Amstatnews the Membership Magazine of the American Statistical Association •

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

Amstatnews the Membership Magazine of the American Statistical Association • March 2010 • Issue #393 AMSTATNEWS The Membership Magazine of the American Statistical Association • http://magazine.amstat.org/ ASA Board of Directors Candidates ALSO: Biostatistics Internship Opportunities Publications Agreement No. 41544521 Available Statisticians Comment on Status of Climate Change Science MARCH 2010 • Issue #393 Executive Director Ron Wasserstein: [email protected] Associate Executive Director and Director of Operations F eATuRes Stephen Porzio: [email protected] 3 President’s Corner Director of Education Martha Aliaga: [email protected] 6 AsA Board of Directors Candidates Director of Science Policy 13 Statisticians Comment on status of Climate Steve Pierson: [email protected] Change science Managing Editor 17 2010 Mortimer spiegelman Award Megan Murphy: [email protected] 18 Biostatistics Internship Opportunities Available Production Coordinators/Graphic Designers Melissa Muko: [email protected] 20 Member spotlight Kathryn Wright: [email protected] 21 ISR to Publish energy statistics Issue Publications Coordinator Val Snider: [email protected] 23 Staff spotlight Advertising Manager Claudine Donovan: [email protected] Contributing Staff Members Amy Farris • Lisette Werbowetzki • Rebecca Nichols ASA Board Amstat News welcomes news items and letters from readers on matters of interest to the association and the profession. Address correspondence of Directors to Managing Editor, Amstat News, American Statistical Association, 732 Candidiates North Washington Street, Alexandria VA 22314-1943 USA, or email p. 6 [email protected]. Items must be received by the first day of the preced- ing month to ensure appearance in the next issue (for example, June 1 for the July issue). Material can be sent as a Microsoft Word document, PDF, or within an email. Articles will be edited for space. Accompanying art- work will be accepted in graphics file formats only (.jpg, etc.), minimum 300 dpi. No material in WordPerfect will be accepted. Amstat News (ISSN 0163-9617) is published monthly by the American Statistical Association, 732 North Washington Street, Alexandria 23 Special Issue to Focus on Industry VA 22314-1943 USA. Periodicals postage paid at Alexandria, Virginia, and additional mailing offices. POSTMASTER: Send address changes to 25 COPAFs Corner Amstat News, 732 North Washington Street, Alexandria VA 22314-1943 USA. Send Canadian address changes to Station A, P.O. Box 54, Windsor 26 Treasures from the AsA Archives ON N9A 6J5; [email protected]. Annual subscriptions are $50 per year for nonmembers. Amstat News is the member publication of the ASA. For annual membership rates, see www.amstat.org/join or contact 29 Special Issue on statistical Methods for the ASA Member Services at (888) 231-3473. Social sciences American Statistical Association 30 Statisticians View 732 North Washington Street Alexandria, VA 22314–1943 USA (703) 684–1221 • FAX: (703) 684-2036 ASA GENERAL: [email protected] ADDRESS CHANGES: [email protected] AMSTAT EDITORIAL: [email protected] ADVERTISING: [email protected] WEB SITE: www.amstat.org Printed in USA © 2010 statisticians Comment on American Statistical Association status of Climate Change p. 13 VISION STATEMENT To be a world leader in promoting statistical practice, applications, and research; publishing statistical journals; improving statistical education; and advancing the statistics profession MISSION STATEMENT Support excellence in statistical practice, research, journals, and meetings. Work for the improvement of statistical education at all levels. Promote the proper application of statistics. Anticipate and meet the needs of our members. Use our discipline to enhance human welfare. Seek opportunities to advance the statistics profession. Column Contributors Funding Opportunities The Federal Budget Request for FY 2011 p. 33 This column highlights research activities that may be of interest to AsA members. These brief articles include information about new research solicitations and the federal budget for statistics. Comments or suggestions for future articles may be sent to AsA Research and Graduate education DePARTMeNTs Manager Keith Crank at [email protected]. 