained a part of 3 Transfer, by right of economic management, the authority to Ukraine as of then on its path towards further integration virtual reverse natural gas, but also created, in the long run, Naftogaz Group, and the gas transportation system operator use state-owned assets engaged in the process of natural gas into the European gas market were the separation of natural the opportunity for European gas companies to reserve
(Gas Transmission System Operator of Ukraine LLC (GTS transmission through trunk pipelines, from the Ministry of gas transportation operations and the termination of special GTS capacities on the eastern border of Ukraine. So far, this AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY Operator LLC), which operates independently and is only Finance of Ukraine to GTS Operator LLC. obligations assigned to natural gas market entities. Therefore, possibility was blocked by Gazprom. Moreover, the next engaged in natural gas transmission. the unbundling process has brought the country even closer transit agreement may be concluded directly with the GTS The unbundling process has taken almost five years. The 4Transfer, by concluding a share purchase agreement, 100% of to its declared goal. operator, but for this end, Ukraine has to fully implement separation has gained considerable resonance in Ukraine the share in the authorized capital of GTS Operator LLC, from European legislation including EU network codes and and abroad. It was the first large-scale restructuring case for Ukrtransgaz JSC to JSC "Mahistralni Gazoprovody Ukrainy". 2The timing and the manner in which the separation was demonstrate their successful operations. Naftogaz. implemented helped Ukraine strengthen its position in gas 22 NOVEMBER 2019 GTS Operator LLC received the transit negotiations, and Naftogaz in its arbitration against 4The unbundling was carried out and completed without 18 SEPTEMBER 2019 The Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine preliminary decision of the Regulator regarding its Gazprom. any threat to the operations of both strategically important adopted Resolution No. 840 “On Separation of Natural certification as a gas transmission system operator. In February 2018, Naftogaz received a tribunal decision on operators. Gas Transportation and Ensuring Operations of the Gas ON DECEMBER 24, 2019, taking into account the positive its transit agreement with Gazprom, according to which the The GTS operator started its independent operations in Transportation System Operator” (hereinafter Resolution No. conclusion of the Energy Community Secretariat, the NEURC company, as a party to the transit agreement, had no right the middle of the heating season, so any mistake that would 840), which provided for the following unbundling arrangement: adopted its final decision on the certification of the gas without Gazprom's consent to transfer this agreement to the lead to its failure was a threat to the energy security of the
transmission system operator of Ukraine. new GTS Operator. In fact, Naftogaz remained the operator in country. GOVERNANCE CORPORATE 1Transfer the function of managing the corporate rights of 1 JANUARY 2020 the parties signed: the gas transit relationship, which made unbundling impossible Since the decision to separate the two operators, JSC "Mahistralni Gazoprovody Ukrainy" from the Ministry — The Act of transfer of property (assets) of the state-owned until the agreement expires, i.e. until January 1, 2020. there were risks of operating the gas transmission system
Legal structure of unbundling State of implementation of European gas legislation, November 20192
60% Cabinet of Ministers Ministry 48 of Ukraine of Finance 50% 46 Economic RESPONSIBILITY Management 40% 36 Rights 32 30 31
30 AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL 30%
Naftogaz GTS 20% 13 15 10% SPA for 100% 0 MGU Ukrtransgaz (Independent Supervisory Board) Ukraine Albania Georgia Kosovo Northern Macedonia Moldova Montenegro Serbia Bosnia and Bosnia Herzegovina
Source: the Energy Community Secretariat
1 Annual Implementation Report 2018/2019 of 01.11.19, published on the official website of the European Energy Community https://energy-community.org/implementation/IR2019.html GTS Operator LLC 100% GTS Operator LLC 2 As of the date of publication of the Report, the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine approved its Resolution No. 840 “On Separation of Natural Gas Transportation and Ensuring Operations of the Gas Transportation FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS System Operator”; However, the separation was completed on 1 January 2020, and it was not taken into account in the overall assessment of Ukraine's progress in the implementation of European gas legislation
Annual Report 2019 40 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 41 Naftogaz Group separately from gas storage facilities, since they are closely GTS and UGS connection points. These agreements, when linked technologically. At the same time, European practice needed, allow the GTS operator to meet the needs of the shows that the vast majority of GTS operators are, with some day-to-day balancing process and provide for an effective and exceptions, disconnected from UGS. The problem was solved transparent mechanism for monitoring the flow of natural gas using a standard European operator interaction arrangement. between the GTS and the UGS. Commercial and technical agreements were concluded at the MARKET AND REFORMS HOW UKRTRANSGAZ WAS RESTRUCTURED Key unbundling stages By the time of adoption of the updated unbundling plan, Naftogaz Group was already preparing for restructuring. The teams of Naftogaz and Ukrtransgaz started their work in 2018. 18 NOVEMBER 2018 In a little more than one year, all the necessary steps were The Unbundling Project Statute is approved taken to complete the separation under the new unbundling plan. The separation of gas transportation operations was, in fact, a complex and sophisticated project and it was for 1 JANUARY 2019 the first time Naftogaz Group dealt with such a complicated The branch UGS Operator is functionally separated, project. The company involved consultants from PwC including the related processes, assets, personnel. Polska and EY Ukraine to develop the internal restructuring Preparation for independent operations from model and implementation plan. The teams were assigned July 1, 2019 arranged AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY responsible for different areas, deadlines for implementation were set up, regular reporting and monitoring mechanisms were put in place. 5 FEBRUARY 2019 The key team included over thirty Naftogaz and Ukrtransgaz employees, with dozens of professionals working GTS Operator LLC is established, the transfer of assets, in each area. business processes, and personnel launched The project implementation schedule consisted of more than 400 tasks in many areas, such as the separation of assets, business processes, personnel, IT infrastructure, contracts, 1 JUNE 2019 analysis and compliance with certification requirements and support for the specified process. Functional separation of the branch GTS Operator of During the preparation period, about 900 contracts, Ukraine completed, the branch performs natural gas transportation independently more than 300,000 asset positions, more than 150 internal GOVERNANCE CORPORATE regulations and normative documents were analyzed and separated. Plans for the gradual transfer of more than 11,000 employees to the new GTS operator were developed and 1 JULY 2019 implemented. However, it is important to understand that the work was carried out in a rather difficult environment, when Full separation of business processes related to gas transportation and gas storage. Transfer to GTS Operator Ukrtransgaz's financial resources were limited due to tariff of Ukraine LLC reductions and an impressive amount of losses related to the unauthorized withdrawal of gas. At each stage of implementation, the process included consultations and checks to verify whether the resulting 24 DECEMBER 2019 decisions would meet the requirements of EU legislation, Certification of GTS Operator of Ukraine LLC for compliance RESPONSIBILITY whether the smooth operations of the operator would be with the requirements for independence issued by NEURC ensured at the time and after separation, to analyze and advise on the technical aspects of unbundling, to consider the AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL progress of the developed plan. Naftogaz, Ukrtransgaz, and the GTS Operator LLC 1 JANUARY 2020 continue their operations after the unbundling. In particular, Ukrainian GTS is transferred to the new GTS Operator. GTS and UGS operators are working to strengthen their 100% share in the Operator transferred to Trunk Gas competencies and further optimize their business processes Pipelines of Ukraine JSC and organizational structures. FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS
Annual Report 2019 42 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 43 Naftogaz Group REVERSE FLOW FROM EUROPE TRANSIT VOLUMES The increase in reverse supplies In 2019, Russian gas transit of imported gas from Europe to through the territory of Ukraine NATURAL Ukraine by 3.7 bcm compared amounted to 89.6 bcm, which is + to 2018 in anticipation of the 2.8 bcm more than the transit 3.7 transit termination scenario 89.6 volume in 2018 GAS TRANSIT BCM from 2020 BCM MARKET AND REFORMS
KEY BUSINESS RESULTS FOR 2019: the zero gas transit scenario from 2020. Considering uncer- tainty in gas transit negotiations in 2019 and the last-minute Change in gas stocks in European UGS facilities in 2016 – 2019 — Net revenues from the gas transit business in 2019 was agreement on the new transit deal, European market players UAH 70.2 billion. assessed the threat of transit interruption in 2020 as high. 1200 — Transit volumes amounted to 89.6 bcm (+3% compared to Both European customers and Gazprom were preparing to 2018). This is more than 45% of the total gas supplied by this scenario, accumulating gas stocks in European UGS fa- Gazprom to European countries in 2019. cilities: 1000 — In line with the final award of the Arbitration Institute (а) as of April 2019, the remaining volumes of gas inventories of the Stockholm Chamber of Commerce in the transit in European UGS facilities was above the average for the last 800 case, Gazprom paid UAH 68.5 billion (USD 2.92 billion) to three years due to the warm heating season of 2018/2019; AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY Naftogaz. (b) 2019 saw an increase in imports of liquefied natural gas — Primarily in exchange for Naftogaz's waiver of new claims (LNG) to Europe by almost 70%; 600 in 2018 arbitration against Gazprom, a transit contract for (c) the onset of the 2019/2020 heating season was TWh 2020-2024 (with guaranteed income based on ship-or-pay significantly warmer than normal, leading to a decrease in 400 principle and European rules) has been signed. Estimated natural gas consumption by households. revenues under the contract will amount to more than USD 7 billion over the next five years. 2The increase in reverse supplies of imported gas from Europe 200 In 2019, Russian gas transit through the territory of to Ukraine by 3.7 bcm compared to 2018 as part of preparation Ukraine amounted to 89.6 bcm, which is 2.8 bcm more for the transit termination scenario from 2020. Imports of gas than the transit volume in 2018. In addition, in December from the EU, not Russia, increase the overall level of demand 0 2019, Naftogaz received compensation from Gazprom in Europe. Like European countries, UKraine was preparing for Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec following the arbitration award in the transit case of 2018 of possible Russian gas transit termination from 2020, and the
