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LANDING RATES for MIXED STOL and CTOL TRAFFIC by John S

LANDING RATES for MIXED STOL and CTOL TRAFFIC by John S

NASA TECHNICAL NOTE NASA TN 0-7666

flTASA-TN-D-7666) BATES FOR MIXED N7a-2129"0 STOL AND CIOI T8AFFIC (HASA) 76 p HC $4.00. . - CSCL 17G ~ Unclas HI/21 36622

LANDING RATES FOR MIXED STOL AND CTOL TRAFFIC by John S. White Ames Research Center Moffett Field, Calif. 94035

NATIONAL AERONAUTICS AND SPACE ADMINISTRATION • WASHINGTON, D. C. . APRIL 1974 1. Report No. 2. Government Accession No. 3. Recipient's Catalog No. D- 7666 4. Title and Subtitle 5. Report Date APRIL LANDING RATES FOR MIXED STOL AND CTOL TRAFFIC 6. Performing Organization Code

7. Author(s) 8. Performing Organization Report No.

John S. White A-5044 10. Work Unit No. 9. Performing Organization Name and Address 501-03-11 NASA Ames Research Center Moffett Field, Calif. 94035 11. Contract or Grant No.

13. Type of Report and Period Covered 12. Sponsoring Agency Name and Address Technical Note

National Aeronautics and Space Administration 14. Sponsoring Agency Code Washington, D. C. 20546

15. Supplementary Notes

16. Abstract A study was made to determine the expected landing rate for STOL-only traffic and mixed STOL-CTOL traffic. The conditions used vary from present day standards to an optimistic estimate of possible 1985 conditions. A computer program was used to determine the maximum landing rate for the specified conditions and mix. The results show that the addition of STOL on a CTOL increases the total landing rate if the STOL airborne spacing can be reduced by use of improved navigation equipment. Further, if both and are performed on the same runway, the addition of STOL traffic will allow an increase in the total operation rate, even with existing spacing requirements.

17. Key Words (Suggested by Author(s)) 18. Distribution Statement Terminal Area Guidance Unclassified — Unlimited Aircraft Operations

CAT. 21 19. Security Classif. (of this report) 20. Security Classif. (of this page) 21. No. of Pages 22. Price*

Unclassified Unclassified 76 $4.00

* For sale by the National Technical Information Service, Springfield, Virginia 22151 TABLE OF CONTENTS

Page NOTATION v SUMMARY 1 INTRODUCTION 1 THEORY OF LANDING-RATE CALCULATIONS 3 Airborne Spacing 3 Runway Clearance 6 Probability of Abort 8 Landing Rate 8 Total Operation Rate 9 COMPUTER PROGRAM : 9 PROGRAM INPUTS 10 RESULTS 12 Single-Velocity Approach 14 Dual-Velocity Approach 17 CONCLUSIONS 20 22 APPENDIX A - DERIVATION OF EQUATIONS FOR T12 APPENDIX B - PROGRAM LISTING AND DESCRIPTION 48 REFERENCES 70

Pfci&EDING PAGE BLANK NOT FILMS*

A-5044 iii NOTATION

Fortran Name Symbol

ACC a aircraft acceleration capability, m/sec2

DA distance from runway threshold at which velocity is changed, km

SIG K constant used to calculate AT

M or ZM m distance from runway threshold to outer marker, km

N12 number of takeoffs between successive landings

RD. . . r(-) range or expected variation of stochastic quantity

<*> S required separation distance, km

SF required separation at touchdown, km Sf SO So required separation at outer marker, km time, sec

average time between landings, sec

La time before touchdown at which velocity is changed, sec

T2ACT Lact actual time from outer marker to touchdown, sec To 2V, runway clearance time, sec time when xi = m , sec m 2 a m time when x = m, sec nominal time from outer marker to touchdown, sec TNOM ~nom

TTO 'to time required for takeoff, sec time at which aircraft must be at final velocity, sec TVF V T12A actual interarrival time, sec 'act T12M(I,J) nominal interarrival time, sec nom VA or VB V aircraft velocity, m/sec

PRECEDING PAGE BLANK NOT FILMED x aircraft location, km '

x location of separation boundary, km

DELP error in position at time of nominal passage over outer marker, km DELT 1 &T DELT 2 landing time deviation, sec DEL. . .' error in ( ) TDL 1 t\T : TDL 2 allowance for errors in landing time, sec ZLR landing rate, aircraft/hr

ZNOPR o operation rate (landings plus takeoffs), aircraft/hr generalized error as- TDEL interarrival time required for runway clearance, sec

TFIN T •ji~.n interarrival time required for airborne spacing at touchdown, sec

TIN T . interarrival time required for airborne spacing at merge point, sec

TOED med interarrival time required for airborne spacing at velocity change point, sec

Subscripts

1,2 refers to first or second aircraft in the landing sequence

VI LANDING RATES FOR MIXED STOL AND .CTOL TRAFFIC

John S. White Ames Research Center

SUMMARY .: A study was made to determine the expected landing rate for STOL-only traffic and mixed STOL-CTOL traffic. The conditions used vary from present day standards to an optimistic estimate of .possible 1985 conditions. A com- puter program was used to determine the maximum landing rate for the specified conditions and aircraft mix. The results show that the addition of STOL on a CTOL runway increases the total landing rate if the STOL airborne spacing can be reduced by use of. improved navigation equipment. Further, if both takeoff and landings are performed on the same runway, the addition of STOL traffic will allow an increase in the total operation rate, even with existing spacing requirements.

INTRODUCTION

Numerous studies have been made to determine the landing rate of aircraft on a single runway. In one of the early studies, Blumstein (ref. 1) con- sidered a traffic mix of various commercial arriving at an and computed the landing rate, assuming that aircraft were always available at the gate. Simpson (ref. 2) and Odoni (ref. 3) describe theoretical equations for landing rate, including the effects of terminal area operations beyond the gate, and assume that the aircraft arrivals have a Poisson distribution. Both give some numerical results, but for CTOL vehicles only. An additional study by the National Bureau of Standards (ref. 4) used a different concept of land- ing capacity, which involved a facility serving sequential customers of vari- ous types. Again, however, the results presented are for CTOL vehicles only. The capacity of a STOL runway was considered by Rinker (ref. 5), but numerical results were presented for only two cases.

The purpose of this report is to supply additional information for STOL- only runways and to consider the effect of mixed STOL-CTOL traffic. Although the National Aviation System Plan (ref. 6) implies that STOL and CTOL traffic will use separate runways, there may be times when a common runway is required on a temporary basis. Thus this report develops a general theory of landing rates, which can be applied to separated or mixed traffic, and from which expected landing rates can be determined. Further, it indicates the accura- cies in control and navigation required to achieve various levels of landing rates. Finally, previous studies have assumed that all aircraft fly at con- stant airspeed all the way from the instrument landing system (ILS) gate to touchdown, a distance of 6 to 10 miles. An alternate approach is for an air- craft to fly at 160 to 180 knots at the ILS gate and then reduce speed gradu- ally to the final touchdown speed. The effect of such a speed change on the landing rate is also considered. The general approach used here parallels that of Blumstein, but it is considerably more complex to account for the variable speed approach and dif- ferent outer markers for CTOL and STOL. Also, Blumstein had only two separa- tion criteria — airborne spacing at the outer marker and runway clearance. This study adds another criterion: adequate airborne spacing must be main- tained until touchdown.

In this study, it is assumed that landings have priority, and that the aircraft land on a "first come, first serve" basis. We are concerned with maximum capacity, and assume that the aircraft are immediately available to start a landing approach whenever desired. This approximates the situation in which a good 4-D guidance system controls the aircraft in the terminal area to arrive within a few seconds of the desired time. If these arrival errors become large, they will approach a Poisson distribution, and the landing capacity will be reduced.

Takeoffs are also considered, but only when the sequence of landings is such that a takeoff can be inserted without affecting the landing rate.

Sketch (a) shows some possible approach paths. The various CTOL approaches merge fairly far out at the CTOL merge point, while STOL vehicles make curved approaches and arrive on the runway centerline at the STOL merge point.

The results of this study indicate the effect on airport capacity of varying the separation requirements and navigation accuracy. To fully utilize the increased runway capacity sug- gested herein will probably require a great deal of additional automation, both on the ground and in the air. This automation will probably not be available before about 1985. Further, in determining the actual separation criteria, additional factors, such as trailing vortices, pilot and control- CTOL merge point ler reaction times, accuracy of Air Traffic Control (ATC) surveillance radars must be considered. However, the optimistic viewpoint taken here does provide useful information to aid in the determination of desirable Possible STOL approach paths trends in separation requirements, and \ STOL merge point indicates what portion of the approach system is presently acting as the limiting factor.

