The Algebraic Geometry of Competitive Equilibrium
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Estimating the Benefits of New Products* by W
Estimating the Benefits of New Products* by W. Erwin Diewert University of British Columbia and NBER Robert C. Feenstra University of California, Davis, and NBER January 26, 2021 Abstract A major challenge facing statistical agencies is the problem of adjusting price and quantity indexes for changes in the availability of commodities. This problem arises in the scanner data context as products in a commodity stratum appear and disappear in retail outlets. Hicks suggested a reservation price methodology for dealing with this problem in the context of the economic approach to index number theory. Hausman used a linear approximation to the demand curve to compute the reservation price, while Feenstra used a reservation price of infinity for a CES demand curve, which will lead to higher gains. The present paper evaluates these approaches, comparing the CES gains to those obtained using a quadratic utility function using scanner data on frozen juice products. We find that the CES gains from new frozen juice products are about six times greater than those obtained using the quadratic utility function, and the confidence intervals of these estimates do not overlap. * We thank the organizers and participants at the Big Data for 21st Century Economic Statistics conference, and especially Marshall Reinsdorf and Matthew Shapiro, for their helpful comments. We also thank Ninghui Li for her excellent research assistance. Financial support was received from a Digging into Data multi-country grant, provided by the United States NSF and the Canadian SSHRC. We acknowledge the James A. Kilts Center, University of Chicago Booth School of Business, https://www.chicagobooth.edu/research/kilts/datasets/dominicks, for the use of the Dominick’s Dataset. -
Lecture Notes General Equilibrium Theory: Ss205
LECTURE NOTES GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM THEORY: SS205 FEDERICO ECHENIQUE CALTECH 1 2 Contents 0. Disclaimer 4 1. Preliminary definitions 5 1.1. Binary relations 5 1.2. Preferences in Euclidean space 5 2. Consumer Theory 6 2.1. Digression: upper hemi continuity 7 2.2. Properties of demand 7 3. Economies 8 3.1. Exchange economies 8 3.2. Economies with production 11 4. Welfare Theorems 13 4.1. First Welfare Theorem 13 4.2. Second Welfare Theorem 14 5. Scitovsky Contours and cost-benefit analysis 20 6. Excess demand functions 22 6.1. Notation 22 6.2. Aggregate excess demand in an exchange economy 22 6.3. Aggregate excess demand 25 7. Existence of competitive equilibria 26 7.1. The Negishi approach 28 8. Uniqueness 32 9. Representative Consumer 34 9.1. Samuelsonian Aggregation 37 9.2. Eisenberg's Theorem 39 10. Determinacy 39 GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM THEORY 3 10.1. Digression: Implicit Function Theorem 40 10.2. Regular and Critical Economies 41 10.3. Digression: Measure Zero Sets and Transversality 44 10.4. Genericity of regular economies 45 11. Observable Consequences of Competitive Equilibrium 46 11.1. Digression on Afriat's Theorem 46 11.2. Sonnenschein-Mantel-Debreu Theorem: Anything goes 47 11.3. Brown and Matzkin: Testable Restrictions On Competitve Equilibrium 48 12. The Core 49 12.1. Pareto Optimality, The Core and Walrasian Equiilbria 51 12.2. Debreu-Scarf Core Convergence Theorem 51 13. Partial equilibrium 58 13.1. Aggregate demand and welfare 60 13.2. Production 61 13.3. Public goods 62 13.4. Lindahl equilibrium 63 14. -
Chapter 3 the Basic OLG Model: Diamond
Chapter 3 The basic OLG model: Diamond There exists two main analytical frameworks for analyzing the basic intertem- poral choice, consumption versus saving, and the dynamic implications of this choice: overlapping-generations (OLG) models and representative agent models. In the first type of models the focus is on (a) the interaction between different generations alive at the same time, and (b) the never-ending entrance of new generations and thereby new decision makers. In the second type of models the household sector is modelled as consisting of a finite number of infinitely-lived dynasties. One interpretation is that the parents take the utility of their descen- dants into account by leaving bequests and so on forward through a chain of intergenerational links. This approach, which is also called the Ramsey approach (after the British mathematician and economist Frank Ramsey, 1903-1930), will be described in Chapter 8 (discrete time) and Chapter 10 (continuous time). In the present chapter we introduce the OLG approach which has shown its usefulness for analysis of many issues such as: public debt, taxation of capital income, financing of social security (pensions), design of educational systems, non-neutrality of money, and the possibility of speculative bubbles. We will focus on what is known as Diamond’sOLG model1 after the American economist and Nobel Prize laureate Peter A. Diamond (1940-). Among the strengths of the model are: The life-cycle aspect of human behavior is taken into account. Although the • economy is infinitely-lived, the individual agents are not. During lifetime one’s educational level, working capacity, income, and needs change and this is reflected in the individual labor supply and saving behavior. -