USD 2.92 billion. relevant action plan was developed in time through accumula- Gas volumes in European UGS facilities in 2016-2018 2019 GOVERNANCE CORPORATE The aforementioned change in transit volumes in 2019 tion of sufficient gas volume in UGS facilities. As evidenced by was due to a number of factors including: the actual transit volumes in January-February 2020, Russia was Source: Gas Infrastructure Europe indeed preparing to terminate its transit through the territory 1 Preparation of other European countries and Gazprom for of Ukraine after the expiry of the 2009 transit contract. Gas transit through Ukraine in 2014-2019
Breakdown of consolidated revenues from the gas transit business in 2019 100 93.5 89.6 86.8 82.2 THE HIGHEST REVENUE IN THE HISTORY OF UKRAINE 80 RESPONSIBILITY Compensation under 67.1 the transit arbitration 62.2 AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL 2.92 award of 2018 60 USD billion bcm 5.64 40 evenue from USD billion transit services 20 2.72 rendered in 2019 USD billion 0 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Total revenue from gas transit business in 2019 Gas transit volume FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS Source: Naftogaz Source: Naftogaz
Annual Report 2019 44 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 45 Naftogaz Group EXCHANGE OF NEW CLAIMS BY NAFTOGAZ FOR A pay for the booked capacity, Gazprom would have had no USD 11.8 billion. The claim was based, among other things, 10) According to our estimates, such a development amid NEW TRANSIT CONTRACT economic motivation to use this capacity – so the revenue on compensation by Gazprom for the loss in value of the increasing competition from LNG in the European market would have been even smaller. In addition, the transmission Ukrainian GTS due to the expectation of termination of could have made Gazprom reassess the importance of The second half of 2019 was marked by negotiations -be cost is formed based on tariffs for entry and exit points set by transit by Russia from 2020. This requirement was in fact a maintaining its reputation as a reliable counterpart that is tween Ukraine and Russia in various formats regarding the the Ukrainian regulator calculated according to the standard continuation of the work on the revision of the transit tariff committed to the rule of law (in particular by fulfillment of conclusion of a new gas transit agreement. Until December European methodology. under the 2009 contract, which has been actively pursued the decisions of international courts). 2019, the negotiations were held in a trilateral format (in- Unlike the 2009 contract, the new deal provides for ad- by Naftogaz since 2014. Naftogas successful efforts in the volving representatives of the European Commission), and in vance payment. arbitration proceedings was one of key factors in achieving MARKET AND REFORMS December, mainly in a bilateral format at the company level. successful transit arrangements by the Ukrainian side. IMPORTANT FACTORS THAT ENSURED Since Gazprom has long been reluctant to sign a new contract The signing of the new Transit Agreement and the Settle- 6) On 27 November 2019, the Swedish Court of Appeal SUCCESSFUL CONCLUSION OF THE TRANSIT for the period after 2019, the zero-transit scenario after 2019 ment Agreement should be considered in the context of the rejected Gazprom's appeal against the separate award was a baseline. Under this scenario, Naftogaz had to continue circumstances and events that preceded the agreements on of the Stockholm Arbitration Tribunal in the gas sale case AGREEMENT a new arbitration, which provided for the possibility of receiv- 30 December 2019: between Naftogaz and Gazprom. The judgment could have ing multi-billion dollar compensation for Gazprom's termina- 1) The Ukrainian side was well prepared to defend its position not been appealed on the merits and minimized Gazprom’s 1Unbundling of gas transmission system operator (TSO): tion of gas transit through the territory of Ukraine. to prevent accusations of disruption of the negotiation chances to win an appeal against the final award of the The Russian side reiterated the need to bring Ukrainian gas In the result of negotiations process, completed at the end of process during Ukraine-Russia-EU trilateral negotiations. Stockholm Arbitration Tribunal in the gas sale case. legislation in line with EU market rules. Unbundling was a pre- December 2019, on the conclusion of the Agreement for the set- 2) During 2019, a stakeholder awareness campaign was 7) On 22 October 2019, the District Court of Amsterdam requisite for this compliance. Naftogaz’s active participation tlement of existing gas disputes and the basic terms of the future successfully launched to counteract the possibility that in satisfied Naftogaz’s request for the attachment of 100% in the development and implementation of the unbundling relationship in respect of transportation of natural gas (hereinafter return for extension of the old transit contract, Naftogaz would of the shares of Gazprom's South Stream Transport B.V. model was an additional leverage in successful negotiations Settlement Agreement) and the Contract on rendering services have to agree to Gazprom’s “zero option” (that is, without subsidiary. This was done in connection with the legal on continued gas transit. of organisation of natural gas transmission through the territory fulfilling the 2018 arbitration award), and the terms and condi- proceedings against Gazprom for the fraudulent transfer of Ukraine (hereinafter Transit Agreement), an arrangement be- tions of such a prolongation of the transit would be disadvan- of these shares to Transgaz Krasnodar LLC a day before 2US sanctions against Nord Stream 2: AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY tween Naftogaz and Gazprom was reached on booking capacities tageous for Naftogaz (much smaller volumes, no ship-or-pay the bailiffs started to freeze Gazprom's assets in the Neth- More than three years of Naftogaz’s targeted efforts facil- for transit in 2020-2024. Under the Transit Agreement, the mini- principle and no responsibility for the failure to deliver the erlands upon Naftogaz’s claim. In addition, on 4 December itated the adoption of US sanctions against companies pro- mum guaranteed amount of revenues from it comprises almost transit volumes, non-compliance with European rules, etc.). 2019, a court hearing on the recognition and enforcement viding vessels and technology for the construction of Russian USD 7.2 billion. 3) Ukraine and the European Commission took a common of the Stockholm Arbitration Award in the case initiated export-oriented offshore energy projects. The sanctions were The Settlement Agreement provided that Gazprom should stand regarding the benefits and future use of the Ukrainian by Naftogaz against Gazprom as been successfully com- adopted in December 2019 and led to immediate withdrawal pay USD 2.92 billion as compensation under the 2018 arbi- GTS during the negotiation process. pleted in Amsterdam. We had been expecting a favorable of two companies providing pipelaying vessels from the Nord tration award and both parties should waive their claims and 4) The Ukrainian side started to prepare for the scenario of judgment in this case to be rendered in February 2020. Stream 2 project and suspended its construction. This urged relevant court proceedings. Gazprom demanded the revision interruption of gas transit by Russia from 2020 in advance, This would have enabled us to enforce Gazprom’s debt Gazprom to agree and sign a new transit contract with Naftogaz of arbitration awards on the invalidation of the “take or pay” including accumulation of sufficient gas volumes in UGS under the arbitration award of 2018 through selling the as soon as possible. It should be noted that until the final adop- clause and compensation for the underdeliveries under the facilities for flawless heating season. attached assets, making Gazprom far less optimistic about tion of the sanction bill in the US Congress, Gazprom had been transit contract. 5) The company was actively supporting its claims in a new its chances to win other cases against Naftogaz. refusing to constructively negotiate a new transit deal, hoping Gazprom has also factually waived the claims for payment arbitration proceeding against Gazprom for a total of 8) The Ukrainian side was prepared to defend its position when to complete Nord Stream 2 within a short period of time and be for gas deliveries to the occupied territories, which was esti- USD 12.2 billion, which were submitted to the tribunal the format of the negotiations changed from trilateral to able to refuse from the Ukrainian transit route in 2020. GOVERNANCE CORPORATE mated at USD 2.6 billion. on 1 November 2019. The substantive component of the bilateral negotiations with the involvement of representatives The new transit agreement is based on the ship-or-pay claim was the compensation for Gazproms non-compliance of the Ukrainian government. 3High-level political arrangements principle – that is, Gazprom pays not for physically transmitted with a clause from 2009 transit contract that allowed Naf- 9) On 9 December 2019, the gas issue was discussed between The signing of the new transit contract took place based volumes, but for booked capacity. Without the obligation to togaz to claim tariff revision in 2018-2019 with a value of Ukraine and Russia during the Normandy summit in Paris. on the political arrangements reached, which were formalized in the minutes of the meeting of the representatives of the European Union, Ukraine and the Russian Federation of 19-20 December 2019.1 Value components of the new transit contract for Naftogaz Gas transit in Q1 2020
6 5.5 5.5 WHAT IS NEXT Naftogaz’s GUARANTEED 5.0 contractual margin The most pressing issues in relations with Gazprom include RESPONSIBILITY MINIMUM 5 4.6 REVENUES unlocking the following opportunities: 3.9 — gas delivery to European companies on the Russia-Ukraine AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL 7.15 4 border; USD billion — gas exports from the Russian Federation by gas producers 3 2.5 bcm independent from Gazprom; Gas transit — gas transit from Central Asia through the Russian Federation contract Decrease in entry tariffs for 2 by gas producers independent from Gazprom. 2020-2024 gas production companies 1 Solving these issues is related to Ukraine’s integration in the Euro- pean gas market, including harmonization of legislation regulating 0 market relations; advocation and strengthening Ukraine’s position January February March in the European energy and political landscape; and building trust among European institutions and businesses. Actual transit volumes In a long-term perspective, this will help Ukraine become DECREASE IN GAS TRANSMISSION a rightful participant of the European gas market and retain its indirect taxation of transit Capacity booked by Gazprom TARIFFS FOR END USERS position in gas transit and relevant revenue. revenues (VAT) FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS Source: operational data from OGTSU LLC 1 See https://www.kmu.gov.ua/news/protokol