41 International Contributing Editor Conferences Celebrate C. R. Rao’s 90th Birthday Keith Crank has a BS in mathematics education and an MS in mathematics from Michigan State Sessions Focus on Younger statisticians University and a PhD in statistics from Purdue IsOss Conference in Cairo a success University. Prior to joining the ASA, he was a pro- gram officer at the National Science Foundation, primarily in the probability program. 45 Meetings Proposals sought for Late-Breaking JsM sessions Crank 47 Education Chance Project Moves to CAuseweb Science Policy News Weak Forensic Science Has High Cost p. 35 This column is written to inform AsA members about what the AsA is doing to promote the inclusion of statistics in policymaking and the funding of statistics research. To suggest science policy topics for the AsA to address, contact AsA The Federal Budget Director of science Policy steve Pierson at [email protected]. Request for FY 2011 p. 33 Contributing Editor Clifford Spiegelman is a professor of statistics at Texas A&M, where he has been on faculty for 23 years. He is also a senior research scientist at the Texas Transportation Institute. His applied research interests include chemometrics, transportation statistics, envi- ronmetrics, and statistical forensics. spiegelman MeMBeR NeWs 48 People News Master’s Notebook 50 section News Statistics Key in Financial Services Industry p. 39 53 Calendar of events This column is written for statisticians with master’s degrees and highlights areas 61 Professional Opportunities of employment that will benefit statisticians at the master’s level. Comments and suggestions should be sent to Keith Crank, AsA Research and Graduate education Manager Keith Crank at [email protected]. Contributing Editor Sami Huovilainen is a senior vice president for CitiCards’ (the credit card division of Citigroup) decision manage- ment group. He earned his master of science degree in statistics and master of arts degree in economics from The Pennsylvania State University. Prior to join- ing CitiCards, he spent five years in a similar group at JP Morgan Chase. Huovilainen cover design by Melissa Muko PRESIDENT’S CORNER Make Yourself Count here are a few hours to go before the Super for communication between the ASA Board and Bowl commercials start. I promised myself I members. Vice presidents and presidents (-elect, wouldn’t turn on the TV until I finish this current, and past) provide leadership in regard Tcolumn, but my mind keeps wandering. What to our strategic plan. Membership benefits and exciting commercials will be on this time? I can’t growth, meetings, publications, finances, commit- wait to see the commercial for the 2010 Census! tee appointments and accomplishments, education, I heard Census Director Bob Groves on National visibility, and having an impact on public policy are Public Radio last month talking about the difficul- some of the topics discussed regularly by ASA Board ties with undercounts, overcounts, foreclosures, members. Please read the candidates’ biographies etc. I wish him the best with a successful census. and statements; Google them if you need to. Just It is exciting to be a statistician during the decen- don’t forget to cast your vote. sastry Pantula nial census: “United States Census 2010: It’s in Our To provide you (and myself) with more infor- Hands,” “We Count, Because Everyone Counts,” mation, I asked the candidates for president (Jim “How America Knows What America Needs.” The Landwehr and Bob Rodriguez) and vice president importance of accurate counts is well known to all (Linda Gage and Mary Mulry) to respond to some of us. Please encourage everyone you know to fill questions. Their answers (unedited) are below. I out their census forms. hope this information, in addition to their personal Speaking of being counted, do not forget to vote statements, helps you choose. in the upcoming ASA elections. The percentage of members who vote in ASA elections has increased What does the ASA stand for? (I don’t mean over the past few years; however, participation is still just “American Statistical Association.” I’m far below 50%. I hope we have an excellent turnout looking for three bullets or an elevator this year; it is as easy as a few clicks from your email. speech you would give if someone asked Of course, deciding who you would like to vote for what the ASA means to you.) among such good candidates is another story. On the next few pages, you will see information about Jim Landwehr (P): It’s the central focus for the outstanding members