Tacoma Employees' Retirement System VV Asset Allocation Total Fund Quarter Ended 12/31/10
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Tacoma Employees’ Retirement System Investment Performance Analysis December 31, 2010 Table of Contents TACOMA EMPLOYEES’ RETIREMENT SYSTEM 4th Quarter 2010 I. MARKET ENVIRONMENT II. TOTAL FUND III. U.S. EQUITY Northern Trust S&P 500 Index Composite Tab 1 Northern Trust Large Cap Growth Tab 2 Northern Trust Small Cap Core Tab 3 INTECH Tab 4 Research Affiliates Tab 5 IV. NON-U.S. EQUITY Northern Trust EAFE Index Tab 6 Northern Trust EAFE Index (Hedged) Tab 7 Northern Trust Emerging Markets Index Tab 8 TT International Tab 9 1 V. U.S. CORE FIXED INCOME BlackRock US Debt Fund Tab 10 Metropolitan West Tab 11 VI. HIGH YIELD Post Advisory Group Tab 12 VII. REAL ESTATE Adelante Capital Management Tab 13 VIII. PRIVATE EQUITY VIII. GLOSSARY 2 Market Environment VV Overview of Major Asset Classes As of 12/31/10 Returns 10 Year Indices Legend Qtr Ytd 1Yr 3Yrs 5Yrs 10Yrs 20Yrs Std Dev U.S. Equity (Wilshire 5000) w 11.59 17.16 17.16 -1.92 2.90 2.50 9.50 19.29 U.S. Bonds (Barclays Aggregate) a -1.30 6.54 6.54 5.91 5.80 5.84 6.89 3.66 Non U.S. Equity (ACWI X US Net) x 7.20 11.15 11.15 -5.03 4.82 5.54 -- 22.93 Developed Equity (EAFE Net) m 6.61 7.75 7.75 -7.01 2.46 3.50 5.85 22.36 Emerging Equity (Emg Mkts Net) z 7.34 18.87 18.87 -0.32 12.78 15.89 -- 28.03 Int'l Bonds (Citigroup Non-US Gov't Bond) s -1.45 5.21 5.21 6.54 7.59 7.42 7.10 10.27 Treasury Bills (91 Day) n 0.04 0.13 0.13 0.79 2.42 2.39 3.72 0.92 Consumer Price Index b 0.34 1.50 1.50 1.44 2.18 2.34 2.50 2.23 Last 10 Years(1/01 to 12/10) Previous 10 Years(1/91 to 12/00) 20.0 18.0 w 16.0 16.0 z 14.0 12.0 12.0 10.0 Return Return 8.0 s 8.0 a m a s x 6.0 4.0 m n n b w 4.0 b 0.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 12.0 16.0 20.0 24.0 28.0 32.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 9.0 12.0 15.0 18.0 21.0 Annual Standard Deviation Annual Standard Deviation 1 Market Environment VV U.S. Common Stocks As of 12/31/10 Returns Qtr Ytd 1Yr 3Yrs 5Yrs 10Yrs 20Yrs Indices Standard & Poor's 500 10.76 15.05 15.05 -2.87 2.29 1.41 9.14 Wilshire 5000 11.59 17.16 17.16 -1.92 2.90 2.50 9.50 Wilshire 4500 15.31 28.43 28.43 2.37 5.44 6.15 10.90 Wilshire US Large Cap 11.01 15.83 15.83 -2.61 2.59 1.80 9.22 Wilshire US Small Cap 16.32 28.94 28.94 4.40 6.29 8.04 12.18 Wilshire Real Est. Secs 8.18 29.12 29.12 0.12 2.32 10.34 10.86 Styles Wilshire US Large Growth 11.60 15.02 15.02 -0.53 3.57 0.37 8.62 Wilshire US Large Value 10.41 16.56 16.56 -4.75 1.41 3.09 9.47 Wilshire US Small Growth 16.66 31.08 31.08 4.07 6.75 6.03 10.26 Wilshire US Small Value 15.98 26.76 26.76 4.81 5.79 9.69 13.65 Sectors (Wilshire 5000) Consumer Discretionary 13.33 30.06 30.06 5.46 3.95 -- -- Consumer Staples 6.39 14.02 14.02 2.90 7.45 -- -- Energy 22.30 24.21 24.21 -2.12 8.62 -- -- Financials 11.22 15.24 15.24 -12.27 -7.61 -- -- Health Care 4.90 5.98 5.98 -0.80 2.20 -- -- Industrials 13.51 27.84 27.84 -2.46 3.65 -- -- Information Technology 11.15 12.24 12.24 1.22 5.37 -- -- Materials 20.09 25.67 25.67 0.46 9.14 -- -- Telecommunication Services 6.95 18.42 18.42 -2.80 6.39 -- -- Utilities 2.24 8.02 8.02 -4.45 4.50 -- -- Index Definitions Style Definitions (Wilshire Style Indices) Wilshire 