Annual Report 2019 46 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 47 Naftogaz Group AMENDMENTS TO THE LAW EFFECT OF THE AMENDMENTS
Conditions have been created to increase the efficiency of use of the gas A positive development for both the LEGISLATIVE transmission system of Ukraine and to improve the procedure for obtaining natural gas market of Ukraine and access to capacity by customers of transportation services. Naftogaz Group. Thanks to these novelties, the GTS
The NEURC Resolution of 12.04.2019 No 580 “On Approval of Amendments Operator is able to offer a new service – MARKET AND REFORMS CHANGES to Certain NEURC Resolutions” amended the Gas Transmission System Code, the "short-haul services". The availability of Standard Natural Gas Transportation Agreement, the Gas Storage Facility Code, such a service will further unleash the the Standard Natural Gas Storage (Injection, Withdrawal), and the methodology potential of the Ukrainian GTS, as Europe- for determining and calculating tariffs for natural gas transportation services for an suppliers will be able to transport gas The natural gas market has switched to a daily balancing re- transportation services into balancing groups, and the provision entry and exit points based on long-term incentive regulation. Amendments were at competitive prices in transit through gime, which brings the Ukrainian gas market closer to integration of capacity with restrictions. In addition, the methodology for also made to the reporting form No 4-NKREKP-natural gas transportation (quarter- Ukraine, as well as pump natural gas into with the EU gas market. The independent GTS operator has been determining and calculating tariffs for natural gas transportation ly), in particular in terms of capacity allocation and introduction of procedures for Ukrainian underground storage facilities. separated and certificated. In terms of EU legislation transposi- services for entry and exit points based on multi-year incentive providing access to capacity with certain restrictions. tion, it is worth noting the amendments to the GTS Code aimed regulation was amended to ensure compliance with Regulation The amendments provide that entry / exit point capacity will be ordered and at harmonization with the relevant EU network codes, in partic- (EC) No 2017/460 of 16 March 2017 establishing a network code paid for by the customers of transportation services rather than consumers. In ular, regarding allocation agreements, clustering customers of of harmonized gas transportation tariff structures. turn, this allows the operator to achieve greater predictability of long-term loading of the GTS and optimizes its operation. In addition, these amendments make it possible for the customers of transportation services to have more flexible mecha-
AMENDMENTS TO THE LAW EFFECT OF THE AMENDMENTS nisms for accessing the capacity of domestic entry / exit points for various periods AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY (a year, quarter, month and day ahead), which allows them to effectively plan their orders and capacity use. The NEURC Resolution of 30.11.2018 No 1573 once and for all rescheduled the date A positive development for both the The procedure for providing access to capacity with certain restrictions is in- of introduction of daily balancing on the natural gas market of Ukraine on March 1, natural gas market of Ukraine and the troduced. The positive effects of the implementation of this procedure include the 2019. Naftogaz Group. The introduction of daily following: Accordingly, on March 1, 2019, the system switched to daily balancing, which balancing contributes to the development — ensuring regional transit flows through the gas transmission system of Ukraine imposes on the customers of natural gas transportation services the obligation to of the liquidity of the short-term whole- and efficient use of the existing infrastructure; settle their imbalances within one gas day. sale market (purchase and sale of natural — loading of Ukrainian gas storage facilities at the expense of European suppliers; gas within one day) and liberalization of — diversification of GTS operator's sources of income; the natural gas market as a whole, which — increased cross-border trade and improvement of liquidity in gas markets. significantly brought the operations of the Ukrainian natural gas market closer to
European standards, including in terms of The legal acts of the Regulator have been improved to ensure fulfillment by the Positive effect for market players. GOVERNANCE CORPORATE determining the fee for imbalances NEURC of its responsibilities in the oil and gas sector and interaction with licensees
The NEURC Resolution of 05.02.2019 No 156 "On Approval of the Procedure Daily balancing mechanisms and conditions have been standardized. A positive development for both the for Settlement of Disputes Arising between Business Entities Carrying Out Activi- natural gas market of Ukraine and Naftogaz ties in Energy and Utilities" regulated the settlement of pre-trial disputes arising The NEURC Resolution of 12.04.2019 No 558 “On Approval of Amendments Group as it strengthens competition in the between market participants with regard to access / connection to gas networks, to Certain NEURC Resolutions” amended the provisions of the Gas Transmission market of gas supplied for non-domestic observance of license conditions by business entities. System Code, the Standard Natural Gas Transportation Agreement and the Natural consumers and improves the work of the Gas Supply Rules, which determine the procedure for entering into an allocation GTS Operator. The NEURC Resolution of 22.04.2015 No 615 "On Approval of the Instruction agreement (allowing non-household consumers to simultaneously receive natural on Monitoring of Oil and Gas Markets by the National Energy and Utilities Regula- gas from several suppliers in one commercial accounting point) and introduced tory Commission" approved the instructions for monitoring of oil and gas markets the procedure for balancing group establishment and operation in the natural gas by NEURC. According to these instructions, the procedure and the rules for mon- RESPONSIBILITY market (the rights and responsibilities of the party that can be accountable to the itoring, the system of indicators for each object of monitoring (in particular, sepa- GTS operator for paying for daily imbalance of a group of customers it services). rately for the gas market), as well as the rules for publishing the results obtained in AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL Also, the date when the fees for neutral balance will start to accrue (1 January the process of market dynamics monitoring, are established. 2020) was established. The NEURC Resolution of 17.05.2019 No 750 “On Amendments to the NEURC Resolution dated 30 September, 2015 No 2494” amended the GDN Code, which The NEURC Resolution of 07.10.2019 No 2081 "On Amendments to the Rules A positive development for the natural gas exempted the owners of commercial natural gas metering units with meters of siz- of Natural Gas Supply" has regulated the issue of non-application of penalties market player. es G-1,6, G-2,5, G-4, G-6, accounting for an annual volume of gas less than 10,000 to heat-producing enterprises, as well as condominiums with their own boilers cubic meters, from the obligation to install remote data transmission devices on (which receive gas under the PSO Regulation) for actual consumption of gas that their own commercial metering units. The idea of this decision is to avoid burden- does not match the ordered amount. After the introduction of daily balancing in some technical requirements and additional financial burden for this category of the natural gas market, the company was required by law to impose fines on these consumers. consumers in case of deviation of their actual gas withdrawal by more than 5% The NEURC Resolution of 02.07.2019 No 1333 “On Approval of the Rules for from pre-ordered volumes, and spent significant resources on administration of Consideration of Consumer Appeals on Actions of Business Entities Operating in fines. The purpose of this decision was to protect the rights of these consumers Energy and Utilities and Settlement of Disputes” determined the procedure for and reduce any financial burden. consideration by NEURC of the appeals of consumers or persons intending to be- FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS
Annual Report 2019 48 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 49 Naftogaz Group AMENDMENTS TO THE LAW EFFECT OF THE AMENDMENTS AMENDMENTS TO THE LAW EFFECT OF THE AMENDMENTS come consumers, as regards the violation of their rights and interests by economic entities operating in the energy and utilities sectors, the state regulation of which The NEURC Resolution of 07.10.2019 №2080 “On Approval of Amendments to is performed by NEURC, and the settlement of disputes. Certain NEURC Resolutions” amended the Gas Distribution Systems Code and the Standard Natural Gas Distribution Agreement, as well as the methodology for