The remainder of this report first develops the theory of landing- rate calculations, then briefly Runway

Sketch (a) describes a computer program to solve these equations, and presents the inputs and results obtained.

THEORY OF LANDING-RATE CALCULATIONS

To determine landing rates, some of the characteristics of a single air- craft approaching the runway are first considered, then a technique is devel- oped for determining the minimum spacing between successive aircraft, and, finally, the maximum landing rate associated with a specific mix of aircraft is determined.

Airborne Spacing The approach conditions for a single aircraft are shown in figure 1. The figure is a plot of distance from touchdown versus time and shows the aircraft initially at its approach velocity Va. The aircraft will con- tinue at this velocity for a while, and then it will decelerate at a maximum rate a to the final velocity Vfo. The aircraft must reach the final velocity at time Tvf before touchdown so that the pilot cajn be Figure 1.— Definition of sure ~that~concli"trqns have stab]ili- approach quantities. zed before touchaowif.^~Tfie^^aircraft continues at velocity ¥£, touches down at time t = 0, and rolls down the runway, and clears the runway kt time To after touchdown. The merge point may occur anywhere along this velocity time profile; two possible locations are shown in the figure. To simplify the equations associated with changing velocities, it was assumed that the aircraft would fly at constant speed Va until it was a dis- tance Da from the end of the runway, at which time it would instantaneously change velocity to V^,. This step change in velocity simplifies the calcula- tion and, for reasonable values of separation, decreases the separation by less than 10 percent.

To determine Da, first locate the time Ta at which the two constant- velocity segments intersect, that is, Ta = Tvf + (Va - Fj,)/2a. Since

V The location of the aircraft, x, at any time t is specified by

x <. Da. x = (2)

which-can be solved for the time the aircraft is over the merge point:

m b Tm = (3) IT } > m > Da a

Consider two aircraft approaching a given runway in sequence. A minimum separation distance is required between the two aircraft at all times during the approach and, further, the second aircraft must not touch down until the first aircraft is off the runway. The problem is to determine the minimum time between touchdowns that meets the separation criteria and, from this, to determine the maximum landing rate. The two aircraft may be of different types, with different approach paths, velocities, time-to-clear runway, sep- aration distances, etc. The separation requirements are stated in terms of in-trail distances and must be met only while the two aircraft are on a common path; before that, the vehicles are considered to have satisfactory lateral separation. - ,-.-_.- A few terms should be defined more explicitly.. ..First, the merge point is that point where the aircraft arrives on the extended^runway centerline, . and is. stabilized on the runway heading. The location.-,rof the merge .point, m,.. varies from one type of aircraft to another. The common path is the section, of the path that will be used by two successive aircraft; therefore, .- it occurs between the minimum of mi and m2 and the runway and its length depends on the types of the two aircraft. ..;.-..• The separation requirements are defined so that, while- the first aircraft is on the common path, the second.aircraft must be far. enough behind. The present-day separation requirement during approach is 6^km (~3 miles). Since the navigation systems of STOL vehicles may be more accurate, we wish to con- sider the possibility of reduced distance separations at the merge point, and also a smaller separation requirement at touchdown than at the merge point. Separation is defined as that portion of airspace reserved for a given aircraft and is assumed to be half before and half behind the nominal air- craft position. The separation criterion for two aircraft is shown in figure 2, and the requirement is Reserved oirspoce Reserved oirspoce that the reserved airspaces do not A/C I A/C 2 overlap, or

x{ = xi + Si/2 < x2 = x2 - S2/2

(4) Figure 2.— Separation criteria, where Si and S2, the separation distances associated with each aircraft, need not be constant with time. For this study, define a separa- tion requirement, So;, at the merge point, and Sj^, at touchdown, and assume that it varies linearly between those two points, that is,

for x ^. <~ ~m ^. (5) x. > m. ^ ^ This form for i = 1,2 was chosen to allow for a possible reduction in spacing as the aircraft approaches the threshold while maintaining rel- Distonce atively simple equations. from touchdown To visualize the separation requirement, figure 3(a) shows a specific example of two approaching aircraft. For each aircraft, its merge point and velocity change point are shown. To guarantee sep- aration at all times, checks must be made at three places, namely, at the end of the common path, at the begin- —— ning, and at the point where the. Time velocity of aircraft 2 changes. In the example shown, these tests occur at t = 0, t = 2V (since the common (a) Generalized situation. path starts at tne closest merge point, mi, as drawn), and at t = Ta^. Figure 3.— Separation between At these points, we want to guarantee that successive aircraft.

-TT-I > 0 (6)

For different types of approaching aircraft, the relative locations of m-i. m?, D , and D , vary, as does the time of the tests, resulting in a a\ 0.2 variety of situations, each of which must be considered individually. A-5044 • - 5 To determine the closest possible spacing, three interarrival times are calculated by selecting x2, in inequality (6), so that the difference is zero at each of the three test times. The largest of these times guarantees ade- quate separation throughout the airborne portion of the flight. The effect of runway clearance requirements is considered in the next section. Considering the example of figure 3 (a) again, first calculate ifin> which assumes that minimum sep- aration occurs at t = 0. This is shown in figure 3 (b) , where the tra- jectory for aircraft 2 is moved closer to that for aircraft 1, and the minimum separation, (Si + $2)72, occurs at t = 0. Next, calculate T£n, which assumes minimum separa- tion at t = Tmi (fig. 3(c)). Finally, (b) Minimum separation at t - 0. calculate ^rned> which assumes mini- mum separation at t = Ta^ (fig. 3(d)). For this example, the critical test T is the calculation for ^vn> and an = T interarrival time of T12 f£n> guarantees adequate airborne separa- tion throughout the flight.

The various cases that -can occur, depending on the locations, of jJe scribed in appendix A, along with the equa- tions for calculating the various) T.

Runway Clearance (c) Minimum separation at t = T Having computed the T value that guarantees satisfactory separation everywhere on the flight path, we now consider separation on the runway. The FAA rule is that a fol- lowing aircraft may not touch down until the preceding aircraft clears the runway. The time a given type of aircraft needs on the runway before turning off, To, is known, but, in scheduling aircraft arrivals, some time must be added to allow for the possibility of a late landing of (d) Minimum separation at t = T, the first aircraft or an early land- ing of the second aircraft. Four Figure 3.- Concluded. sources of error in landing time are considered: (1) a position error at the merge point, 6p, (2) an error in the approach velocity, 67a, (3) an error in the touchdown velocity, 67^, and (4) an error in the time at which the aircraft reaches the final velocity, <52yf. For a given aircraft, the nominal time, Tywm, from its merge point to touch- down is given by the negative of equation (3), and the actual time is

m m V laat (7) m Da a 1 - m > D,a va va where

(7, vf 2a which results in a landing time error of

(8)

From this, the actual time between touchdowns can be calculated, given the nominal time, by

= T - ST, (9) "act 12nom and if Ti2ao^ is less than the runway clearance time, Tc, the second aircraft must abort its landing. This implies that an allowance must be made for &TI and 6^2 to minimize aborts. Assuming the four error sources are independent, one can take the partials of T\2ao+ with respect to the various error sources, multiply them by the expected range of the error, and add them on an RSS basis to obtain a time allowance, t\T:

1/2 A27 = K (10) i=l all where 6 represents one of the four error sources, PQ. is the range of prob- ability distribution of that error source, and K is chosen so that AT will be large enough to minimize the probability of abort. The planned separation for runway clearance, T , should then be TC = TO + AT and the nominal interarrival time can be obtained from the various T values as ' .

where ^la^^ depends on the types of aircraft 1 and 2. (The equations for the various partials used in equations (10) are given in appendix A.)

Probability of Abort

Since we are trying to maximize the number of aircraft to be landed, the aircraft will be flying close together, and if one separation criterion is violated, the second aircraft should abort the landing. It is assumed that airborne separation has been determined from a consideration of the likely errors in position and velocity of the aircraft; therefore, aborts due to violation of the airborne separation will not occur (at least from the expected errors) . However, the runway occupancy rule does not consider pos- sible errors; any violation of this rule will therefore cause an abort, as implied by equation (9). The quantity AT (eq. (11)) is designed to consider the effect of errors on the runway occupancy rule, and K (eq. (10)) is chosen so that the probability of abort because of a violation of the runway occu- pancy rule will be sufficiently small. As shown in appendix A, if K = 1, the probability of abort is less than 0.006.

