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For More Information: Sara Rinfret, Ph.D. Associate Professor & Chair University of Montana Department of Public Administrat

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For More Information: Sara Rinfret, Ph.D. Associate Professor & Chair University of Montana Department of Public Administrat For More Information: Sara Rinfret, Ph.D. Associate Professor & Chair University of Montana Department of Public Administration and Policy 406-243-4702 [email protected] The University of Montana Big Sky Poll collects and reports information about Montanans' perceptions of local, state, and federal issues. The poll is directed by Dr. Sara Rinfret, Associate Professor and Chair, Department of Public Administration & Policy, and Dr. Justin Angle, Associate Professor of Marketing and Warren and Betsy Wilcox Faculty Fellow. The UM Big Sky Poll’s online survey was conducted from February 12-22, 2020, with 498 likely Montana voters. The margin of error (MOE) is +/- 4.39 at a 95 percent confidence level. Survey results were weighted by geography and gender to more accurately reflect demographics of the registered voter population in Montana. Due to rounding, totals may not equal 100 percent. *Use of poll findings requires attribution to the University of Montana Big Sky Poll. Elected Official Job Performance Question: Do you think each of the following elected officials or elected bodies are doing an excellent, good, fair or poor job? President Donald Trump Overall Sample Women Men Urban Rural Dem. Rep. Ind. Excellent 32.7% 30.0% 35.8% 25.8% 40.5% 1.6% 55.7% 27.7% Good 20.2% 21.4% 19.3% 19.1% 21.6% 2.4% 32.5% 17.7% Fair 10.1% 12.1% 7.5% 9.4% 10.8% 7.3% 7.1% 14.6% Poor 37.1% 36.4% 37.3% 45.7% 27.2% 88.6% 4.7% 40.0% High Post-Bac. School/ Some Assoc. Bach. (Ph.D., J.D., GED College Degree Degree etc.) Other Excellent 43.5% 37.9% 29.5% 26.7% 22.5% 52.6% Good 19.4% 17.9% 26.2% 24.4% 11.3% 26.3% Fair 12.9% 11.7% 8.2% 11.1% 7.5% 5.3% Poor 24.2% 32.4% 36.1% 37.8% 58.8% 15.8% 18-26 27-46 47-66 67 & Older Excellent 13.5% 30.1% 33.9% 46.1% Good 28.8% 22.9% 18.2% 13.5% Fair 21.2% 9.0% 9.4% 7.9% Poor 36.5% 38.0% 38.5% 32.6% Senator Jon Tester Overall Sample Women Men Urban Rural Dem. Rep. Ind. Excellent 15.8% 16.7% 14.1% 15.7% 15.9% 41.0% 3.3% 10.8% Good 25.6% 26.7% 24.9% 28.5% 22.0% 45.1% 13.7% 26.2% Fair 31.3% 32.7% 28.2% 34.5% 27.6% 12.3% 41.7% 33.1% Poor 27.4% 23.8% 32.9% 21.3% 34.5% 1.6% 41.2% 30.0% High Post-Bac. School/ Some Assoc. Bach. (Ph.D., J.D., GED College Degree Degree etc.) Other Excellent 17.5% 10.3% 15.3% 14.2% 29.1% 5.9% Good 19.0% 24.8% 28.8% 26.9% 22.8% 47.1% Fair 36.5% 31.0% 37.3% 32.1% 24.1% 17.6% Poor 27.0% 33.8% 18.6% 26.9% 24.1% 29.4% 2 18-26 27-46 47-66 67 & Older Excellent 3.8% 12.0% 19.9% 20.5% Good 38.5% 28.3% 22.0% 20.5% Fair 44.2% 36.1% 28.3% 21.6% Poor 13.5% 23.5% 29.8% 37.5% Senator Steve Daines Overall Sample Women Men Urban Rural Dem. Rep. Ind. Excellent 14.7% 12.9% 17.1% 13.2% 16.5% 0.8% 26.9% 10.0% Good 28.6% 28.9% 28.4% 25.6% 32.0% 17.2% 32.1% 34.6% Fair 36.4% 40.4% 31.3% 36.1% 36.8% 35.2% 34.9% 35.4% Poor 20.3% 17.9% 23.2% 25.2% 14.7% 46.7% 6.1% 20.0% High Post-Bac. School/ Some Assoc. Bach. (Ph.D., J.D., GED College Degree Degree etc.) Other Excellent 15.9% 12.3% 13.6% 14.9% 17.7% 16.7% Good 31.7% 26.0% 32.2% 32.1% 17.7% 50.0% Fair 33.3% 46.6% 35.6% 32.1% 31.6% 