who are willing to volunteer statistics profession in this country. It’s the place their time to our association. The ASA thrives on all segments of our profession can and do gather— such dedication. I want to thank each of the candi- through meetings, publications, electronically—to dates for their willingness to participate. Please show communicate among ourselves and with the broader them your support by casting your vote. society, which needs and uses statistics in many and Section officers play an important role in advanc- varying ways. ing the thematic interests of our association and are Bob Rodriguez (P): I believe that ASA stands for a key to the success of our meetings. Council of Activity, Service, and Advocacy! The ASA benefits Chapters and Council of Sections representatives all statisticians by providing
Recommended publications
  • September 2010
    THE ISBA BULLETIN Vol. 17 No. 3 September 2010 The official bulletin of the International Society for Bayesian Analysis AMESSAGE FROM THE membership renewal (there will be special provi- PRESIDENT sions for members who hold multi-year member- ships). Peter Muller¨ The Bayesian Nonparametrics Section (IS- ISBA President, 2010 BA/BNP) is already up and running, and plan- [email protected] ning the 2011 BNP workshop. Please see the News from the World section in this Bulletin First some sad news. In August we lost two and our homepage (select “business” and “mee- big Bayesians. Julian Besag passed away on Au- tings”). gust 6, and Arnold Zellner passed away on Au- gust 11. Arnold was one of the founding ISBA ISBA/SBSS Educational Initiative. Jointly presidents and was instrumental to get Bayesian with ASA/SBSS (American Statistical Associa- started. Obituaries on this issue of the Analysis tion, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science) we Bulletin and on our homepage acknowledge Juli- launched a new joint educational initiative. The an and Arnold’s pathbreaking contributions and initiative formalized a long standing history of their impact on the lives of many people in our collaboration of ISBA and ASA/SBSS in related research community. They will be missed dearly! matters. Continued on page 2. ISBA Elections 2010. Please check out the elec- tion statements of the candidates for the upco- In this issue ming ISBA elections. We have an amazing slate ‰ A MESSAGE FROM THE BA EDITOR of candidates. Thanks to the nominating commit- *Page 2 tee, Mike West (chair), Renato Martins Assuncao,˜ Jennifer Hill, Beatrix Jones, Jaeyong Lee, Yasuhi- ‰ 2010 ISBA ELECTION *Page 3 ro Omori and Gareth Robert! ‰ SAVAGE AWARD AND MITCHELL PRIZE 2010 *Page 8 Sections.
    [Show full text]
  • IMS Bulletin 39(4)
    Volume 39 • Issue 4 IMS1935–2010 Bulletin May 2010 Meet the 2010 candidates Contents 1 IMS Elections 2–3 Members’ News: new ISI members; Adrian Raftery; It’s time for the 2010 IMS elections, and Richard Smith; we introduce this year’s nominees who are IMS Collections vol 5 standing for IMS President-Elect and for IMS Council. You can read all the candi- 4 IMS Election candidates dates’ statements, starting on page 4. 9 Amendments to This year there are also amendments Constitution and Bylaws to the Constitution and Bylaws to vote Letter to the Editor 11 on: they are listed The candidate for IMS President-Elect is Medallion Preview: Laurens on page 9. 13 Ruth Williams de Haan Voting is open until June 26, so 14 COPSS Fisher lecture: Bruce https://secure.imstat.org/secure/vote2010/vote2010.asp Lindsay please visit to cast your vote! 15 Rick’s Ramblings: March Madness 16 Terence’s Stuff: And ANOVA thing 17 IMS meetings 27 Other meetings 30 Employment Opportunities 31 International Calendar of Statistical Events The ten Council candidates, clockwise from top left, are: 35 Information for Advertisers Krzysztof Burdzy, Francisco Cribari-Neto, Arnoldo Frigessi, Peter Kim, Steve Lalley, Neal Madras, Gennady Samorodnitsky, Ingrid Van Keilegom, Yazhen Wang and Wing H Wong Abstract submission deadline extended to April 30 IMS Bulletin 2 . IMs Bulletin Volume 39 . Issue 4 Volume 39 • Issue 4 May 2010 IMS members’ news ISSN 1544-1881 International Statistical Institute elects new members Contact information Among the 54 new elected ISI members are several IMS members. We congratulate IMS IMS Bulletin Editor: Xuming He Fellow Jon Wellner, and IMS members: Subhabrata Chakraborti, USA; Liliana Forzani, Assistant Editor: Tati Howell Argentina; Ronald D.