Landing Rate

To determine the average interarrival time T, calculate Ti2nom ^or a^ possible sequences of aircraft types, and then obtain an average, weighted according to the relative probabilities of arrival associated with each type of aircraft. It is assumed that there are n types of aircraft to be con- sidered, and the probability that the next aircraft is of type i is P£ and is independent of the type of the previous aircraft. One then obtains

n n T = \^ Y^ P.P.T. . (13) 4- ^ V where obtained from equation (12), depends on the types of aircraft •i and j, and n EP.-t—i ^ I The nominal maximum landing rate, A , is then A = 3600/T (14) LrI which assumes that aircraft are continually available to start their approach as soon as needed, and is thus a true measure of runway capacity. To achieve this capacity the terminal area controller must-be told when an aircraft-, should be at the outer marker, and a time-controlled guidance scheme, such as suggested by Erzberger and Pecsvaradi (ref. 7), must be available.

Total Operation Rate . .

Another factor of interest is the total operation rate, \o, of a runway which allows takeoff s and landings to be mixed. To determine \o, consider a specific interarrival time and determine if it is long enough to allow a takeoff to occur without delaying the landing of the second aircraft (there- fore, landings have priority over takeoff s) . Assume that the time for take- off T£O. is constant? for all aircraft, and that the types of aircraft 1. and 2 are specified. We can determine the largest integer N^i that satisfies which specifies that N\^ aircraft can take off in the available interarrival time.1 From the weighted sum of Nj,j over all types of aircraft, as in equation (13), and the landing rate, A£, the total operation rate, \o, is obtained: '

*o = V, U + 2^ p^/^ . C16) ^^)

COMPUTER PROGRAM

A computer program was written to solve the various equations given above so that the landing rate and total operation rate could be determined as a function of the various parameters of the system. The program is writ- ten in Fortran IV, and a brief description and listing are included in appendix B. For each type of aircraft (the program handles up to 12 types), the following input quantities are specified: 77? distance of the outer marker from runway threshold So,Sf airspace required for separation at the outer marker and at touchdown

takeoff criterion is not strictly compatible with the present FAA requirements that specify 1 minute between successive takeoffs and 2 miles separation between a takeoff and the following landing. However, it suggests how arrivals can be interspersed with landings. TQ runway clearance time VVb approach velocity and touchdown velocity T ,. time before touchdown when the aircraft should be at velocity V,

"' a [range of uncertainties of the various quantities *«V*6V P probability of arrival of that aircraft type The principal outputs were calculated from deterministic data using weighted averaging techniques. These outputs were A.£, the landing rate, and \o, the operations rate (calculated for T-^o = 36 and 48 sec). Additional output was obtained from Monte Carlo type runs in which 300 landings were made to deter- mine the number of landing aborts that occurred for a given set of conditions, For these runs, the random variables 6p, 67a, etc., were selected from a tri- angular distribution with the width equal to the corresponding range. Also, to control the number of aborts, the value K in equation (10) was variable.

PROGRAM INPUTS

To obtain average landing rates, the program referred to in the previous section was used over a range of the various input parameters. The specific values used, along with a justification for the choice, are indicated in this section. The parameters are the aircraft mix, and the quantities m, So, Sf, Tc> va> vb> ?vf> a> r&P> T&va> *&Vb> anci r&tvf selected separately for each type of aircraft. For CTOL vehicles, two values of distance to the merge point, m, were used — 19 km (=10 miles) and 7 km (,= 4 miles), which represent fairly long and fairly short approach paths presently in use. For STOL vehicles, 7 km (=4 miles) and 2 km (~1 mile) were used since it is unlikely that STOL vehi- cles will use the long approaches of the CTOL vehicles and, when a curved approach is used may turn onto the final heading fairly close to the runway.

The nominal values of separation, So, are 6 km (=3 miles) for CTOL vehi- cles and 2 km (»1 mile) for STOL vehicles. The CTOL separation is represen- tative of present standards, but STOL vehicles may have more precise naviga- tion and control systems so that reduced separations might be possible.

The airborne separation at touchdown, Sf, was usually set equal to So, the separation at the outer marker, but some runs were made with Sf essenti- ally zero. In this case, the actual separation at touchdown is held to rea- sonable values by both So and TQ. It is not clear whether present practice is to have Sf = So, or to ignore it. The runway clearance time was determined by computing braking time and adding to that an allowance for taxi time to the turn off. Braking time to 10 a dead stop, using 0.25 g deceleration, is roughly 30 sec for CTOL and 15 sec for STOL. The assumption of an additional 30 and 15 sec, respectively, for taxi time gives the runway clearance time used, namely, 60 sec for CTOL vehi- cles and 30 sec for STOL. Data were also obtained for high-speed turnoffs that are immediately available giving runway clearance times of 30 sec for CTOL and 15 sec for STOL. Two different situations were assumed for the approach velocity. First, the aircraft is assumed to fly at touchdown velocity from its merge point and, second, the aircraft is assumed to be at a velocity commanded by ATC when it passes its merge point, and to slow down during the approach. The touchdown speeds, F£, used were 60, 65, and 70 m/sec (=120, 130, and 140 knots) for CTOL and 30, 35, and 40 m/sec (-60, 70, and 80 knots) for STOL. It is felt that these represent present-day CTOL touchdown speeds and proposed STOL touchdown speeds. Also, it was assumed that, for the dual-velocity case, the initial approach velocity, Va, was 90 m/sec (sl80 knots) for all CTOL vehicles and 60 m/sec (=120 knots) for all STOL vehicles, which represent terminal area speeds. In any case, a CTOL vehicle was required to reach its touchdown velocity 1-1/2 min before touchdown and a STOL vehicle, 1 min before touchdown. These are felt to be the current requirements set forth by pilots, and were the values used for Tvf. The deceleration, a, used during the change of speed is 0.6 m/sec2 (»0.06 g) for all vehicles. As mentioned earlier, all random variables are assumed to be independent and to have a triangular distribution, centered about the nominal value, with a specified range. Thus, for a generalized random variable, 9:

6no m - re/2 —< 6ac t -< 0no m + re/2 It is assumed that the pilot will maintain Velocity within ±1-1/4 m/sec (±2.5 knots) so that the range for both SVa and &V^ is r&Va= rSV^= 2,S m/sec. The position at the merge point is assumed to be ±1 km (±1/2 mile), r6p = 2 km, and the variation on Tvf is assumed to be r&Tvf = 30 sec for CTOL vehicles and 10 sec for STOL vehicles. A brief study of the actual mix of CTOL traffic at the San Francisco Airport was the basis for the CTOL traffic mix used here. Three different landing speeds were assumed and their relative percentages are shown in table 1. The same percentages were used for STOL traffic. For mixed STOL and CTOL traffic, the percentage of aircraft with each landing speed is shown in table 1. The mix of aircraft shown is fairly representative and all results presented here use this mix. Data were obtained for a mix with some- what higher average landing speed, which resulted in a slight increase in landing rate, but the trends were not affected.

11 TABLE •!.- AIRCRAFT MIX FOR VARIOUS PERCENTAGES OF STOL TRAFFIC \^ STOL, Type ent 0 25 50 75 100 speedLand, 7^^m/sec ^\^ ) 30 0 11 22 34 45 STOL } 35 0 9 17 25 34 J 40 0 5 11 16 21 | 60 45 34 22 11 0 CTOL } 65 34 25 17 9 0 J 70 21 16 11 5 0

RESULTS

The computer program was used with the input data just described for a number of cases. The results are presented in a series of plots, following a brief discussion of the effects of some of the uncertainties. The uncertainties in position and velocity affect the landing rate only through the calculations to guarantee adequate spacing on the runway (air- borne spacing was controlled by the required separation). As a result, reducing these uncertainties had an effect very similar to reducing the time on the. runway. The nominal position uncertainty of 2 km at the merge point increased the required time spacing between touchdowns by between 15 and 30 sec, whereas each of the other uncertainties increased it by about 1 or 2 sec. If these numbers are compared with the nominal runway occupancy time of 30 to 60 sec, it is apparent that reducing the position uncertainty (or, equiva- lently, increasing the accuracy of time of arrival at the merge point) might change the landing rate significantly, but reducing the other uncertainties would have virtually no effect. Therefore, only the results for position uncertainty are presented here. The basic results are presented in figures 4 through 9 for single-velocity cases and in figures 10 through 15 for dual-velocity cases. In each figure, the landing rate is plotted against the percentage of STOL traffic. For sim- plicity, only two landing rate curves are shown which represent merge point distances of 19 km for CTOL and 7 km for STOL, and 7 km and 2 km, respec- tively. Other combinations of merge point distances fall between the curves given. The figures also show the total operation rate (sum of takeoffs and landings) for takeoff times, T^o, of 36 and 48 sec. These times approximate minimum and maximum takeoffs for CTOL jets-and, although a STOL vehicle could