The NEURC Resolution of 01.08.2019 No 1623 "On Approval of Amendments Determining and Calculating Tariffs for Natural Gas Distribution Services. MARKET AND REFORMS to the Resolution of the National Energy and Utilities Regulatory Commission- dat ed 07 July 2016 No 1234" approved the changes to the reporting forms and in- The amendments also changed the principles of determining the amount of The approved amendments enabled structions for their completion, which relate to monitoring the natural gas market. capacity for natural gas consumers through transition from the connected capacity calculating and setting tariffs for GDN Op- The decision to modify these forms is due, on one hand, to the need to bring them to ordered capacity which will best meet the needs of consumers. In addition, erators to satisfy the requirements of the into line with current legislation (in particular, the PSO Regulation), and the need capacity ordering procedures have been simplified based on statistics on natural provisions of the Law of Ukraine “On the to automate information collecting and processing for the purposes of monitoring. gas consumed by each consumer in previous periods, and provided additional Natural Gas Market” regarding providing protection for household consumers. access to gas infrastructure on the princi- The NEURC Resolution of 13.09.2019 521952 "On Approval of Amendments to ple of granting the right to use capacity. the Procedure for Monitoring Compliance by Licensees Operating in Energy and Utilities, Legislation in the Relevant Areas and Licensing Conditions" supplemented the procedure for control with new chapters on the organization of two types of Tariffs for natural gas, oil and oil product transportation services, as well as for A positive development for both the unscheduled inspections: off-site inspections (i.e. those held on the premises of natural gas storage (injection, withdrawal) services in underground gas storage oil and gas market and Naftogaz Group the regulator) and inspections carried out before the decision on the merits of the facilities have been set companies, as it allows market players to dispute. The approved amendments regulate the terms, grounds, and list of issues The NEURC Resolution of 18.07.2019 No 1480 “On Amendments to the NEURC plan their business activities, as well as to AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY subject to such inspections. Resolution of June 19, 2018 No 480” from August 1, 2019 established tariffs for receive income from licensed activities. natural gas storage (injection, withdrawal) in the underground gas storage facilities With its Resolution of 29.11.2019 No 2586 "On Transposition of the Provisions of Ukrtransgaz JSC. of the European Union and the Energy Community Acts on the Natural Gas Market of Ukraine", the regulator approved the decision to transpose the provisions of The NEURC Resolution of 11.10.2019 No 2108 "On the Establishment of Tariffs the European Union and the Energy Community Acts on network codes in the gas for Transportation of Oil by Trunk Pipelines of Ukrtransnafta JSC for Consumers of sector, namely: Ukraine for a Transitional Period" from November 1, 2019, established tariffs for — Commission Regulation (EU) No 2015/703 of 30 April 2015 establishing a the transportation of oil by trunk pipelines with their gradual increase over three network code of interoperability and data exchange rules; years. — Commission Regulation (EU) No 2017/459 of 16 March 2017 establishing a network code on capacity allocation mechanisms in gas transmission systems The NEURC Resolution of 24.12.2019 No 3013 "On Setting Tariffs for GTS and repealing Regulation (EU) No 984/2013; Operator of Ukraine LLC for Natural Gas Transportation Services for Entry Points
— Commission Regulation (EU) No 2017/460 of 16 March 2017 establishing a and Exit Points for the Regulatory Period 2020 - 2024" from January 1, 2020, es- GOVERNANCE CORPORATE network code of harmonized transmission tariff structures for gas; tablished tariffs for natural gas transportation services for entry and exit points — Commission Regulation (EU) No 312/2014 of 26 March 2014 on the Network to / from the gas transmission system on cross-border connections, tariffs for Code on Gas Balancing of Transmission Networks; natural gas transportation services for domestic entry and exit points to / from the — Commission Decision (EU) No 2012/490 of 24 August 2012 on amending gas transmission system, and also approved both the coefficients that take into Annex I to Regulation (EC) No 715/2009 of the European Parliament and of the account the period and the season for which the capacity is ordered, as well as Council on conditions for access to gas transmission systems. reducing factors for capacity with restrictions. Transposition is done by translating the provisions of EU Regulations and trans- posing them into national law without making changes to the structure or text. Certification of the gas transmission system operator and issuance of a license A positive development for players of the have been provided. natural gas market of Ukraine. Tariff methodologies for natural gas transportation and natural gas distribution A positive development for natural gas services have been improved market players . With NEURC Resolution of 24.12.2019 No 3010, the regulator made a final RESPONSIBILITY The approved amendments enabled decision on the certification of the gas transmission system operator. The NEURC The NEURC Resolutions of 11.10.2019 No 2107 and of 20.12.2019 No 2899 calculating and setting tariffs for the -certi Resolution of 24.12.2019 No 3011 approved the decision to issue a license for the AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL approved the amendments to the methodology for determining and calculating fied operator of the GTS of Ukraine accord- transportation of natural gas to GTS Operator of Ukraine LLC tariffs for natural gas transportation services for entry and exit points based on ing to European standards. long-term incentive regulation. The amendments are aimed at ensuring com- pliance with the regulations of the European Commission (EU) No 2017/460 of March 16, 2017 on the establishment of a network code of harmonized transmis- sion tariff structures for gas. In addition, the approach to the distribution of the required revenue between entry / exit points, the calculation of the adjustment of required revenue from natural gas transportation activities on the basis of capacity charges was modified, and a mechanism for determining the auction price using the newly introduced concepts of "regulatory account", "homogeneous group of points", and "cluster of points". Among other things, for the GTS entry / exit points on a cross-border pipe joint, a tariff may be set below the GTS operator’s econom- ic costs, however only in order to bring tariffs to a competitive level, taking into account the level of alternative gas transportation routes, alternative costs, and economic feasibility for customers of gas transportation services and other factors. FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS
Annual Report 2019 50 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 51 Naftogaz Group IN THIS SECTION: NEW WELLS COMMISSIONED IN 2019 55 | Address of COO 61 | Integrated Gas Business Delivery Unit 77 | Oil Midstream and Downstream Business Delivery Unit In 2019, 60 new wells Incremental 83 | Natural gas transmission were commissioned production 91 | Gas Storage Business Delivery Unit 60 into production and 504 from new wells contributed 504 commissioned in MARKET AND REFORMS 95 | Technical Business Enabling Unit NEW WELLS mcm of production MCM 2019 was 504 mcm 101 | Ukrnafta PJSC results 105 | New Energy Business Unit 109 | New Businesses STRATEGY AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY CORPORATE GOVERNANCE CORPORATE RESPONSIBILITY OPERATIONS
HYDROCARBON EXPLORATION AND PRODUCTION ACTIVITIES AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL
Key challenges for Naftogaz Group in its objective to grow its resource base and STRATEGY AND STRATEGY production for several years have been field depletion, limited portfolio of special permits for development of new fields, and significant time and other costs required for their development. Naftogaz Group focuses on optimizing production from existing fields with simultaneous capability enhancement, attracting partners, and investing in new opportunities. Sustaining baseline production, enhancing capabilities, and pursuing partnerships and investments into new opportunities in combination will create a solid foundation for a steady increase in production and resource base and strengthen the nation’s energy security. FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS
Annual Report 2019 52 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 53 Naftogaz Group MARKET AND REFORMS INTERVIEW WITH CHIEF OPERATIONAL AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY OFFICER Otto Waterlander Сhief operational officer
A completely new position has appeared in the compa- CTO is a temporary position. What will follow the com- of our investments to make sure we protect the financial base have become a different company when you see that our per- ny’s top management. What is your role as the Chief Trans- pletion of the transformation? of the company. The challenge is phenomenal. On the one formance metrics are comparable to those that are common formation Officer? What are your priorities? What is the I think we can consider the transformation complete when hand, we need investments to target new businesses and new in the international oil and gas industry. That’s how you will GOVERNANCE CORPORATE difference between CTO and COO? How will you combine we have achieved the planned shift to business divisions and resources. On the other hand, we have to have a very reduced know that we have transformed the company. these two positions? implemented the right accountabilities for decisions. Today investment level because we need to protect the financial I think what is important is that the executive board has we have a mix. Some are legal entities, some are business base of the company. This requires a very fine balance. We How will Naftogaz change for the outside world? chosen an operating model where executive board members divisions. We want to move all the decision rights from legal need our team to deliver production growth, to deliver re- The outside world will recognize a different Naftogaz. It are closer to the operational side of the business. We don’t entities to businesses. That’s one way to recognize that the source growth, to be ready to enter the retail business, to de- will be easier to work with Naftogaz. There will be less bureau- only want to be a shareholder, we want to be very active to transformation is complete. The second sign is increased effi- liver financial improvements in the storage business, in the oil cracy. We will be open and transparent to the external world, guide our business leaders. For that reason we created the ciency. With the amount of people we have, we can do more business, and also in the gas business. At the same time, we comparing ourselves to international industry standards. You role of the COO. This is a fundamental change for the compa- and we must become more efficient. There are some activities need to reduce the number of people that we involve in each will look at Nafogaz and you will see that this is a normal oil ny and therefore we also created the CTO position. It’s very we could do with less people and less capital. That’s also true. of our activities and we need to become more efficient. Those and gas company improving the way it is operating and push- important for the success of the Group to achieve its transfor- We can grow faster. We want to develop to the level that we are the challenges that we need to continuously balance. ing its way into becoming an energy company. mation in a short timeframe. When we think about transfor- say, “yes, we can achieve more ambitious plans”, and we need mation, we are not just thinking about organizational change. to move towards creating more value. Especially today. The What is the essence of the transformation you oversee What are the key risks for the transformation? RESPONSIBILITY We are thinking about changing the way we work and about efficiency theme is everywhere from oil to storage to gas to in Naftogaz? Which are the key workflows of the transfor- I think that financial instability is the first and the most results we hope to achieve with that. What does that mean in trading. We need to make all the parts of our business profit- mation? important risk today. If we don’t transform, particularly in AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL practice? It means we need to improve processes to reduce able and attack the