    [Show full text]
  • Tea: a High-Level Language and Runtime System for Automating
    Tea: A High-level Language and Runtime System for Automating Statistical Analysis Eunice Jun1, Maureen Daum1, Jared Roesch1, Sarah Chasins2, Emery Berger34, Rene Just1, Katharina Reinecke1 1University of Washington, 2University of California, 3University of Seattle, WA Berkeley, CA Massachusetts Amherst, femjun, mdaum, jroesch, [email protected] 4Microsoft Research, rjust, [email protected] Redmond, WA [email protected] ABSTRACT Since the development of modern statistical methods (e.g., Though statistical analyses are centered on research questions Student’s t-test, ANOVA, etc.), statisticians have acknowl- and hypotheses, current statistical analysis tools are not. Users edged the difficulty of identifying which statistical tests people must first translate their hypotheses into specific statistical should use to answer their specific research questions. Almost tests and then perform API calls with functions and parame- a century later, choosing appropriate statistical tests for eval- ters. To do so accurately requires that users have statistical uating a hypothesis remains a challenge. As a consequence, expertise. To lower this barrier to valid, replicable statistical errors in statistical analyses are common [26], especially given analysis, we introduce Tea, a high-level declarative language that data analysis has become a common task for people with and runtime system. In Tea, users express their study de- little to no statistical expertise. sign, any parametric assumptions, and their hypotheses. Tea A wide variety of tools (such as SPSS [55], SAS [54], and compiles these high-level specifications into a constraint satis- JMP [52]), programming languages (e.g., R [53]), and libraries faction problem that determines the set of valid statistical tests (including numpy [40], scipy [23], and statsmodels [45]), en- and then executes them to test the hypothesis.
    [Show full text]
  • December 2000
    THE ISBA BULLETIN Vol. 7 No. 4 December 2000 The o±cial bulletin of the International Society for Bayesian Analysis A WORD FROM already lays out all the elements mere statisticians might have THE PRESIDENT of the philosophical position anything to say to them that by Philip Dawid that he was to continue to could possibly be worth ISBA President develop and promote (to a listening to. I recently acted as [email protected] largely uncomprehending an expert witness for the audience) for the rest of his life. defence in a murder appeal, Radical Probabilism He is utterly uncompromising which revolved around a Modern Bayesianism is doing in his rejection of the realist variant of the “Prosecutor’s a wonderful job in an enormous conception that Probability is Fallacy” (the confusion of range of applied activities, somehow “out there in the world”, P (innocencejevidence) with supplying modelling, data and in his pragmatist emphasis P ('evidencejinnocence)). $ analysis and inference on Subjective Probability as Contents procedures to nourish parts that something that can be measured other techniques cannot reach. and regulated by suitable ➤ ISBA Elections and Logo But Bayesianism is far more instruments (betting behaviour, ☛ Page 2 than a bag of tricks for helping or proper scoring rules). other specialists out with their What de Finetti constructed ➤ Interview with Lindley tricky problems – it is a totally was, essentially, a whole new ☛ Page 3 original way of thinking about theory of logic – in the broad ➤ New prizes the world we live in. I was sense of principles for thinking ☛ Page 5 forcibly struck by this when I and learning about how the had to deliver some brief world behaves.
    [Show full text]
  • The BUGS Project: Evolution, Critique and Future Directions
    STATISTICS IN MEDICINE Statist. Med. 2009; 28:3049–3067 Published online 24 July 2009 in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com) DOI: 10.1002/sim.3680 The BUGS project: Evolution, critique and future directions 1, , 1 2 3 David Lunn ∗ †, David Spiegelhalter ,AndrewThomas and Nicky Best 1Medical Research Council Biostatistics Unit, Institute of Public Health, University Forvie Site, Robinson Way, Cambridge CB2 0SR, U.K. 2School of Mathematics and Statistics, Mathematical Institute, North Haugh, St. Andrews, Fife KY16 9SS, U.K. 3Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Imperial College London, St. Mary’s Campus, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG, U.K. SUMMARY BUGS is a software package for Bayesian inference using Gibbs sampling. The software has been instru- mental in raising awareness of Bayesian modelling among both academic and commercial communities internationally, and has enjoyed considerable success over its 20-year life span. Despite this, the software has a number of shortcomings and a principal aim of this paper is to provide a balanced critical appraisal, in particular highlighting how various ideas have led to unprecedented flexibility while at the same time producing negative side effects. We also present a historical overview of the BUGS project and some future perspectives. Copyright 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. KEY WORDS: BUGS; WinBUGS; OpenBUGS; Bayesian modelling; graphical models 1. INTRODUCTION BUGS 1 is a software package for performing Bayesian inference using Gibbs sampling 2, 3 . The BUGS[ ] project began at the Medical Research Council Biostatistics Unit in Cambridge in[ 1989.] Since that time the software has become one of the most popular statistical modelling packages, with, at the time of writing, over 30000 registered users of WinBUGS (the Microsoft Windows incarnation of the software) worldwide, and an active on-line community comprising over 8000 members.
