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APPENDIX O INDIRECT and CUMULATIVE EFFECTS TECHNICAL REPORT May 2020 INDIRECT and CUMULATIVE EFFECTS TECHNICAL REPORT

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APPENDIX O INDIRECT and CUMULATIVE EFFECTS TECHNICAL REPORT May 2020 INDIRECT and CUMULATIVE EFFECTS TECHNICAL REPORT APPENDIX O INDIRECT AND CUMULATIVE EFFECTS TECHNICAL REPORT May 2020 INDIRECT AND CUMULATIVE EFFECTS TECHNICAL REPORT TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 INTRODUCTION ..........................................................................................................................1 1.1 Overview ....................................................................................................................................... 1 1.2 Study Corridors ............................................................................................................................. 1 1.3 Study Purpose and Need ............................................................................................................... 3 1.4 Alternatives Evaluated .................................................................................................................. 4 2 SCOPING AND METHODOLOGY ...................................................................................................9 2.1 Legislation and Regulatory Guidance............................................................................................ 9 2.2 ICE Analysis Scope and Methodology ........................................................................................... 9 2.2.1 Resource Identification and Data Collection ...................................................................... 10 2.2.2 ICE Analysis Area Boundary ................................................................................................ 10 2.2.3 ICE Time Frame ................................................................................................................... 19 2.2.4 ICE Analysis Approach and Methodology ........................................................................... 21 3 INDIRECT AND CUMULATIVE EFFECTS ANALYSIS ........................................................................ 24 3.1 Background Information ............................................................................................................. 24 3.1.1 Land Use .............................................................................................................................. 24 3.1.2 Population, Housing and Employment ............................................................................... 39 3.1.3 Future Development in the ICE Analysis Area .................................................................... 44 3.1.4 Socioeconomic Resources ................................................................................................... 49 3.1.5 Cultural Resources .............................................................................................................. 54 3.1.6 Natural Resources ............................................................................................................... 56 3.1.7 Air Quality ........................................................................................................................... 67 3.2 Summary and Conclusions .......................................................................................................... 69 4 REFERENCES ............................................................................................................................. 71 May 2020 i INDIRECT AND CUMULATIVE EFFECTS TECHNICAL REPORT LIST OF TABLES Table 2-1: Representative Sub-Boundaries for Environmental Resources ................................................. 10 Table 2-2: Planning Area Boundaries .......................................................................................................... 13 Table 2-3: Census Designated Places .......................................................................................................... 16 Table 2-4: Data Sources and Methodology ................................................................................................. 22 Table 3-1: Montgomery County Master Plans Within the ICE Analysis Area ............................................. 25 Table 3-2: Fairfax County Comprehensive Plans ........................................................................................ 32 Table 3-3: Past and Present Land Use/Land Cover in the Maryland Portion of the ICE Analysis Area....... 34 Table 3-4: 2005 Land Use in the District of Columbia................................................................................. 35 Table 3-5: 2018 Land Use in the Fairfax County Portion of the ICE Analysis Area ..................................... 36 Table 3-6: Population 1970-2040 ................................................................................................................ 40 Table 3-7: Housing 1970-2016 .................................................................................................................... 42 Table 3-8: Employment 2015-2040............................................................................................................. 42 Table 3-9: 2017 Top Commercial Construction Projects in the ICE Analysis Area ...................................... 45 Table 3-10: Major Transportation Projects in the ICE Analysis Area .......................................................... 45 Table 3-11: ICE Analysis Resources ............................................................................................................. 49 Table 3-12: Natural Resources Direct Impacts ............................................................................................ 56 Table 3-13: Land Cover in the ICE Analysis Area ......................................................................................... 64 LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1-1: Study Corridors ........................................................................................................................... 2 Figure 1-2: Typical Sections of Alternatives Considered ............................................................................... 7 Figure 2-1: Watersheds ............................................................................................................................... 12 Figure 2-2: Census Tracts ............................................................................................................................ 14 Figure 2-3: Planning Area Boundaries ......................................................................................................... 15 Figure 2-4: Census Designated Places ......................................................................................................... 17 Figure 2-5: Area of Traffic Influence ........................................................................................................... 18 Figure 2-6: Overall ICE Analysis Area Boundary .......................................................................................... 20 Figure 2-7: Population in Montgomery, Prince George’s and Fairfax Counties ......................................... 21 Figure 3-1: Projected Population Growth 2015 – 2040 by TAZ .................................................................. 41 Figure 3-2: Projected Employment Growth 2015 -2040 by TAZ ................................................................. 43 APPENDIX Appendix A: Census Tracts in the ICE Analysis Area Appendix B: List of Rare, Threatened and Endangered (RTE) Species May 2020 ii INDIRECT AND CUMULATIVE EFFECTS TECHNICAL REPORT ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS ATI Area of Traffic Influence BMP Best Management Practice CCT Corridor Cities Transitway CDP Census Designated Place CEQ Council on Environmental Quality CLRP Constrained Long Range Plan CO Carbon Monoxide COMAR Code of Maryland Regulations CWA Clean Water Act EIS Environmental Impact Statement EJ Environmental Justice ESA Endangered Species Act ETL Express Toll Lanes FCA Forest Conservation Act FEMA Federal Emergency Management Agency FHWA Federal Highway Administration FIDS Forest Interior Dwelling Species GIS Geographic Information Systems GP General Purpose GSSC Great Seneca Science Corridor HOT High-Occupancy Toll HOV High-Occupancy Vehicle HUC Hydrologic Unit Code ICE Indirect and Cumulative Effects IPaC Information Planning and Consultation LSC Life Sciences Center LULC Land Use/Land Cover MARC Maryland Area Regional Commuter MDE Maryland Department of the Environment MDNR Maryland Department of Natural Resources MDNR-WHS Maryland Department of Natural Resources – Wildlife and Heritage Services MDOT SHA Maryland Department of Transportation State Highway Administration MDP Maryland Department of Planning MDTA Maryland Transportation Authority MHT Maryland Historical Trust M-NCPPC Maryland-National Capital Park and Planning Commission MSAT Mobile Source Air Toxics MWCOG Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments NAAQS National Ambient Air Quality Standards May 2020 iii INDIRECT AND CUMULATIVE EFFECTS TECHNICAL REPORT NCRTPB National Capital Region Transportation Planning Board NEPA National Environmental Policy Act NOAA National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration NWI National Wetland Inventory PM Particulate Matter PROS Park, Recreation, and Open Space RTE Rare, Threatened and Endangered TAZ Traffic Analysis Zone TIP Transportation Improvement Plan TMDL Total Maximum Daily Load USACE United States Army Corps of Engineers U.S.C. United States Code USDA United States Department of Agriculture USEPA United States Environmental Protection Agency USFWS United States Fish and Wildlife Service USGS United States Geological Survey VDCR Virginia Department of Conservation and Recreation VDCR-DNH Virginia Department of Conservation and Recreation
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