elements that are not profitable. We need The essence is set up a new organizational structure where view of the current crisis, we have a very significant risk that red-tape and speed up decision making. It means we need to to make our work efficient, make sure that we have the right people will find it easier to work together where we establish we lose financial strength and stability of the group. We have allow decision making in the organization where people know people in the right places. When we see all those things hap- clear and transparent individual accountability to achieve to change, we have to transform. In meetings with the top best. We then need to make sure we have the best talent pen and we see growth in value, then I’ll consider the trans- results. Our teams then can focus on identifying opportunities leaders of the company, I compared this with the coronavirus for the tasks ahead of us. This is true for operational matters formation complete. for creating value and growth that we could not see before. crisis: it came suddenly, but almost overnight we found that such as how to bring together our best people to drill new An important element is to create better capabilities and we can work very differently. The way we communicate to- wells. But also to make a decision about investments in a new What key challenges for Naftogaz do you see in the cur- competences, at par with international standards. How do we gether today, I think in early 2020 we thought was impossible. LPG plant where we need the best people evaluating the LPG rent environment? How will the group respond to them? achieve that? We have one big work stream that is focused Within six weeks, we all changed how we work. We all created market, about investment technologies and about project and Most of us have never seen anything like the current crisis on organization and work culture. Another is focused on a new method of interacting together. It’s the same with the risk management. My role as a chief transformation officer is before. We must be clear about that. The entire oil and gas achieving breakthrough performance. For example, our supply rest of the transformation: if we do not transform, we will no to make sure that I bring all of the elements together. As we sector is responding to it quite aggressively and our response chain management project is a new concept in how we want longer be able to deliver on our objectives because we will evolve the Group, it makes a lot of sense to combine the CTO is in line with the Industry response. We are reducing our op- to reduce the cost of the supply chain and manage things like lose the financial health of the company. And we will lose the and COO roles for now. To be closer to the business, working erating costs and we are reducing our investments. Basically, our warehousing and logistics in the company to make sure credibility of the public because if we are not able to grow the with the businesses, to change how we work, to help create we now need to accelerate the transformation we are already that all the things we buy are brought at the lowest cost. This reserve base, than our right to exist as a national oil and gas better results. undertaking. On top of that, we are reducing or delaying some will improve how we execute our work. You will recognize that company will be questioned. So, what we need to do is to lead FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS
Annual Report 2019 54 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 55 Naftogaz Group development of new reserves, reduce the risks of developing grow but needs to demonstrate the viability of the refining dependent on oblgazes or other parties who resell our own international partners. I also believe Ukraine needs to tell its oil and gas activities in Ukraine. Naftogaz needs to lead and be activities under reduced demand for petroleum products. gas to end users and then don’t pay Naftogaz. We are building story better and within our report we do a good job of this, a platform to bring international companies to Ukraine to help For Shebelynka this will be an important year to demonstrate our own direct channel to customers to be more efficient. but we need to have an extra hundred thousand copies of our MARKET AND REFORMS us grow. This is another issue we need to look at. Without how to maintain the refinery. We are also continuing to That’s what our response is going to be. In parallel, we will Annual Report because we need to tell the story of Ukraine’s international partners we achieve less. We’ll reach our goals look at extracting a high value product like LPG form our gas continue collection efforts from those companies who are not oil and gas industry much more outside the country. We need much quicker if we are able to attract international partners production. The opportunity to sell LPG in Ukraine is strong paying Naftogaz. to take our Annual Report everywhere. Today, very few people who will invest alongside with us. and we want to continue playing in this segment. We must talk about Ukraine. And when they talk about Ukraine, very also look at the storage business. Our storage business is a Naftogaz is planning an IPO within the next 3 or 4 years, few people talk about opportunities in Ukraine. And even The shareholder decided to extract 95% of profits from new since we separated the TSO. This business works very depending on financial markets. What is the company doing fewer people talk about opportunities in the oil and gas sector Naftogaz as dividend. How critical is this decision to the hard to increase its efficiency. Unfortunately, this means that to prepare? in Ukraine. I find this a great pity. As a consequence, many group's ability to produce gas and remain profitable? we will reduce our indirect staff activities. We need to have It is, of course, up to the owner to decide on the IPO. For people don’t know where Ukraine is and have no idea what’s That decision in itself is not relevant to the near-term abil- fewer people working in storage. And we need to market Naftogaz it is the state of Ukraine, which owns 100% of our going on here. ity to produce gas. We will continue to be able to produce gas our storage capacity in the European market. We will work shares. And it is up to the owner to decide if this is a full IPO and will probably be able to grow our volume base to some commercially to attract foreign partners who want to store in or partial IPO and whether this is to replace existing share- We know that the European Union is now working on degree. In the longer term, if this becomes a norm, it means Ukraine. Turning that around and creating that commercial holder money or to attract new money. A lot of things still a new green deal agenda. Do you see a role for Naftogaz in that Naftogaz will no longer be able to invest to grow the opportunities at more affordable cost levels is important for need to be decided. NAftogaz want to become ready so it this green deal, for instance reducing methane emissions or reserve base and we will not be able to increase gas produc- the storage business. We then will need to look at the tech- creates the opportunity for the IPO. What we need to do is producing and storing hydrogen, which is a very important AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY tion. The only way for Naftogaz to grow the long-term produc- nical business. We must become more efficient, lower cost to improve the valuation of the company. This is step number buzzword now in Brussels? tion volume is by investing more in finding new reserves. We and clarify where and how the technical business can add one and this is what a lot of our activity this year is focused on I am very committed to the Green agenda and reducing cannot grow sustainably from existing reserves. In short, we most value. As I said, this is crucial to afford our investments. with the transformation. The second thing we need to do is greenhouse gases. Natural gas will have a role to play, among must invest and find new reserves. This is the only way we can For the Commerce business, today we have opportunities to to establish the right governance and transparency. From this others to reduce coal in power generation, for a long time to increase the volume and create energy independence for the trade in the market that we never had before. We can grow year onward, we become more transparent in reporting our -fi come. And, we will face more opportunities from investing in country. We must invest significant money into finding and this business and create more value for the company. We nancial performance. This also helps us internally, because we green electricity, to reducing our own emissions in operations. developing new reserves. One year of taking out 95% will not also want to go into the retail market and build a new busi- need to report externally and create transparency internally About hydrogen am less excited about the near term poten- inhibit our long-term opportunities. If this becomes a norm, ness. Our ambition is to grow to serve two and half million and be open about what our financial performance is to iden- tial. It will likely remain a research and development effort it will slow down the pace at which we can develop and delay customers after the abolishment of the PSO. And finally, the tify what we can improve. The other topics we’ve just talked for most of the coming 10 years, with costs and investments. the achievement of energy independence for the country. upstream part of the business which is generating most of about in terms of changing and improving each and every of Hydrogen as a technological challenge needs to be subsidized. the cash today for its own development. Upstream needs the five businesses are, I think, the critical pillars in order to If the European Union is ready to consider financing such One of the tasks that the shareholder set for Naftogaz to move from generating cash from production to investing demonstrate improvement. Then what you need to do for an projects in Ukraine, we are happy to be part of the process. I is to increase 2P oil and gas reserves. The current market cash into the growth of future production. We have strength- IPO is demonstrate stability. Can we sustain improvements in think the crash in oil and gas prices is fantastic for the green GOVERNANCE CORPORATE conditions are far from favorable. What are Naftogaz’s plans ened our leadership to lead that change. I would say that the company? Can we show that the company is able to at- deal as it may accelerate the phase out of coal from electric- in terms of investments in the development of domestic gas our upstream business is the largest business today in terms tract, develop, and promote talent? Can we show that we are ity generation. Ukraine should adjust its policy accordingly. production? of cash generation and in terms of investment levels, but all building a pipeline of talent internally in the company? Exter- Otherwise, the electricity price will increase as a consequence The oil and gas market always experiences periods of five businesses must change in order to generate the cash nal investors love to see that we have the right people coming which hurts the industrial development and creating