CONTACT INFORMATION POLITICAL & REGULATORY RISKS
[email protected] Juan Cruz Díaz
[email protected] www.cefeidas.com Heidi Lough +54 (11) 5238 0991 (ARG)
[email protected] +1 (646) 233 3204 (USA) Madeleine Elder Suipacha 1322 - PB “A”
[email protected] Ciudad Autónoma de Buenos Aires Megan Cook (C1011ACD)
[email protected] República Argentina Tattie Knutson
[email protected] Political Climate Report - ARGENTINA February 7, 2017 POLITICAL CLIMATE REPORT IN THIS ISSUE The government made a dynamic start to the year, defining a clear Page 2 set of goals for 2017 and making changes to key posts. It is betting that high public works spending will generate an economic Other changes to key government posts recovery and increase its electoral chances in the upcoming midterms, although inflation and securing foreign investment will Successful tax amnesty draws billions out of hiding continue to be major challenges. Moreover, as the elections approach, opposition actors will begin to more actively resist the Page 3 government’s agenda, hinted at in recent weeks by a deterioration Dujovne’s debut in relations with powerful labor unions. When Congress resumes Ruling by decree sessions, this will likely be reflected in increased reluctance to back government-led legislation. However, the government’s position is Page 4 stable enough to ensure that even a difficult year would not Challenges in the year ahead seriously threaten governability. Will Trump’s policies sour Argentine-US ties? Prat-Gay departs in shake-up ahead of New Year Page 5 The resignation of Treasury and Finance Minister Alfonso Prat-Gay Collective bargaining season looms in a day after Christmas was the first major change to President key test for gov’t Mauricio Macri’s cabinet since he took office a little more than a Page 6 year ago.