    [Show full text]
  • Design and Analysis Issues in Family-Based Association
    Emerging Challenges in Statistical Genetics Duncan Thomas University of Southern California Human Genetics in the Big Science Era • “Big Data” – large n and large p and complexity e.g., NIH Biomedical Big Data Initiative (RFA-HG-14-020) • Large n: challenge for computation and data storage, but not conceptual • Large p: many data mining approaches, few grounded in statistical principles • Sparse penalized regression & hierarchical modeling from Bayesian and frequentist perspectives • Emerging –omics challenges Genetics: from Fisher to GWAS • Population genetics & heritability – Mendel / Fisher / Haldane / Wright • Segregation analysis – Likelihoods on complex pedigrees by peeling: Elston & Stewart • Linkage analysis (PCR / microsats / SNPs) – Multipoint: Lander & Green – MCMC: Thompson • Association – TDT, FBATs, etc: Spielman, Laird – GWAS: Risch & Merikangas – Post-GWAS: pathway mining, next-gen sequencing Association: From hypothesis-driven to agnostic research Candidate pathways Candidate Hierarchical GWAS genes models (ht-SNPs) Ontologies Pathway mining MRC BSU SGX Plans Objectives: – Integrating structural and prior information for sparse regression analysis of high dimensional data – Clustering models for exposure-disease associations – Integrating network information – Penalised regression and Bayesian variable selection – Mechanistic models of cellular processes – Statistical computing for large scale genomics data Targeted areas of impact : – gene regulation and immunological response – biomarker based signatures – targeting
    [Show full text]
  • Stan User's Guide 2.27
    Stan User’s Guide Version 2.27 Stan Development Team Contents Overview 9 Part 1. Example Models 11 1. Regression Models 12 1.1 Linear regression 12 1.2 The QR reparameterization 14 1.3 Priors for coefficients and scales 16 1.4 Robust noise models 16 1.5 Logistic and probit regression 17 1.6 Multi-logit regression 19 1.7 Parameterizing centered vectors 21 1.8 Ordered logistic and probit regression 24 1.9 Hierarchical logistic regression 25 1.10 Hierarchical priors 28 1.11 Item-response theory models 29 1.12 Priors for identifiability 32 1.13 Multivariate priors for hierarchical models 33 1.14 Prediction, forecasting, and backcasting 41 1.15 Multivariate outcomes 42 1.16 Applications of pseudorandom number generation 48 2. Time-Series Models 51 2.1 Autoregressive models 51 2.2 Modeling temporal heteroscedasticity 54 2.3 Moving average models 55 2.4 Autoregressive moving average models 58 2.5 Stochastic volatility models 60 2.6 Hidden Markov models 63 3. Missing Data and Partially Known Parameters 70 1 CONTENTS 2 3.1 Missing data 70 3.2 Partially known parameters 71 3.3 Sliced missing data 72 3.4 Loading matrix for factor analysis 73 3.5 Missing multivariate data 74 4. Truncated or Censored Data 77 4.1 Truncated distributions 77 4.2 Truncated data 77 4.3 Censored data 79 5. Finite Mixtures 82 5.1 Relation to clustering 82 5.2 Latent discrete parameterization 82 5.3 Summing out the responsibility parameter 83 5.4 Vectorizing mixtures 86 5.5 Inferences supported by mixtures 87 5.6 Zero-inflated and hurdle models 90 5.7 Priors and effective data size in mixture models 94 6.