new jobs. higher prices and lower prices. Today’s market in that context that we need to have as a group. Naftogaz cannot afford through the ranks and stability at the top of the organization. Gas will benefit from this process of replacing coal for gas in is not different. But the crisis seems bigger because many divisions that are not carrying their weight in value creation. These are all steps that we are undertaking in 2020. Europe. As a consequence, the opportunity to use Ukraine's more factors are involved, and it may take longer to recover. storage and transit will grow. I believe that being a gas player What we need to do in response is two things. First, Naf- What are the key growth and investment areas for the What else do you think should be addressed in the An- is still a very important thing. Let’s focus on doing it well. togaz has the need to become more efficient. Improving and group in the next three years? nual Report? What important messages with regard to the demonstrating greater efficiency, allows us to improve the I would say that all of them are important because if you transformation of Naftogaz need to be communicated to We know that we face a very challenging time. We need affordability of our investments. We need to make sure that can imagine that I got four small businesses and they are los- stakeholders in the Annual Report? to work on efficiency and spending less. How will this affect all the investments we do are really economic under tougher ing money or costing money, then it reduces the opportunity Given the fact that we are building the annual report on the group’s focus on HSE, on job security, and our responsi- RESPONSIBILITY market conditions. We must ensure that investments remain for upstream to find new gas because I don’t have enough what we achieved during the last year, I would not mind if we bility to the environment? economic when prices are USD 100/tcm to extract, so we are investment money. I think that in the coming three years put more emphasis on discussing or highlighting the external So, first, HSE. The only journey is to strengthen our HSE AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL still economic also in the long term. Second, we must ensure finding enough investment funds will be a challenge for us. market crisis. We are not transforming just because we want performance. We will not attempt to save even a single that we also prioritize enough investments that give us good We need to demonstarte affordability and more efficiency in to but because we need to. We must demonstrate to be on hryvnia in that direction. In fact, we plan to spend more this opportunities to be economical for the country in the longer investments and make sure that every business, even small a par with the international industry under the new market year in order to strengthen HSE performance. We can never term. Investments in new reserves is not done for tomorrow businesses, generates cash. They cannot lose cash. condition. On the oil side, we no longer have the demand we let the economic situation reduce the importance of HSE per- but will bring production volumes in five years from now. We used to have, while on the gas side, prices are below import formance. This will remain the most important challenge for think there are enough opportunities for us to invest. How will the major problems be solved, such as out- parity of LNG from the US. These are situations we have never us. We cannot sacrifice lives for the sake of efficiency. But we standing receivables and increases in production? experienced before. It is crucial for the company to transform do recognize that we are not efficient today and we need to You oversee the work of different divisions. Which ones There are many challenging topics. We are actively dis- if we want to have investment capital in the future and to become more efficient. We can train or retrain people and we do you believe have the biggest potential? cussing on our PSO debts trying to find a way to resolve this demonstratewe are a responsible state-owned company. We will be responsible where we need to say goodbye to people. First of all, you know that this year we have split Inte- and this is also very much linked to finding final agreements must make sure that we are more affordable in everything we We don’t have a specific reduction target. It has to be a con- grated Gas into two divisions. We created a Exploration & with Ukrnafta. Hopefully, we can solve these problems do. That’s the only way we can have sufficient cash to invest tinuous effort. We cannot offer job security. I think we need to Production Division and a Commercial Division. In 2020, all by striking the right deals with between the government, in new reserves in the long-term production potential of the be honest about it. Reducing bureaucracy is important for us. the divisions are critically important to us because they all Ukrnafta and Naftogaz. Regarding the other outstanding debts company. Without transformation, we will not be able to We will continue to consolidate our activities to increase qual- need to demonstrate their economic viability in new market of oblgazes, as soon as the PSO regime cease to exist, we will achieve the targets that the government has set for us. In or- ity, increase automation so that we become a more stable and conditions. The Midstream Oil and Gas Division wants to step further into the retail market. We will try to become less der to realize these ambitions, we need to do more to attract more investment-friendly company. FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS
Annual Report 2019 56 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 57 Naftogaz Group Transformation
BETTER NAFTOGAZ - RESULTS 2035 Improvement performance of Naftogaz Group with respect to safety, reducing injuries, implementation of HSE industry standards 2034 Ensure stable transfers to the state budget and reducing negative impact of low prices to Naftogaz Group performance 2033 2023 MARKET AND REFORMS Successful transformation of Naftogaz Group and build highly efficient operational model 2032 Ensure sustainability of development and value creation of Naftogaz Group “Reshape our Future” Better organizational efficiency – quick decision making and execution 2031 Naftogaz Group positioning as attractive employer of “choice №1” in Ukraine or national center of competencies and best practices based on professional growth 2030 and development 2029 Fit for 25 by 2023 Culture of personal responsibility, results-oriented and collaboration 2028 Ensure financial stability and profitability of business in an KEY PRINCIPLES OF NAFTOGAZ GROUP OPERATING MODEL 2027 environment of low stable prices and crisis 2026 The Company's readiness to IPO Compliance with Naftogaz Group values, Code of Corporate Ethics, anticorruption policy, Compliance & Risk Core values Sustained gas supply independence, reducing import gas Management policies, Delegation of Authority 2025 2024 dependency: optimizing gas production and consumption, Promoting internal Awareness of responsibility for Naftogaz Group common results invest to built new gas reserves and gas production as control framework 2023 well as in gas demand reduction through renewables and Ensuring proper functioning of the internal control system AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY Regular monitoring (self-assessment) of internal controls 2022 energy efficiency 2021 Gain recognition as key player and market maker in the Business divisions are responsible for financial results and implementation of key initiatives aimed at creation of Accountability energy market of Ukraine (highly efficient operating added value for Naftogaz Group 2020 and responsibility model and philosophy) Corporate functions ensure operational excellence of corporate functions, increased service quality and trust by the 2019 stakeholders 2018 Accountability, avoidance of multiple reporting 2017 Speed of Segregation and delegation of powers with regard to decision-making 2016 Reduction in number of decision-making levels across Naftogaz Group decision making 2015 Level of complexity and priority of issues corresponds to the decision-making level 2014 Efficiency and Activities, goals and priorities of corporate functions are based on needs of the business divisions 2013 GOVERNANCE CORPORATE Horizontal and vertical synergies across Naftogaz Group scale of activity 2012 2019/2020 Result orientation and value creation for Naftogaz Group 2011 Operating shared service centers & corporate function at the lowest cost at required service level Monetizing Results Implementation of process-based approach to Naftogaz Group management, standardization and continuous 2010 improvement of business processes by it's owners 2009 2008 Big achievements ДОРОЖНЯROADMAP OFКАРТА TRANSFORMATION ТРАНСФОРМАЦІЇ 2020 НА 2020 2007 Eliminate corruption 2006 Executing of market reforms Transformation components 2020 Plan 2005 Gas independence
2004 RESPONSIBILITY Implement effective operational Develop cooperation principles and rules according to the matrix operating model Independent and modern governance model model Decrease decision-making levels and distribute powers in a clear way 2003 Develop and implement mechanism for escalation controversial issues Win in Stockholm arbitration AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL 2002 Develop and implement corporate functions TSO unbundling 2001 Implement unified group standards Ensure standardized taxonomy and centralized methodology Gazprom payment and methodologies Regulate and standardize business processes 2000 Develop and implement project management standards / procedures 1999 Transit contract 2020-2024 Transform processes and Supply Chain Management (SCM) Transformation 1998 corporate functions Optimize investment process Evaluate and prioritize risks on an annual basis 1997 Automate business process 1996 Building "new Naftogaz": Ensure effective communication and cooperation based on corporate values 1995 leadership and culture Mobilize and develop the team of leaders (TOP-100) Hold regular communication and feedback session 1994 Build HSE oriented corporate culture pre-2014 1993 Create unified open internal data bases: regulatory, methodical, technical Launch unified internal portal of Naftogaz Group 1992
Constrained Company FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS Create center of knowledge and experience exchange 1991
Annual Report 2019 58 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 59 Naftogaz Group INTEGRATED GAS BUSINESS DELIVERY UNIT