12 take off in less time, it was felt that an allowance of less than 36 sec for takeoff would be unrealistic. These curves are shown as bands in the figures rather than as individual curves because of the step-wise fashion 150 in which takeoffs are added. This procedure is explained in sketch (b). where landing and total operation rate are plotted versus separation IOO for two values of m. The conditions x for sketch (b) are: two types of units/hr STOL vehicles, each using a. single- 50 velocity approach, one at 40 m/sec m = 7 km and the other at 30 m/sec, with m=2 km 50 percent probability of each type, T0 = 30, T-fo =36. As the landing 2 rate decreases, because of an S0l. km increase in separation, the number of takeoffs that can be inserted Sketch (b) between landings increases in a step-wise fashion, one takeoff at a time. These steps occur at different values of So for m = 2 and m = 7 km, so that the total operation rate is sometimes larger for one case and sometimes for the other. Other values of m would cause the steps to change at other locations. As a result, it is very difficult to determine the effect of m on the total operation rate and, as indicated previously, the total operation is shown as a band in figures 4 through 15. One noticeable trend is that the total operation rate tends to increase as the landing rate decreases. Table 2 presents the values of the parameters used for each case. Six cases are listed and each was run for both the single-velocity and dual- velocity approach.

TABLE 2.- DATA FOR EACH CASE . . . '.

Case STOL CTOL STOL CTOL STOL CTOL So, km S0, km T0, sec T0, sec r6p, km r6p, km Present 6 ; 6 30 60 2 2 Nominal 2 6 30 60 2 2 Reduce runway time 2 6 15 30 2 2 Improve STOL navigation 2 • 6 30 60 1 2 Minimal navi- gation errors 2 6 30 60 .1 .1 Minimal spacing .1 .1 30 60 .1 .1

The present case used the current FAA rules for both STOL and CTOL. For the nominal case, since it is assumed that the STOL vehicles will use more accurate path guidance, the STOL spacing can be reduced to 2 km. Next is a nominal case with the runway occupancy time cut in half, then the case for.

13 which the STOL navigation and guidance errors were reduced from the nominal. To show the maximum effect of these errors, they were essentially eliminated for both CTOL and STOL for the next case. For the final case, with the spac- ing and errors reduced to nearly zero, the aircraft are not allowed to pass and must obey the runway occupancy rule, but otherwise they may be extremely close. Separation requirements for trailing vortices are not considered. The results are now discussed, case by case, to show the changes to the landing rate and total operation rate, as STOL traffic is added to existing CTOL traffic. Also, the factor that controls the landing rate will be described, that is, whether the con- 90 trolling factor is the airborne spac- ing at the merge point, at the touch-

80 down point, or, for the dual-velocity TTO=36 sec case, at the midpoint (where the velocity changes), or whether it is 70 v,v;; the runway occupancy time.

TTO=48 sec Single-Velocity Approach so Present standards— The situation using present standards is shown in "50 figure 4. As expected, .increasing I S0 = S, CTOL 60 sec 6 km 2 km the percentage of STOL traffic reduces STOL 30 sec 6 km 2 km the landing rate even when the merge 40 point for CTOL and STOL traffic is fairly close in. Also, for fixed percentages of STOL traffic, reducing 30 - Landings only an W mCTOL ^ km msTOL d CTOL increases the landing mSTOL 2 km rate. The factors that control the

20 - landing rate are airborne spacing at the merge point when the second air- craft is slower than the first and the spacing at touchdown when the 50 75 100 second aircraft is faster. In either STOL, percent case, the spacing is such that runway Figure 4.— Single velocity, occupancy time does not affect the present standards. landing rate. When total operations are considered, the addition of STOL traffic may allow an increase in the rate, assuming aircraft are waiting to take off, since there are more gaps in the arriving traffic which can be used for takeoffs. Nominal— The nominal case, with improved STOL navigation accuracy and therefore reduced STOL separation, is shown in figure 5. Here, adding STOL traffic decreases the landing rate only slightly and, with the higher percen- tages of STOL traffic, the landing rate actually increases. Also, an all- STOL runway has a higher landing rate than a CTOL runway. The controlling factor is again the spacing at the merge point or at touchdown when the first aircraft is STOL. 14 When total operations are considered, the addition of STOL vehicles increases the total operation rate.

Reduced runway time— Next consider the case with reduced time on the runway for both CTOL and STOL (fig• 6). Since the landing rate for CTOL vehi- cles is controlled by airborne spacing, reducing the runway time does not affect the landing rate although it allows a considerable increase in the total operations. The landing rate for STOL vehicles was controlled by runway time so that the STOL landing rate increased considerably. A further reduc- tion in the runway time below 15 sec would increase landing rate only slightly. Again, for this case, introducing STOL vehicles to the traffic mix decreases the landing rate only slightly, with a considerable increase for larger per- centages of STOL. The trend is for increasing total operations as STOL air- craft are added to the mix.

100 ,- NO CTOL 30 sec 6 km 2 km STOL 15 sec 2 km 2 km

9O 100 TTO = 36 sec

80 90

70 80

.c TTO = 48 sec I 60 «70 O)

40 50 Landings only

30 40

20 30

CTOL 60 sec 2 km STOL 30 sec 2 km

25 50 75 100 25 50 75 IOO STOL, percent STOL, percent

Figure 5.— Single velocity Figure 6.— Single velocity .reduced nominal case. runway time.

15 Improved STOL navigation— In figure 7, the nominal case is considered with improved guidance ^and navigation for the STOL vehicles, which reduces the initial position error from 2 to 1 km, with a corresponding reduction in the uncertainty of the landing time. Since this uncertainty is directly added to runway time (eq. 11), the landing rates here and for the previous case (fig.- 6) are essentially the same. The effect on total operations is quite different, however. For CTOL only, the total operation rate is the same as for the nominal case (fig. 5), and the increase with increasing STOL traffic is similar to that for the nominal case.

Minimal navigation error— In figure 8, the navigation errors for both STOL and CTOL aircraft were set to essentially zero. The resulting landing rate and total operation rate are essentially the same as for the previous case (fig. 7), indicating that an extreme reduction in the navigation error alone is not useful.

90 r- 90 r

80 80

TTO=36 sec TTn= 36 sec

70 70

60

TTO = 48 sec

50 50 Landings only

mCTOL mSTOL 4O 40

30 30

20 20 "8P CTOL 60 sec 6 Km 2 km CTOL 60 sec 6 km O.I km STOL 30 sec 2 km I km STOL 30 sec 2 km O.I km

25 50 75 IOO 25 50 75 100 STOL, percent STOL, percent

Figure 7.— Single velocity improved Figure 8.— Single velocity minimal STOL navigation. navigation error.

16 Minimal spaaing— Finally, consider the case (fig. 9) in which the spacing is reduced to correspond to the increased navigation accuracy. To determine the extreme situation, a minimal spacing value of 0.1 km was used. With this .spacing, the landing rate is determined almost exclusively by the runway occu- pancy time and, to a lesser degree, by the error in touchdown velocity. The addition of STOL traffic increases the landing rate, and a- STOL-only runway again has a higher landing capacity than the CTOL-only runway. Moving the STOL. merge point closer also increases the landing rate by decreasing the allowance required to compensate for the uncertainty in final velocity. For this case, times are available for only a few takeoffs, and then only with mixed traffic, when the distant merge points are used.

Dual-Velocity Approach . . For a dual-velocity approach, all CTOL aircraft use the same constant speed from the CTOL merge point until time to change velocity, about 5 or 6 km from the threshold. As a result, the location of the merge point for CTOL vehicles has very little effect on the landing or takeoff rate; therefore, it is not shown as a parameter in the figures.

The landing rates and the total operation rates for the dual-velocity approach are shown in figures 10 through 15.