Chapter 4 the Overlapping Generations (OG) Model
Chapter 4 The overlapping generations (OG) model 4.1 The model Now we will briefly discuss a macroeconomic model which has most of the important features of the RA model, but one - people die. This small con- cession to reality will have a big impact on implications. Recall that the RA model had a few special characteristics: 1. An unique equilibrium exists. 2. The economy follows a deterministic path. 3. The equilibrium is Pareto efficient. The overlapping generations model will not always have these characteristics. So my presentation of this model will have two basic goals: to outline a model that appears frequency in the literature, and to use the model to illustrate some features that appear in other models and that some macroeconomists think are important to understanding business cycles. 1 2 CHAPTER 4. THE OVERLAPPING GENERATIONS (OG) MODEL 4.1.1 The model Time, information, and demography Discrete, indexed by t. In each period, one worker is born. The worker lives two periods, so there is always one young worker and one old worker. We’re going to assume for the time being that workers have perfect foresight, so we’ll dispense with the Et’s. Workers Each worker is identified with the period of her birth - we’ll call the worker born in period t “worker t”. Let c1,t be worker t’s consumption when young, and let c2,t+1 be her consumption when old. She only cares about her own consumption. Her utility is: Ut = u(c1,t) + βu(c2,t+1) (4.1) The worker is born with no capital or bond holdings. -
Pareto Efficiency by MEGAN MARTORANA
RF Fall Winter 07v42-sig3-INT 2/27/07 8:45 AM Page 8 JARGONALERT Pareto Efficiency BY MEGAN MARTORANA magine you and a friend are walking down the street competitive equilibrium is typically included among them. and a $100 bill magically appears. You would likely A major drawback of Pareto efficiency, some ethicists claim, I share the money evenly, each taking $50, deeming this is that it does not suggest which of the Pareto efficient the fairest division. According to Pareto efficiency, however, outcomes is best. any allocation of the $100 would be optimal — including the Furthermore, the concept does not require an equitable distribution you would likely prefer: keeping all $100 for distribution of wealth, nor does it necessarily suggest taking yourself. remedial steps to correct for existing inequality. If the Pareto efficiency says that an allocation is efficient if an incomes of the wealthy increase while the incomes of every- action makes some individual better off and no individual one else remain stable, such a change is Pareto efficient. worse off. The concept was developed by Vilfredo Pareto, an Martin Feldstein, an economist at Harvard University and Italian economist and sociologist known for his application president of the National Bureau of Economic Research, of mathematics to economic analysis, and particularly for his explains that some see this as unfair. Such critics, while con- Manual of Political Economy (1906). ceding that the outcome is Pareto Pareto used this work to develop efficient, might complain: “I don’t his theory of pure economics, have fewer material goods, but I analyze “ophelimity,” his own have the extra pain of living in a term indicating the power of more unequal world.” In short, giving satisfaction, and intro- they are concerned about not only duce indifference curves. -
Arrow-Debreu Pricing: Equilibrium
ECON 337901 FINANCIAL ECONOMICS Peter Ireland Boston College Spring 2021 These lecture notes by Peter Ireland are licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommerical-ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0) License. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/. 9 Arrow-Debreu Pricing: Equilibrium A Arrow-Debreu vs CAPM B The Arrow-Debreu Economy C Competitive Equilibrium and Pareto Optimum D Optimal Risk Sharing E Equilibrium and No-Arbitrage F Euler Equations Arrow-Debreu vs CAPM The Arrow-Debreu framework was developed in the 1950s and 1960s by Kenneth Arrow (US, b.1932, Nobel Prize 1972) and Gerard Debreu (France, 1921-2004, Nobel Prize 1983), some key references being: Gerard Debreu, Theory of Value: An Axiomatic Analysis of Economic Equilibrium, New Haven: Yale University Press, 1959. Kenneth Arrow, \The Role of Securities in the Optimal Allocation of Risk-Bearing," Review of Economic Studies Vol.31 (April 1964): pp.91-96. Arrow-Debreu vs CAPM Since MPT and the CAPM were developed around the same time, it is useful to consider how each of these two approaches brings economic analysis to bear on the problem of pricing risky assets and cash flows. Arrow-Debreu vs CAPM Markowitz, Sharpe, Lintner, and Mossin put σ2 on one axis and µ on the other. Arrow-Debreu vs CAPM Markowitz, Sharpe, Lintner, and Mossin put σ2 on one axis and µ on the other. This allowed them to make more rapid progress, deriving important results for portfolio management and asset pricing. But the resulting theory proved very difficult to generalize: it requires either quadratic utility or normally distributed returns. -