5000: All publicly traded U.S. corporations Large Co: Largest 750 companies in the Wilshire 5000 Wilshire 4500: All Wilshire 5000 companies excluding large S&P500 companies Small Co: Next 1750 companies in the Wilshire 5000 Wilshire US Large Cap: Largest 750 publicly traded companies Value: Relatively low P/E and P/B ratios Wilshire US Small Cap: Companies ranking between 750 and 2500 by market capitalization Growth: Relatively high P/E and P/B ratios 2 Market Environment VV U.S. Common Stocks Relative Return As of 12/31/10 Small vs Large Growth vs Value 2.00 1.15 Small Favored Growth Favored 1.87 1.10 1.74 1.05 1.61 1.00 1.48 0.95 1.35 0.90 1.22 0.85 1.09 0.80 0.96 0.75 0.83 0.70 Large Favored Value Favored 0.70 0.65 12/00 12/01 12/02 12/03 12/04 12/05 12/06 12/07 12/08 12/09 12/10 12/00 12/01 12/02 12/03 12/04 12/05 12/06 12/07 12/08 12/09 12/10 Based on Wilshire Style Indices 3 Market Environment U.S. Fixed Income Indices As of 12/31/10 Returns Characteristics (Current Qtr) Indices Legend Qtr Ytd 1Yr 3Yrs 5Yrs 10Yrs 20Yrs Eff MaturityEff Duration Yld to Mat Barclays Aggregate a -1.30 6.54 6.54 5.91 5.80 5.84 6.89 7.08 4.98 2.97 Barclays Treasury l -2.64 5.88 5.88 5.11 5.47 5.42 6.66 6.67 5.28 1.88 Barclays Credit (Corporate) c -1.86 8.46 8.46 6.85 5.98 6.54 7.49 10.09 6.40 3.87 Barclays Mortgage m 0.24 5.36 5.36 6.52 6.34 5.89 6.85 6.21 4.16 3.67 Barclays High Yield e 3.22 15.11 15.11 10.38 8.92 8.89 10.01 6.98 4.32 7.51 Citigroup High Grade h -2.94 12.44 12.44 8.01 5.97 7.60 8.34 24.64 12.21 5.28 Barclays Universal u -1.04 7.16 7.16 6.01 5.91 6.08 7.06 7.10 4.94 3.31 Barclays US TIPS t -0.65 6.31 6.31 4.97 5.33 7.02 -- 8.86 5.50 2.78 Current Qtr Last Year 4.5 15.5 e 3.65 13.95 e 2.8 12.4 h 1.95 10.85 1.1 9.3 c 0.25 m 7.75 u Return -0.6 Return 6.2 at t l u m -1.45 a 4.65 c -2.3 3.1 l -3.15 h 1.55 -4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 Duration Duration 4 Market Environment VV U.S. Fixed Income Markets Historical Spread Comparison to Treasuries As of 12/31/10 20.00 18.00 16.00 14.00 12.00 10.00 8.00 Current Yield Spread 6.00 4.00 2.00 0.00 03/01 03/02 03/03 03/04 03/05 03/06 03/07 03/08 03/09 03/10 Current Qtr Median Spread Description Legend Spread (10 Years) Barclays Mortgage 2.07 2.15 GIC's 5 Year 1.54 2.26 Barclays Long Agencies 1.07 0.51 Barclays AAA Long Corp 0.88 1.01 Barclays BAA Long Corp 2.52 2.29 Barclays High Yield 5.87 6.41 5 Market Environment U.S. Fixed Income Markets Yield Spread To Treasuries As of 12/31/10 Treasury Yield Curve Comparative Yields 9.0 12.0 8.0 10.7 9.4 7.0 8.1 6.0 e 6.8 5.0 1 Year Ago Current Treasury 5.5 h 4.0 Current Treasury 4.2 Yield to MaturityYield to Maturity Yield to Maturity m c 3.0 u 2.9 a t 2.0 1.6 l 1.0 0.3 0.0 -1.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 Maturity Maturity Description Legend Eff Maturity Yield to Mat Barclays Aggregate a 7.08 2.97 Barclays Treasury l 6.67 1.88 Barclays Credit c 10.09 3.87 Barclays Mortgage m 6.21 3.67 Barclays High Yield e 6.98 7.51 Citigroup High Grade h 24.64 5.28 Barclays Universal u 7.10 3.31 Barclays U.S. TIPS t 8.86 2.78 6 Market Environment VV International Markets As of 12/31/10 Returns 10 Year Qtr Ytd 1Yr 3Yrs 5Yrs 10Yrs 20Yrs Std Dev Equity(in U.S. dollars) U.S. (S & P 500) 10.76 15.05 15.05 -2.87 2.29 1.41 9.14 18.70 Non U.S.