THE KEY RESULTS OF THE INTEGRATED GAS and production increase and (2) in the commercial segment – MARKET AND REFORMS BUSINESS DELIVERY UNIT continuing the reform of the gas market and preparation for Estimated depletion level and remaining 2P reserves of Ukrgasvydobuvannya fields as of 01.01.2020 effective entry and operation of supply activities in key- cus — Integrated Gas revenue in 2019 was UAH 114.5 bn, tomer segments after PSO regime abolition and building the 90 UAH 90.2 bn of which was obtained from the supply and commercial organization of Naftogaz Group. sale of natural gas to external consumers. 75 Shebelynske — 2019 EBITDA1 of the business unit amounted to UAH 37.0 bn, with respective EBITDA margin of 32%. HYDROCARBON EXPLORATION AND PRODUCTION 60 — Overall natural gas sales and supply volume by Naftogaz ACTIVITIES Group was 15.7 bcm, 8.0 bcm of which was supplied 45 Zakhidno-Khrestyshchenske to households, 4.5 bcm – to district heating companies (hereinafter DHCs) for household needs, and a further KEY CHALLENGES FOR NAFTOGAZ GROUP IN ITS 30 2.5 bcm was supplied to DHCs for needs of other customer Yablunivske OBJECTIVE TO GROW ITS RESOURCE BASE AND Tymofiyivske Melykhivske segments. PRODUCTION FOR SEVERAL YEARS HAVE BEEN FIELD 15 Yefremivske — Gas imports amounted to 7.2 bcm (including the purchase Berezivske AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY DEPLETION, LIMITED PORTFOLIO OF SPECIAL PERMITS bcm 2P reserves, remaining Estimated of imported gas in underground gas storage facilities), the 0 largest imported volume for the past 5 years. FOR DEVELOPMENT OF NEW FIELDS, AND SIGNIFICANT 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 75% 80% 85% 90% 95% — Preparations of Naftogaz and other traders for potential TIME AND OTHER COSTS REQUIRED FOR THEIR Depletion level, % termination of gas transit starting from 1 January 2020 DEVELOPMENT. Large (2P reserves > 15 bcm) Medium (2P reserves of 5-15 bcm) Small (2P reserves < 5 bcm) resulted in a reaching record natural gas stock level in 4 large fields (Shebelynske, 4 medium fields (Melykhivske, Tymofiyivske, underground storage facilities of 14.7 bcm as of the In its pursuit to optimize and ensure long-term growth Zakhidno-Khrestyshchenske, Yefremivske, Medvedivske, Berezivske) contain 14% of Small fields contain 30% of beginning of the year. of its resource base and production, Naftogaz Group faces Yablunivske) contain most of Ukrgasvydobuvannya 2P Ukrgasvydobuvannya 2P reserves. Average Ukrgasvydobuvannya reserves. — Trade volume of produced natural gas by serious challenges – those of the current low market price reserves – 56%. Average depletion level is 88% depletion level is 79% Average depletion level is 86% Ukrgasvydobuvannya was 13.6 bcm and production of liquid environment as well as historically accumulated production hydrocarbons reached 481 thousand tons. challenges due to neglect or deliberate impediments for both 69% of Ukrgasvydobuvannya 2P reserves
— In 2019, the business unit kicked off the process of production activities of Naftogaz Group and domestic hydro- Note: For calculation of field depletion levels for 31 December 2019, remaining 2P reserves as of end of 2019 calculated as 2P reserves based on PRMS methodology from the report of DeGolyer and structuring a full-scale Production Enhancement carbons and gas industry: MacNaughton from 1 January 2019 less 2019 gross production volume; initial reserves in place estimated as estimated remaining 2P reserves as of end of 2019 and cumulative production level since the start of production from the field until end of 2019. Picture includes fields that had 2P reserves as of 01.01.2019 according to report by “DeGolyer and MacNaughton” Contract (PEC), the first ever in the oil and gas industry GOVERNANCE CORPORATE of Ukraine, which resulted in signing of the agreement 1High field depletion level, where most of Ukrgasvydobuvan- Source: Report by DeGolyer and MacNaughton as of 1 January 2019 on Reserves and Revenue of Certain Properties with Interests Attributable to Ukrgazvydobuvannya in Ukraine. Data: Ukrgazvydobuvannya with international company Expert Petroleum in April nya’s fields are over 75% depleted and have depressed 2020 aimed at increasing hydrocarbon production on remaining pressure levels , which makes increasing or even Ukrgasvydobuvannya's fields in Western Ukraine, with the sustaining production at these fields challenging. partner committing to invest about UAH 1 bn (or about 2 Formation pressure levels of Ukrgasvydobuvannya USD 30 million) during the first 5 years of partnership. 2Limited portfolio of new fields due to obstacles obtaining Formation pressure — In 2019, Naftogaz Group obtained 14 special permits new special permits . Since 2001, Ukrgasvydobuvannya has Year production for field development via auctions and won the right to received only 160 special permits for new field development Field started Initial Mpa Current Mpa Depletion, % conclude 4 production sharing agreements, 2 of them – in compared to 544 special permits obtained by other companies. Shebelynske 1956 24 2 91% partnership with the Canadian company Vermilion Energy. In the period from 2007 to 2013, Ukrgasvydobuvannya ob- Solokhivske 1961 33 6 81% — Among the most important activities of the team in tained only 4 special permits, while other companies received Mashivske 1962 41 5 88% exploring new sources of resource base increase were 154 special permits. Although since 2014 the situation has Bytkiv-Babchynske 1962 19 4 79% RESPONSIBILITY spudding of Shebelynske 888 well, completion of 3D seismic somewhat improved and Ukrgasvydobuvannya has obtained 45 Kegychivske 1965 30 7 77% interpretation for Svyatohirske field, and ramp-up of efforts new special permits, the timeline required for new field devel- Yefremivske 1967 35 7 80% AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL to prepare for development of tight gas reservoirs. opment does not allow them to be immediately converted into Opishnyanske 1969 38 6 85% production, even if development is accelerated . Zakhidno-Sosnivske 1969 42 13 68% Integrated Gas Business Unit was established in January Zakhidno-Khrestyschenske 1970 36 5 86% 2019 and linked the entire vertical of activities from hydro- 3The overall depletion of the Dnieper-Donetsk Basin with a de- Lannivske 1971 41 12 71% carbon exploration and production to import, sale, supply, crease in the probability of opening new large traditional fields Melykhivske 1973 40 9 77% and distribution of natural gas. The purpose of creation of the forces Naftogaz Group to consider other possibilities for large- Rozpashnivske 1976 46 4 91% business unit was to establish end-to-end P&L accountability scale expansion of the resource base and production . Tymofiyivske 1978 42 17 59% throughout of the entire gas business value chain. Key objec- Medvedivske 1978 41 7 83% tives set for 2019 included (1) in the hydrocarbon exploration 4Sharp fall in natural gas prices during 2019 and its respective Kotelevske 1978 57 12 78% and production segment - optimizing production in the current impact on the commercial attractiveness of development of Berezivske 1982 64 16 76% 1983 41 9 78% brownfield portfolio and finding new sources of resource base greenfields, in particular sub-scale or inconventional ones. Yablunivske Bilche-Volytske 1991 7 3 57% Skhidno-Poltavske 1995 49 22 56% Komyshnyanske 1995 78 50 35% FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS 1 Adjusted EBITDA as defined in Note 3 to the Consolidated Financial Statements Source: Report by DeGolyer and MacNaughton as of 1 January 2019 on Reserves and Revenue of Certain Properties with Interests Attributable to Ukrgazvydobuvannya in Ukraine. Ukrgazvydobuvannya
Annual Report 2019 60 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 61 Naftogaz Group NAFTOGAZ GROUP FOCUSES ON OPTIMIZING PRODUCTION Time-to-gas and field life cycle FROM EXISTING FIELDS WITH SIMULTANEOUS CAPABILITY 114.5 ENHANCEMENT, ATTRACTING PARTNERS, AND INVESTING Obtaining and processing of Field opening and Industrial UAH bn IN NEW OPPORTUNITIES geological information start of operation development Integrated Gas revenue 3 years 5-7 years 38-50 years in 2019 Naftogaz Group's new hydrocarbons exploration and pro- MARKET AND REFORMS 1–2 months 6 months 10–15 years duction strategy is based on the following pillars: Obtaining special permit Environmental impact assessment Initial development 1 year 1 year 20–25 years 90.2 1Focus on managing base production, surface infrastructure Analysis and interpretation of prior Exploration drilling Partial depletion + intensification modernization, and working to improve existing well bank years data. 3–5 years 5 years UAH bn operation Field life cycle Environmental impact assessment Research and industrial development Full depletion obtained from the 1–2 years 1 year Seismic studies Geological evaluation of reserves supply and sale of 2Rigorous selection of new well candidates for drilling from natural gas to external current field portfolio, taking into account geological and tech- Time to first gas production on greenfields is 3–5 years consumers nical risks and potential for production growth Source: Ukrgasvydobuvannya 3Development and implementation of exploration and produc- tion digitization program
15.7 Assessment of potential and development and implementa- History of field discovery in Ukraine Over the past 15–20 years AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY 4 there were no large-scale tion of liquid hydrocarbons production increase program bcm 1000 bcm geological discoveries in overall natural gas Dnipro-Donetsk Basin. sales and supply 5Investments into new opportunities to build resource base Historical data suggest that the probability of large field volume and partnership with industry leaders. 100 bcm discovery is quite low. In 2019, gross natural gas production was 14,892 mcm and trade gas production volume was 13,621 mcm, which was 10 bcm All discovered fields of lower than 2018 levels . To ensure this level of production, Dnipro-Donetsk Basin 7.2 the business unit team had to overcome over 2 bcm of natural All fields of Dnipro-Donetsk decline and losses from well flooding, well downtime, surface Basin discovered over the past 1 bcm bcm infrastructure and other issues. To compensate for natural 20 years natural gas imports decline and losses, teams from Integrated Gas and Technical All fields of Dnipro-Donetsk 100 mcm business units completed 161 well workovers, 736 coiled Basin discovered over the past GOVERNANCE CORPORATE tubing operations, 76 reperforations, and 117 hydro fracking 15 years by private companies Natural gas reserves estimate gas reserves Natural operations. A sidetrack drilling project in partnership with All fields of Dnipro-Donetsk Basin discovered over 10 mcm Halliburton was launched in 2019. the past 15 years by
14.7 year level) at current production + 7 years of (historical production Ukrgasvydobuvannya bcm 1 mcm natural gas stock level in undeground storage as of 0,05 0,2 0,5 1,0 2,0 5,0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 95 98 99 99,8 99.99 Probability of respective reserve volume discovery the beginning of 2020 Source: Ukrgasvydobuvannya
Dynamics of new special permit issuance to Ukrgasvydobuvannya and other companies* Dynamics of gross and trade natural gas production volume by Ukrgasvydobuvannya in 2015-2019 RESPONSIBILITY
Area of issued special 18 000 AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL Number of issued special permits, 83 80 15 251 15 497 permits in 2001-2019 thousands sq. km 16 000 14 528 14 605 14 892 72 13 889 13 785 13 621 14 000 12 819 13 002 Ukrgasvydobuvannya 160 20.5 12 000 55 Other companies 544 66.3 10 000 45 42 43 mcm 8 000 39 6 000 21 22 24 4 000 18 17 18 14 11 13 13 2 000 9 9 8 8 9 8 6 4 4 1 1 3 3 1 0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Gross production Trade production *As of the date of issue, including research and industrial development with further production of oil and gas FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS Source: State Service of Geology and Subsoil of Ukraine, Ukrgasvydobuvannya Source: Ukrgasvydobuvannya