IIOi- 90,-

100 80

70 90 Landings only mCTOL =7 km~| .>:'/'''''' T =48 sec mSTOL = 2 kmj TO

80 60

S 70 50

0 40 60 TTO = 48 sec

50 30

40 20 TC "SP CTOL 60 sec O.I km O.I km CTOL 60 sec 6 km 2 kw STOL 30 sec O.I km O.I km STOL 30 sec 6 km 2 kw I 25 50 75 100 25 50 75 100 STOL, percent STOL, percent Figure 9.— Single velocity Figure 10.— Dual velocity minimal spacing. present standards. 17 Present standards— The results for this case are shown in figure. 10, and the trends are generally the same as for the constant velocity approach. Adding STOL to the traffic mix reduces the landing rate but increases the total operation rate. The landing rate is controlled strictly by airborne spacing, usually at touchdown but, in some cases, at the velocity change point. Nominal— The reduced spacing for STOL vehicles (fig. 11) now results in a strictly increasing landing rate as the proportion of STOL vehicles increases and in an increasing total operation rate. The controlling factor is the airborne spacing for a CTOL first aircraft and either airborne spacing or runway clearance, depending on «STOL» f°r a STOL first aircraft. The land- ing rate for this case is somewhat larger than for the corresponding single- velocity case (fig. 5), but the total operation rate is less. Reduced runway time— When the runway occupancy time was reduced (fig. 12), the landing rate increased compared to the nominal (fig. 11), for W = 7 km,

no - 110 Tc R8P CTOL 6O sec 6 km 2 km STOL 30 sec 2 km 2 km

100 - 100

TTn=36 sec

90 - 90

80 80 TTO = 36 sec

TTO = 48

8. 70

Landings only mSTOL 2 kml 60 60 I o

50 5O

40

30 30 S0 = S, CTOL 30 sec 6 km km STOL 15 sec 2 km km I 25 50 75 100 25 50 75 100 STOL, percent STOL, percent

Figure 11.— Dual velocity Figure 12.— Dual velocity reduced nominal case. runway time.

18 where runway occupancy was the controlling factor, but otherwise was unaf- fected. The total operation rate, however, increased considerably compared to the nominal. For this case, increasing the STOL traffic increased the landing rate and also increased the total operation rate.

Improved STOL navigation— Again, as in the single-velocity case, improv- ing the STOL navigation and guidance (fig. 13) had the same effect on the landing rate as reducing the runway occupancy time (fig. 12). The total operation rate, however, is essentially the same as for. the nominal case (fig. 11). Both landing rate and total operation rate increase with increas- ing STOL traffic.

Minimal navigation errors— Further reductions in the navigation and guidance errors (fig. 14) had no effect on either the landing rate or the total operation rate.

90 90 •-

80 80

TTO = 36 sec sec TTO = 36 70 70

60

I 5O 50

All m

Landings only '40 4O Landings only

30 30

20 20 TC S0 = S , R8P CTOL 60 sec 6 km 2 km CTOL 60 sec 6 km O.I km STOL 30 sec 2 km I km STOL 30 sec 2 km 0. 1 km j i 25 50 75 100 25 50 75 100 STOL, percent STOL, percent

Figure 13.— Dual velocity improved Figure114.— Dual velocity minimal STOL navigation. ; navigation errors.

19 IIOi- Minimal spacing— Reducing the spacing to a minimal value (fig. 15), however, increased the landing rate 100 - dramatically over the nominal, but left no time for takeoffs.

Comparison with single-velocity case— Generally, the landing rate for the dual-velocity case is somewhat higher than that for the correspond- ing single-velocity case. This higher landing rate tends to accom- pany a somewhat lower total opera- tion rate. The trends for both the dual- velocity and single-velocity cases are very similar with changes in spacing, navigation, and runway occu- pancy time. However, as the percen- tage of STOL traffic increases, the landing rate always increases in the dual-velocity case; in the single- velocity case, the landing rate first Note: No time available for take-offs dips and then increases.

50 100 STOL, percent CONCLUSIONS Figure 15.— Dual velocity minimal spacing. The following conclusions are based on the philosophy that landings have priority over takeoffs.

Adding STOL traffic to a CTOL runway causes only a minimal decrease in the landing rate for a constant-velocity approach, while for the dual-velocity approach, there is an actual increase in the landing rate. This assumes that the STOL navigation is sufficiently better than existing CTOL navigation so that the STOL spacing can be reduced from 6 to 2 km (3 to 1 mile)-. With this spacing, the landing rate on a STOL-only runway will be greater than on exist- ing CTOL runways. Under all circumstances, including the use of present standards, the addition of STOL traffic to a CTOL runway will allow an increase in the total operation rate (i.e., landings plus takeoffs). Thus, with mixed STOL-CTOL operations, there is frequently time for a takeoff without disturbing the landing sequence so that mixing takeoffs and landings on the same runway is feasible and perhaps desirable.

To increase landing rates (from present values), airborne spacing must be reduced, which, in turn, requires improvements in navigational accuracy.

20 Reducing runway occupancy time has little effect on the landing rate but does allow for an increased total operation rate.

Generally, the landing rate is higher if the STOL merge point is as close as possible to the runway threshold, thus taking maximum advantage of the STOL maneuvering capability.

Ames Research Center - National Aeronautics and Space Administration Moffett Field, Calif. 94035, October 29, 1973

21 APPENDIX A

DERIVATION OF EQUATIONS FOR

The kinematic equation of motion of an aircraft approaching the runway is given by equation (2), assuming that the aircraft touches down at t = 0. This is true for the first aircraft, but the second aircraft touches down at time Ti2 after the first. The equations of motion for the two aircraft are then:

(Al)

V* - (A2)

- ^ J*- ^12) . 2 J

From these equations, one can calculate the times when the aircraft are at specific points. These times, and their equations, are: the time the I first aircraft is at its merge point, m^, , "

(A3)

[.i.^A-L 7 7 I V,^ I ' al al \ Z>i/ the time the first aircraft is at the merge point for the second aircraft,

<-£„

2" = 4 (A4) m Z?. a a- ££•» \ > D a. 7. "V ' a

22 and, finally, the time at which the second aircraft changes its speed, Da T (A5) \ = i2-TT D2 I , ; The equation that defines the reserved airspace for the first aircraft is obtained by combining equations (4) and (5): - S, Yi = xl

(A6) where

I l ~ fl\ *1=\1+ 2BI! )

Note that since no tests are needed at times before the first aircraft arrives at its merge point, Xi is not needed for x\ > m^. Similarly, the reserved airspace for the second aircraft is

X < 2 1 - 2

^o. x2

•Sf J2 x2 < m2

where

S^ - S,

23 Assume that So >_ Sf, that is, the required separation at touchdown may be less than (or equal to) that at the outer marker, but never greater; thus, KI > 0. However, if

- s,

ffl2

then K2 < 0. Consider first the situation when K2 > 0 (fig. 16). When •x2->--m2, the separation is So /2; when x2 < m2, the-separation is •(S^T/2) + K2x2. Next, figure 17 shows the situation for K2 < 0, when the • • J2 •

Flight, path

Figure 16.— Reserved space before Figure 17.—'Reserved space before second aircraft, K2 > 0. second aircraft, K2 < 0. first aircraft will land before the second aircraft reaches its merge point, so that airborne separation after the merge point is not required. Thus, for K2 < 0, the second part of the above equation for x2 should be used. With these restrictions,

fa — + K2x2 x2 < m2 and K2 > 0 (A7)

02 — + x x2 > m2 or K2 < 0

With the equation of the boundaries, the next step is to calculate T\2 so that the boundaries do not cross but touch at some point. This will clearly determine the minimum T12 since, if it were smaller, the separation criteria would not be met at some points along the trajectory. Thus x\(f) - x2(f] = 0, is solved at selected values of time, for T12. This equation must be solved for several different values of t, namely, at the final point, t = 0, at the merge point, t = max(Tma,Tmi), and for the^case when the second aircraft slows down during the approach, at the velocity change point t = Ta2- To minimize confusion, the time difference from each T equation is labeled T, and T\2 A^max (T^W, if£n, imed> c)• (The value of is determined later.) Thus, the following three cases are obtained:

24 I: x](0) - a;2'(0) = 0 , solve for IIA: 1 x\i (2ma ) ~ XyL ' (maT .1=0, m? < n solve for T. IIB: ^n

III: X 11 Ta \ •2v i Ia T i — o < 0 , solve for T A 2) ~ \ 2/" ' (A8) If the restriction :for case III test is not met, then a test for case III 1 is not needed; for convenience, we set Tmg(^ = 0 so that it cannot be' selected as the maximum in determining Ti2. To solve equation (A8) for T, use equa- tions (Al) through (A7). Since these are conditional equations, depending on the relationships between #2(t), Da2, ro2, m^, etc., many subcases arise. Each must be solved for and then checked to ensure that all conditional relation- ships are met, and, finally, the defining conditions for each subcase must be determined in terms of the input quantities, m1} Da , So , S-P , Va , V-^ , and •i = 1,2. This procedure is followed for each subcase in the following sec- tions. A small sketch shows position versus time and indicates the location of the input quantities for each subcase. . '. . . . .

CASE I

In this case, t = 0, so the following equations are needed

*i = 0 , (A9)

V T X2 < Z>2 12 (A10)

+ Va T "2 V 7, I 9 12 ' ^

- m2

(All)

or

These equations lead to four subcases, each of which is considered separately.

