Security Entrenchment and the Dynamics of Politicide: Evidence from Indonesia
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Security Entrenchment and the Dynamics of Politicide: Evidence from Indonesia by Mark Winward A thesis submitted in conformity with the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy Department of Political Science University of Toronto © Copyright by Mark Winward 2019 Security Entrenchment and the Dynamics of Politicide: Evidence from Indonesia Mark Winward Doctor of Philosophy Department of Political Science University of Toronto 2019 Abstract This dissertation examines variations in violence during politicide. Why do some areas have greater levels of killings and long term detentions than others, controlling for the size of the victim group? Moreover, why do some areas have greater rates of killing relative to detentions? Using process tracing to compare three Indonesian provinces that experienced politicide in 1965- 66, I argue these dynamics are shaped by two factors: the degree to which security forces are entrenched at the local level, and the strength of civilian networks willing to collaborate with security forces. The first two chapters develop my theoretical framework, situate it in current debates of mass violence, and outline the methodology used. Chapter three overviews the origins of the Indonesian politicide, in which the Indonesian army killed an estimated 500,000 civilian communist supporters. The following three chapters trace the dynamics of this politicide in Central Java, East Java, and West Java. Through these cases, I demonstrate that low security entrenchment leads to higher levels of violence and higher rates of killing, as security forces lacked the ability to use violence more selectively. The strain of caring for these detainees then poses a logistical problem and incentivizes mass executions. Collaborator networks can further increase killings when security forces are weak by pressuring them to use additional lethal ii violence or engage in lethal violence unilaterally. I conclude by demonstrating how these findings are likely to apply across cases of politicide more broadly, and reflect on the relationship between security capacity, mass violence, and repression. iii Acknowledgments I have accumulated an enormous number of debts over the course of this project. First, I have benefitted tremendously from the guidance of my dissertation committee, especially my supervisor, Jacques Bertrand, in developing, researching, and writing this manuscript. Along with providing rapid and detailed feedback on my ideas, Jacques challenged me to develop independently as a scholar, and to think about how my findings applied not only within Indonesia, but beyond it. My committee members, Judith Teichman and Noel Anderson, also contributed heavily to this final manuscript. Judith encouraged me to distinguish the forest from the trees, and in doing so, helped me to produce a far more coherent manuscript than otherwise would have been the case. Noel pushed me to explicitly lay out my methodological choices and to consider further how this work carried beyond Indonesia. This manuscript would not have been possible without the challenges raised and encouragement offered by all three of these mentors. A fourth mentor, Lee Ann Fujii, unexpectedly passed away prior to the completion of this manuscript. Lee Ann was a major source of inspiration, and provided invaluable insight in designing the project, as well as support, advice, and encouragement for conducting interviews after mass violence. Second, I would like to acknowledge my internal and external examiners, Egor Lazarev and Scott Straus. Egor pushed me to better consider the interaction effects of the phenomena described in this study, while Scott provided innumerable comments for improving the manuscript for a subsequent book project. I hope the book, once competed, can fully reflect the quality of feedback both provided as this project concluded. Third, this work has benefitted significantly from a number of scholars. Robert Cribb and John Roosa provided insightful feedback on select chapters and related manuscripts. Their deep knowledge of the case was especially valuable in conducting a project of this scope. Kate McGregor, Annie Pohlman, Vanessa Hearman, and Abdul Wahid also provided valuable encouragement in the early stages of this project. Indeed, the warmth of those scholars dedicated to the study of the 1965-66 violence has made studying this grim period far less a challenge. Nick Cheesman provided valuable feedback on a related manuscript, and pushed me to clarify the preferences of military actors. I was also fortunate to be part of an exceptional graduate student community at the University of Toronto that supported and challenged me over the iv course of this project. Special thanks to Alex Pelletier and Jessica Soedirgo, who read innumerable drafts of chapters and provided patient and helpful comments. Thanks also to Fuad Fanani, who generously connected me to colleagues in Indonesia. Fourth, I would not have been able to complete this project without the support of my family, especially my partner, Sarah Winward. Studying mass violence is never easy, and there were days when this clearly impacted my life in areas beyond the academy. Sarah supported me throughout this project and helped me learn when to step away. The birth of our son, Henry, in the later stages of the project also bought in new joy – often in stark contrast to the contents of this manuscript. Thanks also to my parents, Mike and Belinda, for their support over the course of this project in so many ways. My largest thanks go to all of those willing to share their stories with me over the course of this project. Wherever I travelled and whomever I spoke to during fieldwork, I was always made to feel welcomed, regardless of the status of my hosts. I will be forever indebted to the frankness with which so many shared their experiences in what was typically the most difficult period of their lives. This was true of for both those that perpetrated and survived the violence of the mid- 1960s. I was especially inspired by the resilience, kindness, and hospitality I found across the hundreds of former political prisoners I met over the course of this project. While only one of these remarkable survivors is named in this project, all of their stories deeply affected me and how I think about violence and resistance. This manuscript is dedicated to them – terima kasih. v Table of Contents Acknowledgments.......................................................................................................................... iv Table of Contents ........................................................................................................................... vi List of Tables ................................................................................................................................. xi List of Figures ............................................................................................................................... xii List of Appendices ....................................................................................................................... xiii Chapter 1 Introduction..................................................................................................................1 Introduction .................................................................................................................................1 The Argument, in Brief: ..............................................................................................................4 Research Significance and Policy Implications: .........................................................................6 The Layout of the Dissertation: ................................................................................................10 Chapter 2 A Theory of Politicide ................................................................................................13 Introduction ...............................................................................................................................13 Key Concepts ............................................................................................................................14 6.1 Politicide: ...........................................................................................................................14 6.2 Repressive Violence...........................................................................................................19 6.3 Rates of Killing ..................................................................................................................22 6.4 Security Entrenchment .......................................................................................................23 6.5 Strength of Collaborator Network .....................................................................................24 Existing Explanations of Variations in Repressive Violence ...................................................25 7.1 Studies of Genocide and Mass Killing...............................................................................26 7.2 Repression and Civil Wars: ...............................................................................................27 7.2.1 Political Competition .............................................................................................28 7.2.2 Information ............................................................................................................29 vi 7.3 Empowering Militia and Violence Dynamics ....................................................................32