22.2% Poor 19.0% 15.1% 18.6% 20.9% 32.9% 11.1% 18-26 27-46 47-66 67 & Older Excellent 2.0% 8.5% 17.2% 28.1% Good 29.4% 26.1% 31.8% 25.8% Fair 52.9% 44.8% 29.7% 25.8% Poor 15.7% 20.6% 21.4% 20.2% House Representative Greg Gianforte Overall Sample Women Men Urban Rural Dem. Rep. Ind. Excellent 13.0% 11.1% 16.0% 10.2% 16.4% 0.0% 25.9% 6.9% Good 24.1% 22.9% 25.5% 22.9% 25.4% 7.4% 32.5% 26.2% Fair 30.8% 31.8% 30.2% 27.8% 34.1% 22.1% 33.5% 31.5% Poor 32.1% 34.3% 28.3% 39.1% 24.1% 70.5% 8.0% 35.4% High Post-Bac. School/ Some Assoc. Bach. (Ph.D., J.D., GED College Degree Degree etc.) Other Excellent 14.5% 13.9% 11.7% 11.9% 13.8% 10.5% Good 24.2% 23.6% 21.7% 30.6% 15.0% 26.3% Fair 33.9% 34.0% 33.3% 29.9% 21.3% 36.8% Poor 27.4% 28.5% 33.3% 27.6% 50.0% 26.3% 3 18-26 27-46 47-66 67 & Older Excellent 5.8% 9.0% 13.0% 25.6% Good 19.2% 21.7% 26.6% 26.7% Fair 40.4% 35.5% 27.1% 23.3% Poor 34.6% 33.7% 33.3% 24.4% U.S. Congress Overall Sample Women Men Urban Rural Dem. Rep. Ind. Excellent 1.9% 1.4% 2.8% 1.9% 1.7% 1.6% 2.8% 1.5% Good 14.8% 18.1% 10.4% 15.7% 13.9% 18.9% 15.6% 9.2% Fair 40.3% 45.6% 33.0% 41.6% 39.0% 45.9% 34.4% 40.0% Poor 43.0% 34.9% 53.8% 40.8% 45.5% 33.6% 47.2% 49.2% High Post-Bac. School/ Some Assoc. Bach. (Ph.D., J.D., GED College Degree Degree etc.) Other Excellent 4.8% .7% 0.0% 2.2% 1.3% 5.9% Good 11.3% 21.4% 15.0% 8.9% 7.5% 52.9% Fair 53.2% 35.9% 36.7% 43.7% 41.3% 17.6% Poor 30.6% 42.1% 48.3% 45.2% 50.0% 23.5% 18-26 27-46 47-66 67 & Older Excellent 1.9% 3.0% 2.1% 0.0% Good 34.6% 21.1% 8.3% 5.6% Fair 48.1% 38.0% 40.9% 38.2% Poor 15.4% 38.0% 48.7% 56.2% Governor Steve Bullock Overall Sample Women Men Urban Rural Dem. Rep. Ind. Excellent 14.4% 13.9% 15.6% 15.7% 12.6% 32.8% 6.1% 10.7% Good 31.5% 33.2% 28.8% 34.1% 28.6% 45.1% 22.2% 35.9% Fair 32.8% 34.6% 29.7% 30.0% 35.9% 16.4% 40.6% 29.0% Poor 21.4% 18.2% 25.9% 20.2% 22.9% 5.7% 31.1% 24.4% High Post-Bac. School/ Some Assoc. Bach. (Ph.D., J.D., GED College Degree Degree etc.) Other Excellent 16.4% 9.6% 13.3% 14.9% 23.8% 5.6% Good 29.5% 27.4% 31.7% 29.1% 36.3% 66.7% Fair 37.7% 39.0% 35.0% 34.3% 16.3% 16.7% Poor 16.4% 24.0% 20.0% 21.6% 23.8% 11.1% 4 18-26 27-46 47-66 67 & Older Excellent 3.8% 13.9% 16.1% 18.0% Good 39.6% 27.7% 32.8% 29.2% Fair 45.3% 41.0% 25.5% 25.8% Poor 11.3% 17.5% 25.5% 27.0% Montana Legislature Overall Sample Women Men Urban Rural Dem. Rep. Ind. Excellent 4.8% 4.3% 5.7% 3.7% 6.0% 5.0% 5.7% 3.8% Good 41.6% 45.4% 37.3% 40.1% 43.1% 42.1% 42.5% 40.8% Fair 44.5% 44.6% 43.4% 44.9% 44.0% 38.8% 45.8% 45.4% Poor 9.1% 5.7% 13.7% 11.2% 6.9% 14.0% 6.1% 10.0% High Post-Bac. School/ Some Assoc. Bach. (Ph.D., J.D., GED College Degree Degree etc.) Other Excellent 11.3% 2.7% 3.4% 4.5% 3.8% 5.6% Good 40.3% 43.8% 44.1% 39.6% 39.2% 44.4% Fair 37.1% 46.6% 40.7% 48.5% 43.0% 44.4% Poor 11.3% 6.8% 11.9% 7.5% 13.9% 5.6% 18-26 27-46 47-66 67 & Older Excellent 1.9% 9.0% 3.1% 2.2% Good 50.0% 33.1% 43.5% 48.3% Fair 42.3% 47.0% 42.9% 44.9% Poor 5.8% 10.8% 10.5% 4.5% 5 2020 Election Question: If the election for US President was held today, which of the following potential candidates would you vote for? Trump vs. Biden Overall Sample Women Men Urban Rural Dem. Rep. Ind. Donald 56.2% 54.3% 59.2% 47.7% 65.9% 3.3% 93.4% 48.9% Trump Joe Biden 33.9% 35.4% 31.5% 41.4% 25.4% 86.1% 3.8% 35.9% Don’t 10.0% 10.4% 9.4% 10.9% 8.6% 10.7% 2.8% 15.3% Know High Post-Bac.
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