25 Case la: x2 < Da and (x2 < m2 and K2 > 0)

Combining the appropriate equations from (A9) to (All) gives

A/C,

Jl

fin 2K2Vbr

t=0 I£ this value for T\2 used in equation (A10), Sketch (c)

J2

To meet the conditions for this case,

S + S J ! 72 x2 < D

< m2

K2 > 0

These three tests can be combined into two, since K2 > 0, if both sides are ! multiplied by K2:

S +S fJ ! fJ 2

11 • i 332 — ^2 which are automatically not satisfied if K2 < 0.

26 Case Ib: x2 > Da and (x2 1 m2 and K2 > 0) (sketch (d)) If these conditions are used in equations (A9) to (All),

T „. = fin 2K2Va^

Vn

Sketch (d) s + s Tfl / 2K2

To meet the necessary conditions, with X2 >. 0, one must have

+ Sf 1 J2 2 a_

Case Ic: x2 1 Da and (a;2 > m2 or K2 < 0) (sketch (e)) Again, solving equations (A9) to (All) gives

A/C2

fin 2Vb

.Sketch (e)

27 The condition tests are

<7 4- Q Sfl S°2 *2 <- V - 2— 1 *

S + S > x2

Case Id: x > D and (3:2 > m or K < 0) (sketch (f)) 2 2 2 2

/*« 2^ - F,a. S. 42 \ : ffe I 2 Z j Sketch •(£) 42 \ "fc I 2

The condition tests are

> D Ctr

Sf + J 1 m2

Remarks (' Although all four cases have been discussed, the tests do not appear to guarantee that all possible conditions were included. However, if the value of K2 is substituted into the second test for case la, one obtains

50 - Sf J2 2 J 2 2 < 1 - 2m?

28 or

O .£» • O -£* O y-1 ™ jO .£* J^ -/? ^ & St fl f2 o2 . f2 f1 o2 2 2 ~ 2 " m*

No cases Ic and Id, thus showing that . 2 -^2^2 all possible conditions were included. S||+S 2 S||+S Figure 18 is a flow chart of the case ' ^ ™ -r-i S||+S(2 Sti+Sfa D02 / V0?\ S(l + So2 iD T T n T - "" 2K2Vb2 " 2K2 Vo2 Vo2 ^ Vt,2/ "" 2Vb2

S,, + S02 1 V02\].. D TASF. TTA " ' 2 °' \ Vbzjj'^

;M Figure 18.— Calculation of T,,. . .Here, the minimum separation is .. . - J^n- determined when the'T first aircraft is at the merge point. The merge point is assumed to be m^, so that x^ = m-^, ^2 - m\ anc^ ^ equations needed obtained from equations (Al) to (A7), are "a

(A12)

(A13)

(A14)

Note that only one Equation for x2 is needed here since x2 > x± = m2: Further, since K2 does not enter the equation, its value need not be considered.

, • ' arj = m2 < Dal ^/, 1 m (A15) a m "-! 2 /, ^> , xi = m2 r«, *"«, v • •*. 29:- T For each of the four cases here, solve equations (A12) to (A15) for T12 = in- The solutions and the required tests are as follows:

Case IIAa: x\ < Da , x2 < Da (sketch (g))

^n

Note: en | shown < D0|, but moy be > Da, Sketch (g)

Case IIAb: < Da , x2 > Da (sketch (h))

s D V o°2 a"2 .0. in 2V 1 - fC2 a2 A/C 7^

Note: mi shown < Oah but may be > D0|

D02 shown m2 Sketch (h)

Case IIAc: Xi > Da , x2 < Da (sketch (i))

T . = 27, 2 ^2

ll / Val + ^ll-

Sketch (i)

30 Case IIAd: x\ > Dcni , x2 > Dnu (sketch (j))

V.a.

A/Cf ^A/C Vr.

V,a. Da-. Va. 1 - V,, V, a. 7&,

Note: Do2 shown

Sketch (j)

Figure 19 is a flow chart of the case IIA tests, A4.

1\2 ^ml

m P ' K| ^ - ^O(!

Yes No No lAd 1HAo EAb S r S,, + So2 m2 / Vb2\ Vb2\ 1 T .g 2Vb2 ' Vb2 V' Vb, J IN

S(l+So2 Do2 / Vo2\ m2 / Vo2\ T K IN 2V02 V02 (' VbJ' Vo2l, ' Vblj

V02\ "002/ V02\

Figure 19.

CASE IIB

Again, the minimum separation is determined when the first aircraft is at the merge point. Here, however, the merge point is at mi, so x\ = m^ and m-i > m\, with t = Tm . The equations needed are 31 (A16)

(A17)

X2 = (A18) or K < 6

V, (A19)

Here three conditions must be considered, which lead to eight cases. For each case solve equations A(16) to A(19) for T12 = i. .

Case IIBa: x < D. , (x < m and K > 0), x^ '< D (sketch (k)) 2 "2 2 2 2 1

T = in 2K2Vb

Sj?

Note: m 2 shown > D02, but may be < D02 < D Sketch (k)

Again, as in case I, since Ji:2 ^ 0, both sides have been multiplied by K2. The resulting test will fail if X2 <;0:i

32 m and K D sketch Case IIBb: x2 > Da , 1 2 2 ^ °)> ^l - a (

Sf + Sf Jl Jz m\ + {Kl \n = ~2J^~ W^2

\/ :V«2 1 -I-; a. :Ti>,

i J2 < K2m2

mi <

< < D (sketch (m)) Case IIBc: . x2 < Da , (x2 > m2 or X2 °)» a 2 1

1 °2 < £L

+ 5 1 °2 m2 Sketch (m)

Note that, as in case I, substituting the value ofK2 into the test for x2 < m2 of case-IIBa or IIBb gives the tests determined above.

33 Case IIBd: x2 > Da , (x2 > m2 or K2 < 0), xl < Da (sketch (n))

2Vn

A/C? " Note: m2 shown >D02, but may be <

Sketch (n)

1 2 X

X D m and K x > D sketch Case IIBe: 2 - a ' ^2 - 2 2 - °^> i a (

a a Note m2 shown >Da2, but may be <002 i I i *\(-\ Sketch (o)

34 Case IIBf: x2 > Da , (x2 < m2 and K2 > 0), xl > Da (sketch (p))

Sf + S-p /„ V^ fl T2 Wl ./Xj a2

v 1- *~~rll \ n^l/ U2

-P "" -p J 1 ^2

< K2m2

c Case IIBg: a:2 ^ > (^2 or X2 < 0), xi > Da (sketch (q))

+ T/in "

a. F.

Sketch (q)

x2 < D

S Jf 1 3:2

35 > D X > m or K < > D Case IIBh: ar2 a ' ^ 2 2 2 °)» ^l a (sketch (r))

Ti .n = 2V'

A/C2

a. D, 1 -

Note: m2 shown > Do2, but moy be < DoZ

Sketch (r)

Figure 20 is a flow chart of case IIB.

CASE III

For this case, the minimum separation is determined when the second aircraft is at t = Ta . Note, however, that this test applies only if Max(rma, TOTl) < Ta2 < 0. Since the value of Ta^ depends on the value cal- culated from T\2 = tmed> the procedure is to first calculate tmecf, according to the conditions imposed by x\, #2, etc., and then, for these conditions, check that the value of 2#2 is acceptable. The equations used are again (Al) to (A7), with t = Ta :

(A20) 7. ul 1 - — - V^ T, "I \ V b 1,

(A21)

36 *• Go to cose HA

tn, / K2 Vb2\ v " \ '" Vb, y bl/ Va2 Vb2

m, / K2Va2\ Do2/ V02

2VQ2^' Vb, ; V02V V IN" 2Vb2

_£ Yes Sfi+Sfg No

m,

Yes No Yes No UBe nBf

V Sfi+Sf2 mi -/K| Vb2 b2 T = IN 2K2Vb2 Vb2\K2 Va, 2Vb2 Val

VaL + rr- I- V0| \ Vb,

_Sf|+Sf2 ( m, /K| Vo2

•IN' 2K2Va2 Va2\K2 Va, 2V02 Va2 V0,

+ rrMl~ Vai Vb| Vo2 Vb2

Figure 20.— Calculation of T. for m2 < m^.