6-2: the 2 2 × Exchange Economy
©John Riley 4 May 2007 6-2: THE 2× 2 EXCHANGE ECONOMY In this section we switch the focus from production efficiency to the allocation of goods among consumers. We begin by focusing on a simple exchange economy in which there are two consumers, Alex and Bev. Each consumer has an endowment of two commodities. Commodities are private. That is, each consumer cares only about his own consumption. Consumer h h 2 h h h, h= AB , has an endowment ω , a consumption set X = R+ and a utility function U( x ) that is strictly monotonic. Pareto Efficiency With more than one consumer, the social ranking of allocations requires weighing the utility of one individual against that of another. Suppose that the set of possible utility pairs (the “utility possibility set”) associated with all possible allocations of the two commodities is as depicted below. B U2 45 line A W U+ U = k 1 2 U 1 6.2-1: Utility Possibility Set Setting aside the question of measuring utility, one philosophical approach to social choice places each individual behind a “veil of ignorance.” Not knowing which consumer you are going 1 to be, it is natural to assign a probability of 2 to each possibility. Then if individuals are neutral Section 6.2 page 1 ©John Riley 4 May 2007 towards risk while behind the veil of ignorance, they will prefer allocations with a higher expected utility 1+ 1 2U1 2 U 2 . This is equivalent to maximizing the sum of utilities, a proposal first put forth by Jeremy Bentham. -
Choice Models in Marketing: Economic Assumptions, Challenges and Trends
Foundations and TrendsR in Marketing Vol. 2, No. 2 (2007) 97–184 c 2008 S. R. Chandukala, J. Kim, T. Otter, P. E. Rossi and G. M. Allenby DOI: 10.1561/1700000008 Choice Models in Marketing: Economic Assumptions, Challenges and Trends Sandeep R. Chandukala1, Jaehwan Kim2, Thomas Otter3, Peter E. Rossi4 and Greg M. Allenby5 1 Kelley School of Business, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN 47405-1701, USA, [email protected] 2 Korea University Business School, Korea University, Korea, [email protected] 3 Department of Marketing, Johann Wolfgang Goethe-Universit¨at Frankfurt, Germany, [email protected] 4 Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago, USA, [email protected] 5 Fisher College of Business, Ohio State University, USA, allenby 1@fisher.osu.edu Abstract Direct utility models of consumer choice are reviewed and developed for understanding consumer preferences. We begin with a review of statistical models of choice, posing a series of modeling challenges that are resolved by considering economic foundations based on con- strained utility maximization. Direct utility models differ from other choice models by directly modeling the consumer utility function used to derive the likelihood of the data through Kuhn-Tucker con- ditions. Recent advances in Bayesian estimation make the estimation of these models computationally feasible, offering advantages in model interpretation over models based on indirect utility, and descriptive models that tend to be highly parameterized. Future trends are dis- cussed in terms of the antecedents and enhancements of utility function specification. 1 Introduction and Scope Understanding and measuring the effects of consumer choice is one of the richest and most challenging aspects of research in marketing. -
Lecture Notes for Macroeconomics I, 2004
Lecture notes for Macroeconomics I, 2004 Per Krusell Please do NOT distribute without permission Comments and suggestions are welcome! 1 2 Chapter 1 Introduction These lecture notes cover a one-semester course. The overriding goal of the course is to begin provide methodological tools for advanced research in macroeconomics. The emphasis is on theory, although data guides the theoretical explorations. We build en- tirely on models with microfoundations, i.e., models where behavior is derived from basic assumptions on consumers' preferences, production technologies, information, and so on. Behavior is always assumed to be rational: given the restrictions imposed by the primi- tives, all actors in the economic models are assumed to maximize their objectives. Macroeconomic studies emphasize decisions with a time dimension, such as various forms of investments. Moreover, it is often useful to assume that the time horizon is in¯nite. This makes dynamic optimization a necessary part of the tools we need to cover, and the ¯rst signi¯cant fraction of the course goes through, in turn, sequential maximization and dynamic programming. We assume throughout that time is discrete, since it leads to simpler and more intuitive mathematics. The baseline macroeconomic model we use is based on the assumption of perfect com- petition. Current research often departs from this assumption in various ways, but it is important to understand the baseline in order to fully understand the extensions. There- fore, we also spend signi¯cant time on the concepts of dynamic competitive equilibrium, both expressed in the sequence form and recursively (using dynamic programming). In this context, the welfare properties of our dynamic equilibria are studied. -