Annual Report 2019 62 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 63 Naftogaz Group In parallel with efforts to sustain production, preventative workover program was developed in 2019, with its implemen- NEW WELLS COMMISSIONED IN 2019 14.9 tation already started in 2020. To develop depleted field management and cost optimi- bcm zation capabilities and to increase production, in 2019 -Naf In 2019, 60 Incremental Gross natural gas togaz Group kicked off the process of attracting a partner for 60 new wells were 504 production from new commissioned into wells commissioned production in 2019 managing a selection of fields in Western Ukraine on terms of MARKET AND REFORMS production enhancement contract (hereinafter PEC). The pro- NEW WELLS production MCM in 2019 was 504 mcm cess of partner attraction, selection, and contracting finished 13.6 in April 2020 with signing of a respective contract with inter- national company Expert Petroleum. bcm This contract became the first ever full-scale Production (PECs). Expert Petroleum’s technical capabilities and expertise production-to-reserve ratio of Ukrgasvydobuvannya at a level Marketable gas Enhancement Contract (PEC) in the history of Ukraine's oil and are focused on fitness-for-purpose, new technologies and above the comparable benchmarks . production in 2019 gas industry, under which Expert Petroleum committed to in- enhanced processes to rehabilitate old wells and reservoirs vest about UAH 1 bn (USD 30 m at the forecast exchange rate) in decline. At present, the company effectively manages During 2019, detailed analysis of geological and technical into intensification measures, drilling, and infrastructure de- production at 25 depleted fields, operates 1,200 wells, and drilling risks was performed to develop the methodology to velopment in the first 5 years of cooperation and, potentially, produces 8.5 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day. It has consider these risks when selecting and evaluating new well make additional investments in further periods. The contract about 1,000 employees. candidates and allow Naftogaz Group to better select well 161 between Expert Petroleum and Ukrgasvydobuvannya was con- candidates and increase investment returns. With delivery Well workovers cluded for 15 years with the possibility to extend for additional In addition, in 2019 surface infrastructure modernization and commissioning of new drill rigs, the generation of a suffi-
10 years. To fulfill this contract and provide respective ser- program was developed and includes the following components: cient number of economically attractive well candidates to be AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY vices, Expert Petroleum had registered a specialized Ukrainian — Operating pressure optimization measures, including included into the drilling schedule and thus ensure full utiliza- company that was the party to the contract. Naftogaz Group installation of mini-compressors at complex gas treatment tion of the new drill rig fleet became one of the strategic tasks will approve the development plans, annual work program units and construction of pipelines of the business unit . 736 and budget proposed by the operator (Expert Petroleum) for — Modernization of booster compressor stations, in Coiled tubing operations these fields. The operator will receive a fee for supporting particular Chervonodonetsk booster compressor station, Seismic and 3D model development is one of the key areas baseline production (at the level of current operating costs of which pumps ~13% of production volume of in the capability development and upstream digitization effort: Ukrgasvydobuvannya, adjusted for inflation) and for achieving Ukrgasvydobuvannya — Performed 3D seismic works cover overall territory of incremental production increases. Full ownership of the pro- — De-bottlenecking of surface infrastructure 801 sq.km, including Khidnovitske, Zakhidno-Medvedivske, duced hydrocarbons, special permits and respective assets will — New field infrastructure construction and commissioning Kolontaivske, Zakhidno-Volokhivske, Rospashnivske, Bez- 76 remain with Ukrgasvydobuvannya. — Measures to ensure natural gas quality. palivske, and Pivdenno-Bezpalivske areas; Reperforations Expert Petroleum is a French-owned company that is part — 18 3D models built through the joint efforts of the of the GMS holding group, a large investment group with In 2019, 60 new wells were commissioned into production Ukrgasvydobuvannya and Schlumberger teams, with
assets around the world. Expert Petroleum maximizes mature and contributed 504 mcm of production. Among them, eight following reserve revaluation and well parameter update. GOVERNANCE CORPORATE oil & gas field potential by investing in these assets, assuming wells received an initial industrial production rate of gas above 117 responsibility and additional risks to increase production 100 tcm per day. In 2019, the business unit team managed to substantially Hydro fracking operations through long term Production Enhancement Contracts As a result, Integrated Gas team was able to keep the increase production of liquid hydrocarbons. This was the re-
Production enhancement partnership in the Western Ukrainian fields of Ukrgasvydobuvannya Recovery factor* for fields depleted by 70% or more, Ukrgasvydobuvannya and its peers Field locations Key field parameters 9.8% Poland 25 km 8.2% Lviv Number of fields 13 RESPONSIBILITY Natural gas 2P reserves as of 01.01.2019, bcm 15 Skh.-Dovhivske Hrudivske 5.9% AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL Natural gas production in 2019, mcm 319 Bilche-Volytske Letnianske Number of wells (incl. abandoned wells) 269 4.1% Lugivske Number of active fields 140 3.0% 3.3% Oparske Stryh.-Teisarivske Area, sq. km 386 Average depth, m 880 Dashavske Haivske Depletion, % 81% Komarivske Large fields Medium fields Small fields Kavske (>15 bcm) (5-15 bcm) (<5 bcm) Lubeshivske Note: For calculation of field depletion levels for 31 December 2019, remaining 2P reserves as of end of Other companies Ukrgasvydobuvannya Berezhnytske 2019 calculated as 2P reserves based on PRMS methodology from the report of DeGolyer and MacNaughton from 1 January 2019 less 2019 gross production volume; initial reserves in place Slovakia estimated as estimated remaining 2P reserves as of end of 2019 and cumulative production level *Recovery factor equals to gross annual since the start of production from the field until end of 2019 production volume divided by 2P reserves at the beginning of the year. FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS PEC fields Other Ukrgasvydobuvannya fields Other companies’ fields Source: Ukrgasvydobuvannya Source: Ukrgasvydobuvannya, McKinsey & Company
Annual Report 2019 64 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 65 Naftogaz Group Ukrgasvydobuvannya fields, that produce more than 2/3 of total volume
Production in 2019, bcm EASTERN OIL AND GAS REGION
Remaining reserves as of 31.12.20192, bcm Scale 1:400 000 % produced to date out of original reserves 1:550 000 MARKET AND REFORMS
Ukrgasvydobuvannya’s largest fields
New exploration permits in 2014-2019
Borders of Dnieper-Donets basin SUMY WESTERN OIL AND GAS REGION 0.6 REGION 10.5 63% Scale 1:500 000 CHERNIHIV
1.1 Kulychyhynske OGCF 15.4 80% Tymofiyivske OGCF AND OPERATIONS STRATEGY 0.2 0.4 3.4 45% 4.6 81% 0.06 2.3 78% Yablunivske OGCF1 0.3 0.3 91% 0.08 0.2 1.4 2.7 78% 5.2 75% 2.2 89% 1 Komyshnyanske GCF 1 Kotelevske GCF KHARKIV LVIV 0.1 2.1 Solokhivske 1 REGION Svydnytske GCF REGION 2.1 78% Berezivske GCF 74.7 89% 0.1 Yuliyivske OGCF 2.9 47% Opishnyanske OGCF 0.3 0.4 0.2 Hidnovytske GCF 2.9 94% 1.4 91% 1.7 69% GOVERNANCE CORPORATE 4.2 84% 1.0 0.9 32.7 90% 12.5 83% 0.3 0.4 0.5 Sementsivske OGCF Skhidno-Poltavske GCF 6.5 84% 15.9 83% Rozpashnivske GCF Bilche-Volytske GCF POLTAVA Mashivske GCF Melyhivske GCF Vyshnevske GCF REGION Zahidno-Khrestyshchenske GCF 0.1 Lanivske GCF Medvedivske GCF 2.3 95% 4.6 53% Zakhidno ЛУГАНСЬКА 0.8 Sosnivske GCF Yefremivske GCF Kegychivske GCF Shebelynske GCF ОБЛАСТЬ 3.5 91% 0.4 Kobzivske GCF RESPONSIBILITY IVANOFRANKIVSK 62%
4.5 AND SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL REGION 0.3 2.9 87% ZAKARPATTIA Bytkiv-Babchynske OGCF 0.4 REGION 2.6 71% 0.4 CHERNIVTSI REGIO DNIPROPETROVSK Note: For calculation of field depletion levels for 31 December 2019, remaining 2P reserves as of end of 2019 calculated as 2P reserves based on PRMS methodology from the report of DeGolyer REGION and MacNaughton from 1 January 2019 less 2019 gross production volume; initial reserves in DONETSK 1 place estimated as estimated remaining 2P reserves as of end of 2019 and cumulative Gas deposits deeper than 5000 m production level since the start of production from the field until end of 2019. Picture includes 2 Estimation based on Ukrainian classification REGION fields that had 2P reserves as of 01.01.2019 according to report by “DeGolyer and MacNaughton” of hydrocarbon reserves and resources FINANCIAL OVERVIEW AND STATEMENTS
Annual Report 2019 66 Naftogaz Group Annual Report 2019 67 Naftogaz Group sult of an increased focus on oil well recovery activities and Preparation for development of tight gas fields improved condensate production management practices. As a In 2019, the team completed interpretation of 3D seismic result, the decline trend in liquid hydrocarbons was reversed for Sviatohirske tight gas field. These works were performed Spudding of Shebelynske 888 well 481 and their volume increased to 481 thousand tons in 2019 vs. by Schlumberger and resulted in identified sweet spots with 449 thousand tons in 2018. In particular, oil production -in highest probability to obtain positive result from drilling and, thousand tons creased by 16%, from 73 to 85 thousand tons. consequently, open the field and its reserve base. Based on In December 2019, Ukrgasvydobuvannya together with Production of liquid this data, Ukrgasvydobuvannya plans to spud two wells in Schlumberger through integrated service provision contract hydrocarbons in 2019 spudded Shebelynske 888 well with project depth of 5,750 meters 2020, one of them spudded in the end of May 2020. MARKET AND REFORMS 85 10 Dynamics of liquid hydrocarbons production by Production sharing agreements and partnership with Shebelynske field: estimated ultimate recovery (EUR) reserves thousand tons Ukrgasvydobuvannya, thousand tons Canada's Vermilion Energy Oil production In 2019, Naftogaz Group participated in and won the right in 2019 Product type 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 to enter into four production sharing agreements, two of Area: 22 sq. km Area: 51 sq. km Condensat 394 381 389 373 393 them in partnership with Vermillion Energy. I EUR: 22 bcm II EUR: 26 bcm Oil 118 101 80 73 85 Additionally, Naftogaz Group plans to participate in a com- Petroleum bitumen 3 3 2 3 3 petition for the development of offshore fields in the Black Sea.
Source: Ukrgasvydobuvannya