37 (A22)

X2 -

(A23)

Or

GA24) which leads to four subcases. Further, to test the acceptability of the value of Ta , one must also consider the equations for Tm, if m2 > MI> and Ta if m-i ^.mi- These equations are

1 > 1

T m ma ' ^2 — l m 2 1. (A25) m. > 1 m. . m2 > mi

1 - D a1 ,

Note that the form of these equations is identical, the only change being in • n tne the choice of mi or m2- ^ sequel, these equations will be combined into one equation, with m . = min(mj, m2)•

38 Case Ilia: (x2 <-m2 and K2 >. 0) , xl •<. 0fll (sketch (s))

< m2

Note: rri| shown >D0)l but maybe < D0i P/l Sketch (s)

To check for applicability, use /> 72

Note that this will not be satisfied unless K2 > 0, so a separate check for this is unnecessary: S, bfl + Sf2 , m . KiD, mm ani max

27, min

Note that when mmin > Da , the left side of the last part of the equation is positive by the test for xl <.Dai, and the right side is negative since m > D > D min a • Therefore, the inequality is automatically satisfied if mmin t and need not be checked.

Case Illb: (x > m or K2 < 0), x^ < Da (sketch (t))

lmed

x2 Note: m | shown < 00|, but maybe > D0i Sketch (t) 39 S j? +• jS's-.-i'-- A ' °2

Note that K2 does not enter these equations so its sign is not important:

S + S T' < 0 •? ~< Da a2 2 «2

(Sf +.S0, J 1 °2 + K m . > P^ , m . < D„ l mm #2 mm a\

max T T • V < " T —> • (\' "I/: «2 .;

, m .• > £> mm where the second test is automatically satisfied as in case Ilia.

Case IIIc: (x2 < m2 and K2 > 0), xl > D (sketch (u)) .

f 5 D Jl fJ 9 a. med i -

D, V.a. 2

Sketch (u)

J

This test will also not be satisfied if K2 < 0:

a. <0

40 This test is satisfied since the test for xi > Da is satisfied, and therefore need not be considered: 1

, m . < !)„ mm Q!

max Tm Tm \ < T a' J2 , m . > D^ mm mm «i

Again, as in the previous two cases, the first of these two tests is included in the previous tests, but now the test can never be satisfied; therefore, it need not be tested. Also, if the second test is satisfied, then mm^n > Dai; if this test is not satisfied, case III is not needed (so tests for m . are also not needed) . 1

Case Hid: (x2 > m2 or K2 < 0), Xi > Da (sketch (v))

Sf + S D J\ °2 1 - rmed V^ A/C Da Va-. 2 1

Sketch (v)

Sf + 5^ Jl °2

* s 7^

This test will always be satisfied since x± > Da and therefore need not be checked: 1

m . f (•) mm max + 5 + K m . > !)„ , m . > l mm a.2 mm 41 As in case IIIc, the first part of this test can never be satisfied and so need not be tested". Also, the test for mmin > Dai can be omitted. As shown in figure 21, where the tests for Ta < 0 or max(T^a> Tm ) < Ta2 are not sat- isfied, the value of T j is set to zero, so that it is ignored in the maximi- zation process for 1,^.

_Sf,+Sf2 Dog /K2 Vb, med 2K, vb, Vb, \,K, Vb2

Figure 21.— Calculation of T •,.

If Ti2 = max(T-£n, if{,n> tmed) > adequate separation will be maintained while the aircraft are airborne, but the second aircraft may still land before the first aircraft is off the runway. To prevent this, an.additional quantity, io, is computed which controls the spacing between the aircraft so that the first aircraft will be off the runway before the second lands despite errors in the aircraft's maneuvers.

42 RUNWAY SEPARATION

The interarrival time required for runway separation is defined by equations (10) and (11) . The partial derivatives used in equation (10) are defined as ,

12 aot _ nom 80. 80. ' where T is the negative of equation (3) or (A3): m m < Da

Tnom

With this equation, along with equation (1), the various derivatives can be calculated as follows: ,

m * Da m > Da

927 12act 1 1 3m Vb va 2 2 V -7,v ^12 •a- b - .„ „ aot 2„ a ' -iv fn Vb i "ITl ™a Va2

V 9T b~Va 12 m aot m2 a ~ vf \ va ^

92J 12ao +t b 821 „ ' lr v" •of ~ a All the quantities needed to calculate equation (12) are now available. nom

43 PROBABILITY OF ABORT

In equation (10), a value for AT is determined. This quantity is an allowance to be added to the runway occupancy time to reduce the probability that errors in arrival position and velocity will cause the second aircraft to abort, that is, if the first aircraft is not off the runway when the second aircraft wants to touch down. Thus, it is desirable to determine analytically the probability of abort so that a desirable value for K is obtained.

The probability of abort is a function of four random variables (, 6p, and &Tvf) for each aircraft (a total of eight variables), each with an assumed triangular distribution. The resultant distribution of deviations of interarrival times (sketch (w)) is essentially Gaussian. Also shown is

Probability distribution

AT Sketch (w) AT, K times the.root sum square of half the ranges of the n individual tri- angular error sources. The probability of an abort is shown by the shaded area. To estimate the probability of abort, first assume that all variables have been normalized and have uniform ranges. Also, note that a triangular distribution function is the convolution of two identical uniform distributions. Therefore, the probability of abort of the n triangular distributions is the same as that of 2n uniform distributions. Thus, given the density function for 2n uniform identical random variables, 1 , o < a < 1 (A26) 1 0 , else determine the probability that 2n x. < x - T z = ^ s ^=l where Ts = Jn. Thus, Ts corresponds to AT, with K = 1. Using Laplace trans- forms, the moment generating function for a single uniform variable is i

44 -sa -so. , 1 - e-s r 2 • da = — (A27) . x".t X . ^

From,this, the overall function is

-ks (A28)

Taking the inverse Laplace transform gives the density function,

t < k 2n (-1) 2n-l (A29) E (t-KL k=o (2n - 1)! , t > k which can be integrated to give the probability distribution function:

2n 0 •t < k /2n\ -k C-1) ' t - k} E1 \x\ kK- I ( t > k k-o . - 2nl . (A30)

0 t < k E(-l}k kl (2n - A:)! 2n k=0 (t - k} t > k

To determine the probability of abort, evaluate equation (A30) at t = x - Ts where x = n is defined as the mean of 2n identical uniform distributions, that is, the probability that Z < x - TS is Fz(n - -frC), This evaluation yields

45 k > n - F(n- (-1)' \(2n - k}\ 2n (n - v^n - k] k < n -

I(A31)

kmax C-D' 2n - A:)!7 (n - /n - k}

where /cmax is the largest integer k so that k < n - Jn or kmax = -£n£[n - Jn] .

Table 3 gives, for various values of n, the values of k^g^, Fz(n- Jri),

TABLE 3.- PROBABILITY OF ABORT FOR VARIOUS n

n k F (n - Sn~) max g Z9

1 0 0 ~oo 2 0 .00491 -2.58 4 1 .00615 -2.50 8 5 .00670 -2.47 and Zg, the normalized Gaussian variable with the same area under the left- hand tail as Fz(n - Figure 22 is a plot of Zg versus n. The previous calculations assume 4.0 that all error sources are identical, that is, each has an identical effect on the landing time whereas, in fact, each has a different effect. To consider nonidentical sources, assume that n - 1 sources had identical effects and that the effect of the 3.0 nth source was to vary from that of the others to zero. As it varies, the width of the probability curve 2.5 decreases, and, by definition, the value of AT also decreases. The net effect should be that the area to the left of AT will change monotonically from the probability of abort due to n sources, to that due to n - 1 sources. From figure 22, note that Figure 22.— Effect of number of error this probability is very insensitive sources in probability of abort.

46 to n and, furthermore, the probability of abort decreases as n decreases. Therefore, the probability that the actual error will exceed the RSS of 1/2 the ranges (which implies K - 1) occurs with a probability of less than 0.006, as stated in the text. The Monte Carlo runs showed the probability of aborts from 0 to 0.006, which agrees with the above analysis.

47 APPENDIX B

PROGRAM LISTING AND DESCRIPTION

A listing of the complete program, -consisting of a main program and two subroutines,- HEAD! and OUT, is presented. The main program first calls HEAD1, which reads input data, sets up the calculations, and prints heading informa- tion. The main program then does the major portions of the calculations and some output, and finally calls OUT for the remainder of the output. The pro- grams have many comment cards and it is hoped that they are self-explanatory.

The computations for a single case are done from a data array called ACDTA, and the purpose of HEAD1 is to change the data in ACDTA as required. This allows a kind of DO LOOP action, under the control of HEAD1, so that a variety of conditions can be run simply. A listing of a sample input deck is discussed in detail to show how the required, inputs are made.