Intermediate Microeconomics W3211 Lecture 8
3/1/2016 1 Intermediate Microeconomics W3211 Lecture 8: Introduction Equilibrium and Efficiency 1 Columbia University, Spring 2016 Mark Dean: [email protected] 2 3 4 The Story So Far…. Today’s Aims • We have solved the consumer’s problem We are now going to talk about the welfare properties of an • Determined what we think people will do given prices and income equilibrium Arguably this is one of the most interesting, but also misunderstood lectures in the entire course • We have solved for equilibrium in an endowment economy • Determined what we think prices and allocations will be It is where economists sometimes stop being scientists and start being policy makers Positive economics: what will happen • This is quite impressive! Normative economics: What should happen • We have our first prediction of how a simple economy works! • Granted it is an economy that only has consumers in it • We will get to firms soon enough 5 Today’s Aims Begin by defining the concept of Pareto optimality Most economists would agree that if an allocation is ‘good’ it should be Pareto optimal Then introduce the first ‘fundamental theorems of welfare economics’ Describes the relationship between Pareto optimality and Market equilibria Pareto Optimality 6 1 3/1/2016 7 8 Which Allocations Do You Prefer? Pareto Ranking Allocation x Allocation y Economists use a very specific way of comparing allocations: Kendrick Taylor Kendrick Taylor Definition: Let ,, , be an allocation in an economy. 3553 We say it is Pareto dominated by ,, , if 10 -
Fair Allocation Through Competitive Equilibrium from Generic Incomes
Fair Allocation through Competitive Equilibrium from Generic Incomes ABSTRACT notions of fairness that apply to such settings; our approach is to Two food banks catering to populations of different sizes with study fairness through the prism of competitive market equilibrium different needs must divide among themselves a donation offood – a connection made long ago by [31, 56]. items. What constitutes a “fair” allocation of the items among them? Competitive equilibrium from equal incomes (CEEI) is a classic 1.1 The economic concept of equilibrium in solution to the problem of fair and efficient allocation of goods Fisher markets with indivisible goods. among agents [Foley 1967, Varian 1974]. Every agent (foodbank) Let us suspend for a few paragraphs the discussion of fairness and receives an equal endowment of artificial currency with which to introduce the market equilibrium concept from microeconomics. “purchase” bundles of goods (food items). Prices for the goods are Imagine endowing the agents with budgets of some fake currency. set high enough such that the agents can simultaneously get their In a competitive equilibrium of the resulting market, goods are favorite within-budget bundle, and low enough such that all goods assigned prices, each player takes his preferred set of goods among are allocated (no waste). A CEEI satisfies mathematical notions of those that are within his budget, and the market clears. By the first fairness like fair-share, and also has built-in transparency – prices welfare theorem, the resulting allocation is Pareto efficient. can be published so the agents can verify they’re being treated In this paper we focus on the simple Fisher market model [10], equally. -
Market Equilibrium in Exchange Economies with Some Families of Concave Utility Functions
Market Equilibrium in Exchange Economies with Some Families of Concave Utility Functions Bruno Codenotti¤ Kasturi Varadarajany Abstract We consider the problem of computing equilibrium prices for exchange economies. We tackle this problem under the assumption that the traders have either CES (constant elasticity of sub- stitution) utility functions or a subfamily of ASC (additively separable concave) utilities. For the subfamily of ASC functions, and for a range of CES functions which include some CES functions that do not satisfy weak gross substitutability, we translate the equilibrium conditions into a convex feasibility problem. This enables us to obtain new, polynomial time algorithms for com- puting the equilibrium. As a byproduct of our work, we prove the uniqueness of equilibrium in an interesting setting where such a result was not known. 1 Introduction Theoretical computer scientists have, in the last few years, become aware of the importance of the computation of market equilibria, originally a central concept of Theoretical Economics [2, 3, 4]. Informally, in an exchange economy there is a collection of goods, initially distributed among \actors" who trade them. The preference of each of these independent actors for each bundle of goods is expressed by a \utility function". Each actor tries to maximize her utility, but is constrained by her budget (as determined by the value that the \market" { consisting of herself and all the other actors { gives to the goods she has). An equilibrium is a set of prices at which there are allocations of goods to traders such that two conditions are simultaneously satis¯ed: each trader's allocation maximizes her utility, subject to the constraints induced by her budget, and the market clears.