External Costs of Transport in Europe
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External Costs of Transport in Europe Update Study for 2008 Report Delft, September 2011 Author(s): CE Delft Huib van Essen Arno Schroten Matthijs Otten INFRAS Daniel Sutter Christoph Schreyer Remo Zandonella Markus Maibach Fraunhofer ISI Claus Doll Publication Data Bibliographical data: CE Delft, Infras, Fraunhofer ISI External Costs of Transport in Europe Update Study for 2008 Delft, CE Delft, September 2011 Transport / International / EC / Costs / Accidents / Air pollution / Climate Change / Noise / Congestion FT: External cost Publication code: 11.4215.50 CE-publications are available from www.cedelft.eu Commissioned by: International Union of Railways UIC. Further information on this study can be obtained from the contact person, Huib van Essen. © copyright, CE Delft, Delft CE Delft Committed to the Environment CE Delft is an independent research and consultancy organisation specialised in developing structural and innovative solutions to environmental problems. CE Delft’s solutions are characterised in being politically feasible, technologically sound, economically prudent and socially equitable. 2 September 2011 4.215.1 - External Costs of Transport in Europe Contents Abstract 5 Summary 7 1 Introduction 15 1.1 Background 15 1.2 Objective 16 1.3 Structure of the report 16 1.4 Involvement of experts 17 2 General Methodological Framework and Recent Research Results 19 2.1 Geographical scope 19 2.2 Transport modes 20 2.3 Cost categories 20 2.4 Data basis and country allocation 22 2.5 Overview of recent research projects 24 2.6 Overview of recent external transport cost studies with involvement of the authors (CE Delft, INFRAS, ISI) 26 3 Methodology per Cost Category 29 3.1 Accidents 29 3.2 Air pollution 33 3.3 Climate Change 41 3.4 Noise 50 3.5 Congestion 54 3.6 Other external costs 64 4 Results: Total and Average Costs 71 4.1 Overview: Total and average costs 2008 71 4.2 Results 2008 per cost category 87 4.3 Results corridor calculations 95 5 Results: Marginal Costs in Different Traffic Situations 101 5.1 Overview: Aggregated results 101 5.2 Results 2008 per cost category 102 6 Discussion and Conclusions 111 6.1 Discussion of the results 111 6.2 Discussion of methodology and data quality 111 6.3 Policy application 112 Literature 115 3 September 2011 4.215.1 - External Costs of Transport in Europe Annex A General Input Data 123 Annex B Comparison of Recent European Studies on Transport Costs 155 Annex C Members of the Advisory Board 159 Glossary 161 4 September 2011 4.215.1 - External Costs of Transport in Europe Abstract Previous UIC studies on external costs of transport (INFRAS/IWW 1995, 2000, 2004) are widely known and cited in the scientific and political area and provide a comprehensive comparison of transport modes in Europe based on their economic impact on society. However, since 2004, various important developments took place such as the publication of the EC Greening Transport Package from 2008, the 2011 EU White Paper, the latest revision of the Eurovignette Directive and various new studies on the external cost of transport. Against this background UIC commissioned CE Delft, INFRAS and ISI to carry out this update study, to obtain a state-of-the-art overview of the total, average and marginal external costs of transport in the EU. This update study shows that the average external costs for road transport are much higher than for rail. Per passenger-km the costs of cars or aviation are about four times those of rail transport. For freight transport we see a similar pattern. The predominant cost categories are accidents and emissions (climate change, air pollution and upstream). When combining the average costs with transport volume data, the sum of all external cost were calculated. The total external costs of transport in the EU plus Norway and Switzerland in 2008 amount to more than € 500 billion, or 4% of the total GDP. About 77% of the costs are caused by passenger transport and 23% by freight. On top of these, the annual congestion cost of road transport delays amount to between € 146 and 243 billion (1 to 2% of the total GDP). Road transport modes have by far the largest share in these costs (93%). This can be explained by the large share of road in the overall transport volume as well as their higher average external costs per passenger-km or tonne-km. Passenger cars have a share of about 61%, followed by trucks (13%), vans (9%), two-wheelers (6%) and buses (4%). From the non-road modes, aviation has the largest share in external costs with about 5%, although only intra-EU flights are included. Rail transport is responsible for less than 2% and inland shipping for only 0.3%. Sea shipping was not included in this study. Apart from average costs, also marginal external costs have been calculated, distinguishing various network types, vehicle technologies and traffic situations. These results show that also the marginal external costs for road are much higher than for rail transport. It also becomes clear that the marginal costs in urban areas are much higher than in non-urban areas. The external costs for road transport are lowest on motorways. The results of this study can be used for various purposes. The total and average cost estimates provide a strong basis for comparing the environmental burden of various transport modes. They could also serve as a basis for transport pricing or be used in cost benefit analysis (CBA) or for general policy development. 