INPUT DECK

The inputs are free form as controlled by the Ames INPUT routine.l This routine continues to read data cards and put the data into the named locations until a * is read. At that point, the program proceeds to the next oper- VARIOUS M Ml Xtn STOL CTUL 60IJAL SPACING1

1 = 19. ation, and subsequent data cards are ?=19. ,6. .6 . ,60 ,65 ,65. ,90. ,7. ,2.5,2 .5,30 , ' 65 3=19. t 6. tt, . ,60 ,70 ,70. ,90. ,2. ,2. 5, 2.5,30 , '70 read by a subsequent call to INPUT.

8 = 7. t 2.,?.. ,30. 35. 35., 60. , 2. ,2. 5, 2. 5,10. •3-i' 07 AC9 03 ACPRflR= '30' ,',n. ,'35' 30., '40' ,19., 09 - CHNGAC='10','65','70'» Figure 23 shows the sample input TVFsPOO.,• " - SF-.l, NORllNsl ' , ' . deck, where card 1 is a title-card

CHNGAC='30* .35, arid card 2 defines the number .of land- TVF=9on., 5F=.l, ings to be used in the statistical H=2.,7.,

ACP portion of the program. Cards 3

CHNGAC='60',•65','70', 22 through 8 give information concerning M=7., •< 23 NORUN=1 , 21 the aircraft, one card for each air- 25 * 2o craft type. Up to 12 aircraft types H-2.,7.. 27 ACPRnB='30', 40., '35 ' ,30.,' 40', 19., ' 60', <•!>., ' 65', 30., ' 70' can be defined and loaded into AC1 *CHNr,AC= ' 60' , ' 65 ', '70' , through AC12, which are rows of the M=19., 32 NDRIIN=1 , 33 ACDTA table. The variables for each 1 3* CHNGAO' 30', '35', 'AO , M=2.,7., . aircraft type are m," So, Sf, To, Va, 37 Vb>-?vf> R&P> R&Va> .R$Yb> R&Tvf> and Figure 23.— Input deck. type (in units of km, sec, and m/sec), Card 9 defines the proportion of the Various aircraft types to be considered, and this proportion is used until a new proportion card is entered. In this case, only the three STOL vehicles are to be used. allows free-form input similar to NAMELIST, and a description of the subroutine can be obtained from the Ames Computer Library. .

48 To reduce the number of input cards required to run multiple cases, the input procedure was arranged to set up a series of DO LOOPS. With this pro- cedure, it is necessary to first indicate which of the aircraft types is to have variables changed by the DO LOOPS and then to indicate what variables are to be changed, and their new values. If more than one value is specified for a variable, the program will compute for all values specified, as in a DO LOOP. If more than one variable is to be changed, nested DO LOOPS are created. These DO LOOPS remain in force until a new indication of aircraft types is specified.

The particular set of input data shown in figure 23 computes landing rates for the following cases: STOL only mSTOL = 2' 7 75 percent STOL m^ = 2, 7 m^ = 19

75 percent STOL *STOL = 2, ?' m^ = 7

50 percent STOL msm = 2, 7 m^QL - 7 50 percent STOL m = 2, 7 m = 19

The remainder of the input cards provides the information to run these cases.

Card 10 indicates that, for the first case, some data for the three aircraft types indicated (CTOL) are to be changed and cards 11 and 12 indicate the required changes to Tvf and Sf. Card 13 indicates that no calculations are to be made at this point (since more changes will come in the next call to INPUT). Cards 15, 16, and 17 make the same changes for the STOL vehicles, while card 18 indicates that computations should be done for ^STOL = ^ anc* mSTOL = 7 an

Card 19 again indicates the end of a data read, and only two cases (STOL only, WSTOL = 2, 7) will be computed. The output from these two cases is shown in figures 24 (a) and 24 (b). Card 20 presents a new set of proportions of aircraft types and, since there is no reference to CHNGAC, the previously set-up DO LOOP will be used for the next cases (75 percent STOL, mSTOL = 2, 7, mCTOL = 19) . The output from the first of these cases is shown in figure 24 (c) .

Cards 22 and 23 indicate a change to the CTOL aircraft data, to set ^CTOL ~ 7» and cancel the initial DO LOOP setup. Card -24 indicates no compu- tations. Cards 26 and 27 change variables for the STOL aircraft, and again

49 set up the one-level, two-value, DO LOOP (75 percent STOL, msTOL = 2, 7, mCTOL = 7)• Card 29 specifies 50 percent STOL, running the same DO LOOP (50 percent STOL, ^STOL = 2, 7, mcTOL = 7) • On card 37> the last case has been, set up to run (50 percent STOL, msTOL = .2, 7> mCTOL = 19) • The Program will continue to read data cards until they are gone, and then it will stop. This particular input deck will compute data for 10 cases (as previously stated). ••.•-•••

Two additional subroutines are called by the program. The first, RANDU(IX,NX,R), is a random number generator and (as used here) will return a random number, R, with a uniform probability distribution from 0 to 1. The variable IX is a starting point and NX is the starting point for the next random number. The second routine, VTITLE, prints a title line and page number at the top of each page of output. The title is read from the first data card.

DESCRIPTION OF OUTPUT

The first three pages of output from the sample input deck are shown in figures 24(a) through (c). The output includes not only the information dis- cussed in the text, but also some material which is not discussed. This description defines all of the data in the output..

In figures 24(a)-(c), the first line is the case title and the second two lines are general heading information. This is followed by the "A/C DATA TABLE," which gives all the input quantities for each type of aircraft used for this.particular case. In addition, the individual partial derivatives required in equation (10), along with the root sum square, are given in the last five columns.

.The next two lines define the probability that the next aircraft is of a specified type. This is followed by a table defining the interarrival times and available takeoff times for all possible sequences of aircraft. The first line defines the type of the second aircraft, and the first column defines the type of the first aircraft. For each possible sequence, four entries are made in the table'. The first, PROB, is the probability of that sequence, obtained by multiplying the probability of the individual types. The second item, .T12, is the required interarrival time, as calculated by equation (12) . Immedi- ately following this is a letter, which defines the T with the largest value, using the code indicated. The last item is the time available for takeoffs, which is the interarrival time minus the runway occupancy time of the first aircraft. - Some histogram information is presented next. The total number of aircraftin the histogram is specified. The histogram shows the distribution of interarrival time and available takeoff times, as calculated from the information immediately above. Also, average, maximum, and minimum times are shown. , . . • .

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53 Next, data on the landing rate are presented. The Monte Carlo process was used to determine how many of the landings were required to abort because an aircraft was attempting to touch down before the runway was clear. The abort ratio (number of aborts/total number of landings) is printed, along with the nominal (or planned) number of landings and landing rate. The actual land- ings referred to in the last two columns are the nominal landings minus the aborts. Finally, takeoff information is presented. The first line, of this table (fig. 24(a)) is read as follows: if all aircraft use 36 sec for takeoff, then there will be sufficient time for 1089 aircraft to take off without interfer- ing with the landing vehicles. Since there are 302 landings being considered (given on the previous line), there will be a total of 1391 operations, at a rate of 90.7 operations/hr. The last two columns consider the effect of aborts on the number of operations and the operation rate. Since there are no aborts (see previous line), the actual and nominal operations are the same.

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69 REFERENCES

1. Blumstein, Alfred: The Landing Capacity of a Runway. Operations Res., vol. 70, no. 6, Dec. 1959, pp. 752-763.

2. Simpson, Robert W.: Analytical Methods of Research into Terminal Area Air Traffic Operations. J. Aircraft, vol. 2, no. 3, May-June 1965, pp. 185-193.

3. Odoni, Amedeo R.: An Analytical Investigation of Air-Traffic in the Vicinity of Terminal Areas. Ph.D. Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Sept. 1969.

4. Anon: Analysis of a Capacity Concept for Runway and Final-Approach Path Aerospace. NBS Rep. 10111, SRDS-RD-69-47, Nov. 1969.

5. Rinker, Robert E.: Determination of STOL Air Terminal Traffic Capacity Through Use of Computer Simulation. M.S. Thesis, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, Calif. 6. Anon: The National Aviation System Plan — 1972—1981 FAA. March 1971, AD-756580. 7. Erzberger, Heinz; and Pecsvaradi, Thomas: 4-D Guidance System Design with Application to STOL Air Traffic Control.

70 NASA-Langley, 1974 A-5044 NATIONAL AERONAUTICS AND SPACE ADMINISTRATION WASHINGTON. D.C. 2O546 POSTAGE AND FEES PAID NATIONAL AERONAUTICS AND OFFICIAL BUSINESS SPACE ADMINISTRATION PENALTY FOR PRIVATE USE $3OO SPECIAL FOURTH-CLASS RATE 451 BOOK

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