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World Bank Document DYING TOO YOUNG Public Disclosure Authorized Addressing Premature Mortality and Ill Health Due to Non-Communicable Diseases Injuries in the Russian Federation THE POOR HEALTH STATUS of Russia’s economically active adult population—its human capital—challenges sustainable economic growth and social development. President Vladimir Putin, in his annual address to the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation in May 2004 and more recently in the State-of-the-Nation Address on April 25, 2005, DYING TOO YOUNG criticized the failure of health care reform to produce significant results, as evidenced by Russia’s lagging behind many countries in key health Public Disclosure Authorized indicators. Life expectancy in Russia at 66 years, he noted, is 12 years Addressing Premature Mortality and less than it is in the United States, 8 years less than in Poland, and 5 years less than in China—a situation President Putin attributed to Ill Health Due to Non-Communicable Diseases “the high death rate in the working-age population.” and Injuries in the Russian Federation Dying Too Young aims to heighten understanding of the nature and characteristics of non communicable diseases and injuries as the leading killers in the Russian Federation, its associated risk factors, and their Public Disclosure Authorized social and economic implications. The study outlines specific options and offers recommendations for addressing this problem, and projects the health and economic gains that could result from a comprehensive program of action. Improving adult health would contribute to improved health status of the population, quality of life, labor productivity and sustainable economic growth in the country. Public Disclosure Authorized Europe and Central Asia Human Development Department The World Bank DYING TOO YOUNG Addressing Premature Mortality and Ill Health Due to Non-Communicable Diseases and Injuries in the Russian Federation Europe and Central Asia Region Human Development Department Russia Country Management Unit The World Bank TABLE OF CONTENTS Preface ............................................................................................................................................ ix Acknowledgments .......................................................................................................................... xi Abbreviations .................................................................................................................................. xii EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .................................................................................................................. xiii The Demographic Decline and the Health Deficit .......................................................................... xiii Determinants of the Demographic Decline and the Health Deficit ................................................ xv What Are The Consequences Of The Demographic Decline And The Health Deficit?.................. xviii What Strategies and Interventions Prevent Non-Communicable Diseases and Injuries? .................. xx Is Russia Doing Enough to Confront Non-Communicable Diseases and Injuries? ........................ xxi What Additional Actions Can Russia Take? .................................................................................... xxi What Health Improvements Could Result From an Intensified Program of Action? ...................... xxii What Are the Potential Economic Benefits of Mortality Reduction In Russia?................................ xxii Conclusion ...................................................................................................................................... xxiii Chapter 1. The Demographic Decline and the Health Deficit................................................ 1 A Framework for Understanding the Demographic and Health Conditions in Russia .................. 1 The Shrinking of the Russian Population ........................................................................................ 2 Declining Fertility Rates .................................................................................................................. 4 High Mortality Rates ........................................................................................................................ 7 Mortality among Population Groups................................................................................................ 7 Life Expectancy and Economic Development ................................................................................ 10 Impact of Life Expectancy on Human Development ...................................................................... 13 Population Migration........................................................................................................................ 13 The Aging of the Population............................................................................................................ 14 Total Dependency Ratios ................................................................................................................ 15 What Are the Consequences of the Demographic Decline and the Health Deficit?...................... 15 Chapter 2. The Burden of Ill Health and Disability .................................................................. 19 Healthy Life Expectancy.................................................................................................................. 19 Comparison of Disability Levels...................................................................................................... 20 Policy Implications .......................................................................................................................... 21 Chapter 3. Determinants of the Demographic Decline and the Health Deficit ................ 25 Deaths and DALYs Lost Attributable to Leading Causes .............................................................. 25 The Leading Individual Causes of Death........................................................................................ 27 Policy Implications .......................................................................................................................... 32 Chapter 4. What Are the Major Risk Factors for NCDs and Injuries? ................................ 35 Major Individual Health Risk Factors .............................................................................................. 35 Interaction among Risk Factors ...................................................................................................... 44 Policy Implications .......................................................................................................................... 45 iii Chapter 5. The Impact of NCDs and Injuries on Health Care Costs.................................... 49 Study Method .................................................................................................................................. 49 Results ............................................................................................................................................ 50 Policy Implications .......................................................................................................................... 51 Chapter 6. How Do NCDs and Injuries Affect the Russian Economy? .............................. 55 Conceptual Framework .................................................................................................................. 55 What Effect has Adult Ill Health had on the Economic Outcome of the Population? .................... 56 Policy Implications .......................................................................................................................... 61 Chapter 7. What Strategies and Interventions Prevent NCDs and Injuries? .................... 65 International Evidence on Effective Interventions to Control Individual Risk-Factors Associated with the Onset of NCDs and Injuries............................................................................ 67 The Government’s Role in Disease Prevention .............................................................................. 70 Role of Private Employers .............................................................................................................. 70 Chapter 8. How Is Russia Responding to NCDs and Injuries? ............................................ 73 Recent Organizational Reforms ...................................................................................................... 73 The Legal Framework for Action Against NCDs and Injuries ........................................................ 74 Institutional Weaknesses in Preventing and Controlling NCDs ...................................................... 76 What Are the Main Problems? ........................................................................................................ 76 Some Good Practices in Russia...................................................................................................... 77 Steps to Advance NCD Prevention and Control Efforts.................................................................. 80 Policy Implications .......................................................................................................................... 80 Chapter 9. What Additional Actions Can Russia Take?.......................................................... 83 The Rationale for a Comprehensive Program ...............................................................................
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