    [Show full text]
  • A Joint Spatio-Temporal Model of Opioid Associated Deaths and Treatment Admissions in Ohio
    A JOINT SPATIO-TEMPORAL MODEL OF OPIOID ASSOCIATED DEATHS AND TREATMENT ADMISSIONS IN OHIO BY YIXUAN JI A Thesis Submitted to the Graduate Faculty of WAKE FOREST UNIVERSITY GRADUATE SCHOOL OF ARTS AND SCIENCES in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of MASTER OF ARTS Mathematics and Statistics May 2019 Winston-Salem, North Carolina Approved By: Staci Hepler, Ph.D., Advisor Miaohua Jiang, Ph.D., Chair Robert Erhardt, Ph.D. Acknowledgments First and foremost, I would like to express my sincere gratitude and appreciation to my advisor, Dr. Staci A. Hepler. Without your continuous support and inspiration, I could not have achieved this thesis research. Thank you so much for your patience, motivation, enthusiasm, and immense knowledge, which made this research even more enjoyable. In addition to my advisor, I would also like to thank Dr. Miaohua Jiang and Dr. Robert Erhardt, for the constant encouragement and advice, and for serving on my thesis committee. Furthermore, this thesis benefited greatly from various courses that I took, including Bayesian statistics from Dr. Hepler, factor analysis and Markov Chain from Dr. Berenhaut, poisson linear model from Dr. Erhardt's Generalized Linear Model class, R programming skills from Dr. Nicole Dalzell and also reasoning skills from Dr. John Gemmer's Real Analysis class. Additionally, I would like to extend my thanks to Dr. Ellen Kirkman, Dr. Stephen Robinson and Dr. Sarah Raynor for their special attention and support to me, as an international student. Last but not least, I would like to thank my family for their sincere mental support throughout my life.
    [Show full text]
  • Harrison Zhou
    Volume 39 • Issue 3 IMS1935–2010 Bulletin April 2010 Harrison Zhou: Tweedie Award Harrison Zhou receives 2010 IMS Tweedie New Researcher Award Contents The Institute of Mathematical Statistics has selected Harrison Zhou 1 Tweedie Award: Harrison as the winner of this year’s Tweedie New Researcher Award. Dr Zhou Zhou received his PhD in 2004 from Cornell University, and is 2 Members’ News: Iain currently an Associate Professor at Yale University. Johnstone; Ingram Olkin The IMS Travel Awards Committee selected Dr Zhou for “innovative and significant contributions to the theory and 3 Journal of Privacy and methods of nonparametric function estimation; for outstanding Confidentiality; NSF news Harrison Zhou contributions to high-dimensional statistical inference, including 4 Wisconsin Stat Dept estimation of large covariance matrices and sparse signals.” celebrates 50th birthday Dr Zhou said, “I am very much honored and humbled by this award. I am particu- 5 Meeting report: ICCS-X larly happy that the award is in honor of Richard Tweedie, a scholar who made many 6 Obituary: James F Hannan important contributions to our profession, including his extremely generous mentoring of young researchers. I myself have benefited greatly from the advice of my mentors Report: Zacks mini- 7 Michael Nussbaum, Larry Brown, Tony Cai, Mark Low and David Pollard, who have conference helped me understand some pieces of Le Cam’s work, the inspiration for my own 9 Rick’s Ramblings: How to research.” get your paper cited The IMS Tweedie New Researcher Award will fund Dr. Zhou’s travel to present 10 The Renaissance the Tweedie New Researcher Invited Lecture at the Thirteenth IMS Meeting of New Statistician Researchers in Statistics and Probability, held this year in Vancouver, BC, Canada, from 11 Terence’s Stuff: Firing July 27 to 30.
    [Show full text]
  • Invited Conference Speakers
    Medical Research Council Conference on Biostatistics in celebration of the MRC Biostatistics Unit's Centenary Year 24th - 26th March 2014 | Queens' College Cambridge, UK Invited Conference Speakers Professor Tony Ades, School of Social and Community Medicine, University of Bristol Tony Ades is Professor of Public Health Science at the University of Bristol and leads a programme on methods for evidence synthesis in epidemiology and decision modelling. This was originally funded through the MRC Health Services Research Collaboration. With Guobing Lu, Nicky Welton, Sofia DIas, Debbi Caldwell, Malcolm Price, Aicha Goubar and many collaborators in Cambridge and elsewhere, the programme has contributed original research on Network Meta- analysis, multi-parameter synthesis models for the epidemiology of HIV and chlamydia, synthesis for Markov models, expected value of information, and other topics. Tony was a member of the Appraisals Committee at the National Institute for Clinical Excellence (NICE), 2003-2013, and was awarded a lifetime achievement award in 2010 by the Society for Research Synthesis Methodology. Seminar Title: Synthesis of treatment effects, Mappings between outcomes, and test responsiveness Tuesday 25 March, 11.00-12.30 session Abstract: Synthesis of treatment effects, mappings between outcomes, standardisation, and test responsiveness AE Ades, Guobing Lu, Daphne Kounali. School of Social and Community Medicine, University of Bristol Abstract: We shall report on some experiments with a new class of models for synthesis of treatment effect evidence on “similar” outcomes, within and between trials. They are intended particularly for synthesis of patient- and clinician- reported outcomes that are subject to measurement error. These models assume that treatment effects on different outcomes are in fixed, or approximately fixed, ratios across trials.