5 September 2011 4.215.1 - External Costs of Transport in Europe 6 September 2011 4.215.1 - External Costs of Transport in Europe Summary Background of the update study Previous UIC studies on external costs of transport (INFRAS/IWW 1995, 2000, 2004) are widely known and cited in the scientific and political area and provide a comprehensive comparison of transport modes in Europe based on their economic impact on society. Since the last update study in 2004 using data for 2000, the relevance of the subject has increased. Internalisation of external costs is one of the main focus points of the EC Greening Transport Package from 2008 and also in the 2011 EU White Paper on Transport. The latest revision of the Eurovignette Directive now allows Member States to calculate tolls based on costs of air pollution and noise of road freight traffic. In addition, the topic of externalities was further developed by different European and national studies. Against this background, UIC commissioned CE Delft, INFRAS and ISI to carry out this update study, to obtain a state-of-the-art overview of the total, average and marginal external costs of transport in the EU. With the EU enlargements of the last decade, the scope of the study was extended to the EU-27 with the exemption of Malta and Cyprus, but also including Norway and Switzerland. Results for total and average external costs Figure 1 and Figure 2 below shows that the average external costs for road transport are much higher than for rail. Per passenger-km the costs of cars or aviation are about four times those of rail transport. For freight transport we see a similar pattern. The predominant cost categories are accidents and emissions (climate change, air pollution and upstream). Note that congestion costs are not included in this graph1. 1 As in the previous external cost studies for UIC, the congestion-externality is presented separately and not added up in terms of total external costs of transport. Delay costs, which we use as the main congestion indicator, are a mainly transport-sector internal and the social efficiency measure addresses different aspects of externalities. While from the transport efficiency perspective the separation of system-internal and system-external cost categories is irrelevant, it matters when comparing transport modes. 7 September 2011 4.215.1 - External Costs of Transport in Europe Figure 1 Average external costs 2008 for EU-27*: passenger transport (excluding congestion) EUR per 1,000 pkm 70 64.7 65.1 57.1 60 50 Differentiated cost for rail: 33.8 - Rail Electric: 12.0 €/1,000 pkm 40 - Rail Diesel: 34.1 €/1,000 pkm 30 15.3 20 10 0 Car Bus/coach Road Pass. Total Rail Passenger Air Pass. Accidents Air Pollution Noise Other Cost Categories Climate Change (low scenario) Up- & Downstream Processes (low scen.) Climate Change (difference low/high scenario) Up- & Downstream (difference low/high scenario) ©INFRAS/CE/ISI Other cost categories: Costs for nature & landscape, biodiversity losses (due to air pollution), soil and water pollution costs, additional costs in urban areas. Data do not include congestion costs. * Data include the EU-27 with the exemption of Malta and Cyprus, but including Norway and Switzerland. 8 September 2011 4.215.1 - External Costs of Transport in Europe Figure 2 Average external costs 2008 for EU-27*: freight transport (excluding congestion) EUR per 1,000 tkm Up- & Downstream (difference low/high scenario) Climate Change (difference low/high scenario) 14 5 . 6 140 Up- & Downstream Processes Climate Change 120 Other Cost Categories Noise 100 Air Pollution Accidents 80 60 50.5 Differentiated cost for rail: - Rail Electric: 6.6 €/1,000 pkm 34.0 - Rail Diesel: 12.4 €/1,000 pkm 40 20 7.9 11. 2 0 LDV HDV Road Freight Rail Freight Inland Waterways ©INFRAS/CE/ISI Other cost categories: Costs for nature and landscape, biodiversity losses (due to air pollution), soil and water pollution costs, additional costs in urban areas. Data do not include congestion costs. Road Freight Total: The weighted average of all road freight transport modes. * Data include the EU-27 with the exemption of Malta and Cyprus, but including Norway and Switzerland.