    [Show full text]
  • Meta-Analysis of Diagnostic Test Data: Modern Statistical Approaches
    Meta-Analysis of Diagnostic Test Data: Modern Statistical Approaches Inaugural Dissertation zur Erlangung des Doktorgrades der Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftlichen Fakult at¨ der Heinrich-Heine Universit at¨ D usseldorf¨ vorgelegt von Pablo Emilio Verde aus Buenos Aires, Argentinien Juni 2008 Aus der Koordinierungszentrum f ur¨ Klinische Studien Heinrich-Heine Universit at¨ D usseldorf¨ Gedruckt mit der Genehmigung der Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftlichen Fakult at¨ der Heinrich-Heine-Universit at¨ D usseldorf¨ Referent: Prof. Dr. Christian Ohmann Koreferent: Prof. Dr. Martin Lercher Tag der m undlichen¨ Pr ufung:¨ 08.07.2008 To Isabel, Luc ´ıa, Heide, my Mother and to the memory of my Father. iv Acknowledgments I am very thankful to Christian Ohmann for supporting my work during these years. He has allowed me to work with the intellectual freedom, that I needed to develop and to accomplish this dissertation. I am very grateful to Martin Lercher for welcoming my dissertation, without his support and trust this work would not be possible. This work was partially financed by the Swiss National Science Foundation (51A240-104890). I thank Johannes Siegrist for supporting this work. In the summer of 2007, I had the honor to be invited to teach in the Department of Statistics at Stanford University. During my stay I presented an early version of this work. I am immensely grateful to Brad Efron, Trevor Hastie and Ingram Olkin for discussions and several suggestions to improve my work. I am also grateful to Persi Diaconis for numerous enlightening conversations on Bayesian statistics. My sincere acknowledgement to my professor in Argentina Martin Grondona. He has constantly encouraged me to finalize my dissertation.
    [Show full text]
  • IMS Bulletin 2
    Volume 39 • Issue 10 IMS1935–2010 Bulletin December 2010 Editor’s farewell message Contents Xuming He writes: My term as Editor ends with this very issue. Ten times a year, I 1 Editor’s farewell worried about whether the Bulletin would go out on schedule, both electronic and print versions, and whether enough of our members would find the contents interest- 2 Members’ News: C R Rao; P K Sen; Adrian Smith; Igor ing and informative. Those worries however never turned into headaches. In fact, I Vajda had something to look forward to each time, thanks to our excellent editorial team and enthusiastic contributions from our members. No wonder I have become a little 3 IMS Awards nostalgic as I complete my four years of editorship. 4 Other Awards The Bulletin provides a place to remember the past. We publish obituaries of our 5–7 Obituaries: Julian Besag; Fellows, members, and significant friends of the IMS. Our society is built upon on Hermann Witting; Dan Brunk their legacy. This year, we celebrated the 75th anniversary of the IMS by a number of special articles contributed by some of our senior members, who told us how 7 NSF-CBMS lecturers important the IMS has been to their professional lives. If you missed any, these issues 9 How to Publish: IMS-CUP of the Bulletin can be found at http://bulletin.imstat.org. As Editor, my heart also beats book series with the younger members of our profession. From the profile of new faculty at the 10 Terence’s Stuff: Enduring North Carolina State University in the January/February 2007 issue to our report on values the CAREER awards to four junior faculty members at Georgia Tech in the last issue, I 11 IMS meetings hope that we have made a point that the Bulletin is also a place for the future.
    [Show full text]